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Tags: Joe Sestak

Senator Casey, Not Interested in Running for Governor of Pennsylvania



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Phil Heron, a columnist with the Delaware County Times, reports that one name can be crossed off the list of potential Democratic candidates for governor of Pennsylvania next year:

Democratic U.S. Sen. Robert P. Casey Jr., who many people thought would make a run against struggling incumbent Tom Corbett, is out.

This isn’t that surprising, as Casey just won reelection last year; if he had any interest in running for governor, why sign on for another six-year term?

Corbett’s poll numbers are pretty weak at this point. Ironically, the move that has gotten him the most grief on the national stage — a lawsuit against the National Collegiate Athletic Association over the penalties imposed upon Penn State University after the Sandusky scandal — is playing well in the state; 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters support his lawsuit against the NCAA and just 34 percent oppose it. But when it comes to his overall job performance, only 38 percent approve, 52 percent disapprove.

Heron writes:

The move by Casey clears the stage for several Democrats to vie for the nomination.The leader in the clubhouse would seem to be state Treasurer Rob McCord. He easily won re-election and has not exactly made it a secret that he has higher goals.

But the dark horse in all this is former 7th District Congressman Joe Sestak. After stunning his own party with a primary win over longtime Sen. Arlen Specter, the Delco pol lost a tight race to Pat Toomey. But Sestak has never really stopped running. He’s visited just about every part of the state, and has been pushing his presence in the western part of the state by teaching a few classes at Carnegie Mellon University.

It’s not much of a secret that Sestak will wind up running for something again.

Tags: Bob Casey Jr. , Joe Sestak , Tom Corbett

Our First Glimpse of the Morning Vote in Pennsylvania . . .



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Okay, I’m posting this with the insistence that everybody understand this for what it is: An exit poll, conducted by a college-associated polling institute (Muhlenberg), done from 7 a.m. to 10 a.m. this morning in Pennsylvania:

Turnout: 47 percent Republican, 47 percent Democrat, 6 percent independent.

Senate: Pat Toomey (R) 51 percent, Joe Sestak (D) 47 percent

Governor: Tom Corbett (R) 55 percent, Dan Onorato (D) 43 percent

15th congressional district: Charlie Dent (R) 53 percent, John Callahan (D) 42 percent

Obviously, things can change in the midday, afternoon and evening votes . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Reason for Cautious Optimism in Pennsylvania



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In yesterday’s Jolt, I told folks not to let their blood pressure rise as they watch tracking polls like the Morning Call’s ones in Pennsylvania. As Obi-Wan notes, in the short term, polls go up a bit, they go down a bit, like the stock-market averages. The gradual trend is more important than each day’s shift of a few percentage points back and forth.

Well, the tracking poll does seem to be showing a trend:

  10/20 10/21 10/22 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/27
Toomey 41% 43% 43% 45% 46% 47% 48%
Sestak 44% 43% 43% 42% 42% 42%

40%

Of course, tomorrow we could see Toomey lose some ground. But the overall movement in the race seems to be in his favor.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Everyone Worried About Pat Toomey’s Lead Should Read This



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For those who are worried about Pat Toomey’s sudden slip in the polls in Pennsylvania — and I was among them — you’ll want to read this analysis from “Number Cruncher,” a finance/political junkie who spends even more time breaking down polls than I do.

Your readers should calm down. This race isn’t that close, or even closing. The only thing closing is the pollsters’ prediction of who to consider a likely voter. Looking at the Quinnipiac results, I find them very encouraging for Toomey, specifically among Independents. Taking the Quinnipiac crosstabs and applying 2004, 2006, 2008, and my predicted 2010 Likely voter model, the results are as follows:

2004: The last good GOP year, Pennsylvania exit poll crosstabs came in with party ID at 41 percent Democrat, 39 percent Republican, 20 percent Independent. If you apply this breakdown to Quinnipiac’s sense of how each group is voting, it results in a 2.1 percent Toomey win. This year is the most likely turnout comparable to use based on history only, and one I believe understates GOP support in general.

I think Quinnipiac is using something akin to this year as their turnout mode, but 2004 has me scratching my head, namely the 41 percent Democrat party ID support.

