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Tags: John Raese

In West Virginia, No Gubernatorial Bids for Capito, Raese



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Don’t hold your breath while waiting for two of West Virginia’s more well-known Republicans to throw their hats in the ring for the state’s upcoming governor’s race: “Betty Ireland, a former secretary of state, said she spoke with [Rep. Shelley Moore] Capito, R-2nd, and with John Raese, who lost the special election in November to the U.S. Senate to succeed Robert C. Byrd, and both said they weren’t running for governor in 2012.”

Tags: Betty Ireland , John Raese , Shelley Moore Capito

Candidate Raises Gun, Shoots Opponent Out of Midair in Ad!



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Looks like some other folks remember Joe Manchin’s shooting ad.

Sen. Joe Manchin said his infamous “Dead Aim” political ad should not be connected to the tragedy that occurred over the weekend in Tucson, Ariz., but he doubts he would use it again now that the horrific event has occurred . . .

During a Monday afternoon conference call with reporters, he pointed to the fact that he wasn’t targeting a person, but rather a piece of paper in an ad that should be taken symbolically, not literally.

Here’s a web ad run by his campaign in which Manchin literally “shoots” his opponent, depicted as Darth Vader. I like Star Wars, and I like out-of-the-box campaign ads, but if we’re going to make an old map with bull’s-eyes or crosshairs into a national controversy, I don’t see why a web ad depicting a candidate shooting his opponent out of midair is considered completely okay.

If you think it’s silly to give Manchin grief over these old campaign ads, I concur. But it’s also silly to unleash the Metaphor Police on Sarah Palin.

Tags: Joe Manchin , John Raese , Sarah Palin

What Is Influencing West Virginia and California Voters?



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Sometimes, you can see a campaign shift on an issue that strikes you as wildly obscure, unimportant, and irrelevant.

Are Californians really going to elect a liberal fossil as governor because Meg Whitman’s maid pulled a publicity stunt with Gloria Allred?

Well, this morning Rasmussen puts Jerry Brown ahead by 6.

Are West Virginians really going to send another Democrat to the Senate because a firm hired by the NRSC looked for “hicky” actors?

Well, this morning Marshall University puts Joe Manchin ahead by 10.

One of the reasons Democrats thrive is that when they run a place for a long time — think the East Coast’s big cities, or New Jersey until 2009, or California (at least the state legislature) — they tend to enact policies that drive out those who oppose them. Some will object to counterproductive liberal policies at the ballot box, but many others will vote with their feet. Why do Democrats run Washington D.C., Baltimore, Philadelphia, Boston, Chicago, Detroit? Because their policies have driven most who demand better out to the suburbs.

If these electorates really do make their decisions based on housekeepers and casting calls . . . those states will deserve what they get.

Tags: Jerry Brown , Joe Manchin , John Raese , Meg Whitman

Joe Manchin Suddenly Decides to Sue the Obama Administration



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Wow. How much does West Virginia Senate candidate Joe Manchin have to distance himself from the Obama administration? This much:

Gov. Joe Manchin has scheduled a press conference Wednesday morning where he is expected to announce that the state is filing suit against the federal government over the Obama administration’s crackdown on mountaintop removal coal mining.

Any more distancing and Manchin will switch parties.

October surprise!

Suggested new slogan for John Raese: Keep Joe Manchin where he is to continue his legal fight against Obama!

Tags: Joe Manchin , John Raese

Fox News Poll Shows Mostly Good News for GOP in Ohio, Nevada, West Virginia, Missouri



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If you want to take a Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research poll with a grain of salt, you’re free to make that choice. But they’re not showing monolithically good news for Republicans. But where they do see good news, it’s quite good:

West Virginia

A new Fox News battleground state poll on the race for the seat held by the late Sen. Robert Byrd for 51 years shows Republican businessman John Raese with a 5-point lead over Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin among likely voters — 48 percent to 43 percent.

In what may be the year’s clearest case of Obama’s downward pull on his party’s candidates, Manchin gets high marks from voters – 66 percent approved of his job performance and 65 percent had a positive view of him personally — but they still prefer Raese.

