BUT MOST ARE LIKE THIS.... [Jonah Goldberg] What a splendidly stupid editorial you have penned, and insulting too, although I must say the insults are easier to accept than the ignorance. Go to Iraq, and devastate the civilian as you did a deacde ago, kill thousands of innocent civilians, put Saddam in chains, and take the damn oil! He is no threat to America, or to anyone but his Arab neighbors, who coincidently also have great supplies of oil to sell. Go to Iraq and exercise your world bending might, take another injection of war lust steroid, and go for it! It is so very sad, to see a great nation, the nation of Jefferson, come to this. You had better get used to Canadians preaching the truth, because there will be a lot more of it coming your way. And guess what? We have oil, and water, and you can't have it! Posted at 10:33 PM CANADIANS ON MY SIDE... [Jonah Goldberg] A surprising number of Canadians are on my side, though certainly not as many as those who want me to eat glass (the Globe and Mail hatchet job hit the Canadian wire service). Here's a good one: Jonah, I could not agree more. As a Canadian who takes pride in the once rich history of this country, characterized by the stoicism of Vimy Ridge, D-Day and Hong Kong, I am appalled by the current tenor taken by the socialist government currently inhabiting Ottawa. American's should look closely at Canada, for we are now in the second generation of socialism. Canada's Liberal government believes that it need not defend itself, and in fact it regards the Canadian Armed Forces (the only unified military in NATO) as lightly armed social workers. Canadians have lost there sense of history and there sense of right and wrong in the world. Truly too many Canadians think this country is nothing more than the sum total of its social programmes. There are those who wish to change. The Canadian Alliance (the official opposition) follows the same moral and ideological tenants of the Republican party. Keep up the good work. Posted at 10:19 PM BLOOMBERG'S FOLLY, CTD. [Andrew Stuttaford] There are so many reasons to oppose Nurse Bloomberg's highhanded attempt to ban smoking in NYC bars that it is difficult to know where to begin. The philosophical and financial arguments ought by now to be familiar, but the author of this piece in the New York Observer takes a different approach. He objects on aesthetic grounds: "To abolish the smoke is to abolish the neon, the grime, the melancholy, the stories, the dirty jokes, the dark, the leers, the brawls, the boors, the spilled drinks, the buybacks, the too-loud laughter, all the nuisances and toxins and charms that get mixed into that cocktail we proudly, even lovingly, call a New York saloon. " Beautifully put. Posted at 02:52 PM THROWING STONES AT THE ROCK [Andrew Stuttaford] The UK's government has now sent a message to those pesky Gibraltarians: "drop dead" . It's interesting to read that the man responsible for comments referring to Gibraltar having to improve communications with the "rest of Spain" is Britain's new 'minister for Europe'. He will, doubtless, fit in well with his counterparts elsewhere in the EU, an organization that has no room for local democracy, patriotism or, for that matter, that other characteristic of Gibraltar so deeply loathed by Brussels - a sense of history. Posted at 02:31 PM OH, NO...THE CANADIANS [Jonah Goldberg] The hate mail is coming in from the Canadians in earnest. Some of it is verbose some of it obscene but little of it is particularly persuasive (though I've gotten a shocking amount of positive feedback from Canadians too). But I think this one nicely sums up the bulk of the angry-Canadian arguments : "One great thing about Canada: it is not the USA." Now, you see. This is my point. There are rougly 200 nations which can say the same thing. Chad and Belize can make these claims too. So what? Canada is the only nation which sees itself as "not America" and that is not a positive vision, needless to say. It's childish "oh yeah, well what are you!?" argumentation that should be beneath them. Posted at 02:15 PM TAKING DIRECTION [Andrew Stuttaford] In his filmed version of Schindler's List, Steven Spielberg was responsible for a memorable condemnation of totalitarian evil. Times have changed. Earlier this week the director was in Cuba to meet with Castro. According to USA Today the two men discussed "history, politics and the environment". How nice. Posted at 02:05 PM SECOND RATE [Andrew Stuttaford] The Fed cut rates earlier this week, but the ECB, the EU's new central bank, failed to follow suit. This is bad news - for Germany in particular. A report in a recent edition of The Economist gives some background: "Back-of-the-envelope calculations suggest that, if the old Bundesbank were setting interest rates to suit Germany alone, they would now would be below 2% [the ECB's benchmark rate is currently 3.25%]. Worse still, not only is Germany unable to cut interest rates, but the EU's stability and growth pact [recently denounced, in a rare moment of honesty, by EU president Prodi as "stupid"] also obstructs any fiscal easing. nor can it devalue its currency. Stripped of all its macroeconomic policy weapons, Germany now runs a serious risk of following Japan into deflation." A 'one size fits all' currency simply does not work. I wonder if Tony Blair could explain again exactly why it is that he wants Britain to join the Euro. Posted at 01:41 PM DADA DISSED [Andrew Stuttaford] There's something more than a little totalitarian about the idea of a 'culture minister' , which makes it only too appropriate that Kim Howells, the man in London who holds that job is, in fact, a former communist. Still, he deserves at least one cheer for his remarks about the shortlist of 'artworks' in the running for Britain's supposedly prestigious Turner prize. These were described in last week's London Sunday Times as including "a ceiling of Perspex squares, a description of a pornographic film in pink letters and a giant black block." Howells' comment: If this is the best that British artists can produce then British art is lost. It is cold, mechanical, conceptual bulls***." So it is. Posted at 01:24 PM TOLERANCE WATCH [Andrew Stuttaford] The New York Times has an interesting article this morning on Ayaan Hirsi Ali, a Somali-born refugee now living in Holland. Her views on the emancipation of Muslim women have led her to oppose state-funded multiculturalism. For daring to speak her mind, she has now been subjected to death threats. The whole piece is worth reading, but don't overlook these two quotes: The first comes from the author of the article - "September 11 also gave politicians license to vent brewing animosities. Among them was Pim Fortuyn..." The writer does go on to explain what Fortuyn stood for, but it's still a surprise to see his defense of Enlightenment values of tolerance, sexual equality and free debate described as the "venting" of "animosities". The second comes from Ali Eddaudi , a Moroccan writer and 'cleric' living in the Netherlands. He dismisses "all the fuss" over a Muslim woman who "panders to the Dutch". Notice the contemptuous way in which Eddaudi refers to the Dutch, notice the hypocrisy in the fact he chooses to live in Holland. Posted at 01:15 PM THE CANADIAN ONSLAUGHT BEGINS [Jonah Goldberg] The Globe and Mail comes out of the blocks crying foul. No time to dissect the bad faith of this article, but I think you'll recognize it pretty quickly. Posted at 08:11 AM SPEAKING OF... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...thanks for the congrats many of you sent, but my query about mall "one hour fetus photo" set-ups is a professional one: just more Internet blegging (John Derbyshire's word for begging for help in a "blogg" format) for a piece I am working on. Thanks--and do send your thoughts, with "fetus photo" in the subject line. Posted at 04:44 AM ABOUT PREGNANT WOMEN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A number of people emailed me to ask if Senator Jessica Gavora would actually be the first woman to give birth while in the Senate. Yes, indeed, she will be. Sitting senator Mary Landrieu has a four-year-old daughter, but the young Mary was adopted. Posted at 04:34 AM I WISH ZELL WERE OURS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] From today's Washington Post, in a symposium of post-election advice to the Democrats, Sen. Miller writes: "Bye-Bye, Terry. Our chairman, who reminds me of that Mac Davis song that goes, "It's hard to be humble when you're perfect in every way," should be given that engraved gold watch and shown the door." Posted at 04:30 AM ELECTION UPDATE FROM JOHN HOOD [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Things took another good turn for the GOP here in North Carolina, where a Friday morning recount in an eastern county has given the Republicans another victory in the state house. The GOP now has a 61-59 majority in the previously Democratic chamber. The national count of legislatures doesn’t change, because we were already counting North Carolina as a “split control” state (with the Democrats retaining an edge in the state senate). But it’s another little piece of interesting news in the emerging GOP blowout. Posted at 04:16 AM I SAW... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...that CAIR is headlining a discrimination lawsuit a Muslim man has against Marriott. It may be a completely legitimate suit for all I know, despite CAIR's involvement. But it did make me wonder: has anyone--a non-Muslim, prohibited from staying there--ever sued Hilton for discrimination at their hotel in Mecca? Posted at 04:13 AM ADOPTION A WINNING ISSUE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Bill Pierce on the elections and adoption. Posted at 03:54 AM KEILLOR ON THE ATTACK [Kathryn Jean Lopez] There's a real nasty piece about Norm Coleman on Salon by Garrison Keillor, too, in their subscription-only section (as was the aforementioned scare piece). This will give you a flavor: He was 9 points down to Wellstone when the senator's plane went down. But the tide was swinging toward the president in those last 10 days. And Norm rode the tide. Mondale took a little while to get a campaign going. And Norm finessed Wellstone's death beautifully. The Democrats stood up in raw grief and yelled and shook their fists and offended people. Norm played his violin. He sorrowed well in public, he was expertly nuanced. The mostly negative campaign he ran against Wellstone was forgotten immediately. He backpedalled in the one debate, cruised home a victor. It was a dreadful low moment for the Minnesota voters. To choose Coleman over Walter Mondale is one of those dumb low-rent mistakes, like going to a great steakhouse and ordering the tuna sandwich. But I don't envy someone who's sold his soul. He's condemned to a life of small arrangements. There will be no passion, no joy, no heroism, for him. He is a hollow man. The next six years are not going to be kind to Norm. Posted at 03:45 AM BEWARE!!! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Salon.com is very, very afraid: One article warns: "A triumphant Bush is set to appoint an army of conservative judges who will overturn civil and reproductive rights -- and could kill Roe v. Wade." Posted at 03:41 AM Friday, November 08, 2002 NEW HIGH IN CANADIAN SOUR GRAPES [Jonah Goldberg] Hockey dad sues over his kid not getting MVP. Posted at 05:29 PM ANTI-AMERICANISM [John Derbyshire] You could also get a copy of the current (November) issue of The New Criterion, which has a symposium on the topic. Posted at 05:14 PM HAROLD FORD [Jonah Goldberg] I'm listening to Harold Ford's press conference. He's running as a bipartisan Southern moderate who happens to be black. If the Democrats pick Nancy Pelosi over this guy they will be grabbing onto rump party status like it was a life raft. Posted at 03:52 PM THERE'S A BLACK SPOT ON THE SUN TODAY. [Jonah Goldberg] All Republicans ever hear about race is that the GOP isn't inclusive enough. And, whenever conservatives question the merits of Democratic diversity-mongering we're told that we "just don't get it" or that we're insensitive or racist. But, whenever the GOP reaches out to blacks, they're told that those blacks "don't count." That was the message of that tired fossil Harry Belafonte when he called Colin Powell a house slave and it was the message of the establishment media's assault on the GOP Convention's "diversity" theme. And, it is the message of an editorial from last Sunday's Baltimore Sun endorsing Kathleen Kennedy Towsend. They wrote: "By contrast, Mr. Ehrlich's running mate, state GOP chairman Michael S. Steele, brings little to the team but the color of his skin. His choice was a calculated move by Mr. Ehrlich, made all the more crass when it was discovered that Mr. Steele is being paid by the GOP as a "consultant" to run."I do hope that Mr. Steele remembers this the next time the Sun asks for an interview with the new Lt. Governor. He can send them a picture of his butt and tell them they can kiss it or, better yet, admire its pigmentation -- since that's all he has to offer in their eyes anyway. Posted at 03:44 PM HELP WANTED: BABY PICTURES [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] Has anyone reading made use of one of those "one-hour souvenir" "fetus photo" places that are set up at malls, etc.? I'd love to hear from you about your experience with them. E-mail me at klopez@nationalreview.com. Any doctors with opinions, too. Thanks. Posted at 02:49 PM THE ANTI-MAHER [Jim Robbins] Dennis Miller on Leno -- the anti-Maher! (courtesy of the Media REsearch Center): "It's not a perfect world. Listen I think Bush's old man could have ended this whole dilemma in the Middle East around 12 years ago. We were like two exits away on the Jersey Turnpike from croaking this toad and we back off because the coalition doesn't want us to go up the road. Are you kidding me? The coalition? This better not happen again. You know Tony Blair is a cute kid and one of my favorite Martin Short characters in waiting, but the simple fact is we don't consult the Brits on anything anymore. We haven't listened to them since our boys dressed up like the Hakawi tribe and boosted all the Tetley tea in the Beantown Harbor around 200 years ago. I don't want to ask the Brits what to do here. We gotta assassinate Saddam Hussein. Why have we taken assassination off the table as a viable political tool? And yet they'll tell you the collateral damage of civilians is acceptable. But you're not allowed to assassinate the main pain in the ass. My theory is if you have trouble with your conscience pretend you're trying to kill the guy next to him and think of him as collateral damage, alright?! If that will allow you to get to bed at night." [applause] Miller: "Listen. Negotiating with Saddam Hussein is about as practical as practicing aroma therapy on a French man. Okay? It's not going to happen." Posted at 02:47 PM FROST IS OUT [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 02:39 PM KRUGMAN, AGAIN [Jonah Goldberg] The self-marginalization of Paul Krugman continues apace. Some excerpts from today's DNC flier AKA his New York Times column: Some of my friends are in despair. They fear that by the time the political pendulum swings, the damage will be irreparable. A ballooning federal debt, they say, will have made it impossible to deal with the needs of an aging population. Years of unchecked crony capitalism will have destroyed faith in our financial markets. Unilateralist foreign policy will have left us without real allies. And most important of all, environmental neglect will have gone past the point of no return. They may be right. But we have to behave as if they aren't, and try to turn American politics around.And then there's this: Democrats should complain as loudly about the real conservative bias of the media as the Republicans complain about its entirely mythical liberal bias; that will help them get their substantive message across.Now, Krugman used to be a guy who relied on the data. So I'm really curious how he could think that even if Bush was as bad about the environment as his hysterical "friends" think, how we could reach the point of "no return" by 2004. I mean, the environment in the U.S. is in the best shape it's been in for about a century. It's steadily improved for the last forty years thanks to all sorts of regulations that Bush would never dream of repealing and, more important, thanks to American prosperity. If Krugman actually believes this scare-rhetoric then he's simply not a serious person. If he doesn't believe it, he's a propagandist for Democrats. Or both. As for the media bias stuff, he should just get off the pipe. While I don't concede any of his "pro-Republican" assertions about the media (they're actually Jonathan Chait's), even if they were true they don't change the fact that media bias in favor of Democratic issues continues unabated. Posted at 02:33 PM L.A. [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Hillyer on Louisiana: Now, changing the subject, a comment on my native Louisiana, to add to Rod Dreher's cogent thoughts. (Rod: Have you been talking to our mutual friend, Lanny Keller?) Gov. Foster is a royal pain in the neck, and a Republican only through political calculation back when it helped him get elected in the first place.... but he's basically playing a private game of hardball with the White House. Unless the Bushies fumble him away the way they fumbled Jeffords, Foster should fall into line eventually, at least nominally, once he's gotten his extraneous concerns met. Once he does, Suzie Terrell must be rated a slight favorite. There's a runoff election in the heavily conservative 5th district, where the GOPer Lee Fletcher should stomp Demo Alexander -- and while he's at it, draw Cooksey-Republicans to the polls. Other places in the state, in an off election, "chronic voters" that favor the GOP should give Suzie the edge. And Suzie always has been friendly with the leadership of the one most moderate of the four traditional New Orleans black organizations, who in past elections actually have helped give her the margin of victory. They won't turn out FOR her this time, but they'll stay home rather than turning out strong for Landrieu. Early pick here is Terrell, 53, Landrieu, 47. Posted at 02:01 PM WRONG WAY [Jim Robbins] Democrats seek to reinforce defeat with failure. Posted at 01:58 PM WHAT'S HAPPENING IN ALABAMA [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Quin Hillyer sends this useful update from Alabama: Here's the latest from the Florida-Lite ballot challenge in Alabama: Gov. Don Siegelman, playing Gore-Lite, is asking for a recount in all Alabama counties, with a MANUAL recount in heavily Republican Baldwin County where the computer glitch temporarily made AP think Siegelman had 6,000-plus votes more than he actually did. His Baldwin claims are ludicrous: If Siegelman received as many votes in Baldwin as were originally reported, the total number of votes (more than 50,000) would have far exceeded the number of people who actually signed in at the polls (around 45,000) -- and a town of, oh, about 800, where the computer glitch arose, would have had nearly 7,000 voters. In short, the corrected numbers in Baldwin County, which put Siegelman down statewide by about 3,200 votes, are the only numbers that could possibly be accurate. As for the rest of the state, the governor hasn't specified a single alleged irregularity; he's basically just fishing, and hoping some heavily Democratic counties can find a way to manufacture voters. He's like M. Night Shamalayan's Sixth Sense kid, seeing dead people voting in droves. State law doesn't provide for the kind of recount Siegelman wants, however -- not without specified cause. But if he wants to be a real jerk, he can challenge all results in the heavily Democratic, heavily dishonest state Legislature, which can meet in January and declare a winner. For now, Siegelman's camp says that's out of the question... but don't put anything past this guy. Posted at 01:33 PM HOCKEY TOURNAMENT [John Derbyshire] In my end-of-month diary last week, I posed a brain-teaser about a hockey tournament. Many readers e-mailed in with solutions. Thanks to all of them, and shame on me for not having had the fortitude to plow through the small quantity of logic needed. I have posted the answer, with three full worked solutions, on my personal website. Posted at 11:53 AM I GUESS IT'S ALL A MATTER OF PERSPECTIVE [Jim Robbins] "Punchy periodicals such as National Review, the Weekly Standard and Commentary all fuel an intellectual conservative atmosphere that is both animated and wide-ranging. They debate Iraq and foreign policy, but they also look at school vouchers, the tax burden, monetary policy, and other, seemingly more mundane, issues too." Jerusalem Post, Nov. 6, 2002. "The conservative press has been the guiltiest of whipping up anti-Muslim sentiment, especially the National Review, the Weekly Standard and the Wall Street Journal. Most of these publications have published alarmist articles about the rise of a fanatical Islam, mistakenly making the religion of over 2 billion people seem to be a monolithic bloc of anti-West hatred." Arab News, Nov 8, 2002. Posted at 11:51 AM GEEZ, ROD! