JACQUES THE KNIFE [Andrew Stuttaford] I doubt he needed it, but a reminder of the opposition that George W. Bush will continue to face in the EU comes in the form of new maneuvering by Jacques Chirac. The old crook has now successfully recruited Spain into a new axis (hey, it’s the Daily Telegraph’s word, not mine) designed to limit Tony Blair’s impact on European diplomacy. Blair’s response, weirdly, is to continue to press Brits to agree to the ratification of the EU’s draft ‘constitution’, a document that would, for all practical purposes, ensure that the UK could no longer pursue its own foreign policy. Posted at 06:47 PM HOLY TOLEDO! [Andrew Stuttaford] More good news out of Ohio. Posted at 06:21 PM MOVING ON [Andrew Stuttaford] Blogger Norman Geras on the aftermath of the election: “Liberals and leftists should stop wailing and ask themselves some tough questions: first and foremost, where they themselves might have gone wrong (so many of them), repeatedly wrong, in their alignment within international conflicts - and why. You lose a democratic battle, you fight on, that's all. You make the argument again or differently. You look to see whether there are mistakes, misconceptions, bad assumptions, bad practices, on your own side. You try to persuade people. You show some elementary civic respect to those on the other side.” Good advice, I think. Read the whole thing. Posted at 06:19 PM IT HAS COME TO THIS [Andrew Stuttaford] The heart-breaking, horrifying slaughter of Theo van Gogh by Islamic extremists in Holland was a story that rather got lost in the midst of the election drama over here. It shouldn’t have done. Now comes the tale (via the Live from Brussels blog) of what happened when Rotterdam artist Chris Ripke reacted to the killing by painting a mural that included the words "Gij zult niet doden" ("Thou Shalt Not Kill"). Fair comment, you might think. Apparently not. The head of the nearby mosque complained to the police that this text was 'offensive' and 'racist'. As a result, the police came and sent in city workers to sandblast this inconvenient text into oblivion. “Thou Shalt Not Kill.” Erased, obliterated, unacceptable. Much like Theo van Gogh. Posted at 06:12 PM THOSE WACKY BRITS [Jonah Goldberg] Look, I still love the British and Britain. But stuff like this is making it harder and harder. Three minutes, ten seconds into this BBC "chat" and they start making with the yuk-yuks about the assasination of Bush. If it weren't for that, it would just be the typically insufferably dim and unimaginative bleatings of a herd of independent minds. Posted at 04:32 PM RE: RE: BROOKS [Jonah Goldberg] From another reader: Your correspondent is being silly. Brooks isn't saying that lefties would be morally superior had their opponents beaten them on an anti-gay-marriage agenda. He's saying that they would FEEL morally superior, by their own definitions of "moral" and "superior". When your moral code elevates gratification of self over the integrity of the institution of marriage, and an absolutist conception of "choice" over the right to life of unborn children, you can feel "morally superior" without being so. And someone else can acknowledge your conceit without validating it. Posted at 03:45 PM DOES ARAFAT HAVE AIDS? [Jonah Goldberg ] The plot thickens. Posted at 02:39 PM RE: BROOKS [Jonah Goldberg] An interestingly different take, from a reader: Brooks' column contains a pernicious underlying assumption: He implies that, if it were true that Republican votes were largely motivated by values such as gay marriage and abortion, then the liberals would be correct in feeling morally superior. Brooks cites Pew Research findings that (fortunately) indicate that this was not the case. Republicans were chiefly supporting Bush because he has made them feel safer. But what if it turns out that Pew is wrong, and that many Republicans were indeed voting socially conservative values. Why does Brooks concede to the liberals that these voters would then be morally inferior? What is wrong with wishing to preserve traditional marriage and to oppose abortion? Brooks doesn't say; he simply accepts at face value the idea that such views would say something distasteful about Republicans. I am concerned that Brooks undermines the conservative movement with such assumptions. Posted at 02:35 PM VERMIN [Jonah Goldberg ] A press release from Centcom on what the "insurgents" are up to. Let's see how much the media plays it up: November 5, 2004 Release Number: 04-11-12 Posted at 02:32 PM RE; YOUR PHONE CALLS [KJL] Congrats, Corner readers & co.--the front page of the MSM's paper of record. Keep it up--good men and women in the Senate need you to buck them up on this. Posted at 01:58 PM BILL CLINTON [KJL] says I told you so. Posted at 12:58 PM FOX [Rich Lowry] FYI--scheduled to be on around 2:10 pm. Posted at 12:55 PM "PIECE OF TRASH" [John J. Miller] So C-SPAN2 just aired my recent speech discussing my book, Our Oldest Enemy: A History of America's Disastrous Relationship with France -- and already one leftist who hasn't even touched a copy has posted a negative review on Amazon.com. It's not especially literate or thoughtful, but it does provide a glimpse of the post-election anger these people are feeling: "From studying over 25 years history, John Miller would have done wonder for Stalin in rewriting history, fabricating arguments for the sake of playing the tune of a politically correct message...sucking up to a right-wing agenda. "If you want real history about France and the US, read about the hundred years of struggle, fight for civil rights that these two countries that have more in common. "But maybe when the CIA is helping Pinochet in Chili, or any other fine dictators... France should have put the refugees flooding to its borders... into jail. "Don't waste your $ on fake history, read the real thing... like the swift boat story ......another notable piece of trash." Well, at least it's "notable"! Posted at 11:33 AM CANADIAN PLAGIARISM [Jonah Goldberg] Quite a few folks have been asking me about the case of Elizabeth Nickson. She's a Canadian columnist for the National Post who was fired for allegedly plagiarizing a column of mine. These are the details, according to the Globe and Mail. I really don't know anything more than what appears in this article. I was notified by a reader a couple months ago about the plagiarism, but to be honest I never followed-up on it because I was so busy at the time and then I just plum forgot. I trust the editors of the National Post did what they think was right and as far as I'm concerned that's the end of the whole thing.
Posted at 09:13 AM BROOKS [Jonah Goldberg] An excellent column. Like a bucket of water on Krugmanite hysteria. Posted at 09:05 AM HAWKEYE [John J. Miller] Bush wins Iowa, finally. Posted at 06:10 AM YOUR PHONE CALLS [John J. Miller] Today's New York Times: "Angry conservatives flooded Senate phone and fax lines on Friday demanding that Republicans prevent Senator Arlen Specter from presiding over the Judiciary Committee after he remarked that strongly anti-abortion judicial nominees might be rejected in the Senate..." I don't know how that adjective "strongly" got in there--I thought Specter was basically saying no pro-life nominees to the Supreme Court will get past him--but the Times story is fairly objective. It also features Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina trying to play peacemaker, i.e., trying to tell conservatives to accept Specter's more recent "clarifying" statements. Posted at 05:54 AM Friday, November 05, 2004 I DO WARN YOU [KJL] some sleep will definitely be happening this weekend, and some living. But we'll be here in and out and back with full steam monday. See if you were a subscriber to NR on dead tree, you would have something to read in the meantime... Posted at 07:34 PM WORLD'S SMALLEST VIOLIN [Rod Dreher] Check out href="http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory?id=229379">this story about how Yasser Arafat wants to be buried in Jerusalem. In it, Palestinian big Saeb Erekat chastises those Israelis who have danced in the street anticipating the archterrorist's imminent demise: "I hope the Israeli public will show sensitivities. I've seen some Israelis dancing in the streets, hugging each other other yesterday," Erekat told CNN. "I think it's alien... I cannot describe my feelings. It's heartbreaking to see Israelis hugging and kissing in such circumstances." Oh, give me a big fat Twin Towers-size break! href="http://homepage.mac.com/cfj/.Movies/palestinians-celebrate-911.mpg">Ta ke a look at this. Posted at 07:32 PM BYRON IS ON HARDBALL TONIGHT (NOWISH) [KJL] Posted at 07:14 PM POTTY MOUTH KERRY [John J. Miller] Remember the huge fuss media liberals kicked up over Dick Cheney cussing at Pat Leahy a few months back? They thought it was a huge, hairy deal--and a news story. Now we're reading all these post-election accounts of what Kerry was saying behind the scenes, including his apparent fondess for the F-word. But that, of course, wasn't news at the time. Posted at 06:19 PM KATHRYN, [Rich Lowry] That Newsweek bit reads like it could have been written by Rob Long. Posted at 05:53 PM "KERRY WON" [KJL] Bush literally can't win, as far as some on the Left are concerned. Posted at 05:12 PM WHY NO CHAIRMANSHIP FOR SPECTER? [KJL] A good liittlew case was made--albeit inadvertently--in the Pittsburgh Post Gazette endorsement of Specter in October: "The best argument for his staying on is his seniority, which puts him in line to be the chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee. In that capacity, he would be in a position to block some of the ideologically extreme federal judges likely to be nominated by President Bush in a second term, some of them for the Supreme Court. Before the Post-Gazette editorial board, he promised that no extremists would be approved for the bench." Posted at 05:08 PM "CHAIRMAN SPECTER?" (HECK NO!) WHAT ELSE CAN YOU DO? [KJL] Call and e-mail the White House. They need to be bombarded with your concerns as well. The Senate cannot surrender the judiciary to Arlen Specter. He cannot be chairman of the judiciary committee. Posted at 04:52 PM SOME WOMAN WHO ANSWERS THE PHONE [KJL] in Saxby Chambliss's office has a huge fan club. The e-mails are piling in about her "graciousness." Also reported: wonderful southern accent and is funny. I think a few mail readers are smitten. Posted at 04:40 PM THAT IS ONE BILIOUS COLUMN FROM E.J. TODAY [Rich Lowry] Too bad. It was guys like Dionne who should have been tapping the brakes on the Dems' self-destructive Bush hatred over the last two years, instead of cheering them on. Posted at 04:32 PM UH. IS SOMEONE PAYING ATTENTION TO NEW MEXICO? [KJL] Where there's a Democratic will...? Sounds like incompetance may be afoot more than anything else. Posted at 04:22 PM THIS MAN COULD HAVE BEEN PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES [KJL] From Newsweek: The morning after the Feb. 3 primaries, which vaulted Kerry into a virtual-ly insurmountable lead, the candidate was fuming over his missing hairbrush. He and his aides were riding in a van on the way to a Time magazine cover-photo shoot. Nicholson had left the hairbrush behind. "Sir, I don't have it," he said, after rummaging in the bags. "Marvin, f---!" Kerry said. The press secretary, David Wade, offered his brush. "I'm not using Wade's brush," the long-faced senator pouted. "Marvin, f---, it's my Time photo shoot." Posted at 04:12 PM MORE TV [KJL] John J. Miller will be on CSPAN's Book TV tomorrow talking about Our Oldest Enemy tomorrow at 9:30 am EST. Details here. Posted at 03:30 PM TV [KJL ] Kate O’Beirne will be on The World Over with Raymond Arroyo and Ray Flynn tonight at 8 pm EST, talking about the invasion of the theocons. (Note to those who need: That last part was a joke.) Posted at 03:26 PM RE: GRASSLEY [KJL] Few seem to think that is going to happen--seems like a distraction. At the end of the day, they are going to figure out internally who is chairman. As long as it is not Specter. Posted at 03:19 PM CHRISTMAS BOOK SALE BEGINS! [Jack Fowler] We are offering two great promotions for our critically acclaimed children’s books, which make perfect Christmas gifts. Special Offer #1 is that when you purchase one copy of Volume Two of The National Review Treasury of Classic Children’s Literature, you can get extra copies for only $15.00 each (that includes free postage and handling, plus a free copy of L. Frank Baum’s wonderful story, Queen Zixi of Ix). Special Offer #2 is when you purchase one copy of Volume Two of The National Review Treasury of Classic Children’s Literature, and one copy of The National Review Treasury of Classic Bedtime Stories (the praised collection of Thornton Burgess’s marvelous animal tales--it’s perfect for beginning readers), we’ll send you a second copy of Volume Two--free--plus that free copy of Queen Zixi of Ix, all for only $59.90! As I said, these books make great gifts--which, if you wish, we will mail to the fortunate giftee, at no charge, along with a handsome gift announcement card, containing any message you desire. Get them no, right here. Posted at 03:14 PM MR. COFFIN [KJL] Yeah, don't try calling around here no more. Posted at 02:28 PM CLAMS -- THE OMBUDSMAN RULES [John Derbyshire] I am going to register the following as a clam, just because I AM SICK AND TIRED OF HEARING IT. [Voice of child, playing with neighbor child in the back yard] "Brian, you are a total dipwad. I'm Danny Derbyshire and I approved this message." Posted at 02:18 PM TRENT LOTT [KJL] In conversation, more than one person has compared this Specter campaign to the end of Lott as judiciary chairman, for obvious reasons. As one Senate type put it to me (and as our editorial gets into): The Senate is a chummy place....but the senators cannot/will not really act unless "the outside world comes crashing down on the Senate." That is beginning to happen right now--I say that to those of you who are asking me if there is really any point to this. I'm told it is. I believe it is. I can't promise you the end product--because this is tough, and different than Lott (Lott's a more chummier guy than Specter for one, so he'd give in ways I can't yet see Specter giving in)--but I can tell you you are being heard--the right people are talking, are anxious. Keep at it, is my reccomendation. Posted at 02:16 PM DRAFT GRASSLEY [Jack Fowler] Iowa state Rep. Dan Boddicker has launched a “Draft Grassley” drive to block Arlen Specter chairing the Judiciary Committee. But a Grassley aide says her boss, who has most seniority of panel members, “will be serving four more years as chairman of the Finance Committee." BTW, the trump card Specter holds in this game is his Labor/HHS Appropriations subcommittee chairmanship. Any Senator who helps ditch Specter as Judiciary chairman knows he will eat daily of the dish of revenge the spiteful Pennsylvania solon will serve (“Sorry Chuck, but there’s just not enough money for that Des Moines hospital project …”). Posted at 02:13 PM I GOTTA IDEA [Shannen Coffin] Let's all call Kathryn Lopez and tell her what a great job she is doing leading the charge today. Her number is (212) . . . now wait, where'd I put that? Posted at 02:06 PM NO, WE'RE NOT THE EXTREMISTS, YOU ARE, SENATOR SPECTER [KJL] A campaign letter from Arlen Specter blasting the likes of many of you as "extremists." A lot of it is exactly what you would expect from Arlen Specter. But I especially enjoy this line: "I don't think the Republican Party should be blackmailed by any special interest group." He is refering to pro-lifers wanting pro-life candidates. But...uh...Arlen Specter as chairman of the judiciary commitee would be...the Republican party blackmailed by a special interest group (be it the Arlen Specter ego dream machine or the abortion lobby, which, the NYtimes tells us today is delighted and relieved by the spectre of a Specter chairmanship). Posted at 01:59 PM ANNAN V. ALLAWI [Rich Lowry] The UN chief is apparently in favor of maintaining Fallujah as a terrorist stronghold: “UNITED NATIONS — U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan has warned leaders of the United States, Britain and Iraq that another full-scale assault on the rebel-held city of Falluoja would further alienate Iraqis and disrupt elections planned for January. Annan's warning, contained in a letter sent Sunday, has angered some officials here. 'This is an issue for the government of Iraq,' said British Ambassador Emyr Jones Parry. 'It's easy for those not in Iraq to underestimate the overwhelming concern the Iraqis have for security. There cannot be an area as big as Fallouja which is allowed to be a base for terrorism." Some diplomats said Iraqi interim Prime Minister Iyad Allawi was 'furious' when he received the letter. Iraq's new U.N. ambassador immediately sought to meet with Annan to argue that the U.N. was interfering. Allawi recently criticized Annan for not doing enough to help Iraq prepare for elections. The world body's officials say Iraq is not secure enough for more U.N. workers to help organize the nationwide vote….” Posted at 01:56 PM 20 REASONS NOT TO PUT YOUR PICTURE ON THE INTERNET [Jonah Goldberg ] here ya go. Nothing graphic or work-jeopardizing. Posted at 01:40 PM ME = MIA + CNN [Jonah Goldberg] I went to the eye doctor. He put drops in my eyes. I can barely read the screen. That's why I've been absent. Doing CNN around 3:30-3:45, not sure exact time. Will also be on Inside Politics Sunday this, uh, sunday. Posted at 01:36 PM NICE CHANGE [Shannen Coffin] WASHINGTON (Reuters) - New U.S. jobs soared at the sharpest rate in seven months in October, the government reported on Friday, helped by a surge in construction activity as hurricane-battered areas in the Southeast were rebuilt.ME: Isn't it nice to have an economic report released without John Kerry saying that he can do better? Posted at 01:31 PM RE: AL HUNT, WRONG AGAIN [Peter Robinson] To reprise Al Hunt in yesterday morning’s Wall Street Journal (see posting below): After his 1984 re-election, Hunt claims, President Reagan “could have claimed a mandate for more of the same; he didn’t.” From President Reagan’s press conference the day after that 1984 re-election (emphases mine): Q: Clearly, you won a tremendous personal victory last night. But given the fact that the Republicans lost two seats in the Senate and that you didn't win as many seats in the House as you lost in the 1982 elections, how much of a mandate can the Republicans claim for next year?Thanks to Corner reader Thom Nykamp, and to the University of Texas, on whose website Thom found the transcript—and where anyone, including Al Hunt, may read it online. Posted at 01:29 PM LOCAL OFFICES, TOO [KJL] An e-mail: Kyl's not getting enough phone calls. his office in tucson said i was the first today. can you remind everyone to call the local offices, too? i've had a tough time getting through to some washington offices, but got a friendly "hi, thanks for calling," from nearly every local office i've called. specter must, must go. Posted at 01:22 PM A WORD (WELL OR A FEW HUNDRED) [KJL] It’s near-impossible to get through to any office on the Hill. Good work. Keep at it. You’re getting the word out, and, may be bucking up senators who, as that Miller piece reminds us, are no fans of Specter themselves. Make sure people continue to send emails and faxes through the weekend. I’ve said this before and it bears repeating. I cannot remember the last time we encouraged people to make phonecalls and send emails and faxes. I personally don’t do it out of empathy for the guy who has to answer the phone. But this is vital. Again, we won the election. The American people gave the conservative agenda, such that it is, a vote of confidence. And now, with a 55-seat majority in the Senate, we’re going to be held hostage to the Left’s agenda anyway? I don’t think so. As John mentions re: Dewing and in that archive piece, Republican senators cannot be looking forward to that. Bill Frist, no doubt presidential wannabe, can’t be looking forward to that. Rick Santorum, who has one heck of a reelection fight ahead of him in 2006, cannot be looking forward to that. So let every Republican member know an Arlen Specter chairmanship would be, frankly, detrimental to the country. And, again, I refer you to our editorial today and John Miller’s “America’s worst senator” piece as reference. Posted at 01:19 PM SCOTT SPEICHER FOUND? [KJL] His remains? A reminder of what Saddam was... Posted at 01:16 PM DEWINE AND MOAN [John J. Miller] One senator who has an opportunity to burnish his conservative credentials in Spectergate is Ohio's Mike DeWine, a Republican member of the Judiciary Committee who is not a reliable conservative vote on all things. He is exactly the kind of senator who has to worry about a GOP primary challenge from his right -- say, from a figure such as Ken Blackwell. DeWine is up for re-election in 2006, so now is not too soon for him to demonstrate conservative leadership and say he doesn't want Specter chairing the Judiciary Committee. Posted at 01:08 PM MY SHAME [KJL] I wish I had noted before an e-mailer did: "The 'clam' person shows much nerve in criticizing your word usage, given that he or she used "subject-line" as a verb. " Posted at 12:46 PM STOP SPECTER: THE MOVEMENT GROWS [KJL] http://www.notspecter.com/ Posted at 12:40 PM CHAIRMAN SPECTER: MAKING THE WINNERS THE LOSERS [KJL] Check this out from the New York Times today: Sheryl Gay Stolberg contrasts "beleaguered" abortion-rights advocates with angry abortion opponents: "Abortion rights advocates, feeling beleaguered after Senator John Kerry's loss to Mr. Bush, said they were encouraged by Mr. Specter's remarks. 'Welcome back, Senator Specter,' said Elizabeth Cavendish, interim president of Naral Pro-Choice America, in a reference to what she views as the senator's recent efforts to distance himself from abortion rights. She called his remarks 'an important statement to the president that he should not interpret the election results as a mandate to take away fundamental freedoms.'" So...the Left loses the election, but wins anyway. As I said yesterday, this election is not over. Put an end to this Specter-as-chairman business. Posted at 12:33 PM SPECTER & TORT REFORM [KJL] He is an abortion-rights absolutist, a dogged advocate of racial preferences, a bitter foe of tort reform, a firm friend of the International Criminal Court — the list is long. When Citizens Against Government Waste recently listed Specter in its "Pig Book" as one of the Senate's most profligate spenders, he shot back: "If they left me out, I'd be worried." In 1995, Specter briefly ran for president and pursued the unique strategy of attacking the base of his own party: His announcement speech lobbed a grenade at "the intolerant Right." After pressing this theme for several months, one poll showed him attracting support from a grand total of 1 percent of Republicans.Shouldn't every supporter of tort reform be livid this man will be head of the judiciary committee? AND DOESN'T NEED TO BE CHAIRMAN...and he shouldn't be...and he can't be. Shouldn't "the business community" be insisting Specter cannot be chairman of the judiciary committee? Posted at 12:15 PM NEXT WEEK’S NR CRUISE – YES THERE’S SPACE!COME PARTY WITH US! [Jack Fowler] We’ve received dozens of calls these last two days from folks who at the 11th hour and 59th minute (better late than never!) want to sign up for the National Review 2004 Post-Election Cruise. Here’s the story: this is a “fluid” situation, and Holland America Line’s will likely have a stateroom or two available. So yes, you can (probably) join us. BUT … you MUST go to www.nationalreviewcruise-carib.com and fill out the application and submit it. No application, no go, and the longer you wait, the worse your odds. Next step: Call our The Cruise Authority, at 1-800-707-1634. Ask for Darrin or Howard or Joanne, tell them you’ve submitted and application, and they’ll take it from there. Posted at 11:57 AM YOU'RE FIRED! K-LO'S SHAME. [KJL] (Not Arlen--YET.) An e-mail, which, I can't argue with in the least (and is my favorite of the day, before noon): Yikes. Here I am, a new subscriber and ardent fan since Election Day, and you subject-line a post "You go, girl"? Posted at 11:52 AM ANOTHER SPECTER STORY [Rich Lowry] From an old Hill hand: “This isn't directly related to judges, but it gives even more insight into Specter's modus operandi and his cozyness with even the left-most members of the Senate. At some point during the Appropriations battles in 1995 and 1996, there was a conference committee to hash out a bill -- I think it was Energy and Water, but it might have been Labor-Health. Anyway, this was when Republicans (led by Bob Livingston, of course) actually WERE cutting spending and eliminating waste. The negotiations had been going on and on, as they often do, but eventually, after many hours, a rough consensus seemed to be in the offing. I watched as Tom Harkin, of all people, pulled Specter aside and they started whispering to each other, with Harkin pointing to his watch. After a minute or so, Specter nodded, smiled, patted Harkin on the back, and returned to the table as Harkin left the room to go to some other meeting. A few minutes later, just as things seemed to be about to wrap up, Specter spoke up. He said there was one project he objected to being removed from the bill -- note, this was when virtually ALL earmarks were being disallowed -- and that he absolutely refused to agree to the bill without that project being included. As the conference committees at the time had bare GOP majorities, Specter's opposition would kill the agreement. Of course, the project for which he was going to bat was some piece of rancid, purely local, pork for Harkin. The Republicans were incredulous at Specter's stance, but he had them over a barrel. It had taken so long to work out the agreement, and the agreement was so tenuous, with so many tough, tough cuts in it, that any more delay might have made the whole thing unravel. Specter calmly said, in effect (obviously I con't remember the exact words, so these quotation marks are to be taken as approximations): 'Boys, look, I've gotta go; I've got a commitment I've gotta attend to. You guys figure this out amongst yourselves, and maybe we'll meet again next week.....' I forget who the GOP House subcommittee chair was, but he obviously felt he had no choice. Everybody caved right then and there (remember, this was after many many many hours and many tough choices, and time was of the essence because of how things were playing out in the press), and Harkin -- Tom Harkin, fergoshsakes!!! -- got his pork, virtually the only piece of pure pork in the whole bill, without even being in the room, at the behest of Arlen Specter. Specter is a disaster, and if Frist and Co. won't act on their own to deny him the Judiciary chairmanship, President Bush should call Frist in and ORDER him to deny Specter the chairmanship.” Posted at 11:49 AM WHAT ARE THE ODDS [KJL] that Wolf Blitzer asks Cliff about his newfound expertise when he's on CNN at 12:30? Posted at 11:40 AM THE JUDICIARY COMMITTEE [Jonathan H. Adler] In seeking to ensure a Judiciary Committee that is more friendly to President Bush's nominees, I would argue conservatives should pay attention to the party balance on the committee.A 55-44 Senate majority is ample justification for shifting the committee balance from 10-9 to 11-8. If there is a contested nomination, this change could be more important than having a different Chairman. If Senator Specter were to vote against a nominee, that nominee would fail in committee no matter who is Chairman. Yet if the committee were 11-8, such a defection would not stop committee approval of a contested nominee. Posted at 11:37 AM RE: SPECTER & THE UNICORN [Jonathan H. Adler] While I am no fan of Senator Specter, I do not think it is reasonable to attack him for zealously representing his clients as a private attorney. Lawyers have a professional and ethical obligation to provide such representation within the limits of the relevant legal rules and codes, and Specter should not be criticized for that any more than any of Bush's judicial nominees should have been criticized for some of their work for various clients. David Rivkin and Lee Casey made this point in Policy Review two years back, and it is a point worth remembering. Posted at 11:24 AM WHISKY GULCH [Cliff May] Enough with elections, judges, stem cell research, etc. It’s time to pause for some serious controversy: In response to the recent thread about scotch/bourbon and branch water (as a remedy for Election Day jitters, among other things), Kathryn received this email: “Could you please pass on to Cliff May that water should never-- AND I MEAN NEVER-- be added to good booze. In order to properly savour the complex flavours of fine alcohol it must be taken neat, sipped slowly, and washed thoroughly over the palate. The mere thought gives me Goosebumps. Good alcohol is one of God's great gifts to man and should be treated with a degree of reverence verging on the sacramental. As a final suggestion I might add that Mr. May, when next imbibing, should stick his nose deep into the rock- or balloon-glass containing his neat whiskey and inhale deeply, if he does this just once he will never again pollute fine bourbon with water. In short save the water for the rotgut. Of course, I am assuming that you, Ms. Lopez, did not add water to your Chianti, a truly wonderful (group of) wine(s); and if you did, ignore this note as you and Cliffy are beyond hope. Great coverage on all things political, thank you. Sincerely Cas Balicki Coquitlam, B.C. Now, I’m a modest guy, not beyond criticism or correction (as I