Toomey Surprised By Senate Vote to Reject Obama DOJ Nominee
Our first interview at CPAC is with Senator Pat Toomey (R., Pa.), who says he was surprised by the Senate’s vote to block Debo Adegbile’s nomination to head the Justice Department’s civil rights division. Toomey, among the leaders of …
Some Early, Early, Early Running Mate Thoughts
Over on the home page, I offer a “Part Two” of sorts to last week’s interview with Pennsylvania Sen. Pat Toomey, a look at his prospects to be the running mate on the GOP ticket in 2012. The downsides are …
His Selection Would Mean a Lot to You and Toomey
It’s way too early to think about running mate options for the Republican presidential nominee in 2012. And there is no shortage of good options for whoever ends up winning the nomination.
But this morning, Quinnipiac surveys Pennsylvania’s registered …
Arlen Specter Avoids an Uncharacteristically Classy Exit
This morning’s edition is the last Morning Jolt of 2010 – a pleasant surprise for me from the editors, and hopefully not too unpleasant a surprise for you. Regular morning updates will resume January 3, 2011. But in the unlikely chance you …
An Odd Split Between House and Senate Races at This Hour
What weird results at this hour.
I’m hearing great nervousness about Toomey, which I would not have expected, yet the Republicans are doing quite well in the House races in Pennsylvania.
A similar story in Illinois, where Mark Kirk …
Reason for Cautious Optimism in Pennsylvania
In yesterday’s Jolt, I told folks not to let their blood pressure rise as they watch tracking polls like the Morning Call’s ones in Pennsylvania. As Obi-Wan notes, in the short term, polls go up a bit, they …
Everyone Worried About Pat Toomey’s Lead Should Read This
For those who are worried about Pat Toomey’s sudden slip in the polls in Pennsylvania — and I was among them — you’ll want to read this analysis from “Number Cruncher,” a finance/political …
Bad News for Toomey, Good News for Portman
Panic! Panic! A second poll has Pat Toomey trailing in Pennsylvania!
Democrat Sestak now leads Republican Toomey 44 percent to 41 percent with 15 percent undecided, a Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Tracker poll shows.
. . . It’s hard to explain Sestak’s latest apparent …
Pennsylvania: The DSCC’s $9 Million Botched Investment
This is amazing:
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has invested more than $4.7 million in the Keystone State to date, not including the nearly $1.2 million it spent on Sen. Arlen Specter ’s failed primary bid. The overall investment, expected to …
In New York, GOP’s Paladino Trails Cuomo by Only 6? Only 6?!?
Two shockers from Quinnipiac this morning, each one making the other a wee bit suspect.
Republican Pat Toomey has hit the magic 50 percent mark as he leads Democratic U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak 50 – 43 percent in the race …
The NRA Will Be Scoring the Background-Check Vote
As mentioned in today’s Morning Jolt, the NRA will indeed be scoring all of the upcoming votes on background checks and gun owners. But this doesn’t necessarily mean a full-scale divorce between the NRA and the background-check co-sponsors, …
Sen. Pat Toomey’s Illuminating Proposal
Over on the home page, I have a chat with Sen. Pat Toomey, Pennsylvania Republican and member of the now-disbanded supercommittee. Toomey received a lot of grief over his proposal that would have matched $750 billion in spending cuts to $250 billion …
Senator Bob Casey? Sorry, I Don’t Recognize That Name.
As the fortunes of Democrats in his home state of Pennsylvania have waned, Sen. Bob Casey has pursued an ingenious strategy: anonymity.
President Barack Obama’s job rating among Pennsylvania voters is 51 – 44 percent, his highest standing in the Commonwealth since …
Come to Think of It, It’s a Much Better Senate Now.
I like this assessment from Campaign Spot reader Mark:
Maybe I’m making lemonade out of lemons, but if I look at the seats the Republicans won, I feel pretty good. Look at who we are trading for.
1. I’m …
Our First Glimpse of the Morning Vote in Pennsylvania . . .
Okay, I’m posting this with the insistence that everybody understand this for what it is: An exit poll, conducted by a college-associated polling institute (Muhlenberg), done from 7 a.m. to 10 a.m. this morning in Pennsylvania:
Turnout: 47 percent Republican, 47 …
Today’s Target for Campaign Help: GOP Senate Candidates.
A Long Island reader writes in, “We really need some up-front and easy-to-follow links for contributing to the campaigns of folks like Joe Miller, Carly Fiorina, Sharron Angle, and Christine O’Donnell, etc., etc. You’d think these …
Quinnipiac: Toomey Only Leads by Two
Quinnipiac offers new numbers in Pennsylvania:
The race for Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seat is now a statistical dead heat with Republican Pat Toomey getting 48 percent of likely voters to 46 percent for Democratic U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak, …
Are Pennsylvania Democrats Suddenly Waking Up?
The sample in the last poll in Pennsylvania from Public Policy Polling before today: 46 percent Democrat, 44 percent Republican, 9 percent independent/other.
The sample in the new poll in Pennsylvania from Public Policy Polling from today: 48 percent Democrat, 41 percent Republican, 11 percent …
If You’re Ahead by 6, 30 Days Out, History’s on Your Side.
An interesting new rule of thumb from Nate Silver:
Senate candidates who have a lead of between 6 and 9 points in the simple polling average, with 30 days to go until the election — about where Mr. Toomey’s lead stands …
Toomsday Cometh Ever Closer
TOOMSDAY! “Pat Toomey (R) leads Rep. Joe Sestak (D) by 9 points, 45 percent to 36 percent with 19 percent undecided.”