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Tags: Daniel Inouye

Expect Three to Five Special Elections in the Coming Months



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I periodically joke that there is no off-season in the world of political campaigns. We are likely to see at least four, and perhaps more, special elections in the coming months:

Illinois 2nd Congressional District, where Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. resigned. A primary will be held February 26 (at this point, no Republicans are running, but eight Democrats have filed papers) and the special general election will be held April 9.

Missouri 8th Congressional District, where Rep. Jo Ann Emerson announced she would resign in February. The date for this special election has not been determined yet; the candidates for Republicans and Democrats will be selected by the party committees.

South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, where Rep. Tim Scott has been appointed the state’s next U.S. Senator. The special election will be held 18 weeks after Scott’s formal resignation from the House, likely setting the special election for May.

Massachusetts Senate: Presuming that President Obama selects John Kerry as his next Secretary of State, Gov. Deval Patrick would appoint  an interim senator to serve until a special election could be held, most likely in May or June. The interim senator would have the option of running in the special election to fill out the remainder of Kerry’s term, which ends in January 2015.

In Hawaii, the death of Sen. Daniel Inouye means that Gov. Neil Ambercrombie will select a replacement to serve until 2014, when a special election is held (the interim senator may and probably will run in the special election). If Ambercrombie selects Rep. Colleen Hanabusa– reportedly the dying wish of the senator – then Hawaii will hold a special election to fill her seat 60 days after she resigns her House office.)

Tags: Colleen Hanabusa , Daniel Inouye , Jesse Jackson Jr. , Jo Ann Emerson , John Kerry , Tim Scott

Sen. Daniel Inouye, RIP



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A senator arrives, and a senator departs this earth in the Morning Jolt

Great Scott!

Glenn Reynolds: “SO WITH TIM SCOTT’S APPOINTMENT, the GOP has the nation’s only black senator and both of its two Latino governors. Kinda busts the racial narrative, doesn’t it?”

Not only that, but he was appointed to the position by the country’s second Indian-American governor; both of the ones we have are not only Republicans, but Southern conservative Republicans.

The editors of the Wall Street Journal notice: “Mr. Scott’s appointment requires him to stand for a special election in 2014, though he has a record as a House conservative in sync with Palmetto State values and emerged with the Tea Party. It’s also worth noting that the movement deplored by liberals as retrogressive has done more than anything in years to increase diversity in politics—and not merely of thought. Think Marco Rubio of Florida, Ted Cruz of Texas, Susana Martinez of New Mexico, Brian Sandoval of Nevada, Ms. Haley herself. The best news is that Senator-designate Scott’s story isn’t about racial grievance and preference. It’s a measure of personal achievement, political conviction and the opportunities available in modern American politics.”

And guess who could be making a comeback in the House race to replace Scott?

Former South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford is mulling a congressional comeback, with sources saying he might join the special election contest for Rep. Tim Scott’s soon-to-be-vacant House seat.

Sanford is “studying” a run for the Charleston-area, GOP-leaning 1st District, which he occupied in the 1990s, said one South Carolina source. The seat will soon be vacant because Republican Gov. Nikki R. Haley on Monday selected freshman Republican Scott to succeed Sen. Jim DeMint, who is resigning in January, just two years into his second term.

Sanford has about $124,000 in his old federal campaign account.

I can think of no better candidate to lead Congress in strengthening relations between the U.S. and Argentina.

Sen. Daniel Inouye, RIP

USA Today: “Democrat Daniel Inouye, the U.S. Senate’s most senior member and a Medal of Honor recipient for his bravery during World War II, has died. He was 88. He died of respiratory complications and had been at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center since earlier this month. His office said his last word was “Aloha,” the traditional Hawaiian word for ‘hello’ and ‘goodbye.’”

In Hawaii, Inouye’s replacement will be appointed by Governor Neil Abercrombie. Under state law, the governor’s appointee must be of the same political party as that of the vacating senator; the governor makes an appointment by selecting from a list of three prospective appointees submitted by the state party. Inouye was reelected in 2010, so the Hawaii elections will work a bit like the setup in South Carolina with Sen. Jim DeMint’s departure: a special Senate election will be held in 2014 where the appointee may choose to run; whoever wins that election will serve another two years and face reelection for a full six-year term in 2016.

Tags: Daniel Inouye

The First 47 Years Were a Warm-Up, Apparently



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What kind of a year is it? The kind of year where eight-term Daniel Inouye, incumbent senator of Hawaii, is up 13.

Democrat Daniel Inouye has represented Hawaii in the U.S. Senate for 47 years, and he now holds a 13-point lead over Republican challenger Cam Cavasso in his bid for another six-year term.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state shows Inouye picking up 53 percent of the vote, while Cavasso, a former member of the state’s House of Representatives captures 40 percent.

That may not sound like much, but take a look at Inouye’s usual margins and percentages: 75.4 percent (2004), 76.4 percent (1998), 57.2 percent (1992), 73.5 percent (1986), 77.9 percent (1980), 82.8 percent (1974), 83.4 percent (1968), 69.4 percent (1962).

Throw in Duke Aiona in a competitive governor’s race and Charles Djou having a solid shot for reelection to Congress, and this could be an amazing year for Hawaii Republicans.

Tags: Cam Cavasso , Daniel Inouye

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