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Tags: New York

Giuliani Lends His Voice To AG Candidate Cahill in Final Push



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New York attorney general candidate, Republican John Cahill, has enlisted former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani to help in the final push before Election Day.

“America’s Mayor” has recorded a robocall for the AG hopeful telling voters, “I’ve known John in tough times and good times. He’s a man who can handle any crisis.”

Cahill is challenging incumbent attorney general, Democrat Eric Schneiderman.

Hinting to Schneiderman’s involvement in the controversial break-up of the Moreland Commission – which was established to root-out corruption in government – Giuliani says, “John has what it takes to tackle the crime and corruption in our state.”

The Cahill campaign tells me the calls are targeting voters statewide who are registered as Republican, Conservative or Independent.

Tags: New York

NY Will See AG Debate



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A spokesperson for the reelection campaign of New York attorney general Democrat Eric Schneiderman has announced they are working on setting a date for a debate against GOP opponent John Cahill, Newsday reports.

Cahill has been calling on Schneiderman to debate in recent months, issuing his most recent request just a few days ago.

“We’re going to go anywhere, anytime to debate the attorney general on critical issues,” Cahill told capitolnewyork.com.

Cahill has criticized Schneiderman not only for disregarding debate requests but also for avoiding questions from the press – as can be seen in this Times Union video of Schneidermann leaving an event at which he gave the keynote address.

Tags: New York

NY AG Race Narrows



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New poll numbers show Republican candidate for attorney general John Cahill is closing the gap on Democrat incumbent Eric Schneiderman.

According to the poll, done by Siena College, Schneiderman still leads Cahill 50-34, but these numbers represent growing support for Cahill, who, in August, trailed his opponent 54-27.

“Mr. Cahill’s greatest strides appear to have come in upstate regions, where he now leads  Mr. Schneiderman by five points, the poll found, after having trailed him by 17 points there last month,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Dave Catalfamo, spokesman for Mr. Cahill, said in a statement the poll demonstrates “that John Cahill is closing fast on Eric Schneiderman’s listless campaign about nothing.”

Tags: New York

In a Surrender States’ Sovereignty State of Mind



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New York’s attorney generalwants to force other States to adopt the energy policies that are one of the big reasons New York is an economic basket case.” Myron Ebell, director for the Center for Energy and Environment at the Competitive Enterprise Institute comments here on Eric Schneiderman’s decision to file a motion to intervene in a 12-state court challenge to a 2011 settlement agreement made between the Environmental Protection Agency and environmental groups that would force states to regulate carbon emission from coal-fired plants within their jurisdictions.

Eleven other state attorneys general joined him in the motion.

Earlier this year, West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, along with AGs from 11 other coal-reliant states sued the EPA over the settlement. Morrisey argued the rules change would have “devastating effects on West Virginia’s jobs and its economy.”

Schneiderman’s motion disputes Morrisey’s claims and asks that the implementation of the EPA rules not be delayed.

“From extreme droughts to extreme storms, we’re already seeing impacts associated with uncontrolled climate change across the country – and we must rise to meet its challenge with all the urgency it demands,” Schneiderman maintains.

Morrisey and other opponents to the new EPA regulations contend that while states may have differing opinions on federal policy, the rule of law should prevail.

Reporting on the legal arguments, the Los Angeles Times explains:

The plaintiffs said the EPA entered into a settlement agreement in 2011 with environmental groups and states allied with them to regulate existing coal-fired utilities under section 111(d) of the Clean Air Act. That section is the basis for the rules the Obama administration proposed in June.

The plaintiffs argue the settlement and subsequent regulations are illegal because power plant emissions are regulated under a different part of the Clean Air Act.

“We recognize that states may have different policy goals regarding the emission of carbon dioxide, but hopefully every state can agree that regulations should only be issued in a lawful manner,” Morrisey said in an e-mail statement issued yesterday. “We believe that the proposed carbon dioxide rule is illegal and will ultimately be defeated in the courts.”

He also likens the regulation to a “power grab” in which “affordable electricity prices, American jobs, and maintaining the reliability of our power supply are at stake.”

In response to Schneiderman’s new motion, Morrisey has requested an expedited briefing on his lawsuit.

Whatever happens in the courts, the Empire State’s attorney general can be counted among those willing to surrender efficient – and Constitutional – state governance to federal meddlers.

Tags: New York , West Virginia

Morning AG Roundup



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New Mexico attorney general candidate Susan Riedel is making her case to voters with an op-ed in today’s Albuquerque Journal.