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I still care more about BK (Burger King and Bill Kristol). Posted at 10:58 AM 15-0 [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The U.N. resolution is approved. Now take that, Saddam! Posted at 10:54 AM FYI [Jonah Goldberg] My syndicated column on the elections. Posted at 10:51 AM ANDREW’S RIGHT, BUT…. [Jonah Goldberg] Andrew Sullivan writes: NOW WIN THE WAR: I've been reading with some disbelief all sorts of proposals for president Bush's next two years. Here's the only one that matters: win the war. If we can rid the world of Saddam Hussein and see Iran's dictators pushed to the brink, then an entirely new set of circumstances prevails in the world. What the president needs to focus on now is disarming Saddam. This election wasn't a mandate for tax simplification or welfare reform (however important those two things are). It was a vote of support for victory. If Bush lets Saddam wriggle through the gaping U.N. net, and lets al Qaeda off the hook, then he will deserve to be defeated in 2004. Getting the war right is paramount. Everything else will follow. Nothing else, in comparison, matters.Now, I assume the reference to "tax simplification" was a reference to my column from Wednesday. And I should say that I largely agree with Andrew's point. Winning the war has to be the top priority (and I should have been more clear about that in my column). And, yes, if it comes down to a choice between winning the war or losing a specific domestic policy, I think the war has to come first. That said, I think this is something of a fale choice. If Bush defines his role solely as Commander in Chief for the next two years he will become less effectual in both foreign and domestic policy. He will also risk losing office and giving the keys of power to the forces of Mordor, which would be disastrous. If this election taught us anything it is that you've got to spend political capital to make political capital. His father ignored this lesson emphasizing only foreign policy and left the Clinton administration in charge of Iraq and al-Quaeda for the next decade. We can't afford to do that sort of thing again. That means Bush must have a domestic agenda -- and a good one. Otherwise he will risk losing support from many needed constituencies. Posted at 10:45 AM CAMPUS SURPRISES [[Stanley Kurtz]] Martin Kramer has a discussion up about an important move by one of Edward Said’s strongest supporters to Columbia University. You might think Columbia would be looking for something other than yet another Said clone, especially post 9/11. Think again. Posted at 10:39 AM PREDICTING PERFORMANCE [[Stanley Kurtz]] I’ve already written about the disastrous fate of Britain’s “A-Level” achievement tests and the possibility that Britain will now move toward an SAT type test for college entrance. Now we have another report from Britain that American style SAT’s are better predictors of student performance–and fairer to students from poor areas as well. Thanks, by the way, to Erin O’Connor for sending this over. For anyone interested in campus politics, O’Connor’s Critical Mass is a must. Posted at 10:27 AM HAROLD FORD [Jonah Goldberg] His candidacy for Democratic leader has got to be scaring the White House. He can claim to be a Southern moderate and he's a very likable black politician. He may not have enough experience (or votes) for the job, but if he got it and managed to be effective, I think it might spell trouble for the Republicans. Posted at 10:25 AM WHITHER MIKE FOSTER? [Rod Dreher] The Louisiana Republican who warned me that the state party has "a hundred Bob Smiths" -- i.e., vain and quixotic types prone to indulging in personal pique at the expense of the party's interests -- followed up by saying it's entirely possible that Republican Gov. Mike Foster could endorse Sen. Mary Landrieu over her GOP opponent. Foster is a lame duck, owes nobody anything, and is angry at the national GOP for throwing money behind Suzie Terrell in the general election (Foster supported a rival Republican). This morning, the Baton Rouge Advocate -- which, ahem, reported without crediting NRO, which broke the story, that Landrieu fired her campaign consultant -- reveals that Foster is publicly flirting with the Landrieu camp because he's mad at President Bush over the Feds messing with his education reform plan. Hmm. According to today's Advocate, the state's education plan isn't working all that well to begin with. In any case, Foster is going to have to be handled with delicacy. He could wreck this for the Republicans, and one gets the clear impression that he doesn't give a flying fig. Posted at 10:12 AM ANTI-AMERICANISM [[Stanley Kurtz]] Why are so many Americans anti-American. You should read Victor Davis Hanson today on NRO on the topic. But you might also want to have a look at the symposium on the topic today at frontpagemag. There, under questioning from Jamie Glazov, I take a stab at the topic, along with Victor Hanson, Paul Hollander, and Dan Flynn. Posted at 09:59 AM SOLOMON'S WISDOM [[Stanley Kurtz]] Lee Bockhorn has a good piece up today about the success of the Solomon amendment in forcing universities to allow military recruitment at law schools. I do hope that instead of stopping here, the administration takes a lesson and moves on to the next big battle. It’s time to use the Solomon amendment to bring the ROTC back to our campuses. If the defense department does the right thing and honestly enforces the Solomon amendment on the matter of the ROTC, there is simply no way that it will lose the political battle. The more the campus Left fights this, the more they discredit themselves. Posted at 09:47 AM WINONA [Jonah Goldberg] I'm with Jonathan. I think the idea that we should have any great sympathy or sense of outrage over Winona Ryder's predicament is flatly absurd. If you don't want to believe your lying eyes after watching that tape, that's your problem. But the idea that she's not guilty strikes me as flatly goofy and approaching self-delusion of pro-OJ levels. If you believe in the looking-for-trouble school of justice, then Winona got everything she deserves. Millionaire movies stars who steal for thrills deserve more, not less, shame and punishment than the rest of us. And if the prosecutor was over-zealous, who cares? The risks for Winona were higher than for the rest of us, but the "need" to steal was much, much lower. My fondness for women's prison movies notwithstanding, I don't necessarily think she should go to the slammer. But I hardly think she's been treated unfairly. Posted at 09:24 AM GIBRALTAR! [Jonah Goldberg] Gibraltar has voted 98.7% in favor of staying British. That's only 1.03% less than the peace-loving Iraqi peoples' level of support for Saddam Hussein. Joking aside, I think the Birtish have been far too eager to give up on subjects who want to live under British rule. I hope this vote sends the right signal. Posted at 09:13 AM “WELL, IT’S ABOUT TIME” DEPARTMENT [Roger Clegg] Headline from “Britain” in today’s Washington Times: “Diana, mom quit talking, aide says” Posted at 08:56 AM FINGERPRINTING RULES... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...have lead to the arrest of 179 aliens. Posted at 08:55 AM FROM IMUS [Julie Crane] Tennessee congressman Harold Ford has thrown his hat into the ring and will oppose Nancy Pelosi and Martin Frost in the election to replace Dick Gephardt as minority House leader. Posted at 08:43 AM SEE WHAT YOU "CRUNCHY CONS" ARE DOING? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Ever since Rod's piece came out, Burger King sales have been down. You proud of yourself now? Posted at 08:43 AM OKAY IN OREGON [Jonathan Adler] Another important result from Tuesday: the nation's first (and perhaps only) state-wide ballot initiative to require labels on genetically-modified food went down in flames in (of all places) Oregon. The initiative was almost surely unconstitutional as written, but it's nice to see that Oregon voters rejected it on the merits. Posted at 08:41 AM RAILROADING RYDER? [Jonathan Adler] I have to say that I'm quite skeptical about Joel Mowbray's claim that Winona Ryder didn't receive a fair trial. Sure the DA's office spun the case, and polls show much of the general public bought, but so what. The whole point of jury selection is to exclude people who cannot be impartial jurors because they have a serious bias, such as that which could result from hearing sensationalist news reports about the case. So long as Ryder had competent counsel, the fact that many people in Los Angeles thought the DA had better evidence than he did is largely immaterial. So, too, is the fact that the DA may have it out for Ryder, even he let other celebs off the hook. I have no reason to doubt Mowbray's claims on this score, but they don't demonstrate that Ryder failed to get a fair trial. Posted at 08:34 AM FRUM IN THE MORNING [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Do you really need reminding? You know the drill by now. Posted at 06:09 AM BLIX FIX [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The U.S. knows Saddam has anthrax but Hans Blix forgot to tell the Security Council, Bill Gertz says. Posted at 05:32 AM Thursday, November 07, 2002 HEADLINE NEWS [Andrew Stuttaford] Here's a classic headline from the London Independent: "Republican steamroller forces its agenda on Congress" Forces its agenda? Posted at 11:28 PM SOLID AS A ROCK [Andrew Stuttaford] Britain's Left has always found Gibraltar, an enthusiastically pro-British and patriotic sort of place, faintly embarrassing. Add to that the fact that 'Gib' continues to bedevil the UK's relationship with Spain, a fellow member of the EU, and the scene was clearly set for a spot of betrayal. The first stage of this process was to be the introduction of 'shared sovereignty'. Naturally the Gibraltarians were not consulted, but the Rock's inhabitants went and held a vote on the idea anyway. The result? 98.97% voted in favor of keeping things the way they are. EU countries are always proclaiming the importance of local democracy. Now is a good time for the UK and Spain to show that they mean it. Posted at 11:15 PM WHERE ARE MY SMELLING SALTS? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The Arab News does not like National Review. Posted at 10:18 PM MORE GOP WINS [Ramesh Ponnuru] They control more states' legislatures than the Democrats, according to UPI, and may have more state legislators nationally. Posted at 06:53 PM IS THIS YOU? [Rod Dreher] OK, lest I start to sound like one of those NPR pledge week drones, this will be the last time I ask for volunteers to be interviewed for the forthcoming crunchy-con book. Thanks, everybody, for all the e-mail. I'll be in touch once I start researching. On the fence about whether or not to participate? Here are a few excerpts from letters so far. If any of this resonates with you, write me at crunchycon@aol.com: "It's frustrating, at times; people whose lifestyles most resemble mine often drive me bonkers when politics come up, and those whose ideologies I share or respect have very different lives from mine. ... I've been living the crunchy-con philosophy for years: a respect for tradition and institutions; believer in hard work, the free-market system and republican government; but tempered by the recognition that none of it means spit if you don't enjoy the aesthetic bounties of civilization: positive spirituality, family, art, music, architecture, good food and conversation, polite company and reverence for nature. ... My wife and I try to live counter to the suburban lifestyle that pervades our landscape. Here it's fairly easy to hold conservative political views, but we see very few people actually living conservatively. People focus on the Big House, Big SUV, Big Boat, Big Toys. They commute for two hours a day, keep their kids in soccer, baseball, football, dance and music lessons concurrently, never eat together as a family, and wonder why their kids grow up spiritually bankrupt. ... I really can't think of anything more crunchy-con than [somebody like me], an infantry officer in love with the Grateful Dead." Posted at 06:12 PM UH OH [Jonah Goldberg] Doesn't look good for the good guys, I mean gals. Murkowski wants to appoint a Teamster turned Republican. Posted at 06:06 PM C'MON KARL ROVE, THINK ABOUT IT [Jonah Goldberg] Think about how great an image it would be for the GOP to have not only a pregnant Senator, but to have the first Senator to give birth while in office be a Republican. Think of the TV footage: Cute white dog. Baby boy named "Goldberg." Can you say: Soccer-Mom-O-Rama! Posted at 05:59 PM RATS AND DEMOCRATS [Jonah Goldberg] I was going to make that point about Dems and the war too, but Ramesh beat me to it (I guess I was distracted by my efforts for Senator Gavora). Instead I'll follow-up on Ramesh's point. It does really seem like the Democrats are in a mad dash to become a rump party. The argument seems to be that since their base wasn't energized, the Democrats should now placate their base by becoming more stridently anti-war and pro-tax. But the whole reason so many of those races were as close as they were is that both parties were fighting over moderates and centrists. It's entirely possible the Dems could have picked up more vote from the base if they'd campaigned from the Left more, but we don't know how many moderate Democrats that would have cost them as a result. If Nancy Pelosi becomes the new face of the Democratic Party, sure the base may get energized, but the Democrats will lose even more white men and give Bush more than enough maneuvering room in the center. Bill Clinton may have become a darling of the left because he grew to symbolize sexual liberation and because of his enemies. But he won elections because he positioned himself as a "different kind of Democrat." Judging from the election results it already seems like the White House is forever off-limits to non-Southern Democrats. If they choose to self-radicalize, they will definitely become the rump party. Posted at 05:00 PM THE WRONG TIME [Ramesh Ponnuru] From Matthew Cooper's piece up yesterday on Time's site: "Still, Republicans would be wrong to misread the lessons of Tuesday night. In 1994, Newt Gingrich overestimated his mandate and the turmoil of the last night's governors' races should give the GOP caution. There's still a great deal of anger out there — vented chiefly on the nation's incumbent governors, many of whom lost amid voter discontent about coming state budget crunches. The psychiatrists call that kind of anger free-floating rage, and it could end up blowing back against the GOP in 2004. If trends hold up, the party out of power took every open gubernatorial seat." In truth, anger was not vented at incumbent governors, almost all of whom won. In the biggest states in the country--California, Texas, New York, Florida--incumbents won. Only 1 Republican incumbent lost on Tuesday (in Wisconsin), and he had never been elected governor in the first place (having gotten the job when Tommy Thompson moved to D.C.) Maybe there was an anti-incumbent party mood in a lot of states where the actual incumbent wasn't running. But why does this have to be written off as "free-floating rage" rather than a desire for change? Is this the "angry white male" theory of the 1994 election rearing its ugly head? (A friend of mine quipped that he was just happy that the day after the election, the New York Times's headline wasn't: "Bush Warmongering Brings Angry White Males to Polls.") Posted at 04:58 PM JOHNNY THE HAPPY CANCER ELF [Rod Dreher] Leave it to the inimitable James Lileks to dig out insane stuff like this from America's pop culture attic. (Keep following the links he provides for even more tobacco-inspired hijinx!) Posted at 04:54 PM NICE RECRIMINATIONS COLUMN [Ramesh Ponnuru] By Peter Beinart. Posted at 04:50 PM WAIT A SECOND [Ramesh Ponnuru] I keep hearing Democrats saying that their party ought to have taken Bush on over the war rather than supported him. You mean the Democrats weren't for war with Iraq? On the issue of whether to send our young men and women into harm's way, they didn't really think it was a good idea? They thought it would make America less secure? But they voted for it anyway? Or maybe the Democrats really did think the pro-war vote was right on the merits, but are now concluding that it was bad politics. So Iraq is a serious threat to Americans that war is necessary to prevent, but Democrats should have tried to stop it in order to pick up a few votes? Or do they just not have any particular position on war-and-peace? The post-election commentary by Democrats seems to me to make for a more savage indictment of them than anything they did pre-election. Posted at 04:42 PM SIGNORILE [Jonah Goldberg] I haven't had the time or interest in responding to Signorile's screed. But a bunch of you have. Thanks to everyone who wrote him letters in my defense. Here's an interesting one: It was clear to myself and many others (those not looking to be offended) that Mr. Goldberg's comment on Mohammed being a threefer was meant tongue-in-cheek. Were you also taken aback by Jonah's observation that 55% of serial killers are white males, and that "clearly we have some catching up to do" because we're underrepresented? I don't think you're that dumb. Stop obfuscating. Which leads to the real gist of the Coulter/Sullivan &c. rants, which is the insistence by the mainstream press that only a disenfranchised cracker could be capable of such crimes, and their subsequent refusal to: a) admit that they were wrong, and b) acknowledge that the suspects in custody are an America-hating Muslim and an illegal alien with an unusually high cash flow for homeless-shelter dwellers. Connect the dots? It's practically A Sunday on La Grande Jatte. Shameful, selfish efforts by the elitist left to turn this tragedy into a gun-rights issue are, thankfully, failing. There are a hundred million guns in this country, and the dreaded "Dodge City" scenario only occurs where the law-abiding citizen is prohibited from owning one. Yale economics professor John Lott has documented how private gun ownership lowers crime, so stop blaming guns and access to them for the sins of their owners. The pundits you criticize only ask that the press and government stay focused on the real issue, which is saving American lives and property. Posted at 04:39 PM SCENES IN THE FUTURE.... [Jonah Goldberg] "Senator Gavora, we've had several requests for Mr. Goldberg to cancel his 'Office Iditarod 2002.' Some people feel it is inappropriate to have such, um, sporting events in the US Capitol. We've even had some objections from animal rights groups who've complained that tying a dog to an office chair and calling it an "Urban Sled" constitutes cruelty to animals. Also, since we are on the subject, is Mr. Goldberg sure it's necessary that he yell "Unleash the Hounds!" and "Kill Cosmo! Kill!" Every time Senator Corzine leaves his office?" Posted at 03:42 PM THE GAVORA GROUNDSWELL [Jonah Goldberg] There's a buzz out there. People want to know what they can do. Well, if you'd like to contact Senator Murkowski, here's his website's contact page. One important caveat: Senator Murkowski is a good man and good Senator, so respectful suggestions will probably work better than threats to toilet paper his front lawn. Posted at 02:54 PM RE: K-LO [Rod Dreher] Kathryn, dear, the book will be dedicated to you! And the granola bar is a nice start, but if you're serious, you'll do like I do and have steel-cut oatmeal spiked with protein powder for breakfast. Posted at 02:35 PM ROD... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...I know you won't forget to interview me for your book. I even had a granola bar for breakfast. (Does Quaker Oats count?) Posted at 02:35 PM RAMADAN FOR DEGENERATES [Rod Dreher] This story makes me sick. It's about one way the people of Cairo are celebrating Ramadan. Nothing like sitting around with the family at night, watching a miniseries based on The Protocols of the Learned Elders of Zion, and eating sweet holiday treats festively named after mass murderers, terrorists, dictators and weapons of mass destruction. Wonderful people, these Egyptians, such exemplars of Islam's tolerance and peacefulness. Posted at 02:27 PM THE DEMOCRATS' RACE PROBLEM [Rod Dreher] Lots of good stuff on John Maginnis' Louisiana Politics website this morning (if you want to follow the Landrieu-Terrell race, this is the place to go every morning). Of particular note is a story saying that poor black turnout may well have been the chief factor forcing Landrieu into a runoff -- a runoff she may well lose. I've written about Landrieu's longstanding feud with black Baton Rouge pol Cleo Fields, who is being catty about whether or not he'll back her, over the issue of "respect." If this becomes a big issue for Landrieu in the next month, she will be yet another Democrat to fall victim to the identity politics that the Left has cultivated and exploited. In New York, Andrew Cuomo had to drop his bid to be the Democratic gubernatorial nominee in part because black party leaders insisted it was African-American Carl McCall's "turn" (McCall ran a dull race, and lost badly). Democrat Mark Green lost the New York mayor's race because Al Sharpton felt disrespected, and did nothing to encourage black turnout for the Dems. Now, it may be true that the Democratic Party takes the black vote for granted (but let's not forget the vanity of certain black kingmakers); the Republicans tend to do the same thing with religious conservatives. But the GOP manages to keep the religious right under the tent. We may be seeing the beginning of a national trend in which the Democrats cannot do that with their black base. It's not that these black voters are voting Republican; it's that they aren't voting at all. This is one reason the Landrieu race bears watching. Posted at 02:14 PM NOT MUCH TIME! [Jonah Goldberg] Senator Frank Murkowski has been elected governor of the great state of the Alaska. He has the opportunity to appoint his own replacement to the Senate. As I've indicated before there is really only one great choice for this appointment. I am referring, of course, to Mrs. Jonah Goldberg AKA Jessica Gavora. This would mean great things for her, for me, for National Review and for Cosmo the Wonderdog who would be able to go to work with Jessica from now on and, conceivably, mark Ted kennedy's territory -- if ya know what I'm saying. She's from Alaska, qualified, sharp, conservative and all that stuff. She even worked for Murkowski. She could put her book on Title IX into action and I could walk around half-dressed in the Senate cafeteria slapping Hillary Clinton on the back and messing-up Trent Lott's hair (with trowel, I suppose). But, most important, it would generate scads of new material for NRO. Let the Gavora Groundswell Begin! Let the Flying Monkey Fly! Away! Posted at 01:56 PM JUST LIKE THE REST [Stanley Kurtz] The big story right now is the election, but I can’t let this week’s U. S. News cover story on the SAT go by without comment. The story, by Julian Barnes, is heavily biased in favor of the changes to the test, relying in great part on interviews with U.C. president Richard Atkinson himself. There is a brief mention of those who feel that the current test will overlook “diamonds in the rough,” but no mention at all of the many problems with the new test that I’ve raised in several pieces for NRO (eg. the way that grade inflation vitiates research relied on by advocates of the changes; the special vulnerability of achievement tests to pressure for dumbing down; the current problems with the British pre-college achievement test as a warning sign). U. S. News used to be fairer than other mainstream organs. No more. Put this story together with last year’s one-sided cover story on boys and it’s obvious that U. S. News is no different from the rest. Posted at 01:35 PM DIVERSITY PROBLEMS [Stanley Kurtz] Yes Jonah, I agree that diversity representation for conservatives is a bad idea, for all the reasons you state. And I don’t doubt that some conservatives are beginning to believe their own rhetoric. The Amherst conservatives seem to have split between those who keep saying that their point is that the whole diversity idea is wrong, and the ones who want a stronger and more persuasive case made for diversity representation. But having granted the stupidity of the whole idea of diversity representation for conservatives, or anyone else, I do think that there are benefits to this becoming an issue. It highlights the contradictions of the diversity idea, and throws a light on the lack of representation for conservative views at colleges at a time when the country itself is actually leaning a bit Republican. The whole issue is a huge embarrassment for the other side. On balance, it’s hard to say whether this amounts to a good trend or a bad one. But it may well be a trend. We report, you decide. Posted at 01:29 PM CAMPUS IDEOLOGUES [Rod Dreher] Back when I was in college ('85-'89), it seemed to me that both the ideological campus right and the ideological campus left were far more interested in asserting and indulging their own identities than in actually changing minds. One of their favorite things to do was bash the college paper for bias. When I ran the editorial pages there, I'd ask these guys to submit op-eds. More often than not, they never got around to it. Changing minds requires hard labor, patience and -- how to put this? -- social skills. Self-righteousness and tribalism will always be easier than the humble work of persuasion, and thinking creatively about democratic politics. But it ends in futility and frustration. I wouldn't have understood that when I was 18 either. Posted at 01:09 PM JUMPING THE SHARK [Rod Dreher] Yeah Jonah, seems to me that The West Wing has definitely jumped the shark. It's just hard to get excited about it now, and post-two-days-ago, it seems even more anachronistic. Does anybody else agree with my that the Osbourne family is so five minutes ago? I got home late from work last night, just in time to catch the last five minutes of Baba Wawa's interview with Sharon Osbourne before the late local news. And I thought: Are they still here? Do people still care? How come? Posted at 01:01 PM LE STUPID PARTY [Rod Dreher] A well-connected Republican friend from Cajunland tells me that most everybody's excited about Suzie Terrell's chances against Democrat Mary Landrieu, but it would be a mistake to get too confident. "Never underestimate the ability of the Louisiana Republican Party to screw things up," he says. "There's already lots of infighting and vanity. We've got a hundred little Sen. Bob Smiths running around here." As if to underscore his point, the Louisiana papers today report that Mike Foster, the Republican governor, hasn't yet endorsed Terrell (Foster supported Rep. John Cooksey in the general election; Cooksey came out yesterday for Terrell). Tony Perkins, a religious conservative and the other Republican in the general, hasn't endorsed her either. Presumably, these Republicans want to beat Landrieu more than they want to nurse their grudges, or make the perfect the enemy of the good. So why aren't they acting like it? Posted at 12:46 PM WOOPS [Jonah Goldberg] That was meant for Stan, not Rod. Posted at 11:53 AM THREEFER [Jonah Goldberg] I couldn't figure out why, all of a sudden, I was getting all of this email about a Corner post from almost two weeks ago. Well, here it is. Michelangelo Signorile is mad at me. Posted at 11:39 AM ON THE OTHER HAND [Jonah Goldberg] Rod, there's another danger to conservatives trying to get minority or diversity representation: they might start to believe it. College kids have a tendency to believe their own rhetoric. I don't know much about these specific examples, but it is indisputably true that campus conservatives have a problem with self-ghettoizing themselves. They get out of college thinking that being a conservative is an identity politics thing -- like being black, or gay or some such. That is bad for conservatives and makes it that much more difficult to get young people inside the institutions which need them. And, when they do make it into, say, the New York Times or Harvard or CBS news, they are dsignated as "conservative" journalists or professors or executives, i.e. their views can be discounted because "Joe's just a conservative...." Meanwhile liberal journalists like Dan Rather are simply "journalists" and therefor more expert and more objective. I'm all for conservatives being clever with campus politics, but it would be a shame if they start buing into the categorical thinking of the Left in the process. Posted at 11:37 AM SHOP THE NRO WAY [Kathryn Jean Lopez] If you haven't already, do explore the "NRO Marketplace." Next time you are sending flowers, need a present, or want to treat yourself, click here first. Posted at 11:26 AM MORE REASON TO CELEBRATE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Hillary's down on her chances for the White House? Posted at 11:13 AM A TREND? [Stanley Kurtz] We may be seeing a new campus trend. The other day, I reported that the Amherst student senate was flummoxed by conservatives seeking their own “diversity” seat. Now conservative students at Tufts are making the same request. Of course, the whole idea of “diversity seats” on a student council is ridiculous. But conservative students are being very clever to force these corrupt democratic bodies to face the consequences of their affirmative-action mentality. Posted at 11:04 AM WEST WING [Jonah Goldberg] It's simply a badly written show now. It used to be sort of the entertainment version of the New York Times, infuriating but intelligent. Now, it's like a DNC newsletter, dull, predictable and trite. Last night's episode was simply tedious. Aaron Sorkin made the dubious decision to peg this season to the 2000 presidential race. Unfortunately that race is old news and the West Wing's election has been thoroughly boring and arrogantly tendentious -- a terrible combination. It's also been increasingly unrealistic. The Vice President has been MIA and the electoral college was never mentioned. The idea that the President's political staff wouldn't care about such things is beyond implausible. For a while it seemed like West Wing had a chance to influence the political culture in a way favorable to Democrats, increasingly it looks like it will simply confirm the stereotypes about the Democratic Party: outdated, out-of-touch and too clever to be likable. Posted at 10:56 AM GOOD POINT [Jonah Goldberg] But he is a poor choice for Majority Leader so there is a nice consistency to it. Posted at 10:43 AM POOR CHOICE OF WORDS [Richard Brookhiser] Was anyone else offended by Trent Lott's saying, "Let's roll!" to describe the mood of the new Senate GOP majority? Would some pol have said "Remember Pearl Harbor!" before a vote on a rivers and harbors bill in December 1942? Posted at 10:37 AM THIS IS A JOB FOR THE WONDERDOG! [Jonah Goldberg] If only American dogs -- and Cosmo is all-American -- were allowed in Britain more easily, he could take care of this situation:"Everyone round here is living in fear...it's a vicious little thing. I'll never trust squirrels again." Posted at 10:19 AM INSTAPUNDIT'S IDEA [Jonah Goldberg] Glenn Reynolds want's the GOP to go after the music industry. Intriguing. Of course the chairman of the GOP is a former record industry lobbyist. Posted at 10:06 AM U.S. PICKING ON ALIENS--THOUGH NOT ALL THE RIGHT ONES [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Justice announced Wednesday aliens from Iraq, Iran, Libya, the Sudan, or Syria who arrived in the U.S. before Sept. 10, when we started fingerprinting people from those countries. Obvious question, again: And Saudis? Posted at 09:42 AM HERE'S AN IDEA [Jonah Goldberg] Enough of this inside-the-box thinking when it comes to the question of how we should generate revenue for NRO. I think if we charged $25 bucks a head for a tailgate party outside of Jim Jeffords office we could get several hundred or even several thousands of people. Make it potluck, we supply the beer, paper plates, platic forks and giant foam fingers we could all point at Jimmy while we shouted "You! You! You!" as he left his office. Call me crazy, but I think it's a winner. Posted at 09:32 AM K-LO ON J-LO [Kathryn Jean Lopez] How many times can Jennifer Lopez get married? This must be a first: Pre-cana marriage prep. classes were just reccomended for Jennifer Lopez and Ben Affleck (they are engaged, although J isn't quite yet divorced from her second husband)--by Katie Couric on network television. Posted at 09:15 AM ADMITTING WHEN YOU ARE WRONG [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Dick Morris revisits his bad predictions. Posted at 08:56 AM FRUM IN THE MORNING [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Don't forget to make David Frum's Diary a regular morning stop. Posted at 08:03 AM DIFFERENT WORLDS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Evidently Europeans (and the U.S. media) have a different reaction to this photo of President Bush than I do. Posted at 07:43 AM THIS ONE DEFINITELY CAUGHT MY ATTENTION [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The Bubonic Plague in NYC? Posted at 05:58 AM OF COURSE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Broward County still can't vote. Posted at 05:40 AM SOVEREIGN? [Andrew Stuttaford] According to the London Guardian, the CIA missile attack in Yemen 'violates basic rules of [Yemen's] sovereignty'. The Yemenis, however, don't seem to agree. Posted at 02:51 AM JUST SAY NO [Andrew Stuttaford] John Ashcroft reportedly sees these indictments as evidence of the "toxic combination" of drugs and terrorism. Perhaps, but an even more poisonous combination comes from the wildly profitable market for illegal drugs created by our narcotics laws and the money-making opportunities that it offers terrorists always looking for new sources of funds. Story via Instapundit, who notes that this is a reason "to get rid of the war on drugs". He's right. Uncle Sam's drug warriors have trashed thousands of lives and squandered billions of dollars in their pointless and self-defeating crusade. They are also now, it is clear, a growing menace to national security. It's long past time to say no to them. Posted at 01:51 AM "RIORDAN WOULD HAVE WON" [Ramesh Ponnuru] That's what Andrew Sullivan thinks. At least Sullivan doesn't fall for the trap of invoking the polls that show that California voters would have preferred him. Those polls certainly don't prove anything about what California voters would have thought about Riordan after an actual general-election campaign. The fact that Simon ran a flawed campaign has made some people forget about the poor political judgment and campaigning skills that Riordan demonstrated in his primary campaign. I suspect that Riordan would not have won, although a case can be made that Bill Jones might have been able to pull it off. Posted at 12:16 AM Wednesday, November 06, 2002 THIRD PARTIES [Ramesh Ponnuru] Jacob T. Levy has a round-up of races they affected. Posted at 09:56 PM "PRO-LIFE JUDGES" [Ramesh Ponnuru] I don't think that is, or should be, the goal of conservatives. Conservatives, whatever their view on the merits of keeping abortion legal, should want judges, whatever their view of those merits, who are willing to recognize that the Constitution does not authorize judges to bar restrictive abortion laws. I assume that's what Rod has in mind, too, but the shorthand is misleading and unhelpful. I'm also not sure that a Supreme Court nominee with the view of judicial power on abortion described above is a slam-dunk for confirmation just because Republicans have a majority of the Senate, by the way. Posted at 09:55 PM CRUNCHY CON BOOK -- WANT IN? [Rod Dreher] Amid all the election glee, don't forget to write me at crunchycon@aol.com if you would like to be considered for an interview for the book I'm writing on crunchy-conservatism (and if you don't know what that is, check here). I'm trying to build a database for when I start my interviews and research later this month. This is going to be a fun and useful project, and if you found the articles I've been writing about this phenomenon describe you and your beliefs and lifestyle, let me hear from you. Posted at 09:32 PM SUPREME PLEASURE [Rod Dreher] It is hard to know which of the many pleasures of last night's results to choose as one's favorite, but I think it's got to be the future of the federal judiciary, in particular the U.S. Supreme Court. It is now safe for Rehnquist, O'Connor and other possible retirees to go gently. Issues related to the sanctity of life -- from abortion, to cloning, to biomedical research -- aren't the most immediate (the war is), but are the ones with the potential to do the most long-term damage to our culture if the wrong side prevails. With a popular pro-life president in the White House and the Senate in control of his party (owing primarily to his labors), those who believe in what the Pope has called the "culture of life" stand perhaps our best chance ever at seeing our convictions made into law -- and upheld by a pro-life Supreme Court. Alas, the cynic in me can't help being tortured by thoughts of the excuses we may soon hear from Republicans, explaining why we can't have pro-life legislation and judges just yet ("In a time of war, we mustn't be divisive...," etc.). For now, it is enough to chant silently the mantra "Chief Justice Scalia," in the same jubilatory manner in which I invoked the happy phrase "Speaker Gingrich" on this day eight years ago. Posted at 04:15 PM NOW, THIS IS WORTH READING! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] CNN on CNN on Election night. Posted at 03:52 PM IN OTHER NEWS... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Winona Ryder guilty of grand theft and vandalism in Beverly Hills; acquitted of burglary. Posted at 03:06 PM SADNESS [Andrew Stuttaford] While America's conservatives celebrate, Britain's are busy committing suicide. TThe Daily Telegraph picks up the story. Posted at 02:50 PM POOR TOM [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 02:25 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH BEAUTIFUL STAT [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The National Organization for Women won three of the 18 races in which they endorsed candidates (courtesy of The Hotline). Posted at 02:22 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH "COURT-DECIDED ELECTION" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Ok, time for the major media/Dems (sorry to be redundant) to get over Florida. Florida is over--yesterday proved that in so many ways. So, sorry, the New York Times will have to find another phrase to describe the 2000 election. Posted at 02:20 PM WHERE DOES THE MONEY GO? [Andrew Stuttaford] Judging by this report, the EU's auditors don't seem to know. Note that the mystery appears to include funds paid to the Palestine Authority. Posted at 02:10 PM TWO THOUGHTS [Ramesh Ponnuru] 1) I guess all that voter intimidation paid off. . . . 2) The big winner in yesterday's election is clearly Mrs. Mark Pryor. Posted at 02:10 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH AL WINS BIG [Robert Alt] The conventional wisdom is that the Democrats emerge from yesterday's elections without a clear leader--without a winner. But an insightful Senate staffer I spoke with this morning reads the tea leaves differently: given the crushing defeat suffered by the Democrats, Al emerges as the new Democratic standard bearer. No, not Al Gore . . . Al Sharpton. As I suggested yesterday, the big story in a number of the races was the poor Black turnout for the Democrats. This combined with Democratic rumblings about the need to get back to liberal policies and to run true "opposition" campaigns is the recipe for Sharpton ascendance. Go Al go. Posted at 01:55 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH NO CHANGE! [Jim Robbins] Republicans have a schadenfreude thing going today, looking at the Democratic debris, taunting them that leadership changes are necessary -- McAuliffe must go, Daschle must be replaced, etc. But why mess with success -- that is, our success? Yesterday was a historic victory, and we should retain the services of those who helped us get there. The Democratic leadership must not change. It must stay exactly as it is. Let there be no purges in the opposition party, no renewed vigor under new management, let them just shrug and plod along under their tested, and bested, leadership. I think they have done a super job, for the GOP and for America. Posted at 01:53 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE MYSTERY OF THE ALABAMA GOVERNOR’S RACE [Quin Hillyer] Frankly, the closeness of the race was a surprise: ALL indications throughout yesteday were that Riley would win BIG. But, although Siegelman will try to fight the results below, they should stand. Republican Bob Riley wins Alabama governor's office by less than half of the skin of his teeth. Look for Siegelman to try a comeback, though, maybe for Senate in 2004. Baldwin County has certified a vote count which, combined with all other counties, give Republican Bob Riley an edge of 3,085 votes. Demo Gov. Siegelman refuses to acknowledge new totals. Stay tuned.... Posted at 01:51 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH RUSH... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...is replaying some of his fab NBC performance from last night. Can we repost some of last night's posts? Best of Ramesh, etc? Posted at 01:13 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH "EUROPEANS FRET" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] What's a cowboy on a high?, they worry. Posted at 12:53 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH DO READ... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...Kellyanne Conway, if you haven't already. Posted at 12:51 PM ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ..... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ....Security Council looking at a new Iraq resolution. Posted at 12:50 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH SAY IT AIN'T SO... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...some media elites had to "reduce" themselves to reading the Drudge Report for exit-poll numbers yesterday. Posted at 12:48 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE LEFT VICTIMIZES ITSELF [[Stanley Kurtz]] The Democrats’ secular sensibilities may have done them in. I seriously doubt that a memorial service for a conservative Republican under similar circumstances would have disinvited a Democratic vice president and turned into a political rally. The religious aspect of a conservative Republican memorial service--even one outside a church–-would have precluded that, just as respect for authority and a sense of patriotism would have made a slap at a sitting vice president unlikely in such a setting. The Wellstone rally was the “church of the Left” come to life. It’s partisanship was in pointed contrast to the generous comments of people from all parties about Senator Wellstone. You might also say that the rally was a bit like a college classroom, with a leftist sensibility simply assumed, and anyone not on the Left treated as an outsider or enemy. Living in a vacuum-sealed world of political self-righteousness, the Left is now a victim of its own cultural success. Posted at 12:44 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH NEW PREDICTIONS! [Jim Nuzzo] OK-- question for all--which Democrat senators will decide before the next cycle that it is time to retire now that they are in the minority and maybe there for some years? Posted at 12:32 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH A LOCAL NOTE [Richard Brookhiser] While all you eagle eyes were following the trends of the nation, I spent the beginning of my election night at the party of the candidate I supported for governor of New York--Tom Leighton, of the Marijuana Reform Party. Mr. Leighton, thin, bespectacled, grey-ponytailed, and well-spoken. He has the air of permanent grad student at some large liberal university, except that he also has a sense of humor. The party was held in a room at the Chelsea Hotel, New York's White House of Weird for decades. One celebrant asked if he could smoke tobacco. Sure, the candidate said, anything but cigars. But that's all I have, the smoker complained. I can't ask people to put up with cigar smoke, Mr. Leighton said. What a country! One of the founders of the Marijuana Reform Party was not present. He was a firefighter who died in Tower One. A fire hat with his picture in the brim sat on the mantel. What a country. Posted at 12:31 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH HOW MANY TIMES THIS WAS REPEATED? [Sarah Maserati] Voting in person in Manhattan (as opposed to by absentee ballot, which is what I did all through college) woke me up to just how open our system is to voter fraud and shady dealings at polling places. There was a little snafu with my registration, so I had to fill out an "affidavit" ballot. When the woman handed it to me, she explained that one votes down the columns, and, pointing to the Democrat column, explained, "The last woman I helped just filled this column down the line." It was a pathetic attempt, and it made me feel kinda dirty. They had nowhere for me to sit, so I filled the ballot out at a desk with some poll workers sitting around me, watching as I filled in all the bubbles. One of them said that she hoped Golisano got a lot of votes, that he could really "shake things up." No i.d. was required, none of the poll workers really seemed to know what they were doing-the whole thing was depressing, and a bit scary. Posted at 12:28 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH COURTSHIP TIME [Jim Nuzzo] Now that I have some time on my hands, I was leafing through The Almanac (and I don't mean the Farmer's) and noticed that one Zell Miller is up for reelection in 2004 (and last time he polled under 60%). Hmmmmm. I wonder if, after the complete takeover of Georgia by the GOP last night, the President might invite Good Ol' Zell up to Camp David for a "come-to-Jesus" meeting. Zell would look great in Bush Red, don't ya thiink? Posted at 11:37 AM FYI [Jonah Goldberg] I'm gonna be on NPR's Talk of the Nation from 2:40-3:00 (EST) today to make immature sounds with my armpit. No, just kidding (wink, wink), I'll be talking about the election. Posted at 10:42 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH S.D. [Robert Alt] It's official . . . sort of" The SD Sec. of State is reporting all precincts counted, with Johnson winning 167477 to Thune's 166949. Let the automatic recount begin. Posted at 10:26 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH WAHHHHHHHHHHH!! [Jonah Goldberg] These Democrats make crybabies look like John Wayne. Posted at 10:20 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THEN AGAIN [Jonah Goldberg] CNN is reporting that Johnson is ahead by only 550 votes with 99% in. There's one precinct left to report and it's allegedly a Republican one. Also, absentee ballots may not have been counted and they're going to have a recount no matter what. So, it's still mathematically possible that this will be -- definitively -- the worst day of Tom Daschle's life. Keep your fingers crossed. Posted at 10:10 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH NO "FREE" HEALTHCARE IN OREGON [ [Kathryn Jean Lopez]] The people have spoken. Posted at 10:07 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH TEA PARTY--NEXT STOP: YOUR STATE! [Jim Nuzzo] In the end the Massachusetts ballot initiative to completely eliminate the state income tax lost by only single digits. Tax-and-spend legislators throughout the country ought to take some caution from this--if Taxachusetts nearly lead another Boston Tea Party, it could happen in your state soon. Posted at 10:02 AM JONAH... [ [Kathryn Jean Lopez]] ...is a dear. And, by the way, you're going to love his Canada piece for NR, which we have been puttting to bed during this little election thing. Posted at 10:01 AM OH WELL.... [Jonah Goldberg] Looks like Thune is losing. Posted at 10:00 AM IF NRO EMAIL WHERE A POLL... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...numbers would be running terribly high to now boot Lott as presumptive majority leader. Posted at 09:55 AM TOO MUCH TIME IN FRONT OF A COMPUTER SCREEN CAN MAKE YOU SICK [ [Kathryn Jean Lopez]] NOW, hours later, they tell me. Posted at 09:53 AM THANKS AND CONGRATS [Jonah Goldberg] Go to Kathryn Lopez who -- I think -- did an astounding job rounding up, editing, providing, nurturing, authoring, organizing, constructing and midwifing our election coverage over the last few weeks. She remains the hardest working woman in Rock and Roll if by"Rock and Roll" you mean online journalism. Let's hear it for the girl! Posted at 09:40 AM [NRO Staff] GET 4 FREE ISSUES OF NATIONAL REVIEW! That's right: We'll send you 4 FREE issues of National Review at absolutely no risk to you. If you're impressed by National Review's superior writing style, analysis, and wit, we'll send you the next 12 issues for a total of 16 in all! for only $19.95. Click here for details. Posted at 09:36 AM THINGS THAT MAKE YOU GO "HHHMMM" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The New York Times morning headline email has this as the quote of the day: QUOTE OF THE DAY "Rather than be a burden to you or the agency, I feel it is in everyone's best interest if I step aside now." HARVEY L. PITT,resigning as chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission.No offense to Pitt, the SEC, or the economy, but there was another story that, I think, trumps it. Posted at 09:29 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH WHY? [Allison Hayward] Things turned out much better than I'd expected. Why? Maybe it was turnout-- the rain. Maybe it was the fact that many Republican candidates ran like they wanted to win, and the president was behind them. Maybe its because in times of international peril and economic stress people prefer Republicans. Maybe its the Democrats dying a death of 1000 cuts as the tender coalition that make up the party deteriorates. I tend to think the result arises from the accumulation of lots of little local breaks in the GOP's direction. In our glee we shouldn't forget some of the things that went wrong. New Jersey. Certain weak incumbents and open seat candidates that required more attention than they should have. Monday I had a very bad feeling about North Carolina -- apparently unjustified -- when I'd read that Dole spent the Sunday before the election "running personal errands." It will be a different Republican Senate, too. We've replaced Strom Thurmond with Lindsay Graham, so the fertility rate will fall if nothing else. And Jesse Helms is replaced by Elizabeth Dole. Sigh. Oh, it will be a different Republican House too. No Connie Morella. I think I can hear my friends in the Maryland suburbs cheering Posted at 09:26 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH GOP GAINS IN DIXIE [John Hood] Among the good news for Republicans last night was that the party’s favorable trend in the south seems to have returned after some reversals in 1998 and 2000. Not only did Perry win election in Texas and Bush win reelection in Florida, the first Republican governor to do so in the Sunshine State, but Republican candidates took over Democratic governor’s offices in South Carolina and, in a stunning upset, Georgia. Only in Tennessee did a Republican gubernatorial seat go to a Democrat, but that was actually a codifying of the conservative trend in some ways because the outgoing GOP governor had proposed a tax hike that even the incoming Democratic governor was against. I’ll do more counting later, but it also looks like Republicans gained seats in several Southern legislatures, though not enough to take any chambers away from the Dems. Finally, there is a real nail-biter down in Alabama, with both incumbent Democratic Gov. Don Siegelman and Republican challenger Bob Riley claiming victory in what promises to be a Florida-like imbroglio (a good summary of the controversy can be found here). Posted at 08:56 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH MORE ELSEWHERE ON NRO [Kathryn Jean Lopez] David Horowitz, Laura Inghram, Peter Du Pont, David Horowitz, David Rehr, Mark Levin, David Limbaugh on the election. Posted at 08:53 AM GO DIGGER! [Jonah Goldberg] Digger Romano (Missouri Green Party Senate candidate) got .6% of the vote last night. That's nearly twice what this analyst would have predicted. Posted at 08:53 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH RALLY AROUND THE BUSH [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Dick Morris (hey, everyone makes bad predictions now and again!) writes on the Bush rally. It's the leader, stupid. Posted at 08:47 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH DEM TRAP [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Byron York's analysis. Posted at 08:42 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH WOW, AGAIN [Ramesh Ponnuru] Republicans retained a majority of governorships. Nobody thought that was possible. Posted at 08:39 AM DAVID FRUM'S FIRST "DIARY" ENTRY [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Enjoy it here. Posted at 08:01 AM DAVID FRUM [Jay Nordlinger] Readers of NR and NRO are very lucky: David Frum has joined us as a contributing editor. He'll write a column for the magazine--on the back page--and he'll write a blog for NRO. David Frum, as our readers know, is one of the smartest, most imaginative, and most distinguished writers in all of conservativedom. He worked at the Wall Street Journal and wrote a string of books, the first of which was Dead Right, a sensation. He spent the first year of the GWB administration as a speechwriter in the White House. And he has just finished a book called The Right Man: The Surprise Presidency of George W. Bush. I might mention, also, that David is married to the terrific writer Danielle Crittenden, and that they have a happy brood in Washington, D.C. As I said, good news for NR and NRO. Enjoy. Posted at 07:58 AM DO WE HAVE GOOD NEWS FOR YOU... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...even better than the wins last night... Posted at 07:55 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH FOR THE RECORD... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...liberal media types seem to be conceding that the Wellstone Democratic convention last week did Mondale in. Posted at 07:39 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH AND... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...the Lame Duck Majority Leader is saying the S.D. seat will go Dem, but weeks from now. Posted at 07:19 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH TOM DASCHLE... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...says the election was a referendum on the war, taking people's minds off all those Dem. issues (Today). Posted at 07:18 AM FOR REAL [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A change of pace: Nicole Kidman defends her former marriage to Tom Cruise. Posted at 07:08 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH TOO CLOSE TO CALL STILL [Kathryn Jean Lopez] South Dakota. Posted at 07:07 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH COOL [Jim Nuzzo] Well, I just work up. I checked my newspapers. I didn't just dream it. Wow....... Posted at 06:41 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH "PROPHETIC" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A colleague who may need some sleep used that word to describe this little K-Lo piece from Monday. I'm just tired enough to play along. Posted at 06:19 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH SWEET [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Coleman has won. Posted at 06:12 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH PRO-ENGLISH LEADER WINS IN IOWA [Jim Boulet] Iowa's State Senator Steve King, the leader of the state's official English effort, was elected to Congress. Posted at 05:54 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH PREDICTION [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Yesterday will be the final nail in West Wing's coffin. Posted at 05:54 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH DAVID BROOKS... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...says "wow." Posted at 05:53 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH ANYONE KNOW WHEN NBC CALLED MISSOURI? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I have a few of these?: "MSNBC just called Missouri for Talent, it’s 3:20 am EST!!!! Did they miss her concession speech?" The Corner called it much earlier! Posted at 05:52 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THINGS ARE UGLY... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...in Alabama. Posted at 05:33 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE MARKETS [Ramesh Ponnuru] I see Reuters is way ahead of me. Posted at 04:52 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH JUST A HUNCH [Ramesh Ponnuru] I'll bet tomorrow will be a good day in the markets, especially in the morning. Posted at 04:45 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE RED AND THE BLUE [Ramesh Ponnuru] It's interesting that while this was a red-state election in the Senate, both in the sense that the races were disproportionately in red states and it appears to have mattered, it was in dark blue states that the GOP's gubernatorial wing showed surprising strength: Vermont, Massachusetts, Maryland, Rhode Island, and maybe Hawaii. Posted at 04:44 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH KIND OF AMUSING [Ramesh Ponnuru] ...that the one race where Democrats took a Republican Senate seat, they did it on the basis of social conservatism. Posted at 03:09 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH HEARING... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...no solid final numbers in Minnesota for an hour. See ya! Posted at 02:35 AM [NRO Staff] GET 4 FREE ISSUES OF NATIONAL REVIEW! That's right: We'll send you 4 FREE issues of National Review at absolutely no risk to you. If you're impressed by National Review's superior writing style, analysis, and wit, we'll send you the next 12 issues for a total of 16 in all! for only $19.95. Click here for details. Posted at 02:31 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH NOT TOO LAME [Jim Robbins] Kat, funny thing about that lame-duck session. The balance will also be affected by the fact that Jesse Ventura appointed an Independent to Wellstone's seat. He was going to appoint a Democrat, but after their shameful performance at the Wellstone funeral, he thought he'd teach them a lesson. Let the judicial confirmations commence! Posted at 02:27 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH TALENT AND LIFE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Fox highlights abortion as one of the top three issues for voters in Missouri. National Right to Life Committee's Douglas Johnson tells NRO: "It would certainly be fair to say Sen. Carnahan was defeated on the pro-life issue." Posted at 02:23 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH REMEMBER... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...Talent adds his, yeah, talent, to the lame-duck session--he'll be seated immediately. Posted at 02:18 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH TALENT WINS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Did CNN really call that one after Carnahan conceded? Posted at 02:08 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH MINNESOTA [Ramesh Ponnuru] Republicans knock off a Democratic incumbent in the House, pick up the governorship from the Reform party, and look likely to win the Senate race. The surge that began in '98--but was disguised by the Ventura win--continues. Posted at 02:07 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH MRS. CARNAHAN... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...is conceding. Nice. Posted at 02:06 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH ALAS... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...California projected for Davis. Posted at 02:06 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH END OF THE CLINTON ERA [Jim Robbins] Remember a few months back when the buzz was about all the Clinton Administration alumni who were seeking office, how we were going to see some kind of referendum on the Clinton years in the wake of the "stolen" election? Reno and Reich never made it to the general election. Bowles lost. Richardson won, but he was a congressman before his service to Clinton, so he wasn't particularly beholdent. A few other lower level Clinton admin. has-beens also lost. Yet Jeb Bush won handily, as did Catherine Harris, and the generally pro-GOP drift of the evening speaks for itself. Just wanted to do a little reality check on that "Clinton wing resurgent" thesis. And there is of course Clinton's hand picked DNC chief Terry McAuliffe, whom I hope will continue in his job for years to come. Posted at 02:05 AM WHAT TO LOOK FORWARD TO [Kathryn Jean Lopez] David Frum, Dick Morris, David Horowitz, Laura Ingraham, many of your NRO favorites, and more in a few hours on NRO. See you then! Posted at 02:04 AM NAP TIME [Kathryn Jean Lopez] See you in a few hours. Thanks for sticking with us. Posted at 02:02 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH RE PATAKI [Jim Boulet] Que sera sera, but as I noted for NRO last year: "I suspect linguistic pandering will be a bipartisan occupation. Never mind that this sort of thing is an insult to the many immigrants who have undertaken the hard work of learning English." Posted at 01:56 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH ROCK ON!! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] FOX just gave Missouri to Talent! Posted at 01:54 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE BEST THEY CAN DO [Ramesh Ponnuru] The New York Times on the election: " Our best hope, as this strange and messy year of decisions ends, is that the people who have won will always remember the large number of hands that were waving on the other side." No doubt they would have said the same thing after a clear Democratic victory. Posted at 01:46 AM RESULTS!! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A loyal Corner reader: I just plunked in my $50 And for the first time all evening, Thune has pulled ahead of Johnson. Posted at 01:46 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH ANOTHER BITE AT THE APPLE? [David Guenthner] Unlike when Bush was governor, the Republican landslide carried all the way down the ballot. Republicans added three seats in the Senate and look like they gained at least 15 seats in the House. Republicans now have a 19-12 edge in the Senate and at least an 87-63 edge in the House. With a Republican lieutenant governor and a Republican speaker, the possibility now opens that Texas will visit congressional redistricting next year. (The Legislature never attempted to craft a bill in 2001, meaning that they can do so next year.) If the R's can cobble a coalition to pick up two D votes in the Senate, they can pass a modified version of Majority Leader Tom DeLay's redistricting bill, which would bolster the Republican congressional majority by four to six seats. Posted at 01:45 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH CT SIGNS [Jim Nuzzo] Both of the congressmen targeted by the Democrats as possible pick-ups in Connecticut-- Nancy Johnson and Rob Simmons-- had fairly easy nights. Simmons, a former CIA operative, is an up-and-coming congressman on national-security issues. Johnson, one of the House's war-horses, was pitted in a new Democrat-leaning district with another incumbent member. Their seats should now be secure in future races. Posted at 01:44 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH GO DIRECTLY TO THE STATES IN PLAY [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Minnesota. South Dakota. Missouri. Posted at 01:43 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH GO, BEGALA, GO! [Ramesh Ponnuru] Keep defending Terry McAuliffe! Make him DNC chairman-for-life! Posted at 01:43 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH HILLARY WINS [Rod Dreher] Tucker Carlson just said that after tonight, Hillary Clinton is the only Democratic national figure of any stature left. He says she's a winner tonight. Posted at 01:39 AM HERE'S THE PRIZED LINK [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Click here with credit card in hand. Posted at 01:37 AM HOW TO CELEBRATE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A reader, not me: "I'm guessing a lot of the Cornerites still up are, like me, in a pretty good mood. I was feeling expansive enough to make a contribution to NRO an hour and a half ago, but it's been that long since you've had the link on top. Maybe it's time you should post it again!" Posted at 01:36 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH NOTE NOW [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Ari: "No matter how it ends up tonight, history has been made. " It will be spun differently by others, no matter how it ends up. Posted at 01:33 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH PRESIDENT BUSH... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...and Mrs. Bush were "beaming with pride" watching Jeb's speech, Ari says. Posted at 01:28 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH YOU DON'T... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...hear press secretaries this chipper at 1 in the morning this often. Posted at 01:27 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH ARI SAYS… [Kathryn Jean Lopez] At a wee-hours press conference just now: “President Bush and the Republican party tonight have made history…By all accounts the night is going very well.” (Republican party gains seats in the House in the president's first middterm election, maybe even in the Senate.) Posted at 01:23 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH LIBERTARIANS [Ramesh Ponnuru] There's a chance they could cost Republicans the Wisconsin governorship. The Ls are running Ed Thompson, the former governor's brother--I wonder if some voters are confused. . . . If there are any other races that the Libertarians cost the Republicans, I'm sure John Miller will inform us pretty soon. Posted at 01:21 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE INTRA-INCUMBENT RACES [Ramesh Ponnuru] Republicans went 3 for 4 in races where two House incumbents of different parties were thrown together. Not to be a broken record, but the one Republican who lost signed a pledge to oppose private accounts for Social Security. Posted at 01:18 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH SIMON UPDATE [Ramesh Ponnuru] Before people get too excited about Simon's appearing to be up, note that only 6 percent of San Francisco County is in and Simon's losing it by almost 50 points. Posted at 01:13 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH WELL... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...not tomorrow, unfortunately. Lame-duck h*ll first... Posted at 01:13 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH ALL OVER [Rod Dreher] CNN's Jonathan Karl quoting a "top Democratic operative very close to Daschle" saying that it's all over, Daschle will be the minority leader tomorrow! Posted at 01:12 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH GO, SIMON! GO, SIMON! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Juan Williams: "If Bill Simon really does win in California, a lot of those Hollywood liberals really will leave the country this time." Posted at 12:56 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH LIFE IN THESE UNITED STATES [Rod Dreher] CNN reporting that in Ohio 17th, Traficant won 15 percent of the vote tonight. Posted at 12:52 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH YET ANOTHER CLUB FOR GROWTH WIN [Ramesh Ponnuru] Mark Sanford will be the governor of South Carolina. Posted at 12:50 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH COLEMAN... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ..just said about the same thing to his peeps. Posted at 12:46 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH NO CONCEDING [Rod Dreher] "This is gonna be a long night. Just stay on your feet, and we'll be back." -- Mondale, just now on CNN, to his supporters. Posted at 12:45 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH GORE WINS BIG TONIGHT? [Rod Dreher] Bill Kristol, just now on Fox: "For the Democratic base unhappy with this election result and unhappy with their Congressional leadership, Al Gore is a much stronger candidate after tonight." Posted at 12:44 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH TERRY, FIND A NEW JOB [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Drudge just posted sweet flashback: NBC’s Tim Russert: Now, you said in The New York Times last week, “Jeb Bush is gone.” You want to take those words back? McAuliffe: Of course not. I’ve very excited about what’s going on in Florida. Russert: He’s going to lose guaranteed? McAuliffe: Yep. That is why the president was down there yesterday for his 13th visit. People in Florida are energized. They’ve already started the early voting. And if you look at Broward and Dade counties, there are lines already, huge lines, people--record vote coming out in Florida... we are going to win Florida which is going to set us up, Tim, very nicely for 2004. (NBC’s “Meet The Press,” November 3, 2002) Posted at 12:39 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH A GOOD NIGHT FOR RALPH REED [Ramesh Ponnuru] Don't you think? Posted at 12:37 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH CARVILLE AGONISTES [Rod Dreher] James Carville is utterly disconsolate tonight. He appeared on "Nightline" with a trash can on his head. A few minutes ago on CNN, Bob Novak said that love them or hate them, you know what the Republicans stand for, but nobody knows what the Democrats stand for. Responded a clearly disgusted Carville, "You are not just right on ideology, you're right politically. The Democratic Party is a party in search of anything." Posted at 12:36 AM AP CALLS FOR ALLARD [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The list grows in the GOP column. Posted at 12:25 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THANK YOU, DRUDGE REPORT [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Lovely image. (That's Jim Carville with the trash can on his head.) Posted at 12:16 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH ON THE OTHER HAND [Ramesh Ponnuru] Adam Taff, a private-account supporter looking to knock off Democratic incumbent Dennis Moore in Kansas, has lost. Posted at 12:07 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH TOP GOP-ER ON THE SITUATION IN THE HOUSE RACES [Rich Lowry] "We will almost certainly pick up seats." Posted at 12:07 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH BUMMER [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Thanks to redistricting, Eliot Engel is now my rep. Posted at 12:02 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH SOCIAL SECURITY ADDENDUM [Ramesh Ponnuru] Forgot to mention Ann Northup, the Kentucky republican House member, who supported private accounts, was attacked for it, and turned the tables on her opponent by charging that he was going to raise taxes to finance an unreformed Social Security. She won. . . . And Shelley Moore Capito, another supporter, just won in West Virginia. Posted at 12:02 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH OPTIMISM [Jim Nuzzo] Hey, I know that it's only with 10% of the vote tabulated but, has anyone noticed that Bill Simon is down by only one point? Posted at 12:01 AM Tuesday, November 05, 2002 ELECTION 02 FLASH HERE'S THE BALLGAME [Rich Lowry] Colorado. If Republicans hold Colorado there is no way they can lose the Senate tonight. If they pick-up one of the three--MO, Minn, SD--they win control outright. If they don't, they still get a shot in December in the LA run-off. Posted at 11:51 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH LIBERTARIAN--TO A POINT [Rod Dreher] The ballot initiative to legalize pot in Nevada has failed, and the ballot initiative to ban gay marriage in Nevada has passed for a second time, meaning gay marriage will be unconstitutional there -- in a state that has legalized prostitution. Posted at 11:48 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH DECEMBER 7, 2002 [Rod Dreher] That's the runoff day in Louisiana, and it looks like Mary Landrieu will have to be there. With 90 percent of the vote in, she's only at 46 percent, and will almost certainly have to meet GOP'er Suzanne Terrell in the runoff. This is great news for the Republicans. Landrieu won her seat by 6,000 votes six years ago, so she's barely legit with voters. And President Bush is very popular in the conservative state. He didn't campaign in the Bayou State this fall (there were three GOP candidates in the state's weird open primary system), but now that there's going to be one Republican running, The president will probably be spending much of the next month rallying the troops in Louisiana, and it's going to pay off big. Laissez les bon temps rouler! Posted at 11:47 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH UNHAPPY CHICKS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Kate Michelman can't be very happy tonight. The likes of NARAL invested a great deal in this election. Posted at 11:45 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH SOCIAL SECURITY [Ramesh Ponnuru] Contrary to what you may have heard, very few Republicans repudiated private accounts on the campaign trail--only around 5 of them. The two candidates private-account supporters were most concerned about--Toomey and Dole, in order--have both won. Chris Chocola, a personal-account supporter in Indiana, won his race. Sununu won in a race where his support of personal accounts was a major issue. As for the Republicans who ran from private accounts, at least two of them--Forrester and Soaries in New Jersey--have lost (in contrast to Garrett, an account supporter who won). Posted at 11:44 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH INITIATIVE! [Jim Nuzzo] Income Tax repeal in Massachusetts is down by only 7 points. English immersion has won by almost 2:1. Posted at 11:41 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH DEAN IN THE DUMPS [Jim Nuzzo] Howard Dean, the outgoing Vermont governor and, believe it or not, candidate for president, said that he just can't understand why the Democrats are not winning in the Green Mountain State. Yo, Howard, it's called democracy. Posted at 11:40 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE LIGHTS IN GA. [Rich Lowry] A Georgia operative says three things were key in big GOP night in GA: 1) Bush. 70% approval rating in the state. He hit two cities on his final visit, probably worth-3-5 points to Republican ticket. 2) Republicans ran as a team with a Contract-style "Declaration of New GA"; 3) An extensive and extremely aggressive ground game. Posted at 11:39 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH HEY RAMESH... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...I agree with you and Byron, but can we take Kudlow optimism pills for a little? The night is still young. Posted at 11:38 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH TOP GOPER [Rich Lowry] "Talent's going to win. All the results in so far are from Carnahan's territory." Posted at 11:32 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH HOW SNIPPY [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Texas Sanchez, in his concession speech: "I am going to give them hell until the last vote has been counted." Posted at 11:31 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH AS FOR MORELLA [Ramesh Ponnuru] As long as the House stays Republican, I don't see why conservatives should care if she loses. Posted at 11:29 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH WHITHER THE INCOME TAX? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Instapundit points out a amazing race rolling in in Mass. Posted at 11:28 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH A KENNEDY... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...just conceded. Neat. Posted at 11:26 PM YOUR WISH... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A reader writes: "Please post the link for donations to Nat'l Review OnLine." You don't have to ask me twice! Donate to NRO. Posted at 11:25 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH ANOTHER CLUB WIN [Ramesh Ponnuru] Rep. Pat Toomey, one of my favorite congressmen, just won re-election in Pennsylvania. He's been championing personal retirement accounts in a senior-heavy district that, if I recall correctly, went for Gore. Posted at 11:25 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH DON'T TELL JIM BOULET... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...Pataki is giving a bilingual victory speech. Posted at 11:21 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH A CLUB FOR GROWTH WIN [Ramesh Ponnuru] Scott Garrett just won in New Jersey to replace Marge Roukema in the House. . . . Also, the Rs won the Rhode Island governor's race. (Ron Kaufman was telling me last week that the GOP would do better than expected in governor's race, and I wrote it off as spin. Silly me.) Posted at 11:20 PM MORE WISE READERS! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Another writes: "Same here! You're like 'Breaking News' for conservatives! Count my subscription!" Posted at 11:16 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE? [Jim Nuzzo] Please don't wake me, because if this is a dream, I don't want to wake up. It looks like Rhode Island, yes, Rhode Island may have a new Republican governor--absolutely defying the pollsters. Posted at 11:14 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH IT'S "EARLY" IN THE NIGHT YET... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...says Dick Gephardt on CNN. Posted at 11:14 PM WISE READERS SAY... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] "The Corner tonight is worth an NRODT subscription. Mine has just been submitted." Posted at 11:12 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH VERMONT, TOO? [Jim Nuzzo] With nearly 50% of the vote in, Republican James Douglas is tied with Racine, his Democratic opponent for governor in Vermont. Got to be a good night if we can possibly win Vermont! Posted at 11:05 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH LOTTERY, IN MORE WAYS THAN ONE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] SOME LOCAL NY/NJ STATION IS GIVING CSPAN LAUTENBERG FEED...and right now half the screen is the lottery MegaMillions drawing. Must be a CSPAN first... Posted at 11:04 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH GOV RACES [Ramesh Ponnuru] ...are also looking better than people expected in GA, MA, and MD. This isn't 1994, but it'll do. Posted at 11:01 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE DRAWBACK [Ramesh Ponnuru] Republicans shouldn't get too excited about the prospect of taking the Senate, though. As Byron York pointed out earlier today, a 50-50 Senate would be a lot worse for the GOP this time than it was in early 2001. There's also the prospect of Lincoln Chafee (or other GOP Senators) flipping. And then there's the burden of being seen as in charge of Washington without really being able to do much. Posted at 10:59 PM IT'S ABOUT TIME... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...a subscription plug appeared!!! Someone has to pay for the overtime in The Corner! Posted at 10:57 PM [NRO Staff] GET 4 FREE ISSUES OF NATIONAL REVIEW! That's right: We'll send you 4 FREE issues of National Review at absolutely no risk to you. If you're impressed by National Review's superior writing style, analysis, and wit, we'll send you the next 12 issues for a total of 16 in all! for only $19.95. Click here for details. Posted at 10:56 PM KARL ROVE: NOT DUMB [Ramesh Ponnuru] It's early still, but it sure looks like a good night for the GOP. It may be the first election since 1994 in which the Republicans pick up House seats. Georgia, North Carolina, and New Hampshire all broke their way for the Senate. This may be the best Senate election they've had since 1996. Rove said a day or two ago that if the GOP did poorly, he'd be the one everyone would say was dumb. I don't think he'll have to worry about that. Posted at 10:55 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH CARVILLE ON CNN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] "Three candidates will let us keep the Senate: the Father, the Son and the Holy Ghost. I'm looking for some positive spin, but I can't find any." Posted at 10:53 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH NEW YORK'S INDEPENDENT [Rod Dreher] I've figured out how much money Tom Golisano spent per vote in his race for governor. $54 million for 307,000 votes comes out to about $175 per vote. Posted at 10:52 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH FLAUNTING IT [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Torricelli is standing with Lautenberg as he delivers their victory speech. AND when Laut mentions Forrester, the crowd boos. Laut is, well, a lout in response, egging them on. Posted at 10:48 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE NYTIMES SPIN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] THis is how a GOP victory is spun.... Posted at 10:41 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH ENGLISH TRAILING IN COLORADO [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Colorado's English immersion initiative is trailing in early returns 46%-54%. Keep in mind that Colorado now has provisional voting which may delay final results up to twelve days. Posted at 10:40 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH CAN YOU FEEL THE LOVE TONIGHT? