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Tags: Colorado Recall

On Colorado Recall-Election Eve, Early Voting Hints at Split Decision



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Colorado Peak Politics gathers the latest early voting data in El Paso County, where a recall election against state senator John Morse is in progress:

12,174 total early votes

ACN (Constitution Party): 37

Democrat: 4,023 (33 percent)

Green: 39

Libertarian: 100

Republican: 4,923 (40 percent)

Unaffiliated: 3,052 (25 percent)

Here are the early voting figures in Pueblo, where state senator Angela Giron is also facing a recall election:

To date, 21,014 voters have turned out to the various polling places around town conducting early voting.

Of that total, 9,838 have been Democrats, 6,869 have been Republican, and 4,174 have been unaffiliated voters, according to the Pueblo County Clerk and Recorder’s office. Others affiliated with different parties such as Libertarians and the Green Party make up 133 of the total votes cast.

That comes out to 46 percent Democrat, 32 percent Republican, 19 percent unaffiliated.

All the traditional caveats apply — there’s no guarantee every Republican voted for the recall, or every Democrat voted against it, etc. But so far, early voting suggests a gloomy night for Morse and a good night for Giron.

If tomorrow’s results show a split decision, it will reflect, in part, the difference between a swing district and a relatively safe Democrat one. In 2010, Democrat John Morse won reelection 48.1 percent to 47.2 percent, with about 250 votes separating the two (and Libertarian Douglas Randall collected 1,258 votes). That year, Giron won more solidly, 54.8 percent to 45.1 percent, a margin of about 4,000 votes.

Tags: Colorado Recall

A Not-So-Revealing Poll in Colorado



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Quinnipiac polled registered voters in Colorado and found that 54 percent oppose the recall elections against the two state legislators who voted for the state’s new gun-control law — but also found that 53 percent think the state’s new gun-control laws go “too far.”

The problem is that all of these results are from a statewide sample, and the recall elections will be decided by voters in the two state-senate districts. Quinnipiac didn’t break down its statewide sample by region, so there’s no way to tell how many of the respondents live in the two districts.

(Couldn’t they have asked respondents, “Do you live in one of the state-senate districts that will have a recall election on September 10?”) Polling for special elections is particularly tricky, since the turnout is different — usually significantly lower — than the turnout in a regular November election.

Coloradans are about evenly split on the statewide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 15 bullets — 49 percent supporting, 48 percent opposing. Only 37 percent say the new law will make the state safer; 40 percent say the new laws could have reduced the number of people killed in those shootings, while 56 percent say the new laws wouldn’t have made a difference.

Tags: Colorado Recall , Polling

How Worried Are Democrats About Colorado’s Recall Elections?



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How often do you see me cheerfully quoting Daily Kos?

The scuttlebutt out of Colorado is that Colorado Sen. John Morse, subject of an NRA-backed recall, is in real danger of being ousted. The problem isn’t necessarily public opinion in the district, but the confluence of a couple of factors: 1) turnout is sketchy during special elections, and recall supporters are likely more motivated, and 2) a series of legal rulings have eliminated mail-in voting, which Democrats have mastered in recent years. This will be a good ol’ fashioned get-em-to-the-polls operation, and Republicans have been more efficient on that front of late.

Second Amendment advocates aim to replace Democratic senators John Morse of Colorado Springs and Angela Giron of Pueblo. Markos Moulitsas’s post doesn’t offer any “scuttlebutt” on Giron, but another commenter there says she’s “getting hammered” by the Pueblo Chieftain.

Last time out, in 2010, Morse won by a quite thin margin, 48.1 percent to 47.2 percent, with about 250 votes separating the two (and Libertarian Douglas Randall collected 1,258 votes). That year, Giron won more solidly, 54.8 percent to 45.1 percent, a margin of about 4,000 votes. In that November midterm election, about 28,000 votes were cast in Morse’s race, about 40,000 votes in Giron’s. Of course, in a special recall election, turnout may be much lower.

Moulitsas urges his readers to chip in to help Morse. The local Republican parties selected former Colorado Springs city councilman Bernie Herpin to take on Morse and George Rivera, former deputy chief of the Pueblo police force, to take on Giron.

Tags: John Morse , Colorado Recall

Colorado’s Recall Elections Turn Into a Legal Mess



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The good news for conservatives in Colorado’s two recall elections is that they’re still on. The bad news is that recent judicial decisions have made a hash of the rules.

Second Amendment advocates aim to replace Democratic senators John Morse of Colorado Springs and Angela Giron of Pueblo in recall elections on September 10.

The local Republican parties selected former Colorado Springs city councilman Bernie Herpin to take on Morse and George Rivera, former deputy chief of the Pueblo police force, to take on Giron.

But recent court cases are changing the rules for the recall. Originally all ballots were to be cast by mail, but a judge ruled that the deadline for third-party and independent candidates to qualify for the special-election ballot must be pushed back, from 15 days before the election to 10 days. Unfortunately, El Paso County already mailed out 600 absentee ballots to military voters overseas. Absentee military voters will have the option of e-mailing or faxing ballots back to the county clerks in their respective districts.

