March 03, 2004,
9:18 a.m. Sri Lanka is technically in a state of civil war. It is just barely held together by a tenuous ceasefire that is splintering day by day, threatening to dash the hopes of a country that yearns for peace. Last month, President Chandrika Kumaratunga dissolved parliament and called for new elections to be held on April 2 almost four years earlier than expected. Kumaratunga thereby sabotaged what had once been promising negotiations between the government of Sri Lanka (controlled by the island's majority Buddhist population) and the Tamil Tigers (a Hindu minority). A canny politician, Kumaratunga would not have taken such as bold step unless she expected to win. This is, apparently, a move toward intensifying the civil war. Sri Lanka's constitution provides for both a prime minister and a president; when the two belong to philosophically opposed political parties, the condition is termed "cohabitation." It seems it was just cohabitation that halted the peace process that might have ended 20 years of civil war. Sri Lanka's Prime Minister Ranil Wickramasinghe and his party have been willing to make compromises in order to achieve a lasting peace. On the other hand, President Kumaratunga and her party, the People's Alliance, have resisted concessions to the Tamil Tiger insurgency. If the new elections give decisive power to Kumaratunga, the scene will be set for nullification of the 2002 ceasefire. Kumaratunga is officially committed to the original ceasefire, but her allies are now complaining that "the ceasefire with Tamil Tiger rebels threatens national security." But that depends on who defines "security." Located 22 miles off the southern tip of India, the island nation of Sri Lanka (population 19 million) is approximately the size of West Virginia. Its capital, Colombo, lies on the southwest coast. The nation was called Ceylon when it gained independence from Great Britain in 1948; the name was changed to the Democratic Socialist Republic of Sri Lanka (which means "resplendent island") when it adopted a new constitution in 1972. It remains an independent member of the British Commonwealth of Nations. Tamils (primarily Hindu) make up a smaller portion of the population, and have traditionally lived in the east and north. Many Tamils from India were relocated into Sinhalese areas by the British during the early 19th century, nearly doubling the number of Tamils on the island. They were employed as cheap laborers on the tea plantations. At the time of independence, there were about 4.6 million Sinhalese and 1.5 million Tamils. Finally, in 2003 the Sri Lankan government relented, and allowed them to apply for citizenship. The Sinhalese excuse for persecution of the Tamils was a paranoid fear of annihilation. During the fifth and sixth centuries A.D., the Sinhalese suffered severely from repeated invasions by South Indian Tamils. As an October 1981 issue of the Far Eastern Economic Review noted: "Antipathy between Sinhalas and Tamils is rooted as much in history as in a peculiar schizophrenia afflicting both....Despite their clear majority, Sinhalas fear the large numbers of foreign Tamils who, including those in India's [state of] Tamil Nadu, are said to number around 50-60 million between Southeast Asia through Middle East to the Caribbean. On the other hand Ceylon Tamils, despite being only 11.2 percent of the population, consider themselves strong in terms of the global Tamil brotherhood." Beaten badly, in what the Pakistan Institute of Defence Studies called "India's Vietnam," India withdrew the last of its 50,000 troops from Sri Lanka in March 1990. India's superior forces could not prevail over small arms in the hands of a determined, beleaguered people, fighting for their ancestral lands. By 2002, the Tamil Tigers had created a fighting force of 10,000 men who used terrorist tactics that included everything from suicide bombings to surface-to-air missiles. More typically, though, the Tamil Tigers have confined their attacks to military targets, infrastructure, and political figures, including President Kumaratunga. For example, using only small arms and explosives, the LTTE carried out a spectacular raid in July 2001 on a Sri Lankan military base just north of Colombo and on the nearby Bandaranaike Airport, Sri Lanka's only international airport. The raid cost the Sri Lankan government a billion dollars in damages, and destroyed eight military aircraft. A 1999 U.N. study noted that "since 1980, 12,000 Sri Lankans have gone missing after being detained by security forces." According to the U.N., the number of disappearances in Sri Lanka was second only to those in Iraq. In 2000, two British MEPs accused the government of Sri Lanka of "not allowing essential supplies, including baby food and medicine, to be distributed in areas controlled by the Tamil Tigers." Both sides were forced to the bargaining table. Everyone yielded. The Sri Lankan government made two major concessions: The terrorist ban on the LTTE was lifted, and the LTTE was not required to surrender its arms in order for the peace process to go forward. President Kumaratunga stated: "We were not asking for laying down of arms . . . or anything like that. We just said come for talks and we can see what we can agree to." In turn, the Tamil Tigers dropped their demand for a separate nation, and indicated their willingness to accept a political solution involving autonomy within Sri Lanka. Politically, disarmament creates a Catch-22 for the LTTE. If the Tamil Tigers do not acquiesce, the global opinion elite, who want to disarm so-called "non-state actors" (such as freedom fighters), will blame the LTTE for the failure of the peace talks. The concept that only governments should have weapons will be reinforced. But by disarming, the Tamil Tigers would acknowledge their loss of sovereignty, and be forced to accept a peace deal dictated by a government that has never exhibited good will toward them. The Tamils could expect no help from overseas governments. Regardless of the outcome of the peace process, the Sri Lankan government will never control the Tamils, because the Tamils' weapons have provided them de facto independence, what the Tamils call "internal self-determination." As the BBC observed, "In the areas they control the Tamil Tigers run a parallel government, with their own police and judiciary...the Tigers own police force can even be found implementing day to day issues such as speed restrictions on roads." The Tamils are living their demands for "internal self-determination." Instead of waiting for a formal peace treaty, the Tamils have already begun rebuilding for the future schools and hospitals, roads, water systems, and power grids. If the Tamils exercise restraint and keep their end of the original ceasefire bargain, they will cultivate favorable world opinion, despite having been formerly labeled "terrorists." President Kumaratunga and her allies are furious over their loss of control of the Tamils, and may see a renewal of violence as their best option. If so, the world should condemn them as the real terrorists. Dave Kopel is research director and Paul Gallant and Joanne D. Eisen are senior fellows at the Independence Institute. | ||||||||
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http://www.nationalreview.com/kopel/kopel_gallant_eisen200403030918.asp
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