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Tim Russert and Tom Brokaw are sitting listening to Rush Limbaugh give color commentary. Love it. Posted at 10:31 PM WE'VE EVIDENTLY... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...broken EU law. Posted at 10:29 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH ENGLISH WINS IN MASS. [Jim Boulet] With 25% of Massachusetts precincts reporting, English immersion is winning 71% -- 29%. The popularity of the Unz anti-bilingual education initiative was demonstrated during the October 29th debate when Mitt Romney, the Republican candidate for governor said "we need English immersion in our state" during his closing statement. Romney is currently up 52%-43% over Democrat Shannon O'Brien. Posted at 10:15 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH SO.... [Jonah Goldberg] So far it seems like the voters will be delivering a giant burning bag of dog poop to Jim Jeffords doorstep. We'll see but buy stick in Minnesota milk! Posted at 10:15 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH NOT BAD SO FAR... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Jim, break out the coffee...i'm feeling much better than i did this morning! Posted at 10:10 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH NEW HAMPSHIRE OVER [Jim Nuzzo] SHAHEEN CONCEDES --IS CALLING HIM NOW ROMNEY PROJECTED WINNER BY MEDIA OUTLETS Posted at 10:06 PM ARGH [Kathryn Jean Lopez] It's only 10 pm Posted at 09:56 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH O'BRIEN NOT SMILING [Jim Nuzzo] A source in the O'Brien camp called-- said that the word around the campaign is that she is now writing what he described as "not a victory speech." Posted at 09:51 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH N.H. LOOKING GOOD [Jim Nuzzo] Word from New Hampshire is that Shaheen is not doing as well in the Southern New Hampshire belt that any Democrat needs to be victorious. Also, some indication that she will not get the numbers out of Manchester, the state's largest city that she expected. Posted at 09:50 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH MAYBE... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...when Lautenberg resigns in a few months, Torricelli will take his seat. Posted at 09:43 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH TWO MORE TEXAS UPSETS? [David Guenthner] Charles Stenholm (CD 17) and Chet Edwards (CD 11) in very tight races with partial early voting returns Posted at 09:26 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH DOLE PULLS IS OUT IN THE END [John Hood] Elizabeth Dole has won the U.S. Senate race in North Carolina. Erskine Bowles reached his pinnacle a couple of weeks ago and never made up the additional ground. This is a good example of the national media trying to make a race competitive that never really featured a close, within-the-margin poll. Posted at 09:24 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH BACK IN BOSTON [Jim Nuzzo] The Romney campaign is very cautiously optimistic. South Boston, the home of the fabled Irish Democrat machine, is just about 50%/50%. Romney has won the blue collar town of Everett, the first time in anyone's memory that a Republican has done that. He lost Lynn, another blue collar community, by just 1,000, in 1998 Paul Cellucci, who went on to win, lost Lynn by nearly 12,000. Posted at 09:22 PM IN OTHER NEWS... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...Harvey Pitt has resigned from the SEC. Posted at 09:10 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH STOP THAT BOUNCE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Lautenberg is playing Bon Jovi's "Runaway" at his victory shin-dig. Among other things, what are the odds Laut knows who Jon Bon Jovi is? Posted at 09:09 PM I'M SORRY... [Jonah Goldberg] I feel partially responsible for the decline in the Voter News Service's prestige since NRO was one of the first to start reporting exit polls early. Now VNS is so frick'n cautious none of the news networks are willing to confirm that bears crap in the woods. Posted at 09:08 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH PAINFUL [Jim Nuzzo] VNS had better fix their computers for the next cycle-- I AM GOING THROUGH MAJOR LEAGUE EXIT POLL WITHDRAWAL !!! I agree with Ed Kilgore, hell, at this point I'd settle for some skinny on a Lowell, Massachusetts selectman race... Posted at 09:00 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH N.C. IS BEING CALLED FOR DOLE, AFTERALL [Kathryn Jean Lopez] CNN calls NC for Dole Posted at 08:55 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THUS FAR... [Jonah Goldberg] It's 8:51 PM and every important race called so far has gone the GOP's way. Not that any of you need me to tell you that. Posted at 08:54 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH PHEW [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Not a surprise, but good to know, all the same. Everybody's projecting a Jeb win. Posted at 08:36 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH MORE FROM TEXAS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Bexar County early voting -- first third U.S. Senate - Kirk 51%, Cornyn 47% Governor - Sanchez 50%, Perry 48% Travis County early voting U.S. Senate - Kirk 55%, Cornyn 42% Governor - Sanchez 48%, Perry 47% (BAD OMEN FOR SANCHEZ) Posted at 08:32 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH GOOD SPIN FROM N.C. [Rich Lowry] Positive spin from a Dole aide: "It's looking good. We're up in Wake County, which Helms never won, with about 90% reporting. We also got a good jump in early voting and absentees." Posted at 08:27 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH HOUSE UPDATE [Rich Lowry] Bad early news for House Dems--Northrup wins in Kentucky and Chocola running strong in Indiana. To take House, Dems would probably have needed to knock off Northrup and hold the Roemer seat that Chocola appears to be winning. Posted at 08:14 PM THANK YOU, THANK YOU, BUT... [John Derbyshire] Enough with the jokes, already. Unless anyone has an Arab joke in which nothing explodes. Posted at 08:14 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH CBS "ESTIMATING" LAUTENBERG WINS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 08:09 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH EARLY DALLAS COUNTY RETURNS [David Guenthner] U.S. Senate -Cornyn 55%, Kirk 44% (VERY BAD OMEN FOR KIRK, NO INDICATION OF KIRK CROSSOVER) CD 5 - Hensarling 63%, Chapman 36% Governor - Perry 57%, Sanchez 42% Republicans leading in all down-ballot contests Posted at 08:08 PM EARLY CLOSING, CONFIDENT WINS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] No surprises: Sens. McConnell, Warner, Rockefeller win. Posted at 08:05 PM MORE AL QAEDA ARRESTED? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Tunisia bombing (a synagogue) suspects held in France. Posted at 07:59 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH A VERY GOOD REASON TO WATCH CNN.... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...the Great Kate (O'Beirne) will be doing a tour of duty tonight (10-2, I think). Posted at 07:53 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH DEMS OPTIMISTIC ABOUT BOWLES [John Hood] I am told that North Carolina Democrats have access to exit poll information that at some point late this afternoon put Elizabeth Dole just one point above Erskine Bowles in the U.S. Senate race. They are greeting the information with cautious optimism. Posted at 07:39 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH A REASON TO STAY UP! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Katrina vanden Heuvel live this morning on CBS News's Up To The Minute from 2:00-4:00am. Posted at 07:37 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH KRISPY KREME “DOUGHNUT POLL” [Emmy Chang] Sent by a friend earlier today: Krispy Kreme "plans to conduct exit polls today" at two different TN precincts. At each of the locations, "boxes full of glazed doughnuts will be set up bearing the names of the major candidates for governor and U.S. Senate." Voters are "asked to take a doughnut from the boxes of the candidates they prefer." The polling "will take place from 7 a.m. to 10 a.m.--provided they don't run out of 'ballots' sooner" (Fontenay, Memphis Commercial Appeal, 11/5). Posted at 07:05 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH ANOTHER LATE COUNTY [David Guenthner] With early voting wrapping up the Friday before the election, counties strive to have their early ballots ready for counting on the morning of the election so that those results can be released within the first half hour after the polls close. But in Bexar County (San Antonio), only one-fourth of the 127,000 early ballots in Bexar County (San Antonio) had been verified as ready to be counted as of 2 p.m. Bexar County had been the subject of a federal lawsuit over its requirement that straight-party voters mark both pages of a two-page ballot in order to cast a straight-party vote. The ballot was corrected for today, and the Justice Department has retroactively precleared the two-page ballot, but it's still taking them quite a bit of time to verify those early ballots. Bexar County and Tarrant County are the third and fourth largest counties in terms of voter registration and are nearly identical in terms of early voting turnout. Taken together, you're now looking at 16% of the ballots in Texas that will be reporting very, very late. And because Bexar is more of a swing county than Tarrant and with a majority Hispanic population, the odds of a late call in the Texas Senate race have increased dramatically. Posted at 06:31 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH LIFE, DEATH & VOTING [Kathryn Jean Lopez] In one Texas polling place, voters wear protesctive garb to protect themselves from falling asbestos. Posted at 06:30 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH SIGNIFICANCE OF TARRANT COUNTY [David Guenther] On Tarrant County (Fort Worth), every statewide Republican candidate carried it by at least nine points in the 1998 general election. (2000 is irrelevant because the Democrats took a pass on the statewide races.) If John Cornyn is within about 40,000 votes or ahead minus the Tarrant County results, he will win. Posted at 06:13 PM ELECTION 02 FLASHLOUISIANA [Ramesh Ponnuru] It looks like Mary Landrieu will be below 50--and that the Republicans, combined, will out-poll her, which is a good sign for the GOP come December. Posted at 06:02 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH TEXAS TROUBLES [David Guenthner] Local officials are now saying that they should be able to get the recounting of ballots done there by 7 a.m. tomorrow. The ballot counting scanners at the polling stations were programmed incorrectly, with straight-ticket ballots being counted as a separate office and not being counted as votes for the candidates of that party. All ballots will be rescanned at the central polling location, which has a corrected program. But to re-scan more than 400,000 ballots, needless to say, is going to take a while. Posted at 05:58 PM ONE WITH MATT DRUDGE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] On Sean Hannity's radio show, he said, "I live life by instant messenger." Sounds too familiar. (I have little evidence Jonah is not just an instant messenger creation.) Posted at 05:44 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH LATEST # RUMOUR MILL [Rich Lowry] Johnson up slightly in SD, Coleman strong in Minn., Allard and Hutchinson pretty solid losers. Posted at 05:43 PM CRUNCHY CON: THE BOOK [Rod Dreher] So many readers who responded to my first crunchy-conservative article, the subsequent cover story for the magazine, and the exchange Jonah and I had in The Corner, said, "You really ought to write a book on this." Well, I'm pleased to report that there will be a book on this. I've got a contract with the fine people at Crown Publishing, and we're shooting for a release date in early 2004, at the start of the political primary season. Here's where you come in: the book will be part theory, but mostly journalism. That is, I want to know how those of you who consider yourself crunchy-cons think and live. Why have you made the choices that you have? How are you different from mainstream conservatives? What have you learned not only about conservatism, but life in general from living by crunchy-con principles? This book is going to be about real people, actual conservatives, not the cartoon versions from the Left and the Right. So let me hear from you. Share with me your ideas. Let me know if you (and your family) are willing to be interviewed for the book. The response last time was so overwhelming I can't possibly have begun to answer every e-mail, and I expect it will be this time too. But I promise to read every one, and who knows, maybe I'll be in touch. Let your crunchy-con friends know, too. Write to me at crunchycon@aol.com. Posted at 05:42 PM ISRAEL IS HOLDING ELECTIONS IN 90 DAYS... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...think our election will be over by then? Posted at 05:30 PM THE DAY THE MUSIC DIED [John Derbyshire] How can you guys be obsessing about some fool election when LONNIE DONEGAN'S DEAD? Posted at 05:28 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH AM HEARING... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...Voter News Service is saying there might be trouble with its numbers? Imagine.... Posted at 05:19 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH IF… [Rich Lowry] …Republicans win Minnesota, MO, and GA, and lose Colorado, Arkansas, and North Carolina, then—assuming no other surprises—it all comes down to a run-off in LA, where Landrieu appears to underperforming today. Posted at 05:18 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH HERE’S A SHOCKER [Rich Lowry] Largent could be losing. Posted at 05:16 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH TOP GOP-ER… [Rich Lowry] …tells me: “The numbers keep changing—they’re different between early and late in a big way. My sense is that the networks that paid for these aren’t going to use them, and just go with real results. Hope you got a good night’s sleep last night!” Posted at 05:10 PM DEALING WITH THE FALLOUT [Jim Robbins] As a Virginian, my main concern with the Maryland race is who will pay for the refugee camps when hordes of Marylanders begin to flee the Kennedy Townsend regime. UNHCR has to take a major piece of it. I think DC should also have to accept some of the refugees, as well as Pennsylvania. In the long run I think Virginia will profit from the influx of new citizens with the gumption to flee tyranny rather than live under oppression, much like South Korea, Taiwan, and West Germany did. The transition will be difficult, that's all I'm saying. Posted at 05:04 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH I’M TOLD… [Rich Lowry] …Matthew Dowd is blowing off the exit polls. Posted at 04:51 PM NO PANIC YET IN N.C. [John Hood] The early exit polling in Bowles-Dole is mixed, but don't read too much into it. State Republicans in 2000 and again in 2002 were more successful than Democrats in making use of the new early-voting system. Exit polls won’t capture this differential. Still, the last-minute Zogby trend in North Carolina — Dole up by 10 points — would seem unlikely to pan out. Posted at 04:37 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH OK, BEAR WITH ME… [Rich Lowry] …but this might be slightly better info. All the same that others have been saying—except, Hutchinson really close in Arkansas, Georgia dead heat, and Talent losing in MO. Meanwhile, Johnson looking good, but really, close in South Dakota. Terrell with a really solid showing in LA. Finally, Jeb in good shape, but still close, and Townsend (arrgh!) looking good in MD. Posted at 04:35 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH FRAUD IN BOSTON [Jim Nuzzo] Howie Carr, the populist talkmeister on WRKO, in Boston has video on his website the illegal actions in Boston voting booths. Great stuff. One of the Romney workers who was taking photos, according to Carr, was intimidated by a Boston cop demanding her camera. Posted at 04:31 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH FROM MY PRIOR… [Rich Lowry] …experience with exit polls, the idea that Hutchinson and Allard will lose by huge double-digit margins, as some are now saying, is probably wrong—but it is a very good sign that they will lose. Posted at 04:27 PM ELECTION 02 FLASHNC EXIT POLLS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Patrick Ruffini just reminded me that the North Carolina exit polls had the state too close to call in the presidential race. Final result: Bush by 14. Posted at 04:21 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH TOP GOP INSIDER [Rich Lowry] On Liddy exit polls: “The early one had her up, then the second one had her down. Who knows?” On what media is saying about exit polls: “They’re all telling me they have no faith in them this year.” On early exit that has Allard way, way down—like double-digit down: “It’s just ridiculous.” Posted at 04:15 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH [Rich Lowry] ...Sununu seems to be leading. I’m told that it isn’t exactly clear that Dole is losing—don’t ask me why. Posted at 04:07 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH EARLY DOWN ARROWS... [Rich Lowry] …also for Carnahan, Mondale, and Cleland. Posted at 04:03 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH EARLY DOWN ARROWS… [Rich Lowry] …for Dole, Allard, Hutchinson. Posted at 04:01 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH CORRECTION [Rich Lowry] I’m told it’s sunny in Houston—but maybe it will start raining later! Posted at 03:59 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH NETWORKS LACK CONFIDENCE IN VNS [Robert Alt] Networks are reported to have "no confidence" in early VNS numbers. Based on rumors I have heard about the early numbers, the networks have reason to be concerned. If this trend continues, we are all in for a very long night. Posted at 03:53 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH EXITS IN NEW ENGLAND [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Talk about a waiting game: I'm told one exit poll has Romney ahead by one, another O'Brien ahead by two. Meanwhile, in NH, Sununu leads by two points. Make of it what you will. Posted at 03:49 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH TONIGHT IN TEXAS [David Guenthner] Of the 7.8 million Texans registered to vote in Texas's 15 largest counties, more than 1 million cast their ballots by mail or during the two-week early voting period. For all 254 counties, the estimate is that 1.8 million ballots are already in the boxes. That means that, unless there is an even larger turnout than most analysts expect, more than one-third of the votes in this year's election will be reported shortly after the polls close. If a candidate falls behind more than about six to eight points in those early numbers, they can go ahead and concede. Posted at 03:34 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH ISN'T IT DEPRESSING [Ramesh Ponnuru] Rich, that conservatives are always rooting for low turnout? I don't believe in a theory of democracy that holds that it's fine and dandy to help yourself to other people's property as long as you've got a majority behind you. So I have no objection in principle to hoping that redistribution-minded people don't vote. But it's a bad position to be in. Posted at 03:26 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH CANDIDATE IN THE HOUSE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Mrs. Margaret Fitton, mother of National Review's own Elizabeth Fitton, is running for New York Assembly from Rockland County on the Right to Life line. We wish Mrs. Fitton the best of luck. To the rest of you: Don't forget to vote early and often (sorry, that's the Dems...). Posted at 03:09 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH MORE FRAUD [Robert Alt] After Fox reported this morning that a scheme to offer money for votes was quashed in Maryland, there are recent reports that the FBI is investigating allegations of vote buying in North Carolina by the Dems. Also, the AP is reporting