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Tags: Tom Perriello

Perriello, Not Interested in a Rum-ble With McAuliffe



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Not a surprise, but somewhat newsworthy anyway:

Former 5th District Congressman Tom Perriello says he is not running for Governor of Virginia. Perriello released a statement today on Twitter saying he won’t be on the ballot in 2013, but he will be in the fight. His statement goes further to say that he does not feel that call to serve in elected office right now. Perriello would have been running against Terry McAuliffe for the Democratic nomination, who he is now backing.

Perhaps McAuliffe will break out the Bacardi rum in celebration, as he did so jovially after the Puerto Rico Democratic primary in 2008:

I suppose the slogan “live like you mean it“; indeed fits the style of the McAuliffe campaign. Of course, a general-election fight against Ken Cuccinelli is a sobering prospect.

Tags: Terry McAuliffe , Tom Perriello

Perriello: No, No, After You, Tim.



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Looks like Virginia Democrats have their Senate candidate pecking order: First former governor Tim Kaine, then former congressman Tom Perriello.

The Post:

Former Rep. Tom Perriello (D) said Wednesday that he would “consider” running to succeed retiring Virginia Sen. James Webb (D) in 2012, but only if Tim Kaine decides not to make the race. In his first interview since Webb announced his decision last week, Perriello said he agreed with other prominent Virginia Democrats in hoping that Kaine — the former governor and current Democratic National Committee chairman — would decide to run for Senate. Virginians from both parties are waiting to hear Kaine’s decision, even as some Democrats make the case that Perriello should run.

Still, there’s potential for an inspiringly casual slogan: “Tom Perriello: He’s Only Running Because No One Else Wanted To.”

Tags: Tim Kaine , Tom Perriello

I Love This Message: “Hurt . . . Congress.”



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Let’s start Election Day with a lovely anecdote from a key swing district:

Looks like the vaunted enthusiasm gap is alive and well in VA-5. I live on the southern border of Charlottesville and the county and had a 10 minute wait when I hit the polls as they opened at 6am. Talked to some folks, including a gentleman with a Republican sample ballot, and they said the line was twice around the building at 6 a.m. back in 2008. No surprise that there would be a drop off for a midterm, but it was pretty dramatic this year.

Crowd seemed to skew heavily to the typical midterm voter: Older, white and male. I’m about a mile and a half from the UVA and from downtown, so I don’t know what turnout is like out there but where I am it looks like the message of “Hurt U.S. Congress” might be catching on with voters that hit the polls in the early morning.

Tags: Robert Hurt , Tom Perriello

GOP Sees Three Virginia Challengers Leading, One Trailing By Just a Bit



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There’s a new batch of polls in Virginia’s four most interesting House races.

“On Monday, September 27, ccAdvertising completed surveys to voters in four key Congressional districts in Virginia. These surveys focused on the competitive Congressional races as well as current national issues. The surveys were conducted to both landline phones and mobile phones.”

In the 2nd Congressional District, Republican Scott Rigell has a commanding lead over Democrat Glenn Nye in the race for Congress of over 14 percent. When asked whom voters will choose on Election Day, 48.6 percent are supporting Rigell, while 34.5 percent are supporting Nye and 16.9 percent are undecided.

In the 5th District, Republican Robert Hurt would defeat incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello by approximately 16 percent. A 51.1 percent majority of respondents support Hurt while 34.7 percent support Democrat Tom Perriello and 14.1 percent are undecided.

In Virginia’s 9th District, 42.6 percent of survey respondents support the incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher while 39.7 percent support challenger Morgan Griffith and 17.6 percent of voters are undecided.

In Virginia’s 11th District, Republican Keith Fimian has a five and one half percent lead over Democrat Gerry Connolly. When asked whom voters support, 42.2 percent favor Fimian, 36.7 percent support Connolly and 21.1 percent are undecided.

Tags: Gerry Connolly , Glenn Nye , Keith Fimian , Morgan Griffith , Rick Boucher , Robert Hurt , Scott Rigell , Tom Perriello

Man, This Guy Can’t Even Attract an Angry Crowd Anymore



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Alex Cortes, chairman of DeFundIt, had a chance to ask Rep. Tom Perriello a question at a town-hall meeting Sept. 7.

Perriello began with the predictable assertion that “we have cut taxes for 98 percent of Virginia families.”

Cortes is unimpressed, noting the new cost of the Obama individual mandate, the enacted new tax on tobacco, the new tax rates on over-the-counter medicines, indoor tanning, medical prosthetics, special-needs tuition, HSA distributions, and catastrophic medical expenses.

You know what surprises me? The number of empty seats.

The sparse turnout might mean Perriello’s constituents aren’t even angry with him any more. That’s not a good sign for the incumbent; his constituents may figure he won’t be a problem much longer.

Tags: Tom Perriello

Latest DCCC Internal Polls Do Not Directly Quote Chip Diller



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In Virginia’s 5th congressional district, incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello is trailing. He’s either down by 26 percentage points, as Survey USA indicates, or down by 2, as the DCCC internal poll indicates.

So that’s why the DCCC is directing money away from Perriello — because they’re so confident he’ll win!