Wisconsin attorney general candidate Brad Schimel took to the airwaves in a detailed, televised interview to discuss why voters should elect him.

Adam Gregg, Iowa’s GOP attorney general candidate is zeroing in on the growing cyber-crime epidemic.

New York AG candidate, John Cahill, is continuing to call out sitting Attorney General, Democrat Eric Schneiderman, for accepting campaign contribution from groups and individuals under subpoena from his office.

Tags: New Mexico , Wisconsin , Iowa , New York

Morning AG Roundup



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Michigan Attorney General Bill Schuette is leading his Democrat opponent, Mark Trotten, 40 to 34 percent a newly released poll shows.

Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller’s office is being investigated for the management of grant money distributed from of the Crime Victim Assistance Division.

Texas GOP candidate Ken Paxton, running to fill the AG seat vacated by Greg Abbott, has racked up another significant law enforcement endorsement.

Ohio Attorney General Mike DeWine is far outpacing his challenger, Democrat David Pepper, maintaining a 29-point lead according to internal polling from the Ohio GOP.

A rundown of the primary win challenger Mark Brnovich pulled out over current GOP Arizona Attorney General Tom Horne notes that despite outspending Brnovich, the charges against Horne and investigations into alleged misconduct proved too much for him to hang on.

John Cahill, GOP challenger to sitting New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman, blasted his opponent yesterday for accepting campaign contributions from law firms currently under investigation by the AG’s office.

Tags: Michigan , Iowa , Texas , Ohio , Arizona , New York

New York State Had No Successful Signups as of Friday



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New York State, 0-for-the-first-18-days:

In New York, one of only 16 states that has its own exchange, not one person had succeeded in using the site to enroll in a plan as of Friday.

Donna Frescatore, director of the New York State of Health marketplace, said Friday that 134,000 people had registered and shopped on the state’s online health care site since its Oct. 1 launch, and thousands signed up to enroll in a plan.

But the state has repeatedly delayed electronically transmitting those users’ data to insurers offering health plans.

The department, which held off in order to verify the accuracy of the information users submitted, said it would transfer the first batch of enrollees’ data — which includes thousands of transactions — as early as Friday night.

According to EnrollMaven.com, the administration’s goal for New York State was 218,000 enrollees by the end of March.

Tags: New York , Obamacare

The ‘Complicated, but All Bad’ Scandal in New York’s State Legislature



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Rusty Weiss points out that, like many other objects that are for sale, politicians are cheaper when you buy them in bulk:

Federal investigators were tracking nine Democrats in a probe involving State Senator Shirley Huntley, who wore a wire to record conversations with her colleagues. . . . Almost a quarter of the state Senate’s Democratic conference was in the FBI’s cross hairs last year, according to a court filing unsealed Wednesday. . . . Separate filings indicate that only one of the nine investigated Democrats is believed to have done nothing criminally negligent.

That last guy must have missed a memo.

Glad to see Albany’s gotten cleaned up in the post-Spitzer, post-Patterson era. I’ll give New York governor Andrew Cuomo credit for a simple and accurate assessment: “Complicated, but basically all bad.”

That phrase applies to the state legislature as a whole, no?

Tags: New York , State Legislatures

New Yorkers Evenly Divided Between Obama and ‘Someone Else’



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The new survey from Siena Research doesn’t indicate that there’s any serious shot that a Republican could win New York in 2012. But boy, do Obama’s numbers look lousy there, in what ought to be one of his strongholds:

While voters are evenly divided, 47-47 percent, on whether they are prepared to re-elect President Obama or would prefer ‘someone else,’ he continues to maintain 20-point leads over the frontrunners for the Republican presidential nomination, Rick Perry and Mitt Romney.  A slim majority continues to have a favorable view of Obama and a plurality of voters views Romney and Perry unfavorably, according to a new Siena College Research Institute poll of registered voters released today.

More than half of New Yorkers are very concerned that there will be a ‘double-dip’ recession and 84 percent are at least somewhat concerned. While 33 percent of voters would like to see Congress pass Obama’s American Jobs Act, compared to 19 percent who oppose it, a plurality of voters, 47 percent, say they need more information.

. . . Voters were nearly evenly divided on the statement that while “he was a great candidate, right now Barack Obama is a poor President,” with 47 percent agreeing with that statement and 49 percent disagreeing.