Connecticut

Republican hopes to pick up a Democratic Senate seat in Connecticut face a tough reality on the ground. Democrat Richard Blumenthal holds a 10-point lead over Republican Linda McMahon in a new Fox News battleground poll in the race to replace retiring Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT).

Blumenthal — elected five times as attorney general — took 52 percent support compared to 42 percent for McMahon, who built a professional wrestling empire with her husband, Vince. The survey was taken before the fiery first debate between the two, moderated by “Special Report” anchor Bret Baier, on Monday night.

In the race for governor, Democrat Dan Malloy, the longtime mayor of Stamford, holds a 6-point edge over Republican Tom Foley, a businessman who served as an envoy to Iraq and an ambassador to Ireland under George W. Bush.

Reid on the Ropes in Nevada

Republican Sharron Angle seems to be solidifying her support in her bid to unseat Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in Nevada.

In the latest Fox News battleground state poll of likely voters, Angle drew 49 percent to Reid’s 46 percent. As voters make up their mind with four weeks to go until Election Day, Angle seems to have the edge.

Democratic strategists hope to prevent an Angle win by driving up her unfavorable ratings and pushing voters to choose a minor party candidate or “none of these.” Angle was viewed unfavorable by 53 percent in the survey. But Reid was viewed unfavorably by 55 percent.

GOP Looks Strong in Missouri Match-up

Missouri voters see a strong connection between President Obama and Democratic Senate nominee Robin Carnahan, and that’s not helping Carnahan.

A new Fox News battleground state poll in Missouri shows Carnahan trailing Republican candidate Roy Blunt by 8 points among likely voters. Blunt, a seven-term congressman from the central part of the state, won the support of 50 percent compared to 42 percent for Carnahan, the second-term secretary of state.

Republicans Still Gaining in Ohio

Republicans are still gaining ground in bellwether Ohio, a bad sign for Democrats trying to assess their party’s chances in the heartland this year.

Republican Senate candidate Rob Portman leads Democrat Lee Fisher by 16 points in the latest Fox News battleground state poll — Portman’s widest lead yet.

Republican gubernatorial challenger John Kasich also saw his numbers rise against Democratic incumbent Gov. Ted Strickland. Kasich was the choice of 49 percent of respondents compared to 43 percent for Strickland. The 6-point lead is the largest in the four weeks of Fox battleground polling on the race.

Tags: John Kasich , John Raese , Linda McMahon , Rob Portman , Roy Blunt , Sharron Angle

Raese-ing Ahead



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Joe Manchin, the governor of West Virginia and the Democrats’ nominee for Senate, is sounding a full retreat calling for a partial repeal of Obamacare.

Why’s he running on such a Republican stance? What, is he trailing or something?

This morning, we learn… yes.

 

Republican John Raese has edged ahead of West Virginia’s popular Democratic Governor Joe Manchin for the first time in the state’s special U.S. Senate race.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely West Virginia Voters finds Raese earning 48% support to Manchin’s 46% when leaners are included. Two percent (5%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Obviously, this is only one poll, but it confirms the close race portrayed by other recent surveys and suggests that like Connecticut, the momentum is with the upstart challenger, not the Democrat well-known from years of work in the state capital.

Tags: Joe Manchin , John Raese

In West Virginia, John Raese . . . Leads?



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Even if Christine O’Donnell never comes close to beating Chris Coons, control of the Senate is still in play this year. Public Policy Polling gives Democrats perhaps one of their most depressing results yet this cycle:

PPP’s first look at the West Virginia Senate contest finds a very tight race with John Raese up 46-43 on Joe Manchin, a result within the poll’s margin of error.

The contest provides a fascinating choice for voters in the state who love their Democratic Governor but hate the party’s ranks in Washington DC that he would be joining.

Manchin is the second most popular Governor PPP has polled on all year, behind only Bobby Jindal, with a 59/32 approval spread. He breaks almost even with Republicans as 42% of them approve of the job he’s doing with just 44% disapproving. In a highly polarized political climate the list of politicians with that kind of crossover popularity is very short.

