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THE POLITICS OF IT [Ramesh Ponnuru] Jonah makes the point, with which I agree, that it would be nice if Republican politicians could get more Hispanic votes. It would be nice if they could get more votes, period. Let me ask several questions about the impact of amnesty here. 1) How popular will it be among Hispanics? Some polling has suggested that Hispanics are slightly more likely to oppose than support amnesty, and significantly more likely to vote against a pro-amnesty candidate than vote for one. 2) Assuming it does prove popular, how large and lasting an effect would it have? 3) How many more Hispanic voters will it bring in? Assuming that the amnesty does not lead to a long-term Republican majority among Hispanics, the more it brings in the worse it will be for them. Assume, heroically, that the Hispanic voters of 2016 will vote 45 percent Republican rather than 35 percent because of amnesty. Assume also--and I have no idea whether these are stingy or generous assumptions--that amnesty means the total number of these voters is 20 million rather than 12 million. That means that instead of losing a population of 12 million by a net 30 percent (=3.6 million votes), you will lose a population of 20 million by a net 10 percent (=2 million votes). That is a gain, but the outcome is clearly highly assumption-dependent. (Also, keep in mind an alternative of reducing immigration levels.) 4) Will the increased numbers of Hispanics drive their wages down, and will that reduce their propensity to vote Republican? 5) Just how unpopular is this among non-Hispanic voters? They count, too. Posted at 06:29 PM IMMIGRATION: WHAT ARE THE ALTERNATIVES? [Ramesh Ponnuru] As Jonah's article and Peter's post demonstrate, many conservatives seem to feel that the presence in America of millions of illegal immigrants, and the extreme unlikelihood (or perhaps undesirability) of their all being deported, is a powerful argument for the Bush amnesty. Let me start by conceding that under almost any policy regime there will be some illegal immigration. I do not believe in an immigration policy that matches "every willing worker" with "every willing employer"--a policy that would, theoretically, be compatible with an inflow of 20 million people a year. (As would Jonathan Adler's policy of letting in every person who wants to work here, but nobody who wants to kill us--even assuming such a policy could be implemented.) But any policy that seeks to block a voluntary transaction is going to create a black market. But the numbers matter. As it stands, every year 400,000 illegal immigrants are deported, leave the country voluntarily, or get green cards and become legal. Every year another 800,000 illegals enter the country. So we have a net increase of 400,000 to the illegal population. Are we really convinced that it is impossible to increase the 400,000 departures or reduce the 800,000 entries? We are told that we have tried control of the borders, and it has failed. What we have not seriously tried is enforcement of the immigration laws in the interior. What if we stepped up deportation? The alternative here is not "deport 8 million people." It's deport a bunch more. Make other illegal immigrants who are here less eager to stay, and Mexicans considering it less eager to come. Let's try some sort of worksite enforcement, which we never really have--even something as simple as allowing the IRS and the Social Security Administration share information about known illegals more widely. If you reduce the inflow and increase the outflow, you will stabilize the situation. You will still, to be sure, have plenty of illegals still here. Maybe then will be the time to talk about an amnesty. Finally, Jonah: The existence of an "unholy mess" does not preclude the possibility that the mess can be made worse. Conservatives of all people should know that. Posted at 06:13 PM RE: TEXIFORNIA OR MEXAS [John Derbyshire] Lots of VERY interesting posts on the differences between California and Several readers believe that the actual Mexicans coming in are different in If this is right it raises the uncomfortable question: Which type of A reader from Virginia said this more forcefully at the end of a long and "I left California for Virginia because of illegal immigration, and there Posted at 12:28 PM DONKEYS ON DECK [Tim Graham] On the last version of NPR’s “Diane Rehm Show,” the assembled liberal reporters were all throwing hardballs at Team Bush over the latest WMD report from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. But for the record, can we take a teeny-weeny look at the political backgrounds of the authors? We have Jessica Tuchman Matthews (former Carter aide and Clinton aide, liberal World Resources Institute, Washington Post editorialist); we have George Perkovich (former Joe Biden aide, liberal W. Alton Jones Foundation); and we have the sage of Takoma Park, Joe Cirincione (former aide to Rep. Charles Bennett, anti-SDI Democrat of Florida). Who wants to bet that absolutely no one in the press notices the less-than-nonpartisan backgrounds of these experts? Posted at 12:24 PM TEXIFORNIA OR MEXAS [John Derbyshire] Most convoluted, yet oddly plausible, explanation yet for the difference in attitudes towards illegal Mexican immigration between California (angry) and Texas (insouciant). I am paraphrasing from a reader e-mail: "Most of Texas, certainly eastern Texas, looks the same, and none of it looks anything like the Garden of Eden. If your town is filling up with people you don't like, you move to another town 40 miles away, and hardly notice the difference. In California, for example, you have this lush coastal strip, backed by, frankly, desert. Californians who feel obliged to move fear they are being expelled from Paradise..." I must say, though, the difference in welfare provision between the two states seems to me the most convincing explanation. The fact of the welfare state makes a huge difference to immigration past and present. In the Great Wave of 1881-1924, large numbers of immigrants -- lazy, incompetenet, or unlucky -- found they couldn't hack it in the USA and went home. Their present-day equivalents mostly would not--they'd go on welfare instead... Though, it seems, they'd find it easier to do so in California than in Mexico. Posted at 12:07 PM IRAQI BLOGGER ON THE STAKES [Kathryn Jean Lopez] From the Messopotamian: The entire region will succumb and fall into the basket like a ripe fruit once the dust settles and the benefits begin to materialize and they will, have no doubt. The main thing is that this neo-imperialism is quite different from the old. Rather than aiming at subjugating and enslaving people it aims at freeing and raising their standard so that they may be eligible to join the family of civilized people. The tables are indeed turned (eloquent Lisa); almost every meaning is reversed. We should not be afraid of names. Occupation is liberation; Imperialism is benevolent; Resistance is sabotage and directed against the people and their livelihood and has no clear objective and no future; The Right is revolutionary and the Left is reactionary; The Conservatives of yesterday are the optimists who believe in the ability of eastern people for freedom and democracy and the Liberals and Leftists of yesterday are pessimistic and skeptical and even racist about it; and we could go on and on citing this remarkable reversal of things. Posted at 12:05 PM UNEMPLOYMENT: THE DATA [Andrew Stuttaford] A number of readers have written to ask why I am going on about unemployment at a time when rates are at historically low levels. Well, the simple answer to that is they are not (as Wall Street understood). Add in the number of “discouraged” workers and the real rate is around seven percent, not terrible, but nothing to write home about either. It’s far too soon to talk, however, as some, particularly on the left, are doing, about a jobless recovery. Typically growth in labor market participation (the real number to watch) is a lagging indicator of recovery, and I’d expect this to pick up in time. That said, employment growth so far has not been what might have been expected. This is not, therefore, the time to be talking, as Bush is talking, about increasing the number of workers admitted each year. Posted at 12:04 PM ZSA ZSA'S GRASP OF MARRIAGE ESSENTIALS [John Derbyshire] A reader reminds me of Zsa Zsa Gabor's most inspired comment about her nine (?) marriages: "I am a good housekeeper, darlink. I ALWAYS keep the house." Posted at 12:01 PM ABOUT THAT AMNESTY [Andrew Stuttaford] There’s no doubt that the most persuasive argument in favor of the Bush amnesty (and, for all the feverish – and rather insulting - denials coming out of the administration, that’s what it is) is the one being made on NRO (and elsewhere) that the US will not solve a problem – the presence in this country of some ten million ‘undocumented’ aliens - by hoping that it, and they, will go away. Given that there appears to be no political will to deport these folks the only sensible approach, it is claimed, is to somehow integrate them within the American system – and that is exactly what the President’s proposal is designed to achieve. It has to be admitted that there is something to be said for this, but only in the context of a wider policy that showed that the White House was capable of constructing an immigration policy that could allow the US to regain control of its borders. So far there’s no sign of this. On the contrary, what we have instead is cockamamie mixture of politically correct pieties, embarrassingly incoherent leaks, vague promises of tougher enforcement and, with the nonsensical suggestion that all jobs that “Americans won’t take” (by the way, there’s no such thing) should effectively be open to the world, an initiative of such stunning economic illiteracy that, by comparison, Treasury Secretary Snow’s blundering forays into the currency markets look like the efforts of a financial genius. Jonathan points out that “in the past 24 months, there has been an unprecedented crackdown on various immigration violations, such as visa overstays, as, as well as a general slowdown in the processing of visas and citizenship applications.” True enough, there has, but these measures are the result of administrative fiat, and could easily be reversed. Remember Al Gore and all those citizenship applications that were rushed through on, basically, bureaucratic whim? In the absence of more lasting legislative change, that’s something that could easily happen again under a subsequent administration with different priorities. In sizing up where they stand in this debate, Americans would thus be unwise to take much comfort in the current more aggressive policing. What they have to contemplate instead is an amnesty that is the centerpiece of immigration ‘reform’ designed by a president who believes, apparently, that America’s “current limits on legal immigration are too low.” As such, if there’s anyone who believes that this amnesty will really be the last such free pass, I have a bridge to sell them. Posted at 11:48 AM RE: NOW THE RIGHT HAS CONTROVERSIAL ARTISTS, TOO! [John Derbyshire] I am sorry: I posted this yesterday without the link. Here's the link. Posted at 11:43 AM NUMBSKULL NUPTIALS [Tim Graham] Brent Bozell demonstrates that social conservatives are tough on all kinds of marriage-mockers, especially the plastic pop stars. Posted at 10:36 AM RE: OH NO O'NEILL [Steve Hayward] I take great comfort in O'Neill's description of Bush as "disengaged." Who else did they used to say that about?!? More evidence that Bush takes his bearings from Reagan rather than his dad. Posted at 10:35 AM UNCOMMON TV [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Just caught Peter's TV show, Uncommon Knowledge (on PBS). Always worth watching. This week was Ed Meese and a California ACLU rep on the Patriot Act. Peter's show is what you want talking heads shows to be--intelligent. There's time for more than a soundbite and Peter makes sure the time is put to good use. I'm totally unbiased, of course. Posted at 10:32 AM WANTING TO BE EATEN IS LIKE WANTING A SMOKE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Julian Sanchez on Reason's weblog is not convinced that cannibalism case in Germany involved a crime. Posted at 10:26 AM TEXIFORNIA OR MEXAS? HERE'S ONE EXPLANATION [Peter Robinson] Having lived in California for a decade now, Derb, I too have noticed the difference in attitudes toward illegal immigrants between Texans and my fellow residents of the Golden State. The best explanation I've come across? That whereas welfare payments here in California are lavish, those in Texas are minimal. Which of course means that whereas Californians are quite understandably suspicious that illegal aliens enter our state to take advantage of our countless welfare offerings, Texans may rest content in the knowledge that Mexicans slip across the Rio Grande only because they want to work. Posted at 10:16 AM OH NO, IT'S O'NEILL [John J. Miller] The Wash Post flacks the forthcoming Paul O'Neill tell-all book, highlighting the former Treasury secretary's claim that President Bush was "like a blind man in a roomful of deaf people." The statement would be perfect if it included a single addition: "said the village idiot." Posted at 05:49 AM Friday, January 09, 2004 TEXIFORNIA OR MEXAS [John Derbyshire] I am getting some very interesting sub-harmonics in my reader e-mail about the immigration thing. People are angry all over; but I am getting a fair amount of e-mail from people who are NOT angry, don't see what all the fuss is about, and are fine with massive illegal immigration from Mexico. A disproportionate number of these what's-the-fuss people write from Texas. Is Texas "special" in this regard? As compared to, say, California? One reader suggests that Texans have a much better-rooted sense of who they are than Californians do (heck, Texas was briefly a nation, wasn't it?), and so are comparatively insouciant about sharing their land with their neighbors. Is this right? If so, it throws an interesting light on GWB's attitudes. Posted at 06:34 PM JONAH ON IMMIGRATION [John Derbyshire] Jonah: Thanks for a good thoughtful piece on the immigration thing. I have issues, though. Here's just one: You write that: "Once you accept that these eight million illegals are here and that - contrary to dreams of a few on the far right - there's no way we're going to be able to bounce them out of the country en masse..." One of the cliches of this debate is that "you can't very well deport them all, can you?" Well, actually, we probably could if we wanted to. In the 1954 Operation Wetback (sorry, that's what it was called), the INS claimed to have sent 1,300,000 illegals back to Mexico using a force of only 700 officers. The figures have been disputed; but as a matter of sheer practicality, I do not believe that deporting eight million illegals with current resources is unthinkable. Whether it is POLITICALLY--which nowadays, of course, largely means "judicially"--possible is, I certainly agree, another matter. Still, conscientious commentators should not entertain false beliefs even about impossibilities, and to the best of my understanding the statement that we simply cannot physically deport eight million illegal aliens is false. But the real scandal here is not that we are failing to deport ALL illegal aliens, even supposing we could, but that we are failing to deport ANY. If you have cast-iron evidence that I am an illegal alien, and you take that evidence to your local immigration enforcement office, they will do nothing. We know this because enterprising citizens have been trying it out and logging their efforts on immigration-restrictionist web sites. If the authorities just did what they could, and deported those illegal aliens who came to their attention, the chilling effect would cause far larger numbers to drift back to their home countries. (Which is part of what happened in 1954.) Yet we do nothing. This is disgraceful. Traffic cops on the expressway don't catch any but a small proportion of speeders, but they catch enough to make the rest of us wary. Posted at 06:32 PM VIRTUALLY EXTINCT [Jonathan H. Adler] Iain Murray explains the, uh, "limitations" of the new study purporting to show that global warming will drive millions of species into extinction. Posted at 06:20 PM OWN GOAL [Andrew Stuttaford] One of the most striking things about the proposed immigration 'reform' is the way that it's bad politics as well as bad policy. Let's take, for example, the impact on the Republican party rather than the President. There can be little doubt that many in the GOP will be vocal (to put it mildly) in their opposition to what the president is trying to do. This may allow Bush himself to try a little Clinton-style triangulation. Maybe, if he's lucky, he will get away with it. But even if this squalid manoeuvre helps W., its inevitable consequence (a nasty - and very public - fight within the GOP) will give Democrats every opportunity to repeat the slander that many Republicans are 'anti-immigrant,' hostile to Hispanics, enemies of the American Dream and so on, thus ensuring that the party as a whole will lose , not win, "nice" voters. Worse still, the fact that Bush will not have a united party behind him will mean (if he is not to avoid humiliation) that he will have to "reach out" to Democratic legislators, and it's easy to imagine the sort of 'improvements' they will suggest. What a mess. Posted at 06:14 PM HAIR METAL AND JUMP BLUES [John Derbyshire] Several readers have pointed me to full taxonomies of present-day pop music. My quip about needing a Dewey Decimal System was not far off. Here is one of the fuller taxonomies. Posted at 06:12 PM TEN MILLION FACTS ON THE GROUND [Peter Robinson] In the matter of illegal immigrants, as far as I can see there's just no way to approach the issue without first granting that it involves one of those great big existential political facts to which policy--and politicians--must in one way or another conform: There are some 10 or 12 million illegals in the country already, and they're not going back. This being the case, isn't it at least plausible to argue that Bush's proposal represents a pretty good first draft, so to speak, of a policy? Three years of legal status, renewable for another three years, and employers who hire aliens will have to let the government know that they’re doing so. Wouldn’t that be an acceptable way of bringing those millions of illegal aliens within the ambit of the law? Of moving them from the black market into the transparent and legal economy? And wouldn’t it therefore shore up, rather than undermine, the rule of law? I’ll grant you that I’d have been happier—a lot happier—if at the same time that Bush announced this proposal he had also announced that the federal government would finally be getting serious about enforcing the law at the border, ensuring that far, far fewer immigrants enter the country illegally in the first place. But as to the millions who are already here—and whom, I repeat, no one expects the government or anyone else to expel—doesn’t Bush’s proposal, to put it very simply, suggest a way of making things better? I’ve filled this posting with question marks because I am posing questions--on this one, I honestly have yet to make up my mind. Derb? Ramesh? Posted at 06:09 PM THUMBS DOWN ON MARS [Peter Robinson] From my friend George Savage, who (see the postings below) actually knows a lot about our space program: Like all of us right-thinkers, I applaud the President’s tax cuts, his uncompromising prosecution of the War on Terror and the return of character and the rule-of-law to the executive branch. However, I wish Bush were inclined, or at least constrained [by having control of Congress in the hands of the other party], as Clinton was, to proclaim that “the era of big government is over.” Big government is certainly on a roll right now. The Medicare bill is a near-total disaster (medical savings accounts being the only positive). Overall federal spending is out of control….A proposal, Mr. President: George Savage and I will support the mission to Mars just as long as you agree to send Karl. Posted at 06:02 PM IOWA'S IN THE BAG FOR DEAN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Tom Harkin is endorsing him. Posted at 05:52 PM A DISSENT ON IMMIGRATION [Jonathan H. Adler] I have to admit that I’m with Jonah on the Bush immigration proposal. While I may not agree with all of the specifics, I think the general principles underlying the policy shift are good ones. As I heard one former Administration official characterize the Bush approach: The United States should welcome with open arms those who wish to come work, study, or visit peacefully, but should aggressively pursue and prosecute those who might do us harm. I think its important to put the proposal in a larger context that includes recent homeland security measures and the increased prosecution of immigration violations. In the past 24 months, there has been an unprecedented crackdown on various immigration violations, such as visa overstays, as, as well as a general slowdown in the processing of visas and citizenship applications. Thus, in the big picture, the Bush Administration wants to make it easier for immigrants to work here legally, but is also prosecuting those who violate immigration rules more seriously. I expect the new policy signals a similar shift with regard to the treatment of companies that employ illegal immigrants. That is, once this policy change is instituted, there will be less institutional or political resistance to aggressive prosecution of companies that hire illegals. They’ve been given a “safe harbor,” and if they don’t take it they will bear the consequences. Finally, I would note that it has also become more important for the federal government to know the identities of non-citizens who are in the country. While no policy change is guaranteed to “document” all undocumented workers, as a practical matter, this policy does offer some hope of getting more illegal workers “in the system,” so that they can be identified, etc. Posted at 04:51 PM IMMIGRATION AND TAXES [Ramesh Ponnuru] From Steve Sailer's homepage: "Showing how carefully the Bushies have thought through this whole immigration thing, the two 'senior administration officials' who briefed the press on Tuesday announced that when the no longer illegal aliens emerge from the underground economy, 'They'll pay sales taxes when they buy things.' Hmmmhmmhm... What do they do now? Do they show their Illegal Alien Card to the cashier and get a rebate? Obviously, legalized illegals will continue to pay exactly the same amount of sales tax as they do now. "The other administration poobah said, 'As they rent property, they'll pay property taxes.' No, they won't. How do I know? Because nobody pays property taxes when they rent. They pay rent to the landlord who pays the property tax. "Do these guys know what they're talking about?" There's a lot more there on the amnesty worth checking out. Posted at 03:53 PM BRADLEY VS. GORE [Ramesh Ponnuru] Don't forget, Rich, that the papers broke a bad story about Bradley's heart a few days before the election. Maybe Bradley would have won NH without that story--although I think he would still have lost the primaries in general, having run a fairly weak campaign. Posted at 03:33 PM HIGH COURT TO HEAR HAMDI [Jonathan H. Adler] The U.S. Supreme Court accepted cert on the Hamdi case today. Oral arguments will be scheduled for the spring, and an opinion will likely issue sometime in June. The Supremes may yet hear the Padilla case as well, as the Solicitor General's office will petition the Court for review in that case within the next two weeks. Posted at 03:11 PM THE VIEW FROM THE CLARK CAMP [Rich Lowry] This is how one smart Clark advisor sees the race at the moment: You might as well skip Iowa if you’re not guaranteed to do well in Iowa. It was a huge mistake for Bill Bradley in 2000 to compete in Iowa, where he got killed by Al Gore. If he had skipped Iowa and concentrated on the more hospitable terrain in New Hampshire, he probably could have won here and transformed the race. Even with his Iowa downdraft, Bradley only lost New Hampshire by 3 or 4 points. So, Clark is avoiding the Bradley mistake and focusing on New Hampshire, where a flinty sense of patriotism and a high percentage of veterans make it happy hunting grounds for him. As for the other candidates, John Kerry appears to be finished here, since he’s down to about 12 points even though he’s from a neighboring state. Dick Gephardt, even if he wins Iowa, won’t be much of a factor here and instead will concentrate on South Carolina and Michigan, but will probably run out of money in any case. Even if Howard Dean wins here, a strong second by Clark can be spun nicely – e.g., a candidate who was trailing Dennis Kucinich not too long ago comes back to seriously challenge the frontrunner. The race is mostly issueless, about personality, style, and who can win. But Clark’s tax plan is an advantage, since it is the only Democratic plan that is easily understood: families making under $50,000 pay no income taxes. Dean’s proposed tax hikes aren’t just a vulnerability in the primary, but in the general election. This Clark aide worries that a Dean nomination would cost the party across the board, which is why he’s here working for Clark. Posted at 02:33 PM RADIO SILENCE [Jonah Goldberg] My apologies. I was up all night working on my London Times column and got up well before dawn to write today's G-File and now I have to get on the road to NYC to go to a friend's engagement party. I expect lots of folks around here will give me a hard time on today's G-File -- and syndicated column. That's cool. I didn't get a chance to get into it, but there's a lot to be said about the Beaconsfield position put forward by Whittacker Chambers and the state of immigration. In the meantime, keep hope alive and I'll check in over the weekend. Posted at 12:24 PM FOX IN OUR HENHOUSE [Kate O'Beirne] One of our reader's has offered his own suggestions about what should be expected from Mexico before Vincente Fox enjoys Bush's expensivo gift: Why stop the list at extradition? There is an enormous list of issues that we should be negotiating with the Mexican government: - the Mexican government should increase education funding - English should be mandatory in Mexican schools If Mexico is to supply a significant proportion of our labor force these are reasonable demands. - Spanish should be abandoned as the official national language We have no official national language. Why should they? Mexico has more non-Spanish-speaking citizens than we have non-English-speaking residents. - native populations should be granted equal rights - foreigners should be able to own land (fee simple) anywhere in Mexico - environmental laws should be enforced and tightened - border control should be improved on the Mexican side These are basic human rights issues. The list goes on. And we should raise the ante by discussing restriction of remittances. But no. We give up the store at the outset. Posted at 12:24 PM OSCAR! OSCAR! [Andrew Stuttaford] Forget hobbits, samurai and sailors, here's an excellent review from the Daily Telegraph of Lost in Translation, an extraordinary film (which has just opened in the UK) that truly deserves a massive haul of Oscars this year - and not just for the marvelous Bill Murray. See it now, if you haven't already. Posted at 12:15 PM JONAH ON IMMIGRATION [Ramesh Ponnuru] Thanks for the kind mentions of me in the G-file. There's a lot to chew over in your column, and I'll probably have more to say about it in a few hours--after I pretend to work a little bit on an article about something else entirely for the magazine. For now, I'll just say that the Bush plan and earlier versions thereof have always derived what plausibility they have among conservatives from the premise that our options are limited to three: continuing with a status quo of several million illegals in the country, legalizing them, and mass deportations. Since the last one is clearly not going to happen and, for many people, unacceptable, the legalization option starts to look better. That's why Linda Chavez, for example, supported an earlier version of amnesty. Now Chavez is probably smarter than both of us put together, but I am not sure that these are our only options. But as I said, I'll post more about this later. Posted at 11:54 AM EDUCATING BRITNEY [John Derbyshire] My today column includes the following: "The wife of Maryland's governor, addressing a conference on domestic abuse, declared that she would shoot Britney Spears if she had a gun." A reader has a follow-up that I didn't know about: "Mr. Derbyshire---When Britney was informed of Mrs. Ehrlich's statement, she replied that Mrs. Ehrlich was too uptight and, quote, 'needed to get laid.' Ironically enough, Mrs. Ehrlich was pregnant at the time. Britney, like most of her generation, probably does not apprehend the correlation of the two." Which is... what? Posted at 11:08 AM WHAT CLINTON KNEW [Meghan Keane] "When Clinton was here recently he told me he was absolutely convinced, given his years in the White House and the access to privileged information which he had, that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction until the end of the Saddam regime" (Portugese PM) Posted at 10:46 AM THIS "STARK CHOICE" BUSINESS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Andrew Sullivan is among the folks who say that they would like Dean to win the nomination so as to present voters with a stark choice on the war on terrorism. The country is divided on the question, there's nothing more important being debated in American politics, so let's have it out. There's something to be said for this view, although I don't think I share it. But then there's this, also from Sullivan: "Howard Dean has now formally reneged on his December 15 pledge to premise U.S. foreign policy on U.N. permission. Now he's saying: 'We are not going to give the United Nations veto power over our foreign policy.' Better. He's also clearly maneuvring to reverse himself on raising taxes on the middle class. Better still." I don't get it. Don't these moves on Dean's part make the election choice less stark? Shouldn't Sullivan (and Kristol) want him to say he wants to disband the army and raise taxes to 70 percent? Then we'd really have a stark choice. Posted at 09:56 AM UNEMPLOYMENT [Andrew Stuttaford] Sub-par employment numbers (the non-farm payroll data) this morning look disappointing, but are far from the end of the world. Nevertheless, they are a reminder of one of the more important objections to Bush's coyote charter: with its likely impact on wages and employment prospects, it is a punch in the face of blue collar America. Posted at 09:15 AM IS DERB A WHINER? [John Derbyshire] I've had a couple (precisely -- two) e-mails along the following lines: "You legal immigrants -- you, Brimelow, etc. -- are just piqued that the Bush plan lets illegals bypass the tedious and expensive legal process that you had to go through. I.e. you are whining. This is not a good basis from which to criticize the Bush amnesty. It may indeed be unfair to the small subset of the U.S. population who are legal immigrants; but if it's good for America, we should be willing to put up with some unfairness, as we often do." Well, phooey to that. Certainly the Bush plan is very unfair to people who have followed the rules, since it gives people who scoffed at the rules the same benefit with less trouble and expense than we had. I don't think that unfairness is part of the case against the plan, though, and I have never said I DID think that. I have used that unfairness only to explain a thing that puzzles some people: Why so many of the folk who are angriest at GWB's proposed Coyote's Charter are themselves immigrants. It's not part of the case against the CC, it's just an explanation for some of the anger about the CC. The CC is a bad, bad, bad idea for much better reasons than just the pique it induces on us battered, beggared survivors of INS legal-immigration proceedings. Posted at 08:53 AM PAUL O'NEILL HELPS CBS [Tim Graham] In the margins of crime-driven morning shows today, Katie Couric accused guest Richard Haass of being "disingenuous" for suggesting Iraq-al Qaeda ties were never a major part of Colin Powell's argument for war. On CBS, Lesley Stahl promises Paul O'Neill will trash the president on Sunday night to promote his new book, "The Price of Loyalty." It's the same old election-year "60 Minutes" formula. In the last administration, they savaged Ken Starr and others who dared question about Clinton scandals. Now they're back to starting fires instead of putting them out. Posted at 08:05 AM BAD NEWS FOR DEAN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Some tapes he would have rather collected dust. Posted at 08:04 AM BUSH AMNESTY [John Derbyshire] My most disillusioned reader so far: "Derb---You can vote for GWB in November if you like, but I won't. I'll be writing in Vicente Fox for President. He's obviously the smartest man in this hemisphere." Posted at 07:45 AM BUSH AMNESTY - FORM THE BATTLE LINES [John Derbyshire] WHAT CAN WE DO? Readers are asking me -- meaning, what can we do to derail this crazy plan? ("Abomination" -- Michelle Malkin.) Well, here's my two pennyworth: Never underestimate the efficacy of crude propaganda. Hey, it works for the Left. We could make a start in this direction by thinking up unflattering names for the Bush proposal. How about "coyote's charter"? (In Chinese-American neighborhoods this would have to be changed to "snakehead's charter," but that can be arranged.) Posted at 07:44 AM BUSH AMNESTY - A SENSE OF PROPORTION [John Derbyshire] I am hearing from some people -- including some quite sensible people, like Parapundit.com's Randall Parker, though he hasn't blogged on it yet -- that the Bush plan on immigration is the last straw, and they will not be voting for GWB in November. Well, I think that's disproportionate. A lot of what this administration's done has made me angry -- heck, I have only just got over steaming about the Medicare boondoggle, which will beggar my children so Bush can take Florida in '04 (prior to which, I had just got over steaming about the preposterous "No Child Left Behind Act," which seems to mandate that all schoolchildren must be above average). But there's a war on, and I want a government willing to fight it. This is that government. AND we got a tax cut, with the consequent boost to the economy. AND our Secretary of State, for all his faults, no longer spends hours at a time waiting in reception rooms for an audience with people like Arafat, Assad, Kim Jong Il, and Gaddafi. AND we got a partial-birth abortion ban... Bush for me -- but we've got to make him trash this ludicrous plan. Posted at 07:43 AM LEGAL SI, ILLEGAL NO [John Derbyshire] I mused in a post yesterday that there would be no logical contradiction in being hostile to illegal immigration while favoring higher levels of legal immigration. However (I said) human nature being what it is, this was probably a pretty rare combination of opinions. Not at all. I have had several e-mails from people who hold exactly those positions, and can justify them very cogently. Says one of them (an immigrant himself, like so many who are steamed about this, for reasons I have already explained): "I defend my immigration position -- fewer illegals, a lot more legals -- on the grounds that it is in the U.S.' interest to attract as many talented and driven people, as much as these people deserve the chance to come here, adapt and integrate." Now here's a question for John Podhoretz or any of the other anti-"anti-immigrant" folk: Is a person of this cast of mind -- a person, that is, who favors zero tolerance on illegal immigration but much more legal immigration -- "anti-immigrant"? Posted at 07:42 AM A GIBBS-OBSESSED TOWN [Tim Graham] The return of Joe Gibbs to coach the Redskins could have been dubbed "Return of the King" for the enormous amount of live coverage and hoo-hah yesterday. At the office, my Super-Fan co-worker summarized: "He's bigger than the Pope, Graham!...unless you're Catholic." Thanks for that. Posted at 07:42 AM THE WEST WING ON DVD [Mike Potemra] When the TV show The West Wing premiered in 1999, I had just ended a 12-year stint working for Republicans in the U.S. Senate; so the last thing I wanted to watch was a TV show about politics, never mind a show about politics told from an unabashed pro-Democratic perspective. So it took me a few years to get around to The West Wing; but in recent years I have come to enjoy the program. Writer Aaron Sorkin is a very talented storyteller, so his scripts were (in general) able to transcend the political preachments with which he so generously spiced them. Anyone who has a severe allergic reaction to the liberal soapbox should certainly avoid The West Wing; but the show works in a way similar to Sorkin’s earlier TV show, Sportsnight. Someone who—like me—doesn’t know or care much about sports in general can enjoy Sportsnight simply as a well-written drama about competitive people engaged in a common project. Just as Hitchcock asked his audiences to care about the fictional McGuffin in his suspense plots, Sorkin asks us to stipulate to the nobility of the quest for (in Sportsnight) a well-executed cable sportscast or (in West Wing) the enactment of a liberal White House agenda. The West Wing’s first season is now available as a DVD box set; viewers who can succeed in suspending their political disbelief will get some fun out of it. Posted at 06:53 AM THE BATTLE OF ALGIERS [Mike Potemra] The legendary 1965 movie The Battle of Algiers by Italian leftist director Gillo Pontecorvo is being re-released; it opens today in NY and DC. The film has been screened at the Pentagon recently as a case study in how to fight—and defeat—urban terrorism; Zbigniew Brzezinski has also recommended it for this purpose. But this film has more than didactic value; it’s also a very effective piece of narrative cinema. What makes it especially impressive is that while it was designed as a propaganda piece for the newly independent Algerian regime, it actually manages to depict some of the French counterterrorist leaders in a sympathetic light. Posted at 06:50 AM THE GENERAL'S SWEATERS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] And, Tim, what age group is he going for? Sounds like a Mr. Rogers strategy. Posted at 06:45 AM WHAT DECADE IS THIS? [Tim Graham] NYTimes.com homepage reports: "Gen. Wesley K. Clark has replaced his suit with an argyle sweater in an attempt to increase his support among women." Posted at 06:43 AM RE: FLY ME TO THE MOON [Kathryn Jean Lopez] No, we're not headed to the moon next week. Though the grammar police might send me there. Posted at 12:09 AM THE IMPERTINENCE [Peter Robinson ] No sooner do my friend George Savage and I decide that NASA's mission should be made more modest (see below) than news breaks that the president will soon be asking NASA to place a permanent station on the moon and sling human beings all the way to Mars. I mean, really. Doesn't anyone in the White House ever listen? Posted at 12:06 AM Thursday, January 08, 2004 FLY ME TO THE MOON [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The president is calling for a mars mission and a return to the moon next week. Looks like Dennis Powell was right, on NRO in December. Posted at 09:00 PM GULP [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The aforementioned Tom Walsh has accumulated $62, 500. We really need to get Ramesh on Jeopardy!