It was a very good year for the GOP, yet if you look at party splits we see only a 2 percent upward tick for Democrats in the 2006 exit polls, when the Democrats had a landslide election — in this election Santorum lost by 18 points!.

This is the danger of comparing Presidential and Mid-term elections. A plausible explanation of this can be found in this study from Univ. of PA The exit poll Bush support versus actual support hurt Bush by 6.5 percent. In other words, this year’s exit poll party ID is likely off base.

In fairness to the exits on CNN, they appear to have been adjusted somewhat (they all seem to tie out to the actual results), but I recall as the article study does there might be problems.

Simply stated: How does Specter win by 9 percent in 2004 and Santorum lose by 18 percent in 2006, where the electorate only turned out 2 percent more Democrats? The answer something is wrong — a 2 point party split does not make up 27 percent points, not with a candidate like Santorum who did not have any significant ethics problems. So while I won’t fault Quinnipiac for targeting 2004 as a sanity check, it’s the best one historically, it is nevertheless a problematic data point.

So let us take a few breaths and look at the worst case scenarios for Toomey — applying 2006 and 2008.

2006: Assuming a 2006 turnout percentage — the last big Democrat midterm year, with 43 percent Democrat, 38 percent Republican, 19 percent independent — the race is a dead heat, with Toomey trailing by only 0.6 percent under Quinnipiac’s cross-tabs.

This is fatal news for Sestak! When applying the Quinnipiac cross-tabs for the biggest Democrat midterm election since 1974, yields at best a .6% win for Sestak . . . Can we stop worrying?

2008: So then we look at the biggest Democratic Presidential year since 1964. Cross tabs came in with party ID at 44 percent Democrat, 37 percent Republican, 17 percent Independent.

To believe the race could duplicate this is to say you need to be smoking peyote. Assuming this turnout, including historic Philadelphia turnout . . . at best puts this still a dead heat, with Toomey trailing by just 1.4 percent.

So where is this race really at? Follow me.

Scenario One: Presume Pennsylvania’s turnout will be 36.5 percent Democrat, 37 percent Republican, 24.5 percent Independent. Applying these targets to Quinnipiac’s split yields a pretty easy to call 52.6 percent to 46.9 percent, or 5.7 point victory for Toomey. The way I came up with my splits is to take the 2008 Rate 44-37-17, and adjust based on Rasmussen’s summary of Party Affiliation percentage change in Nov 2008 versus Sept 2010.

Scenario Two: The problem with Scenario One is that while I capture the change of party affiliation, I assume a presidential year base model rather than a mid-term election. In a midterm turnout will be lower — 50 to 70% of a presidential year, which means only the more enthusiastic voters will turn out. Some expect this to be anywhere from 3 to 7 points — overall advantage to the GOP. My model takes a more conservative view with the Dems falling to 34 percent, the GOP up to 38 percent, and Independents to 28 percent. This gives Toomey a very comfortable 9 point win (and is consistent with many polls, with the same cross-tabs as Qunnipiac and PPP).

Scenario Three: But there is another problem with this assumption, which is the Tea Party as an affiliation. As noted, the GOP support has gone down since 2008. How is this possible? The emergence of the Tea Party. Tea Party Independents are going to vote and to be blunt, they will not be voting Democrat. Many of these voters also will not be telling any pollster they “are” Republicans. Going with a cruder model, but one that tries to capture the Tea Party, using flimsy data and guess-timates, I believe the Electorate in Pennsylvania is 34 percent Republican, 37 percent Democrat, 19 percent Tea Party-Independent, and 10 percent Moderate-Independent. Applying the Quinnipiac cross tabs where Republican and Tea Party have the same levels of support for Toomey, and where Moderate-Independents favor Sestak 53 percent to 47 percent yields . . . a 12 point Toomey win.

Thus I believe the margin race will end up between 9.1% and 12%, which is to say I will go out on a limb by taking the midpoint, and predicting Toomey beats Sestak by 10.5 percent.

Bottom line: nothing has changed with this race other than the pollsters’ predicted turnout models.