believe Kathryn will attest). But I had thought I knew what I was talking about when I published here in The Corner -- for all the world to see -- the assertion that a little branch water “opens” the whisky (the right way to describe scotch) or whiskey (if we’re speaking of bourbon and several other dark, alcoholic beverages). But Cas Balicki had a very authoritative tone, which troubled me. So I did what any good reporter would do. I addressed an expert. I asked the question of my old friend Frank Coleman, formerly a top aide to Sen. Al D’Amato (and if that doesn’t teach one about drinking, what would?), now a senior vice president of the Distilled Spirits Council. Frank’s response: “Depending on age and proof, a small measure (as little as a teaspoon) of spring or distilled water (never tap) will open up the flavor and nose of spirits. This is particularly true of high-proof products such as single barrel and barrel-proof bourbons and scotches. Bourbons actual increase in proof with age in the barrel; scotches decrease (due to climactic differences). Most master distillers in Kentucky and master blenders in Scotland taste (nose) with water, often at much higher dilution levels than at which one would normally drink. This is particularly true when blending numerous malts in higher quality blended scotch. Again, the alcohol level in products such as Booker's (at 126 proof and higher) will burn your olfactory sense. Most 80 to 86 proof spirits, excepting very old scotches and cognacs, have already been watered down by the distiller. But a splash will definitely open it up much in the same way as decanting a 25-30 proof claret.” So, in his expert opinion, adding a small quantity of branch water to scotch or bourbon is more akin to decanting a claret than it is to diluting Chianti--the slander that has been alleged. My guess is we have not heard the last of this controversy. To which I say: Bring it on. (I’m particularly hoping Rob Long will weigh in again.) Posted at 11:21 AM DOES JONAH DO ANYTHING THESE DAYS BESIDES READ SLATE? [Shannen Coffin] Oh, and beat up on the MTV population, too? Perhaps we should all move over there to find him. Posted at 11:15 AM NOT TO BE MISSED [Meghan Clyne, NR Associate Editor] From the New York Times yesterday, on the Kerry-concession process: For much of Tuesday, campaign workers exuded confidence after surveys of voters leaving the polls showed Mr. Kerry with an edge over Mr. Bush. But as the night wore on, the real results told a different story. The critical moment came at 12:41 a.m. Wednesday, when, shortly after Florida had been painted red for Mr. Bush, Fox News declared that Ohio--and, very likely, the presidency--was in Republican hands. Howard Wolfson, a strategist, burst into the "boiler room" in Washington where the brain trust was huddled and said, "we have 30 seconds" to stop the other networks from following suit. The campaign's pollster, Mark Mellman, and the renowned organizer Michael Whouley quickly dialed ABC, CBS, CNN and NBC--and all but the last refrained from calling the race through the night. Then Mr. Wolfson banged out a simple, two-line statement expressing confidence that Mr. Kerry would win Ohio once the remaining ballots were counted.So the Times has documented that ABC, CBS, and CNN are the willing instruments of the Democrats, happy to manipulate their own coverage at the party’s behest. Nothing we didn’t know already; but damning evidence, from a source that can hardly be dismissed as a VRWC organ. Posted at 11:13 AM FRIST HAS MUCH TO LOSE [KJL] if Specter is chairman of the judiciary committee: A smart e-mail: I think contacting the members of the Judiciary committee is a wise suggestion. However, I would refrain from discouraging people from contacting Frist. He has already begun to run for President. Social conservatives pushed the president over the finish line this week. It would seem that Frist is the senator over whom we currently have the most leverage. I don't think he would want to alienate the conservative base out of the gate. It would doom him, and he would certainly be the fall guy if there is a problem. Frist needs this resolved favorably for the base as much as anyone does.I add, too, this is not just about the "base." This is about giving nominees a fair hearing as much as it is about making sure we, the seeming majority, don't get blocked out of our own majority. Arlen Specter as chairman would leave a smirk on Daschle's face. We want that wiped off. Posted at 10:57 AM ADVICE FOR SMILEY [John Derbyshire] Alex: I can't find the reference, but I am pretty sure it was Johnson who gave the following advice to writers: "Write a few pages, then read them over. When you come to a passage that seems to you to be particularly fine, STRIKE IT OUT!" Posted at 10:53 AM SMILEY [Jonah Goldberg] So many emails about here. I can't/won't post that many because she really does speak for herself better than we can do it for her. But here's a good/common point: I do not read Slate, it's good someone does and can point to the odd, random article worth reading. Posted at 10:48 AM "BORKING SPECTER" [KJL] "The ultimate revenge," says Laura Ingraham. Do reread that Miller piece after the editorial and get motivated. Posted at 10:45 AM BLOGGERS & THE ELECTION [KJL] From Peggy Noonan: "God bless the pajama-clad yeomen of America. " Posted at 10:42 AM SMILEY [Alex Rose] I feel so embarrassed for that Jane Un-Smiley in Slate. A well-known journalist once told me, when you're angry about something, bang out your primal-scream screed, but then go for a walk and delete what you've written on your return. Then start again, this time in a cool and collected manner. Jane, obviously, was never given this advice, which is why she's made a fool of herself. Still, pretty funny for the rest of us. Posted at 10:32 AM BARNBURNER JOBS REPORT [NRO Financial Editors] A whopping 337,000 new payroll jobs were added in October -- twice the forecast. This the biggest payroll jobs gain since March. The unemployment rate, however, rises to 5.5 percent. Bonds dipped on the news (with traders expecting another Fed rate hike at the next meeting). Outstanding news, overall. Posted at 10:17 AM MORE ABOUT SPECTER [John J. Miller] When I wrote about Specter for NR, my editors gave me a lot of space for the article--but sections nonetheless were cut. This is typical in journalism, of course. A couple of paragraphs in my original version described how Specter served as defense attorney for a well-known accused murderer, Ira Einhorn. Specter had the man's bail reduced. Einhorn promptly fled the country and was only recently brought to justice. (I'll give you one guess as to where he was hiding. If you want a hint, go here.) Last spring, I wrote a full piece on the Specter-Einhorn connection for NRO here. Posted at 10:14 AM YOU GO, GIRL! [KJL] Laura Ingraham is hitting the Specter chairmanship hard. This can be done...This will be done. Specter cannot be chairman. Not after Tuesday's victory. (I hate that subject line...just sounds cliched...but you get the idea.) Posted at 10:12 AM JOY UNCONFINED [John Derbyshire] A reader's cup overfloweth: "Derb---Not only am I a conservative but a Red Sox fan too. Two terrific Tuesdays and Wednesdays in a row! Next week will be so boring." Posted at 09:56 AM POINTS TO PONDER [John Derbyshire] "It is the biggest vote ever cast for a conservative in the history of the world." ---Charles Moore in yesterday's _Daily Telegraph_ (London). Posted at 09:52 AM REMEMBER BORK [KJL] there is so, so much in that Miller piece you want to read right now. And don't forget this, particularly relevant: Specter's biggest impact probably has come on the Judiciary Committee. That makes sense, because he was a prominent lawyer before arriving in Washington. In addition to his work on the Warren Commission, he was twice elected district attorney in Philadelphia, where he earned a tough-on-crime reputation. On the Judiciary Committee, he has been tough on Republican judicial nominees. In 1986, Ronald Reagan selected Jeff Sessions of Alabama for the federal bench, but Specter joined his Democratic colleagues in defeating the nomination — it was only the second time the Judiciary Committee had turned down a nominee since the FDR era. Attorney general Ed Meese called it "an appalling surrender to the politics of ideology." Sessions didn't vanish from public life; in 1996, he was elected to the Senate. Now he sits with Specter on the Judiciary Committee. The two men don't talk about what passed between them 17 years ago, but Specter admits he made a mistake: "I've gotten to know him. I regret my vote." Posted at 09:49 AM SPECTRE OF SPECTER [John J. Miller] For those who need a refresher, my NRODT article on Arlen Specter as the worst Republican senator may be read here. Posted at 09:46 AM WASHINGTON NATIONALS [John J. Miller] That's what D.C.'s new baseball team probably will be called, according to the Washington Times. There's a plan to announce something within the next two weeks because league officials want merchandise available for Christmas shopping. Posted at 09:03 AM NOT SO SMILEY [John J. Miller] Jonah: That Jane Smiley tirade at Slate is hysterical--in every sense of the word. My favorite lines: "The election results reflect the decision of the right wing to cultivate and exploit ignorance in the citizenry. ... Ignorance and bloodlust have a long tradition in the United States, especially in the red states. ... The error that progressives have consistently committed over the years is to underestimate the vitality of ignorance in America. ... The reason the Democrats have lost five of the last seven presidential elections is simple: A generation ago, the big capitalists, who have no morals, as we know, decided to make use of the religious right in their class war against the middle class and against the regulations that were protecting those whom they considered to be their rightful prey—workers and consumers." And it goes on and on and on. The only reason Slate published it is because Jane Smiley is a semi-well-known novelist. (I read one of her books once, called Duplicate Keys. It was okay, but nothing special.) Publishing these musings on the election is a form of celebrity journalism for left-wing intellectuals--Smiley's opinions aren't valued because she has said anything worthwhile, but because of who she is. If someone unknown to the Slate crowd didn't know had written the exact same essay, it wouldn't see the light of day. Posted at 08:49 AM OH. NO. [KJL] Raj, freshly fired from The Apprentice, tells Katie he is going to get into public policy next because the world needs a moderate conservative voice. Goodness knows what that means besides he's writing a book. If I knew he read The Corner, I'd be nicer. Posted at 08:44 AM COURIC WATCH [KJL] She's in brown today. So is Matt. Next stage of liberal post-election grief? Posted at 08:22 AM A BUSY MAN [John Derbyshire] People Jacques Chirac has time to call on: Yasser Arafat. People Jacques Chirac does not have time to call on: Iyad Allawi. That http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2004512444,00.html pretty much says it all about Jacques Chirac. Posted at 07:48 AM EASY "SPECTER-NO" REFERENCE [KJL] Here are the numbers for Senate Republicans on the Judiciary Committee. If you want to take action on making sure Specter is not judiciary chairman, call your Republican senators. If you do not have a Republican senator, call Republicans on the Judicary Committee. They are: Hatch (202) 224-5251 Grassley (202)224.3744 Kyl (202) 224-4521 DeWine (202) 224-2315 Sessions (202) 224-4124 Graham (202) 224-5972 Craig 202/224-2752 Chambliss (202) 224-3521 Cornyn 202-224-2934 Get your senator's phone number/e-mail from the directory at www.senate.gov. Again, no need to bombard Frist. Every Republican senator votes on the leadership. Every Republican needs to hear that Americans do not want Arlen Specter determining who can and who cannot sit on the Supreme Court. And remember, this is time-sensitive. I've been told Republicans could caucus on this as early as next week. And then, friends, we're stuck. Posted at 07:46 AM AHHHHHHH....NOT A PARODY [Jonah Goldberg ] If you've been waiting for one writer to combine all of the sandpounding stupidity and visceral hatred of the left's reaction to "red America" this may be what you're looking for. Posted at 07:39 AM IT WAS THE SCHOOLS FAULT! [Jonah Goldberg] Just giving Airpower guy some grief. From him: Jonah, Posted at 07:17 AM GREAT NEWS! [Jonah Goldberg] Arafat is still clinging to life! There's still time for Bob Woodward to secretly sneak in there and interview him without anyone noticing! Posted at 07:14 AM U.S. LIBERALS HAVE OPTIONS [KJL] There are Canadian women willing to marry them. Posted at 06:26 AM ANOTHER LIBERAL IN BLACK [KJL] Democrats , Vote or Die style, register people to vote on street corners and they are engaging Americans, doing the patriotic thing or whatever. Republicans register people and sell them on their ideas and it is some kind of sinister Rovian plot. Or so is my quick read of E. J. Dionne today. And, it is a sad day for America. The mourning Dionne takes insppiration from John Edwards's bizarre, angry concession. (Memo to John Edwards: You lost the primaries, remember? It wasn't all about you.) Posted at 06:18 AM TODAY [KJL] If it weren't for Arlen Specter, I'd be advocating today be a day to play hooky, in celebration of electoral victory. The way to commemorate? SLEEP...zzzzz.... Posted at 05:47 AM Thursday, November 04, 2004 INTERESTING OBSERVATION [KJL] From an e-mailer: When Reagan won big for conservatism in the 1980s, the official line from the media was that he's telegenic, that he's an actor, that he's a smooth talker. But the line about Bush all along has been that he's lousy on TV (the debates), that he's abrasive (the swagger and the bluntness), and doesn't speak well (the gaffes). Now, W. has won big for conservatism. Isn't it time to admit that it's conservatism itself that wins big? Posted at 09:27 PM I LOVE [KJL] how Pat Ireland ignores Sean Hannity noting the women of Iraq and Afghanistan who were liberated under his leadership (I have Fox on as I work here). Ingnore the inconvenient facts... Posted at 09:20 PM OKLAHOMA'S [KJL] gay marriage ban is being challenged Posted at 09:00 PM SPECTER: "WHAT IF I HAVE NO REPUBLICAN SENATORS?" [KJL] Contact Republicans on the Judiciary Committee: Charles E. Grassley (IOWA) Jon Kyl (ARIZONA) Mike DeWine (OHIO) Jeff Sessions (ALABAMA ) Lindsey Graham (SOUTH) Larry Craig (IDAHO) Saxby Chambliss (GEORGIA) John Cornyn (TEXAS) Senate Switchboard=202-224-3121 Posted at 08:51 PM YOU KNOW IT'S OVER... [Rick Brookhiser] ...when I hit the Refresh button over the Corner, and nothing changes. Posted at 08:00 PM AND, UH... [KJL] did the media miss another screaming headline in that Specter press conference? "... the Chief Justice is gravely ill. I had known more about that than had appeared in the media. When he said he was going to be back on Monday, it was known inside that he was not going to be back on Monday. The full extent of his full incapacitation is really not known, I believe there will be cause for deliberation by the President." Sound to me like a Supreme Court vacancy is no where near academic. This is happening. And Specter, behind closed doors even before he is causing public trouble at a hearing, is going to be calling some major shots. Posted at 05:45 PM SPECTER: THIS IS WHAT TO DO [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Frist knows our beef (probably painfully well). Call your Republicans senators. When they meet on leadership posts (next week), they can vote against extending the judiciary chairmanship to Specter. Here's the Senate website. Call and email. (I'll get you a straight list of all the numbers and emails just as soon as possible.) I think that transcript emphasises Specter does not have the conservative temperment or instincts to be judiciary chairman. Why, after yesterday's victory, would the majority party put in place such a huge obstacle, just because of tradition? Senate switchboard is 202-224-3121. Posted at 05:40 PM HEY AIRPOWER GUY [Jonah Goldberg] In the military, your boss yells at you when you do this right? F-16 Accidentally Fires on School Thursday, November 04, 2004 Posted at 04:51 PM MOBY: DEEP THINKER [Jonah Goldberg ] Folks, Moby's blog is High-larious. I found it because I was reading a "What now?" symposium at Salon. I never wondered why Moby's counsel isn't sought at the highest levels of government, academia and finance before, but I found the answer anyway. An excerpt:
.. some of us might long for a secession wherein certain parts of the country declare their sovereign autonomy, but given our current state of quasi-united states, well, bush won. tonight i realized that although america is possessed of a lot of progressive people, america is essentially a right-wing republican country. we might resist this fact, but it is a fact. it's not a fact in manhattan. it's not a fact in l.a or san francisco. but for 100+ million people it's a fact ... and now we ask ... what now? with another 4 years of a republican president/senate/house, well ... what do they want? the right-wing have re-asserted their dominance. what do they want? i do hope that the democrats in the house and senate do their best to impose sane restrictions upon the more extreme tendencies of the newly empowered right-wing ... the sun will rise tomorrow, and the people who voted for bush will: a) send their sons/daughters off to war in iraq; b) complain about unemployment; c) lament their lack of health care; d) complain about the high price of prescription drugs; e) complain about a low minimum wage; f) complain about high gas prices/heating oil costs; g) and so on; h) and so on ... the people have made their choice. and now, for better or worse, they have to live with their choice ... can someone remind me why secession is not an option at this point? i mean let's be realistic, we live in a divided country. can't we have the breakaway republics of 'north-east-istan' and 'pacific-stan'? wouldn't the red states be happier without us?" Posted at 04:41 PM I LIKE THIS... [Rich Lowry] ...line in the TNR editorial: "it would be catastrophic for the Democratic Party to wallow now in the sort of Michael Moore leftishness that made many Americans worry whether John Kerry was sufficiently obsessed with American security, and sufficiently excited about American power, to protect them at home and to promote their purposes abroad." Posted at 04:26 PM SPECTER: MY HUMBLE OPINION [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The statement is much better than the transcript. Posted at 04:18 PM HERE'S THE PRESS CONFERENCE TRANSCRIPT , FROM SPECTER'S OFFICE [KJL] November 3, 2004 Transcript Posted at 03:54 PM SPECTER [KJL] Here's his statment: Washington, D.C.- Senator Arlen Specter (R-PA) made the following comments today on the judicial confirmation process. Posted at 03:42 PM KELLYANNE [Rich Lowry] Some analytic points from Kellyanne Conway: "The Disappearing Gender Gap: Senator Kerry posted just a 3% advantage (51%-48%) over President Bush among women, a significant difference from the 11-point margin for Al Gore over Mr. Bush in 2000. Security Moms (married women with children who cite the war in Iraq or terrorism as the most important issue in deciding their vote) supported the President over Kerry by 18 points (59%- 41%, respectively). Single women between the ages of 18-34 (aka “Single and Living It” Demographic) sided with Kerry over Bush by a 3-to-1 margin. Men favored President Bush over John Kerry by nine points (54%- 45%), suggesting a new version of the so-called “gender gap:” the difficulty of Democrats in attracting male voters. Behind Every Good President is a Great First Lady. the polling company™, inc. found that 60% of American voters are proud to have Laura Bush as their First Lady for another four years. Mrs. Bush, a key asset to her husband’s re-election, enjoys tri-partisan respect, as voters of every political stripe say they would be mostly proud to give her “four more years.” Both men and women voters, specifically Security Moms agree. Voters in rural and suburban America were among the First Lady’s biggest proponents." Posted at 03:07 PM RE: A PRINCE AMONG MEN [John Derbyshire] Should more properly be called "a Laird among men" if he came bearing Glenmorangie, Kathryn. But no, it's not too early to sample a dram of that liquid gold. It is never too early, nor too late. "If all be true that I do think There are five reasons we should drink: Good wine, a friend, or being dry, Or lest we should be by and by, Or any other reason why." ---Anon. (17th century) Posted at 03:01 PM RE: VICTORY KNICK-KNACKS [John Derbyshire] A faithful reader, after sampling the FoundersOfAmerica.com website: "Damn! Nothing in lucite." FoA has pretty much anything else you would want in the way of historic/patriotic goodies, though, and is well worth a look. I have no financial interest (though I know one of the site owners), just like their stuff. Posted at 03:00 PM ELECTION BLOG-A-THON [John Derbyshire] I have had hundreds of reader e-mails over the past 48 hours or so, the great majority of them expressing agreement, joy, appreciation, gratitude, and pleasure. I have no hope of being able to answer all of them (and apologize for my hotmail e-address having clogged up early in the proceedings and remaining clogged), so I just want to say a generic ***THANK YOU*** to all who took the time and trouble to write in. The collective effect of all your messages has been to raise my spirits immensely (you are all so HAPPY!), to refresh my sense of purpose that what we do here at NRO is profoundly worthwhile, and to get me all misty eyed about what a wonderful country I have the privilege of having been adopted into. Just one other point. I posted a column in the wee hours of Wednesday morning. It contained some stylistic and grammatical infelicities, for which I apologize. I am very much a lark, not an owl (bed at 10, up at 5:30 or 6), and was fighting against my entire metabolism to stay up that late. And there were actually more infelicities than you saw -- Kathryn, bless her, who had better things to attend to, cleaned it up some. Once again, thanks to everyone. It all gets read; it's just the replying that we fall down on at times like this. Posted at 02:59 PM AL HUNT, WRONG AGAIN [Peter Robinson] Al Hunt on Ronald Reagan in today’s Wall Street Journal: “Although with his landslide win in 1984 he could have claimed a mandate for more of the same, he didn’t. He moved to the center on both domestic issues—the landmark 1986 tax bill was a genuinely bipartisan effort—and on foreign affairs, particularly in his dealings with the Soviet Union and Mikhail Gorbachev.” This is ignorant. Reagan’s 1986 tax reform, which sharply reduced personal income tax rates, was precisely “more of the same,” a deepening of the tax cuts he had enacted in his first term. Did the 1986 reform receive bipartisan support? It did indeed. Because Reagan moved to the center? No. Because by 1986 Reagan had shfited the entire political landscape, forcing the center to come to him. In his dealings with the Soviet Union, it is certainly true that Reagan held summit meetings with Gorbachev, and even that, here and there in arms negotiations, Reagan proved conciliatory toward the Soviets. Yet this represented not a shift in Reagan’s attitudes but the fulfillment of his strategy. He had already engaged in a massive arms buildup, called the Soviets the names they deserved, and launched the strategic defense initiative, in effect shoving the Soviets against the wall and slapping them silly. (Note also that his sharpest exchange with the Soviets took place at Reykjavik in 1987—well into Reagan’s second term.) Once the Soviets themselves had come around—and remember that the INF treaty Gorby and Reagan signed in 1987 agreed to the same “zero option” that in 1981 had caused the Soviets to break off negotiations—Reagan quite happily proved sweetness and light. But he hadn’t changed his strategy. He’d won. Posted at 02:57 PM MORE HOPING FOR THE WORST [KJL] Richard Cohen: "From a Democratic perspective, what this country needs is a good recession." Posted at 02:55 PM VERNE [John J. Miller] Derb: I suppose it's worth noting that Around the World in Eighty Days was first published in 1873, two years after the Paris Commune (an incident that is covered in Our Oldest Enemy). A Frenchman of that era has no business talking about "a great deal of disturbance in the streets" in America, as if things were better in France, where mobs were butchering tens of thousands. I will confess to being a Verne fan, or at least I was as a kid when I read Journey to the Center of the Earth, 20,000 Leagues Under the Sea, and even The Mysterious Island. I enjoyed each of these, though I don't recall the slightest bit humor in any of them. Posted at 02:46 PM BUSH PRESSER [Rich Lowry] Of course, he had that re-election glow and was especially relaxed, but I've always thought that he has been better at these things than most people--and even his staff--give him credit for. So I agree with Jay Nordlinger, who has always made the point that Bush should have done more press conferences all along. Maybe they'll do more now. Unleash Bush! Posted at 02:41 PM HOPING FOR THE WORST [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Here's a good Soros Loser attitude, from Salon: But like many liberals I'm betting on the Armageddon theory of politics. Bush and the GOP majorities in the House and Senate will make things so bad in the next four years that the country will never elect a Republican ever again. So here's hoping things get much, much worse! Posted at 02:31 PM RE: THE FRENCH REACTION [John Derbyshire] J.J.: Missing from the index of your excellent book is the French author Jules Verne. By chance, the bedtime book Danny and I are reading is Verne's AROUND THE WORLD IN 80 DAYS, and on election night we got to the San Francisco chapter. It's November 1872 and there is an election going on in that fair city. Apparently the French were just as snooty about U.S. elections back in Verne's day as they are now. In Chapter 25 of ATWI8D the traveler, Phileas Fogg, and his party encounter a rowdy political gathering in the streets of San Francisco. Fogg is insulted, and he and his party are roughed up. They go back to their hotel, clean themselves up, then head for the railroad station. Here comes the punch line: "At a quarter before six the travelers reached the station, and found the train ready to depart. As he was about to enter it, Mr. Fogg called a porter, and said to him: 'My friend, was there not some trouble today in San Francisco?' "'It was a political meeting, sir,' replied the porter. "'But I thought there was a great deal of disturbance in the streets.' "'It was only a meeting assembled for an election.' "'The election of a general-in-chief, no doubt?' asked Mr. Fogg. "'No, sir; of a justice of the peace.'" At that point the reader is supposed to fall around laughing uncontrollably. If he is French. Posted at 02:28 PM STILL HOPING FOR HOCKEY [Jonathan H. Adler] But it does not look good. The NHL just canceled this year's all-star game, and the lockout continues . . . Posted at 02:21 PM SPENDING CAPITAL [Jonathan H. Adler] From the President's press confernece: "I earned political capital in the election campaign, and now I intend to spend it." Hear, hear! Lets hope some of this is spent on social security and the Supreme Court. Posted at 02:20 PM JUSTICE ESTRADA [Jonathan H. Adler] The campaign begins here and here. Posted at 02:01 PM 'THE BOSS' IN MOURNING [Rich Lowry] Jon Wells passed along these new Springsteen lyrics: "Four More Years" (B. Springsteen) [Plaintive harmonica wail fades in; raspy Nebraska-era vocal] Well, I got kicked outta my house Lady said I was no good But the man said there's still hope fer'ya 'Long as Kerry beat Dubya. Four more years Four more years Today I hear he's got four more years. My car she's a wreck Transmission's seen it's last light But I still figured well baby, 'forge If only the people'd boot George. Four more years Four more years Today I hear he's got four more years. What's an honest man to do I done all I could, still Me and Hollywood took it in the tush Turns out reg'lar folks love Bush. Four more years Four more years Today I hear he's got four more years. Ohh. Ohh. Ohh. Four more years. [Plaintive harmonica wail fades out] Posted at 02:01 PM A TERRIBLE DAY FOR ELIZABETH EDWWARDS [http://www.nationalreview.com/redirect/amazon.p?j=0385512198 ] She was diagnosed with breast cancer yesterday. (The link is right now, I posted the wrong one earlier) Posted at 02:01 PM BARONE THINKS EXIT POLLS WERE SABOTAGED, TOO [Kathryn Lopez] He wrote yesterday: Why were the initial exit poll results more Democratic than the actual tabulated vote? No one is sure, though the national sample at midafternoon, which showed Kerry ahead 50 to 49 percent, was 58 percent women. My own suspicion is that some Democrats-at the command level, or somewhere below-had an election-day project of slamming the results. New Hampshire, Minnesota and Pennsylvania initial exit poll results had huge margins for Kerry-much larger percentages than he won in any pre-election poll. If somebody had slipped some Democratic operative the list of exit poll sites-40 to 50 sites in each critical state-he or she could have slipped several hundred operatives into the polling places to take the exit poll ballots and vote for Kerry. The results would have shown Kerry much farther ahead than he actually was and, broadcast through drugdereport.com and other sources, could have heartened Kerry supporters during the afternoon and