Remember last week when it was announced that China was going to take part in talks about a post-Kyoto regime (Chris Horner suggested why they might be interested in that here)? Well, this week’s news from China is that they aren’t willing to adopt emissions caps:
“Before generally accomplishment of modernization by the middle of the 21st century, China should not undertake absolute and compulsory emission reduction obligations,” said a translated summary of the report, shown to Reuters.
The document was drafted over four years in consultation with powerful ministries, suggesting a broad official consensus. The final version, which gives no figures for total current or future emissions, is not yet approved for publication. It is separate from a national plan on climate change Beijing is expected to unveil April 24.
Instead, China will focus on reductions in emissions intensity – just like the US under the current President – with set targets that sound impressive. My colleague Marlo Lewis, however, comments:
According to the International Energy Agency, CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion: Highlights 1971-2003, China’s emissions intensity in 2003 was 0.61 kilograms of CO2/GDP using Purchasing Power Parity (p. 86). China’s emission intensity dropped by 50.9% from 1990 (1.21 kg CO2/GDP) to 2003 (0.61 kg CO2/GDP). So it looks like China’s goals–a 40% drop in carbon intensity by 2020 and an 80% drop by 2050–will not require much if anything beyond BAU [business as usual].
As so often in the hyperbole-filled world of global warming alarmism, yet another “breakthrough” proves to be nothing of the sort.