--I know he'll share his earnings with his colleagues. (Or at least the ones he like...hhhhmmm.) Posted at 07:02 PM TO INFINITY AND BEYOND [Peter Robinson ] NASA has been troubling me lately. Why, I keep thinking, should the taxpayers be assessed many billions of dollars a year for a space program intended only to serve the research aims of a tiny number of scientists? Yes, I know. Millions of Americans derive a sense of uplift from the space program. But couldn't we give them the same aesthetic pleasure by sending them to see a patriotic movie-"Apollo 13," for example-once or twice a year? Now I've received an email from a friend, George Savage, who has put my mind at ease. We should keep NASA, George says, but only to do what NASA does well: First off, my qualifications as a lifelong aerospace fanatic: I'm an instrument-rated pilot, fly a Cirrus SR22 regularly, and I was, briefly, an astronaut candidate (I wouldn't have made it but it sounds impressive! In any event, my interview was cancelled after Challenger blew up, so I decided to go to business school.) In short, I love this stuff.Cut the budget, privatize many of the functions, and use what's left of NASA chiefly to prompt enterprise in the private sector. Are you listening, Houston Control? Posted at 06:53 PM RAISE TAXES. . . [Kate O'Beirne] How much money do we figure illegals send home each year? Some estimates have Mexicans sending about $14 billion to benefit the Mexican economy. Being able to do so is one of the main attractions of slipping across the border. If illegals "living in the shadows" have this kind of disposable income, why doesn't some of it go to the local governments that subsidize their security, health care, education, etc Could money wires to Mexico be heavily taxed? Should Vicente rebate a generous portion of this money to the US each year? Making it more difficult/expensive for illegals to subsidize the Mexican economy in no way inhibits their ability to "benefit the US economy" - the purported reason for welcoming their presence. Posted at 06:04 PM BUSH AMNESTY SILVER LINING [John Derbyshire] I'm not convinced by any of this reader's points, but you might be. In any case, this is about as good as silver-lining e-mails have got today: "Derb--For one thing, the millions of illegal immigrants in this country support a large and thriving trade in false documents. We know that some of the 9/11 terrorists took advantage of this industry to equip themselves with counterfeit identification. Decreasing the demand for false papers will dry up some of the demand for that criminal industry and shrink it down to a size that is more manageable for law enforcement. "For another thing, the cries of outrage over this proposal provide President Bush the political cover he needs to begin construction of the northern and southern border fence projects. Purchases of steel for the chain link fence and razor wire top might go part of the way to helping the steel industry finish the year in the black while the construction it self will help reduce unemployment in an election year. The guest worker visas should go a long way to diminishing the amount of political pressure that would be brought against such a measure by industries that use illegal immigrants if such a measure were not in place. "Like the jihad against America, the stock market crash following the burst of the dot com bubble and the Enron type corruption of the Clinton era, illegal immigration is yet another issue that President Bush inherited from his predecessors who ignored it and wished it away. His response may not make you perfectly happy, but at least President Bush is attempting to finally do something about it. "How many Democrat voting, unfireable government employees would have to be hired to round up all the illegal aliens and deport them?" Posted at 06:00 PM THE POLITICS OF AMNESTY [John Derbyshire] t will be fascinating to see how much of a factor this is in the coming campaigns. There is no doubt that Bush has switched off a lot of conservative voters with this amnesty deal. Far as I know, nobody but conservatives reads National Review Online, and my inbox is full of rage. Presumably, as the NY Times has said, the administration calculates that Bush can bear these losses in November, having compensated for them by picking up some much larger number of "Niceness" and Hispanic votes. I wonder if they are right. And a so-far-undiscussed factor is how this will play with black voters, who -- though you would never know it from listening to their self-appointed "community leaders" -- have good reasons to dislike illegal immigration. To the people who keep asking me if I'll vote for Bush anyway: you bet. The alternative doesn't bear thinking about. Though if, against what look to me like very long odds, the alternative is Joe Lieberman, I might hesitate for a minute or two. Posted at 05:48 PM POSITIVELY THE LAST WORD ON ABOUT SCHMIDT [John Derbyshire] The conservative-movie-reviewer seal of approval for the Derbian interpretation of this movie, from James Bowman (American Spectator, New Criterion, sometimes NRO (like today), etc.) Posted at 05:46 PM CNN & NR [Tim Graham] MRC's Ken Shepherd relays that the NR Dean cover made another appearance last night, this time on CNN's "Paula Zahn Now." Unfortunately, that was about the only argument that Dean was a lefty...He's also apparently misunderstood as an angry man. Kelly Wallace: Misperception number two, those who know him well say, Governor Howard Dean was no left wing liberal. Peter Freyne, political columnist for the Burlington alternative weekly 7 Days: We all laugh at that. Howard Dean represented the Republican wing of the Democratic party. Some even thought it was the Republican wing of the Republican party at first. Wallace: In fact, his biggest critics during his 11-year tenure were not Republicans but left-leaning Democrats who sometimes found him too conservative, like Democrat Francis Brooks. Wallace also claimed he "reluctantly" signed the gay civil-unions law. Posted at 05:40 PM RE: I KNOW HE LOVES ME [Rod Dreher] Kate, I just got off the phone with a reader in Plano, Texas, a retiree who is awfully angry at Bush. He identified himself as a lifelong Republican who will refuse on principle to vote for Bush in '04. The man said he's been steamed at Bush for reckless spending, and for what he sees as the president being insufficiently concerned about the loss of tech jobs overseas. The immigration proposal is the last straw, he said. He told me he can't take any more of this, and he's probably going to sit out the next election, or he may hold his nose and vote for Dean in hopes that a GOP Congress can thwart all President Dean's proposals. Better that, the man said, than a GOP Congress going along with Bush proposals that are actively bad for the country. The man's parting shot: "I really think that if the president believes his base is going to hang on with this, he is sadly mistaken." Posted at 05:37 PM LOST IN SPACE [Andrew Stuttaford] Stanley, interesting comment on space. I do think you are correct that for some "secularists" space travel does seem to fulfil an almost religious awe and that may be part of the problem. There's too much awe in this debate. If, as I hope, space travel is to flourish, humanity will need more than the prospect of standing around like fools, slack-jawed and bug-eyed, forever gazing at the 'miracles' of the cosmos. I'd go for more reliable incentives: excitement, escape, entertainment and, of course, a good deal of greed. Bring on the private sector! Posted at 05:26 PM “AMERICAN SON” [Rich Lowry] Just saw Wesley Clark’s campaign video, which they played before a town-hall meeting. Holy cow! Watching it is enough to make you think we should skip the technicalities and just make him president by acclamation. All-American puppy-dog-holding kid. Champion swimmer. Honor student. WestPoint stand-out. (Are you feeling unworthy yet?) Married a beautiful girl. War hero in Vietnam. Friend of children and minorities while in the military. Savior of the Kosovars. Medal of Freedom winner. And, of course, presidential candidate seeking to restore the honor of his nation. The only problem with the video is that it is so perfect it is almost self-parodic. At the beginning, Clark is shown speaking in a military uniform so festooned with medals and ribbons, it’s a wonder he could stand up straight. But it’s no mystery why shrewd people thought the person of Wes Clark would make an excellent foundation for a presidential campaign. Posted at 04:55 PM DON'T BE SURPRISED [Ramesh Ponnuru] if, at the Republican convention this year, there is a motion to repudiate the president's amnesty program. The platform in 1992 repudiated President Bush's tax increase. Also in 1992, the delegates voted for putting a wall (tactfully billed as a "structure") at the Mexican border. Posted at 04:54 PM RE: WHAT WE SHOULD WANT [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: "However, if Dean gets the nomination. And then he's crushed like a bug by Bush and if Bush has coattails, don't you think many Democrats will see that the hardcore lefty-populist stuff is a loser?" Posted at 04:37 PM RE: WHAT WE SHOULD WANT [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: "However, if Dean gets the nomination. And then he's crushed like a bug by Bush and if Bush has coattails, don't you think many Democrats will see that the hardcore lefty-populist stuff is a loser?" Posted at 04:37 PM HOW ABOUT MICE FOR CATS.... [ Jonah Goldberg] A Republicans for Dean blog. Posted at 04:32 PM MARKETPLACE [Jonah Goldberg] I'll be on tonight doing a commentary on immigration. Check your local listings or whatever it is you check for such things on public radio. Posted at 04:22 PM THE GEOMETRY OF IMMIGRATION OPINION [John Derbyshire] Mathematically-inclined readers who are following the immigration thread might like to try constructing an immigration-opinion space. Start with two axes at right angles. Label the x-axis "legal immigration," the y-axis "illegal immigration." The zero point on the x-axis, where the y-axis crosses it, would be the opinion that there should be no legal immigration at all. Points further and further "east" of this would represent the opinion that legal immigration numbers should be higher and higher. (I suppose points to the west would represent the opinion that legal immigrants should be sent home--an opinion not widely held, though it was suggested in respect of Saudis etc after 9/11.) Similarly, the zero point on the y-axis would represent the opinion that from now on, absolutely no further illegal immigration should be permitted. To the north of that are the opinions that we should be laxer and laxer about illegal immigration; to the south, opinions that we should be more and more diligent in deporting illegals. Now any person's opinion on these issues would be a dot on the plane. Michelle Malkin, for instance, would be way down in the southeast quadrant somewhere. Likewise Peter Brimelow, though I think he would be closer to the y-axis, if not actually on it. Stephen Moore, on the other hand, would be way out of sight in the northeast. If you plotted the opinions of a large number of people, you would have a sort of smeared ellipse stretching from the south to the northeast... with, of course, a few more widely-scattered dots for outliers like Ann Coulter. Putting the thing into math like this has a wonderfully soothing and calming effect on the mind. "Euclid alone has gazed on beauty bare..." Posted at 04:16 PM GOING FOR FOUR [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Tom Walsh, who wrote about being a Jeopardy contestant on NRO earlier this week, goes for win #4 tonight. He's been blogging about it all week here. Posted at 03:54 PM VICENTE FOX ON THE BUSH AMNESTY [John Derbyshire] A point about the proposed amnesty for illegal aliens that was made by Bill O'Reilly last night, and which several of my readers have picked up on, is the huge cost-free bonuses it offers to Mexican president Vicente Fox. He gets to (a) export his unemployment problem (not to mention part of his crime problem), and (b) reap $$$$ benefits from the money they mail back home. Two huge advantages to him, for a cost of... nothing at all. He must think all his birthdays have come at once. If only our own leaders were that smart. Posted at 03:53 PM MORE ON WHAT WE SHOULD WANT [Ramesh Ponnuru] I had posted that Dean losing the nomination would marginalize the left and make it easier to enact conservative legislation in 2005. Jonah responds that if Dean loses the nomination now it will be taken as a rejection of the man rather than of his ideas. A good point. But there is some reason for thinking otherwise. The flame-out of the Republican revolution was taken as a rejection both of Gingrich personally and of small-government conservatism; neither explanation crowded out the other. I know the media doesn't play these things symmetrically, but the rejection of Dean might be taken as an embrace of centrism. Also, Dean's "personal" traits--especially the alleged "anger"--are tied up with leftism and obstruction of the Bush agenda. But here's another point. If Dean loses the nomination, we may get to do this whole thing over in 2008. Republicans are unlikely to be as well positioned for victory in 2008 as they are this year. Let's face a leftist that year, instead of a party that has decided that Dean failed in 2004 and it needs to move to the center. Even better: Let's have four years of intra-Democratic feuds and leftist seething brought on by Dean's rejection. Then the general-election defeat of Gephardt or whoever the nominee is will be attributed by Democrats to insufficient leftism, just as 2002 was, setting them up to make future mistakes when they will come in more handy. Posted at 03:52 PM RE: IT'S NOT JUST ILLEGALS [John Derbyshire] Ramesh: You are of course right. In fact, part of the education process on this issue is getting across to people that (A) responding to illegal immigration, and (B) forming a coherent, sustainable, and nation-enriching immigration policy are two very-nearly-independent issues. I suggested in a column recently that they are in a sense OPPOSITE issues, like arson and fire-fighting. There is no logically-necessary connection between your opinions on A and your opinions on B. (Though, human nature being what it is, in practice, knowing a person's opinions on A, it is not hard to make a decent guess about his opinions on B, and vice versa.) There would for example be nothing logically untenable about simultaneously believing that illegal immigrants should all be rounded up and deported without the option, AND believing that numbers of legal immigrants should be hugely increased. I actually know someone who seems to hold these views. (Though, in line with my previous parenthesis, I think that person is a rarity.) You might even, though it would be a real logical stretch, believe the converse thing: that illegal immigrants should be left alone, while legal immigration should be stopped completely. What is unconscionable is to go around referring to people who would like to see the laws enforced "anti-immigrant." Posted at 03:47 PM IS TEENAGE DRUG USE GOING DOWN? [Ramesh Ponnuru] There's reason to think that the drug czar's office, and the Standard, are wrong. Posted at 03:41 PM THE CORNER SISTERHOOD STRIKES BACK [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Mother Hen/Umpire/Whatever I Am/Kathryn, of course, deleted all seven of his repeat posts instead of just six of them....guess that's what you get when you have too many girls around. Posted at 03:34 PM IT'S OUR TREEHOUSE. . . [Kate O'Beirne] Okay, I get it. The girl climbs into the Corner and Jonah responds by duplicating his post 7 times- I guess it's too crowded for me, right? Posted at 03:30 PM THE STANDARD ON DRUGS [Ramesh Ponnuru] I'm catching up with the Weekly Standard, and ran across a "Scrapbook" item in the December 29/Jan 5 issue. According to the item, someone at NRO criticized the drug war on Dec. 19, assuming that the war was being lost. The same day, the drug czar's office announced "an astonishingly good piece of news": Drug usage among 8th, 10th, and 12th graders has dropped 11 percent over the past two years. (The 9th graders were conspicuously absent from the list--maybe they're hoarding all the other students' drugs?) A big factor in changing the kids' drug use was that office's controversial ad campaign. One reason that campaign was controversial was that it linked drug use (and, indeed, advocacy of legalization) to terrorism. The same day as the drug czar's announcement, and NRO's anti-drug-war commentary, "[t]he Navy announced . . . that it had intercepted a boatload of hashish in the Persian Gulf. Three of the men on board were believed to have al Qaeda ties." Both announcements show the good reasons, the Standard concludes, for continuing the drug war. The Standard does not provide enough information for a full evaluation of its argument. Has the decline in drug use been a decline in casual use, or a decline in hard-core addiction? What is the evidence for concluding that the ads were the reason for the decline? But its argument is also a little beside the point. Does anybody really think that the major argument against the drug war is that it never succeeds in bringing drug use down? Actually, we have to qualify that further: Does anybody think that the major argument against the drug war is that it never succeeds in bringing drug use down for some period of time among some segments of the population? That would be an absurd argument. We have had a federal drug prohibition for ninety years, and a metaphorical war for at least two decades. That prohibition is enforced more and less harshly at different times, and drug use goes up and down--partly, no doubt, in response to changes in enforcement. It is not crazy, however, to suggest that the policy has overall been a failure. Also, not many people argued that the problem with the drugs-and-terror ads was that they would not be effective at reducing drug use. The point legalizers made, which I've never seen a good or even half-good refutation of, is that the drug trade would not be providing terrorists with cash if not for the drug war. Posted at 03:30 PM RICH WASN’T KIDDING ABOUT CLARK IN THE DRESSING ROOM [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] This just showed up on the wires.
