Pennsylvania Senate Majority Leader May Take on Sen. Casey
Right now there are nine Republicans actively running for the nomination against Democratic senator Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, but most of them are little-known and have never been elected to office before. Perhaps the best known is Tim Burns, who …
Did Joe Sestak’s Surge Save Mark Critz?
Talking to an NRCC guy who’s looked at last night’s numbers extensively, he concludes that the polls and expectations in Pennsylvania’s special election were thrown off not merely by the competitive Democratic Senate primary, but particularly by …
You Can’t Sell Free-Market Economics to Pork Addicts
Now here’s an analysis on Pennsylvania’s 12th district I find compelling: Forget Democrat vs. Republican registration numbers; this is a pork-based district, and the voters knew that the guy who talked about creating jobs in the private sector …
The PA-12 Results Are Bad for the GOP. Just How Bad?
In Pennsylvania’s 12th district, Republican Tim Burns has conceded to Democrat Mark Critz.
One reader’s on the ledge:
Pa12 is more than a disappointment. It is a disaster. You know politics as well as I do (even though …
The Early Word on Turnout in PA-12
One guy watching the Pennsylvania special House election closely tells me of one polling place in Fayette County that has astonishingly low turnout, a little over 100 votes by nearly 5 p.m. On paper, I think that’s good for Tim …
Predictions for the May Primaries…
Sometimes I’m really right (Massachusetts special Senate election) and sometimes I’m not. I see things similarly to John Miller.
My sense of how things play out today:
Pennsylvania Senate primary, Democrats: Joe Sestak 52 percent, Specter 48 percent. I’m …
Tim Burns Leads, but He Has No Margin for Error
It’s not quite a surprise, but worth noting anyway: PPP sees a close race in Pennsylvania’s special House election; they find Republican Tim Burns barely leading, 48 percent to 47 percent, over Democrat Mark Critz.
If Burns does pull out …
Do Djou and Burns Have Enough Gas in the Tank?
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s retreat from Hawaii is a nice omen for Republican Charles Djou, who is running against two Democrats, Colleen Hanabusa and Ed Case. But the voting in this race is still going on, and I …
Ah, That Always Reassuring Internal Polling
In Pennsylvania’s special House election, Democrat Mark Critz says internal polling puts him ahead by 8 percentage points; the DCCC’s internal polling put him up 2. But the PPP poll put Republican Tim Burns up by 3, and the Kos poll …
Two Messages For Tim Burns
In the special election in Pennsylvania, Tim Burns’s campaign is putting up contrast ads like this:
And a Tim Burns fan has put together this web video, which compares Scott Brown’s victory to the early Massachusetts battles of …
Bob Casey Gets a New GOP Challenger: Tim Burns
Republican businessman Tim Burns is jumping into Pennsylvania’s Senate race.
You may remember Burns from his bid against Democrat Mark Critz in a special election for the U.S. House seat once occupied by John Murtha. That bid fell …
Looking for ‘No Excuses’ in Pennsylvania’s 12th
I talk Pennsylvania-12 with Will Cain.
The silver lining: In Pennsylvania’s 11th district, Paul Kanjorski, incumbent Democrat, finished with 49 percent, a plurality in a three-way primary. Put another way, with no reason for Republicans to go to the polls, …
The Democratic Senate Primary Did Not Defeat Tim Burns
Many readers are arguing that Tim Burns’s loss is largely attributable to the high-profile Democratic Senate primary, and competitive Democratic gubernatorial primary, with nothing comparable on the GOP side.
This is a factor, but I’m not ready to …
Burns? Oh, It Hurts Right Now.
We may be on the verge of a great disappointment for Republicans. While no one doubted that the demographic challenge facing Republican Tim Burns in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional district, a variety of factors appeared to be working in his …
Expecting A ‘Nailbiter’ In Pennsylvania’s 12th District
I’ll have a full wrap-up of how the special election in Pennsylvania went tomorrow morning, but checking around, I find Republicans very cautiously optimistic. The sense is that this is Tim Burns has run a good campaign and now …
Bill Clinton to PA-12 Voters: Don’t Trust Your Gut Instincts!
Theory: If you’re a candidate, and your surrogates have to tell voters not to do what they’re emotionally inclined to do, you’re in trouble.
Former President Bill Clinton, who remains deeply popular in this steel-and-coal district, …
The DCCC Knows No Shame, No Remorse, No Corrections
Mark Critz, the Democrat running in Pennsylvania’s special House election, apologized for misstating the position of his rival, Tim Burns, on the flat tax and a national sales tax:
But DCCC knows no shame. They’re running a new …
Do Mark Critz’s Supporters Know When Election Day Is?
The NRCC passes along this word:
A new internal poll shows the race in PA-12 to be neck-and-neck. The numbers also demonstrate that intensity not only favors the GOP, but they give Tim Burns a 7-point edge among voters most …
Mark Critz Gets It Wrong Again
In his latest ad — again, a defensive one — Democrat Mark Critz contends that an earlier ad from Tim Burns is “attacking John Murtha’s memory.” He shows a split-second of the ad, featuring the “Office of Congressional Ethics.”
Great, Burns, Now Don’t Get Cocky
I would not expect a poll from Daily Kos/Research 2000 to show Republican Tim Burns leading Democrat Mark Critz by 6 in Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district. But that’s just what they found.