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Tags: Steve Pearce

Bingaman Departs, Continuing the Exodus of Senate Democrats



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The story of the last couple of days, during my Presidents Day Weekend travel, has been Democrats choosing not to run for statewide office in 2012. Besides Evansville mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel taking a pass on the Indiana gubernatorial race and Rep. Joe Courtney taking a pass on running for Connecticut’s Senate race, the big news is five-term senator Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico choosing to retire.

He had always won solidly, and in 2006, Bingaman won 71 percent of the vote. Already the race to replace him is being categorized as a “toss-up,” but a great deal depends on the candidates. Democrats had done well here in recent cycles until 2010, when Susana Martinez won the governor’s race and Steve Pearce won one of the state’s three congressional districts.

Bingaman joins Jim Webb, Kent Conrad, and Joe Lieberman among Senate Democrats taking a pass on another term. The chances of Democrats keeping this seat are probably better than in Virginia and North Dakota, but worse than in Connecticut. Still, some mainstream accounts are calling the news a “body blow” to “the odds of Democrats hanging onto the Senate.”

Democrats may not have to look too far for a promising challenger; second-term congressman Martin Heinrich says he’s considering running for the seat. Of course, that would create an open-seat race where Republican Jon Barela took 48 percent last time around, setting up a decent shot for the GOP to pick up that House seat.

State auditor Hector Balderas is apparently in.

On the Republican side, former governor Gary Johnson is a “no.” Former congresswoman Heather Wilson and Pearce are “maybe”s.

Tags: Heather Wilson , Jeff Bingaman , Jon Barela , Martin Heinrich , Steve Pearce

Some of These Poll Numbers Are Low, Not Lobos



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New Mexico is one of those states that are never easy for Republican candidates, but the chances for Susana Martinez look pretty good in the governor’s race, and the GOP’s Steve Pearce is very narrowly ahead of incumbent Rep. Harry Teague. In the neighboring district, Jon Barela still trails outside the margin of error.

Tags: Jon Barela , Steve Pearce , Susana Martinez

I’ll Bet the New Mexico GOP Hopes Bill Richardson Attends a Lot of Rallies



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Looking at some new polls out of New Mexico… if Republican Suzanna Martinez leads the gubernatorial race over Democrat Lt. Gov. Diane Denish, 45 percent to 39 percent, then neither Rep. Martin Heinrich nor Rep. Harry Teague should feel all that great about narrow leads (6 points and 3 points, respectively) over their GOP challengers.

The poll finds Gov. Bill Richardson’s approval rating at… 33 percent.

Tags: Diane Denish , Harry Teague , Jon Barela , Martin Heinrich , Steve Pearce , Suzana Martinez

That Ever-Lowering Bar for Good News From the DCCC



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I notice that on the DCCC’s list of races where their candidates have fundraising advantages:

IL-10: $66,550 COH Advantage

Dan Seals has $792,000 COH, Young Gun Bob Dold has $725,000 COH

Hey, in an open-seat race in Illinois’s 10th district, ranked in 2008 as the 13th most expensive competitive House district in the country (out of 80), our guy, who has run for this seat for the past three cycles, has $66,000 more than a first-time candidate whom everyone keeps mixing up with Bob Dole! Hooray!

They also celebrate:

NM-02: $146,000 Advantage

Representative Harry Teague has $1.17 million COH, Young Gun Steve Pearce has $1.02 million COH

The GOP’s guy is an entire 12 percent behind our incumbent! Whoo-hoo!

Tags: Bob Dold , Dan Seals , Harry Teague , Steve Pearce

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