By the end of this week, it is highly likely that we will know whether Tennessee’s top public officials are behind the Soros-supported Missouri Plan for selecting judges, or a modified federal method. (The competing measures are SJR 710, passed by the Senate Judiciary Committee, and HJR 830, approved by the House Judiciary Committee.)
There is some talk that the legislature will pass both measures this session in an effort to punt for a year. (The “Profiles in Courage” option.) Any measure that passes this session would have to be approved by a 2/3 vote in both houses next session before being referred to the 2014 ballot, where it would need a majority of votes to prevail. Achieving a 2/3 vote in any legislative assembly on any issue is a serious challenge. Getting a majority of voters to approve a constitutional amendment is no easy task, either. Both tasks will be extremely difficult, if not impossible, if any of the influential factions in this debate mount opposition campaigns.