disheartened Bush supporters. When I was active in Democratic politics, in 1964-80, it would have occurred to us to do no such thing. But Democrats these days are so filled with a sense of grievance and with a feeling of justification for employing any dirty tactics to win, that this is not unthinkable. If people can game the exit polls, there's not much point to having exit polls any more. Posted at 01:59 PM RE: JONAH'S HUNCH [KJL] I was thinking about that earlier. I don't think I have ever directed people to call a pols office before, because I know the people who get stuck at the phones--used to be that person. But, judges is a pretty darn important issue, and I know many of you know that, so I suspect the office hearing that from someone other than pundit types is important. That's the reason, too, I am not posting a sample letter or a script. You know what the deal is, and you know your position on the future of the judiciary. This is not an orchestrated campaign, and I don't want your letters to have to be dismissed as something you were put up to, like a NOW postcard or somesuch. And if the guys answering the phones in Frist's office are reading--I'm sorry! Perhaps I should buy them all lunch or NRO t-shirts (though they probably hate NRO right now) or something? Well, especially if there's an NRO shrine at his desk... Posted at 01:54 PM JUST A HUNCH... [Jonah Goldberg] But if the person manning the phones at Frist's office has a framed e-mail from Kathryn on the wall behind his desk, it was taken down this afternoon. Posted at 01:47 PM READER MAKES A GOOD SUGGESTION RE: CONTACTIN FRIST [KJL] DC office number is 202-224-3344 (fax is 202-228-1264) Posted at 01:39 PM POLITICAL PRIORITY [Jonah Goldberg] One of the obvious lessons of the electoral map: George Bush, Karl Rove and Ed Gillespie need to find a savvy, attractive, ruthless politician to fix the Illinois GOP. Posted at 01:35 PM "FOUL PLAY" [KJL] Dick Morris thinks bad exit polls on Tuesday were the result of sabotage. Posted at 01:33 PM OSAMA TAPE [KJL] The State Department evidently didn't want it to get out. Posted at 01:31 PM DELUSIONAL TERRY [KJL] Where does money getcha when you're not in power? “This party is stronger than it’s ever been. We’re in the best financial shape,” he says. “We now have, unlike four years ago, millions and millions of new supporters of this party. We’re debt-free for the first time ever and we’re beginning to build towards 2008.” Posted at 01:24 PM PURPLE AMERICA [Jonah Goldberg] The Red-Blue divide by county. Posted at 01:23 PM "REACHING OUT" [Jonathan H. Adler] With all this talk about whether Bush should "reach out" to Democrats on various issues, such as judicial nominations, it is important to remember what happen when Bush first took office in 2001. Among Bush's first 12 judicial nominations were two Clinton nominees who the Republican Senate had failed to confirm (including one who was deliberately blocked). This was an unprecedented act of comity by the President, particularly given that the GOP retained control of the Senate at the time and many GOP Senators opposed the move. How did the Democrats respond? By poking the President in the eye and bitterly opposing many of these initial nominees, including Justice Priscilla Owen, Miguel Estrada, Terence Boyle, and others. The President tried playing nice on judges, and it got him nowhere. After this election, why should he try this again? Posted at 01:21 PM BUSH & THE ENVIRONMENT [Jonathan H. Adler] In answer to the untenured college professor's quesiton, the Bush record on the environment is mixed. On the one hand, the administration has not engaged in all the environmental horrors that its green critics have charged. I've discussed and debunked some of these charges, particularly those made by RFK Jr., on NRO here, here, and here. On the other hand, the Administration has not done much to advance a principled conservative environmental policy. As a result, free market groups like PERC only give the administration a C+ on environmental policy. In sum, while there are plenty of things to criticize about the administration's environmental record, the charge that Bush has been "anti-environment" is simply false. Posted at 01:20 PM ARLEN, A FABLE [Jack Fowler] My brother-in-law, huge NRO fan Jim Mullaney (he’s the author of numerous Destroyer novels – you Remo Williams fans know them) sends me this Specter-ized twist on an old fable, which I share with you. The Liberal Republican Senator and the President A Liberal Republican Senator from Pennsylvania and a President -- both running for reelection -- need to cross a river. The Liberal Republican Senator asks the President to carry him across on his back. "But you'll sting me," says the President. "Of course I won't, says the Liberal Republican Senator. If I do, we'll both drown." The President thinks this is logical, and so allows the Liberal Republican Senator to climb on his back. They hop into the river and are about halfway across when the Liberal Republican Senator stings the President. As they both begin to drown, the President asks, "Why?" The Liberal Republican Senator replies, "I can't help it. It's in my nature." Posted at 01:14 PM BUSH'S SECRET WEAPON [Michael Graham] A non-aligned voter just walked into my office after watching five minutes of the Bush press conference. He told me "You know, Bush is a really funny guy!" That was never more apparent than when Bush appeared with John Kerry. I am convinced Bush's light touch vs. the humorless Kerry was worth enough votes to carry Iowa. Posted at 01:11 PM MORE ARAFAT [Cliff May] Claudia Rosett sent me a note saying: “If he's dead, how fitting that he died in France.” To which I responded: Yes, but how ironic that he dies in bed. She rejoined: “Or maybe how perfectly hypocritical and corrupt, to the very end. “Symbolically, it's sort of hideously beautiful. It would have delighted Balzac. A killer billionaire dies in a Paris bed ...having abandoned in his final hours the nest he fouled so thoroughly that he himself, in his final hours, instead of choosing to die in the place he said he'd give his life for, went off to France to croak in comfort.” Posted at 01:09 PM BILL FRIST E-MAIL ADDRESS [KJL] is bill_frist@frist.senate.gov. I'm told people are having problems with his web form. His phone number is 202-224-3344. Posted at 01:03 PM AGAINST SILENCE [Jonah Goldberg] Lots of email like this one:
Jonah, Posted at 12:57 PM FYI RE SPECTER [KJL] Here is the Philly Inquirer story on the Specter press conference yesterday. It doesn't mentionrelying on the AP version of the story, so one might assume that the paper interpreted this for themselves: Specter, as presumptive chairman of the powerful Senate Judiciary Committee, suggested that he would block any Bush nominee to the Supreme Court who opposed abortion rights. Reiterating his position that a woman's right to choose is "inviolate," he said overturning Roe v. Wade today would be akin to trying to reverse Brown v. Board of Education, the court's 1954 landmark desegregation decision. Posted at 12:52 PM IS NEW HAMPSHIRE GOING BLUE [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Jonah Goldberg Posted at 12:39 PM IS IT TIME [Jonah Goldberg] to dust-off the Krugman Cat Index? A consumer confidence soars. Posted at 12:37 PM SILENCE SPEAKS VOLUMES [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: The key thing for public commentators is to recognize that self-indulgence is just that, and does nothing positive. Posted at 12:34 PM THAT [KJL] reporter who wrote that story on Specter's litmus-test comment is the same reporter who ambushed Rick Santorum a while back and whose husband worked for the Kerry campaign. So I'd be curious to hear the tape of what was said. That said, Specter is trouble, and I wonder if this isn't an opportunity for the Republican party and conservatives. Imagine the power hehe would have over the issues, the president, and the Senate as judiciary chairman. I think he should step aside for the good of the party--or be made too. He still gets to be a troublemaking senator, but not powerful chairman. Jon Kyl for chairman. Should I make buttons? And if Specter leaves the party...I can deal with that. So can the GOP in the Senate. And we won't have to be reminded he's a Republican hurting the GOP agenda--which is, based on Tuesday's results, a conservative one--anymore. Posted at 12:28 PM DISAPPOINTED.... [Jonah Goldberg] Bush said nothing about airborne-laser volcano-lancing in his press conference. And he calls himself a conservative. Posted at 12:22 PM SHOULDN'T WE HAVE A CLOCK OR SOMETHING? [Jonah Goldberg] Terry McAuliffe has been missing for (by extremely rough calculation): 58 hours and 21 minutes. Posted at 12:20 PM THE PATRIOTISM THAT DARE NOT SPEAK ITS NAME [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: From a column in today's Boston Globe... Posted at 12:17 PM THE ARAFAT EXCEPTION [Jonah Goldberg] I am generally sympathetic to the notion that you shouldn't speak ill of the dead. The recently dead, that is. I don't think there's anything wrong with speaking ill of the long dead. Woodrow Wilson was a terrible man, for example. But when political opponents go, the temptation is to score points. Most liberals behaved admirably when Ronald Reagan passed away and I would like to think that conservatives would do the same when various stars of the liberal pantheon depart. But all that goes out the window with murderers and terrorists. This tradition is predicated on the assumption that ones opponents are not ones enemies. A poliical opponent shares a bedrock faith in political norms and (small L) liberal rules. None of this applies to Yasser Arafat in my opinion. He's a bad man who's been terrible for his people and if there's any justice, when he dies he will receive 72 virgins who look exactly like him. Posted at 12:15 PM ANOTHER SPECTER P.S. [KJL] If Bill Frist wants to run for president in 2008, Specter would have tremendous power over his chances with conservatives as judiciary chairman. I would think a nudge from conservatives to Frist might be all he needs right now. He cannot like the spectre of a Specter chairmanship--for the Senate, for his own future. Posted at 12:03 PM JONAH [KJL] I had a similar thought a few ago. He's so much more comfortable with the press... Posted at 12:00 PM I GOTTA SAY... [Jonah Goldberg] Reelection suits Bush. He's talking better off the cuff than I've seen in a while. Good. It would be nice to think that some of his problems in the past have been attributable to a tendency to vet his statements for their political impact. Now that he's not running for reelection he can be more comfortable. Posted at 11:58 AM DEMOCRATIC UNDERGROUND [Jonah Goldberg] A reader forwarded me this post:
Posted at 11:52 AM BUSH & THE ENVIRONMENT [Jonah Goldberg] A useful chart. Posted at 11:51 AM YASIR ARAFAT, RIP* [Ramesh Ponnuru] *but only after a decent interval. Posted at 11:48 AM QUESTION ON BIPARTISANSHIP [Ramesh Ponnuru] Q: Mr President, shouldn't bipartisanship mean more than getting a few Democrats to support your bills? You know, like moving left? A: My model here is the No Child Left Behind Act. The most ominous answer he's given, but surely he doesn't mean it. Posted at 11:47 AM ON POLITICAL CAPITAL [John J. Miller] Before he became president, Bush was asked whether he learned any lessons from his father's presidency that he would apply to his own. Dubya replied roughly this way: "When you have political capital, spend it." It's a very good idea, and it was a very good lesson to have learned from Poppy's one term. Posted at 11:45 AM SENATE LEADERSHIP FIGHT [John J. Miller] There may be a contest to determine which senator will lead the NRSC. The two names I'm hearing are Elizabeth Dole and Norm Coleman. Posted at 11:41 AM "I EARNED POLITICAL CAPITAL [Ramesh Ponnuru] in the campaign, and now I am going to spend it." The line of the press conference, I think, and not a bad way for him to look at it. Posted at 11:39 AM IS THIS BREAKING NEWS? [KJL] Breaking News from ABCNEWS.com: BUSH PLEDGES TO KEEP FIGHTING WAR ON TERROR Posted at 11:38 AM IT'S TOO LATE... [John J. Miller] But doesn't the case for Pat Toomey look a lot stronger today? It's no secret that Specter in any position of authority is a disaster for conservatives, but Specter's conservative supporters (such as Rick Santorum) kept making a prudential argument: The GOP Senate majority is just too slim to take a chance on Pat Toomey, especially when Specter is a sure thing for re-election. This is not an outrageous argument. But consider it today: Republicans don't need Specter for a majority, not even accounting for the possibility of a guy like Chafee bolting the party. What's more, Specter clearly didn't help put Bush over the top in Pennsylvania. So remind me: As we consider the prospect of Judiciary Committee Chairman Specter, why was this a good bargain? Last April, I was convinced that it was worth taking a chance on Toomey. Today, even more so. Posted at 11:35 AM NICE [Ramesh Ponnuru] The president brushed off the invitation to name a "consensus" candidate for the Supreme Court. He reminded the press corps that every day he said on the campaign trail that he wanted a non-legislator on the bench. He said, and I meant it. Posted at 11:35 AM ARAFAT, DEAD? [KJL] Evidently Sky News & Israeli TV are reporting he is brain dead. More: Arafat clinically dead -- Israeli television JERUSALEM, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Palestinian President Yasser Arafat was determined to be clinically dead on Thursday in a French hospital, Israel's Channel Two television said citing French sources. Posted at 11:29 AM ANOTHER P.S. RE: SPECTER [KJL] Kyl seems to be the obvious alternative to Specter? Posted at 11:26 AM ASHCROFT IS RESIGNING, FYI [KJL] (FNC ) Posted at 11:06 AM BREAKING [KJL] Right after I released my action item on the Corner, I got some information. I'm told that we'll be hearing more from Specter today. This may be a story about the media. Specter's office is evidently transcribing a tape of what was said right now. Expect a statement from Specter assuring that he has/will have no litmus test for judges shortly, I'm told. Seems to me he's gonna have to do a whole lot in that statement, though, to calm people down. If he warned conservatives at all about abortion vis-a-vis his position as chairman, he's got to be gone as a chairman choice. My continued feeling, this guy is trouble, does not stand for my values, judges is a key issue for our future, and an obstacle should not be sitting as chairman of the judiciary committee. Posted at 10:58 AM ARLEN SPECTER MUST BE STOPPED: STOP HIM NOW [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A few readers have already told me they have e-mailed Bill Frist and/or their senators. The more I think about it, this election is not over—there is unfinished business. As you know, Arlen Specter warned the president yesterday, in the press, that he will have a litmus test for judges if Specter is judiciary chair, a foregone conclusion as far as most are concerned. Fact is, folks, HE IS NOT JUDICIARY CHAIR, but there will be elections in the Senate in the coming days which could very well make him judiciary chairman. Conservatives, as we have seen, won this election. Many of you personally played no small role in that. Why should Republicans stifle their conservative base by putting Arlen Specter in as judiciary chair? There is no reason. If there was some deal cut that he would be judiciary chair, it seems to me he broke it yesterday. Some might want to give him the benefit of the doubt. (Not me.) Maybe Specter just wanted to keep the liberals who supported his reelection bid off his case, so he issued his warning to the president on the day of his victory (and a very conservative victory across the nation, at that). Fact is, we only know what he says. And I, for one, will take him on his word. So, simply put, Arlen Specter cannot be judiciary chair. If you agree—if you agree that good men and women cannot be kept off the Supreme Court because they are against abortion (disqualifying, for starters, any faithful Catholic, many evangelicals, Muslims, automatically…)—call and e-mail Bill Frist (and your Republican senators, if applicable) today. I’m pretty certain an overwhelming outcry from conservatives in the next few days is the only way Arlen Specter can be kept from becoming a huge obstacle. So get to work. Frist’s number is 202-224-3344. P.S. I'd congratulate Frist on his great wins in the Senate, too! Posted at 10:50 AM THIS ONE'S FOR ADLER [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Jonah, I'm a college professor, and needless to say, I meet and know a lot of people who hate Bush. In the past week, three colleagues in different situations (when they found out that I support Bush) named Bush's record on the environment as his primary evil. Hearing this same line from unrelated sources made me wonder if I'd missed the talking points memo. But more than that, each of them spoke as though it were personal ("We're full of lead," said one, as though this were both factual and Bush's fault). Posted at 10:50 AM A GOOD QUESTION FOR THE DAYS TO COME [Jonah Goldberg] From an old e-buddy: Your post was right, but let's not "leave gay marraige out of this for a moment." Because it seems undeniable (at least, no partisans on either side are arguing it) that Bush won re-election on the votes of people whose primary concern was gay marriage, abortion, and other "values" issues. While you, most of NRO, and most especially the right-wing bloggers were focused on foreign policy issues as the reason to vote for Bush, they apparently had little to do with why he won. Doesn't that bother and/or worry you a little? (It should worry the leftist bloggers even more, of course.) Is banning gay marriage really _that_ important? And doesn't Bush owe those folks a lot more than he owes the hawks? Posted at 10:46 AM SCROLL DOWN, SCROLL DOWN [KJL] I keep getting e-mails encouraging us to talk about Arlen Specter's maddening warning to the president and noting that Katie Couric was wearing black. I don't mind that at all, but it worries me some don't know to scroll down. There's been active Corner life (I know, not always) since about 5 this morning. So scroll on down! Posted at 10:36 AM JOURNALIST'S HEAD EXPLODES [Andrew Stuttaford] This, um, commentary comes from the London Daily Mirror. Warning: It contains strong language and weak thought. Sit down before reading. Here's a (mildly bowdlerized) sample: "As for the ones who put him in, across the Bible Belt and the South, us outsiders can only feel pity...the self-righteous, gun-totin', military lovin', sister marryin', abortion-hatin', gay-loathin', foreigner-despisin', non-passport ownin' red-necks, who believe God gave America the biggest d*** in the world so it could urinate on the rest of us and make their land "free and strong". Someone, I think, needs a nice cup of tea - and urgent psychiatric attention. Posted at 10:28 AM ISSUES IN OUR DAILY LIVES [John Hood] Jonah’s earlier post about how the news media are spinning the election results is right on the money. The talking-head class misread the election, can’t understand it, and is trying desperately to spin the results in ways that don’t invalidate their preconceived, and erroneous, assumptions about the contest. I had a similar thought today when I noticed a consistent them in the media chatter: Bush’s win was all about gay marriage. That’s a dramatic overstatement: it was partly about gay marriage, and more generally about moral and cultural issues. But rather than attempting to comprehend the results and explain their various layers, the commentators are latching onto the gay-marriage them because 1) they find it surprising that voters care about such issues, which makes it news; 2) they view social conservatives as a fascinating foreign culture, much like the lost tribes of Borneo; and 3) it serves to invalidate the Bush agenda on taxes, Social Security, and the war. After all, his only mandate was against same-sex marriage. They’re missing the point that political parties are coalitions. Individuals and groups within the coalition bring different things to the table, including different priorities and views. Without a broad coalition, a political party is not competitive. Based on the exit polls, it is just as legitimate to say that Bush’s edge on taxes was the difference in the popular vote — if you multiply the share of voters citing taxes as the number-one issue by the preference for the Republican, you get about 3 percent. It is also just as legitimate to say that education and health care were the winning issues for Bush, since if you work the math out the Bush voters picking these two issues as top priorities add up to about 3 percent. So it was No Child Left Behind and Health Savings Accounts that won the election for Bush! Another bias in the exit-poll data is that the issues of terrorism and the war in Iraq are reported as separate priorities for voters. Well, that’s what many Democrats and the media believe, but most voters (55 percent) said that the war in Iraq is part of the war on terrorism, so for them the two categories aren’t separate. If you add the two together, the issue of national security was by far the most important in the 2004 race — the choice of one-third of the electorate — and Bush won a clear, though not overwhelming, majority there. It turns out that you need every slice of a pie to make it round. It doesn’t matter how wide or narrow the slice is. Posted at 10:25 AM MIDDLE CLASS FOR W [Cliff May] I know there are different definitions of middle class, but those earning between $50,000 and $200,000 seems to me to be a reasonable one. A majority of those in that income range (56.5%) voted for Bush according to the CNN exit poll Posted at 10:17 AM ARAFAT [Cliff May] This time, rumors of Arafat’s imminent demise may not be premature. When it happens it will be an opportunity – most of all for Palestinians. My Scripps Howard column (which I somehow churned out on Election Day) is here. Posted at 10:10 AM PRECIOUS: LAURA SNUBBED BY BLUE KATIE [KJL] A reader relays: Am listening to the Laura Ingraham radio show. She just related the story of her invitation yesterday afternoon from the Today booker to participate in this segment. She agreed, but only after repeatedly asking whether her invitation had been cleared by Katie Couric, who doesn't like to have Laura on the show. Later in the afternoon, she received an email that withdrew the invitation. Sounds like Katie isn't feeling particularly forgiving toward Republicans these days. Posted at 10:01 AM ZELL MILLER RESPONDS TO THE ELECTION [KJL] in the Atlanta Journal Constitution: This election outcome should have been implausible, if not impossible. With a litany of complaints — bad economy, bad deficit, bad foreign war, bad gas prices — amplified by a national media that discarded any pretense of neutrality, a national opposition party should have won this election. Posted at 09:58 AM THANK YOU [KJL] I did some thank yous yesterday--and again apologize to those I didn't name, there are so many people who help make NRO what it is. But thank you, too, again for everyone who kept reading--even when exit-poll reporting ticked you off (or who came back later!)--and to all those who sent kind, e-mails--many of them bucked some of us up for the long haul. E-mails like: I stayed up all night using my new Mozilla Firefox browser. In the tabs, I had FNC, CNN, MSNBC, Drudge, and "The Corner'. The Corner was always a half hour ahead of any of the on-line news services.and I just want to add my voice to the others who have said thanks for keeping them sane before and during the election. Your site was the voice of reason in the midst of it all...and may I say that in terms of up-to-the-minute coverage, you blew away any of the mainstream media sites. I should have done this before, but I am now a subscriber and will be back often!and I felt it not only an obligation, but a priviledge to thank you and your site for giving me a sense of sanity and calm I really needed. I am a diehard Republican and was for them all the way, I even volunteered for them in my state and gave my all. I was exhausted. As much as I knew we did all we could, I have to admit I was sweating it, panicky. The ups and downs I was hearing was playing havoc on me. I cried when MSNBC called Ohio for Bush and then seconds later Alaska also (I guess it all hit me at once: one of the ups I just mentioned) then the downs of too close to call Ohio, Iowa's machines breaking down, etc.To those new readers: stay for awhile. I think you'll always find something you'll like. To old readers: Thanks for the loyalty. To everyone: Much more new stuff coming, and more of your old-time favs, of course. One warning: I fully expect many NRO writers will be sleeping a little this weekend, so cut us some slack, but there's much more work to do, so it'll just be a catnap, in the big scheme of things. Thanks again, folks! We appreciate your every e-mail--the positive, the negative, the suggestions, the links, the jokes, you name it--and click more than you know. And, of course, if you want more National Review analysis and reporting, humor (Rob Long and Mark Steyn in every issue! John Derbyshire and Rick Brookhiser! So many more.) subscribe to National Review. There's a paper editon of the print magazine, the tradtional way to subscribe and there is now a digital edition, a little over a year old now. A subscription to the print magazine includes digital access. Paper subscription link is here. Digital link is here. You not only get MORE NATIONAL REVIEW if you subscribe, you also support the whole National Review project--which includes, naturally National Review Online, which, because of what it is and where it is and the fact that it is free, has an unprecedented power to evangelize and move mountains... Posted at 09:56 AM I LOVE [KJL] Ramesh's response to "unity" talk. Posted at 09:38 AM A PRINCE AMONG MEN [KJL] Official NR Friend Jerry Wiffler came by world headquarters yesterday bearing gifts of California champagne and the hard stuff--Glenmorangie Single Highland Malt Scotch Whisky, a choice he’s “pretty sure Derb would approve of.” This is not Jerry’s first above-and-beyond kindness. Thank you! Is it too early in the day to break it open? Posted at 09:36 AM AND CONGRATS TO THE AMISH! [Rich Lowry] From Wash Post on Ohio: “Compared with 2000, his vote totals and margins of victory soared all across Ohio's Appalachian southeast and its southern and western farm belt. He even won over Ohio's Amish, capturing Holmes County in the heart of Amish country with 76 percent of the total.” Posted at 09:36 AM AL HUNT: [Rich Lowry] “Conversations yesterday suggested despondency among Democrats unequaled in contemporary times.” Posted at 09:34 AM RE: "MOUSE POTATO" [KJL] An e-mail: I've always preferred to call myself a mouse jockey. You're right, mouse potato sounds much, much too passive. Mouse jockeys, like regular jockeys, have to learn how to navigate around obstacles when it gets crowded and tight (think political blogs on election night). Plus, like horseracing, speed is the crucial element. The technology trinity of man, mouse, and high speed access all work together. If it all clicks, I win by getting in. If my DSL is slower than your cable access then I'm staring at overloaded server messages while you're reading to your heart's content. Posted at 09:31 AM VICTORY KNICK-KNACKS [John Derbyshire] Check out FoundersOfAmerica.com, which is already celebrating the election victory, & has some great Americana knick-knacks you can buy. See also their wonderful Veterans Day Flanders/Gettysburg tributes (top left button on the page). Posted at 09:30 AM S.C. POST-MORTEM [John J. Miller] An interesting post-mortem from Adam Kovacevich, the communications director for South Carolina's Democratic Senate candidate, Inez Tenenbaum. I don't buy all of it -- I think DeMint's victory was about more than Bush-hugging -- but it's an example of an honest Democrat trying to make sense of what happened: Well, we got beat, fair and square. A tough night for Democratic candidates all around. Just wanted to share a few thoughts on the final outcome here in SC as this one heads for the history books. * Bush won SC by 17 points; DeMint won by 10 points. Which means that although Inez outperformed Kerry and DeMint underperformed Bush in SC, Bush's coattails here were too much to overcome. The same thing happened in the other competitive Senate races (NC, FL, OK, SD). In the final weeks of the campaign, DeMint's only message was to hug Bush. It worked. * Until a week ago, the race was essentially tied. So what happened? Inez was subjected to a week of unrelenting attacks on TV/radio/mail/newspapers. The NRA, Right to Work Committee, Club for Growth, and James Dobson's group all came in to the state with anti-Inez messages. In the end, the negative attacks and the presidential election succeeded in making Bush's coattails and Republican party label the key factors in the race in the last week. * If his past is any guide, I suspect DeMint will claim his victory vindicated his "postive, big ideas" approach. The facts suggest otherwise -- DeMint rode national trends (Bush's popularity) into office, and was aided tremendously by a flood of negative advertising from conservative groups in the final weeks -- none of which was "positive." * Finally - I recommend extreme caution in divining much about this race based on the National Election Pool exit polling in SC. As in other states, they missed the mark in SC; their final prediction was DeMint 50-49. Until the final week, this race was much closer and more competitive than