Posted at 03:08 PM MORE ON BUSH AMNESTY [John Derbyshire] A reader, plainly yet another one of those nativist, white-racist, pointy-hood, pickaxe-handle-brandishing opponents of the Bush amnesty plan: "Derb---Totally agree with you on the legal versus illegal immigration. Bush's proposal for amnesty for illegal immigrants has my blood boiling. As an Indian who immigrated with my parents and sisters years ago, the thought that people who break the laws are going to get a free pass when I and so many of my fellow legal immigrants had to stand in that damn line outside 1 Liberty Plaza from 6 am onwards too many times too count is beyond unfair and totally against even maintaining an appearance of adhering to the rule of law. The worst thing is that it doesn't even pretend to offer a solution if the trend continues. If every 15 or 20 years when the numbers of illegal immigrants reaches 8-10 million, will the administration once again just grant amnesty because the problem becomes too big too handle? There is such a double standard here. This and the Medicare issue are the only major issues makes me long for an alternative to Bush. And I never thought I'd say that." I tell you, if the administration thinks it can spin this to pick up some of the Niceness vote, it's going to take some spinning. Americans are howling--and the ones howling loudest in my mailbox are people like that Indian gentleman. IMMIGRANTS. Posted at 03:03 PM REWARDING LAWBREAKING [John Derbyshire] Ramesh: I think you (or Jonah's corresponent, or possibly both) are on thin ice here. "One other point Jonah's correspondent makes is unquestionably true: It would be silly to object to the legalization of previously illegal acts on the ground that legalization would 'reward law-breaking....'" I do not believe that anyone -- not even George W. Bush -- is proposing total repeal of the laws against entering our country illegally, along the lines of the repeal of Prohibition, so that what was once illegal now becomes perfectly legal. So far as I know, entering our country without permission or approved documentation will continue to be illegal. I don't think anyone has suggested otherwise. (Although, reading some of the anti-"anti-immigration" commentary that is beginning to show up, I would not be very surprised if someone soon DID.) Posted at 03:01 PM RED FLAGS IN THE BUSH IMMIGRATION PROPOSAL [John Derbyshire] Andrew, Jonah, Ramesh: In scrutinizing this kind of legislative proposal, we should keep a keen look-out for statements by politicians and sympathetic pundits that such and such a measure ABSOLUTELY WILL NOT LEAD TO such and such an undesirable consequence. When you hear it said that legislative proposal (A) ABSOLUTELY WILL NOT LEAD TO undesirable consequence (B), you should immediately contact your local bookmaker and place a $1,000 bet that (A) will, in fact, lead to (B), and probably in short order. The judiciary will see to that! Recall, for instance, Hubert Hunphrey's assurance, at the time of the 1964 Civil Rights Act, that it ABSOLUTELY WOULD NOT LEAD TO race quotas and preferences. (I think he actually promised to eat the legislation if it did.) Posted at 03:00 PM IT'S NOT JUST ILLEGALS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Derbyshire protests that people who object to illegal immigration should not be characterized for that reason as "anti-immigrant." I entirely agree. But it is not quite correct to say that John O'Sullivan, for example, objects only to illegal immigration. He objects to continuous mass immigration even if that immigration is legal. Both adjectives are important. He supports short but large flows of immigration, or constant but small ones. I agree with this position myself, and obviously do not regard it, any more than opposition to illegal immigration, as "anti-immigrant." Posted at 03:00 PM CONVICTION POLS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Conviction politicians are worth supporting when their convictions are mostly correct, or their most important ones are. I know Kate had that qualification in mind, but it needs to be said explicitly since one sometimes hears it said that people should support a conviction politician even if they disagree with him on most things--which seems clearly foolish. Posted at 02:53 PM RE-ELECT BUSH. . . [Kate O'Beirne] My post about the lot of battered spouses seems to have inadvertantly encouraged some angry conservatives to indulge in the notion that there might be some candidate in November more deserving of their support. George Bush deserves our support and its crucial that he be re-elected. While WH sources appear to be dismissing the import of conservatives' displeasure, I don't think that the President himself is. I think that his proposal is the result of his own deep conviction with little concern about the political ramifications. For him it's not an attempt to woo Hispanic voters and he's willing to alienate many of his conservative supporters on this one because he is utterly persuaded on the merits. I wholly disagree with the case he makes, but recognize that the courage and conviction he has shown on the war on terror, tax cuts, conservative judges, abortion, etc. is again on display--this time, like with education policy, its leads him where conservatives can't follow. Such a conviction politician merits support. Posted at 02:46 PM DERBYSHIRE'S NICENESS THEORY [Ramesh Ponnuru] If the theory is correct, it is an example of what New Republic writer Michelle Cottle has called the "ricochet pander," as when Republicans put a lot of black people on stage at their conventions in the expectation not that many black voters will join the GOP as a result but that some white voters will vote GOP because they see an effort being made. I don't have much against this kind of maneuver, although it can be carried too far. But to work--and I almost hesitate to bring up a point so obvious--the act of pandering has to be popular with the group expected to like the GOP for it. White swing voters, presumably, like seeing blacks at the Republican convention. Where's the polling that shows these voters like amnesty for illegals? Then again, neither Derbyshire nor Sailer said this was a smart political strategy. Posted at 02:40 PM SHE MAKES MY BRAIN ITCH [Jonah Goldberg ] According to Drudge, Maureen Dowd has returned. To be honest I hadn't noticed she'd left. But man, I'd like to know where she went if this is the sort of thing she writes when she gets back. Posted at 02:38 PM REWARDING LAW-BREAKING [Ramesh Ponnuru] One other point Jonah's correspondent makes is unquestionably true: It would be silly to object to the legalization of previously illegal acts on the ground that legalization would "reward law-breaking." If someone proposes to end a prohibition and, at the same time, to stop trying to punish those who flouted it when it was on the books, the objection to rewarding law-breaking would be legitimate--but not always dispositive. If, on the other hand, having broken the law will now entitle you to some kind of preferential treatment--if, for example, as critics of Bush's illegal-amnesty plan say, people who came here illegally will be in a better position in some respects than people who waited abroad to get here legally--then the objection seems fairly strong. Posted at 02:30 PM A DOUBLE STANDARD? [Andrew Stuttaford] Jonah, I understand what your correspondent is trying to say with his pot analogy. It's a clever debating point, but I don't think that it works, not least because it sidesteps the underlying issue, which is whether the proposed change in the law is (or is not) a good idea. I can't speak for Ramesh, but I oppose marijuana prohibition on both practical (it's counterproductive, destructive and hugely expensive) and ideological (it's none of the government's business) grounds. By contrast, I don't believe that America's current fairly generous immigration laws (from which, it has to be said when discussing this topic, I have benefited myself) ought to be particularly difficult to police, given the necessary political will. Unlike pot prohibition it is not (in my view) a 'bad' law. That's not to say that everything is now perfect (in some areas current US immigration rules are too harsh, in others far too permissive), but the changes proposed by Bush (taken as a whole) will manage to make a complex situation a great deal worse. Thanks for nothing, Mr. President. Posted at 02:26 PM BUY ME A DINNER AT ST. ELMO'S! [Jonah Goldberg] The Indianapolis Star just picked up my syndicated column. If you live there, give 'em an attaboy if you can. Seriously, I'm a big fan of Indianapolis. In a previous life, I spent quite a bit of time there. But that's a story for another day. Posted at 02:25 PM DRUGS AND IMMIGRATION [Ramesh Ponnuru] One of Jonah's correspondents suggests that if I'm for legalizing pot because the law against it is unenforceable, I should also be for legalizing illegal immigrants because the immigration laws are unenforceable, too. Yet there I was on the Corner yesterday, criticizing the argument that legalization was a solution to illegal immigration. It seems to me there are two different kinds of arguments here. I was criticizing an argument for amnesty for illegal immigrants that, if applied to drugs, would take this form: "Legalizing drugs would send the crime rate way down, because buying, selling, and using drugs would no longer be illegal." It seems to me that this argument would be fairly stupid, and is not an important argument of drug legalizers. Here are two other possible arguments: 1) "Legalizing drugs, or amnesty for illegal immigrants, would free up law-enforcement resources and prison space to fight more serious offenses." 2) "Laws regulating drugs or immigration are difficult to enforce, and a serious effort to enforce them would entail unacceptable costs, so we should get rid of them." These arguments are, I think, much more reasonable and require a refutation. Also, obviously, our judgments as to the validity of either type of argument might vary depending on whether we are talking about drugs or immigration. I am very sympathetic to argument two with respect to marijuana. Posted at 02:22 PM BUSH'S IMMIGRATION PLAY---GOING FOR THE NICENESS VOTE [John Derbyshire] As an illustration of my remark in this space yesterday that Americans who have never encountered the immigration bureaucracy are irredeemably clueless about the subject, I offer John Podhoretz's piece in today's New York Post . Try this sentence, for example: "One of the most peculiar elements of the anti-immigrant intellectual movement is just how many of its members are themselves immigrants - John O'Sullivan, John Derbyshire and Peter Brimelow from England, and George Borjas from Cuba." OK, let's take it slowly. I am indeed an immigrant; my wife is also an immigrant; half our friends are immigrants; so... HOW IN THE NAME OF GREAT JEHOSAPHAT AM I "ANTI-IMMIGRANT"? What, in fact, would it mean to be "anti-immigrant"? Would such a person have to disapprove of, say, Albert Einstein? This is low-grade stuff, John. What I, and John O'Sullivan, and Peter Brimelow, and a mega-landslide majority of the American people are anti-, is **I**L**L**E**G**A**L** **I**M**M**I**G**R**A**T**I**O**N**. And the thing that baffles you so much, John, the "peculiar" conundrum that is keeping you awake at night, the unfathmoable mystery whose depths you cannot for the life of you plumb -- the fact that we, immigrants, are so loud and hostile to Bush's lame-brained amnesty proposal, actually has a very simple explanation: We are all **L**E**G**A**L** immigrants. I do understand that there are two sides to this issue, and look forward to a debate on the Bush proposal among conservatives of all opinions. It's not going to be much of a debate, though, if we don't start off understanding the difference between the words "legal" and "illegal." Posted at 02:08 PM THE RELIGION OF JOURNALISM [Rod Dreher] NYU's Jay Rosen has a thought-provoking essay about "journalism as religion," -- a must-read for journalists and those who care about journalism -- as a way of introducing a new weblog, "The Revealer," a daily blog about religion in the media. Posted at 01:43 PM THE GENERAL ON HUMAN LIFE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Wesley Clark: “Life,” he said, “begins with the mother’s decision.” Clark says, according to the Manchester Union LEader, that (in the reporter's words) "until the moment of birth, the government has no right to influence a mother’s decision on whether to have an abortion." He also makes clear that pro-lifers should be ineligible to serve on a federal bench. Posted at 01:21 PM OH THE PAGENTRY OF DEMOCRACY [Rich Lowry] I was just in a New Hampshire L.L. Bean with Wes Clark, who was shopping for a sweater to wear at this afternoon’s town-hall meeting. The beauty of the New Hampshire primary is that it creates ridiculous, but fun scenarios like this: eight reporters standing outside a dressing room straining to hear what Clark is saying with is brother-in-law as he tries on two or three sweaters. Clark seems already to have grown as a politician, with smiles, long, lingering handshakes, and fairly sincere small talk with everyone he meets, coupled with gentle ribbing of the reporters with him. Oh yeah, he’ll he bearing forest green today… Posted at 01:12 PM I KNOW HE LOVES ME. . . [Kate O'Beirne] I wonder if conservatives' reaction to the president's immigration proposal tracks with battered spouse syndrome. This morning's stories reflect the White House's apparent conviction that conservative supporters will stick with Bush because they have little choice. Our guy is keeping us safe in a dangerous neighborhood, professes to be solicitious of our views, and promises proposals more to our liking in the future so we'll put up periodic abuse. Sound familiar? Posted at 01:02 PM WORSTER ALBUM COVERS [Jonah Goldberg] Very special stuff. Posted at 12:34 PM LATEST NEW HAMPSHIRE TRACKING POLL… [Rich Lowry] … has the Clark surge continuing: Dean at 35, Clark at 18, and Kerry at 12. Posted at 12:32 PM THE REVOLUTION CONTINUES [Jim Robbins] Just wanted to give everyone a heads-up that the Drudge Report is about to pass the 2 billion hits per year mark. This comes about 14 months after reaching the billion per annum mark. I've been watching Drudge stats for a long time, and remember when a few hundred thousand a day was a good showing. Now Drudge logs over 7 million a day. Drudge has been declared dead by his critics many times -- a liberal think tank denizen very dismissively told me recently that Drudge is a "non-factor" -- but it's hard to argue with these kind of numbers. And as network new casts see their ratings sink year by year, they must be wondering what they have wrong that the inimitable Drudge has right. Posted at 12:30 PM WHAT HE SAID [Jonah Goldberg] One more from a reader: Dear Mr. Goldberg: Posted at 12:22 PM COSMO V FENWAY [ Jonah Goldberg] This dog has endorsed Joe Lieberman. Cosmo, meanwhile, is withholding endorsing any candidate. But Lieberman's a longshot given the fact that he doesn't eat pork. As best I can tell, Coz supports Bush -- mostly because he would love that ranch. But he's made no commitment as of yet. Indeed, the last political statement I heard from him was along the lines of "we need to bring back the Czar." Posted at 12:15 PM "AN ABOMINATION" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] That's what Michelle Malkin just called the president's immigration plan on one of the talking head shows. Says anyone who thinks it is not amnesty is "self-delusional." Posted at 11:51 AM ON THE OTHER HAND... [Jonah Goldberg] From another reader: Jonah, Posted at 11:47 AM BUSH'S IMMIGRATION PLAY---GOING FOR THE NICENESS VOTE [John Derbyshire] The New York Times coverage this morning says that Bush is not so much pitching for the Hispanic vote (which is actually pretty inconsequential) as to the Niceness vote. That is, Wednesday's proposal is aimed at uncommitted not-very-attentive white middle-class floating voters who are turned off by anything their local newspaper or network TV news program can spin as "shrill," "divisive," "mean-spirited," etc. etc. I think this is probably right (though in fairness, it should be pointed out that UPI's Steve Sailer said it first). Posted at 11:39 AM EDWARD SAID'S SISTER [Stanley Kurtz] It seems that HR 3077, the bill that would reform our system of federal subsidies to Middle East studies (and other area studies) programs was a featured attraction at the recent United Nations sponsored “International Day of Solidarity” with the Palestinian people. The U.N. sponsored conference held on that day was dedicated to examining the contribution of Edward Said to the Palestinian cause. Said’s sister, Jean Said Makdisi, addressed the conference, and her theme was the threat of HR 3077 to the Palestinian cause. I suppose I ought to be pleased that followers of Edward Said are unhappy about HR 3077–and about my role in promoting it. But frankly, they have a wildly exaggerated notion of what the bill will do. It certainly won’t stop pro-Palestinian professors from making their points on campus. I do think this bill will help bring a wider variety of viewpoints to our colleges and universities, however. That, I suppose, is what they’re afraid of. Posted at 11:23 AM RELIGION AND SPACE [Stanley Kurtz] Two Op-Ed pairings in the last two days are of interest. Today, The Washington Post carries an Op-Ed by Robert Novak that focuses on Dean’s seemingly insincere religiosity and the discomfort of the secular liberal Democratic base with religion. As if to bear that out, The New York Times devotes a lot of space to a piece by Susan Jacoby touting America’s “secular heritage,” and attacking conservative claims that the framers took religion for granted as a foundation of much civic life. Jacoby’s piece makes some good points, but ultimately creates a distorted picture by leaving out the very real role that religion did play for the framers, and for earlier generations of Americans. Jacoby’s piece isn’t about figuring the complex role religion has always played in American public life. It’s about trying to write religion out of the picture. Yesterday, I was struck by William Safire’s paean to the inspiration of space travel and Anne Applebaum’s almost vicious attack on space exploration and its benighted acolytes. Applebaum is careful not to totally dismiss the importance of unmanned space exploration, but she seems to think the whole space project is a gigantic waste of time and money. The space debate is interesting, and we may be about to have one, if reports of the administration’s plans are correct. Space travel excites and inspires the public in general, and secular libertarians in particular. For some secularists, the conquest of space seems to take the place of religious awe. But for secularists who’s inspiration comes from the quest for “social justice,” traditional religion and the conquest of space alike are either anathema or beside the point. In any case, Applebaum’s attack on manned space exploration is worth reading. I’d like to see a serious rebuttal. In the end, though, these questions have more to do with what inspires you. That’s not a matter easily settled by argument. Posted at 11:18 AM FREUDIAN SLIP [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Reader points out, re: the Dave Kopel piece: "the teenager in question fought for, and won, the right to wear an NRA t-shirt, not an NRO one. Although I imagine that would be just as controversial in most public schools." You can, of course, have your teenager test that out by getting an NRO one here. I'm sure the Derb quotes will go over well. Posted at 11:14 AM MATH CORNER [John Derbyshire] My mathematical readers are asking me to comment on the news that Poincare's Conjecture may have been cracked at last by a Russian mathematician. (Story here .) Um.... I would, and I should, and I shall, but work is horribly backed up right now. Give me a day or two (by which time, with any luck, the horse will have died......) Posted at 11:06 AM NOW THE RIGHT HAS CONTROVERSIAL ARTISTS, TOO! [John Derbyshire] Posted at 11:05 AM BUSH'S IMMIGRATION PLAY---GOING FOR THE NICENESS VOTE [John Derbyshire] The New York Times coverage this morning says that Bush is not so much pitching for the Hispanic vote (which is actually pretty inconsequential) as to the Niceness vote. That is, Wednesday's proposal is aimed at uncommitted not-very-attentive white middle-class floating voters who are turned off by anything their local newspaper or network TV news program can spin as "shrill," "divisive," "mean-spirited," etc. etc. I think this is probably right (though in fairness, it should be pointed out that UPI's Steve Sailer said it first). Posted at 11:02 AM FRIDAY FRIDAY, SO GOOD TO ME [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I lied. I need to remind you of something too: If you sign up for NR Digital, you get to be among the first to read our cover piece on amnesty, Kate on out-of-control NGOs, Steve