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July
22, 2003, 2:35 p.m.
Unscrambling Liberia
There
is only one reason to refuse intervention in Liberia.
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he
Liberia squeeze serves political purposes for those who labor to accumulate
faults in Mr. Bush's leadership. But some of these are conflicting. Certainly
the Democrats will need to straighten out their views on the military
and on expeditionary relief.
There is only one
reason to refuse intervention in Liberia. It isn't a bad reason, but isolationism
the presumptive rule against going into a foreign country
looks squat and provincial and uncaring in such a situation as Liberia's.
And then there is the question of military resources. The critics have
been playing hard the line that our entry into Iraq has depleted our resources.
That's true, and one response to that is to urge a bigger military. But
to do that runs up against the general Democratic disposition to downplay
the military. The Democratic critics are up in arms over the projected
budget deficit and, in their censure, speak repeatedly about the $4 billion
per month that we are spending to maintain the military operation in Iraq.
They do not dwell on the $3-plus billion per month envisioned by the prescription-drug
bill. But they race quickly to the tax cut, bemoaning the lost revenue
when most it hurts, which is in election season.
There is a creeping incoherence in the Democrats' general line, and the
Liberian emergency will turn a floodlight on it. We have no national interest
in Liberia. It is not alleged that, hidden there, are weapons of mass
destruction, or storehouses for al Qaeda. The deployment of eighteen mutilated
bodies outside our embassy is understandably seen as a desperate cry for
help. But note, that help would be to provide shelter against one more
African faction that, like so many others in recent years, is prepared
to kill wholesale in order to steal wholesale and to exercise power. Moreover,
the embattled chief is a murderous tyrant who President Bush exhorted
to leave office many corpses ago.
One surmises that Bush et al. are waiting for very hard international
pressure to move into Liberia before consenting to do so. We are stung
by the denial of peacekeeping troops in Iraq. India arrested a planned
deployment of several thousand soldiers there. New Delhi pleads that only
if the U.N. passes a resolution endorsing the U.S. presence in Iraq will
India feel conscientiously permitted to participate. And the administration,
while unwilling to say in as many words that it underestimated the troops
that would be necessary to restore order in Iraq and initiate democracy
there, scrambles for manpower.
We are prepared to deputize former members of the Iraqi army and give
them labor-intensive jobs, like keeping order in the streets and preventing
damage to the oil pipelines. We are concealing the shortage of troop reserves
by prolonging the stay of soldiers already there. We are maintaining the
148,000-man armed force by prolonging tours of duty. This is not thought,
by the administration, a propitious time to say to Congress and to the
American people: We need more money, and a larger army. The challenge,
then, is to choreograph what we have got, consistent with responsibilities
we can't shake. Iraq is one of these, Liberia is not. But the quandary
has to shake out in the next general election.
The catchiest approach to the problem is, of course, U.S. money. We have
disbursed it widely, since 9/11, to maintain support for the war on terror.
We spend as much on our military ($400 billion) as the 20 next top-spending
nations combined. Russia has the second-largest armed force, but we contribute
$150 million, and, of course, great fortunes to Israel and Egypt, and
$527 million to Colombia.
The money is spread around, but the terrorists whether in the disciplined
sense of the al Qaeda agent who takes English lessons and studies flying
so that he can efficiently increase the ratio between his suicide and
the number of dead Americans, or in the factionalist sense of people who
want to kill the other tribesman in order to enhance the tribe's estate
are all, tangentially, a problem for the organized military. And
if it is a Pakistani who engages in peacekeeping activity, that's one
less American who is doing it; but they will want us to pay for it, minimum
wage.
The great shakeout that will come in 2004 has to confront the questions:
1) Is the U.S. prepared to intervene in such theaters as Liberia? 2) What
is the contingent military cost of waging that peace/protection/benevolence?
And 3) How can we share the great-power burden, while husbanding that
great-power responsibility we can't shed, and don't want to?
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