anyone expected. Inez was the best candidate Dems could have had in SC this year, and we ran the strongest campaign possible. And in the end, DeMint's victory has more to do with George Bush than any other factor. Posted at 09:29 AM LETTERMAN KERRY EXCUSES [KJL] Some of these are very funny: "Should've campaigned more in New Mexico, less in regular Mexico."; "Thought America was ready for a lunatic first lady."; "The endorsement from Osama Bin Laden didn't exactly help him."; "Floridians confused by shockingly unconfusing ballots." There are more... Posted at 09:29 AM MUSLIMS AGAINST TERRORISM CELEBRATE [Cliff May] This email just arrived from Kamal Nawash, head of FMCAT : The Free Muslim Coalition Against Terrorism congratulates President George Bush on his victory and reelection to the presidency of the United States. Bush won a decisive victory and we wish him all the best in the next four years. President Bush has led the War on Terrorism with clarity and steadfastness. In the face of extreme criticism, President Bush never wavered. He continued to fight the War on Terrorism, despite political and personal risks. Since we formed, the Free Muslim Coalition endured criticism and attacks from all sides for our efforts in the War on Terrorism. We understand how difficult it is to fight the temptation to bend to constant criticism and stick to your principles, as Bush has done with confidence. President Bush is the leader we need to win this war and we are encouraged to have his courage and leadership. We also thank John Kerry for running a vigorous campaign, and we congratulate the voters that showed the world that America's democracy is strong and vibrant. Now that the campaign is over, we ask President George Bush and Senator John Kerry to work together to unite the people behind a more prosperous, stronger, and more secure America. The United States has many challenges ahead. However, no challenge is so great that a free and united country with strong leadership cannot overcome. For more information visit our website at: www.freemuslims.org Posted at 09:21 AM EEEEEEEEEENTERESTING [Jonah Goldberg] I'm not qualified to check the math (at least not quickly). But the Baseball crank contends that higher turnout was a huge boon for Bush, not Kerry. Take that conventional wisdom! Posted at 09:02 AM THE BIG QUESTIONS: "MOUSE POTATO" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] On CNN, just heard that's a phrase to describe those who read and post blogs. I've never really paid attention enough to hear it, I guess. Dunno, though, that doesn't seem entirely fair. Seems to me that even just navigating (never mind posting in) the blogosphere requires more effort than, say, hitting the remote control. And it's a heck of a lot more interactive than TV--unless you are Jonah yelling from the couch. Posted at 08:57 AM THE ISSUES THAT AFFECT PEOPLE IN THEIR DAILY LIVES [Jonah Goldberg] This is the standard trope, cliche or talking point used by Democrats and liberals to explain the sorts of issues they think their party is better at dealing with. If you ever watch West Wing, paid attention to Bill Clinton's eight year rule, listen to Hillary Clinton, read liberal magazines or blogs or care about politics at all than you've heard some variant of this 8 hundred katrillion times. I understand what they mean: Maternity leave, health care etc. Fine. Good. Nice. But here's the thing I'm missing. These people who hate Bush with such blinding passion, the ones who talk about fascism this and lost civil liberties that: when I ask them what they hate about Bush and his policies they almost never talk about the issues that affect their daily lives. It's all this righteous indignation about Abu Ghraib or Gitmo or Jose Padilla. Or it's about the Patriot Act. Or the tax cuts. But in almost all of these cases these folks can't describe in concrete terms how Bush's policies affect their daily lives (let's leave gay marriage out of this for a moment). I think it is entirely legitimate, even necessary, to complain about political decisions on principle even if they have no affect on your own comfort. The Patriot Act, Abu Ghraib etc are all real issues. But they are not issues that affect 99.999999% of these gripers' daily lives. Show me a hundred thousand people picked at random who say the Patriot Act has made their life worse and I will show you nine hundred and ninety nine thousand nine hundred and ninety nine liars. How you can talk about creeping fascism under the Bush administration and joke about how you might leave the country when nothing, nada, zip has happened to you or anyone you know that would provide evidence for such views is beyond me -- if your yardstick for political merit is how it affects your daily life. It seems that the "affect our daily lives" criteria for politicians is really an expression of a preference for politicians who will "give me stuff." And politicians who don't give me stuff are automatically fascists. Discuss amongst yourselves. Posted at 08:52 AM RELIVING IT ALL [KJL] People who want to relive Election Day and other assorted hard-on-the-heart moments, we do have an archive of The Corner right at the top of this page. See "Archive" link right on "The Corner" i.d. section. Always there for your reference. (A few have asked, so I pass along) Posted at 08:51 AM MORE RED BLUE [Stanley Kurtz] Readers have let me know that USA Today has put up red and blue maps by counties. Here’s the 2004 map. Here’s the 2000 map. Posted at 08:48 AM CABINET [KJL] Can we start naming Ridge and Mineta replacements now? John O'Sullivan? Michelle Malkin? Posted at 08:47 AM WHISPERING W [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Stanley, as I noted at least once in these parts during the campaign, I was increasingly hopeful about a win once I started wearing W. around New York and parts. In the East Village, people would come up to me and whisper, "I love your pin." or "Go Bush!" or "I'm not the only one!" I really think people were afraid to say they were for W. Might account for some of the polling, for sure. And would explain why people who gave him high job-approval or confidence marks still told phone pollster they were voting for the more acceptable one. Posted at 08:40 AM RADIO... RADIO... [Jonah Goldberg] I'm going to be hanging out with that band of reprobates and moperers at KSFO at 8 AM West Coast Time. I'm also going to do my increasingly regular gig on that NPR show Day By Day. But I have no idea what time it airs and where since we don't get it in DC. Basically, Jacob Weisberg and I disagree on politics for a few minutes. (And, yes, you should say "Radio...Radio" like the dude from Wall of Voodoo in the "Mexican Radio" video. I say this because now at least 1,300 Cornerites raised in the 1980s will have that song stuck in their heads for the rest of the day). Posted at 08:37 AM NEW CABINET [John J. Miller] If Ashcroft leaves, I would bet Larry Thompson, the former deputy AG, makes the short list. If Powell leaves, I'd love to see John Bolton replace him but doubt it would happen. As for other departures, I suspect Tom Ridge won't be around much longer. Posted at 08:35 AM SHHH...I'M A BUSH SUPPORTER [Stanley Kurtz] Here’s a great piece about “shy Republicans” that I think is dead on. The idea here is that the exit polls undercounted Bush supporters because some of them were too shy to admit that they’d voted for the president. I’ve suspected for some time that at least a small percentage of Bush supporters disguised their views when polled. But I’ve been too “shy” to state my suspicion out loud. It seemed too much like wishful thinking. Yet the frequent tendency of polls to underestimate public opposition to same-sex marriage is a clear precedent for the “shy voter” effect. People understand what MSM considers politically incorrect. They assume that pollsters are part of the liberal media, so they often keep their conservative views to themselves. The anti-Bush hatred and violence in this election managed to turn support for the president into almost as much of a taboo as, say, opposition to affirmative action. Given that, exit polls probably undercounted support for the president. The “shy Republican” effect is a cousin of the famous “silent majority.” It’s also the polar opposite of the liberal fantasy that “the people” are instinctively leftist, but too poor or discouraged to vote. This notion that “the people” are really on the side of revolution predates and inspires all the nonsense about voter “intimidation” in the 2000 election. But this election has exploded the fantasy of “the people’s” secret leftism. We finally got massive turnout, and it was dominated, not by newly energized leftists, but by a silent majority of “shy Republicans.” The myth of the secretly leftist “people” is over. There is just no plausible way to blame this election on anything other than the public’s relative conservatism. That’s why, for the first time in a long time, some real soul-searching is emerging on the left. And let’s remember that all of this felicitous liberal soul searching is being prompted by exit polls revealing popular concern for moral issues. So let’s be careful before throwing the exit poll baby out with the bath water. Posted at 08:30 AM RED & BLUE BLUES [Stanley Kurtz] Somehow we’ve fallen into the habit of talking about “red states” and “blue states.” Actually, the original map of the reds and the blues was a map of counties. It was the power of a map with vast stretches of red and only tiny patches of blue that brought home the idea of a cultural divide. The real gap was between a few urban areas and most of the rest of the country. Even in many “blue states,” its only a few densely populated counties that are truly blue. So here’s a job for someone. Do a red and blue map of Bush and Kerry counties, then compare that map to the original from 2000. Posted at 08:29 AM CONVERTING LIONS TO CHRISTIANITY [Jonah Goldberg] Yes, I know the story of Daniel in the Lion's Den. Yes, I know this story has been up on Drudge for a few days. Yes, I know I'm neither a Christian nor a theologian. But I've got to say that when people try to convert lions to Christianity (or Budhism, Taoism, whatever) and then they get bit, it's a sign to me that the universe is humming along properly. Posted at 08:29 AM HELPING YOU WITH THE ELECTION LOSS PAIN [KJL] Here's more blue-state blues self-help. Did anyone offer us help when Bill CLinton won a second time? Posted at 08:10 AM AN INTERVIEW ABOUT ELECTION AND ITS FOREIGN POLICY IMPACT WITH WALTER RUSSELL MEAD [John Hillen] Rich Lowry reviewed his new book “Power, Terror, Peace and War” in NR and I have a long review essay about it and other books on America’s imperial burden in the forthcoming issue of Orbis. Worth a read. Posted at 08:06 AM BLUE STATE BLUES [Cliff May] I received an email from an old college friend, born and raised in New York City, still living there, a bright guy, an attorney, reads the New York Times and the New Yorker, I’m sure, shops at Zabar’s … you know what I mean. His email read:Imagine if Kerry had won and I had written him: “Let communism ring.” He’d think I was unglued – and he’d be correct. What has happened to these people? On some level, they are still adolescents. Good for Kerry that he did not sound such themes. Posted at 08:05 AM MEDIA QUESTIONS ARE LIBERAL QUESTIONS [Tim Graham] Our NPR watchdog reports that yesterday's "Morning Edition" included Melissa Block asking Senate majority whip Mitch McConnell: "You've got the Senate majority leader, Bill Frist, out on a victory tour with Republican senators in the south. I wonder if you think that might be the wrong message, that it's not the time for gloating, but for real cooperation and reaching out." Earth to Melissa: it's November. Taking a victory lap to please your campaign workers is not the "wrong message." There will be time for reaching out in January. Posted at 08:04 AM NRO GETS RESULTS [Michael Graham] Yesterday I bashed the BBC for the painfully uniformed, over-the-top Bush bashing. This morning I get a phone call from the DC bureau of the Beeb. They’re on their way to interview me and (more importantly) tape my callers’ reaction to the election. Posted at 08:03 AM PERSONNEL CHANGES [Andrew Stuttaford] Giuiliani for Homeland Security, McCain for Defense. Posted at 07:59 AM CHARMAINE YOEST [Kathryn Jean Lopez] was just on Today battling the angry forces of Katie and Naomi Wolf on why married women voted W. Wolf says, essentially, it is because they had sane-looking women like Yoest softening their "radical" agenda. Wolf ignored the reminder that gay-marriage bans passed in 11 states. Was a brilliant Rovian use-the-sane-looking-radicals-only strategy behind them all? Posted at 07:50 AM COMMENT FROM LONDON [Andrew Stuttaford] From an old friend in the UK: "Much wailing and gnashing of teeth from the lefties over here, haven't had so much fun since Ron beat Carter." Posted at 07:40 AM "THEY HAD TO TAKE AWAY HIS CELL PHONE TWICE" [KJL] (because he would always secondguess after decisions were mad.) Evan Thomas, on Today, tells tales of intense infighting and Kerry mismanagement. Ignored Clinton advice to support state bans on gay marriage (which Evan Thomas says was a matter of "principle" for Kerry). Contrasts it with Bush organization and discipline. Posted at 07:37 AM BUSH WINS [KJL] the same portion of the gay vote as in 2000? Posted at 07:35 AM "SEASONS GREETINGS," FROM MACY'S (COMMERCIAL) [KJL] The election is over. It's apparently Christmas already. Posted at 07:30 AM RUSSERT THINKS WE MIGHT SEE LEAVING... [KJL] Powell, Ashcroft, Rumsfeld, Rice. Ideal replacements, Corner colleagues? Posted at 07:21 AM WOW...THE THINGS I MUST HAVE DONE DURING EXIT POLL HOURS [KJL] This arrived in my in-box: Thank you for your interest in employment with NASCAR. Because our continued success is dependent upon the quality of our workforce, we will carefully review your resume and keep it on file for six months. ... Posted at 07:15 AM LIBERALS WHO CAN'T HANDLE THE TRUTH [Jonah Goldberg ] James Wolcott: "Good, Go Ahead, America, Choke on Your Own Vomit, You Deserve to Die." Instapundit has a round-up Posted at 07:13 AM YUP, KATIE COURIC [KJL] is still in black. And..Dr. Phil is stopping by Today to help blue staters who are blue. Posted at 07:02 AM ARAFAT [KJL] JERUSALEM (AP) -- A senior Palestinian official says Yasser Arafat has lapsed into a coma. Posted at 06:57 AM PLEASE, TAKE SPECTER FIRST... [KJL] Chaffee might switch...(a.ka. making an honest man of himself.) Posted at 06:29 AM SLOW REFLEXES [KJL] Looking at President Bush on newspaper covers this morning, it is only just setting in: We won. What relief. People really do get it. They really, really do. Make sure you read our editorial (see homepage) if you haven't already. Posted at 06:22 AM RE: SPECTER [KJL] So let's come up with a way to deal with this damaging problem, John. I know Bill Frist is asking The Corner this this morning.... Posted at 06:21 AM A SPECTER HAUNTS THE GOP [John J. Miller] Republicans increased their control of the Senate this week, but if they make Arlen Specter chairman of the Senate Judiciary Committee, they may effectively lose control of the judicial nominating process. It's amazing how President Bush pulled this guy over the finish line in April, when he was nearly defeated in a primary, and now Specter is issuing threats to the White House on judges. Specter is probably entering his final term now, which means that he's completely unaccountable to anybody. Watch out. Posted at 06:10 AM CAMPAIGN 2004 RECOVERY--THE LONG VERSION [KJL] I'm going to have to sleep some more before I feel obligated to do all those things I I said I would do after the election. Posted at 06:01 AM POOR ALEC [KJL] Canada may not embrace disgruntled American celebs. Posted at 05:57 AM MANHATTAN KINDA NIGHT [KJL] A few like this came in last night: "After reading your post on the Corner last night, I ended up picking up a bottle of sweet vermouth on my way home from work. I'll tell ya... a Manhattan makes an excellent celebratory cocktail. Particularly with the cherry juice, as suggested." Posted at 05:56 AM A READER: [KJL] Reason for Joy #9,974: Posted at 05:50 AM RE: ARLEN [KJL] And does the GOP have to make him judiciary chair? Can't we just tick him off and make him switch parties? I guess that means trouble later on if the GOP loses the majority...but...ARGH. Posted at 05:40 AM COOL STUFF THAT HAPPENED TUESDAY [KJL] Bobby Jindal was elected to Congress. Expected, but cool all the same. Posted at 05:34 AM ARLEN: "DON'T SEND ANY SUPREME COURT NOMINEES WHO WOULD OPPOSE ROE UP HERE" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Since the GOP has a comfortable majority, winning states, like Alaska I would have nevr put money on, can Specter be bribed to switch parties? surely there's got to be something in life more attractive to him than judiciary chair that would cause less harm.... Posted at 05:32 AM THE FRENCH REACTION [John J. Miller] The leaders and newspapers of Our Oldest Enemy react to Bush's re-election... Jacques Chirac: "It is my hope that your second term will provide an opportunity to strengthen the French-American friendship." Headlines from French newspapers: "Nasty times ahead" and "The empire gets worse." Another French commentary: "It is disastrous news for the world. An America that is conservative, war-like, fanatical and backward-looking is at the controls for the next four years." Posted at 05:07 AM Wednesday, November 03, 2004 MODERATES & LIBERALS FWIW [Jonah Goldberg] I am actually a big believer in labels and I've written many times that I think people who say they don't believe in labels are essentially ashamed, embarrassed or otherwise uncomfortable with admitting they are liberals of one stripe or another. In Washington I meet scores of successful professionals (particularly journalists) who swear they are moderates or For these and related reasons I'm a bit dubious that all of these people who tell exit-pollsters that they're moderates are, in fact, moderates. Many probably are. Also there's the whole dull but complex issue of figuring out what a moderate actually is. But I'd bet a statistically super-significant chunk are just too ashamed to admit they're liberals. Posted at 06:15 PM THE JOY OF POLITICS [John Derbyshire] I'm getting a lot of e-mails from Republicans who are *happy*. Happy happy H-A-P-P-Y! It's a wonderful thing to behold. Posted at 06:09 PM HOW CAN BRITS STAND IT [Michael Graham] I'm listening to C-SPAN's simulcast of the Beeb, and in five minutes I've heard it called the "so-called War On Terror," and Americans described as "just as religious in their way as Middle Easterners are." I've heard Americans accused of killing more Iraqis than Saddam and the terrorists. All in FIVE minutes! And you Brits pay TAXES for this? You've got harbors. We can loan you the tea. Why don't you do something? Posted at 06:08 PM RE: JONAH'S UNFORTUNATE LAPSE [Rod Dreher] "Texas, Shmexas"?! Boys, git a rope. Posted at 06:06 PM MORAL OF THE STORY [Rod Dreher] Over at The New Republic campaign blog, Michelle Cottle writes: According to the voter breakdown that CNN is currently hawking, the top reason that Bush voters gave for supporting their guy was not the economy, not Iraq, not even the war on terrorism. It was "moral values." That's right, with American soldiers dying overseas, Al Qaeda still gunning for us at home, the deficit spiraling, the gap between rich and poor growing, Social Security on the brink, etc., etc., Bush's reelection was driven by a bunch of folks freaked out over the thought of gay marriage and stem-cell research. God save the republic. Um, sorry, but the prospect of having a basic and ancient social institution redefined for the nation by judicial fiat is a really big deal to a lot of us. As is the moral question of the exploitation of human life. Basic civilizational questions. Posted at 06:05 PM SCHEIBER, HE EXPLAINED [Jonah Goldberg] Everyone seems to think Scheiber means this. Sounds fair to me: I "think" what they mean is simply Bush made sure his base showed up. If the 4 million missing Christians theory was true, then, he just needed to get them to vote. Posted at 06:03 PM NEWSPAPER STORY [Michael Ledeen] You wanna hear a really great newspaper story? Of course you do. Yesterday afternoon in Rome, my buddy Giuliano Ferrara--the editor of the wonderful "il Foglio"--pondered his front page for Wednesday. He didn't know anything about the electoral outcome since it was late morning here and we were still voting and there weren't even exit polls. What to do? Well, he could duck the whole question, but, as he told his readers, that would have been professionally cowardly since this was the biggest story of our generation. So he went for it, and this morning in Rome--that is to say, at one in the morning our time, even before Michael Barone and his guys at Fox had awarded Ohio to Bush--"il Foglio" emerged with a nine-column headline in bright red: WHY GEORGE W. BUSH WON THE ELECTIONS Clear victory of the president who cuts taxes and wages war. And the rest of the paper explains--very well, by the way--how and why it happened. Eat your heart out, Zogby. Posted at 05:43 PM I DON'T GET IT [Jonah Goldberg] Noam Scheiber writes (and Sullivan posts): Not only did Kerry win by an 86-13 margin among self-described liberals, he also won by a 55-45 margin among self-described moderates. So how'd Bush pull it off? He won 84-15 among self-described conservatives, and, more importantly, he made sure conservatives comprised a much bigger chunk of the electorate than they did in 2000. (Conservatives comprised about 34 percent of the electorate yesterday, versus 29 percent in 2000 -- a huge shift, raw numbers-wise.) Anyone anticipating a conciliatory second Bush term should stop and consider how much Bush owes his base. Me: I'm not being cute. I can't link to his full piece and I'm tired. But I don't get it. How did Bush "make sure" that conservatives comprised a much bigger chunk of the electorate? Couldn't it be the case that electorate is becoming more conservative? Posted at 05:37 PM RE: THE ENVOY [Jonah Goldberg] (apologies to Warren Zevon). Fine Andrew, go ahead and make sensible points. Hmm....how about Ambassador Zell Miller? Or, more seriously, how about Ambassador Giuliani? Posted at 05:34 PM MICHAEL MOORE [KJL] is mad and morose Posted at 05:20 PM AMBASSADOR KERRY? [Andrew Stuttaford] Jonah, I do think that it’s important that Bush be seen to be a good winner and I do know that you were only sort of serious, but Kerry is not the guy to send to Europe. To be effective over there, any such envoy would have to be known to have the ear of the president. Somehow I don’t think that Kerry is that guy. Posted at 05:14 PM RE: UNITER [Jonah Goldberg] Yeah, the more I think about it the more I think approach is not only smart but right (though for the record, Mass Governors no longer appoint Senators). At minimum putting the pressure on Dems to make the war bipartisan makes sense. Put the ball in their court. Extend a hand. If the dems slap it, fine. Make hay. But I do agree with the pro-Kerry, pro-warriors that one appealing aspect of a Kerry win would have been making the Dems accountable on the war. I simply thought Kerry wouldn't rise to the challenge and that the price to be paid and risk involved in giving him a shot wasn't worth it. But that doesn't mean getting the Dems more on board wouldn't good for the Dems, the GOP, the war and the country. Posted at 05:12 PM PUBLIC GETS IT RIGHT [Rich Lowry] One reason I thought Bush was going to win all year long--with bouts of nervousness--is that the American public gets big questions right. On balance, this president just flat-out deserved to be re-elected, especially when compared to the alternative. It would have been distressing had the public rewarded the sort of (mostly) cheap, opportunistic, demagogic attacks to which he was subjected. Posted at 05:08 PM UNITER [Rich Lowry] Jonah, you are absloutely right. Create the Kerry Commission on European Diplomacy. Have Joe Biden in and out of the WH constantly, because his ideas are so irresistibly thoughtful. Appoint any high-profile Dem you can find to ambassadorships. Rip ideas out of the Kerry campaign playbook--bigger special forces, more spending on decent education in the Islamic world--and extravegently credit Kerry for advancing them so persuasively in this campaign. Use every soft-sell tactic possible and every bi-partisan blandishment out there to create more of a bi-partisan, consensus feel around the war on terror. Might not work, but every little bit will help. Posted at 05:08 PM "FANNEL HALL" [Jonah Goldberg] From Poppa G:
Posted at 04:49 PM BUSH SHOULD BE A UNITER [Jonah Goldberg] And I'm even kind of serious about this. Why not ask John Kerry to be his special envoy to Europe to ask for help and assistance from France, Germany etc. It puts Kerry's money where his mouth is (or at least some of it), makes Bush look magnanimous, Kerry gets to speak French at some nice hotel conferences and -- hey -- the Dems lose a Senate seat in Mass. Posted at 03:52 PM TEXAS, SHMEXAS [Jonah Goldberg] Folks, I have nothing against thanking Texas. I thought that was right and good. Heck I like Texas (one of the best summers of my childhood was spent in Temple, Texas). But i thought it was a weird way to end the speech. It just struck me as a discordant note to strike when you're trying to be a uniter of the whole United States. Posted at 03:45 PM CAN I VOTE FOR TONY BLAIR TOO? [KJL] He's speaking now about Bush victory. Posted at 03:33 PM GO MIDDLE? [John J. Miller] I try to avoid watching ABC News, but somehow my TV was stuck on that channel for Bush. Afterwards, Stephanopoulous and Halperin came on and both explained how Bush now has a mandate to go toward the middle. Halperin even labeled Bush a lame duck. Puh-leeze! Today, of all days, our president is anything but lame. And he won't be waddling over to the officially-approved political positions of ABC News anytime soon. Posted at 03:31 PM FUNNY BECAUSE IT'S TRUE [Michael Graham] I don't know of Dick Cheney was thinking of John Edwards when he told his joke about "delivering Wyoming's electoral votes for the Bush Cheney ticket." But I sure was. Posted at 03:30 PM MSM [John Podhoretz] On ABC, Mark Halperin of scandalous ABC media bias memo fame just called Bush a "lame duck." Two minutes after the president finished his speech. Here's a memo for Mark Halperin: Thank you for making our job so easy! Posted at 03:26 PM IN VICTORY... [KJL] The first 20 NRO readers and Bush voters from Ohio (you must currently live in Ohio) who email thecorner@nationalreview.com"> will get a FREE one-year NR Digital subscription courtesy of NRO contributor John Hillen. Posted at 03:25 PM HE GETS IT [Cliff May] “Our nation has shown resolve and patience in a new kind of war.” “We will help emerging democracies of Iraq and Afghanistan.” “Families and faith.” “With good allies at our side, we will fight his war with every resource of our national power. So our children can live in freedom and in peace.” “There is no limit to the greatness of America.” “Sturdy and honest and as hopeful as the break of day.” “The United States of America goes forward with confidence and faith.” “God bless you and may God bless America.’ Posted at 03:19 PM BUSH HUGS [John Hillen] K-Lo, Bush-Cheney hugs on the rope line are more like hearty hand shakes or even Bob Dole grabs that are accompanied by a hearty clap on the back, shoulder squeeze, or even the rarely seen but highly prized forearm shiver. This is not kumbaya tell-me-about-your-inner-feelings hugs our man is talking about here. Posted at 03:18 PM BUSH'S VICTORY ANNOUNCEMENT [Jonah Goldberg] Ended very oddly. Thanking Texas? That's nice, but, um, not really a soaring presidential high note to end on. Posted at 03:18 PM MARSHALL'S AMERICA [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Hey Jonah: Posted at 03:16 PM OK, JUST THIS ONCE [Andrew Stuttaford] Don't speak too soon, Kathryn. Chris Matthews is just reporting that, in the immediate aftermath of victory, George Bush hugged Dick Cheney. Mr. Cheney’s response is not recorded. Posted at 03:13 PM FROM, YES, THE GUARDIAN [Andrew Stuttaford] “If this doesn't add up to a mandate, it is hard to know what the word means. Increased turnout. Narrow but decisive wins on all fronts. What more can you ask for from a single campaign? Bush and his party won fair (well, probably) and square.” Posted at 03:12 PM ASIDE [KJL] But you can't help but notice W. & Cheney don't do hugs. Too much hugging. Update: Bush just thanked people for their hugs on the ropelines. Oh well. Still... Posted at 03:12 PM BUSH WON? I WILL IF YOU WILL. [Tim Graham] It should be apparent now that the network projection process began as a mix of polling mathematics and diplomacy (let's avoid congressional hearings this time), and then in the wee hours of the morning, it became purely political -- from the minute Mary Beth Cahill said the Kerry camp would fight for every vote in Ohio. How weird was it that all of Ohio's votes were counted, with a 130,000-plus margin for Bush -- beyond the margin of litigation -- but some networks wouldn't call the state until news bubbled up that Kerry called Bush to concede? And that others failed to call Nevada until that moment? That's not straight-shooting, just the facts, ma'am journalism. That's playing it very political. Posted at 03:10 PM NEW BUSH SLOGAN [Drew Cline] W stands for "Winner" Posted at 03:10 PM ONE LAST THING [Rob Long] ...and then I promise to give myself a long time out. But it seems to me, as the brilliant Mark Steyn has observed, that the most powerful secret weapon in the Republican arsenal is the left wing media. So please, let's all take an oath: no more complaining about it. It's one of the reasons we won last night. Rob PS: Rich Lowry just used the word "nifty" on Fox a moment ago. Surely this won't go unremarked by his colleagues, right? Language like that just brings the whole team down, you know? Posted at 03:02 PM L'MEDIA EST MOI [Jonah Goldberg] I stopped cataloging instances of the cheese-eating surrender monkeys phrase propping up, but this one is too rich to pass up: PARIS, Nov 3 (Reuters) - French President Jacques Chirac, who led Western opposition to the U.S.