Again, neither Romney nor Perry looks particularly strong there. But a weak showing by Obama in a state with about 10.6 million active registered voters could have a big impact on the popular vote — as well as all of those reelection bids by GOP House freshmen from New York.

For perspective, Obama beat John McCain by 9,522,083 votes in 2008, and 18.7 percent of that margin, 1,787,026 votes, came from New York.

UPDATE: Johnny Shop sees a vacuum and fills it:

Tags: Barack Obama , Mitt Romney , New York , Rick Perry

Relax, Mr. President, You Still Have New York.



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Rebound! “New York State voters approve 50 – 45 percent of the job President Obama is doing, up from a negative 45 – 49 percent score August 12.” The president is now above water in a state he won 62 percent to 37 percent.

Tags: Barack Obama , New York

New York Update



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As expected, Democrats win in blow-outs in the gubernatorial and senatorial elections. But there’s some good news for conservatives in the Empire State

NY-01 is closer than expected. With 40 percent of precincts reporting, Democratic incumbent Timothy Bishop is leading Republican challenger Randy Altschuler 52 percent to 48. That’s a difference of about 800 votes. [UPDATE: With 78 percent of precincts reporting, Bishop leads by about 3,600 votes, 51 to 49 percent.]

NY-04 shows Republican Francis Becker trailing Democratic incumbent Carolyn McCarthy 57 to 43 percent — with only 24 percent of precincts reporting.

NY-13 is a big surprise. Republican Mike Grimm is actually leading Democratic incumbent Michael McMahon 51 to 48 percent, or 43,678 to 40,919. This is huge. The fivethirtyeight model gave McMahon a 90 percent chance at reelection.

In NY-19 and NY-20, Republicans Nan Hayworth and Chris Gibson, respectively, are sailing to easy victories against Democratic incumbents. They’re going to win, and once they’re in office they’ll be ones to watch.

NY-23 could be a source of consternation to New York conservatives. Democratic incumbent Bill Owens is currently leading Republican challenger Matthew Doheny, with only 48 percent of the vote! So what gives? As reporter Tim Mak tweeted, “Doheny is down by about five points. The margin of error? Doug Hoffman.” Hoffman, the Conservative-party nominee, decided to get behind Doheny in October, but not before it was too late to get his name off of the ballot on the Conservative line.

NY-24 is another strong victory for Republicans. Richard Hanna currently leads incumbent Democrat Michael Arcuri by over 9,000 votes, with 79 percent of precincts reporting.

NY-25 is surprisingly close, but probably not close enough. Republican Ann Marie Buerkle trails incumbent Democrat Daniel Maffei 51 to 49 percent — a 3,600 vote difference — with 92 percent of precincts reporting.

In NY-29, Republican Thomas Reed will certainly win against Thomas Zeller in their race for the disgraced Eric Massa’s seat.

Tags: New York

More on New York



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Following up on my earlier post, there are three more Republicans with a chance to pick up House seats currently occupied by Democrats.

  • In NY-23, which stretches New York’s Canadian border, Republican Matt Doheny will likely defeat incumbent Democrat Bill Owens, according to recent polls. Owens has served since November 6, 2009, after winning a peculiar special election which resulted from Republican John M. McHugh’s appointment as Secretary of the Army, and attendant resignation of his House seat. One cause for concern: Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman remains on the ballot; he has, in recent weeks, encouraged his supporters to get behind Doheny.
  • In NY-29, expect a landslide victory for Republican Thomas Reed over Democrat Matthew Zeller. Reed has benefited from a huge fundraising advantage and some bad press for Democrats in the area. Zeller, nota bene, is not an incumbent — the seat was previously held by the disgraced, and now resigned, Democrat Eric Massa.  
  • NY-24 looks to be a tossup, with the New York Times giving incumbent Democrat Michael Arcuri a 60 percent chance at victory over Richard Hanna, his Republican challenger. Hanna is another remarkable figure, with a business background, but an academic bent signaled by his involvement with Cato Institute study groups.  Arcuri polls 50.8 percent to Hanna’s 49.2 percent, so voter turnout will be crucial.

And, Republicans will almost certainly keep the only two House seats (out of New York’s 29) they had coming into this election — Peter King in NY-3, and Christopher Lee in NY-26 will both be reelected. Lastly, if you missed it before, check out my post on Republicans Chris Gibson and Nan Hayworth, also likely winners.

The rest of New York? Mostly Democratic shoo-ins, with a few whispers that Democrats Tim Bishop and Maurice Hinchey could be unseated, and a slight chance for Republicans on Staten Island. More on these later. 