Moore on Ah-nold, David Pryce-Jones on real intel, Byron on the ground in Iowa on Gephardt vs. Dean, Andrew, Allan Carlson, Jeff Hart, Rob Long, Rick, and the Steynmeister, among others. And a final note (REALLY), if you already subscribe to NRODT on actual dead tree, you are already eligible for access to NR Digital. Commercial over…for now. Posted at 11:00 AM AROUND TOWN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Just in case your eyes are glued to the main column on this page, a friendly reminder of some of the rest of the NRO world you can explore. Today, elsewhere on our site: Tom Hibbs on the anti-Lincoln lesson his Ford Theater tour guide taught his family, Kate O’Beirne on what Vincente Fox will give his friend Jorge W. Arbusto in return for the amnesty package (Nada), Jay Nordlinger on Wes Clark’s fringe quality, Peter Kirsanow on Dems reaching for the felon vote, The official NRODT editorial word on what the marriage amendment should ultimately look like, Cathy Seipp on those darned j-school profs in da morning newspaper, Larry Kudlow on those WRONG inflation hawks, Dave Kopel on a high-schooler who fought the school for the right to wear and NRO t-shirt and won, Jed Babbin on the goodness of air marshals, AND THERE'S MORE IF YOU WOULD ONLY TRAVEL ON OVER TO NRO CENTRAL, but I’ll shut up now. You have the idea. Posted at 10:54 AM FOR ANOTHER VIEW... [Jonah Goldberg] This reader takes a bolder stance: As a conservative, I too hope Dean wins the nomination. But I also hope he beats Bush. With the immigration fiasco, Bush has shown he has no principle. Allowing lawbreakers to stay in this country is stupid and sick and evil. The de-Americanization of America should not be Republican policy. I want Bush to lose, and I want a real conservative to come forward in 2008. Posted at 10:40 AM THIS JUST IN [ Jonah Goldberg ] Apparently the Nihon Break Kogyo demolition company's corporate song made onto Japan's pop charts at 22. Posted at 10:32 AM RE: WHAT WE SHOULD WANT [Jonah Goldberg] Ramesh - I'm not so sure. Yes, in an ideal world a race-to-the-top between the GOP and Democrats on who could be the better -- i.e. more conservative party -- would be great. But, since you are spoling the fun of my column by getting into the nitty-gritty of reality, let me offer an objection. At this point, if Dean loses the nomination, do you really think it will be because of his views or because he's such a weird guy? In other words, if he loses now, I don't think it will be because his ideas have been rejected by the Democrats so much as the man will have been rejected. The argument that Dean's populism, like Gore's, is the smart play for the Democrats will live on. Indeed, Gore won more votes than any Democrat in a very long time, right? Won't many more seasoned Democrats conclude that the message is the right one but a better man than the vein-bulging Dean or the android Gore is what's required? However, if Dean gets the nomination. And then he's crushed like a bug by Bush and if Bush has coattails, don't you think many Democrats will see that the hardcore lefty-populist stuff is a loser? Posted at 10:24 AM WHAT WE SHOULD WANT [Ramesh Ponnuru] I posted a bit yesterday about Jonah Goldberg's column endorsing Howard Dean for the Democratic nomination. Jonah is, of course, hardly alone in wishing for a Dean victory. The wishes of conservatives in this matter are mostly irrelevant, but it still strikes me that this is not what to wish for. What we should want for the Democrats is what we should want for the Republicans and, indeed, for ourselves: to be brought further into the fullness of truth. But here is a practical consideration to keep in mind. I think it is quite reasonable to assume that there will be at least 45 Democratic senators next year, and that Republicans will need a few of them to enact measures to cut taxes, reform the legal system, fight terrorism, and move Social Security in a free-market direction. Under which scenario are we more likely to see cooperation from the necessary number of Democrats? One in which Dean comes close to beating Bush? One in which Dean is crushed by Bush? Or one in which Dean cannot even win the Democratic nomination? I would argue that cooperation is more likely in the second than in the first scenario, but even more likely in the third. In this last scenario, Dean, and rejectionism toward the Bush agenda, fails to prevail even in the Democratic party. Democratic senators who want to be president do not reach the conclusion that the only way to get the nomination is to pander to the left. They may even reach the conclusion that such pandering is dangerous. Now, if Dean as nominee causes the Democrats to lose, say, 5 Senate seats more than they otherwise would, his nomination would produce a gain in conservatives' ability to enact legislation. But I very much doubt that his nomination will prove that catastrophic. In which case it is likely to retard, not advance, the achievement of a conservative legislative agenda. Posted at 10:13 AM IMMIGRATION BLEG [Jonah Goldberg ] I used to do a lot of work on immigration when I was at the American Enterprise Institute. But my files are long since scattered to the winds. I'm looking for the data which backs up the argument that during previous immigration waves, most notably at the turn of the century, many immigrants went home because they couldn't hack it here. Since we didn't have a social welfare state, only the immigrants who had the boot-strap gumption to tough it out stayed here. I've heard this argument many times and have made it, but for the life of me I can't find the numbers. Anyone out there want to help me out? Posted at 10:05 AM "DISAPPOINTMENT" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] David Frum, besides answering readers' questions about his new book, weighs in on the Bush immigration plan today. Posted at 09:40 AM RE: BRRR [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] Sounds like it’s probably safe to say Rich seconds Kate on Iowa and New Hampshire. Posted at 09:10 AM BUSH IS A "WHISTLE A**" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 09:09 AM NEW HAMPSHIRE—BRRR [Rich Lowry ] I just arrived in New Hampshire to follow Wes Clark today, and its F-O-U-R degrees! Posted at 09:07 AM BLACK HAWK DOWN [KJL] 8 dead in Iraq. Posted at 09:02 AM HEART OF AMERICA [John Derbyshire] There are no words I could add to this that would not be superfluous. (Thanks to Mike DeBow of Samford University for this link.) Posted at 08:37 AM THE WOODROW ROW [John J. Miller] I have an assignment for a patriotic liberal: Defend Woodrow Wilson from a pea-brained attack in Connecticut. It seems that authorities in a jurisdiction there are thinking about renaming Woodrow Wilson Middle School on the grounds that its namesake was a racist. And so the purging of American history continues: George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Abraham Lincoln--all must go because they didn't hold 21st-century views on race. I'm not a big Wilson fan, though my criticisms of him have much more to do with his wishful progressivism than anything else. On race, he was very much a man of his time. Can't we merely accept that and avoid whitewashing our past? Christopher Dodd and Joe Lieberman: Please speak up on behalf of your fellow Democrat. Posted at 08:36 AM HOWARD DEAN, PATRIOTISM POLICEMAN? [Tim Graham] Howard Dean gets Eric Alterman's quote of the day for suggesting "One professor who made a big impression was Wolfgang Leonhard, who taught Russian history. He’d been a Party official in East Germany and had defected. A fantastic lecturer. He once told us, ‘Pravda lies in such a way that not even the opposite is so.’ That really hit home. I felt he wasn’t just referring to the Soviet government but to our own at the time...[Vietnam blah-blah]...I think there are some similarities between George Bush’s Administration and Richard Nixon’s Administration: a tremendous cynicism about the future of the country; a lack of ability to instill hope in the American people; a war which doesn’t have clear principles behind it; and a group of people around the President whose main allegiance is to each other and their ideology rather than to the United States." Wrong, wrong, wrong. And they say only the right suggests their opponents don't pledge allegiance to the United States. Posted at 08:31 AM THE WORLD'S MOST INOFFENSIVE LANGUAGE [John Derbyshire] Wouldn't you know it? Swedish. My Swedish Political Editor guy: "Regarding rude words I have to inform you that my native tongue (Swedish) is probably the world's most unoffensive. When we swear we just stick to Swedish versions of 'hell', 'damn', 'the devil' and the likes. Of course we do have the equivalent of 'pop', 'plum' and 'peg' but we never use those as curses even if we're really, really mad. And we absolutely do not have words like 'motherpopper' or anything were religion is combined with oscenity. Our linguistic tameness is probably a blessing. As to why the academics don't know. Perhaps it is because religion never was that much of a big deal in our anti-Catholic lutheran state church. And our family ties are not of the magnitude of countries in Southern Europe." Yet further confimation that God made Sweden in order to irritate the rest of us. Posted at 08:30 AM COLD MOUNTAIN [Mike Potemra] A couple of people recommended I see Cold Mountain; I was reluctant, fearing the movie would combine a romanticization of the Civil War with indulgence in politically correct Hollywood clichés. I was wrong to hesitate. It’s actually a compelling human drama that accomplishes the very difficult task of simultaneously 1) depicting the brutal degradation that war causes to both soldiers and civilians and 2) avoiding the morally obtuse conclusion that war should be prevented at literally any cost. In this film, the Civil War is shown to be a great evil; but it is not suggested that it was an unnecessary evil, nor that both sides were equally at fault for it. After seeing the movie I read Mac Owens’s solid NRO piece on it--which I also strongly recommend. Posted at 08:27 AM SCRIPTURE, SCHMIPTURE [Tim Graham] Howard Dean decides that his decision to back gay "civil unions" was actually a faith-based move. "The overwhelming evidence is that there is very significant, substantial genetic component to it...From a religious point of view, if God had thought homosexuality is a sin, he would not have created gay people." Sure, Howard, I remember the story of Sodom and Gomorrah. God thought about destroying them for their sins, and then remembered he'd given everyone the genetic predisposition for all that, so it couldn't be sin, and they were spared? Dean is telling voters that the Word of God is irrelevant to his religious views. Posted at 08:26 AM HAIL TO JOE GIBBS!!! [Mike Potemra] Jed, we Washington Redskins fans have had precious little to cheer about in recent years. I was utterly delighted at the Gibbs news. For a whole generation of Washingtonians, Gibbs was the embodiment of talent and reliability--a true master of the game, a guy who could bring more out of a given group of players than any other coach. (Look, for example, at the results he got with strike-period replacement players.) Welcome back, Joe! We missed you. (PS to all conservatives, even those who don’t like the Redskins: You have to love Joe, because he’s been a leader of champions in NASCAR, and is a red-state kind of guy in other ways too.) Posted at 08:26 AM IMMIGRATION? [Jed Babbin] Sorry, but the most important immigration issue of the day has nothing to do with Dubya's awful idea. Joe Gibbs is emigrating back to the Redskins. Happy Days are here again, the skies above are clear again... Posted at 08:18 AM Wednesday, January 07, 2004 DENNIS FOR DEAN [Rick Brookhiser] An interesting story in today's New York Observer on a key Dean backer: Dennis Rivera, head of local 1199 of SEIU (Service Employees International Union), popularly thought of in NYC as "the hospital workers." Rivera is spending $500,000 of hard money on Iowa TV ads backing Dean--a significant chunk in that market. He calls Dean "one of us." Rivera, a charming man, is one of the most left-wing labor leaders in NYC. There is also a nice quote in the story from a Club for Growth anti-Dean ad: "tax-hiking, government-expanding, latte-drinking, sushi-eating, Volvo-driving, New York Times-reading...Hollywood-loving, leftwing freak show." Good work, Steve. Posted at 11:00 PM HOP OVER [Ramesh Ponnuru] to TNR.com for a few minutes. The editors make the case for Lieberman, and a number of staff writers make the case for other candidates (Gephardt, Edwards, Dean, and Clark--nobody argues for Kerry). Posted at 10:01 PM 35 SOLDIERS WOUNDED IN MORTAR ATTACK [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 05:37 PM JOHN KERRY IS RIGHT [Andrew Stuttaford] There's so much wrong with Bush's immigration 'reform,' that it's difficult to know where to begin. Why not from the left? John Kerry says that it "rewards business over immigrants by providing them with a permanent pool of disenfranchised temporary workers who could easily be exploited." True enough, I suspect, and that "exploitation" will likely be extended to other (legal) workers, particularly those at the lower end of the economic scale, who will almost certainly see a further substantial erosion of their bargaining power. What a mess. Posted at 05:34 PM NO MAS! [Clifford D. May] Kathryn warned me I was inviting a firestorm. And while I don’t necessarily believe the NYT always gets it right (that’s not just because of Jayson Blair, it’s also because I used to work there) I have to acknowledge that there is probably less likelihood of this program working out the rosy way I might hope as opposed to it working out the dreadful way Derb and Rich and G. Gordon Liddy and virtually every other conservative in the Free World expect. Anyhow, I’m not going to say another word about it until I read Mark’s piece. And even after that, I may take the opportunity to shut up, as the French say. Posted at 05:00 PM DUVALL VS. SPIELBERG [Kathryn Jean Lopez] On Castro. Posted at 04:39 PM MORNING-SHOW PRIMARY [Tim Graham] Now here's a study for political junkies of all stripes: MRC has surveyed the ABC/CBS/NBC morning shows for presidential candidate interviews, and found that Democrats during the second half of 2003 received twice as many interviews as Republican contenders did in the second half of 1999. Not only that, but 2003 Democrats were urged 58 times to detail their grievances against Bush, while Republicans were asked for Clinton-Gore critiques on only four occasions in 1999. Tenor of the questions: CBS’s Rene Syler served up this softball to John Kerry on December 4: “You called President Bush’s foreign policy arrogant, inept and reckless. Give us some specifics.” But everyone can chew on how the interviews are divided: Dean and Clark were tied for the lead with 13, followed by Kerry with 7, Edwards with 5, Lieberman with 2, and only one for Gephardt -- the same quantity as Al Sharpton and Carol Moseley Braun. Does Gephardt like to sleep in? Posted at 04:30 PM BUSH HATING & MOVEON [Kathryn Jean Lopez] FYI, Drudge is playing up a video Byron reported on this morning in his NRO piece on MoveOn.Org: MoveOn has no reason to be backing away from the Bush-as-Hitler contestant because it's no aberration. One of the finalists in their commercial contest has a Bush-as-Hitler video themselves. Byron wrote about that group and their fellow travellers back in September for NRODT. And here's his piece from this morning. Posted at 04:29 PM THE BUSH AMNESTY [John Derbyshire] Cliff: The New York Times -- THE NEW YORK TIMES! -- says that "Mr. Bush's proposal ... effectively amounts to an amnesty program for illegal immigrants with jobs in the United States." It is plain from the outline in their coverage this morning that this is the case. There is nothing in the past behavior of this administration to indicate that they are at all serious about enforcing current law; why should we think that they will act more seriously in respect of these proposed new laws? And, even supposing that the will is there, why should we think that the new laws COULD be enforced any more rigorously than the current ones, since they seem to involve mountains of new paperwork, and the immigration authorities--as anyone involved in the process will gladly tell you--cannot cope with the paperwork they currently have? Nor does anyone in the administration seem to have given a moment's thought to the second-level issues: what to do about visa over-stayers; what the population projections from "chain migration" will mean for future demands on welfare, housing, education, policing and the environment; why such favoritism is shown to Mexico, when equally desirable, equally willing, and equally well-prepared immigrants from other nations would be glad to take advantage of this "temporary worker" program. Yes, I want to see more details; but nothing I have seen yet indicates to me that any person, any person at all, in this administration has given so much as a nanosecond's thought to any aspect of the immigration issue above the level of the crudely, and very short-termly, political. "It’s not perfect, but why make the perfect the enemy of the good – especially when we know that the perfect is not politically achievable?" Any lousy policy could be justified on those grounds. True: the perfect is the enemy of the good. It is likewise true, however, that the good is the enemy of the bad, and this plan, as so far presented, is bad. As for "not politically achievable"--sez who? We have no idea what is politically achievable until some politician tries to achieve it. In a democracy, that happens when enough people make enough noise banging on the politicians' doors. "And this approach, if it succeeds, would promote what you correctly say should be the goal of limiting the total number of legal immigrants and reducing the number of illegal immigrants." Eh? According to the Times, an essential component of this plan is INCREASING the number of green cards! (Fourth paragraph of the Times story.) But in any case, as 1986 showed, any amnesty can only encourage further illegal immigration. And this is, as the New York Times says, an amnesty, in all but name. Posted at 04:21 PM AMNESTY [Rich Lowry] I'm with Derb: conservatives should go to the mattresses on this one. Here is our latest cover. Mark Krikorian wrote the article and it's pretty devastating. ![]() Posted at 04:15 PM OR... [Jonah Goldberg] All of that might make Fleming just a plain old liar. Posted at 04:03 PM AS IF TO ILLUSTRATE [Ramesh Ponnuru] the point that Derb and Jonah made, here's a comment from Thomas Fleming over at the paleo magazine Chronicles (it's like The American Conservative, but duller): "The current litmus test for leftists is support for homosexual marriage, and the conservatives at National Review and the Weekly Standard have passed with flying colors. . . . [David] Brooks's arguments are echoing across the empty canyons of the neoconservative brains at National Review, where David Frum has embraced homosexual unions with predictable alacrity. . . . Principled Christian conservatives. . . are bewildered by this tergiversation at National Review, a publication founded by a putative Catholic." Thanks for the mentions, which I'm sure will boost our circulation mightily, but there are a few things wrong here. Frum is an opponent both of homosexual marriage and of civil unions, NR has editorialized and run articles against both on numerous occasions, the Standard has run several cover stories against gay marriage as well. When the Federal Marriage Amendment was first proposed, it was in the pages of National Review. Fleming himself opposes that amendment. Does all this make Fleming a defeatist, un-Christian, or