Richard Epstein, Donald Verrilli, and Michael Carvin Assess SCOTUS Term
An interesting discussion at the Heritage Foundation earlier today. Towards the end, Richard Epstein gets a nice dig at Paul Krugman, too.
Mitt, Newt, the Ricks, Michele, Ron, Jon . . . and Jeb?
The Tuesday edition of the Morning Jolt features the latest futile round of “Hillary 2012″ buzz, a discussion of an anti–Occupy Wall Street theme in the trailer for the upcoming Batman movie, and this latest unexpected turn in the …
When You Think Election 2012, Think… ‘PAOHMIWIAMN.’
There is (sigh) more twists and turns of the story of Cain and his accusers in the Morning Jolt, as well as a look at the grim outlook for John Kasich’s reforms in Ohio, and the 2012 electoral map:
2012: An Across-the-Board Anti-Incumbent Year?
Reid Wilson looks at the numbers and suggests that 2012 might be a genuine anti-incumbent year, as opposed to previous “anti-incumbent” years that turned out to be bad for only one party’s incumbents.
For all the attention the “Republican …
Two New Surveys Show Obama in Trouble With Latinos, Swing States
I don’t think either of the survey results cited in Mike Allen’s Politico newsletter are really that surprising, considering the state of the economy, etc., but he calls them “sobering” for Democrats:
THIS CYCLE’S BIGGEST SURVEY OF …
Obama, the GOP, and the ‘Big Nine’
Pollster Glen Bolger wants Republicans to start thinking about the Big Nine. No, that’s not another collegiate football conference:
The nine states that George W. Bush won in 2004 but flipped over to Barack Obama in 2008: Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, …
Rethinking Those Never-Wrong Criteria for Predicting Presidential Elections . . .
My Internet continues to move about as quickly as the Guantanamo Bay closure process. A belated offering from the Morning Jolt:
Yeah, But How Does Alan Lichtman Do in His Fantasy Football League?
At U.S. News and World Report, …
The Unofficial Deadline for Declaring a Presidential Bid: November 1
So how late can a Rick Perry*, or Sarah Palin, or “Candidate X” wait before jumping into the race?
If we presume that an aspiring Republican president would want to appear on the ballot, and not be forced to try …
Should We Expect Anything Memorable Tonight?
Tonight is the first major Republican debate of the 2012 cycle. (One was held in May, but most of the participants were relative longshots: Herman Cain, Gary Johnson, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Rick Santorum. Tonight all of those, minus Johnson, …
GOP Contenders Aren’t Late; They’re Reverting to the Traditional Schedule
Over in the Washington Post, Karen Tumulty writes:
Normally, the first debate of the presidential primary season serves as a starting gun. The one that will take place on Thursday night could sound more like a distress call. Consider the …
The Jindal, McDonnell, and Ryan Bids That Almost Happened
Over on the NRO homepage, a what-might-have-been story: Some frustrated GOP consultants contemplated starting a long-shot effort to draft Louisiana governor Bobby Jindal, Virginia governor Bob McDonnell, or Wisconsin congressman Paul Ryan into the presidential race, despite the trio’…
Rove: ‘Obama Will Have the Cash. But He Can’t Run on His Record.’
American Crossroads offers an electoral analysis and pep talk from Karl Rove, complete with snazzy moving graphics floating in the air beside him:
He suggests that the Obama path to victory will require vastly outspending the Republicans in states like …
The 2012 GOP Presidential Field Is Set.
The Republican presidential field is set.
This probably doesn’t mean the speculation is over, but as of today, anyone who jumped in would not appear on the ballot in the Florida primary — complicating a late, long-shot bid a …
What We Need in a GOP Candidate
The Washington Examiner’s Phil Klein lays out his argument that the GOP field is an “incredibly weak” one, an assessment I share, although I’m not sure the field is “incredibly weak.” I think it’s just that every …
With This Economy, It’s Amazing Obama Is Still in the Race
Another bad week on Wall Street:
After dropping 527 points, the Dow Jones industrial average closed down 391 points, the second consecutive rout in the stock market since the Federal Reserve announced a change in strategy for fighting the economic slowdown. One …
Rick Perry Fills the GOP Field’s Vacuum
It’s been said that while the Republican party is still looking for its ideal presidential candidate for the 2012 election, the party has a bumper crop of impressive potential running mates and/or options for 2016. Among those mentioned often …
Obama Campaign: We Fell Behind on Fundraising Last Month
Last month, some folks scoffed when I wrote this:
To match his $750 million from the 2008 cycle, Obama would need to average $107 million for seven quarters. Obviously, it is possible that Obama can make up ground in the next few quarters. …
Gallup: Generic Republican 44%, Obama 39%
KA-POW! The conventional wisdom of Obama’s great advantage in 2012 takes another tough blow:
Forty-four percent of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for “the Republican Party’s candidate” and 39% for Barack Obama in the 2012 presidential election, …
Surprise! More Republicans Are ‘Extremely Enthusiastic’ About 2012 Vote.
Easily-overlooked points in the latest CNN poll:
The survey finds 26 percent of registered Democrats “extremely enthusiastic” about voting in the 2012 presidential election; 38 percent of registered Republicans describe themselves that way.
The survey finds that in a sample of 472 registered Democrats, 18 …
Ron Paul and Tim Pawlenty, Thursday Night’s Most Popular Guys
The most common knock on former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty’s presidential aspirations is that he has low name ID.
Thursday night, at the first Republican presidential debate of the 2012 cycle, sponsored by the South Carolina GOP and Fox News, …