Separately, a few weeks ago Number Cruncher offered to bet a Ruth’s Chris steak dinner that Tom Tancredo would be the next governor of Colorado. I took the bet, and now I’m starting to worry I’m going to be paying for a filet mignon.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey , Tom Tancredo

Quinnipiac: Toomey Only Leads by Two



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Quinnipiac offers new numbers in Pennsylvania:

The race for Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seat is now a statistical dead heat with Republican Pat Toomey getting 48 percent of likely voters to 46 percent for Democratic U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 50 – 43 percent likely voter lead for Toomey, a former congressman, in a September 22 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University.

Toomey is beating Sestak 88 – 8 percent among Republicans and 56 – 35 percent among independent voters.  But Sestak is winning 89 – 7 percent among Democrats. Thirteen percent of Toomey’s voters and 9 percent of Sestak backers say they might change their mind before Election Day.  The 5 percent of undecided voters includes 9 percent of independent voters.

“Pennsylvania is a blue state and Democrats there have begun to come home,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. “They are more engaged than they were earlier in the race.  This is not unusual, especially in off-year elections. Democrats often engage later in the campaign than do Republicans.  The political environment is more favorable now for them, as evidenced by President Barack Obama’s improved, but still decidedly negative, job approval rating.”

President Obama gets a negative 44 – 53 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 40 – 56 percent September 22.

One of my readers is worried:

I refuse to believe that in a year where my state is going to elect a Republican Governor, give 4-6 house seats back to the Republicans, return 0 house seats to the Democrats, with no Philadelphia presence in state or local races (no mayoral race, no Philadelphia based candidate in the governors race) that the state is going to send a Democrat who voted for the trifecta of stimulus, cap and trade, and healthcare to the Senate.Yet after watching the debate tonight I am getting concerned.  

Sestak is difficult to dislike, and even tougher to debate.  The only one who makes up facts more glibly than Joe is Boxer out in California.

Oh, come on. We’ve all watched Joe Biden.

 His nonsense about 200 terror trials under George Bush, his plan to save Social Security, his support for PAYGO, his We the People crap, it is stunning.  But I must say he sells this BS well.

I could be critical because I am expecting perfection or seeing bogeymen where they don’t exist, but I thought Toomey looked off balance tonight.  I was really surprised that he didn’t push back harder on what the economy looked like in January 2005 when he left the Congress and what has happened to it since Sestak came to Congress.  At one point Sestak talked about coming to Congress in the middle of the recession and Toomey let him get away with it.  There was no recession in January of 2007!!

Sestak just released a new ad with his cute dog and cute family.  Something about hating to vote for the bailouts but had to vote for them to clean up after the Toomey/Bush years, just like he hates to clean up after the dog, but hey, you gotta do it.  Unreal.

I think a lot of fact-based accusations don’t stick to Sestak because he is smart enough not to address them.  Ask him about his support for CAIR and he talks about running a battleship in the Persian Gulf.  Ask him about cutting half a trillion bucks from Medicare and you’ll get a story about his daughter with brain cancer who would be dead without his vote for healthcare, or his time in the military and their bang up family medical plan, or both.  But certainly nothing about Medicare will appear in the answer. So while it is great that some pro-Israel PAC is dropping a million bucks in Philadelphia the next two weeks, I don’t see their money working much.

What would work is an ad showing job creation from 1999-2005 or the unemployment at that time and another one showing the same numbers from 2007-2010.  Hope someone gets on that before victory becomes defeat.

I notice in the Quinnipiac poll, only 14 percent of Pennsylvanians think the economy is getting better.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Bad News for Toomey, Good News for Portman



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Panic! Panic! A second poll has Pat Toomey trailing in Pennsylvania!

Democrat Sestak now leads Republican Toomey 44 percent to 41 percent with 15 percent undecided, a Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Tracker poll shows.

. . . It’s hard to explain Sestak’s latest apparent comeback. There’s a sense that faithful Democrats are paying closer attention in the closing weeks as President Barack Obama crisscrosses the country making the case for keeping Democrats in charge.And Sestak’s campaign appears adept at using an opponent’s own words against him in political TV ads. On air now is a commercial showing Toomey, a former Lehigh Valley congressman, saying his voting record is “hard to distinguish from Rick Santorum’s.”

Oh, and in Ohio . . .

Republican Rob Portman heads into the home stretch with a 55 – 34 percent likely voter lead over Democratic Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher in the race for Ohio’s U.S. Senate seat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

The independent Quinnipiac University survey, conducted by live interviewers, finds Portman’s lead statistically unchanged from his leads of 55 – 35 percent September 17 and 55 – 36 percent October 6.

