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Tags: Susana Martinez

Senator Udall: No Cabinet Post for Me



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Despite a rumor, it appears Senator Tom Udall, a New Mexico Democrat, is not interested in replacing Secretary of the Interior Ken Salazar.

If Udall had made the move, Republican governor Susana Martinez has the power to appoint a replacement, and the GOP could have picked up a Senate seat.

It appears the Obama cabinet picks have caused enough seat-shuffling for his party, creating appointed senators and/or special elections in Illinois (Obama himself), New York (Hillary Clinton), Delaware (Joe Biden), Colorado (Ken Salazar), Illinois again (Rahm Emanuel), California (Hilda Solis and Ellen Tauscher), and Massachusetts (John Kerry), and making Jan Brewer the governor of Arizona when he named Janet Napolitano the Secretary of Homeland Security.

Tags: Susana Martinez , Tom Udall

Governor Caught Using State Jet for Campaign Events



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So, what’s new with the one incumbent Democratic governor who’s up for reelection this year?

Gov. Steve Beshear will reimburse the state for using a state plane for a political event Monday, his campaign manager said Friday.

Beshear’s campaign manager, Bill Hyers, acknowledged that the governor, a Democrat, attended a political event late Monday in Louisa. The stop came during two days of traveling around the state to gain public support for his Medicaid plan.

Beshear said Monday morning at a stop in Lexington that he was using a state airplane to urge the public to call Senate Republicans to side with his Medicaid plan to avoid cuts in state agencies and education.

He contended that his trips to nine Kentucky cities during the first two days of a special legislative session to try to resolve the Medicaid issue were not related to his re-election campaign.

Well, look, anybody can make a mistake once, right? Oh.

In the 2007 race for governor, Fletcher’s opponents criticized him for his use of state aircraft.

Fletcher repaid the state $19,359.21 for use of official aircraft to attend 35 campaign events.

Lest you think every governor does this sort of thing . . .

The “ultimate symbol of waste and excess.” That’s how Republican Gov. Susana Martinez views New Mexico’s executive jet.

She vowed during her campaign to get rid of the Cessna Citation Bravo, and now her administration is working to do just that.

The seven-seat plane is already up for sale on the governor’s website and the site of the state General Services Department, but the listings have failed to garner any serious inquires. Officials began seeking bids Friday for an aviation broker who can help find a buyer.

Tags: Steve Beshear , Susana Martinez

The Latest Bunch of Polls You Almost Won’t Believe



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The hits just keep on coming . . .

In Wisconsin:

Republican challenger Ron Johnson continues to earn more than 50% of the vote in his U.S. Senate bid against incumbent Democrat Russ Feingold in Wisconsin. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Wisconsin finds Johnson with 52% support. Feingold, who has represented the state in the Senate since 1993, earns 45% of the vote.

In New Mexico:

Republican Susana Martinez now leads Democratic Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish by nine points in New Mexico’s gubernatorial election. The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Martinez, a county prosecutor, picking up 52% of the vote, her best showing in the contest to date. Denish draws support from 43%.

In Tennessee:

[Republican] Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam now holds a near two-to-one lead over businessman Mike McWherter in Tennessee’s gubernatorial election. The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Haslam picking up 59% support, while McWherter, the son of a former governor, picks up 31%.

Nationwide:

Nearly half the people who once considered themselves supporters of President Barack Obama don’t anymore. Other than that, his virtually nonstop cross-country campaigning for embattled Democrats in the Nov. 2 election is working perfectly. Monday night, he spoke to two party fundraisers of ordinary American millionaires in Miami, as The Ticket reported here. A new poll released today by Bloomberg News finds all that hopey-changey stuff is rapidly turning to disappointment and disenchantment. While 47% of all voters approve of Obama’s job now, ominously for 2012 only 36% of onetime Obama supporters now approve.

Finally, from a reader in Maryland, a strange indicator: “Holy smokes — I just heard a Steny Hoyer campaign ad on WTOP.  Probably a good sign.”

Now that Bobby Schilling is a mainstream upset pick, I’ll make Charles Lollar my new insane upset special pick.

Tags: Barack Obama , Bill Haslam , Ron Johnson , Susana Martinez

Some of These Poll Numbers Are Low, Not Lobos



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New Mexico is one of those states that are never easy for Republican candidates, but the chances for Susana Martinez look pretty good in the governor’s race, and the GOP’s Steve Pearce is very narrowly ahead of incumbent Rep. Harry Teague. In the neighboring district, Jon Barela still trails outside the margin of error.