-led war in Iraq, said on Wednesday that strong transatlantic ties were essential if Paris and Washington were to overcome the challenges they faced. Posted at 02:53 PM HOWEVER.... [Jonah Goldberg] Dems with access to a time machine or a trans-dimensional portal might find this article soothing or descriptive of reality. Alas, residents of this particular spot in the multiversal space-time continuum may have a harder time grasping what he's getting at. Posted at 02:47 PM YESTERDAY A GOOD DAY FOR PRO-LIFERS [Jack Fowler] National Right to Life Committee calculating net pick-up of three votes in the U.S. Senate and three to five votes in the House. NRLC is holding press conference in DC tomorrow morning to give fuller look at impact of abortion issue on the presidential vote and Congressional races. Posted at 02:41 PM FOR DEMS [Jonah Goldberg] Josh Marshall's take on the election is about as cheery as a Finnish wake in January at which the caterer doesn't show and they run out of booze and the hearse runs over the widow. But it is interesting. Posted at 02:35 PM CONGRATS FROM PARIS [John J. Miller] John Edwards didn't congratulate President Bush, but Jacques Chirac did. Posted at 02:34 PM "THOSE 20 ELECTORAL VOTES GO TO JOHN KERRY" [KJL] Wolf Blitzer fatigue mistake right now. (Benefit of the doubt!) Posted at 02:26 PM YIKES [KJL] Red Line Metro collision in D.C. Posted at 02:26 PM CONCESSIONS [John J. Miller] Kerry was dignified, gracious, even likable. But Edwards? That was a 2008 speech. And an obnoxious one. The guy didn't even bother to congratulate the president. "This fight has just begun! ... The battle rages on!" No, pal -- the fight is over, the battle is ended. Your running mate recognizes this. You should, too. Posted at 02:25 PM P.S. ON ELECTION ESTHETICS [John Derbyshire] I'm aware, in fact, of a sort of emotional aftershock kicking in -- ignited, somehow, by contemplating that beautiful hall while Edwards was speaking. It's all-embracing and all-forgiving. What a country this is! What a country! What a people! For a moment here, I'll confess it freely, I even like John Kerry. Posted at 02:24 PM UM.... [Jonah Goldberg] John Kerry keeps saying "we're all Americans" etc. Fine, good, nice. But didn't his Veep just introduce him by insisting that "the battle rages on"? And didn't he buy his Veep's line that there are "two Americas"? Posted at 02:20 PM COLD WAR REDUX [Cliff May] During most of the Cold War it was not possible for a Democrat to be elected president. Democrats were not seen as credible on national security and in a time of national security crisis, that was disqualifying. From 1969, when Lyndon Johnson left office, until 1992 when Bill Clinton took office, a Democrat occupied the White House for only 4 years, and that was due to the Watergate scandal. This information was not lost on Democratic strategists, which perhaps explains why they attempted to engineer Halliburton, Valerie Plame, the al Qaaqa explosives and so many other issues into bona fide scandals. That effort did not succeed, at least not in the opinion of a majority of voters. Now, in a new era of national security crisis, Democrats face a choice: Pray for a new Republican scandal (or try again to engineer one), or become credible on national security; follow the lead of Sen. Joe Lieberman and Rep. Jim Marshall rather than Howard Dean, Michael Moore and George Soros. I sincerely hope Democrats pursue the second alternative. Posted at 02:19 PM JOHN KERRY [Cliff May] He already seems more sincere, more relaxed, more likeable. If he plays his cards right, I bet Bob Dole could get him a Viagra commercial. Posted at 02:17 PM I'M UNDERWHELMED BY THE SPEECH [Jonah Goldberg] but you've got to cut the guy some slack. It's got to be an awful speech to give and he's being as gracious he can be. Posted at 02:15 PM "WRAP EVERYBODY UP IN MY ARMS?" [John Hillen] This reference to wanting/needing to hug everyone who worked on his campaign I think gets to the root of the red/blue divide. Democrats want to hug everyone. Republicans hug those personally close to them, but have a firm hand-shake and friendly look into the eyes for the rest. So there’s your election summary. 55.2 million serial huggers and 58.8 hand-shakers. Posted at 02:12 PM POSTCARD FROM PARIS [Rod Dreher] A member of the French underground writes on this jour de gloire: Hi Rod: You should see the streets of Paris, you should listen to the conversations at restaurants and cafés. Les défaitistes are defeated! Hilarious! We'll holding a victory party at an Italian, Bush-friendly, restaurant tomorrow night. Edwards and Kerry are speaking right now. what a day! Posted at 02:11 PM ELECTION ESTHETICS [John Derbyshire] What a beautiful place Faneuil (sp?) Hall is, in that austere American republican style -- a style I suddenly realise I like very much. Posted at 02:10 PM NOT EGGS-ACTLY [John Derbyshire] Report on microwave poached egg recipe: 30 secs per egg not enough. Some runny white. Sorry to digress -- back to election. Posted at 02:08 PM HERE'S WHAT SOME DEMOCRATS ARE THINKING RIGHT NOW [John Hood] Why didn’t we run John Edwards this year? He doesn’t sound like a cold, distant, Massachusetts liberal. Plus, he’s a fighter. We have to fight, fight, fight! Other Democrats are thinking: But, hey, what did he do for us this year? What happened to Arkansas and Virginia? Posted at 02:07 PM EDWARDS [John Podhoretz] Not to be negative or anything at this time of unity, but why on earth did John Edwards speak today? When in the course of human events has the vice-presidential candidate of a losing ticket been given a co-starring role in the concession speech? Posted at 02:06 PM CLOSE TO TEN [KJL] The answer. Posted at 02:06 PM SENATOR EDWARDS [KJL] didn't get the "uniting" lecture from Kerry. Posted at 02:05 PM DO VEEP CANDIDATES [KJL] usually give concessions? Posted at 02:04 PM REASONS FOR JOY [John Derbyshire] I shall never again have to pay attention to anything that Teresa Heinz Kerry says or does. Posted at 02:02 PM DID PEOPLE [KJL] wait in line for ten hours to vote? That's a serious question. I didn't think so--maybe I missed it? I've never known John Edwards to exagerate. Posted at 02:02 PM I CAN'T HELP BUT THINK [KJL] John Kerry is thinking "Phew. At least I don't have to pretend to like John Edwards anymore." Likewise for Edwards re Kerry. Posted at 02:01 PM EDWARDS CONCEDING NOW [Jonah Goldberg] Posted at 02:00 PM HEY JIM JEFFORDS [Jonah Goldberg] By the way, great call on switching parties! Seriously, boffo move my man! Posted at 01:54 PM THE F-BOMB & BIN LADEN [Jonah Goldberg] Thanks for all the pro-F-bomb email when it comes to FBL. But lets just let the whole thing drop. Mailbox is brimming with lots of folks coming to me defense. Don't worry about it. For future reference, when I say "can't please everybody" it should read as "I think this reader is wrong, but I don't think his position is necessarily absurd." Posted at 01:53 PM NATIONAL PUBLIC REALITY [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Dear Jonah, Posted at 01:48 PM DERBAWOL ON POLL MATH [John Derbyshire] Combination of things, Jonah. (1) There's pure math, and applied math. I'm a pure math guy. See, e.g., p.359 of PRIME OBSESSION: "A thing that nonmathematicians want to know, a question that is always asked when mathemmaticians address lay audiences, is, _What use is it?_ Suppose [the Riemann Hypothesis] were proved true, or false. What practical consequences would follow? Would our health, our convenience, our safety be improved? Would new devices be invented? Would we travel faster? Have more devastating weapons? Colonize Mars? ... I had better unmask myself at this point as a pure mathematician _sans melange_, having no interest in such questions at all..." (2) I am friends with Steve Sailer, who is so superbly good at that kind of analysis, it seems hopeless to compete. Steve isn't altogether kidding when he describes himself as: "The only Republican that knows how to use Microsoft Excel." Posted at 01:47 PM I'VE BEEN ASKED [KJL] So, here is where you donate to NRO's future. Posted at 01:46 PM FOX [Rich Lowry] FYI--scheduled to be on from 2-4 pm, on and off. Posted at 01:41 PM WE HAVE EDIT UP ON BUSH WIN. [Rich Lowry] Posted at 01:40 PM CPE* DEPT [Jonah Goldberg] *Stands for Can't Please Everybody. From a reader: Dear Mr. Goldberg, Posted at 01:37 PM HEY DERB [Jonah Goldberg] You are our math guy, but you seem entirely uninterested in the statistical issues involved in the exit polls etc. Why is that? Just curious. Posted at 01:32 PM ALIVE [Cliff May] For the record, there was no terrorist attack on American voters yesterday. There has been no terrorist attack on American soil since 9/11/01. If Osama bin Laden, Abu Musab Zarqawi et al. could have made our streets run red with blood over these many months, they would have done so. For that achievement alone, President Bush deserved re-election. And others – Attorney General John Ashcroft springs to mind – deserve great credit and thanks. The future remains uncertain. It is doubtful that this time next year, I’ll be able to write another post like this. But then, on 9/12/01, I would not have expected to be able to write this one. Posted at 01:25 PM THE JOHN EDWARDS RATIONALE [John Derbyshire] Dunno, Jonah. As I said in my column, he trod lightly on the electoral earth. Now he's gone, like a will o' the wisp. I guess, though, when you have a lock on a party's finances like the one the trial lawyers' lobby has on the Dems', if you want a man on the ticket, you get one. Posted at 01:24 PM IN-HOUSE MEMO [John Derbyshire] Hey, Kathryn: Who's keeping the book on a Colin Powell departure?....... Posted at 01:23 PM RE: GLOAT ENCOUNTER [John Derbyshire] Back home, now I hear the speech is two o'clock. One o'clock, two o'clock, just make the speech, John. Time for lunch: corned beef hash (Broadcast brand, of course) & poached eggs. Going to try one of the responses to my egg bleg the other day -- microwave poaching. This recipe was from Dave in Michigan: --Put a pat of butter into a coffee cup. --Crack open the egg and put it into the cup sans the shell. --Cover the cup with a piece of waxed paper. --Nuke the egg for 30 seconds, give or take a few seconds (double the time for two eggs). Posted at 01:23 PM GLOAT ENCOUNTER [John Derbyshire] Nipped out for a quick trip to Home Depot. Standing there in the hardware aisle, doing some mental arithmetic on screw sizes. Cell phone rang. It was a friend with an issue, needed me to be at my computer. When would I be home? "Oh," I said into cell phone," I'll be home by one o'clock. Gotta see that Kerry concession speech." Standing next to me in the aisle was an older gent of a vaguely ex-military appearance: white hair close-cropped, back ramrod-straight, work clothes crisply ironed & creased. Overhearing me, he said softly, to nobody in particular: "Oh yeah, GOT to see that. Ain't gonna miss that. Wooo hooo!" Big Orange Republicans: the few, the brave. Posted at 01:22 PM CONGRATS TO BOB SHRUM [Jonah Goldberg] He keeps his perfect presidential record. Posted at 01:22 PM SWIFTVETS [KJL] The following is a statement by Admiral Roy Hoffmann, founder of Swift Vets and POWs for Truth concerning Sen. Kerry's decision to concede the presidential race. Posted at 01:13 PM CAPTURING THE MEDIA MOMENT [Jonah Goldberg] If I were a political cartoonist, I would draw Dan Rather or Katie Couric with a thought-bubble over his/her head. Inside would be the front page of the New York Times. Banner Headline: Tiny headline below the fold: Bush wins presidency, Fails to reach out to Blacks, Gays. Sidebar: Posted at 01:07 PM THANKS (!!) [KJL] (in no particular order) to Chris McEvoy, Aaron Bailey, WFB, Ed Capano, Rich Lowry, Jonah Goldberg, Ramesh Ponnuru, Kate O'Beirne, John J. Miller, Jay Nordlinger, David Frum, Jim Kilbridge, Jack Fowler, Scott Budd, Jim Fowler, Dusty Rhodes, Kevin Longstreet, Jim Geraghty, Rod Dreher, Peter Robinson, Michael Ledeen, John Podhoretz, Rick Brookhiser, John Derbyshire, Jim Robbins, Tim Graham, Mike Potemra, Rachel Friedman, Meghan Clyne, Alex Rose, Dave Kopel, Jane Jolis, Dorothy McCartney, John Virtes, Liz Fisher, Byron York, Terry Maloney, Jason Ng, Galina Veygman, Irena Dynkevich, Luba Myts, Tim Wolfe, Russ Jenkins, Henry Payne, Steven Hayward, Cris Rapp, Scott W. Johnson, John Hinderaker, Kane Webb, Chris Lilik, Peter Schramm, Brian Kennedy, Cliff May, Barbara Comstock, Mark Levin, Andrew Stuttaford, Andy McCarthy, Jon Adler, John Hillen, Rob Long, Mark Steyn, Victor Davis Hanson, Michael Graham, Jennifer Graham, Tom Hibbs, Jed Babbin, John Hood, Shannen Coffin, Wesley Smith, Roger Clegg, Jim Boulet, David J. Sanders , Dan Greenberg, Cesar Conda, Mary Matalin, Fr. Rutler, Robert Alt, Chip Griffin, D. F. Oliveria, Dave Hogberg, Drew Cline, Kevin Holtsberry, Brian Flanagan, Mike Tuffin, Thomas A. Johnson, MAtt Simpson, Ron Adair, Mike Brake, Jery Agar, Tim Reed, Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, Laura Ingraham, Hugh Hewitt, Duane Patterson, Bill Bennett, Seth Leibsohn, Chris Collins, Michael Kelly, William Shatner, Karl Rove, Ken Melhman, Ed Gillespie, John O'Neill, Dick Cheney, George W. Bush…All of our Readers, Subscriber, Sources, Cheerleaders, Friends, and Critics…and everyone I forgot to name or I can't name (my sincerest apologies)! A magazine is only as good as the people who are willing to invest time and talent to it... Posted at 01:04 PM FRENCH LOOKING [John J. Miller] I just caught a TV image of Kerry's townhouse on Louisburg Square in Boston. It just so happens that Louisburg was the site of an important French military defeat. Posted at 01:02 PM THANKS, YOU'RE WELCOME, THANKS AGAIN [Jonah Goldberg] To all the folks who've written notes like this: Jonah, I must say a big thank you to NRO and The Corner. I spent 80% of my time last night hitting the refresh button. All my friends were in a panic, but I was calmer because I had been reading The Corner all day. You guys called it! I am encouraging my friends to go to NRO for trusted political commentary. I am a regular now! Posted at 12:54 PM INTERESTING READING [Jonah Goldberg] "World leaders" react. Some highlights: Spanish political analyst Juan Carlos Rodriguez: "Zapatero (Spanish Prime Minister) was counting on a victory for Kerry... The government will have to start making conciliatory gestures... It has been a bit naive." Russian President Vladimir Putin: "I rejoice that the American people did not allow themselves to be scared and made a right decision." Kenyan Vice President Moody Awori: "The first term of Bush, he had come in as a lame duck. Now it appears as if he is winning very convincingly. To me I think we are going to see more dictatorship on an international scale. We are going to see more extremism come out of there. We are going to see even more isolationism where America will not bother about the United Nations. To me that is a very sad affair." Posted at 12:51 PM THE BLOG STORY [Jonah Goldberg ] It's amazing how far and wide NRO appears in the blooging-the-election stories around the world. Various Indian papers picked up the Reuters story so Shannen's buck-up thoughts about the exits are well-known throughout the subcontinent now. Posted at 12:36 PM THE SOUTH AND TURNOUT [Rich Lowry] Both, as has been noted here, worked out well for the GOP. So congrats are also in order to Ralph Reed, who worked both hard for the Bush team. Posted at 12:29 PM SCENT OF A TERRORIST [Jonah Goldberg] (apologies to Al Pacino) And Osama Bin Laden wherever you are out there ... f*** you too! Posted at 12:26 PM RATHERISM [John J. Miller] The Hotline has published last night's weirdest Ratherisms. Here's my favorite: Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), on being congratulated on victory by Rather: "Thanks Dan, I always believe you." Rather: "Now, ladies and gentleman, if you believe that, you'll believe rocks can grow." That sort of sums it up for me. The next time I believe Rather will be when rocks grow. Posted at 12:16 PM RAMESH IS MY SENATE HERO [Shannen Coffin] Yes, Ramesh, you DA MAN. You'll note I didn't even give a prediction. I thought Alaska would be a loss for us, so my number was not at +4. I was thinking +4 would be a dream scenario, and was thinking more along the lines of +2. I am very pleased that my adopted home state of Louisiana put the first GOP Senator in office since Reconstruction and did so by a majority of the votes. The huge pickup in the Senate and the defeat of Daschle is obviously the second biggest story of this election. It is almost as big as story for Bush as the actual win in the Presidential race. I am most hopeful with respect to the backlog of well qualified Bush judges who may get a shot at confirmation now. How many Blue Senators in Red States are going to want to roll the dice on going the path of Tom Daschle for the sake of filibustering Bush judges now? I would think that this clears the way for confirmations to start up again. No doubt that Leahy and company will want to continue the fight, but does Harry Reid and other "moderates" have the stomach for it? Posted at 12:16 PM OH...ALSO... [Jonah Goldberg] To the Guardian newspaper. Ha-ha (in Simpson's tone). Clarke County went for Bush. Sucks to be you too. Posted at 12:14 PM MASON-DIXON POLL [Jonah Goldberg] According the Hotline they were the big winner, pollster-wise. Posted at 12:11 PM RALPHIE [John J. Miller] Nader was a non-factor. I see only one state where his vote total is greater than the margin separating the candidates. In Wisconsin, Kerry beat Bush by about 14,000 votes and Nader collected about 16,000 votes. Hard to see how removing him from the ballot would have made a difference there. Posted at 12:09 PM BEFORE AND AFTER [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: J- The disparity between the initial exit polls favoring Kerry and his subsequent loss to W tells me one thing: Most people voted for Kerry.......before they voted against him. Posted at 12:08 PM ONE CABIN AVAILABLE FOR NR CRUISE NEXT WEEK!!! [Jack Fowler] Your lucky day – someone on the Zuiderdam cancelled, and we grabbed the cabin, so if you want to come celebrate JFK’s defeat with 400 fellow NRers on our 2004 Post-Election Caribbean Cruise, there’s a room for you. But you MUST act today. Make that now. Call The Cruise Authority at 1-800-707-1634. Remember, speakers will include Dick Morris, Ed Gillespie, Pat Toomey, VDH, Bernard Lewis, Michelle Malkin, Steve Moore, Dinesh D’Souza, John Hillen, NR editors galore – did I forget someone?! Posted at 12:08 PM I CALLED THUNE [KJL] but only because I really, really wanted daschle to lose. Posted at 12:06 PM TOO BAD [Ramesh Ponnuru] Chet Edwards beat Arlene Wohlgemuth--she would have been a great spending-cutter. Posted at 12:03 PM OH...I ALMOST FORGOT. [Jonah Goldberg] Hey France: Sucks to be you. Posted at 12:03 PM SO.... [Jonah Goldberg] If the economy soars in the next few years -- as I think it might -- what exactly will the press and the Democrats do? Posted at 12:02 PM TRADESPORTS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Yesterday the markets there were crazy, but overall I think that looking at them this year was useful. They were a bit more stable than the polls, for one thing. At almost any point in the last month, they were calling states such as NM, MI, HI, MN, PA, CO, and AZ correctly. A lot of people told me that various states were in play, and sometimes polls suggested they were right, but tradesports provided a good check. Posted at 12:02 PM OKAY SHANNEN [Ramesh Ponnuru] I may have been slightly too bullish on the electoral count, and too bearish on the popular vote. But you have to admit that I called the Senate perfectly. Posted at 11:56 AM THE DEMOCRATIC UNDERGROUND [Jonah Goldberg] Their forums are closed to outsiders (i.e. unregistered DUers) today. But their blog is worth a gander. Posted at 11:53 AM EXHILARATION [KJL] Another e-mail: Finally broke down and did it. Been a big NRO fan for a couple of years now. The Corner the past few days put me over the edge though. It's kind of like crack for political junkies -- I can't get enough of it. Keep up the great work! Posted at 11:53 AM THE BLACK VOTE [John J. Miller] Bush apparently didn't make the inroads some had anticipated among black voters: I had seen some suggestions that Bush would get as much as 15 or 18 percent. Exit polls have the split at 89 percent for Kerry and 11 percent for Bush; I've also seen 90-10. Granted, I'm citing those awful exit polls. But it's all we've got right now--and something tells me the hopeful predictions of GOPers who were crossing their fingers for early signs of a racial realignment aren't going to pan out. Posted at 11:52 AM LET THE GLOATING BEGIN [Shannen W. Coffin] With the Kerry campaign graciously seeing the writing on the wall, I do not wish to gloat about the Bush win. But I do wish to gloat about my foresight, which I think we all should take a moment to appreciate now. Let's take stock of the bidding. Electoral College as it presently stands: Bush 286, Kerry 252 This Week's Electoral College Vote Predictions: Rich Lowry (the Master): "I'm a 270's guy. 270, 271, 276" Jim Geraghty (the Voice of Kerry Spot): 271 to 267 (but he nailed the popular vote at 51-48). Jonah Goldberg (the class clown): "If you're demanding an exact number, I'll go with 296." Kate O'Beirne (the reason I'm here): Can't remember the exact number, but very bullish, in the 290-300 range. I think you know where this is going, don't you? My post from Monday: 286-252. [Shannen Coffin] That's my prediction. Bush holds Ohio and Florida. Picks up NM and IA. NH, overrun by Massachusetts libs who can talk a good game about the need for higher taxes but can't back it up by paying them, flips to Kerry. I wouldn't be entirely surprised, however, if I'm wrong on Wisconsin, which I currently have as a Dem hold. Actually, I wouldn't be entirely surprised if I am wrong on the entire damnable enterprise, since I rarely get these things right. I was just hoping I could have something else to laugh at NRO editors about (in addition to the Red Sox Series win), so I am taking a free shot. Posted at 01:02 PMI'd like also to remind readers that I was the voice of reason in the midst of bad exit poll numbers yesterday. Look, I'm not the pro here; just a practicing lawyer with a lot to say. But I felt pretty confident about this race for the last couple of months. Did I have doubts? Sure. But the President has provided solid leadership in very difficult times. Oh, but this isn't about him. It's about me beating the pros!!!!! And did I mention that the Red Sox won the World Series? Posted at 11:51 AM DEAN FOR DNC CHAIR? [Jonah Goldberg] That's what Kos wants. I do agree with him that the current dufus in there has been the worst DNC chair in modern memory. He raised a lot of money, but he lost seats in the house, senate and statehouses. Bush won by a bigger margin than his hero-mentor Bill Clinton. McAuliffe far more than Karl Rove has helped make the Democratic Party a rump party. As for Dean, I love that idea. The Democratic Party just got walloped on social issues -- particularly gays and religion -- and Kos thinks the money bet is on a guy who is completely tone deaf on religion and is associated (a bit unfairly) with the most pro-gay marriage wing of the party. Yes! Dean for DNC Chair. Heck Dean for President in '08 baby! Posted at 11:50 AM THANKS TO ALL CORNER CONTRIBUTORS... [Rich Lowry] ...and especially KJL, for making the Corner such an indispensable asset throughout this campaign. Posted at 11:49 AM THE SUN SETS [KJL] Daschle's metaphor, as conceding, just now. My lack of human empathy is not something I am proud of. Posted at 11:48 AM GLOAT REBUTTAL [John Derbyshire] A reader of another persuasion: "GLOAT, and watch your pretend Teddy ride up the mound of civilian corpses he thinks of as San Falluja Hill. "Gloat, and see sucidal economic policies precipitate the worst economic dislocation in 75 years. "Gloat and enjoy the spectalce of a faith that imagines Torquemada to be the Redeemer; prefers burning Joan to the miracle of the loaves. "Gloat and chuckle as you watch a polity riven and divided by demagogue fueled ever more implacable hatreds "Gloat. Time and reason will bring you low." Time will bring us all low, Sir. That, alas, is what time inexorably does. Reason, however, is shining bright today. Posted at 11:44 AM "SUCH DISORDER"! [John J. Miller] Le Monde, the newspaper of record in a certain European country, went to press before all the results were in--but didn't hesitate to trash American democracy: "Such disorder, unimaginable in most other democratic countries, does no honour to the US. And it is worrying that the fate of the world is in suspense because of such an archaic system." Posted at 11:44 AM WILL STOP SOON [KJL] But, besides the winners, Derb. DASCHLE LOST. KERRY LOST. I cannot overestimate the sense of relief here at NR World Headquarters. And that is selfless, because I can imagine the subscription boost on Teresa alone. Posted at 11:42 AM NOW THAT HE'S NOT USING IT... [Jonah Goldberg] Can John Kerry please tell us what his super-duper special terrific secret plan to fix Iraq was? Posted at 11:41 AM WOOO-HOOOOOO!!! [Rich Lowry] Posted at 11:40 AM NEVADA FOR W. [John Derbyshire] Yesss! And looks like Kerry's done the right thing. God bless him. God bless America. **BIG** winners: W, the US armed forces, John Thune, the Swifties, Hilary Clinton. Posted at 11:39 AM INTERESTING... [Rich Lowry] "One-fourth of Ohio voters identified themselves as born-again Christians and they backed Bush by a 3-to-1 margin." Posted at 11:39 AM ANTI GOP VIOLENCE CONTINUES [KJL] in Fla. Posted at 11:38 AM COLORADO [John J. Miller] Bush won, but other than that, Democrats had an outstanding election--beat Coors, switched a House seat from R to D, and gained control of both legislative chambers, and passed a transit tax for light rail. Some details here. Posted at 11:34 AM CAN WE [KJL] have inaugural balls TODAY? Posted at 11:27 AM W. [KJL] speaks at 3. Posted at 11:27 AM IN THE MIDST OF MY INCREDIBLE JOY, ONE REGRET [John Hillen] Teresa would have been such a gas for bloggers. Posted at 11:26 AM GALLUP [Cliff May] Also on the MoveOn.org web site, a story headlined: “Gallup-ing to the Right: Why Does America’s Top Pollster Keep Getting It Wrong.” Well, Gallup did get it wrong. They tilted to Kerry. The final CNN/USA/Gallup poll predicted a Bush/Kerry tie – 49% - 49%. (Pew was closest to the actual results with 51 – 48; and Democratic pollster Mark Mellman as I’ve said.) MoveOn’s web site is a target-rich opportunity today. Posted at 11:25 AM "DIVIDED" [KJL] CNN reporting that Kerry lectured Bush about how divided the country is and how he needs to bring the country together. But. If Bush go 57.4 million votes-- more than any other candidate in history and won a majority of the pop vote, how is the country so divided? Much more comfy than 2000. Certainly less divided... Posted at 11:24 AM CHECK OUT MOVEON.ORG [Cliff May] Their headline: “It’s Election Day. Vote.” Guess they’re not ready to … move on. Posted at 11:17 AM "WHY HAS THIS COUNTRY GONE SO FAR IN THE CONSERVATIVE DIRECTION" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Bill Hemmer on CNN just asked... Posted at 11:17 AM THE KERRY CAMPAIGN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] has my personal thanks for ending this today. On behalf of the staff of NRO, and sleep-deprived and democracy-loving Americans everywhere, THANK YOU. Posted at 11:13 AM TURNOUT [John J. Miller] Overall voter turnout was 59 percent -- highest rate since 1968 -- says LA Times. Posted at 11:13 AM MORE OHIO [Rich Lowry] This is very rough-and-ready reporting, so don't take this as 100% nailed down, but should be pretty accurate. From Ohio GOP source: It's as close to impossible for Kerry as it can get. Roughly 154,000 provisionals and a 137,000 margin, with probably something on the order of 10,000 overseas ballots, many of which are military and will break strongly for Bush. Doing the math, Kerry's just not going to get there. The factoid that 90% of Ohio provisionals were valid in the past was based on Ohio state law, not on HAVA. HAVA will apply here. It's standards will be stricter. The early indication from local elections officials is that 50-70% of the provisional ballots will be valid. The standards for counting were stipulated in that Sixth circuit decision recently: you have to be registered, and you have to have voted in the correct precinct. Again, there is no way Kerry can win this thing. Dragging it out--based probably on outlandish allegations--is only a way to play to the left and try to de-legitimize Bush's second term by mucking it up as much as possible. But Republicans on the ground in Ohio are hopeful it ends quickly, perhaps today. UPDATE: it appears now to be academic. Posted at 11:10 AM THE MOOD AT GEORGETOWN LAW [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Dear Jonah, Posted at 11:09 AM SALETAN & EDWARDS [Jonah Goldberg ] Ramesh, I love it. Will Saletan can't stand Bush because he thinks Bush is a simpleton. He thinks being a simpleton makes you a bad president and bad for America. So, his conclusion: The Democrats need a simpleton!
