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Tags: Randy Altschuler

Altschuler vs. Bishop: The Sequel



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Looks like we’re likely to see another House race rematch in 2012, featuring Republican Randy Altschuler:

St. James businessman Randy Altschuler, who narrowly lost a congressional race against Democratic incumbent Tim Bishop last year, has decided to seek a rematch with Bishop in 2012. Altschuler had withdrawn his name from consideration for the Suffolk County executive race after speaking with party leaders, according to a statement from his office.

“After serious consideration, I have consulted with party leaders and decided not to run for Suffolk County executive,” Altschuler said in a statement. “The truth is that after falling just short last year, my intent had always been to seek a rematch with Congressman Bishop in 2012 and in the coming days I will file papers making that run official.”

“Narrow” is almost an understatement; Bishop hung on by a margin of 600 out of more than 194,000 cast.

The article quotes a Bishop spokesman as scoffing “[Announcing] 18 months early is kind of silly.”

Hardly, pal. The date of the New York 2012 primary is up in the air, possibly June. (The presidential primary is in February, as of now.)

Tags: Randy Altschuler , Tim Bishop

So Close, Yet So Far, for Randy Altschuler in NY-1



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The last House race of 2010 is resolved.

ALTSCHULER CONCEDES

Randy Altschuler, Republican/Conservative candidate, this morning conceded the hard-fought race for New York’s 1st Congressional District seat. With approximately 977 absentee ballots left to be counted, unofficial numbers showed four-term Democrat incumbent Congressman Tim Bishop with a 263 vote lead over Altschuler, with a total of more than 194,000 votes cast. The 1st Congressional District was the last undecided House seat in the nation.

Additionally, the Altschuler campaign dropped its legal challenges to the remaining uncounted absentee ballots. This will allow the Suffolk County Board of Elections to count the remaining ballots. While the Altschuler campaign has uncovered numerous instances of absentee ballots that may have been unlawfully cast, the campaign is confident that the proper authorities will take the appropriate action concerning them and that their number is too small to alter the outcome of the election.

Randy Altschuler said, “After consulting with my family and campaign staff, I am ending my campaign and offering congratulations to Congressman Tim Bishop on his victory. Although Newsday, The New York Times and the Bishop campaign have all called for a hand recount of all the ballots cast on Election Day, I will not support such an action as I feel its cost will place an unnecessary burden on the taxpayers of Suffolk County. This was a very close election, and I want to thank everyone who was involved. Let me assure each and every one of my supporters, including my volunteers, donors and campaign staff, that your hard work, friendship and generosity will never be forgotten.

“I also want to thank the voters of Suffolk County. You proved that every vote does count and why it is so important that all Americans participate in our electoral process.

“I entered this race because I was worried about the future of our nation. The problems America faces are many and will not be easily solved. I plan to stay active in politics and continue to speak out on the issues that affect the residents of Suffolk County, our state and our nation. Those issues include high taxes, runaway spending and an ever-growing deficit. I intend to play an active role in building the Republican and Conservative Party voices in both Suffolk County and New York State.”

With this race resolved, the final count is that the GOP won picked up an additional 63 seats this year.

Tags: Randy Altschuler

Some Resolution Will Come to NY-1, Someday . . .



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In that last House race waiting to get resolved — New York’s 1st congressional district — the campaign of Republican challenger Randy Altschuler isn’t quitting yet.

Here’s their account of how this has progressed, day by day:

ELECTION DAY: New voting machines (scanners with retained paper ballots) are used for the first time in a statewide General Election. When the polls close returns are unusually slow coming in, not only in the 1st C.D., but across the state. The following morning Altschuler is presumed to have lost by over 3,400 votes.

FRIDAY, 11/5: The voting machines have been returned to the BOE warehouse and the memory chips in the machines are downloaded and a swing of 3,800+ takes place. Altschuler ends the day up by 383. It appears that the reported vote on Election Night was riddled with human error caused by election workers who are unfamiliar with the workings of the new machines. (This same type of situation arose in November 2009 when the new machines were used in 7 of 11 counties that make up New York’s 23rd Congressional District. In this case one candidate gained over 2,500 votes when the memory chips were downloaded.) Almost immediately, the Bishop campaign starts calling for a hand-count of all ballots scanned by machines on Election Day; approximately 184,000 ballots. This came a day after they had ridiculed the Altschuler campaign for wanting a count of the absentee ballots.