Tags: New York

Don’t Forget New York



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The punditocracy’s line this election cycle has been that the Tea Party, anti-Democratic surge has passed New York by. There’s some truth to that. The charismatic and highly qualified Joe DioGuardi barely threatened incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, despite her low approval rating — DioGuardi’s apocalyptic warnings about the budget just didn’t catch on with New York voters. So too have Carl Paladino’s gaffes deprived New York conservatives of what could have been a real chance to reclaim the governorship; he’s hurt down-ticket Republicans as well.

Things are tough in New York as a whole. 27 of her 29 House seats are currently held by Democrats. But there’s some good news for Republicans. Here are two races to watch:

  • In NY-20, Col. Dr. Chris Gibson is poised to take down Democratic incumbent Scott Murphy. Gibson is, without question, an impressive guy. He served 7 combat tours in the Army, including 4 in Iraq, and left the service with a Purple Heart and two Bronze Stars. Then he took a PhD in Government from Cornell. In debates, he was impressively cerebral while sparring with Scott Murphy — how often do House candidates quote Amity Shlaes and argue about depression economics? The most recent Siena Research Institute poll gave Gibson a 9-point advantage. This week, Murphy released an internal poll showing up by 2. That doesn’t exactly inspire confidence. 
  • In  NY-19, Republican Nan Hayworth is, like Gibson, a cerebral candidate happy to identify with, and benefit from, Tea Party sentiment. The Cornell and  Princeton educated opthamologist is campaigning as a businesswoman and mother against John Hall, the incubment Senator, Democrat, and former musician. Hall’s attempt to sue one of Hayworth’s college staffers over a satirical video reeks of desperation. That desperation is appropriate: the New York Times gives Hayworth a 70% chance of unseating Hall. 

Tags: New York

NY Dem Touts Votes With GOP



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Last week, several handicapping organizations moved the race for the NY-23 congressional seat — between incumbent Rep. Bill Owens (D) and GOP challenger Matt Doheny — from “Lean Democratic” to “Toss Up” after Conservative Party nominee Doug Hoffman announced he was suspending his campaign.

Even before Hoffman dropped out (his name will remain on the ballot), a Public Opinion Strategies poll showed Doheny leading Owens 51-37 percent. Thirty percent of voters said Owens deserves reelection, while 47 percent said it’s time for a change. Owens won the seat in a special election last fall, becoming the first Democrat to occupy the seat in nearly a century. NY-23 has a Cook rating of R+1, and Owens’ support for Obamacare is a sore subject among constituents.

It is understandable then, that Owens has, like many in his situation, been trying to distance himself from the Democratic Party leadership. But few have gone as far as Owens does in this new ad, which states the following (emphasis added): “Wall Street people sure know how to lie with numbers. Bill Owens didn’t vote with Nancy Pelosi 93 percent of the time. He voted with the Republican leader 63 percent of the time.”

As it turns out, the “Wall Street people” Owens accuses of “lying with numbers” is none other than The Washington Post. According to its Votes Database found here, Owens voted with Nancy Pelosi 92.6 percent of the time. Tory Mazzola, spokesman for the NRCC, said the ad is “false and disingenuous.”
“[This ad] sadly verifies that Bill Owens simply cannot be trusted to tell the truth. He’s only interested in saying whatever he needs to say to get re-elected. That’s not leadership. It’s blatant hypocrisy,” Mazzola said.
Pretty ridiculous, though maybe not as blatant as falsely identifying yourself as a Republican in the tag line for your Congressional web site (Rep. Gary Peters). Speaking of Peters, found this mock campaign site rather amusing.

Tags: New York

A ‘Salvage Operation’ for New York Democrats?



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Readers send me articles like this one below from Nassau County, New York, and I say, “Pull out all the stops, GOP. You may never get a stronger wind at your back than there is this year.”

8. Seemingly out of the blue, the State Senate Republican Campaign Committee have out-fundraised their Democratic counterparts since the middle of August. The Democrats went in heavily favored to pick up several seats. Now, a legislative staffer tells me it looks like a salvage operation. I opined that this can’t be possible, even for the State Senate Dems. “I’m not kidding,” I was told on the 10th of September. . . . 9. And then, suddenly, there was Mr. Carl Paladino.…

Perhaps every New York Republican should adopt the baseball bat as a symbol . . .

Tags: Carl Paladino , New York

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