“Given that Lt. Gov. Fisher has been trailing Portman by roughly 20 points since the fall campaign got underway, there’s not much reason to think he can close that gap appreciably in the final two weeks of the campaign,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.  “Other than self-identified Democrats, it is hard to find a demographic group that supports Fisher.”

Tags: Joe Sestak , Lee Fisher , Pat Toomey , Rob Portman

Are Pennsylvania Democrats Suddenly Waking Up?



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The sample in the last poll in Pennsylvania from Public Policy Polling before today: 46 percent Democrat, 44 percent Republican, 9 percent independent/other.

The sample in the new poll in Pennsylvania from Public Policy Polling from today: 48 percent Democrat, 41 percent Republican, 11 percent independent/other.

Headline from Public Policy Polling: “The race for Senate in Pennsylvania has seen dramatic movement over the last two months and Joe Sestak has now taken the slightest lead over Pat Toomey, 46-45. On PPP’s previous survey of the state, in mid-August, Toomey led by a 45-36 margin.”

Why, it’s almost as if a more heavily Democratic sample dramatically alters the results!

PPP says they see an enormous awakening among Democrats, worth 5 percent in the past two months. We’ll see.

UPDATE: For perspective:

The 2004 exit poll in Pennsylvania: 41 percent Democrat, 39 percent Republican, 20 percent independent.

The 2006 exit poll in Pennsylvania: 43 percent Democrat, 38 percent Republican, 19 percent independent.

In 2008, the exit polls in this state split 44 percent Democrat, 37 percent Republican, 18 percent independent.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Pennsylvania: The DSCC’s $9 Million Botched Investment



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This is amazing:

The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has invested more than $4.7 million in the Keystone State to date, not including the nearly $1.2 million it spent on Sen. Arlen Specter ’s failed primary bid. The overall investment, expected to exceed $9 million by Election Day, is more than any other state in the nation.

And look at how much good that money has done them!

Pat Toomey devours DSCC resources like Galactus.

Tags: DSCC , Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

In New York, GOP’s Paladino Trails Cuomo by Only 6? Only 6?!?



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Two shockers from Quinnipiac this morning, each one making the other a wee bit suspect.

In Pennsylvania

Republican Pat Toomey has hit the magic 50 percent mark as he leads Democratic U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak 50 – 43 percent in the race for Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters released today.

Pennsylvania likely voters disapprove 56 – 40 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, the independent Quinnipiac University survey, conducted by live interviewers, finds.  This first general election survey of Pennsylvania likely voters in this election cycle cannot be compared to earlier surveys of registered voters.

I’m sure Team Toomey will take it, but a seven-point margin is actually one of the better ones Sestak has seen lately.

But here’s the holy-smokes-can-this-be-real one:

Republican Carl Paladino, aided by a 4 -1 margin among Tea Partiers, trails New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, the Democratic candidate for Governor, 49 – 43 percent among likely voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Only 18 percent of New York State likely voters consider themselves part of the Tea Party movement, but they back Paladino 77 – 18 percent.

Cuomo leads 87 – 8 percent among Democrats while Paladino leads 83 – 13 percent among Republicans and 49 – 43 percent among independent voters, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey, conducted by live interviewers, finds.  This first likely voter general election survey in New York in this election cycle can not be compared with earlier surveys of registered voters.  

I’ve been lamenting for weeks that a bunch of strong GOP House candidates in New York were going to be hurt by the lack of top-of-the-ticket help or even a competitive statewide race among the big three: the governor’s race and the two Senate races. Well, Paladino, who’s pledging to clean up Albany with a baseball bat, looks like he’s in a competitive race.

Tags: Andrew Cuomo , Carl Paladino , Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Toomsday Cometh Ever Closer



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TOOMSDAY! “Pat Toomey (R) leads Rep. Joe Sestak (D) by 9 points, 45 percent to 36 percent with 19 percent undecided.”

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Pat Toomey, Raising Funds in Response to Obama’s Visit



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President Obama is campaigning/fundraising in Philadelphia today for Joe Sestak. The Pat Toomey campaign is responding with an online fundraising effort of their own to raise $20,000 today online; they’re aiming for $20K on the 20th.