Tags: Jon Barela , Steve Pearce , Susana Martinez

Oh, Those Always-Reassuring Internal Polls...



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Spot the result pitting New Mexico gubernatorial candidates Suzana Martinez (the Republican) and Diane Denish (the Democrat) that is a poll from a Democratic firm:

Tie.

Martinez by 11.

Martinez by 6. 

Martinez by 5.

My skepticism of a partisan firm’s poll is directly proportional to how badly their preferred campaign needs the good news it brings.

The poll showing a tie comes from Democratic firm Third Eye Strategies. With that name, I figured they were located somewhere near the radioactive Trinity test site in New Mexico, but they’re a Virginia firm.

Tags: Diane Denish , Susana Martinez

Oh Susana, You’re Up by 10 in New Mexico



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Not only is it looking like New Mexico will soon have a GOP governor, it may end up not being that close:

Republican gubernatorial candidate Susana Martinez’s lead over Democrat Diane Denish has grown to 10 points, and Martinez has also reached the all-important 50 percent threshold, according to a new poll conducted for her campaign. The poll, conducted Sept. 11-13, had Martinez leading 50 percent to 40 percent. The survey of 600 likely voters has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The poll was conducted by the GOP firm Public Opinion Strategies. You can read the polling memo here.

Tags: Diane Denish , Susana Martinez

Susana Martinez Brings Us Perhaps the Best Ad of This Cycle.



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This might be the best ad of the year.

Nothing flashy, no fancy graphics, no Demonsheeps or folksy Alabamans on a horse. Just pointing out one really key fact that Susana Martinez’s rival, Democrat Diane Denish, failed to mention in her last ad. With one unbelievable unforced error, the Denish campaign just nuked their own credibility.

Upon watching it, you do not merely want to vote for Martinez; you begin to suspect you wouldn’t want to allow any Diane Denish campaign worker into your home.

Tags: Diane Denish , Susana Martinez

Susana Martinez Had a Pretty Darn Good June



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The bad news for Susana Martinez, the Republican candidate for governor of New Mexico, is that she’s way behind her Democratic opponent, Lt. Gov. Diane Denish, in campaign cash — about $300,0000 to $2.2 million as of June 25.

The good news for her is that the trend is her friend:

Martinez accelerated her fundraising after becoming the nominee and collected three times more money than Denish during the monthlong financial reporting period, which covers May 26 through June 25. Martinez received $611,247 in contributions, with all but about $15,000 of that received after the June 1 primary. Denish raised $187,629.

Tags: Diane Denish , Susana Martinez

Primary Night Wrap-Up: Looks Like He Picked the Wrong Year to Switch Parties



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This morning, I asked, “does Democrat-turned-Republican Parker Griffith survive his first GOP primary in Alabama’s 5th congressional district?” At this late hour, it’s not looking good for him. With 82 percent of precincts reporting, Mo Brooks has 51.6 percent of the vote, enough to avoid a runoff.

Two members of Congress switched parties in this cycle; if this result holds, both Sen. Arlen Specter and Rep. Parker Griffith lost their primaries in their new parties. Lesson: If you and your old party have enough bad blood that you’re ready to switch sides, the new party may not find you all that warm and cuddly, either. Maybe the issue lies with you, after all.

I also asked, “Does early NRCC favorite Martha Roby win the GOP primary in Alabama’s 2nd congressional district?” Answer: Yes and no. With 57 percent of precincts reporting, she’s at 45.6 percent in a four-way race. Respectable, but probably not enough to avoid a runoff with Rick Barber.

Alabama governor’s race brought a surprise on each side. For Republicans, the three leading candidates are awfully close to a three-way tie at this hour. With 56 percent of precincts reporting, Tim James, son of former governor Fob James, is at 26.5 percent; former state senator Bradley Byrne is at 25.6 percent and state representative Robert Bentley is at 25.5 percent. Somebody’s going to end up third by a small margin and be awfully frustrated. Former Alabama Supreme Court chief justice Roy Moore’s share of the vote in fourth, 19.8 percent, isn’t that far behind.

The Democratic primary made clear that the state’s Democratic voters don’t want the only member of the Congressional Black Caucus to vote against the health-care bill to be their next governor. State agricultural commissioner Ron Sparks appears to be thumping Rep. Artur Davis, 64.9 percent to 35.1 percent. Surprisingly, Davis appears to have lost some heavily black communities by a wide margin.

Finally, in Alabama, the fate of Dale Peterson’s bid to be the Republican nominee for state agriculture commissioner is now clear. Apparently quite a few voters don’t give a rip about Alabama; Peterson will ride his horse into the sunset, it seems. (The leading GOP candidate, John McMillan, seems to know his guns, too. Betcha didn’t know that.)