At the same time West Virginians couldn’t be much more down on national Democrats. Barack Obama’s approval rating in the state is just 30% with 64% of voters disapproving of him. Even within his own party barely half of voters, at 51%, like the job he’s doing. Support from Republicans (91% disapproval) and independents (73% disapproval) is pretty much nonexistent.

Yesterday Rasmussen found Raese down seven. Either way, this is a good chance for a GOP win in a state where Democrats thought they had it in the bag.

With this poll, John Raese leaps to the top, or near the top, of GOP Senate candidates who need help from the grassroots right now.

Tags: Joe Manchin , John Raese

Raese Still Has a Race, but Needs to Climb



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It’s competitive, but not a toss-up. Rasmussen finds Republican John Raese trailing Democrat Joe Manchin in West Virginia’s Senate race, 50 percent to 43 percent.

It’s rather fascinating that 71 percent have a favorable impression of Manchin but only 50 percent want him to be their next senator.

Tags: Joe Manchin , John Raese

The Upset Special Continues to Look Close



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Scott Rasmussen, in an interview Monday:

There are two races right now where I am very curious about what our next polls will show, one in West Virginia and one in Alaska. In both cases, I can come up with a logical argument as to why the numbers are the way they are; I can also come up with a logical argument as to why they show the race as closer than it really is . . . We have one poll out showing it a very competitive race. It’s clear that President Obama is not a welcome figure in West Virginia politics. But [Democratic nominee] Joe Manchin is so popular as governor that it was thought to be a safe seat. So that’s a potential upset special.

New from Rasmussen this morning:

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in West Virginia shows Manchin with 50% support and Raese with 45%, when leaners are included. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate in the race, and three percent (3%) are undecided. The West Virginia race now moves from Leans Democratic to a Toss-Up in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. Less than two weeks ago, the first post-primary survey of the race moved it from Solid Democratic to Leans Democratic.

Tags: Joe Manchin , John Raese

Raese Within 6 of Manchin in West Virginia?



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You have to consider Joe Manchin, the current Democratic governor of West Virginia and his party’s nominee, the favorite in that state’s Senate race. But Rasmussen finds the GOP’s John Raese not far behind, 42 percent to 48 percent.

In this environment, he could make up that gap. But I’m sure the NRSC is pleased to finally have competitive race in West Virginia.

Tags: Joe Manchin , John Raese

Wrapping Up Saturday’s Primaries



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Saturday was Primary Day in two states.

West Virginia held its primaries for its special senatorial election; there were no surprises. Gov. Joe Manchin is the Democratic nominee, and John Raese is the GOP senatorial nominee.

Louisiana was a bit more interesting. There had been some rumblings that the scandals in Sen. David Vitter’s past would leave room for a serious primary challenge, and retired State Supreme Court Judge Chet Traylor took a shot. On Saturday, it wasn’t even close; Vitter won 88 percent.

Turnout was low on both sides, but there were actually more votes on the Democratic side, where Rep. Charlie Melancon won.

In Melancon’s seat, a big GOP pickup opportunity, most of the buzz had surrounded Ret. Gen. Hunt Downer. But on primary day, Jeff Landry came oh-so-close to avoiding a runoff, winning just under 50 percent. Their tooth-and-nail fight will continue; the runoff is set for October 2, leaving one month until the general election. The winner takes on Democrat Ravi Sangisetti.

Tags: Charlie Melancon , Chet Taylor , David Vitter , Hunt Downer , Jeff Landry , Joe Manchin , John Raese

Raese to the Top



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John Raese is up with his first ad in the special Senate election in West Virginia this year:

He’s trailing the likely Democratic nominee, Gov. Joe Manchin, but as you can tell from the ad, President Obama is quite unpopular in West Virginia. If Raese can frame the race as an Obama ally vs. an Obama opponent, he’ll have a shot.

Tags: Joe Manchin , John Raese

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