The important thing for Sestak is that Obama’s appearance will cement him to the popular president in the minds of Pennsylvanians . . . wait, did I say popular president?

Tags: Barack Obama , Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

TOOMSDAY!



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A margin of nine percentage points is a “slight lead”? Come on, AP. Live a little!

A new poll shows Republican Pat Toomey slightly ahead of Democrat Joe Sestak in their U.S. Senate race.

The Franklin & Marshall College poll shows Toomey with the support of 40 percent of likely voters to Sestak’s 31 percent. About a quarter remain undecided with about 9 weeks left until the November 2 general election.

Thursday’s poll also shows Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Corbett leading his Democratic counterpart. The state attorney general has an 11-point lead over Allegheny County executive Dan Onorato with 31 percent of likely voters undecided.

The poll of 577 Pennsylvanians was conducted the week ending Monday. The sampling error margin is plus or minus 5.4 percentage points.

This is why November 2 is . . . TOOMSDAY!

Oh, I’m sure you’re tired of the Toomey/Toom/Doom puns, but right now that’s about all that’s left that’s not predictable about this race. This is the third straight poll putting Toomey up by 8 or more. Sestak’s giving off a Creigh Deeds-y vibe. This race is a few more lopsided polls from turning into Arkansas.

Speaking of Arkansas, yesterday the NRSC distributed a release slamming Blanche Lincoln on taxes, and I thought, “Isn’t there some Little League mercy rule she can invoke?” She’s an incumbent who’s on pace to lose by about 30. Come on, guys, leave her with a little dignity.

UPDATE: I think that this may very well be the coolest t-shirt in the history of political campaigns:

 November 2, 2010.'

Tags: Blanche Lincoln , Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Latest PPP Poll Spells Toomsday for Sestak



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I’ve given Public Policy Polling some grief about their polls, contending that because they don’t weight for party, many of their polls this year have presumed a throughly unrealistic level of turnout among Democrats.

Well, give them a bit of credit; they have now shifted from polling “registered voters” to “likely voters.” And the results are dramatic:

In PPP’s previous survey of the Pennsylvania Senate race in June, Republican Pat Toomey and Democrat Joe Sestak were dead even at 41% among occasional voters. In the first survey using its likely-voter model, however, PPP now finds Toomey jumping out to a 9-point lead, 45-36, with 20% still undecided.

Their release spends a paragraph trying to explain that they think their sample was too conservative.

Also noteworthy: President Obama’s approval/disapproval splits at 40/55 among likely voters in Pennsylvania.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey , PPP

The Toomsday Clock Ticks . . . and Ticks . . . and Ticks . . .



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Rasmussen puts Toomey up 6 over Sestak.

Perhaps the most eye-opening figure in the poll? Twenty-seven percent see Toomey’s views as “extreme,” while 39 percent see Sestak the same way.

Also:

Support for Sestak has remained in the 36% to 40% range in matchups with Toomey back to February, except for a brief surge after his mid-May victory over incumbent Arlen Specter in the state’s Democratic Senate Primary. During that same time frame, Toomey has received 42% to 47% of the vote.

With figures like that, it appears the Democrat’s chances are Toomed.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Will Democrats Accept the DSCC Spending Bucks to Save Barbara Boxer?



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Over in Politico it is written:

Most people agree that [California Sen. Barbara] Boxer, despite her fundraising prowess and deep network of donors, will require an infusion of DSCC cash. Her rival, Republican Carly Fiorina, is another partial self-funder, but she won’t have the same level of cash to throw around as her ticketmate, gubernatorial nominee Meg Whitman. Still, the polls suggest the race is tight, and a long-serving incumbent is at risk. “They don’t want to lose Boxer, and they don’t want to lose California,” Sheinkopf said, noting how expensive it is to win back a lost seat in the Golden State because its media costs are so prohibitive.

Boxer has $11 million on hand, and has an 11-to-1 cash-on-hand advantage over Fiorina. (Keep in mind, Fiorina can at least partially self-finance.) By comparison, in Ohio, Democrat Lee Fisher is faces a 9-to-1 disadvantage to Republican Rob Portman, and in Pennsylvania, Pat Toomey has $4.5 million to Joe Sestak’s $2 million on hand. In other words, there are other Democrats who will really, really need DSCC funds this cycle; you have to wonder how they’ll feel about the national committee pumping funds to a candidate sitting on so much cash.