TUESDAY, 11/8: Bishop goes to State Supreme Court wanting hand count of all 184,000 scanned ballots judge requests legal basis for the count. The Suffolk County BOE starts a NY State mandated audit of 3% of all machines in the County. This is a statewide mandate to make sure that the new machines are working properly.  The BOE finds no problems with the machines when the audit is completed 10 days later.

WEDNESDAY, 11/9: Suffolk County BOE starts count of over 11,000 absentee, military and affidavit (emergency) ballots. This is includes a challenge process by which each campaign challenges ballots prior to them being opened and counted. These challenges can be based on a variety of issues ranging from late postmark to handwriting or residency issues. Challenged ballots are set aside by type of challenge and will not be opened or counted until the challenge is resolved.

TUESDAY, 11/23: Count of approximately 9,000 of the above referenced 11,000+ ballots is completed. Altschuler now trails by 230 votes with over 2,200 challenged ballots remaining to be counted.

MONDAY, 11/29: FOX NEWS runs story citing incidents of fraud in numerous absentee ballots that have been challenged. Under NY State law these are felonies and if convicted the voter can be sentenced to a year in jail. The ballots challenged on a residency basis revolve around individuals with residences in New York City or Florida with multi-million dollar vacation homes vacation homes in the Hamptons and Shelter Island.

WEDNESDAY, 12/1: At close of business Altschuler is behind by 259 votes.

THURSDAY, 12/2: Judge reviewed all challenges based on technical issues.

WEDNESDAY, 12/8: Judge will start to review remaining challenges based on handwriting or residency issues.

Tags: Randy Altschuler , Tim Bishop

Altschuler’s Up! No, Wait, He’s Down! No, Wait, He’s Up Again!



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After leading by several hundred, and then trailing by a bit more than a dozen, Randy Altschuler is in the lead again in New York’s 1st congressional district. This vote count is maddening:

As of 10:30 a.m., Randy Altschuler has re-taken the lead from Rep. Tim Bishop (D-Southampton) by 10 votes in absentee ballot counting, Altschuler spokesman Rob Ryan reports.

Altschuler gained 24 votes today, Ryan said. At the end of the day Friday, Bishop led by 15 according to his camp, and 14 according to Altschuler’s. Bishop’s people have yet to return our calls this morning.

UPDATE: And now… Bishop by 69. Tell you what, I’ll let you know when this looks like it’s being decided.

Tags: Randy Altschuler , Tim Bishop

The NRCC Debuts ‘Still Counting’



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The NRCC has set up a page to contribute to all of their contenders whose races have gone into overtime, so to speak: Still Counting.

They say the vote totals on the page will be updated as quickly as possible. The short version is Renee Ellmers (NC-2) leads by more than 1,600 votes; Blake Farenthold (TX-27), Randy Altschuler (NY-01), Ann Marie Buerkle (NY-25), Andy Vidak (CA-20), and Joe Walsh (IL-08) lead by several hundred votes each; David Harmer (CA-11) and Andy Barr (KY-06) trail by several hundred votes each.

Tags: Andy Barr , Andy Vidak , Ann Marie Buerkle , Blake Farenthold , David Harmer , Joe Walsh , Randy Altschuler , Renee Ellmers

One Week Later, GOP Gets a Bit of Bad News and a Bit of Good News



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One week after the election, the bad news for Republicans this morning: In Virginia’s 11th congressional district, the outer suburbs of Washington D.C., Keith Fimian is conceding defeat to Democrat incumbent Gerry Connolly. He is not seeking a recount; the current count shows Fimian trailing by 981 votes, or four-tenths of one percent of all votes cast.

The good news for Republicans is that in New York’s 1st congressional district, the numbers look good for Randy Altschuler. He leads by 393 votes, and of the absentee ballots waiting to be counted, 3,953 are registered Republicans, 3,611 are registered Democrats.

Tags: Keith Fimian , Randy Altschuler

Let’s Help Congressman-Elect Randy Altschuler



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For Republicans in swing districts, it’s not enough to win the votes on Election Day. They have to win the legal fights afterward:

The two candidates vying for the congressional seat from the East End of Long Island were gearing up Sunday for legal battles after a revised vote tally erased the incumbent Democrat’s unofficial 3,500-vote margin of victory and handed his Republican challenger a slim lead.

