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Tags: Baron Hill

Slew of Defeated House Democrats Not Interested in 2012 Comeback Bids



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Sometimes, after a politician is defeated, they don’t come back — or at least not the next cycle:

Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Steve Israel said last month that he had contacted former Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D-S.D.) about running for her old seat in 2012 . . .

Unfortunately for Israel, she may have other plans. After joining a Washington law firm earlier this month, Herseth Sandlin on Thursday dissolved her campaign committee — a move that generally means a candidate has no plans to make a quick return to politics.

In fact, Herseth Sandlin is just the latest 2010 loser to close down his or her committee; she joins a host of former Democratic members from conservative-leaning districts who have done the same.

Former Blue Dog Reps. Bobby Bright (D-Ala.), Baron Hill (D-Ind.), Walt Minnick (D-Idaho) and Travis Childers (D-Miss.) and another conservative Democrat, former Rep. Ike Skelton (D-Mo.), have also shuttered their campaign committees in the aftermath of the 2010 election. (Hill has said he will not run again.)

Throw one more onto the pile:

Add ex-Rep. Ron Klein (D-FL) to the probably-not-running-again list. He’s joining a FL lobbying firm.

Well, at least they’re finding jobs in this economy.

Klein lost to Allen West last cycle, 45 percent to 54 percent. Under the current district lines, Florida’s 22nd congressional district scores a D+1 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Obama carried it, 52 percent to 48 percent, in 2008. Klein’s disinterest doesn’t end the Democrats’ chances of retaking the seat, but it is a bit surprising.

Tags: Allen West , Baron Hill , Bobby Bright , Ike Skelton , Ron Klein , Stephanie Herseth Sandlin , Travis Childers , Walt Minnick

Good Night, Chet.



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I am told by a reliable source that the DCCC has canceled one week’s worth of ad purchases aimed at Texas’s 17th congressional district.

Good night, Chet, as in Chet Edwards.

This source also says the DCCC has canceled a week’s worth of scheduled ads in Terre Haute and Evansville, Indiana, which were aimed at Indiana’s 8th and 9th congressional districts. These are the district of incumbent Democrat Baron Hill and the open-seat race in the district previously represented by Brad Ellsworth.

Somehow it is fitting that a party so closely connected to mucking around with the health-care system would have to practice triage.

UPDATE: Baron Hill’s campaign writes in: 

I am the Communications Director for Baron Hill’s campaign in IN-09.  I am sending you a quick note because of a recent post in which you mentioned that an ad buy had been canceled in our district.  Although parts of our district do reach into the Evansville media market, we do not believe that any reservations were made on our behalf in Evansville.  As such, any change in a reservation in that market would not affect our campaign.  

But Reid Wilson of Hotline has more:

 

The DCCC’s separate political wings are engaged in their first argument over one of their vulnerable candidates as the independent expenditure division begins pulling back funding while the coordinated division is pouring more money into the race.

Rep. Baron Hill (D-IN) is the source of the dispute. The committee’s independent expenditure wing has cancelled their advertising buys in the state’s 9th District for 2 weeks in mid-October. But the coordinated side, which is not allowed to discuss strategy with their independent expenditure counterpart, believes Hill is still deserving of spending.

The IE’s decision is a significant blow to Hill’s chances. While the independent expenditure side can spend unlimited amounts, the coordinated side of the DCCC can spend about $87K, according to FEC rules.

Tags: Baron Hill , Chet Edwards

Baron Hill’s Town Hall Meeting Turns Into His Opponent’s Campaign Ad



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Republican Todd Young unleashes the ad we all knew was going to come against Archduke Czar Viscount Earl Pasha Baron Hill in Indiana’s 9th Congressional District:

My only regret? No use of Hill telling the audience the reason he didn’t allow anyone to record his town hall meetings was because he didn’t want something embarrassing appearing on YouTube.

Tags: Baron Hill , Todd Young

What Is the DCCC Saying to Frank Kratovil and Baron Hill?*



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We now know where the DCCC is slated to spend their money on their first and second waves of advertising.

Here’s the full list of Democratic incumbents who the DCCC plans run ads in support of: Alabama Rep. Bobby Bright; Arizona Reps. Ann Kirkpatrick, Harry Mitchell, and Gabrielle Giffords; California Rep. Jerry McNerney; Colorado Rep. Betsy Markey; Florida Reps. Allen Boyd and Suzanne Kosmas; Iowa Rep. Leonard Boswell; Illinois Reps. Debbie Halvorson and Bill Foster; Indiana Rep. Joe Donnelly; Missouri Rep. Ike Skelton; Michigan Rep. Mark Schauer, Mississippi Rep. Travis Childers; North Carolina Rep. Larry Kissell; North Dakota Rep. Earl Pomeroy; New Mexico Rep. Harry Teague; Nevada Rep. Dina Titus; New York Reps. Bill Owens and Michael Arcuri; Ohio Reps. Steve Driehaus, Mary Jo Kilroy and John Boccieri; Pennsylvania Reps. Kathy Dahlkemper, Chris Carney, Paul Kanjorski and Mark Critz; South Carolina Rep. John Spratt; South Dakota Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin; Texas Reps. Chet Edwards and Ciro Rodriguez; Virginia Reps. Tom Perriello, Glenn Nye and Gerry Connolly; and Wisconsin Rep. Steve Kagen.