Tags: Barbara Boxer , Carly Fiorina , Joe Sestak , Lee Fisher , Pat Toomey , Rob Portman

Some Curious Numbers Out of Pennsylvania . . .



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Quinnipiac has Pennsylvania’s Senate race a 43–43 tie between Pat Toomey and Joe Sestak.

Curiously, “In today’s results, Democrats back Sestak 77 – 11 percent while Republicans go with Toomey 82 – 11 percent.  Independent voters back Toomey 44 – 35 percent, compared to 46 – 30 percent May 13.” His favorable is the highest recorded by Quinnipiac (35 percent) and while his unfavorable is also the highest it has been, it’s pretty low (13 percent). Joe Sestak’s 32 percent favorable is actually down a tiny bit from May.

Obama’s job approval/disapproval is at 46/49, the second lowest it has been.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

Set Your Toomsday Clock One Quarter Ahead



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The Democrats’ chances of keeping Arlen Specter’s Senate seat are looking grimmer with Sestak’s fundraising challenges. You might even say they’re Toomed: “U.S. Senate candidate and former small business owner Pat Toomey broke a new fundraising record for the second quarter of 2010 and out-raised his opponent Congressman Joe Sestak by over $1 million.  Pat raised $3.1 million and the campaign has $4.65 million cash on hand.”

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

The Toomsday Clock Ticks Ever Louder as November Approaches . . .



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Rasmussen finds Republican Pat Toomey ahead of Democrat Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania’s Senate race, 45 percent to 39 percent.

I’m sure that there are some folks out there who are skeptical of Rasmussen’s numbers, but a lot of those folks had faith in the Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll numbers until this week.

Although if Sestak continues to slip, we may understand why some Pennsylvania Democrats are “wondering about the pace and direction of his bid.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

“Smells a Little”: The AP’s Faith in Obama Reaches Its Expiration Date



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Can you believe this is the Associated Press?

Barack Obama, being from Chicago, knows there are two basic ways to play foul in politics. One is to break the law. The other is to keep it legal, if shadily close to the line. It may not stink to high heaven, but it smells a little. In the 2008 campaign and after, Obama said he’d tolerate neither as president, and he set the bar high. How’s he doing now? Well, it’s not all smelling like roses on the political front. In a couple of known cases, his operatives tried to game the system ahead of Democratic congressional primaries, dangling job possibilities in front of challengers in hopes they would get out of the way of Obama’s preferred incumbents. (They didn’t.) . . . dispensing favors for political ends was a specialty of the old ward bosses, not to mention some
bare-knuckled presidents. Obama presented himself as above that sort of thing. He staked a claim to purity on that front, said primaries belong to the people not the pols and decried even the subtle back-room tactics “that are within the lines of legality but still don’t fulfill the spirit of service.” . . . Democrats face the prospect of embarrassments trickling out as private conversations and usually hidden maneuverings become public from the courtroom.

Not far from where I am, the Savannah Morning News doesn’t mince words:

DEPRIVING VOTERS of a viable candidate by paying that person not to run is just as wrong as selling a gubernatorial appointment to the U.S. Senate. That’s how the Obama administration’s alleged actions are similar to charges faced by former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich, and why a special prosecutor should be named to look into the alleged back-room dealing.

It’s normal for things that reach their expiration date to smell a little at first, before really starting to stink . . .

Tags: Andrew Romanoff , Barack Obama , Joe Sestak

The Toomsday Clock Ticks Louder



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I’m already hearing lefties insist these new numbers from Rasmussen can’t possibly be accurate:

Congressman Joe Sestak’s post-primary bounce appears to over, and he now trails Republican rival Pat Toomey by seven points in the U.S. Senate contest in Pennsylvania. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Pennsylvania shows Toomey with 45% support, while Sestak earns 38%. Five percent (5%) prefer another candidate in the race, and 12% are undecided.

Look, if this whole thing doesn’t work out for Sestak, I’m sure the White House can find him an unpaid job on an advisory committee.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey

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