The change puts the GOP within striking distance of capturing a sixth New York congressional seat previously held by Democrats, though a final result likely won’t be known for days. They’ve already won five, raising the number of Republicans in the state’s 29-member delegation in the House of Representatives from two to seven. Still another race for a seat representing a district near Syracuse remains too close to call.Officials checking returns Friday found that local officials had somehow relayed the wrong vote totals to the Suffolk County Board of Elections, election commissioner Wayne Rogers said. A routine check of voting machine hard drives caught the error. Mr. Rogers said the board planned to investigate the cause of the error.

The new tally gives Republican Randy Altschuler a lead of just under 400 votes over incumbent Democrat Tim Bishop. More than 9,000 absentee ballots have yet to be counted—a process that likely won’t begin until later this week.Mr. Bishop declared victory early Wednesday morning, but Mr. Altschuler refused to concede.Both men launched fundraising appeals over the weekend to fund legal efforts. Mr. Bishop’s campaign said it raised $20,000 in the 24 hours after it asked supporters for money Saturday afternoon, while Mr. Altschuler’s camp said it had raised $30,000 by Sunday evening.Jon Schneider, a spokesman for Mr. Bishop said the incumbent planned to push Monday for a full hand recount of the 181,000 paper ballots cast in the race, a move Mr. Altschuler’s camp said wasn’t necessary.”There is nothing that warrants that that we can see,” said Rob Ryan, a spokesman for Mr. Altschuler.

Make sure Randy Altschuler has the resources he needs for this recount fight.

Tags: Randy Altschuler , Tim Bishop

More House Polls Show Good News for GOP in New York, Illinois, and Connecticut



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The dam bursts.

It has burst in Connecticut:

U.S. Rep. Chris Murphy has fallen behind Republican challenger Sam Caligiuri according to the CT Capitol Report Poll released today.

Rep. Murphy, the Democratic incumbent in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district, has 44.3 percent to Republican challenger Sam Caligiuri’s 49.7 percent. The poll, commissioned by CT Capitol Report and conducted by the Merriman River Group, surveyed 481 likely voters on October 3-5, 2010 with a margin of error of+/- 4.4 percentage points. 6.0 percent of those surveyed are still unsure of who they will support in the race.

“Chris Murphy appears to be facing an uphill fight to keep his seat,” says the poll’s Executive Director, Matthew Fitch. “He is behind opponent Sam Caligiuri just outside the margin of error, with Caligiuri pushing the 50 percent threshold in our survey. While the race is obviously competitive, it is often difficult for an incumbent to comeback after falling behind a challenger in the last month.

It has burst in Illinois, where Randy Hultgren is ahead, 44 percent to 38 percent.

The Tarrance Group is pleased to present the following findings to the Randy Hultgren for Congress campaign: The Tarrance Group was commissioned to conduct a telephone survey of N=400 registered “likely” voters throughout Illinois’ Fourteenth Congressional District. Arandom sample of this type is likely to yield a margin of error of +4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases. Responses to the survey were gathered October 3-4, 2010. Republican challenger Randy Hultgren’s lead has grown to 6 points in his race against incumbent Democrat Bill Foster. Since our previous survey in September, Hultgren has increased his lead on the ballot from 3 points to 6 points. Turnout modeling suggests that Hultgren would receive 50% of the vote if the election were held today — even with third party candidate on the ballot.

It has burst in New York.

I received this ccAdvertising poll data from a Conservative/GOP consultant, and, considering the history of this firm, suggest you take it with a healthy dose of salt.

The results show three of the eight the competitive NY House races to be very close indeed. In at least one of these districts, NY-24, public polling has shown the incumbent, Democratic Rep. Mike Arcuri, to be in better shape, leading his GOP opponent, Richard Hanna, by eight percentage points, but under the “magic” 50 percent mark.

This poll shows Republican Nan Hayworth slightly ahead of her Democratic target, Rep. John Hall. Party leaders have grown increasingly concerned about Hall, particularly when it comes to his fundraising, and sent in former President Bill Clinton to help boost his numbers.

The third poll that the article refers to shows a tie between Randy Altschuler and Democrat Tim Bishop.

Sure, some of these polls were commissioned by Republicans. Is it possible the sampling is a little too optimistic? Sure. But unless there is a Research2000 situation, they’re actual polls representing a reasonable sense of turnout in these districts. At worst, these races are competitive for Republicans.

Onward.

Tags: Nan Hayworth , Randy Altschuler , Randy Hultgren , Richard Hanna , Sam Caligiuri

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