Rand Paul plays a useful role in our politics. He is the first somewhat broadly credible conservative spokesman for a certain strain of foreign policy thinking. This kind of thinking is called isolationism by its critics and non-interventionism by its …
Crossover Votes in Virginia's GOP Primary Today?
I live in a neighborhood I nicknamed Yuppie Acres in Alexandria, Virginia, a deep-blue spot in a deep-blue district of Virginia, represented in Congress for a long time by the infamous Jim Moran. My neighbors are wonderful people, but in 2008 …
Romney: The Weakest Candidate, Except for All the Others
In the first Morning Jolt of the week, a look at John Hinckley Jr.’s desire to be seen as more than just a would-be assassin; a zany, but supremely unlikely choice for the Republican presidential candidate in 2012, and then …
Santorum, the National Frontrunner With 3 Delegates
A reminder of the official delegate count, as seen by the RNC: Mitt Romney 73, Newt Gingrich 29, Ron Paul 8, Perceived Frontrunner Rick Santorum 3, Jon Huntsman 2.
Some of the caucuses so far have begun the process of selecting delegates to the national …
If It Ain't Brokered, Don't Fix It!
If you’re one of those voters who thinks I’ve been too cheery about Mitt Romney lately, today’s Morning Jolt is for you!
If It Ain’t Brokered, Don’t Fix It!
Oh, Mitt. Mitt, Mitt, …
Exit Polls: Gingrich Narrowly Winning Women Over Romney
What jumps out of the South Carolina exit polls . . .
Gingrich won women over Romney, 36 percent to 30 percent.
Seven percent of exit-poll respondents identified themselves as “somewhat liberal,” 2 percent identified as “very liberal.” Among those who identified as “somewhat liberal,” 30 percent …
The Latest Rounds From GOP Fight Club
From the Tuesday Morning Jolt . . .
Monday Night Debates? I Miss Regular Season Football Already.
Funny how the debates get sharper and more clarifying as the stage gets smaller. I was reminded of that line from Fight Club: “A guy …
After All That Effort, Mitt Should Get . . .
If my math is correct, tonight’s big winner, Mitt Romney, will get . . . four delegates. Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman will get three each. If Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum stay above 10 percent, they will get one each.
At this …
Ron Paul's Non-Republican Voters Will Hurt Every Other Candidate
One of the GOP consultants whom I chat with regularly notes about tomorrow, “Ron Paul clearly brings folks into this electorate that wouldn’t be there in his absence. In so doing, he lowers everybody’s percentage of the vote …
CNN Entrance Poll Has Paul, Romney, Santorum Leading
CNN entrance poll: Paul, Romney, and Santorum are the “top three.”
Everyone else is in the “second tier.” No specific numbers revealed yet.
The only thing that makes this poll more useful than previous ones is that everyone is a …
Romney Wins Virginia; Will He Get All Its Delegates?
The networks are calling Virginia for Mitt Romney — a victory that gets a little easier when there’s only one other name on the ballot.
There’s a good chance that Romney will get all 46 delegates at stake today. …
53% of Self-Identified Democrats Voted for Santorum
CBS News’ Exit Poll finds that 9 percent of respondents identified themselves as Democrats. Among that group, 3 percent voted for New Gingrich, 17 percent each for Ron Paul and Mitt Romney, and 53 percent for Rick Santorum.
So did the pro-Santorum robocalls, hitting …
Too Many Cliffhangers in the Debate Show's Season Finale
The Thursday edition of the Morning Jolt features Chris Christie on a tear, the great Mark Edward Taylor, author of Branding Obamessiah and National Review cruiser, analyzing the “monster lighting” on Rick Santorum at a recent event, and, of course, …
Consumer Confidence Almost Back Up to 1980, 1992 Levels
Over at Politico, they point out that the recent happy talk surrounding Obama’s reelection chances are . . . not quite the whole story:
To hear Democrats (and much of the media) tell it, President Barack Obama is a man on the …
The New Delegate Leader: Newt Gingrich
Newt Gingrich will win the 11 statewide delegates and two each from the five congressional districts he appears to be winning handily.
(The results by county can be found here; the new U.S. House district map can be found here.)
Next Hour's Top Story: Alien Invasion!
So, to review, Rick Perry is leaving the race and will endorse Gingrich, the South Carolina polls are tightening, Rick Santorum won the Iowa caucus as far as the state party can tell, but votes from eight precincts are missing, …
Virginia Republicans Could Have More Options Friday
Today is the day Virginia is supposed to begin printing its absentee ballots for the Republican presidential primary, to be held March 6. The printing must be completed so that they can be mailed by January 21; that deadline is a result …
Mitt Romney Winning Independents So Far?
Go figure: The early exit polls show 44 percent of the New Hampshire electorate so far is independent. The biggest winner among them? Mitt Romney with 30 percent. It’s another Iowa landslide in this survey result so far; Ron Paul is …
Iowa's Big Winner Santorum . . . the Huckabee of 2012?
Presuming the final results are similar to what we see at this hour, it is a mildly disappointing result for Romney, since he and his supporters sounded like they expected a solid win tonight. His percentage of the vote and …
Three Factors to Watch Tonight
What to watch for tonight:
1) Turnout. There are 613,521 registered Republicans in Iowa. In 2010, 226,965 voted in the Republican primary. Last cycle’s Republican caucus turnout, with a competitive Democratic primary drawing some of the independents, was about 119,000. With a competitive primary …