I went through my previous list of 99 to see who was not on the DCCC’s “help” list. (There are a few I would drop, like Frank Pallone in New Jersey and Dan Maffei of New York, barring some dramatic developments.) A lot, but not all, of these Democratic incumbents enjoy a healthy financial advantage over their GOP challengers. Among the names I’m most surprised to not see on the DCCC list: Frank Kratovil and Baron Hill.

Not on the list:

  1. Mike Ross, Arkansas
  2. Loretta Sanchez, California
  3. Bob Filner, California
  4. John Salazar, Colorado
  5. Ed Perlmutter, Colorado
  6. Jim Himes, Connecticut
  7. Chris Murphy, Connecticut
  8. Ron Klein, Florida
  9. Alan Grayson, Florida
  10. John Barrow, Georgia
  11. Jim Marshall, Georgia
  12. Melissa Bean, Illinois
  13. Phil Hare, Illinois
  14. Baron Hill, Indiana
  15. Dave Loebsack, Iowa
  16. Leonard Boswell, Iowa
  17. Ben Chandler, Kentucky
  18. Frank Kratovil, Maryland
  19. Mark Schauer, Michigan
  20. Gary Peters, Michigan
  21. Gene Taylor, Mississippi
  22. Shelley Berkeley, Nevada
  23. Carol Shea-Porter, New Hampshire
  24. John Adler, New Jersey
  25. Rush Holt, New Jersey
  26. Martin Heinrich, New Mexico
  27. John Hall, New York
  28. Bill Owens, New York
  29. Mike McMahon, New York
  30. Tim Bishop, New York
  31. Mike McIntrye, North Carolina
  32. Heath Shuler, North Carolina
  33. Charlie Wilson, Ohio
  34. Betty Sutton, Ohio
  35. Dan Boren, Oklahoma
  36. Kurt Schrader, Oregon
  37. David Wu, Oregon
  38. Jason Altmire, Pennsylvania
  39. Patrick Murphy, Pennsylvania
  40. Tim Holden, Pennsylvania
  41. Lincoln Davis, Tennessee
  42. Jim Matheson, Utah
  43. Rick Boucher, Virginia

* The linked list from Politico is not complete, despite its claim; Betty Sutton of Ohio is indeed on the DCCC list, as is Zach Space. I originally thought she was a surprising omission. Thanks, Politico. This explains how Walt Minnick was on the list yesterday and wasn’t on the Politico list today.

Tags: Baron Hill , Betty Sutton , Frank Kratovil

Live by the YouTube Clip, Die by the YouTube Clip



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Politico:

THE DNC today opens an “iReport” for politics — a website that a party official says will be “devoted to citizens uploading content from political events, including audio and video — a central resource to hold Republicans accountable for misleading claims, lies, and unseemly behavior . . . We can’t afford to depend on the media or campaign trackers to be present and capture every extreme position taken, . . . so this site . . . will increase the number of people out there who with nothing more than a smart phone at hand can hold Republicans accountable.”

Good idea, fellows. You never know when you’ll see something like this:

Or this:

Or this:

Or this:

Or this:

You get the idea . . .

Tags: Baron Hill , Bob Etheridge , Creigh Deeds , Phil Hare , Sheila Jackson Lee

I Guess Brad Ellsworth Just Isn’t That Big a Deal



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On the veep’s schedule today: “At 12:30 p.m., the Vice President will attend an event for Representative Baron Hill in Jeffersonville, Indiana.”

A fan of GOP Senate nominee Dan Coats notices that either Biden is avoiding Democratic Senate nominee Brad Ellsworth, or Ellsworth is avoiding Biden.

UPDATE: That’s strange. Another Democrat running for Senate says he’s busy:

Vice President Joe Biden is scheduled to visit Louisville Monday to discuss how federal stimulus dollars have benefited the state, but his party’s candidate for Kentucky senator will not attend.

Biden will speak at 11 a.m. at the headquarters of GE Appliances & Lighting. Gov. Steve Beshear and U.S. Rep. John Yarmuth, D-Louisville are expected to join him.

However, Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Jack Conway has a scheduling conflict and will not be at Biden’s visit, Conway’s campaign manager, Jonathan Drobis, said.

Tags: Baron Hill , Brad Ellsworth , Dan Coats , Joe Biden

Rounding Up Tuesday’s Primaries . . .



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Last night in Indiana, Dan Coats won the GOP Senate primary, pretty much as expected. He won 39 percent to Marlin A. Stutzman’s 29 percent, and John Hostettler’s 23 percent. Coats leads Brad Ellsworth by 16, by 21, or by 1 if you listen to the Daily Kos poll.

A bit of a surprise in Indiana’s 9th district, where Mike Sodrel will not be the GOP nominee against Baron Hill; with 99 percent of precincts reporting, Todd Young appears to have a 1,000-vote lead.

Elsewhere in Indiana, Todd Rokita will be the GOP nominee in the 4th district.

Rep. Dan Burton narrowly won his primary in the 5th district.

Dr. Larry Bucshon will lead the GOP in the race to win the seat of Ellsworth.

In Ohio, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher beat Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner in that state’s Democratic Senate primary, and will now face the GOP’s Rob Portman.

The polling in this race is close, although I would like to see some more non-Kos, non-Quinnipiac polling.

The Democratic Senate primary in North Carolina effectively goes on another few months: Secretary of State Elaine Marshall and former state senator Cal Cunningham are headed for a June 22 runoff after neither candidate broke 40 percent of the vote.

Tags: Baron Hill , Dan Coats , Lee Fisher , Mike Sodrel , Todd Young

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