that Mitt Romney's campaign filed complaints in Massachusetts after union officials walked into the booths with voters to tell them how to vote. Posted at 03:04 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH HIGH TURNOUT [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I'm told long lines in Boston. I can't read anything good into that. Posted at 03:03 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE WORD FROM TEXAS [David Guenthner] A programming error tied to straight ticket voting will force Tarrant County officials to recount all ballots using high-speed scanners. The early voting and mail ballot results may be released this evening, but the processing of the estimated 250,000 election day ballots may not be complete until tomorrow afternoon. Posted at 02:57 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH NC UPDATE [John Hood] Storm clouds are gathering across North Carolina as of mid-afternoon, but the predicted rain has been only a drizzle here and there. My information is that turnout looks pretty strong, albeit this can only reflect the few places where colleagues or reporters have been today. Elizabeth Dole’s campaign was brandishing the last Gallup and Zogby polls yesterday that had her up by 6 points, but then the Sunday-Monday Zogby tracker showed her lead growing to 10 points, creating exuberant GOP gossip throughout the morning. No Democratic professional I’ve talked to in the past two days believes that Erskine Bowles can pull it off. The question now in NC is control of the state legislature, which is very much up for grabs, and the outcome of a new 13th Congressional District that leans Democratic but has become unexpectedly close in the past couple of weeks. Posted at 02:56 PM FR. DOYLE: CLERICALISM WINS [Rod Dreher] Fr. Thomas Doyle, the canon lawyer who has been a tireless advocate for sex-abuse victims of Catholic clergy, has analyzed the revised Dallas sex-abuse charter and norms worked out by the Vatican and the American bishops. His view is mixed to (predominantly) negative. In summation, Fr. Doyle believes the Church hierarchy has managed to protect itself from true accountability: "As long as the issue remains heavily clericalized it will fall prey to the destructive force of clericalism. The bishops still have made no moves to look into their own responsibility for the entire debacle. The repeated apologies have nothing to do with an objective, probing and complete study of why the exercise of episcopal authority has allowed thousands of men and women in our Church to have their bodies and souls raped and brutalized by clerics. Until this happens the matter will never be anyting but an ever-growing cancer in the universal Church." Read the entire Doyle document, with his detailed analysis, at both Amy Welborn's site and Mark Shea's blog -- both of whom will no doubt feature a robust discussion on their comments sections. (N.B., Welborn and Shea are the Chesterbelloc of Catholic blogdom). Posted at 02:53 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH MORE SKINNY [Rich Lowry] GOPers say big turnout in New Hampshire—not a good sign. Posted at 02:44 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH I LOVE LOUISIANA POLITICIANS [Rod Dreher] In light of the fact that Edwin Edwards is finally in jail, and that I don't have to live under the governance of the Louisiana legislature, I feel a certain nostalgia for the colorful politicians my home state produces. Here's a fine example . It's the website of an obscure U.S. Senate candidate, an independent called Live Wire Landry. Were I in Louisiana, I would vote for the Republican who stood the best chance of making the runoff with Mary Landrieu, the Democratic incumbent. But admiring Live Wire's manly mullet, his unironic stare, and his martial campaign slogan ("Let's drop a bomb on Saddam"), I would have been tempted. Anyway, south Louisiana has a tradition of electing politicians with nicknames. I remember driving the future Mrs. Dreher around the bayou on her first trip to the Great State, and we passed a raggedy sign tacked to a telephone pole, reading: VOTE NEEDLENOSE FONTENOT FOR POLICE JURY. "Needlenose?" she said wryly. "Hell yeah!" I said. "If he used his real name, nobody would know him." Needlenose Fontenot, God bless you wherever you are. Posted at 02:34 PM FOX TONIGHT [Rich Lowry] I’ll be on Fox tonight, late—later than Jonah on a magazine deadline, later than an insomniac Corner post by Kathryn, I’m talking really late… Posted at 02:32 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH BACK TO THE FUTURE [Jonah Goldberg] Glenn Reynolds (AKA Instapundit) has a good piece at TCS on the good old-fashioned paper ballot. It fits nicely with my longstanding cranky opposition to virtually all technological innovation when it comes to voting. I'm against voting by mail, voting by internet and, one day, voting by telepathy. Reynolds notes that the best thing about voting machines is that they are fast. The worst thing is that they are less efficient and accurate. And for some reason we think it's more important that votes be counted quickly than accurately. But who says that votes need to be counted quickly? I know we in political obssesive land think we have to know everything right away, but how is democracy cheapened by waiting a day? And, I will ask again, how is democracy enriched by making it easy for people to vote who will only do it if it's no inconvenience at all? Posted at 01:40 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE SKINNY [Rich Lowry] In the finest NRO tradition of relaying every last scrap of election-day info and speculation, here’s what top Republican insiders are saying about the Senate at the moment, based on their soundings today: --Tim Hutchinson has lost—forget about it. --Bad weather in the South—rain in New Orleans, Atlanta, and Houston. Could be a turn-out depressant in key races in those states. --Optimism about Thune. No one believes the Zogby number that has 25% of Republicans supporting Johnson. --Allard’s last internal had him at 50%--for what it’s worth. Posted at 01:13 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH LESS-SURPRISING DEM GOSSIP [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The wish-list trifecta Terry McAuliffe's shop for today is the SD Senate seat, the Texas Senate seat, and the Florida governor's race. Posted at 11:59 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH MAYBE WE SHOULD GIVE THEM SOUTH DAKOTA! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Sources close to Tom Daschle's staff tell me that the office is "extremely emotionally invested" in the SD Senate race. Some staffers have said they would rather keep that seat than keep control of the Senate. Posted at 11:54 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH STILL MORE PREDICTIONS [Robert Alt] Without the aid of exit polls, here are my Senate predictions, which I attempt to explain here. The GOP loses in Colorado and New Hampshire (thank you, Mr. Smith). They hold on in Arkansas based on the Pryor's nanny troubles. The GOP picks up a seat in Missouri--Talent has run a good race, and the St. Louis is having bad weather today. The GOP picks up seats in Minnesota based on a poor showing in the absentee ballots for Mondale (causing many networks to misreport the race as a Mondale win, and leading to another round of lawsuits in Minnesota). Based on recent momentum and poor Black voter turnout, the GOP will pull out the win in Georgia. Final result: GOP +1, with Coleman and Talent both taking their seats to give the Republicans the majority for the lame duck session. Posted at 11:51 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH FINALLY: MY PREDICTIONS [Jonah Goldberg] The Canada piece is done. Okay, that's not true. But it's in NRHQ's hands. Whether they throw it back in my face, wrapped around a brick, remains to be seen. This has been the busiest few weeks I've had in years. I've been to Ohio, Canada, and London as well as to California twice in less than a month all the while I've had a pile of stuff to write, scads of stuff to do and a dog's insatiable desire to be placated to placate. I don't have to leave town again for two whole weeks and it feels great. So let me get back into the fray. First: my predictions. I am actually quite bullish. I think Coleman and Talent both win and -- if the weather stays bleak -- Chambliss might have a pretty good shot too. Cornyn will win but by a narrower margin than people expect. Hutchinson loses. I think a betting man would bet against Sunnunu, but I have hope because the down-ticket Republicans are very popular. And Louisiana goes into a run-off. Also, I predict that super-intelligent apes will never run the planet but we might discover that dolphins are incredibly intelligent, but despite those laughing sounds they make actually have no sense of humor whatsoever and are actually shockingly bigoted against their fellow mamillian sea creatures ("Orca scum" and such). We will also conclude that we must pay them for the crimes we committed against them when we were ignorant of their sentience, but fortunately they'll accept herring as currency. The term vegetarianism will disappear from common usage as biotechnology makes it possible to grow super tastey and healthy meat in huge industrial vats without ever harming animals. This will cause a massive slaughter of cows who cannot live on their own without human aid. The dolphins will encourage us to push the cows into the sea. Posted at 11:50 AM DEATH THREATS [John Derbyshire] Jonah: My own problem with e-mail death threats stopped around the time I posted my Suffolk County pistol license photograph on the web. Just a thought. Posted at 11:17 AM HAS NO ONE'S TIME PASSED? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Gary Hart wants to run for president again. Posted at 10:59 AM I MISPOKE [Jonah Goldberg] Just to be clear, most of the emails from CAIR are addressed to various advertisers -- and cc'd to me -- demanding that they drop their sponsorship of National Review. Those are generally polite though dishonest to the extent that most of these people didn't read the actual column. The ones addressed solely to me are also usually equally ignorant of what I actually wrote, but tend to be much nastier (though a few are polite)-- and often very poorly spelled. For example: I read your article. The only thing I would say about it is you are nothing but a sick fanatic and a Prejudice Jew. I hope god will destroy all people like you.Or... Gold, you probably Jew because you name GOLDBERG, why don't you wrap yourself with pigskin and lark. Probably you like to eat, since you have no religion, why are trying to use Christians since there no hatred between Christians and Muslims, unless Jew making Christians to fight for your stupid war, Jew use weak Christians like to destroy Muslim countries like Iraq, next will be Syria or Iran. Your dirty money is what America telling lies and showing hatred towards Islam and Muslims. Your stupid believes “we are choosing people” is lie and fabricated in the Christian bible. You hatred caused Hitler to kill your people for more than 5 million. In your life you will suffer because that is way you are. The sick person like you wants harm Islam and Muslims. You hate us we hate you. So what are talking about here, to tell your lies to good Americans and poisoned their brains them with your lies.Or... You were right at the end of your article. You are a pig and you come from pig people and pigs have no reason to live if they live like you. Posted at 10:39 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH MORE PREDICTIONS [Chip Griffin] GOP loses seats in Arkansas and Colorado. Picks up in Georgia, Missouri and Minnesota. Landrieu goes to a runoff. Sununu squeaks by in my home state of New Hampshire (I'm not completely sure if this last one is a pick of the head or the heart). Black turnout is key to the national results. I predict it will not be high enough to generate a true Democrat tide. (If it is, scratch the GOP gains in GA and MO, and TX would be in jeopardy, too. Maybe even NC.) Finally, I assume I'm wrong on at least one of my picks above, because I think the net result in the Senate is no change. Posted at 10:38 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH LAWYERS PACKING THEIR BAGS [Jim Nuzzo] The RNC has been recruiting lawyers to be ready, with bags packed, to take off tomorrow morning to points unknown to represent GOP candidates in ballot challenges. I just got an email asking me how they can reach me tonight to give me my travel orders, if needed. I'm hoping for Hawaii, but expecting South Dakota. Posted at 10:35 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH LAWYERS PACKING THEIR BAGS [Jim Nuzzo] The RNC has been recruiting lawyers to be ready, with bags packed, to take off tomorrow morning to points unknown to represent GOP candidates in ballot challenges. I just got an email asking me how they can reach me tonight to give me my travel orders, if needed. I'm hoping for Hawaii, but expecting South Dakota. Posted at 10:35 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH A LITTLE BRIGHTER FOR GOP [John Hood] Great piece on NRO today by Ramesh giving the lay of the land on gubernatorial races. Republicans can take some small comfort that expected losses in big states such as Illinois, Pennsylvania, and Michigan may be partially offset by GOP pickups in smaller states stretching across the country from New Hampshire to Hawaii. One potential Republican pickup that Ramesh didn’t mention, however, is in Alabama, where incumbent Democrat Don Siegelman is facing a strong challenge from Republican Congressman Bob Riley. The latest polls show Riley with a small to medium-sized lead. With possible GOP gains in some Southern legislatures, a pickup of the South Carolina governor’s seat, reelected GOP incumbents in Florida and Texas, and a possible defense of the Tennessee governor’s seat by another Congressman, Van Hilleary, Republicans in Dixie may feel better tonight than their counterparts nationwide. A sour note will be the expected defeat of Arkansas Sen. Hutchinson, who did it to himself. Posted at 10:18 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH LOW-TURNOUT WEATHER [Robert Alt] A lot of key races may be impacted by storms in the Midwest and South. For a rundown of weather in the key races, click here. Posted at 10:05 AM MINORITY STUDIES [Kathryn Jean Lopez] "Wealthy White Males" 101. Posted at 09:43 AM BAD PLANNING [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Today is the First Couple's 25th wedding anniversary. Posted at 09:28 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH DID I MENTION THIS IS GOING TO BE A LONG DAY? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Problems in Florida. Posted at 09:21 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE LATEST POLLS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Take your pick. Posted at 09:09 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH GOOD LONG-TERM NEWS FOR THE GOP? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Michael Barone says: "Currently, there is parity between the parties; the future electorate could be just a bit more Republican." Posted at 09:02 AM YOUR FRIENDLY NEIGHBORHOOD MUTAWA [Kathryn Jean Lopez] From the BBC: "Saudi Arabia's religious police should show 'leniency' and respect the people's privacy and freedoms, the Saudi interior minister has said." Who said the Kingdom wasn't humane? Posted at 08:59 AM [NRO Staff] GET 4 FREE ISSUES OF NATIONAL REVIEW! That's right: We'll send you 4 FREE issues of National Review at absolutely no risk to you. If you're impressed by National Review's superior writing style, analysis, and wit, we'll send you the next 12 issues for a total of 16 in all! for only $19.95. Click here for details. Posted at 07:26 AM MUST-SEE [Andrew Stuttaford] I don't know if this film is any good, but for its story alone it must be worth watching. Astonishing. Posted at 07:19 AM NO NEED FOR INSPECTOR MORSE [Andrew Stuttaford] Undemocratic, overreaching and suspicious of liberty: just another chapter in the developing EU legal system. Posted at 07:15 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH FOR THE RECORD [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Today is going to be a very long day. Posted at 05:56 AM WHY BOTHER? [Jonah Goldberg] Well, I'm home and I will be pulling an all-nighter possibly. My email box has about 200 CAIR emails. I don't want to read them, but there's always the worry that I might miss a death threat. CAIR folks sent them quite a few during the last brouhaha. And that's the rub. Not opening them means taking the risk that some serious fanatic or freak has sent you the head's up to something he's gonna do to me or my family and I might miss it. I know this sounds paranoid, but until you've gotten people writing you to say they want to kill you I think it's hard to grasp the feeling. It aslo makes me feel considerable contempt for the folks at CAIR who always insist that they encourage politeness from their members but must know that so many of them put a terrible face on their cause. I doubt they're psyched by actual death threats but they must know that their minions do not make for good poster children. Posted at 12:11 AM Monday, November 04, 2002 POSING THE QUESTION [Andrew Stuttaford] Here's a little more on that CIA missile attack in Yemen. CNN meanwhile is asking visitors to its website to vote on whether "the U.S. [was] right to execute terror suspects without a trial". Posted at 11:47 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE CORNER ELECTION CONTEST [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] Ramesh started us off--it's time for you to play the NRO prediction game. Here's what you do: Predict (final results) 1) the Senate split (example: 51 Republicans, 48 Democrats, and one Independent) 2) The House split (example: 222 Republicans, 210 Democrats, one Independent) 3) The vote split in the South Dakota Tim Johnson/John Thune Senate race 4) The vote split in the Arkansas Tim Hutchinson/Mark Pryor Senate race 5) The vote split in the Minnesota Norm Coleman/ Walter Mondale Senate race 6) The vote split in the Jeb Bush/Bill McBride Florida governor’s race Tie Breaker: Go where no Ponnuru has dared to go: The vote split in the New Hampshire Shaheen/Sununu Senate race. RULES: You MUST have your predictions in at 12 NOON EST Election Day. Send them to thecorner@nationalreview.com with the subject “Predictions.” Winner gets an NRO-logo-ed prize. Tabulations subjects to multiple lawsuit delays. Posted at 06:16 PM ELECTION 02 FLASHMOORE'S LAW [Ramesh Ponnuru] A while back, Stephen Moore--NR contributing editor and head of the Club for Growth--said this about the election: "If the market is below 8,500 the Republicans lose, if it's above 8,500 they win." Today's close: 8571.60. Posted at 05:45 PM SIX AL QAEDA DEAD [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] U.S. CIA drone kills al Qaeda suspects in Yemen. Posted at 05:08 PM ELECTION 02 FLASHUNCLEAR [Ramesh Ponnuru] About that New York Times poll released this weekend: It asked voters whether they thought that the Republicans (or the Democrats) "have a clear plan for the country." Maybe it's just me, but I'm just as happy not having either party have "a clear plan for the country." It sounds rather creepy. Posted at 04:56 PM HELP [Rich Lowry] If anyone has any specialized knowledge of this controversy over the Navy's new sonar system deafening and beaching whales, I'd love to hear from you. Thanks... Posted at 04:51 PM COLUMN FEEDBACK [Rich Lowry] Here's an e-mail from someone who didn't like my defense of landmines over at Townhall: "I have never previously read your magazine or material and now i know why. Go step on a bouncing betty, if you think they're so much fun, you contemptible little wanker." Here's an e-mail from someone who had a similar reaction to my recent attack on the ACLU: "Mr. Lowry...You are obviously too young to have the privilege of your own column. Too young to remember Hitler and Stalin." Posted at 04:50 PM ELECTION 02 FLASHTHE PREDICTION GAME [Ramesh Ponnuru] A friend of mine e-mails demanding that I play it. So okay, here are my Senate guesses. Republicans win 2 of Minnesota, Missouri, and South Dakota, and hold Colorado, North Carolina, and Texas. Democrats win in Arkansas and hold Iowa and Georgia. "Control" of the Senate hinges on New Hampshire (in other words, I can't figure that one out at all). Mary Landrieu (D., La.) faces a run-off in December. GOP up 2 in the House. I'm working on Gov. predictions. Posted