Bret Stephens writes in the Journal:
This week, the conclave of global warming’s cardinals are meeting in Durban, South Africa, for their 17th conference in as many years. The idea is to come up with a successor to the Kyoto Protocol, which is set to expire next year, and to require rich countries to pony up $100 billion a year to help poor countries cope with the alleged effects of climate change. This is said to be essential because in 2017 global warming becomes “catastrophic and irreversible,” according to a recent report by the International Energy Agency.
Yet a funny thing happened on the way to the climate apocalypse. Namely, the financial apocalypse.
The U.S., Russia, Japan, Canada and the EU have all but confirmed they won’t be signing on to a new Kyoto. The Chinese and Indians won’t make a move unless the West does. The notion that rich (or formerly rich) countries are going to ship $100 billion every year to the Micronesias of the world is risible, especially after they’ve spent it all on Greece.
And why the sudden loss of interest?
A religion, when not physically extinguished, only dies when it loses faith in itself.
That’s where the Climategate emails come in. First released on the eve of the Copenhagen climate summit two years ago and recently updated by a fresh batch, the “hide the decline” emails were an endless source of fun and lurid fascination for those of us who had never been convinced by the global-warming thesis in the first place.
But the real reason they mattered is that they introduced a note of caution into an enterprise whose motivating appeal resided in its increasingly frantic forecasts of catastrophe. Papers were withdrawn; source material re-examined. The Himalayan glaciers, it turned out, weren’t going to melt in 30 years. Nobody can say for sure how high the seas are likely to rise—if much at all. Greenland isn’t turning green. Florida isn’t going anywhere.
The reply global warming alarmists have made to these dislosures is that they did nothing to change the underlying science, and only improved it in particulars. So what to make of the U.N.’s latest supposedly authoritative report on extreme weather events, which is tinged with admissions of doubt and uncertainty? Oddly, the report has left climate activists stuttering with rage at what they call its “watered down” predictions. If nothing else, they understand that any belief system, particularly ones as young as global warming, cannot easily survive more than a few ounces of self-doubt.
The rest here.
The Durban conference should make note of the steep drops in GHG emissions flowing from this three year global recession, declare victory and go home, and hope that nobody notices the causal link between reduced emissions and economic collapse.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe 2001 IPCC report laid the 2 foundations of AGW theory. One was the runaway unusual temps as represented by the debunked hockey stick graph. Second was the purported, ice core based causal correlation between Co2 & temp -- which Al Gore in his movie made such a huge deal about.
Now... both of the foundations of theory.... are gone!
This is the most effective and efficient rebuttal for skeptics. Yes, you will need rebut or dismiss the flak that the warmists will use to try to rebut this rebuttal, but it's just 2 SIMPLE POINTS: 1. There is nothing unusual about current temps (note the corrected non-hockey-stick graphic), and 2. Co2 is only shown to be a product of temp increases, NOT a cause (trace gas Co2 is dwarfed by other factors such as the sun etc; google: "Co2 temperature lag;" expect faulty attempts to defend AGW theory on this).
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"The fire of enthusiasm burns hottest in the hearts of those who have secretly, inwardly, begun to doubt."
Wish I'd said that, but I only read something like it and can't find it again. The subject was heresy. Seems really on point, given all "the cause" talk in the Climategate 2.0 e-mails.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThey seem to keep pushing back Doomsday.
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