Posted at 11:08 AM KERRY HAS CALLED BUSH TO CONCED [KJL] Bush Wins. Amen. Posted at 11:07 AM BETTY CASTOR [KJL] is finally conceding to Mel Martinez Posted at 11:02 AM THAT NIH VIBE [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Greetings from NIH Building 10. I'm guessing the popular vote in this building went 90%-10% Kerry, so everyone here today is really sad. Me, I've got a grin ear to ear. For what it's worth, all the Kerry supporters I've spoken with seem resigned to the fact Kerry lost, and lost fair and square. I haven't heard a single Moore-on try to claim the election was stolen or fixed. Just giving you the vibe from on the street. Posted at 11:00 AM RE: THE EDWARDS JUGGERNAUT [Jonah Goldberg] North Carolina results in 2000: Bush 56%, Gore 43% Posted at 10:58 AM RE: JUBILATION [Cliff May] Karl and Co. have my admiration. The deck was stacked against them. Not only did Bush have to run against the DNC, Shrum & the Clintonites – fair enough -- he also had to run against The New York Times, CBS and the rest of the MSM, Hollywood (including Michael Moore and the cast of “The West Wing’), Bruce Springsteen, Academia, the union bosses (but not the rank and file), the ‘non-partisan” ACLU, the “non-partisan” NAACP, Kofi Annan & Mohamed ElBaradei, Human Rights Watch, Amnesty International, and, of course, the lovely and charming Jacques Chirac. He also had to run against most employees of the DoS and the CIA. In regard to these last two agencies, one has to hope that, in his second term, the President will take pains to ensure that America’s diplomats and intelligence officers support the government for which they are working. In regard to the MSM, they have compromised their integrity and professionalism – and, it turns out, for nothing. One would hope there would be some self-examination and self-criticism. But I ain’t betting on it. Posted at 10:55 AM SOME GOP TALKING POINTS THIS MORNING [KJL] President Bush: Posted at 10:52 AM THE EURO MARKETS [KJL] are soaring Posted at 10:49 AM WHO TO VEX? [John Derbyshire] The Kerry people have got themselves in a bind with this promise to "make sure every vote is counted." That means, on a strict interpretation, they will have to wait out the eleven days in Ohio before formally conceding, thereby massively ticking off the nation, since a great majority of Americans want a speedy decision and can figure the math. If, on the other hand, Kerry does the gracious thing and concedes without having the Ohio ballots all counted and certified, he will massively tick off that large segment of his base who have taken the "count every vote" promises to heart, and are still burning with rancor over Florida 2000. Another betrayal! So: tick off the nation, or tick off the base? Politics sure ain't easy. Posted at 10:45 AM ON RICH'S NUMBER CRUNCHING [Andy McCarthy] MSNBC reported this morning that, for the small amount of time they have been in use (so data may not be the most reliable) legitimacy rate of provisional votes in Ohio is about 90%. If that holds up, there would be about 139,000. Statistically inconceivable that Kerry could overcome Bush's lead since he'd basically need 100%. But is it enough for the Dems to justify to themselves dragging this out? I'm afraid it probably is because the MSM will not kill them over it. Posted at 10:44 AM A BRIEF PERIOD OF JUBILATION [John Derbyshire] [That was Churchill again, speaking to the British on VE Day in May 1945: "We may permit ourselves a brief period of jubilation."] Let's be happy Republicans. Look, it's been a while. There was that awful mess in 2000 -- and this isn't a mess, it's comparatively clean. Then there was 1996 -- Aaaaargh! --- and 1992. It's been a while. Break out the bubbly. Posted at 10:43 AM POINTED OUT TO ME [KJL] Today Show was dressed in black.... Posted at 10:41 AM OHIO--THE MATH [John Derbyshire] A physics Ph.D. candidate at a very respectable university: "Mr. Derbyshire---I felt a strong need to actually figure out John Kerry's odds of winning Ohio in a somewhat rigorous fashion. Not too promising for the Kerry campaign: I figure there are 175000 provisional ballots out there, as that seems to be the high end of official estimates. If we assume that each has a 50% chance of being counted (and that's way high, it's really probably more like 15-20%) then having more ballots than Bush's margin of victory is a 360-sigma event, which comes out to a probability of 2.8*10^-28145. [That's a number with 28,144 zeros to the right of the decimal point, then some nonzero digits: 2, 8,...---JD] But hey, it could happen. And if every one of those votes goes for John Kerry (probability of this is around 10^-850000 or so) then Kerry might just pull this off." Posted at 10:41 AM OHIO INTEL [Rich Lowry] Information we're getting, as we try to get up to date on provisional ballot situation: 1) First question in considering these things: are you registered to vote? If you're not, your ballot doesn't count. 2) Unclear on this point--would the standard for counting the ballots be that of federal or Ohio law? 3) 11 days is a ceiling. Ballots can be counted before then. 4) Not clear how many overseas ballots are still outstanding. Expectation is that they will tip to Bush (they include military ballots). (If you have comments on this, or information, send e-mails to Kathryn because she can post them most quickly.) Posted at 10:37 AM CLICK [KJL] here. Because you want all the best conservative commentary out there. Posted at 10:36 AM 527S [KJL] Need thanks too--SwiftVets. And, as Kate said last night, Kerry concession--when it comes--is the Vietnam Vets parade they never got. Posted at 10:32 AM EDWARDS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Don't underestimate the resiliency of his media cheering section. Check out Saletan today. Posted at 10:30 AM EXIT POLLS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I think as long as they exist and MSM types have them, everyone should. But I'm not sure they should exist. And I wonder if they will four years from now. Posted at 10:29 AM MY BEST UNDERSTANDING [Rich Lowry] Our best understanding at moment...154,725 provisional ballots out there, and Bush's margin is 136,700. Posted at 10:27 AM EARLY EXIT POLLS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Maybe we should reconsider publishing them. I've favored it, in the past, when the alternative has been a kind of media paternalism. But the reason I think we should consider not doing it in the future is not some goo-goo civics reason--I don't think we're under an obligation not to publish things that might depress turnout. It's that the exit polls seem to be so bad that they don't constitute actual information. We don't tend to write about Internet polls on the Corner because we know they're garbage. Time to say the same thing about early exit polls? Posted at 10:26 AM DEDWARDS [John J. Miller] No, Edwards didn't bring much to the ticket, but the main problem was with the top half rather than the bottom half. This was Kerry's opportunity to win, and he lost. He'll get most of the blame, and rightfully so. But expect Edwards to take some heat from his own side. Team Clinton especially will want to smack him around--more because of what he might do in the future rather than what he has done in the recent past, though. Posted at 10:24 AM TRIVIA [Ramesh Ponnuru] It's the first time the House Republicans have expanded their majority in two successive elections, and the first time they've expanded their majority during a presidential election since 1928. By 2008, the Democrats will have held the presidency for only 20 out of 56 years. (But for 40 out of 76 years.) Posted at 10:19 AM BY THE WAY... [Jonah Goldberg] When I get back... if someone can explain to me what John Edwards did for that ticket, I'd love to know. He was supposed to make the south competitive. Brrrrrr: Wrong! He was supposed to gin up the rural voters. Brrrrr wrong! He was supposed to make economic populism work for Democrats.....Brrrrrr oh you get the point. Edwards brought no substance, he brought no states, he brought (as far as I can tell right now) no vital demographics but he did bring pretty hair. Posted at 10:08 AM AN E-MAIL [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Just said on FM 96.9 in Boston (his radio show) that the Kerry campaign will issue a "directional" statement this AM and that Kerry will give a concession speech this afternoon. This was based on his "discussions" with the Kerry folks, who Barnicle is tight with. Posted at 10:07 AM APOLOGIES [Jonah Goldberg] If you sent me email in the last hour it probably didn't make it. Overloaded again. I had to do a panel with Peter Beinart of The New Republic. He says he'd be shocked if Kerry didn't concede today, btw. Now, I owe Cosmo a walk. I'll be back in a few. Posted at 10:04 AM 2008 [John J. Miller] I don't want us to get ahead of ourselves either, but I'll make two quick points. First, with Cheney presumably not in the running and Jeb Bush announcing his non-interest recently, the nomination will be as wide open as it ever has been in our lives. The GOP may be the party of orderly succession, but it's not at all clear whose "turn" it is. Second, look at the field as we now know it: Frist, McCain, Giuliani, Hagel, Pataki. There is a major opportunity here for a movement conservative, and especially a conservative governor. Bill Owens of Colorado comes to mind, but it's not clear he's going to run. Sanford of South Carolina is impressive and don't count out Pawlenty of Minnesota. Okay, enough 2008 talk from me. At least until tomorrow. Posted at 10:04 AM A DOW CHEER [NRO Financial Editors] The index jumps 175 in first half hour. Wall Street wholly endorses four more years. Posted at 10:04 AM RE: BRILLIANT [Kathryn Jean Lopez] For months, RNCers were saying "we have an unprecedented grassroots operation." Appears they were telling the truth. Congrats! Posted at 09:59 AM BRILLIANT IN ITS CONCEPTION [Rich Lowry] That's what you have to say about the Bush campaign. Their basic strategic idea from the beginning wasn't to go wobbly in an attempt to win “sing voters” as defined by the media. Instead, they wanted to play to the base, and, like in 1994, change the composition of the electorate based on high conservative turn-out (including conservative Democrats, who somehow don't count as swing voters in the media). That's exactly what happened. Given the adverse conditions Bush had to deal with in this race--all the bad news--that he won this sort of victory is, among other things, a testament to the strategic and tactical talents of Karl Rove, Ken Mehlman, and the rest of his team. Congratulations guys. Posted at 09:57 AM CELEBRATE! [Jack Fowler] By buying Florence King’s STET, Damnit!—the complete and unabridged collection of her glorious, no-fools-suffering, dimwit-smothering “Misanthrope’s Corner” column that graced NR’s back page for so many years. Miss King’s works read as well (and sometimes even better) as the day they were published, and will keep you in stitches. Get your copy direct from NR, here. Posted at 09:51 AM NO. NO. NO. [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A reader: "Can we start the '08 campaign now? Having way tto much fun to stop" Posted at 09:51 AM NO! NO! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Kerry couldn't. Wouldn't. Kerry as Minority Leader? Nah. He'd have to show up. Posted at 09:49 AM A DRINK FOR COST [Cliff May] It’s worth going back through Jay Cost’s posts on the Horse Race Blog to see just how precisely he called it – and to understand the logic behind good polling. And to recall why he was able to argue that the exit polls were garbage. I want to buy that man a bourbon and branch water. Also, laurels are due to Alan J. Lichtman, author of “The Keys to the White House.” He’s been predicting a Bush victory for months—yes months -- based on his leading indicators. Zogby is another story... Posted at 09:48 AM THE MOOSE CONCEDED [Kathryn Jean Lopez] See here. Posted at 09:45 AM DASCHLE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Fox News now says he will be addressing people in two hours. Posted at 09:42 AM THEOLOGICAL SUPPORT [John Derbyshire] A reader in the top left corner: "Derb---Indeed, gloating is a sin ...and Martin Luther said to us, 'If you must sin, sin boldly!' All the better to realize the grace in God's forgiveness. What a great outcome for your first voting experience as a U.S. citizen, eh?" Absolutely. Would be nice to think I swung it -- but in New York? I do glow slightly, though, to think of myself in the rightmost digit of that marvelous popular-vote margin. Posted at 09:40 AM THE AWAY MESSAGE ... [Kathryn Jean Lopez] ...of a very tired college student in Pennsylvania: FOR THE RECORD PEOPLE. It IS actually possible for an educated person to CHOOSE to be Republican. Get off your high horses and accept the fact that people think differently from you. Don't dare insult my beliefs unless you have a logical arguement to come at me with. Otherwise, I'm tired of it. Posted at 09:39 AM HMM [Kathryn Jean Lopez] There's some Chianti left. Posted at 09:35 AM RE: BANNED [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Yeah, no. Don't get any ideas. Posted at 09:35 AM BANNED IN BEIJING [John Derbyshire] How can NRO get itself banned in China? An e-correspondent in that country advises me that the best way to get the ChiComs to block us would be to post some hard-core porn on the site. Over to you, guys. Posted at 09:34 AM PLUS 5 [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Bill Frist, on CNN, could not look happier. Well, I guess he could--if it hit 6! Posted at 09:33 AM A FEW PEOPLS PASSED THIS ALONG LAST NIGHT [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I just heard Tavis Smiley (an African American pundit) on ABC say that "George Bush has certainly raised the bar in terms of thanking the African American community for their support", citing DR. Rice and C. Powell, and that JFK, should he win "tonight or in the days ahead", will have to "clear the bar high bar that W set". Posted at 09:32 AM HAS ANYONE [KJL] see Terry McAulliffe? Posted at 09:32 AM GOING YARD [John J. Miller] It's a little breezy outside this morning, and my Bush-Cheney yard sign just blew over. I'll take that as perfect timing, rather than a bad omen. Posted at 09:29 AM "CLEAR WINNER COULD TAKE WEEKS TO DETERMINE" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] from washingtonpost. I really believe this ends today. As Cliff notes, there are few Dems willing to go out on the line for Kerry at this point. It seemed clear to me around the time Carville conceded last night. Posted at 09:20 AM VIC KAMBER [Cliff May] On CNN (with me about an hour ago) also wants to take as much time as necessary to count all the provisional votes and absentee ballots in Ohio. Frankly, I would not expect many Democrats to break from that party line until Kedwards says so or until peasants with pitchforks are at the door. Privately – by which I mean in the CNN green room -- I’ve now spoken to two prominent Democrats who acknowledge not only that Bush won, but also that this was a huge election for Republicans. Keep in mind: The country is split almost down the middle. Nevertheless, the Republicans keep the White House, the Senate, the House, a majority of governorships and (I believe, though I haven’t really checked) a majority of state legislatures as well. That’s could be called over-achieving. Posted at 09:18 AM WEIRDER THINGS HAVE HAPPENED [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A reader suggests: "Perhaps he'll pull those votes out of that magic hat? You know, the one he brought back from his service in Cambodia." Posted at 09:16 AM I WAS JUST ASKED [Kathryn Jean Lopez] "are we ever going to know who the president is quickly again?" Answer, I think: The next time the GOP loses? See, for instance, Pete Coors. Posted at 09:14 AM PAGING MICHAEL MOORE [Steven Hayward] "Paging Michael Moore! Paging Michael Moore! Put down that hoagie! Your one-way flight to Paris is boarding now at Gate Z-801. You have the middle seat, between Alec Baldwin and Barbra Streisand." Posted at 09:13 AM DASCHLE [KJL] to make a statement "later this hour" (FNC) Posted at 09:12 AM "SHOULD WE BE WORRIED?" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I asked Mary Matalin when Andy Card appeared rather than the president. She replied, "No. we want the official declaration of victory to be unifying and dignified, which would have been tough at 5 a.m. All are completely confident of outcome." It makes sense, from their vantagepoint. Posted at 09:10 AM THE GLUE THAT HOLDS THE DEMS TOGETHER [John Hillen] If Kerry doesn’t concede by mid-morning, he can only be thinking and being advised one thing: that the Democratic party needs to keep its only centripetal force and organizing principle going….that the Republicans can only rule by illegitimate means. The we-was-robbed-in-2000 zietgeist generated record fundraising, high-visibility support, and provided an emotional core for the Democratic party that it had been missing since Watergate. It is a victory of historical proportions for Bush. Decisive control of the House and Senate and a popular majority of 3.5 million that even Michael Moore must notice. Kerry is an experienced politician – he doesn’t want to be President in that environment even if every provisional ballot in Ohio was accepted and went 100% Kerry – which it can’t of course. A failure to concede by this morning can only mean the Dems, lacking anything to rally around for the next four years, want to keep the victim-magic going and will hang on long enough to create the auro of “another stolen election” for their base. Posted at 09:06 AM CNN REPORTS ON PROVISIONAL BALLOTS [John Hillen] CNN just reported that of the first 20,000 provisional Ohio ballots counted that 2/3rd went to the President. Don’t know where they got that information. Posted at 09:06 AM KEDWARDS WILL SAY NOTHING [Kathryn Jean Lopez] until at least 10 am (FNC) Posted at 09:05 AM CALL ME ANY NAME YOU WANT IF YOU SUBSCRIBE AFTER [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A few of these this morning: KLO, I take back everything I said yesterday regarding the early exit poll reporting you did. We all owe you a great deal of gratitude for your service, and by the way you have gained another subscriber. Job well done. Posted at 09:04 AM THE NRA [Ramesh Ponnuru] sees a 4-seat pick-up for gun rights in the Senate. Posted at 09:03 AM THAT SAID (ABOUT THE WEE HOURS) [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Sounds like the White House is still poised to announce victorym with or without Kerry's concession? (still works for me.) Posted at 09:02 AM "THE CATHOLIC VOTE" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Leonard Leo, Catholic adviser to the Bush-Cheney campaign tells me: 1. Catholics voted for President Bush over Senator Kerry by 51 to 48. That is a 4 percent gain over 2000. Posted at 08:58 AM BTW [KJL] I really needed to get away from my computer around 6am. I do think the president did the right thing not declaring victory. Let the Dems be Soros Losers.... Posted at 08:56 AM BOB BECKEL [KJL] (on FNC) wants to take two or three days....sigh... Posted at 08:55 AM CRANE LOSS [John J. Miller] Sad to see Rep. Phil Crane lose. Posted at 08:53 AM MELLMAN! [Cliff May] Yesterday morning, I noted that Democratic pollster Mark S. Mellman had a surprising column in the Hill. A fiercely partisan Democrat working for Kerry, he predicted that Bush would win 51.6% of the vote. I can only imagine what kind of day he had yesterday, how he was treated yesterday by his comrades inside the tent. This morning it turns out that Mark was dead on. Let’s give the man a round of applause for his honesty – and his courage. In connection to this, it also should be said – and Jay Cost did say it many times in many ways in recent days – good social science will out. Posted at 08:50 AM FROM A GOP STRATEGIST WHO'S BEEN WATCHING THE S.D. RACE [KJL] John Thune won in the closing weeks of the campaign because of the potency of two overlapping themes: Posted at 08:47 AM WAKE UP, KERRYSPOT [KJL] Can we just say who is NOT a great closer? EVEN if they magically found enough votes.... Posted at 08:44 AM THE DEMS' DECISION [Jonah Goldberg] Went to bed right before Edwards announcement refusing to concede. To be honest, I can't get too worked up about it. The entire Democratic Party is built around a cult of "never again" with regards to accepting their "victim" status in Presidential politics. Let them have the night. But I think they are making a grave mistake if they are counting on the patience of the American people to endure for very long the clear loser refusing to concede -- especially when it's clear he can't win. But give 'em the morning. Let them have their coffee. Let the propellor beanie types come in and explain things to them. Posted at 07:24 AM MILLER'S CONFIDENT [KJL] Here's his winners and losers. Left out the football curse! Posted at 06:01 AM SEE YOU [KJL] in a bit Posted at 06:01 AM "A CONVINCING ELECTORAL COLLEGE VICTORY" [KJL] This is more Card: "President Bush decides to give Senator Kerry the respect of more time..." Posted at 05:43 AM "STATISTICALLY INSURMOUTABLE" [KJL] Card says re Ohio. "President Bush has won in the state of Ohio." Again, then why Mr. Card instead of the President? Posted at 05:42 AM SO [KJL] Andy Card is declaring victory.? Weird. Saying it's a decisive popular vote win. So why not the president do it? Posted at 05:41 AM NRO AROUND THE WORLD [KJL] In the last few hours, I have received e-mails from readers in: Israel Korea Taiwan Hong Kong Saigon Brunei United Arab Emirates Peru Australia Czech Republic Malaysia London Bulgaria Moscow Indonesia Canada Holland Switzerland Mongolia Tanzania Pakistan Kuwait Iraq Bahrain Malawi Singapore China Japan Abu Dhabi Saudi Arabia (!) Cambodia, Micronesia, Russia, India, England, Ireland, Germany, Rome... Posted at 05:38 AM WE HAVE A WINNER [KJL] In the Afghan election Posted at 05:36 AM FRAUD READ: "MIXED BAG" [KJL] John Fund (who wrote Posted at 05:30 AM AN INDYMEDIA POST [KJL] Re: There better be some riots tonight ... I can't believe Bush won. Where did we go wrong? Posted at 05:16 AM CNN REPORTING [KJL] No W "tonight." Posted at 05:10 AM NO TIME LIKE THE PRESENT [KJL] for a subscription plug--do you subscribe to NR? that's how you know I am still awake. Posted at 05:09 AM PETE COORS [KJL] takes defeat like a man Posted at 05:06 AM CNN: WISC FOR KERRY [Rich Lowry] Posted at 05:02 AM YAY! [KJL] Larry King says goodnight. Posted at 05:02 AM YEAH! [Rich Lowry] Fox & Friends about to come on the air. Posted at 04:59 AM CHRIS MATTHEWS ON OHIO [Rich Lowry] “That's a lot of votes to make up on a recount, isn't it?” Posted at 04:57 AM O.K. [KJL] Time to move from the Chianti to coffee. On the hour deliveries of it... Posted at 04:54 AM DIVIDED? [Jim Robbins] MSNBC Headline: "Four years later voters more deeply divided." But Bush got an outright majority -- has not been done since 1988! Posted at 04:53 AM S.D. [KJL] From Ave Maria List: ANN ARBOR, Mich. - Senator Tom Daschlewas defeated tonight by challenger John Thune in a race whose outcome was largely determined by Daschle's betrayal of South Dakota values, particularly on the issue of abortion. "The people of South Dakota have spoken that they want a Senator who will protect life," said Joseph Cella, executive Director of The Ave Maria List. "South Dakotans are people of common sense and they have zero tolerance for politicians like Tom Daschle who say one thing in Washington and do another in their home state," said Cella. "Having a 90% pro-abortion voting record just doesn't square with a state that is 75% pro-life," Cella added.... Posted at 04:51 AM THE COMPETITION... [Rich Lowry] ...in this election was always between 1992 and 1994: was it 1992, with the liberal part of the electorate energized to fire an incumbent Republican president, or was it 1994, with a ginned up conservative base changing the composition of the electorate. 1994 won out, and people are starting to realize--they have been just been talking about it on ABC--what a big victory this is for conservatives. Posted at 04:50 AM "A GREEN STATE"=NM [KJL] says Wolf Blitzer. Like Ohio. Won't call. Posted at 04:49 AM PETER JENNINGS JUST SAID: [Rich Lowry] “the liberal years in America are over”! Posted at 04:48 AM SOCIAL SECURITY [Rich Lowry] Still amazed Dems didn't make more of it. Posted at 04:48 AM MINN FOR KERRY [KJL] NBC calling Posted at 04:42 AM MORE AP "REPORTING" [KJL] As for Bush, declaring victory is nothing more than a weapon in political warfare. It has no bearing on who will serve as president a minute past noon Jan. 20, 2005, but the White House hopes the tactic will undercut challenges and create a sense of inevitability about Bush's second term. Posted at 04:37 AM "FAIRLY THIS TIME." [Shannen W. Coffin] I'm pretty sure the last one was fair, too. Posted at 04:34 AM CNN [KJL] reporting Mel's declaring victory. yay. Posted at 04:33 AM A THEORY [KJL] "Do the anchors get triple time after midnight? Maybe that's why they STILL WON'T CALL BUSH THE WINNER!!!" Posted at 04:29 AM LARRY KING [KJL] just knocked W.'s as-yet-undelivered speech. It won't be important, he says. Who's idea was it to keep Larry King all night? Posted at 04:28 AM READERS REPORT [KJL] Brokaw just said, after carefully explaining the Kedwards position, that "The President and his people feel as though they have won, fairly this time...." Posted at 04:23 AM BTW--NRO PIECES [KJL] there is a derbyshire and moran up... Posted at 04:23 AM W. VICTORY SPEECH TO COME [KJL] Ap reporting Posted at 04:21 AM ABC CALLED FOR THUNE [Barbara Comstock] and Lisa Murkowski is winning -- so we have a pickup of 4 and still waiting re Martinez which should make it 5! Posted at 04:19 AM HOW TO TRACK ELECTION LAWSUITS [Jim Boulet Jr.] Full text of election-related lawsuits in Ohio, Florida and elsewhere can be downloaded here. Posted at 04:18 AM TURN-OUT [Rich Lowry] The last few weeks a top GOP operative/strategist kept on telling me the GOP energy level and turnout machine would at least match that of the Democrats this year. At times I was doubtful. At times I think even he was a little doubtful. Turned out--no pun intended--he was right! Incredible. Posted at 04:18 AM YES! YES! [KJL] Thune victory speech about the begin. GLory! Glory! Posted at 04:17 AM ALASKA [Barbara Comstock] Murkowski coming on.... Posted at 04:16 AM STEPHANOPOULOS... [John Podhoretz] ...already pushing Hillary for '08 at 4:11am on November 3, 2004. Posted at 04:13 AM TIM RUSSERT... [Rich Lowry] ...just said a senior Kerry aide told him its a “long shot.” Posted at 04:12 AM JULIAN EPSTEIN... [Rich Lowry] ...the Democratic lawyer, was just on Fox saying that he thinks it going to be very tough for Kerry to get the votes he needs to overturn Ohio. Posted at 04:12 AM WEIRD [KJL] to finish Chianti at 4 am? Posted at 04:10 AM OK [KJL] So smart dude not so smart. Posted at 04:10 AM AP/ABC CALLS FOR THUNE [KJL] Posted at 04:07 AM SMART DUDE PREDICTION [KJL] "Don't count on Daschle losing. None of the votes have been counted on the two Indian reservations that cheated for him last time. More votes needed, 8000. But I bet you he magically finds them" Insert swear word of choice. Posted at 04:01 AM BUSH LEAD NARROWING IN NM? [KJL] NM lead down to 1,777+ Posted at 04:00 AM ABC CALLS NEVADA [KJL] Posted at 03:55 AM A WAG [KJL] John Edwards: "I see two americas - one where Bush is the winner, and one where Kerry still has a chance!" Posted at 03:53 AM SO HEARTENED [KJL] By large numbers of these I'm getting: "I’m an Army officer sitting in Iraq and reading NRO online. Just thought I would let you know…add it to your list of countries of people reading your updates. All I have to say is thank God Bush pulled this one out. " Posted at 03:51 AM CBS CALLS NEVADA FOR W [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 03:46 AM NM [KJL] CNN still won't call....Says Sec't of State won't certify until tomorrow. Posted at 03:46 AM SAD [Chip Griffin] That Kerry has less class than Nixon, who chose not to pursue much more legitimate challenges in 1960. Posted at 03:41 AM EDWARDS [Mark Steyn] Edwards, who was a disastrous pick as V-P, was mega-lame in Copley Square. How can you trot out that "make every vote count" line - which is Democratic code for "lawsuits" - when Bush is ahead by four million votes and heading to break President Reagan's 1984 record as the most votes ever stacked up by any President? Didn't their man Michael Moore demand