at 04:49 PM CAIR, AGAIN [Jonah Goldberg] Once again CAIR has alerted its readers to NR perfidy. This time they're mad about Friday's Goldberg File and CAIR email subscribers are filling my mailbox with insults, threats and--very few--intelligent complaints. What's so funny is that every time I write something critical of the "Islam Means Peace" school CAIR readers respond with threats and disgusting insults. The CAIRites love to accuse me of ignorance, even though most never bother to read what I wrote, they just mindlessly follow the orders of CAIR's insipid alerts. I can understand opposition to stereotypes but you'd think CAIR would work harder at not enforcing them Posted at 04:18 PM JONAH COULD'VE BEEN A U.N. BUREAUCRAT [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] I took a friendly swipe at Model U.N.s in the context of criticizing the incessant slowness of the real United Nations. Many of you will enjoy this note I received over the weekend in response to it: Ms. Lopez, I was the MUN advisor at the Dwight School in NYC from 1986-90, where we had a young man (who later went on to fame and fortune in the world of on-line conservative journalism) who was so obnoxious as the UK rep in the Security council that the council voted to remove him. He of course vetoed the resolution. Posted at 02:48 PM YORK ON DA DEBATE [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] Byron York's piece on the Coleman-Mondale debate is up. Posted at 02:22 PM JONAH'S SPEECH THING... [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] ...sounds all Trilateral Commissiony (not open to the public). Posted at 01:22 PM THESE BOOTS ARE MADE FOR WINNING [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] Cowboys boots are bipartisan. Posted at 01:18 PM A ZERO FOR THE EURO [Andrew Stuttaford] In an article in today's Wall Street Journal former Fed chairman Paul Volcker is quoted as saying that he "used to be a Democrat years ago" but that he now is "kind of nothing." Maybe this explains why Mr. Volcker is now putting his name to pamphlets in favor of the UK signing up for the Euro. Posted at 12:15 PM W.'S DILEMMA [Stanley Kurtz] This is the dilemma that the president is about to face. Without Turkey and Saudi Arabia in our corner, an invasion is genuinely at risk. But a veto by France at the U.N. gives the Turks and the Saudis cover to back out. The Saudi’s look like they may back out regardless. But the president has already said that even in the absence of a U.N. resolution, we would invade Iraq. And as Amir Taheri’s article points out today, if there’s no invasion within the next few months, politics dictates that there may never be an invasion. So we’re about to undergo a colossal behind the scenes struggle with our erstwhile allies over the Iraq issue. And somehow, somewhere, something’s gotta give. Posted at 12:07 PM NOT ALL CLEAR [[Stanley Kurtz]] Once the election is over and the president can turn his full attention back to Iraq, he’s going to be facing a make or break moment. Amir Taheri makes it clear today, in his piece on NRO, that France’s Chirac is bound and determined to thwart an American invasion, with a U.N. veto if necessary. There are other problems with allies. The Saudi’s had said they would allow the U.S. to use their territory for an invasion if the U.N. approved a resolution. But the other day they backtracked and said that their territory could not be used. Take a look at a map. Basing in Kuwait alone is a serious problem for us. In The Threatening Storm Kenneth Pollack argues that an invasion of Iraq unable to use Iraqi territory is virtually unworkable. On top of that, the new quasi-Islamic government just elected in Turkey says that it will reluctantly aid America in an invasion, but only if the U.N. passes a resolution. Without the ability to use basing and territory in Turkey and Saudi Arabia, an American invasion would be on very shaky ground indeed. Posted at 12:06 PM DEBATING [Stanley Kurtz] I'm on the run and catching snatches of the Mondale/Coleman debate. It's great. Each candidate is doing very well. Mondale is aggressive and impressive. It's evident, however, that he has a bit of a tremor in his hand and in his face from time to time--just normal aging, but it will serve as an important message to voters. Still, Mondale is debating vigorously, and that may cancel the aging factor out. Posted at 12:01 PM VENTURA'S SMACKDOWN [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] Gov. Ventura will announce Paul Wellstone's successor for the lame-duck session at 10 AM, the same time Mondale and Coleman will be debating. Posted at 10:52 AM I'M OUT OF THE LOOP [Jonah Goldberg] This is a notice for you guys and Rich as well who will be sweating my tardiness all day. I'm in California today to give a speech (not open to public). And I also have to write (finish, actually) my Canada piece for the mag. So I will be away from the Corner and I will have no G-File today. (But, if you have some really good and specific examples of Canadian anti-Americanism you still have time to send them. But please, no more about Chretien immediately after 9/11 or that Thobani woman). And, no. I didn't see the Simpsons last night. But it sounds good. Posted at 10:18 AM BILL BENNETT TELLS IT LIKE IT IS [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] He's got the Democratic party's number. Posted at 10:08 AM PENN AGAINST MAN [Stanley Kurtz ] Anyone with an interest in higher education ought to visit Critical Mass, the wonderful new blog run jointly by Erin O’Connoer and Maurice Black. I go there frequently. I was appalled and saddened, but not surprised, by O’Connor’s recent posts on discrimination against male scholars at the University of Pennsylvania. This was a three part series, and they’re all worth reading. Go here and scroll up. Posted at 09:59 AM WHAT WE HAVE IN COMMON [Stanley Kurtz] In his newly released book, The Islamic Middle East, Charles Lindholm argues that Middle Eastern cultural patterns are closer to our own than you might think. There is actually a deep tradition of egalitarian individualism in the Middle East, even if it works out very differently than our own individualism. Personally, I tend to emphasize what differentiates Middle Eastern culture from our own-–especially the focus on extended kin groups. But those sorts of differences are grist for the mill. Lindholm’s book is a wonderful and accessible introduction to the social and cultural history of the Middle East. Lindholm is certainly not a political conservative, yet he’s always been a fearless and energetic opponent of postmodern-postcolonial excess. Lindholm’s creative use of classic political and social theory in the body of his work shows that good scholarship on the Middle East, outside the confines of the new postcolonial orthodoxy, lives on. Posted at 09:57 AM GOOD STUFF ON THE MIDEAST [Stanley Kurtz ] I spend plenty of time knocking American scholarship on the Middle East. Now let me say something nice about it. I’m pleased to recommend The Islamic Middle East, by Charles Lindholm, which has just come out in a new and revised edition. Lindholm, a Boston University anthropologist, was a teacher of mine at Harvard. His book is an excellent social and cultural history of the Middle East. I’ve found it helpful on any number of occasions. Posted at 09:55 AM MCCAIN IN CALIFORNIA [Allison Hayward] I am often critical of John McCain's positions on campaign-finance reform, as readers may know. But he should get credit for campaigning for Simon in California this last weekend. (I suspect it was due to implorings from allies in the state, rather than any newfound empathy for the Republican party or its interests). Davis's fundraising conduct is shocking by anyone's standard. McCain's presence in the state forces the press to talk about the issue. (I don't think it will tip the balance in the race, unfortunately.) Here's the LATimes story on the visit with the (probably unintentionally) hilarious statement from a Davis aide: ""No governor of California has done more to create transparency in California's campaign finance system than Gray Davis"" Oh, yeah, extortion is fine so long as you're "transparent" about it. Posted at 09:37 AM [NRO Staff] GET 4 FREE ISSUES OF NATIONAL REVIEW! That's right: We'll send you 4 FREE issues of National Review at absolutely no risk to you. If you're impressed by National Review's superior writing style, analysis, and wit, we'll send you the next 12 issues for a total of 16 in all! for only $19.95. Click here for details. Posted at 09:27 AM CHAOS ALIVE [Stanley Kurtz] The Eberstadt piece on AIDS, with its staggering, horrifying numbers, can’t help but provoke serious thought. Reading it, I was reminded how precious and fragile are our civilization and our prosperity, and how terrifying and humbling are the mysteries of life and death. The denial in which the leaders of the great Eurasian powers seem to be living is alarming, as is the dearth of public health research on the behaviors that spread the epidemic. At the end of the Cold War, three paradigms competed to make sense of the world–-democratization, clash of civilizations, and anarchy--collapse. Sadly, the Eberstadt article shows that the chaos model is still very much alive. Posted at 09:23 AM DIRE FUTURE [Stanley Kurtz] Nicholas Eberstadt’s article on Eurasian AIDS shows that, in even the most conservative estimates, within the next 25 years, in Russia, China, and India alone, another 66 million people could contract HIV, more than the total number of AIDS victims up to now. And these are conservative estimates. The high end estimates are almost inconceivable, running close to 260 million in China, Russia, and India alone. Over and above the catastrophic loss of human life, Eberstadt warns that the spreading epidemic could have serious economic and military consequences–-perhaps gutting the Russian economy, and turning the country into a third rate power and social basket case. Posted at 09:22 AM EBERSTADT ON AIDS [Stanley Kurtz] What is the greatest problem facing the world today? Islamic terrorism? Nuclear proliferation? There’s a good case to be made that the gravest problem of our day is the spread of AIDS. In terms of sheer numbers, the AIDS catastrophe dwarfs the Holocaust (although of course, intentional extermination is very different from disease). About 25 million people have already died of AIDS. Most of the 40 million people who now carry the disease are doomed. Now, in an important and disturbing piece in Foreign Affairs Nicholas Eberstadt warns that the epidemic may be about to take yet another quantum leap, as it spreads out of Africa and moves deeply into Russia, China, and India. Posted at 09:21 AM IS THAT AN NRO MUG YOUR COFFEE IS IN? [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] Why not? Buy one now, here. Posted at 08:53 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH BAD SIGN FOR ERSKINE [John Hood] The national media and pundits are saying that Democratic Erskine Bowles continues to close the gap against Republican Elizabeth Dole in North Carolina’s Senate race. Maybe. But a contra-indicator is how the two candidates spent their Sundays. Bowles sprinted across the state to speak to three black church congregations and campaigned furiously with actresses Alfre Woodard and Cicely Tyson. Dole, on the other hand, took most of Sunday off. She went to her hometown church, dropped by her campaign office, and then ran “personal errands” the rest of the afternoon. Was this hubris? Was it foolish complacency? No, I think it was a sign that Dole’s not-at-all naïve campaign aides think the GOP get-out-the-vote efforts are running smoothly. As one newspaper put it, on Sunday “Erskine Bowles preached and Elizabeth Dole prayed.” She doesn’t appear to be the one with a touch of hubris. Posted at 08:51 AM BIN LADEN'S M.D. [Kathryn Jean Lopez] U.S. officials question a prominent Pakistani surgeon. Posted at 08:49 AM WE'RE PEACEFUL [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Saudis claim their religion is one of peace. Posted at 07:43 AM AMERICANS ATTACKED IN YEMEN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Oil workers; injured only. Posted at 07:42 AM NO U.S TROOPS WELCOME HERE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Saudis reiterate their stand--no U.S. troops attacking Iraq from their soil even if a miracle happens and the United Nations okays action against Iraq. Posted at 06:03 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH THE BRIGHT SIDE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] GOP to gain in the House. Posted at 12:21 AM Sunday, November 03, 2002 ELECTION 02 FLASH PEROT '02 [David Guenthner] Ross Perot endorsed Gov. Perry today. Republicans are organizing a 72-hour strike force (a la the 2000 presidential effort) to drag their identified supporters to the polls on Tuesday. In addition, this weekend the GOP is doing automated phone calls featuring a message from President Bush asking people to vote for John Cornyn, Rick Perry, and the rest of the GOP ticket. The Tony Sanchez campaign has rented hundreds of passenger vans in cities across the state to take their voters to the polls. The rumor is that there are parts of the state where you can't rent a passenger van because the Sanchez campaign has claimed them all. Posted at 08:31 PM ELECTION 02 FLASH JEB WINS BY 15? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Latest Zogby #s. Posted at 08:25 PM [NRO Staff] GET 4 FREE ISSUES OF NATIONAL REVIEW! That's right: We'll send you 4 FREE issues of National Review at absolutely no risk to you. If you're impressed by National Review's superior writing style, analysis, and wit, we'll send you the next 12 issues for a total of 16 in all! for only $19.95. Click here for details. Posted at 06:25 PM REHNQUIST TO RETIRE? [Jonathan Adler] That's the claim in this Washingtonian report (link via Howard Bashman). Posted at 06:03 PM FUZZY MATH [Andrew Stuttaford] OK, this is a nitpick, but still.... Today's New York Times has a front page story under the headline "In Poll, Americans Say Both Parties Lack Clear Vision". Leaving aside the fact that the poll data reveal this to be significantly less of a problem for the GOP than the Democrats, it is a little surprising to read the writer of the article claim that "barely a third of respondents said the Democrats had presented a "clear plan for the country". Why? Well, according to the chart attached the story, only 31 per cent of those polled believe that the Democrats have this famous "clear plan". Now 31 percent is a fine, dignified number, but it is not a "barely" a third: it is less than a third. It's a long time since I studied math, but the last time I checked, a third was 33.333 (recurring) percent. Posted at 04:12 PM FAMILY TIES [Andrew Stuttaford] Problems at the next Bin Laden family reunion? Posted at 03:29 PM SUPERSTITION WATCH [Andrew Stuttaford] Rod has mentioned this story before, but its implications seem to go from bad to worse. Posted at 03:23 PM HOSTAGE WATCH [Andrew Stuttaford] The story of the Japanese kidnapped by North Korea continues to develop in a predictable manner. Although the five surviving abductees are now in Japan, their families continue to be held by Kim Jong Il's regime and little progress is being reported in the attempts to free them. In a disgusting display of chutzpah, the North Korean government is now complaining that the abductees have not been returned to the country that kidnapped them. The North Korean leadership seem offended by the notion that the five, as Japanese citizens, have the right to choose for themselves whether to remain in their homeland. Perhaps we shouldn't be surprised. Allowing people to decide things for themselves is not something that Communists can be expected to understand. Posted at 03:12 PM MONOLITH IDENTIFIED? [Andrew Stuttaford] A reader, who I hope is not a fridge geek, asks if this was the device in question. I'm not sure, but I think so. HAL would be jealous Posted at 02:33 PM PARTY ANIMAL? [Andrew Stuttaford] According to this report from the Daily Telegraph Hu Jintao, the man due to be anointed as the next Chinese dictator likes "dancing alone" at parties. After what he did in Tibet, I'd like to think that this is because he has no other choice, but somehow I doubt it. Posted at 02:20 PM DEEP FREEZE [Andrew Stuttaford] There's a new spectacle in an electrical shop on Manhattan's 86th Street - a vast refrigerator with a rather high quality built-in TV. It stands at the shop's entrance, imposing, impressive and sort of sci-fi, much like one of those monoliths from 2001. I stood there too, part of a small crowd that marveled at the sight: gawping, amazed and slightly suspicious - much, now I come to think of it, like the cavemen from 2001. "That's what I call lazy," announced one lady before she walked off, shaking her head disapprovingly. "Lazy?" No, that's not the word, although I don't know what is. Posted at 02:06 PM PROGRESS? [Andrew Stuttaford] Saturday's post linked to an attack in the London Guardian on Norway's Progress Party produced a lively response from some Corner readers, a number of whom rather liked the look of everything that the Guardian disliked (there's a surprise). An American based in Norway wrote to say that the Guardian piece was a caricature (there's another surprise) - the Progress Party's policies are, he says, rather more free market (deregulatory, low tax) than the article's references to economic populism might suggest, and he describes the party's approach to immigrants as resembling Fortuyn-style assimiliationism rather than anything more sinister (apparently some less savory elements were ousted from the party a few years ago). As I said yesterday, I know next to nothing about Norwegian politics, but these guys sound intriguing. It would be interesting to know if there's anywhere where they set out their policies in English. Posted at 01:28 PM ONE FOR THE BARD [Andrew Stuttaford] Could this herald trouble for Lady Di? Tom in California e-mails with the news that he has voted for Shakespeare. That is not, I am afraid, the correct answer (it's Churchill, of course - Tom's second choice), but it's a start... Posted at 01:18 PM THE GREATEST BRITON? [Andrew Stuttaford] A reader e-mails me with the information that the BBC has reached the final stages of its Internet vote on the greatest Briton of all time. The list has been narrowed down to ten: Brunel, Churchill, Cromwell, Darwin, Diana, Elizabeth I, Lennon, Nelson, Newton and Shakespeare. Princess Diana is, depressingly, ahead in the poll, but the reader does point out that it is still possible to vote here. Hmmm.... Posted at 12:27 PM REAL LIFE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I'd bet photos and stories like these--in mainstream magazines like Time and real-life encounters with sonograms, will be the end of abortion before the law changes. Posted at 10:44 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH TEXAS NUMBERS [David Guenthner] A new poll commissioned by the Houston Chronicle and KHOU-TV shows Gov. Rick Perry up 12 points over Tony Sanchez and John Cornyn up 6 points over Ron Kirk. Perry's lead has increased three points since the last survey in mid-September, while Cornyn's has remained steady. Perry is receiving 86 percent support among Republicans while Sanchez is only backed by 69 percent of Democrats. The only real difference between this and the Dallas Morning News poll is that Democrat John Sharp leads Republican David Dewhurst by 4 points for lieutenant governor. The poll has a 3.9 percent margin of error. Posted at 10:18 AM DISAPPOINTED [Kathryn Jean Lopez] We never get invited to Riyadh and we criticize the Kingdom way more than Maureen Dowd. Posted at 10:05 AM ELECTION 02 FLASH MORE GOOD NEWS FOR MITT [Jim Nuzzo] Romney is making significant inroads into the Massachusetts minority communities. El Mundo, the Spanish newspaper of the Boston Latino community. endorsed Romney despite Romney's support of the Ron Unz-backed repeal of bilingual education. I, and other political analysts, cannot remember when El Mundo has ever endorsed a Republican before. The Boston Banner, the paper for the Afro-American community, while not endorsing Romney has written an editorial blasting O'Brien. If the Latino community supports Romney, and she does not get overwhelming numbers from blacks, it it impossible to construct a scenario where she can be victorious. Posted at 07:41 AM GORE ON SNL [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Sure, this will be funny. Posted at 07:37 AM |
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