unconservative? I figure it makes him a crank, and not even an interesting one. Posted at 04:01 PM BUSH RISES [Jim Robbins] The hype around the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll is Clark closing in on Dean. But what I saw was that George Bush's generic re-elect number is back at October 2001 levels, tied for his highest ever. Isn't that worth a headline or two? Posted at 03:54 PM DON’T BE SORRY, RAMESH [Clifford D. May] I don’t claim to be on intimate terms with this plan either. And I, too, look forward to Mark’s takeout which I’m sure will be very persuasive. But if my sources are accurate Mark’s case is against “amnesty” for illegal aliens. I agree with that -- and the Bush folks claim they agree, too. Now maybe they’re just lying liars telling lies but let’s at least consider the possibility that they mean what they say. The administration is arguing that unlike the blanket amnesty enacted in 1986, their plan would not reward illegal aliens with an automatic path to citizenship. President Bush is asking instead for legislation that will offer only temporary worker status for those illegal aliens gainfully employed – not for those illegally aliens who are unemployed. That implies that once this legislation is in place there would be less incentive for someone to cross the border illegally to look for work since (1) employers would be less eager to ignore his illegal status and (2) being an illegal alien would be a more serious matter. Again, it may not work out that way in practice, but is the idea so bad? It’s not perfect, but why make the perfect the enemy of the good – especially when we know that the perfect is not politically achievable? And this approach, if it succeeds, would promote what you correctly say should be the goal of limiting the total number of legal immigrants and reducing the number of illegal immigrants. Posted at 03:46 PM UGH [Jonah Goldberg] Now, I'm getting about fifteen emails a minute saying "it is too a parody!" A cautionary blogger's tale. Posted at 03:37 PM NOT A PARODY [ Jonah Goldberg ] Jimmy Carter on the Lord of the Rings: "For three hours in this latest installment of 'Lord of the Rings,' young people the world over watch my work in the United States and your work here in Europe -- to get nations to disarm, not to make moral judgments about any nation other than America or Israel -- undone. UPDATE! I'm an idjit! Like five emailers sent me this with excerpts. I read a ways into and then posted. I didn't read the last line. It is a parody! D'oh! My bad, my apologies. Posted at 03:21 PM RE: MY ENDORSEMENT [Jonah Goldberg] Ramesh - Hmmmm. Posted at 03:17 PM PRYCE-JONES [Jonah Goldberg] Ramesh - Apparently he even duped the New York Times into buying his claims to writing about the Middle East. They said his (wonderful) book The Closed Circle: An Interpretation of the Arabs was "A brilliant insight into the way Arab societies work. A healthy corrective, a thought-provoking study." Posted at 03:13 PM SORRY CLIFF [Ramesh Ponnuru] I can't claim to be on top of this amnesty plan (or whatever we're supposed to call it), which is why I'm looking forward to reading Mark Krikorian's cover story in our new issue on this subject. But I don't buy your attempted defense. We can always "get a handle" on a problem of rampant law-breaking by abolishing the law being broken. If we had good reasons to make a lot of immigration illegal in the first place, as I think we did, then the question becomes whether this plan undermines those goals (as I suspect it does). For one thing, I think there's a national interest in limiting the total number of immigrants, legal and illegal. (Actually, I think there's a national interest in reducing that number, but I'll stick with the narrower claim that has broader assent here. Anyone who is not literally an open-borders enthusiast has to agree with that narrow proposition.) Posted at 03:10 PM SMALL CLAIMS COURT [Ramesh Ponnuru] David Pryce-Jones is supposedly a "fool" who "claims to write about the Middle East." Is he actually writing about sub-Saharan Africa? Is he not writing at all, just typing? Is "Pryce-Jones" a pseudonym? Confusing. Posted at 03:02 PM RE: SHOULD, BUT WON'T [John Derbyshire] Jonah: Perhaps it is worth pointing out that far from being an immigration restrictionist, Hitler was actually, so far as Germany was concerned, AN IMMIGRANT! Posted at 02:57 PM GOLDBERG'S DEAN ENDORSEMENT [Ramesh Ponnuru] I suppose if I had to pick a candidate in the Democratic primaries, it would be Lieberman--or even better, the Lieberman of 1997. His nomination would be best for the country and the Right, I think, although the calculation is tricky. What I don't get is Jonah's reason for not endorsing Lieberman: "he's got no chance of winning the nomination." Jonah, are you concerned about wasting the power of your endorsement in the Democratic primary? That your endorsement of Lieberman wouldn't help him, but you might just pull Dean over the finish line? Posted at 02:56 PM LEGAL WORKERS VS. ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS [Clifford D. May] OK, call me gullible, call me a softie but maybe we should give the benefit of the doubt to the Bush administration – at least for a few hours. There is a logic to their approach and it’s this: If you do have a functioning “guest worker” program, then there is no longer any excuse for any employer to hire illegal aliens. Any who do should get the book thrown at them. Similarly, if there is a functioning guest worker program, there is no longer any excuse for anyone to cross the border illegally or to be in the US illegally. So there should be serious consequences for those caught in either circumstance. Sure, there are tougher and fairer approaches to the very real problem of illegal immigration and porous borders at a time when terrorists are looking for ways to get in the house. But those approaches aren’t going to make any progress anytime soon. So why not try something that at least might provide more, rather than less, control over our borders? Why not try something that recognizes that how hard it is to keep supply from reaching demand? And politically, of course, this is an interesting play: Mexican-Americans are likely to favor Bush approach. Labor will not. The Left won’t know to whom to pander. They will find this a revolting predicament. Posted at 02:56 PM THAT SCHUMER/ROBERTS PIECE [Ramesh Ponnuru] I didn't find their argument in the Times (that there's some huge difference between trade in goods and trade in factors of production that calls the case for free trade into question) at all persuasive. But the liberal/paleocon collaboration on the article was interesting. I suspect that if a Republican senator teamed up with someone who defended Strom Thurmond's presidential campaign, believes whites "are being marginalized in their own country," and so on, people would delve a bit more into Roberts's views. Posted at 02:50 PM FUGGEDABOUTIT [Andrew Stuttaford] John, credit where credit is due. It was Tallulah Bankhead who is said to have made that remark to Normal Mailer. This splendid woman's even greater last words, of course, were the immortal (if that's the adjective to use in the context of a death bed scene) "codeine..bourbon." Posted at 02:40 PM SHOULD, BUT WON'T [Jonah Goldberg] Good point from a reader: Hey Jonah, while this amnesty thing is a real bad idea, it should at least put paid to the "Bush is Hitler" line emanating from the loony left. Hitler would have never proposed such a thing, unless he was going to exterminate them. Posted at 02:37 PM MORE DAILY SHOW [Kathryn Jean Lopez] An e-mail: Of course, it was "Please NOMINATE This Man"... not "elect". And yes, it was a hilarious segment, although they did go to pains to make the point that there's no real evidence behind the charge that Dean is "angry." If only they had read Rich's cover story, they'd have all the evidence they need. Posted at 02:34 PM RE: RE: IMMIGRATION AND NR [Jonah Goldberg] Derb - I am so with you. I am constantly astounded by the basic ignorance behind so many critiques of the magazine (and I do mean the print magazine). Not just on immigration, but across the board. The most annoying recent example was the kerfuffle which said NR had "surrendered" on gay marriage. This was all over the web. Meanwhile, to the best of my knowledge, NR has published more in opposition to gay marriage than any major conservative magazine. Liberal and libertarian readers are no better. For example there is the strange belief among many of them that NR is in favor of the drug war. I hear this all the time. I'm in favor of the drug war, but few others at NR are. Another example would be the yapping from liberals who insist that NR is hypocritical for supporting "Bush's wars" but not Clinton's. Um, NR supported the war in Kosovo and, I believe, it agreed with the aspirin factory bombing even though it questioned Clinton's motives. I don't mind criticisms of the magazine's editorial positions or criticisms of articles therein -- especially since I'm not one of the folks who makes decisions on that front. I often disagree with the magazine on various issues. That's what magazine like NR are for; to stir up debate. But what I can't stand are assertions of basic fact that are flatly wrong which then spread all over the place. If you don't read the magazine, fine (actually I think you're an idjit). But don't go off and start saying the magazine is wrong when you don't even know what its positions are. Posted at 02:33 PM SOCIAL SECURITY & ILLEGALS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Michelle Malkin today is a must-read, by the way. Posted at 02:27 PM DEAN = TAX-CUTTER? [Rich Lowry] Dean apparently is going to address one of the most glaring vulnerabilities of his candidacy, his advocacy of a huge middle-class tax increase via a repeal of the Bush tax cuts. I know the Clark tax plan is objectionable for all sorts of reasons (the Wall Street Journal editorial page has a good takedown on it today), but its tax cuts for middle-class families sets up an excellent contrast for him with Dean. The Dean campaign has been wise to this for some time, and the candidate himself is apparently now coming around. This is what the Boston Globe reports today: “After months of touting his plan to repeal all of President Bush's tax cut, former Vermont governor Howard Dean is moving toward embracing a tax relief package for middle-income Americans, which would amount to a major revamping of a centerpiece of his Democratic presidential campaign. Dean's action comes after his team of economic advisers privately gave him a ‘unanimous’ recommendation to back a middle-income tax cut to offset the increases that would come with repealing Bush's plan, a top campaign official said. The economic team has been especially concerned that Dean's proposed repeal of the Bush cuts has enabled critics to accuse him of supporting what amounts to a $2,000 tax increase on families earning between $73,000 and $145,000. Some advisers worried that stance could be politically fatal in the general election if Dean is the Democratic nominee. Yesterday, Dean signaled that he is heeding his team's advice to provide some form of middle-class tax relief, saying during an Iowa debate, ‘Ultimately, we will have a program of tax fairness for middle-class people.’ A top Dean official said yesterday that the campaign has made a ‘strategic’ decision for Dean to refrain during the primaries from revealing details of a proposal to trim middle-class taxes, preferring to announce it during the general election. Posted at 02:25 PM MORE NR AND IMMIGRATION [John Derbyshire] By way of illustrating my previous NR & immigration posting, and at the request of a couple of readers, here is an immigration-related column I had on NRO last October. NR is "silent on immigration"? Not to my knowledge, and I work here. Posted at 02:22 PM AMAZING [Rich Lowry] Clark has now passed Kerry in New Hampshire. According to the latest tracking poll, it’s 36% Dean, 16% Clark, and 13% Kerry (numbers courtesy of the Hotline). I have to eat some crow, since I said that Clark would “sink like a stone” if he got into the race. But I’m still convinced that if Clark is the anti-Dean candidate, Dean is almost assured the nomination. Posted at 02:16 PM EDWARDS DROPS ASHCROFT ATTACK [Rich Lowry] I kind of like what Edwards has been trying to do lately, stay above the fray as the optimistic candidate. But this campaign season he has been one of the worst Democrats in terms of demagoging John Ashcroft, especially given that Edwards voted for the Patriot Act. This contradiction has so often come back to haunt him that he has dropped Ashcroft from his stump speech, according to the New York Times: “He also no longer regularly rebukes Attorney General John Ashcroft, even though it got him some of his biggest applause. To rousing cheers he would accuse Mr. Ashcroft of ‘taking away our rights, taking away our liberties, taking away our freedoms’ for his handing of the antiterrorism legislation that gives the federal government more powers to search private records. The problem is that Mr. Edwards voted for the antiterrorism legislation and often found himself explaining that vote to confused listeners.” Posted at 02:14 PM NORMAN MAILER'S COMING TO TEA [John Derbyshire] A nice Norman Mailer story I hadn't heard before, related to my Tuesday column: "Derb---As to that great poseur Norman Mailer, and his 'liberation' of language: In The Naked and the Dead, all his characters use, and frequently, the word 'fug.' In the flush of literary success, Mailer was at a party, at which he was introduced to Dame Edith Sitwell. Upon being introduced, Dame Edith said: 'Oh, yes, you're the young man who can't spell [pop].'" Reminds me of a piece that appeared in the eminently respectable British humor magazine Punch at the time of the Lady Chatterly trial. (Penguin books had published D.H. Lawrence's dirty-words novel Lady Chatterly's Lover, and were tried for issuing an obscene publication.) The piece was a spoof of the obscene passages in LCL, with the gamekeeper saying things like: "There's quite a fug in here," and "Such a beautiful countryside!"...... Posted at 02:13 PM THE NEWSPAPER OF PATRICK'S YOUTH [Peter Robinson] From a reader, this correction: Pat Buchanan never worked for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. A conservative like him wouldn't dare. He wrote editorials for the late and still lamented St. Louis Globe-Democrat. Posted at 02:09 PM “VISCERAL DISLIKE” [Rich Lowry] I meant to note this several days ago but have been consumed with the magazine deadline. How real is Bush hatred? Terry McAuliffe says it’s what unites his party. This is what he told the New York Times the other day: “Listen, we will be unified,” he said. “All the candidates are going to come together. There is a visceral dislike of George Bush and it's going to bring these guys together.” Posted at 02:08 PM RE:IMMIGRATION & NR [John Derbyshire] Jonah: A few weeks ago a paleo acquaintance told me that NR was "silent" on the immigration issue, had "totally given up on it," had "completely surrendered to the open-borders lobbies," and so on. I spent a happy half hour in the basement going through recent back numbers of NR--I am one of those people who saves my magazines--ticking off immigration-related articles, which we have been running on average every other issue for at least two years past (that's as far back as I went). Some of them--by, for instance, John O'Sullivan and John J. Miller--were as critical as anything on the paleo websites. Others--by me, and Ramesh--were more ruminative. NR does, in other words, publish a good range of articles and editorials on this topic, with a center of gravity well on the restrictionist side of the median. I sometimes wonder if NR's critics ever actually read the magazine--or, so far as this particular topic is concerned, understand that it is, after all, only one of a score of topics of national importance that a magazine like NR has to cover. Posted at 02:07 PM RE: AMNESTY FOR ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS [John Derbyshire] A reader sent the following letter to the White House (where, he says, no doubt correctly, "it will not be read by anyone with any clout"), then shared it with me. I thought I'd share it with you. "I wholeheartedly disagree with the reported intent of this administration to issue temporary work visas to workers in the United States Illegally. As a Project Manager for an underground construction company [which he then names], I have had an extremely difficult and frustrating time dealing with the INS (now the Dept. of Homeland Security) regarding two Australian citizens with highly specialized knowledge and 7 years more experience than any comparable American Citizens for my microtunneling operations. They have extensive experience using a highly technical and specialized trenchless method, and have installed 3 times the amount of footage of anyone else in the world. "I have spent numerous dollars in attorneys' fees, expedited processing fees, airline tickets, hotel rooms (both in Australia and the US) attempting to navigate the byzantine temporary worker visa program while attempting to get a green card or H1-B for the two Aussies in question. (These two Australians want to maintain their Australian citizenship but work in the US and train US workers to their standards for approximately 3-5 years and then return to their native country.) They are hard working, they pay US taxes, and they have made every effort to stay within the letter of US immigration laws (as has my company). "I cannot begin to express how frustrating it is to me personally that it has cost me approximately US$50,000 (and untold frustration to the Australians and their families shuttling back and forth and disrupting their children's education and life), attempting to follow the regulations of US immigration laws, only to find out that our President is contemplating handing out 3 year protected working visas to any Tom, Dick, or Harry working here illegally that managed to sneak across the border one way or another and has made absolutely no effort to obey the immigration laws of the United States. "I am thoroughly displeased by this turn of events and I know that there are millions of others in the US that are as displeased as I am." This letter illustrates an important truth about the immigration issue: The people who are angriest about current policy, and about proposals like this new Bush amnesty, are people who have some personal acquaintance with the awful, expensive, irrational and hyper-bureaucratic business of LEGAL immigration. People like the writer of that letter; like Michelle Malkin, who is the daughter of immigrants; like Peter Brimelow and me, immigrants ourselves. Most native-born Americans have no idea what you, and anyone desiring to employ you, have to go through to accomplish a legal immigration. When you have wrestled with that beast, the idea of handing out Green Cards to people who sauntered across the border on spec just seems grossly unjust. The anger is spreading, though, and my prediction for 2004 is that illegal immigration will be a big issue in the fall elections--to the consternation and embarrassment of all establishment politicians, and in brazen defiance of those politicians' cynical attempts to cast the whole issue in terms of "intolerance," "discrimination," "nativism" and "racism." Posted at 02:04 PM PIQUE WATCH [Andrew Stuttaford] After decades of corruption, crony politics and bureaucratic authoritarianism, it takes quite something to disgrace the presidency of the EU. But Romano Prodi has just managed it. Stung by suggestions in an article authored in the Financial Times by the heads of the World Jewish Congress and the European Jewish Congress that the EU Commission is anti-Semitic, Prodi whines that he has been "forced" to suspend preparations for a forthcoming conference on anti-Semitism. In fact, the criticism of the Commission contained in that article did go too far. Much of the Brussels regime's sometimes appalling behavior is explained not by anti-Semitism, but by the lethal combination of a peculiar form of post-colonial guilt (with Israel as a proxy for the West) and the desire to appease the EU's Muslim minority. Nevertheless, if Prodi felt the criticism was unfair, the proposed conference would have been the perfect venue to say so. By "suspending" plans for the conference (imagine the row if Berlusconi had done this), the petulant (and wildly over-promoted) Prodi has done nothing other than dig himself a deeper hole and remind us yet again that, if there's one thing the EU Commission cannot stand, it's debate Posted at 02:01 PM MADONNA [Jonah Goldberg ] Endorses Wesley Clark:
Posted at 01:55 PM RE: AMNESTY [Kathryn Jean Lopez] And scroll down, too, for more from Krikorian and Derbyshire. If NRO is asleep I'm at the wrong website. There's also a cover story in the new issue of NRODT on the topic, which you can read online later this week if you subscribe to NR Digital. Posted at 01:50 PM AMNESTY [ Jonah Goldberg] Several readers are chastising me for being mum on the amnesty. I've been mum for two reasons: 1) I haven't had a chance to look at it closely and 2) I've been working on something else. In general, it sounds like bad news. I know the next issue of NR will certainly whack at it and I'm planning on writing about it for tomorrow. But for those of you who think NRO hasn't said anything: you're wrong. We'd had two pieces by mark Krikorian and John O'Sullivan. Posted at 01:42 PM CONSERVATIVES FOR DEAN [Jonah Goldberg ] They're still using my Trostky photo at the Washington Times for my syndicated column. Posted at 12:54 PM RE: RE: DAILY SHOWING [Kathryn Jean Lopez] But if you wanted to be up on Dean and save paper, you would be an NR Digital subscriber. Posted at 12:31 PM RE: DAILY SHOWING [Kathryn Jean Lopez] By the way, you'd own that cover if you were a NRODT subscriber. Posted at 12:28 PM DAILY SHOWING [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A little Lowry & co. marketing genius got us some Jon Stewart facetime last night. A reader e-mails: "Watching the Daily Show with John Stewart last night I saw the Howard Dean National Review Cover make an appearance and get a good laugh. In the opening 'News' monologue, John Stewart was making jokes about the last Democratic Debate in Iowa and recent Media reports that Dean is unelectable. After showing the Time and Newsweek covers, they showed the National Review Cover. Something like...'Conservative magazine National Review is absolutely giddy about the prospect of a Dean nomination proclaiming, "Please Elect This Man" (Which was highlighted).' The delivery of 'Please Elect This Man' was slow and deliberate. It got a good laugh from the audience." Posted at 12:24 PM WHO WAS THAT NRO STUD? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] A colleague tells me to turn on MSNBC a little bit ago and who do I see but Andrew Stuttaford talking, so bravely about his wonderful eating habits and even syphillis (ask him), among other things. In his television-punditry debut, Andrew was their expert on the war against Mickey D's, a topic he'd bet his life on. They really should put him on the payroll--McDonald's and MSNBC. Posted at 12:17 PM A COLLEGE KID ON MARRIAGE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Maggie Gallagher recounts an Amtrak conversation with a college student: "Kids just accept whatever their family situation is. It doesn't matter," Matthew told me. After all, he was raised by a single mom and doing just fine.Read Maggie's whole piece here. Posted at 11:40 AM KRUGMAN VS. BARRO VS. BARTLETT [Steve Hayward] A worthwhile voice to consult on these economic controversies is my AEI colleague John Makin, whose monthly Economic Outlook (available here) is widely read, in part as John calls the macro shots for some very successful hedge funds. In his most recent Economic Outlook, "As Good As It Gets," John argues thus about the deficit: "The loudest cries of criticism have been reserved for the sharp transition from a U.S. budget surplus of over $200 billion in the 2000 fiscal year to a $380 billion deficit in 2003. Conservatives and liberals alike are already decrying an expected budget deficit of $500 billion in the current fiscal year. Criticism of rising budget deficits, an old habit among would-be policy wonks trying to sound profound and prudent, is just silly at this point. It would be like criticizing firefighters for pumping half the water out of a pond to put out a fire. Sure, there is less water in reserve for another fire, but why have the water there in the first place if you don't intend to use it to put out fires? Going from a budget surplus of 2 percent of GDP to a deficit, still below 4 percent of GDP, is appropriate in an economy with excess capacity, especially when much of the swing comes from two rounds of demand-boosting tax cuts that simultaneously improve resource allocation." Posted at 11:31 AM MILLER'S "TWO PERCENT SOLUTION" [Ramesh Ponnuru] I have a review of Matt Miller's attempt to create common ground between liberals and conservatives at TechCentralStation today. Posted at 11:22 AM BOLTEN'S FUZZY MATH [Ramesh Ponnuru] Peter: You should take a look at this article critiquing Bolten's defense of Bush's spending record. There's one additional point the author did not have space to make: Bolten writes as though he's talking about actual spending, but he's actually referring to "budget authority." Posted at 11:10 AM GUNS AND CRIME [Stanley Kurtz] Whatever happened to gun control? Has anyone heard anything in the last two years about the need for greater gun control? I must admit, I haven’t followed this issue very closely. I’ve noticed a fair number of blogger posts on the topic (including Dave Kopel and others on NRO). The Bellesiles affair was huge. Richard Poe had an interesting book a couple years back, The Seven Myths of Gun Control. But has there been a peep out of the other side of this issue since the Million Mom March? I know the NRA is still sneered at by the mainstream press. But has anyone made any sort of argument for more gun control lately? My sense is that past presidential elections showed this issue to be a loser for the Democrats, so it just went away. Now even Howard Dean brags that he’s conservative on guns. While we’re on the subject of guns, whatever happened to crime? Have any of the Democratic presidential candidates said a word about crime? Does the administration even have a crime policy? If it does, it’s effectively invisible. Younger folks may not remember how important crime used to be as a political issue. There were points from the sixties through the eighties in which crime was easily one of the biggest domestic issues in the country. Last I recall, the crime rate was down. People pointed to local policing techniques like the “broken windows” approach, but also suggested that shrinking proportion of young people in the population might be behind the downturn. I think that was sometime in the nineties. Now the issue seems so far from public consciousness that I have to assume the crime rate is still relatively low. Heather MacDonald published a great book recently, Are Cops Racist? But it was more about the profiling issue than any increase in crime itself. So has gun control ceased to be an issue because crime has ceased to be an issue? Today, the sort of difference that used to be played out in the crime debate is tied up in the debate over Iraq and preemption. The right worries about getting tough with malefactors. The left is more concerned with root causes, mercy, and proper procedure. I guess terrorism is the new crime. But whatever happened to good old fashioned crime? Posted at 11:08 AM KRUGMANOMICS [Peter Robinson] In the matter of Paul Krugman (see my posting below about today's Uncommon Knowledge shoot), I found him disconcertingly warm, funny, and friendly--so disconcertingly so that I found myself recalling a story Pat Buchanan told me when I was a college intern for Buchanan a quarter of a century ago. When he himself was a young journalist, Pat explained, he got a job writing for the editorial page of the St. Louis Post Dispatch, and one day he composed an editorial excoriating a local politico. After work, Pat went to a local saloon, pulled up a stool at the bar, and began chatting with the man seated next to him. It quickly emerged a) that the man was one of the nicest guys Pat had ever met, and b) that he was the politico Pat had just attacked. For days afterwards, Pat regretted that editorial. "You know the lesson I learned?" Pat asked me. "Never have a drink with an enemy." No, and never spend a quarter of an hour chatting with an enemy in a television studio while the technicians adjust the lights, either. Once the show got under way, Krugman's arguments struck me as odd, inasmuch as he was at pains to contend that presidents don't matter very much. The boom of the Reagan years? Merely the playing out of the business cycle. The boom of the Clinton years? Clinton's economic policies were disciplined and admirable, but when it came right down to it the business cycle had a lot to do with the boom of the Clinton years, too. (Robert Barro, incidentally, would have none of this, insisting instead that Reagan's tax cuts proved critical, and that Clinton's principal economic achievement lay in keeping out of the economy's way.) Krugman even argued that since the economy boomed when Reagan cut taxes and boomed again when Clinton raised them, the tax rate on high income individuals doesn't make all that much difference. George W. Bush? Krugman attacked his fiscal policies roundly--then argued that the current recovery merely represents, once again, the workings of the business cycle, which Bush is impotent to affect. Exasperated, toward the end of the taping I asked Krugman why, if Bush's policies had so little effect on the economy, Krugman devoted so much energy in the New York Times to denouncing them. His reply? "Because I don't like to be lied to." As soon as we get this program transcribed and up on the Uncommon Knowledge website, I'll post a link so that readers can form their own opinion of this exchange. But my own view? Brilliant economist he may be, but Paul Krugman's professional credentials evidently have very little to do with what he propounds. He is simply one more in the legion of liberals so unnerved by George W. Bush that they've somehow convinced themselves our plainspoken chief executive doesn't mean what he says. Posted at 10:55 AM CALLING BRUCE BARTLETT [Peter Robinson] Shot an episode of Uncommon Knowledge today with Paul Krugman (about whom more in a moment) and Robert Barro, the Harvard economist who is also, for several months each year, a colleague of mine at the Hoover Institution. Robert provided a stout defense of George W. Bush's tax cuts, but proved much more critical of the rest of Bush's economic agenda than I'd expected, taking pains, repeatedly, to deride domestic spending that he characterized as unrestrained. I replied by citing Josh Bolten's recent column in the Wall Street Journal. Bolten contended that aside from outlays occasioned by the war on terror--outlays, that is, related to defense and homeland security--Bush's domestic spending has actually been quite modest. Robert's response? He flatly rejected Bolten's contention. Which is where Bruce Bartlett comes in. As readers of this Corner know, Bruce, a fine economist, has been paying close attention to the President's budgets. And Bruce is himself a reader of The Corner, as witness that when I posted my plaint about HP computers he instantly emailed to say I should have bought a Mac. So, Bruce, who's right, Bolten or Barro? Has the President indeed been engaging in unrestrained domestic spending? Or only in domestic spending forced on him by 9/11? Posted at 10:52 AM HIE THEE TO THE COMMONWEALTH CLUB [Peter Robinson] A San Francisco alert: This evening at 6.00 pm I'll be speaking at the Commonwealth Club, at 595 Market Street, about my book, How Ronald Reagan Changed My Life. I'm always delighted to meet readers of this happy Corner, of course--and Kathryn is always pleased to receive word of her ever-growing empire. But in San Francisco, never a town exactly noted for its love of our fortieth chief executive, I'll be especially delighted to meet our readers. If you can make it--and I devoutly hope you can--be sure to march up and introduce yourself. Posted at 10:50 AM RE: GHANDIGATE [John Derbyshire] D.J. McGuire, who runs the excellent China e-Lobby website , offers this explanation, which sounds right to me: "Derb---One thing to remember about Hillary et al on the elitist left: these people look down on the Indian folks who run gas stations as (a) of a lesser class than they are, (b) absurd capitalists when they should be social lefties like her, and (c) most important, deserving of calumny and slights for earning their American dream the hard way instead of whining about racism to the government. "The left has exactly the same take on Cubans, who were the only non-white ethnic group for whom hatred was acceptable with the PC crowd until India went nuclear. I have noticed that ever since that very act in the spring of 1998, the left has enjoyed blasting India at every turn. New Delhi's very fast warming toward President Bush also makes them an OK target for the left." "In short, Hillary didn't mean the gas station line as a compliment. She meant it as an insult." Posted at 10:40 AM NOTHING NEW UNDER THE SUN [John Derbyshire] Reading a life of Lord Palmerston, the 19th-century British politician, the following caught my eye: "When Lord Russell was forming his ministry in 1846 he invited Palmerston to return to the Foreign office, although he was rather nervous of what he might do there. Palmerston gladly accepted, and proceeded to carry out his duties with his customary energy and aplomb. Very early he made it perfectly clear where he stood, and where he thought Britain ought to take her stand. When in 1849 Richard Cobden expressed himself in favor of submitting international disputes to arbitration, Palmerston disagreed. He agreed with Mr. Cobden, he told the House of Commons, in feeling the utmost dislike, 'and I may say horror' of war in any shape, and this was the opinion of the vast mass of Englishmen. But, he went on, 'that which I wish to guard against--the impression that I wish should not be entertained anywhere, either in this country or out of it--is that, while there is in England a fervent love of peace, an anxious and steady desire to maintain it, there should not exist the impression that the manly spirit of Englishmen is dead; that England is not ready, as she is ever, to repel aggression and resent injury..." [In case you are wondering why Palmerston, a peer, was allowed to address the House of Commons: his Viscountcy was an Irish one, and Irish peers were allowed to sit in the Commons.] Posted at 10:38 AM OOPS [Jonah Goldberg] Jay Nordlinger had the Kerrey quote first. My apologies. Posted at 10:12 AM RE: NEOCON DEFINITIONS [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Neocon definition = boring!!!! It's like trying to define pornography - everyone has their own idea and they know it when they see it. Nothing causes my eyes to glass over and spittle to run down my chin faster than trying to define Neocon. Get over it and move on to a discussion of paint drying. Posted at 09:48 AM UH OH [Jonah Goldberg] My wife just stormed into my office and told me that I can't let that "dash" guy get away writing an all-lowercase email criticizing my writing style. This is a major peeve of hers. Some of her exclamations: "What you're too busy to capitalize!?" "Talk about fashionable writing quirks!" Etc. Posted at 09:47 AM DASH IT ALL [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: i occasionally read nro articles, and have noticed a disturbing, if not annoying, trend of some authors to overuse the (symbol: ------ ). i might be willing to concede the use of these ( ----- ) is considered chic, but several nro pundits (as well as others) tend to grossly overuse this symbol. it's annoying because it interupts sentence flow, slows and makes for choppy reading. you, o'sullivan & lowry, i have noticed, are the worst violators. wfb & o'bierne, for example, seem far less likely to insert these sentence disruptors. i long for the day that basic punctuation symbols like the period & comma, for example, make a triumphant return. Posted at 09:35 AM GOOD FOR KERREY [Jonah Goldberg] Andrew Sullivan's quote of the day: "I think [Iraq is] going well. It breaks my heart whenever anybody dies, but we liberated 25 million people who were living under a dictator. It puts us on the side of democracy in the Arab world. Twenty years from now, we'll be hard-pressed to find anyone who says it wasn't worth the effort. This is not just another democracy. This is a democracy in an Arab world..." - former Democratic Senator, and New School University president, Bob Kerrey, December 29, 2003. Posted at 09:33 AM FALLING SPIN [Mark Krikorian ] The White House is working overtime to persuade the gullible that the new immigration plan, to be announced this afternoon, is not an illegal-alien amnesty. But the deception doesn't seem to be working as well as they'd like. True, the Wall Street Journal story, appropriately enough for that apostle of open borders, never once uses the word "amnesty," even to debunk it. And the Washington Post story uncritically reports the White House denial that the plan includes an amnesty. But Elizabeth Bumiller, in today's New York Times front-page story, writes with refreshing frankness that is uncharacteristic of that paper's immigration coverage, that the Bush proposal "effectively amounts to an amnesty program for illegal immigrants with jobs in the United States." The Washington Times quotes "one immigration critic" (okay, it's me) calling the proposal a "two-step amnesty." And the Boston Globe writes that the plan, if passed, "would be a major victory for Latino leaders, who have called for some sort of amnesty program for many years." Posted at 09:32 AM RE: SPEAKING THINGAMAJIG [Jonah Goldberg] A couple reader say I sound too unenthusiastic. I'm not unenthusiastic at all. I'm very much looking forward to it. I'm just worried that since it's going to be held at a women's club I might have to dress up like Kip did in Bosom Buddies. Posted at 09:27 AM GANDHIGATE [John Derbyshire] Well, Mrs. Clinton has made a weasely apology, so she is just another hack pol after all. I can't repress a slight frisson of excitement, though, at that momentary revelation that there might, after all, be something human beneath that icily controlled exterior and those pop-eyed (no reference to recent columns intended) effusions of bogus affability. More than anything, though, this little incident illustrates the depths of dishonesty and unreality to which we have been dragged by the taboo on mention of any kind of group differences at all, even the most voluntary and innocuous ones. It is a simple, easily observed fact, that in the New York area, disproportionately many diners are run by Greek immigrants and their families, disproportionately many barbers are of Italian origin, and so on. I used to have to interview computer programmers for a Wall Street firm. I interviewed hundreds of applicants for these jobs through the 1980s and 1990s. They broke down roughly as: 30 per cent East Asian (Chinese and Korean), 30 per cent subcontinental Asian (Indian and Pakistani), 30 per cent Russian Jews, 10 per cent Other. Why is it unacceptable--let alone "incredibly hurtful"--to mention such simple, easily-observed facts about our society, even in levity? Posted at 09:24 AM THE "NEOCON" PROBLEM [Jonah Goldberg] Okay. Here's just one of the basic problems with all of this. If Neocons love big-government, why does Pat Buchanan -- perhaps the only self-described "paleocon" average Americans have ever heard of -- want to expand the welfare state? As Ramesh Ponnuru pointed out in a brilliant take-down of Buchanan, the man's biggest complaint with Bush's "compassionate conservatism" is that it's a rip-off of Buchanan's "conservatism of the heart." Meanwhile I know literally dozens of allegedly well-known "neocons" who very much want to shrink the welfare state. Meanwhile, the Buchanan crowd says National Review is a "neocon" magazine because it supported the war, while the mainstream press routinely says NR is "paleo" and the Weekly Standard is "neo" even though our respective positions on foreign policy are nearly identical -- albeit from the vantage point of, say, a New York Times or Slate reporter. If being a neocon means being hawkish, then NR was always more neocon than the neocons because we were the ones championing rollback, not containment. And, oh yeah, why did Buchanan want to send the Sixth Fleet to defend Dubrovnik in 1991, if the Paleos are against foreign adventures. And why did über-neo Charles Krauthammer oppose getting mired in the Balkans? As for this notion, popularized by Irving Kristol -- who I greatly admire -- that neoconservatism is "optimistic" conservatism, I'm afraid I have to say poppycock. Some of the cheeriest people I know are un-prefixed conservatives and some of the dourest folks I've ever met are neocons. And, besides, "optimistic" is not a definition it's an adjective.
