Small Sample Size Theatre, 2013 Edition

by Jason Epstein

We are a mere 8-10 games into the 162-game regular season but there is no shortage of euphoria and misery surrounding how teams and players are faring.

For example, how many of these figures do we think will hold up over time:

  • The A’s lead the majors in home runs hit (16).
  • The Tigers are tied for 24th in home runs (5). (Miguel Cabrera has only one round-tripper in 37 plate appearances.)
  • The Mets batters are no. 1 in Fangraphs’ version of wins above replacement (2.2).
  • The Amazins’ top score is in large part a consequence of perennial back-up catcher John Buck being tied for third in dingers (5).
  • Carlos Santana leads all players in weighted on-base average (.601).
  • Chris Davis is on pace to collect 364 runs batted in by season’s end (18 RBIs in 8 games).
  • The Phillies pitching staff is dead last in earned run average (6.04).
  • The Yankees pitchers have the third worst strikeout-to-walk ratio (1.74).
  • The Blue Jays staff is worst in the American League in on-base-plus-slugging to opposing batters (.845).
  • The Tigers are the only team in the bigs that has not committed an error. (Really? Have no balls been hit in Cabrera’s general direction?)

My guess: Only the first stat may endure much longer. Even playing at cavernous O.Co Coliseum, the A’s clubbed no fewer than 195 home runs in 2012.

Right Field

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