that both Kerry and Bush agree that whoever wins the "most votes" should become President? These guys have no class, and, while Andrew Sullivan was certainly gracious, his candidates are graceless to the end. Posted at 03:40 AM EW [KJL] Kerry sends Edwards with message of hope Posted at 03:39 AM EW [KJL] Kerry sends Edwards with message of hope Posted at 03:39 AM SPARE ME [KJL] Wolf Blitzer (who I like) is being all holier than thou about not reporting exit polls. Be holier than thou about not reporting the actual real news right now. Posted at 03:38 AM ISN'T THIS FANTASTIC?! [John Podhoretz] The media won't call it, even though it's happened. They're graceless. So is Kerry. They are tying themselves to this depressing loser. It's everything I ever wanted. Posted at 03:36 AM MY FRIEND AND TONIGHT'S DINNER GUEST... [Rob Long] Ruth Shalit just posed an interesting thought experiment: imagine the situation was reversed, and it was George Bush who was down 3 million votes in the popular count, and almost 200,000 in Ohio. Do you think the assembled network braintrust would be so considerate and courtly about a Bush campaign fight in Ohio as they're being about Kerry's? A question that answers itself. Posted at 03:35 AM MAYBE I'M GETTING PUNCHY, BUT... [Rob Long] ...from what I understand about the Mafia, when a guy just doesn't get it, and threatens to take down "our thing" by being stubborn or making a fuss, a couple capos get together and take the guy "for a ride." I nominate Ted Kennedy. He's good in the driver's seat, right? Posted at 03:34 AM DOESN'T [KJL] pa. look closer than ohio? Posted at 03:33 AM AP [KJL] seems to have called Nevada for Bush Posted at 03:32 AM RE: 75, 000 [KJL] Chart evidently incomplete Posted at 03:31 AM PLEASE [KJL] someone wake up Clinton and have him tell Kerry to concede Posted at 03:30 AM CNN [KJL] says they are being told W will declare if more states are called. I'm game. So game. Posted at 03:30 AM GOOD IDEA [KJL] From smart guy: " I think I need to start doing some Nexis searches to see what dems said about the popular vote four years ago..." Posted at 03:28 AM COULD [KJL] W. just declare victory without Kerry concession? Posted at 03:27 AM JENNINGS [KJL] to Ed Gillespie: "Is it possible for you to answer ONE question without spin?" MSM Meltdown Posted at 03:24 AM ONLY [KJL] 75,000 provisional ballots?! If so, I'm suing Kedwards. Posted at 03:23 AM OY [KJL] "we need to get this over. Jennings is quoting de Toqueville " Posted at 03:22 AM JIM ROBBINS SAYS [KJL] We also call Iowa and Nevada. Posted at 03:20 AM MY GUESS [John Podhoretz] If Kerry keeps this up and does not concede by 10 am, polls tomorrow will show 75 percent of the country thinks he ought to. There will not be a single serious Democratic politician who will take a stand on behalf of an 11-day provisional-ballot count process. And then Kerry will concede, in a genuinely humiliating display of ill grace. Posted at 03:19 AM REALLY BIG TURNOUT [Chip Griffin] C-SPAN site has Bush up by 5% in New Mexico -- with a whopping 101% of the precincts reporting. And they still haven't called it. Posted at 03:18 AM WE'RE A MEDIA OUTLET [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Can I just call New Mexico? Called for Bush. Now, President Bush, come declare victory. Let John Edwards sue. Posted at 03:18 AM MARION BARRY [John J. Miller] He was formally elected to DC's city council tonight. His fate was really determined during the Democratic primaries in September, but I can guarantee you national Democrats are hoping nobody talks about his win this morning. So let's not forget. Posted at 03:08 AM CALL A STATE ALREADY!!! [KJL] ABC reporting Bush will go to Reagan building when one more state is called. Posted at 03:06 AM RAHTER TIRED [DrewCline] Dan Rather is so tired, he can no longer hide his Texas accent. And Brokaw sounds like he's being played back on a tape recorder with rapidly expiring batteries. Posted at 03:05 AM RISING AND SHINING [John J. Miller] Just got up from about two and a half hours of sleep -- must get ready for BBC soon. Things were looking hopeful when I dozed off, and of course are looking very good now. Assuming current trends hold, this election is better than 2000. Best news, of course, is Bush. GOP also wins second-biggest contest of the night in South Dakota (again, assuming trends hold). So what's the most disappointing loss of the night? I would have to say Coors in Colorado. He and his family have done so much for conservatives over the years, I really wish he could have gotten this win. But if you had told me days ago that Coors would be the most disappointing result of the night, I would have jumped for joy. And if you had told me that hours ago -- like on my train ride home, when those afternoon exit polls had compelled me to write down a list of reasons for why Kerry defeated Bush -- I just wouldn't have believed it. Will be keeping my fingers crossed for a while, but right now this is a good, good, good feeling. Posted at 03:04 AM MAKE THAT [KJL] "tonight" Posted at 03:03 AM CNN: BUSH LIKELY TO SPEAK TONIGHT [KJL] Posted at 03:03 AM FROM A READER IN MOSCOW [KJL] " Putin and Berlusconi spent the evening together at Putin’s dacha watching the results, if they were reading The Corner, I cannot say…" Posted at 03:02 AM DU [KJL] invading Ohio? (Watch foul language and insanity) Posted at 02:59 AM DEBATING [KJL] whether I should bail or not. Nevada could get called soon. 81% of the vote in, but only a 2% margin. Posted at 02:58 AM THE OHIO MARGIN [John Derbyshire] Reader Brendan: "So I worked out, based on the sampling of Ohio precincts that have responded (as of 11:30 PM PST or thereabouts), as to how many of the '250,000' outstanding ballots Kerry would have to win. He would have to get 78% of them. But based on the precinct returns from therest of the state, the probability of this happening is ~5.4 in 100,000. It is therefore a 99.9946% chance that Bush has won that state based on the returns and my 250,000 number. Derb could work this out beyond a shadow of a doubt, but Kerry's chances of winning are about the same as his being hit by lightning.... Democrats are as clueless and classless as always." Derb could work this out? Well, I could... if wasn't stoned on No-Doz and dizzy from Ovaltine. I'm not sure I could work out my own phone number at this point. Posted at 02:55 AM RE: DAN RATHER [Rod Dreher] A fellow NRO-nik on Dan Rather Watch, but with sharper ears, writes: "Who knows? He said, 'Quien sabe? Who knows?'" OK, my bad. I misheard. Still, I think that's weirder than saying "Kemo Sabe." Posted at 02:53 AM HMMM. HEARING FROM WALL STREET [KJL] The dow, as we know, dipped significantly today on news of bogus and wild exit polls. Some traders said it was definately market manipulation. Heard whispers it was George Soros using the moveon.org clowns to circulate the numbers. I do not want to be a conspiracy type, but Luskin has some interesting stuff pre-election.... No idea though. Posted at 02:52 AM IDEA FROM FORMERLY BUMMED NOW MAD [KJL] GOP Pollster type: "Someone in the Ohio Republican Party needs to get into an editing studio tonight and create post-election ads tarring Kedwards for trying to steal the vote in Ohio with out of state lawyers" Posted at 02:47 AM A SIDE NOTE [Rob Long] Watching CNN, does anyone wonder why it's such an also-ran, faltering network? It's got to be the least interesting, least dynamic, least illuminating broadcast anywhere. Except for Larry King, who is sort of the crazy old uncle of the gathering, asking lots of irrelevant questions, but also trying to nail down exactly when he's going to be allowed to go to bed. He keeps saying, "so, we're not going to get an answer here tonight. right?" And I really wish Wolf would just let him get in his jammies and go... Posted at 02:46 AM NRO AVAILABLE IN CHINA [John Derbyshire] Why aren't we banned in China? Beats me. I was surprised to find this three years ago, when I was posting from China. They still haven't got wise to us? It's a bit disturbing. I mean, we OUGHT to be banned in China. I shall redouble my efforts... Posted at 02:41 AM THIS IS THE PROBLEM WITH... [Rob Long] ...the Democratic party: there's no grownup, no headmaster, to place the call to the Kerry folks and say, "it's over" and protect the party's long term reputation. A proper adult response to a (probable) 3 million popular vote discrepancy is, "it's over, John. You did good; you fought well; don't embarrass us." Who's going to do that? Terry McAulliffe? Bill Clinton? Hillary Clinton? Imagine that call. Posted at 02:41 AM EDWARDS AS NEXT VP [Drew Cline] Edwards was introduced as "the next Vice President of the United States." Well, now we know who Hillary's 2008 running mate will be. Posted at 02:39 AM DARN [Translation: "I'm a lawyer and I'm gonna sue!"] hawaii for Kerry on NBC Posted at 02:33 AM EDWARDS [KJL] Translation: "I'm a lawyer and I'm gonna sue!" Posted at 02:33 AM OVERHEARD AT THE NYPOST [KJL] The Post is currently waiting to find out if it can safely say on the cover, "BUSH WINS." Post staffer: "I got an idea. We'll put 'BUSH WINS--AND HE PICKS GEPHARDT.'" Posted at 02:31 AM IS THERE NOT A GENTLEMAN IN THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY? [KJL] Posted at 02:29 AM EDWARDS [KJL] Looks tired and ticked. But "we can wait one more night." [for "victory."] Posted at 02:29 AM "JOHN EDWARDS... [KJL] the young running mate fo John Kerry." Not so, Chris. And it's over for him if Kedwards loses. Posted at 02:28 AM BRIT AT THE OUTER LIMITS [John Derbyshire] Brit Hume: "We're getting to the outer limits of our own coherence here..." You've got to feel for these guys at this point in the night. Posted at 02:26 AM ALASKA [Barbara Comstock] looking like Lisa Murkowski may pull it out.... Posted at 02:24 AM FOX: [Andy McCarthy] Just a lengthy conversation about-hoped for bipartisanship from Ted Kennedy in counselling Kerry concession. Next, no doubt, hoped-for bipartisanship about how Reagan was right after all. Right. Posted at 02:22 AM RE: DAN RATHER MELTDOWN [Rod Dreher] You are so right, Barbara! I tuned in to CBS for about 10 minutes, and heard Dan the Man say these actual words: "...and Ohio, Kemo Sabe, who knows? Back in a minute." He actually called his viewers "Kemo Sabe." Posted at 02:21 AM GRACIOUS [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Jonah, Some blowhards are presently marching down St. Mark's St. chanting, "NOT OUR PRESIDENT". We won. Best, Nick Posted at 02:18 AM OHIO UPDATE [KJL] Kat, Kerry is still around 130,000 down in Ohio w/ 96% of the ballots in. They have not closed the margin at all. Posted at 02:17 AM WHO KNEW? [KJL] K-Lo, "Anyone at the North Pole? Anywhere especially exotic?" I know of, and have myself, read NRO from inside the Arctic Circle! There are some oil fields west of ANWR in Alaska with a strong NRO fan-base! Posted at 02:16 AM IN MASS... [KJL] Ted Kennedy just entered Kerry's Beacon Hill home Posted at 02:15 AM ASSESSMENTS [Shannen Coffin] The biggest loser tonight? The exit polls. They consistently trended against Bush all day. But they also told a story that just didn't jibe. (Oh, and Kerry's a pretty big loser too) Posted at 02:14 AM GOODNESS [KJL] Former NR intern Jason Steorts e-mails: "I just noticed your post in the Corner--about somebody sitting in an internet cafe in Nanjing, China, reading NRO. Strangely enough, I too am sitting in an internet cafe in Nanjing, China, reading NRO. How many of us can there be?" How many, indeed?! Posted at 02:11 AM WE'RE BEING READ EVERYWHERE? [KJL] Another reader: "Ditto on the mail from China - I'm in Japan and don't know what I'd do without The Corner since we lost FOX news!" I've gotten Kuwait and Germany. Ireland and Brazil. All over Iraq. Anyone at the North Pole? Anywhere especially exotic? Posted at 02:10 AM RE: EDWARDS [KJL] Come out to say something about the race. Gosh, you people. Posted at 02:08 AM "WE ARE WINNING OHIO" [KJL] CBS saying, from David Wade in Kerry camp. John Edwards evidently about to come out. Posted at 02:07 AM REVISED [KJL] Maybe he concedes by 4? Posted at 02:05 AM CNN [KJL] Sigh. Won't call Ohio. "Too Close to call." Posted at 02:04 AM CORNERITES NEED TO WATCH TV [Barbara Comstock] Dan Rather.....just for the sheer pleasure of the total meltdown.... Posted at 02:02 AM RE: KERRY [KJL] P.S. I don't believe. He concedes by 3. ? Posted at 02:01 AM KERRY [KJL] MsNbc reporting Kerry is not leaving for any speech any time soon. Posted at 02:01 AM COOL E-MAILS [KJL] you get at 2 am: Hey, thanks so much for staying up late and keeping these reports coming. I'm watching the election from Nanjing, China (where, of course, it is the middle of the day), and because of assorted internet screening techniques, I can't get most of the major US news outlets' webpages on my computer. National Review (thank goodness), is no problem.Derb: How is it we are not blocked in China? Posted at 02:00 AM MICHAEL BARONE [KJL] thinks Ohio is safe for Bush (on FNC). Posted at 01:57 AM NBC IS KERRY WAKE TERRITORY [John Hillen] How will he rebuild his life, what went wrong, etc, etc. Posted at 01:53 AM LOSER [KJL] "Osama bin Losin'" by Claudia Rosett Posted at 01:52 AM RE: FOR THE RECORD [KJL] It is. But you would have done the same thing. Posted at 01:50 AM FOR THE RECORD [Jonah Goldberg] Sullivan's final post on the election is quite gracious and fair. Posted at 01:47 AM SD UPDATE [KJL] South Dakota - 88% Posted at 01:45 AM I MAY BE WRONG [KJL] But I think Kerry concedes before daylight in Boston. I can't imagine his advisers are saying anything different. Notice how near no dems are making the case for him...and who has much invested in this besides the Kerry family? Ok, the media, but still...they've near conceded too. See the faces? Posted at 01:43 AM DAILY KOS [KJL] "This is just the beginning, not the end. Regardless of who takes that oath next January we still have a war to wage. We won't wage it with violence, but by building a solid foundation for a new progressive movement. " Posted at 01:39 AM MINORITY LEADER [Andrew Cline] So, if Daschle loses, who is the new minority leader, Kerry or Specter? How about this: Kerry loses the election, then can't even get elected Minority Leader of the Senate. Posted at 01:38 AM BUSH [KJL] has 249 ECV Posted at 01:34 AM THE KERRY CAMPAIGN'S GONNA FIGHT [Jonah Goldberg] Sounds like a horrible call. Posted at 01:34 AM WASH STATE FOR KERRY--11 ECV [KJL] CNN Posted at 01:33 AM CNN [KJL] Kerry camp statement: "The vote count in Ohio has not been completed...." Posted at 01:32 AM I IMAGINE [KJL] the Clintons are relieved.... Posted at 01:30 AM BY MY COUNT [Rich Lowry] If Bush holds Nevada, wins New Mexico, and wins Wisconisn (put aside Wisconsin and Hawaii), he's at 289 and any Ohio litigation is irrelvant. Because even if Ohio were thrown into doubt, Bush would be at 269--a number that wins the presidency, because he wins if it goes to the House. Posted at 01:28 AM FORGIVE ME, ANDREW [KJL] The American people have spoken. Posted at 01:28 AM DAN RATHER [Andrew Stuttaford] “We'd rather be last than wrong.” No further comment necessary. Posted at 01:26 AM IN PRAISE OF ZELL MILLER [KJL] Michelle Malkin here. Posted at 01:25 AM THOUGHTS [KJL] Janice Crouse e-mails: As the dust settles, we are beginning to see how heavily this election was influenced by concern about moral values. After a campaign focusing on the threat of terrorism and the war in Iraq, this development will surprise those from the Left –– and Right ––who dismissed moral issues and social conservatives as irrelevant. And, in fact, those who view the appeal to moral values as mere political manipulation and ideological posturing have a basic misunderstanding of people of faith and Main Street Americans. The moral values that were a top priority in this election –– abortion, embryonic stem cell research, same sex unions, etc. –– are values rooted in deep religious beliefs. In addition, at another level they are the values that form the basis of democracy –– moral boundaries and personal responsibility, respect for life and human dignity, freedom, etc. –– and are the essence of what it means to be American. President Bush embodies those values and, during his first term, put people and policies into place that supported those values. Further, there was no way that patriotic Americans would elect as president a person who betrayed his military buddies and trashed his nation’s reputation. Nor would Americans choose as president a person who surrendered the nation’s leadership in the world arena. Bush’s strong, resolute stance on terrorism as well as his unwavering position on pro-life, pro-marriage and pro-family issues resonated with mainstream Americans. The Left has tried to portray these moral values as extremist; Americans have resoundingly said that these values are American. Posted at 01:24 AM VITTER WINS [KJL] Looks like no runoff - at 51 percent with 99 percent in. Posted at 01:23 AM POPULAR VOTE [Ramesh Ponnuru] Now may be the time to say I've been sort of hoping Bush would lose this. I would like liberals to spend half their energies over the next four years on 1) trying to impeach Bush with neither house of Congress and 2) trying to amend the Constitution to get rid of the Electoral College, since they can't possibly succeed. Posted at 01:22 AM I'M TOLD [KJL] Mel Martinez is making his victory speech now. Posted at 01:21 AM YOU ALMOST FEEL SORRY FOR...NAH... [KJL] NOR bud emails: Just went outside my house for a smoke on Q Street in Georgetown and the lights are going out on numerous Kerry parties all along the block... Quiet groups of well-heeled liberals traipsing home all around... Long faces, consoling hugs and muttering all around... Just a snippet for you from the epicenter neighborhood of Kedwards country... Posted at 01:20 AM KERRY GETS NH (CNN) [KJL] Posted at 01:18 AM WOULD BE NICE... [Rich Lowry] ...if Bush got to 290, so any litigation in Ohio doesn't matter. Posted at 01:15 AM BUSH WINS...COOL. [Jonah Goldberg] But Kerry (and Michael Moore, Barbara Streisand, Dan Rather, Alec Baldwin, Tom Daschle, Janeane Garafalo, Mohammed El Baradei, Richard Clarke, Joe Wilson, Ron Suskind, Ron Reagan, Kofi Annan, Bon Jovi, Michael Stipe, P Diddy, Cameron Diaz, The New York Times, Al Franken, Molly Ivins, Graydon Carter and others) LOSE! Posted at 01:11 AM IOWA GOING FOR W.... [KJL] ? hearing moving ahead from Hugh Hewitt peeps. Posted at 01:11 AM MSNBC REPORTS [KJL] Presidential motorcade is assembling. Posted at 01:05 AM RUSSERT SAYS NO WAY FOR KERRY TO WIN [Chip Griffin] Posted at 01:03 AM "REPORTING" FROM REUTERS [KJL] "A Republican-led Congress would help Bush push through a stepped-up conservative agenda. But it would provide plenty of partisan opposition to Kerry's vows to roll back many of the incumbent's initiatives, such as a tax cut that went largely to the rich. " Posted at 01:02 AM ALASKA GOES TO BUSH (CNN) [KJL] Posted at 01:00 AM DRUDGE SAYS: BUSH WINS [KJL] Carville has to do it for ya. Posted at 12:59 AM ALOHA [KJL] An email: Our early numbers aren't that great but that's the absentee votes. Lines were very long here today and people were still voting over an hour after the polls closed (if they were in line at 6:00 they got to vote). It may be a while before we get good numbers. On the bright side - the more 'conservative' mayoral candidate in the hotly contested Honolulu County mayors race is ahead which should be good for us. Posted at 12:57 AM CARVILLE SAYS BUSH WINS [Chip Griffin] Posted at 12:55 AM THE LEFT'S LINE TOMORROW [Ramesh Ponnuru] 1) Kerry was a terrible candidate. 2) You can't beat a wartime president. 3) Bush stole it. 3b). Even if he didn't steal it, he stole the last one and Republicans wouldn't have won otherwise. Posted at 12:55 AM BUSH LEAD SHRINKING IN OHIO? [KJL] Posted at 12:55 AM RESULTS [KJL] Looks like Vietnam Veterans are going to enjoy the equivalent of that parade they never got. Posted at 12:54 AM DAILY KOS VERBATIM [Jonah Goldberg] He put this up in the last 20 minutes or so:
by kos Posted at 12:53 AM NM [KJL] wioth 52 percent in, looking good for W Posted at 12:52 AM TWO FAV QUESTIONS OF THE NIGHT [Ramesh Ponnuru] Jennings to McCain: 'Do you feel used by the Bush campaign?' Brokaw to Frist: 'Are you going to ban abortion?' Posted at 12:49 AM I GUESS [KJL] I take back anything mean I might have said out loud today about the American people. "Elected Clinton twice...." Maybe Posted at 12:48 AM HAWAII [KJL] Bushies want it...hopelessly optimistic? I told Mike Graham on the radio a bit ago we'd win it, just for fun. Posted at 12:45 AM JACKSONIAN AMERICA [Jonah Goldberg] My buddy writes (I'll ID him in the Morning):
Posted at 12:44 AM FNC CALLS OHIO FOR W [KJL] Posted at 12:43 AM BUSHIE UPDATE: "IT'S OVER" [KJL] Bush will win Ohio. Several GOP counties have yet to report. We lost Dem-heavy cuyahoga county by less than we lost 2000. Final margin projected to be Bush +3 in OH. maybe even outside provisional ballots They believe win Wisconsin. IA and NM are still close, but confident about both. NV-- Dems needed big numbers out of Clarke County, and early returns show they did not. NH -- still in hunt. Posted at 12:43 AM FOX CALLS OHIO FOR BUSH [Jonah Goldberg] Posted at 12:41 AM JOHN KERRY [Ramesh Ponnuru] you are dismissed from duty. Posted at 12:41 AM OREGON [KJL] CNN gives to Kerry. 7 EC votes Posted at 12:40 AM MORE OHIO [Jim Robbins] For the past hour Ohio has been basically 51/48 Bush, with the vote margin staying around 130,000. No sign of significant closing. 82% counted. But there are the so called provisional ballots to contend with... Posted at 12:40 AM FIGHTING THE SANDMAN [John Derbyshire] Boy, I can't do these all-nighters any more. Keep nodding off. Where's the No-Doz? Each time I wake up it looks a little better, though. Uh-oh, New Hampshire flipped. I'll never trust Mark Steyn again. Posted at 12:38 AM GOOD BORDER NEWS [Mark Krikorian] The presidential candidates succeeded in sweeping the immigration issue under the rug, but the returns from Congress are good news. Looking at the grades from Americans for Better Immigration (a low-immigration, pro-law-enforcement group) it looks like January will find a House and Senate more favorable toward immigration control. In all of the notable races, the winner is as good or better than his predecessor. In Texas, Pete Sessions (A+) stays and Martin Frost (D-) goes. Republicans kept the Oklahoma Senate seat, but traded Don Nickles (D+) for Tom Coburn (B+, based on his former tenure in the House). North Carolina traded up, replacing John Edwards (D) with Richard Burr (B). Thune wasn't very good on immigration while in the House (C+), but if he wins, he'd replace Daschle's D-. DeMint (B), Isakson (B-), and Vitter (B) (I hope) all replace senators with comparable grades, while Campbell (D+), Fitzgerald (D+), and Graham (F) were so bad, their replacements can't be much worse. And on the state level, the Arizona anti-illegal-immigration initiative requiring proof of eligibility to vote or receive state services has won handily. Posted at 12:37 AM CHECK OUT SLATE... [Jonah Goldberg] They're covering the election on the Bizarro world. Posted at 12:37 AM NH FOR KERRY [KJL] FNC Posted at 12:36 AM AHH... [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader:
Jonah, Posted at 12:35 AM "IT IS FIXED" [KJL] More from Democratic Underground (I'll Stop Now): Canadian TV (CTV) said it will be an early landslide (their word) for Kerry. They had inside information.Had I known that...! Posted at 12:34 AM I'M STAYING UP [Ramesh Ponnuru] until Bush wins. Posted at 12:32 AM MEANWHILE ON CNBC... [Aaron P. Bailey] "Blow Out," the most superficial, idiotic reality tv show about Hollywood hair salon owners who consume Botox and champagne by the caseload. Posted at 12:30 AM GUBBERNATORIAL UPDATE [John Hood] Still have some gubernatorial races that are too close to call, but some surprises may be in store. With two-thirds of precincts reporting, Republican Matt Blunt is leading in the race in Missouri. That would be a GOP pick-up if he pulls it out. However, in New Hampshire the Republican incumbent Craig Benson is currently trailing his Democratic challenger and Montana looks like it might switch to the Ds with Democrat Brian Schweitzer. The race in the state of Washington, previously held by the Democrats, is currently tight. Posted at 12:28 AM DON'T DO THAT TO ME [KJL] Formerly bummed GOP pollster is now freaked: "if we lose Ohio late (doubt it), but pull out Wisconsin and New Mexico (still losing NH), then we're at 269..." Posted at 12:26 AM 246 EC TO W, ON FNC [KJL] colorado called. Posted at 12:25 AM OUR NEW LESBIAN SHERIFF [Rod Dreher] Here's a shocker from deep in the heart of Texas: the next sheriff of Dallas County will be a Latina lesbian named Lupe Valdez, who scored a close upset over her Republican opponent. My hunch is that some last minute dirty politicking by the Republican, Danny Chandler, tipped this race. Valdez is openly gay, but her sexuality had not been a part of this race until Chandler accused her in the last days of the campaign of being an advocate of the gay agenda. It is hard to figure what the "gay agenda" has to do with being the county's chief law enforcement officer, and it was a pretty transparent attempt to signal to Dallas voters, "Hey, my opponent's gay!" I know two Republican voters here who thought that was so low-down that they voted for Valdez just to spite Chandler. Posted at 12:24 AM FOX FINALLY CALLS FLA [Ramesh Ponnuru] Posted at 12:21 AM WATCH A BREAKDOWN IN PROGRESS [KJL] here Posted at 12:20 AM OHIO [Jim Robbins] According to Susan Estrich, Kerry campaign believs it will come down to Cuyahoga Co. (Cleveland). Gore won it with 63% in 2000. Kerry currently has 63% with 2/3 of the precincts counted. They also said the 130,000 vote gap would close to 30,000. Since then the Bush lead has expanded to 150,000 votes with 70% in. Posted at 12:09 AM MAX BURNS [Ramesh Ponnuru] loses his GA House seat, which I did not expect. Posted at 12:08 AM PROP 71 SPIN [KJL] From Wendy Wright at Concerned Women for America: Californians pass Prop 71, spending $3 billion on embryonic stem cell research. So even if school children don’t have textbooks and highways crumble for lack of funding, Californians will still have to fund risky, unethical research for 10 years - even if, say in the third year, it proves unsuccessful. Posted at 12:04 AM COLORADO [KJL] "president looks well ahead there." (brit) Posted at 12:03 AM FOX [KJL] wont call florida yet Posted at 12:03 AM READERS WANT PA IN PLAY STILL [KJL] see Posted at 12:02 AM DON'T TRY THAT FIRST POST THING, JONAH. OR SECOND...OR... [KJL] Posted at 12:01 AM Tuesday, November 02, 2004 MAINE [Drew Cline] Latest AP report, filed at 11:59, still says 2nd District too close to call. Posted at 11:59 PM BWAA HA HA HA HA HA HA! [Jonah Goldberg] Look I don't know what the final tally will be. But it's now clear that the youth vote just didn't show. The liberal blogosphere is grumpy and introspective about it. I love it for reasons I will be writing about for months to come. The cult of the youth voter remains, once again, the most absurd, bogus, childish, romantic and misguided joke of liberal American politics. Period. Posted at 11:54 PM SO THIS MEANS THE MATH FAVORS BUSH [Ramesh Ponnuru] if Fla is a given for W., Kerry has to win Ohio--but Bush doesn't. Posted at 11:46 PM OF THE STATES THAT ARE LEFT [KJL] My former bummed GOP pollster says: "right now i'd much rather be Bush than Kerry...note that the red states are getting 3-4% redder and so are many of the blue states" Posted at 11:46 PM DAILY KOS [Jonah Goldberg] A site I do not visit regularly, to be charitable, is quite grumpy. Posted at 11:45 PM ABC CALLS FLA FOR BUSH. AMEN. [KJL] Posted at 11:44 PM I TOLD YOU SO. [Shannen Coffin] It's only a matter of time before Florida, where Bush has nearly a 320,000 vote lead with 97 percent reported, is all but done. Ohio will take a while, but I'm still in the "Bush win" camp there. Bush has more than 100,000 vote lead and Kerry would have to post some big numbers in remaining precincts in Cuyahoga and other city areas. Susan Estrich is trying to patch together a desparate solution in Ohio on Fox right now. While it will likely tighten, it's a long haul. And she's making the "lawyers" argument in Florida, but 300,000 votes is a lot of votes for lawyers to make up. So can we official declare today's exit polls as useless now? Posted at 11:43 PM I WANT THIS READER TO MAKE GOOD ON THIS, TOO [KJL] If Thune and Bush win (!) – a bottle of Chianti of your choice to you and a