Is the GOP Doomed to Lose Marco Rubio’s Senate Seat?
Electing a Republican to Marco Rubio’s Senate seat — quite possibly going to be left empty as the senator runs for president in 2016 — is not Mission: Impossible for the Florida GOP. Just Mission: Extremely Difficult.
Rubio has made …
Florida GOP Spotlights Crist’s Answer on Strip-Club Owner Donations
The Republican party of Florida is spotlighting this exchange between Charlie Crist and an interviewer, regarding $90,000 in contributions from strip-club owners — including contributions from owners of one that was the target of “a lengthy police investigation into allegations of …
Not Much Is Coming Easy to the GOP This Cycle
The Thursday morning poll roundup…
Arizona Governor: “Forty-one percent of likely voters said they were likely to vote for Doug Ducey, the Republican nominee, while 39 percent said they would vote for Fred DuVal, the Democratic nominee — within the poll’s …
Bondi Outpolling Opponent
Florida attorney general Pam Bondi is leading her Democrat opponent, George Sheldon, by 8 points in a poll released by Public Policy Polling. Bondi, current AG, is showing a lead with 43 percent of voters, while Sheldon only pulls 35.
New Poll Shows Rick Scott Ahead in Florida’s Gubernatorial Race
Hmm. The conventional wisdom on Florida’s governor’s race is that incumbent Republican Rick Scott is in deep trouble.
Then again, maybe not:
Scott leads [Republican-turned Democrat Charlie] Crist 45 percent to 44 percent, in a new Voter Survey Service poll, commissioned by …
Three Florida State Supreme Court Justices Could Leave the Bench
On November 6, Florida Supreme Court justices R. Fred Lewis, Barbara Pariente, and Peggy Quince were up for retention election and were easily retained. As I discussed earlier on Bench Memos (as did Carrie Severino here and here) all three of …
RNC: Florida Panhandle, Colorado, Pittsburgh Looking Good
The RNC sends along:
Exit polls show 60 percent of voters say economy is the number one issue and 60 percent say economy is getting worse or has stagnated. Voters say Romney is the best to handle the economy and they trust …
Republicans 5 Points Ahead of 2008 in Pasco County, Florida
A reader in Pasco County, Florida, calls attention to the fantastically updated county elections site.
I didn’t have Pasco on my list of 50 key counties in the Jolt, but I perhaps should have included it; it is north of …
Obama’s New Firewall: Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada
Major Garrett, writing in National Journal:
What also became clear after the dust began to settle from the rumble on Long Island was the electoral map has narrowed and Obama’s team, while conceding nothing publicly, is circling the wagons …
Middle Cheese: Keep an Eye on Swing-State Latinos
Middle Cheese writes in on a topic he’s been examining a while, how Obama and Romney stack up on the Latino vote.
Conventional wisdom holds that Mitt Romney is faring so badly with Hispanic voters that he cannot possibly …
Florida Democrat on Early Voting So Far: ‘This Is Horrible.’
This is not what Florida Democrats wanted to read after the first weekend of early voting:
South Florida in-person early voting turnout might have been relatively lighter than expected this weekend, but Democrats for the first time this election still …
Republicans Doing Just Fine in Early Vote in N.C., Iowa, Florida
Rmmember when the rest of the country laughed at Floridians for not being able to correctly fill out a ballot? A lot of Floridians — particularly Republicans — have gotten the early-voting part down:
More than 683,000 absentee ballots were cast …
GOP AG Chair ‘Guardedly Optimistic’ about Nov.
Alan Wilson, chairman of the Republican Attorneys General Association told me in a phone interview he is feeling “very good” about GOP incumbent attorneys general holding onto their jobs this November.
Of the 25 seats Republicans currently hold nationwide, 17 are up …
Former United States attorney general Ed Meese spoke with Genevieve Wood of the Heritage Foundation’s Daily Signal about “the most lawless administration in the history of the country.” Meese goes on to say that he believes the greatest protection …
Getting Out the Vote . . . Everywhere
The Tuesday edition of the Morning Jolt features a brief look at the Inauguration hoopla, some ominous developments in Mali and Algeria in the war on terror, and then this continuing discussion of how Republicans ought to tinker with new …
From Gloom to Hope in Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida
The mood from GOP insiders, both inside and outside the Romney campaign, was looking pretty gloomy about 45 minutes ago, with great anxieties about Virginia, Florida, and even North Carolina. As more returns have come in, the mood is brightened considerably …
Early Vote in Volusia Shifted 15 Points to the GOP From 2008
One of my key counties to watch tonight is Volusia County, Florida, northeast of Orlando.
In 2008, Obama carried the county, 52.19 percent to 46.53 percent for John McCain.
The early vote in Volusia is concluded. Registered Democrats made up 44.8 percent of the …
Middle Cheese: Obama Scaling Back in North Carolina, but Not Florida Yet
Middle Cheese checks in with a short update, pouring some cold water on the talk that the Obama campaign is triaging states already: “Team Romney says they have seen evidence that the Obama campaign is scaling back in North Carolina. …
New Ohio Ad: Aid to Egypt Over Funding for Schools?
Secure America Now is hitting the airwaves in Florida and Ohio with a pair of pretty brutal ads. Neither one endorses a candidate, but it’s pretty clearly a message slamming the administration for policies the group deems a giveaway …
This Morning’s Polls Project More Heavily Democratic Electorates Than in 2008
This morning, surveys from the New York Times/CBS/Quinnipiac puts Obama ahead by 10 in Ohio, up by 12 in Pennsylvania, and up by 9 in Florida.
Since the question of whether the party ID within polling samples is realistic seems to …