Now the two state-senate districts may use in-person voting, and may not use mail ballots at all. That would appear to put the Democrat incumbents at a slight disadvantage, but they’re appealing the recent decision to the Colorado supreme court.

So there will be two recall elections, with national ramifications for the gun control debate, in 27 days . . . and no one is entirely sure what the rules to cast a ballot will be.

Tags: Colorado Recall

Everything You Need to Know About the Colorado Recall Elections



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The Morning Jolt starts off the week with a look at how New York’s media elite treated Barack Obama a decade ago, fun at the mulitplex, what the president should have called the Sequester, and . . . 

Everything You Need to Know About the Colorado Recall Elections

If you’re a fan of the Second Amendment, and you feel that a whole bunch of lawmakers — mostly Democrats — reacted to the horror of Newtown by rushing to pass a bunch of ill-thought gun control laws that would have done nothing to prevent that tragedy, then you need to pay a lot of attention to the recall efforts against two Colorado state lawmakers.

Second Amendment advocates aim to replace Democratic senators John Morse of Colorado Springs and Angela Giron of Pueblo. (They also tried to recall Senator Evie Hudak of Westminster and Representative Morse won, 48.1 percent to 47.2 percent, with about 250 votes separating the two (and Libertarian Douglas Randall collected 1,258 votes). That year, Giron won more solidly, 54.8 percent to 45.1 percent, a margin of about 4,000 votes. In that November midterm election, about 28,000 votes were cast in Morse’s race, about 40,000 votes in Giron’s. Of course, in a special recall election, turnout may be much lower.

The local Republican parties selected former Colorado Springs City Councilman Bernie Herpin to take on John Morse and George Rivera, former deputy chief of the Pueblo police force, to take on Giron.

Here’s how it works:

The ballot will include the original statement from the petitioners as to why the official in question should be recalled, as well as a no more than 300 word rebuttal from the official, if the official submits a statement.

The ballot will have two boxes, marked “Yes” approving the recall and “No” disapproving the recall. There will also be a list of candidates for whom those that voted for the recall may vote for to replace the official. In this sense, the recall election is held simultaneously with the election of the new official.

If a majority of participants vote “No” in the recall, the official whom the recall was filed against will remain in their position. If there is a majority of “Yes” votes, then the new official will be the candidate on the list with the most votes.

The election will be conducted by mail, and even more so than in regular elections, the details count in this one:

All active, registered voters in Senate district 11 will receive a mail-in ballot. Ballots will be mailed to military and overseas voters by August 9. Ballots will be mailed to local voters starting August 19.

There will be two sections on the ballot. One will ask whether or not Senator John Morse should be recalled. The second section will allow voters to choose a successor candidate.

Voters MUST answer the recall question to have their vote counted. The County Clerk and Recorder’s Office says if a voter skips the recall question their ballot will be voided, even if they voted for a successor candidate.

Ballots have to be received by the Clerk and Recorder’s Office by 7:00 p.m. September 10 in order to be counted. Voters can verify that their ballot was received by visiting the Go Vote Colorado website.

Herpin’s pitch:

I’m running to defend our Constitutional rights and promote an environment where small businesses are free to create jobs and improve our local community.

For too long, John Morse has been more interested in doing the bidding of Big Government interests in Denver and Washington and less interested in the economic concerns and well-being of our community.

We have the opportunity to remove the president of the senate and send a strong message that we will not tolerate elected officials who disrespect our Constitutional rights and ignore their constituents.

Many in our community know about my long standing vocal and public support of our Constitutional rights. I also have a history of serving our city and have always prided myself on being responsive to the people of Colorado Springs.

Rivera is pointing out that separate from Giron’s gun vote, she’s also voted for a slew of bills he deems bad for the district:

A bill that makes it easier for water to be taken from the Arkansas River basin to be moved to Aurora and other northern Colorado cities, the bill calling for higher renewable energy standards that will make the cost of electricity rise by up to 20% for those living in the rural electric areas like Pueblo West, the bill that makes it easier for an employee that has been terminated to sue small business owners like my wife and I and to ask for punitive damages for things like “mental anguish”, “inconvenience” or ”loss of enjoyment of life”, and the bill that completely changes our voting process to an all mail in ballot which greatly increases the risk of voter fraud.

These two state-senate districts will, in the coming six weeks, get a taste of what Wisconsin “enjoyed” recently, having lots and lots of people from outside the state taking an intense interest in their local elections:

Richard Bamberg’s phone has been ringing off the hook — not literally — but three calls last week and then four Thursday have made him a little jaded by the Senate District 11 recall effort.

It’s just the beginning of what may be hectic days until the Sept. 10 recall election for Sen. John Morse, D-Colorado Springs.

“I asked to talk to their supervisor. I asked them to leave me alone,” Bamberg said of the most recent caller who asked a few questions and then spoke for several minutes about positive things Morse has done as a lawmaker. “The thing I don’t get is I’m not in Morse’s district.”

Christy Le Lait, campaign manager for A Whole Lot of People for John Morse, said the calls aren’t coming from its campaign.

Tags: Colorado Recall , Gun Control , Guns

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