subscription to NRODT for me and NROD as a gift to any deserving soul (again of your choice) from me. Posted at 11:43 PM FOR MARK STEYN RE NEW HAMPSHUH [Peter Robinson] According to CNN, Hanover has yet to report its votes. The north country will go for Bush in a big way--I'll grant you that. But there going to be enough votes in the big Up Yonder to offset the votes of all those Dartmouth profs? I sure hope so. But I'd feel a lot better if Mark Steyn would put us all at ease. Posted at 11:42 PM CNN [KJL] Woodruff just said high-ranking Dem consceds to her they believe Bush won Florida. Posted at 11:41 PM FATIGUE FATIGUE [Rick Brookhiser] We may be seeing the phenomenon of fatigue fatigue. Election Night 2000 was a madhouse of shifting expectations, shock, incomprehension. Now, an all night tally? Lawsuits up the wazoo? Been there, done that. Posted at 11:40 PM OHIO [KJL] The sun will come out... Posted at 11:40 PM ON TRADESPORTS, BUSH [Ramesh Ponnuru] is winning big. Not winning Iowa, but NM and WI. Posted at 11:37 PM WHERE IS YOGI BERRA WHEN YOU NEED HIM? [John Hillen] At 11:30 PM EST, the Presidency still hangs in the balance of course, but it is pretty amazing at this point about how little has changed in the electoral map from 2000. Here we are on the other side of 9/11, the War on Terror, Iraq, Michael Moore, George Soros, and everything else that got everyone so hyped up…..and regardless of the final outcome we’re almost exactly in the same situation as four years ago. As Kerry would say, Plus Ca Change. Posted at 11:33 PM ELECTION EVE CHEZ WFB [Rick Brookhiser] I just returned from WFB's quadrennial election night party. Wonderful people, many of them writers--A.M. Rosenthal, Tom Wolfe, Roger Kimball, the J-man. Taki voted for the Constitution Party, to which the appropriate response is, Veys mir. Posted at 11:32 PM DID WE KNOW... [Jonah Goldberg] That Leonard Peltier is on the ballot? Posted at 11:31 PM HEARING... [KJL] Posted at 11:28 PM ONE THING THE PUNDITS DIDN'T APPRECIATE [Jonah Goldberg] In 2000 Gore did as well as he did in 2000 because Joe Lieberman was on the ticket. Posted at 11:27 PM WHILE ROB LONG OOGLES THE SURFER GIRL... [Peter Robinson] I'm in the office with my thirteen-year old daughter, sneaking looks at the returns as I help her with essays for her applications to a couple of Catholic high schools. You might think I’d trade places with my friend Rob Long. For a moment or two after reading Rob’s post, I thought so myself. The mood passed. How come? There’s something wonderful about helping the next generation scribble away while the workings of the greatest democracy in history cranking away around us. And now that it’s looking as though this race is going to turn out right after all—as though the Republic pulled itself together, took a deep breath, and said, Hell yeah, we’re going to stand up to those barbarians—well, its enough to make a father suppose the United States may still be in good for the children. What a country. (If you’d like to trade places for just a weekend, though, Rob—really, you might get a whole new sitcom out of it—you know where to find me, buddy.) Posted at 11:26 PM YES, YES, SIGH [KJL] KJL, The stem cell initiative may well be the most wildly misunderstood piece of legislation in American history. I work in Hollywood (roughly the same job as Rob Long) and everyone I work with was wildly supportive of the measure, and no one actually knew what the measure did. They didn't know how much money would be raised, who would get it, and how it would be repaid. But somehow the mighty stem cell became the thing you had to support if you're enlightened.Me: He's right. And then I react: ANOTHER HOLLYWOOD CONSERVATIVE!!! Posted at 11:25 PM TALKING POINTS MEMO.... [Jonah Goldberg] Seems to be very whiny that there isn't more hooplah about Ohio lawsuits. Isn't that a bad sign for your side? When you are mopey that people aren't emphasizing the potential for soul-crushing lawsuits? Posted at 11:23 PM MONTANA PROJECTION FOR W ON FNC [KJL] Posted at 11:23 PM FROM BUSHIE [KJL] Things are looking very good in Ohio. With the exception of a few Appalachian counties, we’re running significantly ahead of where we were four years ago. For example, we lost Columbus County by 5,000 in 2000; we’re now ahead by 15,000. We’re also ahead by a couple of hundred votes in New Hampshire – and the worst parts of that state (for us) have already been counted. So we’re confident about both states. Posted at 11:22 PM W WINS AZ (FNC) [KJL] Posted at 11:20 PM EDWARDS QUESTION [Andrew Cline (Manchester Union Leader)] Edwards not only didn't help Kerry win anything, he also lost his old Senate seat! Posted at 11:19 PM AND ONE MORE THING [Rob Long] Mickey Kaus is on the way to my house right now -- he's late for soup; he'll make the cassoulet (I'm cooking, by the way) and he now tells me that he's "cautiously pessimistic." But I keep forgetting which side he's really on. Posted at 11:16 PM GOODNESS... [KJL] More DU: 25. The thought of looking at AWOL and his regime Posted at 11:15 PM CALIFORNIA CLONING/STEM-CELL FUNDING INITIATIVE [Ramesh Ponnuru] I wanted it to lose but: 1) It does demonstrate that the claim that Bush's federal policy is blocking everything is wrong, and 2) I think that the vote to ban cloning in the Senate increases tonight. Posted at 11:15 PM TEXAS NOTES [KJL] From David Guenthner: Good day for Tom DeLay, as he will take out the top 5 D’s on his hit list. The diciest race for Republicans was CD 17, where incumbent Chet Edwards was perceived as having the edge over state Rep. Arlene Wohlgemuth. However, Wohlgemuth leads the early vote by 2 points, with one smaller county from her state House district yet to report. The latest numbers show Edwards with a lead of nearly 1 point, but the only election-day vote to be counted is in the Waco sphere of influence. If Wohlgemuth gets any additional advantage out of Bryan/College Station today, she will likely win. Max Sandlin, Nick Lampson, Charles Stenholm, and Martin Frost are all being blown out. Posted at 11:13 PM ROB [Ramesh Ponnuru] It's the chewy red Burgundy. And maybe the ravishing neighbor. Posted at 11:13 PM THE NH GOV... [Jonah Goldberg] Is down two points which might be a good sign for Bush, because most folks think Benson will win. So if Bush is slightly down it might be a sign that Kerry's best precincts are reporting already. Posted at 11:12 PM IT'S THE BURGUNDY, ROB [KJL] I'll take both a Bush win and a Daschle loss. Call me selfish. Posted at 11:11 PM I'M SITTING HERE [Rob Long] ...drinking an excellent excellent red wine, with a bunch of my Venice, California neighbors -- all Dems, really, including a ravishing new neighbor who just moved in down the street (she's a professional surfer) but, surprisingly, everyone is civil and jovial and watching it with happy interest, with less rancor, actually, than Oscar night. Meanwhile, I'm doing my very best to correct the wicked lies all of them have heard and internalized from the ludicrous left... ...and is anyone else besides me at this point willing to toss Bush aside right now for a guaranteed Daschle defeat? Or is that the chewy red Burgundy talking? Posted at 11:10 PM DAMN [KJL] California voted for the stem-cell/cloning prop. I blame Arnold. He didn't have to weigh in. Posted at 11:09 PM THE MOOD [Jonah Goldberg] White House mood reportedly improving radically. "We might not even need Ohio. Posted at 11:08 PM READER JUST ASKED ME A GOOD QUESTION [KJL] Did John Edwards do anything for Kerry? I thought his wife would help, but...no. Posted at 11:07 PM KERRY GETS WASHINGTON [KJL] (FNC) Posted at 11:06 PM FUNNY [KJL] E-mail: checked out the demounderground after your post, love this post from there "I turned off my cell after my husband called me freaking, he works nights. You would think since ALL of us know that the media is slanted to the right that they would do the same for the election." Posted at 11:06 PM FROM CAPT. IN CAMP TAJI, IRAQ [KJL] KLO - Have been up since 0300 local watching the returns via the Internet. The Internet cafe's here are full of soldiers interested in the outcome. The mood is electric. Posted at 11:05 PM 42 PERCENT IN [KJL] There's about a 1,000 vote diffferent between Daschle goes down. Based on hunch--and believe in justice. Posted at 11:04 PM FROM FORMERLY BUMMED GOP POLLSTER [KJL] "if these performances in red states hold up, we'll win the popular vote! look at NJ. we're gonna lose it, but possibly by much less" Posted at 11:02 PM BEGALA BRIGHT SPOTS [Kate O'Beirne] Obama won big and Phil Crane looks like he's losing. That's it! Posted at 11:01 PM IDAHO FOR W. (FNC) [KJL] Posted at 11:00 PM BURR BEATS BOWLES IN NC [KJL] Edwards remains a loser.... (Apologies--RP posted already) Posted at 10:57 PM BURR WINS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Posted at 10:56 PM FNC CALLS PA. FOR KERRY [KJL] Darn. Posted at 10:56 PM PA. [Michael Ledeen] Don't give up yet; Santorum was way behind until 11-1130 PM. Wait half an hour Posted at 10:55 PM DEMOCRATIC UNDERGROUND [KJL] Sounds like a MUCH more-psycho version of Corner this afternoon. Posted at 10:53 PM BTW [KJL] Keep checking KerrySpot and Battlegrounders Posted at 10:51 PM NBC ON PA AND AZ [KJL] Former for Kerry and latter for Bush Posted at 10:51 PM ABC APPARENTLY PROJECTED SPECTER WIN [KJL] My daydream is over. Posted at 10:49 PM YUCK [KJL] Cythia McKinney is headed back to Congress. Posted at 10:46 PM THE TEXAS SEATS [Ramesh Ponnuru] in the House seem to be breaking for the Republicans. Posted at 10:44 PM AENEID AND US [Victor Davis Hanson] As a classicist I should offer this of tonight's ordeal from the first book of Virgil Aeneid (203): Optimism about tonight's uncertainty. Forsan et haec olim meminisse iuvabit, The day will come when even this ordeal shall be sweet to remember (Virgil, 1.203) Posted at 10:44 PM JUST PERFECT [KJL] Email: I just saw the e-mail you posted from another Pennsylvania voter regarding the Specter/Hoeffel race and I wanted to add one more strike against he incumbent. Yesteday the local NPR station was running a piece on him, and he defended himself against the charge that he votes overwhelmingly with the president by claiming that his voting record matches John Kerry's somewhere between 70-80% of the time. Posted at 10:41 PM LIFE (AND WAR) GOES ON [KJL] Frequent NR writer Tom Smith tells me: "Marine Corps and Air Force aircraft are pummeling insurgent positions in Fallujah, and I just received a press release stating, the 1st Marine Expeditionary Force 'will continue to conduct operations and will not cease until Fallujah is free of foreign terrorists and insurgents.'" Posted at 10:40 PM THIS IS PROBABLY A GOOD QUESTION [KJL] An e-mailer: Right now, Florida, Ohio and New Jersey are all at 52-47% - so how come they called NJ immediately - and still haven't called these others? (More of theFlorida vote is in than NJ which is merely 80% in now). Posted at 10:33 PM SLEEP? [KJL] John Miller is joking, right? Posted at 10:31 PM I'M GETTING A LOT OF THESE [KJL] I saw your post on Battlegrounders about the Hoeffel/Specter race. The only Republican I didn't vote for was Specter. I had been going back and forth about whether to vote for him, but the last straw was his pro-stem cell research ad with Michael J. Fox. The issue ranks fairly low for me, but given that the Democrats had been attacking Bush on it and the ad ends with "Arlen Specter (emphasis mine) gets it" it was the last straw (along with the reports of the Specter-Kerry signs). Particularly given that I had thought he was far ahead in the polls, and the ad would only hurt Bush. Posted at 10:30 PM FOX CALLING BUNNING [Jonah Goldberg] Posted at 10:29 PM BUNNING WINS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Take that, Bob Novak. Posted at 10:29 PM PETER JENNINGS [KJL] to John McCain: " Sen. McCain, do you feel used by President Bush in his campaign this year?" Reader fires back what McCain shoudl have answered with: " "No. But do you, Peter, feel used by the Democrat party?" Posted at 10:28 PM GOODBYE, MARTIN FROST [Rod Dreher] Democratic Congressman Martin Frost just conceded to Republican Congressman Pete Sessions. Frost was the No. 1 Congressional Democrat targeted by Tom DeLay in the Texas redistricting. It's a huge, huge win for the GOP. Posted at 10:27 PM THE WORD [KJL] "Hearing it's possible that NJ will go back into play. Bush total nationally could be 52. " How sweet would that be? Posted at 10:26 PM TIGHT IN SD? (BUT ONLY 25 % IN) [KJL] Daschle - D 50,206 50% Thune - R 49,403 50% Posted at 10:26 PM KARL ROVE IS BRILLIANT [KJL] An-email: The huge margins for Kerry in the exit polling led the Dems to call off the lawyers (I've heard Lockhart and Estrich say so on FNC). They say the system worked, so no need to sue. Posted at 10:24 PM MORE FROM FORMERLY BUMMED POLLSTER [KJL] "We're looking STRONG...looks like we picked up two seats already - KY4 and IN9...also looks like Bush will win popular vote as he maxes out red states and does better in NJ, NY, etc." Posted at 10:23 PM MORE OFF-TOPIC LATIN TAGS [Alex Rose] My particular favourite is, Si non oscillas, noli tintinnare, which was engraved on a brass plate above the Playboy Mansion's doorbell. It means, "If you don't swing, don't ring." That has nothing to do with the election, but who knew Hugh Hefner was such an adept classicist? My own philosophy is, Omnis homo mendax -- Every man is a liar. Posted at 10:21 PM I CAN'T DISAGREE WITH THIS READER [KJL] I’ve learned something about conservative commentators: You all are a bunch of nervous Nellies. Everything looks as though the glass is half empty when you should be saying it is half full. Posted at 10:20 PM GOOD VIBRATIONS? [KJL] From Bushie: "I’m told that very smart and able people in NH think we’re going to win it as well, based on the returns we’re seeing. I don’t want to get ahead of the data – but the feel is good." Well, it was like 100 points ahead in exit polls for W., right? Posted at 10:19 PM FROM SAME DC JOURNALIST [KJL] who has been checking in on Ohio: The more interesting suit seems to be the one in Hamilton County involving the provisional ballot fight using Bush Vs. Gore as the precedent. Spokesman for the Ohio Department of State says they will fight the lawsuit, but won't worry about it until after the election. Can't say if the individual filing the suit is a Dem because opensecrets.org is down due to high traffic. Of course, the Dems hinted that they'd use the provisional ballot issue in this state as the main hammer, but we thought it would come AFTER the election, not before. Ohio govt can be expected to fight vigorously that its provisional ballot handling is uniform and fair. Posted at 10:18 PM BEDTIME [John J. Miller] I'm calling it a night. But then again, I've got to be on BBC at 5 am, explaining what it all means to the good people of Great Britain. So it's more like another hour of TV watching in bed, then a short nap, then up for the day. I'll tell everyone in the UK that The Corner says hello. Posted at 10:17 PM EXCUSE ME... [Mark Steyn] Kathryn, Nick Clooney isn't George Clooney's dad. He's Rosemary Clooney's sister. This is a conservative website, remember? Re: NH. The small Kerry lead looking a wee bit maxed out with most of the Dem-friendly Mass border country in. 50-49, with the North Country still to report, and it's filled with Bush signs - mostly hand-painted. Posted at 10:16 PM EC COUNT [KJL] 193=W / 112 Kerry Posted at 10:15 PM BUSH WINS MISSOURI [KJL] (CNN) Posted at 10:14 PM (BY THE WAY, NOTICE THE COOL ELECTION NIGHT HOMEPAGE?) [KJL] Posted at 10:13 PM CNN CALLS ARKANSAS FOR BUSH [KJL] Even with a Clinton visit this weekend (Because of?) Posted at 10:12 PM MAKE GOOD ON THAT! [KJL] A reader: "I pla[n]y on buying a NRODT sub tomorrow :-)" Posted at 10:09 PM FROM A FRIEND AT A CABLE NETWORK [Ramesh Ponnuru] "The mood just became sour. Everyone thinks Bush just swept Ohio, FL, and will be re-elected decisively based on readjusted exit polling." Posted at 10:08 PM RE: IHT [Alex Rose] Regarding the IHT story posted by Kathryn on how the U.S. fails "best global practice," with the greatest of respect to "Konrad Olszewski, an election observer stationed in Miami by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe" -- important people, don't you know -- who complains that "monitoring elections in Serbia a few months ago was much simpler," isn't Serbia, like, a lot smaller than the U.S.? Posted at 10:08 PM MEHLMAN [KJL] looks so much more confident than Lockhart. No poker face on that Dem, even. Posted at 10:07 PM FLORIDA FOR W, BY THREE? [KJL] Returns, Exit and Others, give Bush three point lead, say Bushies Posted at 10:06 PM MESSENGER KILLED, THEN RESURRECTED? [KJL] An e-mail: " I cursed your name earlier this evening when you dashed my hopes of a W victory with your pessimistic commentary (based upon early exit polls). However, your subsequent posts have been outstanding and I forgive you of your earlier transgressions. " Posted at 10:05 PM FOR MR. DERB [Fr. Rutler] Nihil est incertius vulgo, nihil obscurius voluntate hominum, nihil fallacius ratione tota comitiorum Cicero: Pro Murena 36 (Translation provided for the major news network commentators): Nothing more unpredictable that the mob; nothing more obscure than popular opinion; nothing more deceptive than the whole political system. Posted at 10:04 PM RICHARDSON ON FOX [Ramesh Ponnuru] says Kerry will win NM by 1 percent, which I think means Bush takes it. Posted at 10:03 PM POETRY BAN [John Derbyshire] Kathryn: Since I've broken the taboo, this one of Belloc's is always worth recycling at election time. The accursed power which stands on Privilege (And goes with Women, and Champagne, and Bridge) Broke - and Democracy resumed her reign: (Which goes with Bridge, and Women and Champagne). Posted at 10:02 PM MY NIGHT SO FAR [Andy McCarthy] Depressed Glass of chianti Fettucini with meat sauce. Glass of chianti. Voter, lifelong Dem, stops by and tells me voted for Bush -- first time even vote for GOP. Rib-eye steak, carrots, potato, glass of chianti. New York cheese cake, Remy Martin. Feeling much better about things! Posted at 10:02 PM MORE OFF TOPIC [Shannen Coffin] Father, my confession on the Aeneid was that I faked reading it in my freshman year of college. My term paper was heavy on the Iliad and Odysseym as a result. So I didn't read it in English, let alone in Latin, Derb (and we're not impressed, really). Posted at 10:01 PM A GUBERNATORIAL SURPRISE IN DELAWARE? [John Hood] Democratic Gov. Ruth Ann Minner in Delaware was supposed to be one of the safest incumbents this year, but with half the vote reporting the GOP nominee, Bill Lee, is actually leading this race. Could there be a surprise here? Posted at 10:01 PM 10 PM [KJL] Cnn projects W=Utah Posted at 10:00 PM A FEW AGO [KJL] W said from White House ""I believe I will win." Looked confident, as did all the women (mom, wife, kids) in the room. Posted at 09:59 PM WITH THE GOOD GUYS [KJL] An e-mail: We’re...watching the election results with a young man from Iraq who is in the U.S. speaking to groups around the country about the situation in Iraq. He is here to thank Americans for his liberation. I just finished explaining the electoral vote system to him. He is sitting here with a map of the U.S. following the results with an intensity that brings a tear to my eye. Guess who he would be voting for. Posted at 09:57 PM SMART GUY! [KJL] An e-mail: "About 90 minutes ago I bought 70 contracts for Bush @ $28 on Tradesports ($220 total) and have made about $140 profit so far (shares are at $48)……it’s still going up." Posted at 09:54 PM NICK CLOONEY [KJL] loses by 11 Posted at 09:54 PM BY MY MATH--ONE SCENARIO [Rich Lowry] If Bush wins FLA and Ohio (plausible), and loses NH and Nev (who knows? could happen), its 269-269. Then what happens in Maine second congressinal? Has it been called? What happens in Hawaii? Posted at 09:53 PM MORE GOP CONFIDENCE [KJL] From an insider: We are feeling very confident about Florida. So are people on the ground there, who know a good deal about these things. Among the specific facts worth noting: Posted at 09:50 PM GOP HIGH UPS [KJL] Say Martinez wins. Totally confident re Ohio and Fla. Don't worry about Missouri and Arkansas. Posted at 09:49 PM BUSH AND MARTINEZ [Ramesh Ponnuru] The president is running ahead of the Senate candidate, which was not I think what the Bush campaign expected. Posted at 09:48 PM IS THIS A JOKE? [KJL] IHT: MIAMI The global implications of the U.S. election are undeniable, but international monitors at a polling station in southern Florida said Tuesday that voting procedures being used in the extremely close contest fell short in many ways from the best global practices. Posted at 09:48 PM MICHAEL MOORE CRYING IN HIS RAMEN NOODLES? [KJL] WASHINGTON - This was not the breakout year for young voters that some had anticipated. Fewer than one in 10 voters Tuesday were 18 to 24, about the same proportion of the electorate as in 2000, exit polls indicated. Still, with voter turnout expected to be higher overall, more young people appeared to have come out. Posted at 09:45 PM MORE FLA [Ramesh Ponnuru] "Palm Beach County is coming in with a bigger swing to Bush than Broward. There are only five counties in all of Florida that have swung AT ALL to Kerry, none with more than a 1% swing -- the biggest being Leon (Tallahassee)." Posted at 09:45 PM BROWARD COUNTY, FLA [Ramesh Ponnuru] Same Bushie: "Broward County, the Democrats biggest county in net votes, there is a 5% swing to Bush with 80% reporting." Posted at 09:44 PM CBS CALLS DEMINT [KJL] Posted at 09:42 PM NOTE A SHOCKER... [KJL] ...but would be sad. Phil Crane down 14 points, 31 percent reporting Posted at 09:40 PM JUST YESTERDAY [KJL] Rich said to me, "Do you need to tell Cornerites to stay on topic Election night? Like, no poetry?" Kathryn: "Rich, it's ELECTION NIGHT. People will be focused like a laser on W." Okay, fine. You win, Rich. I have lost control. I blame the Chianti. Posted at 09:36 PM FEELING BETTER AND BETTER... [Jonah Goldberg] That is all. Posted at 09:36 PM FOR FR. RUTLER [John Derbyshire] Sixth book of the Aeneid, hm? Chapter 21 perhaps? Nox ruit, Aenea; nos flendo ducimus horas. Hic locus est, partis ubi se via findit in ambas: dextera quae Ditis magni sub moenia tendit, hac iter Elysium nobis; at laeva malorum exercet poenas et ad impia Tartara mittit. [Night speeds by, And we, Aeneas, lose it in lamenting. Here comes the place where cleaves our way in twain. Thy road, the right, toward Pluto's dwelling goes, And leads us to Elysium. But the left Speeds sinful souls to doom, and is their path To Tartarus th' accurst...] Posted at 09:35 PM OHIO [Ramesh Ponnuru] Same Bushie as talked to me about Fla: "Bush has gained ground over his 2000 percentage in more counties than Kerry has. And remember, we have a 3+ point margin to work with." Trying to get a little more info. Posted at 09:35 PM ANOTHER REPUBLICAN WIN FOR GOVERNOR [John Hood] Republican Jim Douglas has been reelected governor of that GOP-trending state of Vermont. He was first elected to the post in 2002. Posted at 09:34 PM MEN, WOMEN & POLLS [KJL] Hearing versions of this from a few: Kathryn: Posted at 09:33 PM FROM MARY MATALIN [KJL] Pass on how off the exits and reality are. Ohio still unknown but lines in franklin co (ours) were over 2 hours long. Wi tied. Posted at 09:31 PM :) [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: This conservative anti-Kerry Dem is feeling a whole lot better than I did a few minutes ago. W is right where he needs to be in Ohio. The bulk of the early returns (9pm) were in two of the most pro-Kerry counties in the state Cuyahoga and Trumbull. In the few rural and Columbus suburban counties W is right where he needs to be. Could it be those blasted exit polls are screwier than that screwy rabbit. Elmer get yer gun! Dave from Columbus Posted at 09:31 PM LOUSIANA [KJL] just called on FNC for W Posted at 09:30 PM FLA. SIGNS [Shannen Coffin] Good sign in a ballot measure in Florida. Abortion parental notification law winning by overwhelming margin. That's likely a good sign for the pro-life candidate in the Presidential race. Posted at 09:30 PM FROM ED GILLESPIE ON LAURA INGRAHAM [KJL] We have exceeded our precinct goals in Ohio, so we feel really good about it. Posted at 09:28 PM LOTS OF 9:30 CLOSINGS, ALL TOO EARLY TOO CALL, FNC SAYS [KJL] Posted at 09:25 PM MAP WATCHING [Jim Robbins] The 2004 map on Drudge is looking a lot like 2000 minus NH for Bush. Meaning, if all the rest of the states go the way it looks like they might, Bush wins. Posted at 09:23 PM HEARING FROM A FEW BUSH CAMPERS [KJL] Florida: Overperforming our 2000 result along the i-4 corridor; winning Orange County and Pasco County, both of which we lost last time; we over performed our vote goal in Democrat Broward county Posted at 09:21 PM OHIO [Jim Robbins] Hamilton Co OH 2000: Bush 54%, Gore 42%, NAder 2.5% Now, Bush 56% Kerry 44% (not much yet counted though) Posted at 09:17 PM GOOD SIGN? [Rich Lowry] According to exit data, 52% of Floridans approved of Bush's job performance. Posted at 09:16 PM MAINE [KJL] Drew Cline at the Union Leader points out: Kerry's win in Maine was called very early, based on exit polls! Second District still very much in play. Posted at 09:13 PM MORE [KJL] from my formerly bummed Republican pollster type: the returns are suggesting Bush has a chance and that Bush could win the popular vote... Posted at 09:12 PM HAVE I MISSED SOMETHING? [Father George Rutler] While I was sitting here quietly reading the Sixth Book of the Aeneid and listening to some Gregorian chant, a friend telephoned and said something about an election. Is there an election going on? I may have missed something. Posted at 09:10 PM LOTS OF PEOPLE SAYING GOOD THINGS ABOUT FLORIDA [KJL] Rothenberg almost ready to call FL for Bush. Posted at 09:09 PM IS IT ME [KJL] or is Chris Matthews infatuated with Vanessa Kerry? Devoted Hardball watchers will udnerstand. Posted at 09:08 PM TRADESPORTS [Ramesh Ponnuru] The markets are betting on Bush losing--but no longer on his losing Fla. Maybe there's a rebound starting. Posted at 09:06 PM REALLY SMART PERSON [KJL] who has been feeling queasy since last week is feeling better right now--like in last hour. Posted at 09:06 PM THE DRIFT OF THINGS [John Derbyshire] As the house pessimist, I'm allowed to say this: I have a bad feeling. But then again ..... Posted at 09:04 PM 9PM PROJECTIONS [KJL] W=Texas; ND; KS; SD;Wy.; Neb (4 out of 5 electoral, def) COL Electoral Vote ballot ref fails Kerry=NY; RI; 155=W. 122=Kerry Posted at 09:01 PM COLORADO EV AMENDMENT LOSES [Ramesh Ponnuru] Posted at 09:01 PM FROM DC JOURNALIST (CITED EARLIER, TOO) [KJL] The Ohio Dem party did not file suit to keep the polls open longer. They filed suit to allow those waiting in lines alleged to be 3 to 4 hours long (they have affidavits taken from people in line in the 5 p.m. hour), asking the court to allow them to be handed provisional or paper ballots (not sure what that second method is supposed to accomplish). Sources tell me that the judge was sympathetic to the argument and was going to grant it. Posted at 09:00 PM BUT SERIOUSLY.. [Jonah Goldberg] I'm feeling much better about Florida, which makes this a long haul. It also unravels a lot of the b.s. loaded into the exit polls in Fla. If, in fact, Bush is doing so much better in Fla than those polls would have indicated, than you have to assume that the exit polls were similarly wrong everywhere else too. Posted at 08:59 PM MY BUMMED [KJL] GOP pollster type from hours ago is now saying (was down yesterday too): "i'm feeling more confident. this is going to be close. some of these exit polls were bulls**t...." Posted at 08:57 PM DID YOU KNOW... [Jonah Goldberg] That you can tell by the way I use my walk I'm a woman's man with no time to talk? Posted at 08:56 PM FIRST GOOD NEWS I'VE SEEN [Michael Graham] Watching Susan Estrich battling defensively on FNC, saying the “people in Boston say if the exit polls are right then Bush wins.” Her entire message was one of annoyance at the lack of alignment between the exit polls and the results thus far. Joe Lockhart didn’t look too happy on FNC, either. Are the wheels falling off for the Democrats just as they reach the finish line? Posted at 08:56 PM EMAIL FROM A BUSHIE [Ramesh Ponnuru] "Virtually every county in Florida that is mostly reported has swung to us since 2000, the median being something like 5-6% in terms of vote margin. We’ll see how the Gold Coast comes in, but with numbers like this we should not have a problem." Posted | ||||||