Tags: Robert Hurt , Tom Perriello

GOP’s Hurt Leads Democrat Incumbent Perriello... 61 to 35!



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Holy…. smokes.

A new poll in the [Virginia] 5th District Congressional race continues to show a commanding lead for Republican challenger Robert Hurt.

Compared to an identical survey six weeks ago, Hurt has increased his lead over Democratic incumbent Tom Perriello by three points.

If the election were held Thursday, the News7 SurveyUSA poll indicates that Hurt would defeat Perriello 61 percent to 35 percent.

The poll gives Independent Jeff Clark two percent of the vote.

Asked of 581 Likely Voters, Margin of Sampling Error for this question = ± 4%

What’s amazing is that Hurt led the last poll, 58 percent to 35 percent… and he’s building on that lead.

Tags: Robert Hurt , Tom Perriello

A Titanic Decision Facing Vulnerable House Democrats



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This new web ad, from the Republican Party of Virginia, is insensitive to Titanic victims! Or Kate Winslet! Or, er, something.

It’s amusing to see a state GOP committee mocking a Democratic congressman for not running ads distancing himself from Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

Tags: Nancy Pelosi , Tom Perriello

This Ad Can Be Used Against Any Obamacare-Backer Who Touted Its Savings



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I think the Republican party of Virginia does some of the best web videos. But can they turn this into a 30-second ad?

I’m sure you recall, “In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District today, 07/20/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 58% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.”

Tags: Tom Perriello

Survey USA Giveth, Survey USA Taketh Away



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Survey USA offered Virginia Democrats terrible news earlier this week; now it offers them some good news:

A new Survey USA poll shows Rep. Rick Boucher (D-VA) leading Republican Morgan Griffith 52-39 in Virginia’s 9th district.  The poll shows, “Among men, the contest is tied; among women, Boucher leads by 25 points. 1 in 4 Republicans cross over to vote for the Democrat. Independents split. Those with favorable opinions of the Tea Party movement back Griffith 3:1; those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party back Boucher 14:1.”

Obviously, a 13-point lead is not insurmountable, but it’s surprising in light of SurveyUSA’s other poll showing the GOP’s candidate in another Virginia district, state senator Robert Hurt, leading incumbent Democrat Rep. Tom Perriello by 23 points.

Tags: Morgan Griffith , Rick Boucher , Robert Hurt , Tom Perriello

WOW: In VA-5, GOP’s Hurt Leads Incumbent Perriello, 58-35



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I know we’ve seen a lot of good polling news for GOP House candidates lately — I should have a big roundup in the not-too-distant future — but this one is a real eye-opener:

In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District today, 07/20/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 58% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Perriello, who defeated 6-term Republican Virgil Goode by 727 votes in 2008, today trails among most demographic groups. Among men, Hurt leads by 19 points. Among women, Hurt leads by 26. White voters back Hurt 2:1; black voters back Perriello 2:1. Twice as many Democrats cross over to vote Republican as Republicans who cross over to vote Democrat. Independents break Republican. Perriello runs most strongly among Democrats, African Americans, liberals, moderates, those who have unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party movement, among pro-choice voters, and among those who do not own guns . . . each of which is today a minority among likely voters in VA’s 5th district.

The composition of likely voters for this survey is 42% Republican, 27% Democratic. This composition reflects an energized Republican base and an enthusiasm gap for Democrats, evident in SurveyUSA polling from around the country. If the electorate is more Democratic than shown in SurveyUSA’s model here, the Republican still wins, though his margin of victory is less. For example, if hypothetically there were an even number of Democrats and Republicans in the likely voter model, Republican challenger Hurt wins today by 11 points, not 23.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia’s 5th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 07/16/10 through 07/19/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 591 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.

I love how Survey USA foresees the griping about the sample and shifts it to show that Hurt is still way ahead even if adjusted.

If swing districts that were 50-50 in 2008 now have Republicans winning by 11, it’s going to be a phenomenal year for the GOP. If it really is a 23-percentage-point margin, we may run out of adjectives for what November has in store for us.

Tags: Robert Hurt , Tom Perriello

Who Applauded Calderon?



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The Republican party of Virginia wants to know if two local Democrats were among those applauding Mexican president Felipe Calderón:

“There was a disturbing scene in the House of Representatives last week,” [Republican Party of Virginia chairman Pat] Mullins said. “During a speech to a joint session of Congress, Mexican President Calderón called for the U.S. to reinstate a ban on common sporting weapons to help fix his country’s problems with drug violence.”

“That might have been inappropriate, but it wasn’t the worst part. Instead of sitting silently as a foreign leader called for restrictions on basic Constitutional rights, Democrats gave Calderón a standing ovation,” Mullins said.

“Voters in the 5th and 9th Districts need to know if Democrat Reps. Rick Boucher and Tom Perriello were among the hundreds of Democrats who leaped to their feet to applaud gun control while a leader from a foreign nation scolded the American people for upholding the rights secured to us by our Constitution,” he said. 

They’ve made web ads dealing with the applause here.

Tags: Rick Boucher , Tom Perriello

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