In Mississippi’s 1st congressional district, state senator Alan Nunnelee appears to have a good shot at avoiding a runoff, with 51.1 percent of the vote, 89 percent of precincts reporting. Apparently the high profile of a Fox News commentator does not help get votes in this district; Angela McGlowan is at only 15.5 percent at this hour.

In the 4th congressional district, state representative Steven Palazzo beat Joe Tegerdine for the GOP nomination. He’ll try to knock off Gene Taylor, a southern conservative Democrat who’s been around forever.

In New Mexico, district attorney Susana Martinez has just won the GOP gubernatorial nomination; she will take on the current Democratic lieutenant governor, Diane Denish. Martinez polls best against Denish; a couple of folks on Twitter are noting that the Republican candidate for governor, one state over from Arizona, is a native-born Hispanic woman.

UPDATE: A Campaign Spot reader in Alabama adds two notes:

How can you miss an incumbent GOP Attorney General [Troy King] going down by a 20 point margin in a primary [to Luther Strange]? . . . P.S.: Dale Peterson had a great ad, but many folks in this state love McMillan. He is a stand up guy as well.

Tags: Artur Davis , Martha Roby , Mo Brooks , Parker Griffith , Susana Martinez

The Primaries to Watch Today . . .



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What to watch for on this primary day . . .

Does Democrat-turned-Republican Parker Griffith survive his first GOP primary in Alabama’s 5th congressional district? There is a good chance his race may go to a runoff July 13, and either Mo Brooks or Les Phillip will argue that he’s the real Republican in the race.

Does early NRCC favorite Martha Roby win the GOP primary in Alabama’s 2nd congressional district?

Alabama governor Bob Riley, a Republican, is term-limited. The three leading Republicans are former state senator Bradley Byrne, Tim James, son of former governor Fob James, and state representative Robert Bentley; another controversial contender former Alabama Supreme Court chief justice Roy Moore. The Democratic primary is a bit more interesting, as it pits an African-American member of Congress, Artur Davis, who voted against the health-care bill, against state agricultural commissioner Ron Sparks. The New York Times gently put it, “the civil rights organizations that have long carried influence over many black voters in the state have lined up behind Mr. Davis’s opponent, Ron Sparks, the state agriculture commissioner, who is white.”

Rasmussen recently summarized: “Both Democratic hopefuls trail three of the top Republicans in the race again this month but run neck-and-neck if [Moore] is the GOP contender.”

Finally, in Alabama, the fate of Dale Peterson’s bid to be the Republican nominee for state agriculture commissioner is determined today. Are you pulling for this man, his horse, and his gun? Or do you not give a rip about Alabama?

 

Mississippi has some interesting House primaries today. In the 1st congressional district, Fox News commentator Angela McGlowan will take on state senator Alan Nunnelee and former Eupora mayor Herman Henry “Henry” Ross, II. The winner attempts to knock off Democrat Travis Childers, who managed to win 54 percent of the vote in 2008 while John McCain won 62 percent in his district. 

Then in the 4th congressional district, state representative Steven Palazzo and executive Joe Tegerdine compete for the GOP nomination. The man they seek to unseat, Gene Taylor, is a southern conservative Democrat who’s been around forever, but this would seem to be the year that a lot of southern conservative Democrats will find themselves in a bit of trouble answering for what’s been done in Washington.

In New Mexico, Republicans select their gubernatorial nominee, who will almost certainly take on the current Democratic lieutenant governor, Diane Denish. District Attorney Susana Martinez appears to be polling best against Denish; the field against her includes state representative Janice E. Arnold-Jones, Doug W. Turner, Allen E. Weh, and a familiar name but a younger edition, Pete Domenici, Jr.

Tags: Angela McGlowan , Dale Peterson , Martha Roby , Parker Griffith , Susana Martinez

Oh Susana, You’re Leading This Poll in New Mexico



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Yesterday I mentioned a pollster out of Roswell, New Mexico, who put Susana Martinez ahead in that state’s GOP gubernatorial primary.

For what it’s worth, SurveyUSA puts her ahead of the likely Democratic nominee, Lt. Gov. Diane Denish, 49 percent to 43 percent. No other Republican leads.

New Mexico has been a particularly tough state for Republicans in recent cycles; in 2006, Bill Richardson won reelection 69 percent to 31 percent, and in 2008, they elected their first all-Democratic congressional delegation since 1968. But perhaps the state’s voters are tiring of what they’re getting.

Tags: Diane Denish , Susana Martinez

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