Posted at 09:19 AM DEFINITIONS III [Jonah Goldberg]
Hi Jonah, Posted at 09:19 AM DEFINITIONS II [Jonah Goldberg] Dear Mr. Goldberg, Posted at 09:19 AM NEOCONS: READERS' DEFINITIONS I [Jonah Goldberg] My in-box over-floweth with emails from people claiming to define neoconservatism. What follows are three representative responses (excluding any of the ones mentioning odious Jews and the like). You have asked, more than once, what the definition of a neocon is. I have always understood that a neocon is one who accepts the immense economic change wrought by FDR, to wit, Social Security, immensely increased governmental regulation of business, etc. Paleocons are those who have not accepted the New Deal, and essentially want to turn the clock back to a pre-Wickard v. Filburn, small Federal government that we believe is much more akin to the government envisioned by the founding fathers. We paleos definitely tend to be strict constructionists, non-Keynesians, and are more likely to be Federalists, in the laboratories of democracy sense of that term. We also tend to be much more modest in our foreign policy agendas, wistfully wishing we could live in a world where we could avoid entanglements with other countries, to the extent possible. Ours is not to remake the world in any Wilsonian sense. Neocons obviously have accepted not only Roosevelt, but also Wilson, gentlemen we paleos consider probably the worst two presidents of the last century, in terms of damage to the country. There are many other differences of opinion, but this is the base distinctions, as I understand them. Posted at 09:18 AM DERB! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] 1. Step away from your computer NOW. 2. Reread The Case Against Hillary Clinton and Hell to Pay. 3. Play with your Ann Coulter doll. That should set you straight again. Let it never happen again. Posted at 08:51 AM SPEAKING THINGAMAJIG [Jonah Goldberg] I'm going to be giving a talk, lecture, fandango, whatever to the New York Conservative Party in NYC on Jan 20. It's going to be at the Women's National Republican Club -- wherever that is. From 6:30-8:00. Posted at 08:49 AM GANDHIGATE [John Derbyshire] From the news report on Mrs Clinton's Gandhi joke: "Michelle Naef, administrator of the M.K. Gandhi Institute for Nonviolence, a Memphis, Tenn.-based organization founded in 1991 by a Gandhi grandson, credited Clinton and her husband, former President Clinton, with long having 'supported the Gandhi message." But she said Saturday's remarks 'could be incredibly harmful.'" I think I should have trouble keeping my own reverence for nonviolent confrontation under control in Ms. Naef's presence. "Incredibly harmful"? It is "incredibly harmful" to crack a feeble joke about the fact--which is perfectly true--that the average U.S. gas station is more likely than not to be run by subcontinental Asian immigrants? Not only is this fact true, it speaks greatly to the credit of said immigrants, who are taking the first step on the ladder of success in America by standing outside in all weathers handling smelly and unpleasant substances for low wages. And who, I feel sure, are here L-E-G-A-L-L-Y, probably after waiting years for permission to immigrate. God bless them. Oh, Lord--I am defending Hillary Clinton! Posted at 08:46 AM IS PRINCE CHARLES A MURDERER? [John Derbyshire] Gimme a break. This letter of Princess Di's, assuming it is genuine, only tells us a thing we already knew: that the poor woman was not playing with a full deck. It would have been equally unsurprising if a letter had turned up in the Princess's handwriting claiming that Chuck was a space alien. If you take a not-very-bright person, surround her with fawning yes-men, and then place her under great stress, you will get these kinds of aberrations. Not all of Diana's problems were her own fault. Charles -- who got bored with her much faster than even I predicted -- did not behave like a gentleman towards her, and the Palace establishment failed to act with proper 1990s' "sensitivity" and "compassion" (they basically told her: "stop whining, keep smiling, and do your duty--noblesse oblige"). Still, it takes a fevered imagination indeed to think that Charles would try to off her. Apart from anything else, he doesn't have that much imagination. And where is the evidence that the fatal car crash had, or even COULD have had, anything to do with anything but reckless drunk driving? Pshaw. Posted at 08:25 AM BUSH BRATS [Tim Graham] In an adaptation of her new book in today's paper, Washington Post reporter Ann Gerhart portrays Laura Bush as an indulgent mom who lets her bratty girls get away with all kinds of misbehavior. They wouldn't even stand up straight at the Inaugural! (Didn't they make fun of Gary Aldrich for looking for dignity in the White House?) Meanwhile, Chelsea's lifting brews in high school and nobody noticed. Gee, Ann, don't you think that had a little bit to do with reporters loving the Clintons? Posted at 08:24 AM AMNESTY FOR ILLEGAL IMMIGRANTS [John Derbyshire] There are times when, watching the actions of the Bush administration, I have to grip the arms of my chair, clench my teeth, and mentally repeat "Afghanistan, Iraq, Afghanistan, Iraq,..." This is one of those times. The administration has just come out with its amnesty plan for illegal immigrants. They are studiously avoiding the a-word, but amnesty is what this is, plain and simple. Quite aside from the gross injustice (to L-E-G-A-L immigrants, not to mention displaced American workers) of this scheme, there is nothing in the Times report to suggest that anyone in the administration has grasped the most elementary fact about immigration control: I.e., that unless we carry out a major and radical overhaul of border security and supervision of visitors, any amnesty of this sort will simply incite a huge new flood of illegals. Principled conservatives should go to the mattresses on this one. Posted at 08:23 AM NOW'S THE PERFECT TIME TO GET THAT HIGH-SCHOOLER NR'S NEW 2004 COLLEGE GUIDE [Jack Fowler] We're getting a flood of orders for Choosing the Right College, and no doubt the reason is the season: now if the time when high school juniors (and their parents!) start the grinding process of selecting colleges. How they could even think of doing that without our new, 950-plus page monster -- it provides super-informed, mega-detailed analyses of over 120 top public and private U.S. colleges and universities -- is a mystery. If you have a child or grandchild, a niece or nephew or neighbor, about to embark on the college search, make sure they do it with the aid of this all-important book. The 2004 NR edition of Choosing the Right College: The Whole Truth about America's Top Schools costs only $29.95 (that includes shipping and handling). It makes a great gift for the special kid or even the local school or your alma mater (donate one to the guidance office or library -- we'll even include a nice gift card that says it's from you!). Order here. Posted at 07:45 AM ANOTHER ONE ABOUT ABOUT SCHMIDT [John Derbyshire] Just one more, honestly. This one so thoughtful I had to read it twice. A "You are all wrong. What makes me an authority you ask? Am I an acclaimed "'About Schmidt' is a great movie because it is about man's search for "In this sense, 'About Schmidt' is a tragedy like 'Death of a Sales Man': "The redeeming message is that it is never too late to find some meaning. "Finally, the wedding toast was a call for tolerance and respect in other Like it or hate it, this is some movie. I can't tell you how many essays it
Posted at 07:28 AM MORE GARRISON CAP [John Derbyshire] Masses of e-mail on this from servicemen and ex-servicemen (and a couple of "I offer an amusing & relevant anecdote of days gone by. "My grandfather was an officer of the Imperial & Royal Cavalry of the "He observed Croat Pandurs, Czech Line Infantry, Slovak Uhlans, Austrian "As a result, he knew how to name this item the improper way in six [Incidentally, "Kaiser- und Koenigliche," or "KUK" (pronounced "kah-oo-kah") Posted at 07:26 AM RE: KUCINICH [Tim Graham] That AP story on the NPR debate is misleading. It was televised and has been replayed quite regularly on C-SPAN. (It's available on the C-SPAN homepage under the most watched video list.) You might also notice a PBS icon on the screen. Google demonstrates it aired on quite a few PBS affiliates Sunday. I noticed it on Washington's WETA late Sunday. [UPDATE: Mea culpa--I have this wrong--different debates.] Posted at 06:45 AM THE CASE FOR CANNIBALISM [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Dr. Dalrymple makes it. Posted at 05:38 AM Tuesday, January 06, 2004 IT'S OFFICIAL [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The Kucinich campaign is just Kucinich talking to himself. Posted at 11:42 PM ONE MORE JEOPARDY WIN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Tom Walsh won again tonight, fyi. He's having fun over at his blog. Posted at 11:18 PM ROBERTS & SCHUMER [Jonathan H. Adler] Perhaps Paul Craig Roberts should have read that Alan Reynolds column before penning this piece for the NYT with Senator Schumer. Posted at 10:00 PM INTERESTING [Ramesh Ponnuru] stuff in Alan Reynolds's latest column, about whether we should worry about "exporting high-paying service jobs to India." Reynolds writes: "Worrying about U.S. companies importing services from India is a classic example of the journalistic inclination to ignore the forest and focus on a few twigs. The United States is by far the world's biggest exporter of services, just as the United States is by far the leading exporter of goods. "The United States accounted for 18.1 percent of worldwide service exports in 2001, according to the WTO, up from 17 percent in 1990. India accounts for only 1.4 percent of world service exports. India is in 21st place among world exporters of services and in 30th place for goods. . . . "The United States had a $64.8 billion trade surplus in services in 2002 . . . . Services accounted for 30 percent of all U.S. exports and 43 percent ($3.1 billion) of U.S. exports to India. . . . "The Bureau of Labor Statistics categorizes these allegedly vanishing jobs among ‘computer and mathematical science occupations’ -- i.e., computer programmers, software engineers, systems analysts, support specialists, network administrators, etc. These jobs exploded with the tech boom, rising 11.9 percent in 2000 alone, but such panicky hoarding of computer geeks was no more sustainable than 5,000 on NASDAQ. Even in 2002, however, employment in these computer-related occupations was nonetheless higher than in 1999, and so were salaries" (emphasis in original). Reynolds also notes that previous complaints about losing manufacturing jobs to Japan or China "invariably involved disparaging U.S. service jobs as 'McJobs' -- inferior to working with a sewing machine or wrench. In the case of India, however, even the most menial computer service chores -- such as tech support and handling health insurance claims -- are now being glorified as 'high-wage' jobs." Posted at 09:42 PM RE: THE NEOCON LABEL [ Jonah Goldberg] Jon - I agree that Brooks kind of mails it in today. He seems to be blending two or three different arguments he's made in the past. I don't think Neo means Jewish and I think Brooks was kind of making a joke when he wrote it. But Drum is practicing some pretty serious hackdom himself when he freelances that the Neoconservatives made up the term. If he was remotely familiar with the intellectual history of neoconservatism he certainly wouldn't need to read your no doubt excellent senior essay. This basic fact is mentioned in pretty much every published book and essay ever written on the subject. As Seymour Martin Lipset put it, the term neocon "was invented as an invidious label to undermine political opponents, most of whom have been unhappy with being so described."
I'm mystified. Neocons exist, they have a fair amount of influence in current political discourse, and it is not simply another word for "Jew." What's more, this is all out in the open, in the same way that you might say that "DLC Democrats" had some influence in the Clinton White House but are looking kind of ragged lately. Just the normal ups and downs of political factions. This strikes me as more than bit misleading. Sure it's not "simply another word for 'Jew.'" But it is very often a word for Jew. That is certainly how Pat Buchanan often uses it. It is also how the Arab press uses it. And the French press. And often the BBC. And Chris Matthews. And the increasing Jew-obsessed Michael Lind. And piles of average American leftists who think these sources are authoritative. Lastly, as I wrote at length in my, alas, epic trilogy on neocons, I would love for a critic of the neocons to give me a serviceable definition of what one is. A few self-described neocons -- Irving Kristol, Max Boot, Adam Wolfson -- are invested in imbuing neocons with a lot more meaning than I believe it has in part because they are leaders of what they see as the distinct political faction Drum's talking about. But on specific public policy issues, I am at a loss to understand what exactly neocons believe to the exclusion of plain old conservatives. And spare me the B.S. dichotomy of "neos" versus the mini-busload of "paleo" blood and soil socialists and isolationists Pat Buchanan claims to represent. Posted at 06:17 PM CLINTON HUMOR [John Derbyshire] My state's junior Senator cracks a joke Nice recovery, anyway. This kind of thing all helps to hone one's political skills. In one of her election campaigns, Margaret Thatcher did a photo-op getting off a bus. There she was, holding on to the handrail and smiling at the press cameras while standing on the bus steps. Of course, you have to hold these positions for a while so the press guys can get their shots, and it gets boring. Said Maggie, getting bored: "I feel like one of those clippies!" (I.e. like an old-style bus conductor, standing on the bus platform calling out "Hold on tight, please!" before going in to clip everyone's ticket.) Immediately realising that what she had said might be taken as derogatory by someone, somewhere, she immediately added, with her most determined smile: "...Who are all WONDERFUL people!" Posted at 05:42 PM THE "NEOCON" LABEL [Jonathan H. Adler] Calpundit's Kevin Drum doesn't like today's David Brooks column on neocons. I agree Brooks went over-the-top in suggesting all criticism of neocons is veiled anti-semitism, but Drum really steps in it when he says "It's the neocons themselves who coined the term." Not only is this not true, the source Drum cites for this proposition -- Irving Kristol -- does not support it. (I interviewed Kristol on this very question while writing my senior essay at Yale.) "Neoconservatism" was coined by Michael Harrington to smear writers and social scientists, such as Kristol, Daniel Bell, James Wilson and others, who were critical of leftist orthodoxy. He sought to marginalize them within left-liberal intellectual and political circles. Some (Kristol) eventually embraced the term, while others (Bell) rejected it. Yet no neocon generated the label (as regular readers of NRO would know from reading this or this). Posted at 05:26 PM WTC FINALIST [Kathryn Jean Lopez] You know that overused phrase "the terrorists would have won." Well, they haven't. The final design for the World Trade Center has been selected. It's the reflecting pool design and the architect grew up in ISRAEL. Posted at 05:17 PM DEMS AS DORKS FOR DORKS [Kathryn Lopez] that Ace of Spades blog has finished his D&D contest. Posted at 04:22 PM RE: EPISCOPAL CRISIS [John Derbyshire] Good point from a reader: "Something the [NY Times] article doesn't touch on is how when conservatives/traditionalist compromise, their position is later outlawed. In 1973 (approx), when the first female priests were consecrated, there was an agreement that you didn't have to believe one way or the other about it, just let the other guy believe what he wants. ... Come 1995 or 1996, the house of bishops/general convention made it against canon law for someone who did not believe that women should be ordained could be elected to any position in the church, or, I think, ordained. I know that parishes are ignoring this, since I know folks like this who are new priests, vestry, etc. "So, it's not optional what to believe about women's ordination, but it is to disbelieve in the trinity (1960's), or the divinity of Jesus (Bp. Spong)." I agree, that's the way it's going. Divinity of Christ?---Some say yes, some say no. Trinity?---Make up your own mind. The Resurrection?---(Yawn) Whatever. Nicene Creed---Take it or leave it, just as you like. Homosex a "sacrament"?---Believe, or leave! Posted at 04:13 PM RE: DEAN AND THE MEDIA [Tim Graham] Guys, I must suggest that the Dean coverage right now should be seen as a testing phase. With the increasing desperation and opposition of the rival campaigns, our press full of Democrats is acting like a truly confused set of party members. Are we for Dean? 0r is Dean a 49-state loser? If he wins Iowa and New Hampshire and looks like a lock, the media will get back into lockstep. I would not say that Fineman's article was a get-Howard piece. It did present the doubts of wavering Deanies and the complaints and coordinations of rival campaigns. But it also let Dean speak his mind (I suppose you could suggest that's the most anti-Dean thing you could do.) Did you see where he's totally flip-flopped from Osama-presumed-innocent to off-Osama-now? Posted at 04:12 PM RE: GARRISON CAPS [John Derbyshire] I now have a good database of information on this from readers. The way Army & USMC: Derb-style usage common until the early 1980s at least. USAF: Same to mid or late 1980s at least. NAVY: Never heard this usage. An interesting pattern, especially in re the Navy. I guess that after a Posted at 04:01 PM MEA CULPA [Kathryn Jean Lopez] I said the New York Review of Books but should have said the NEW YORK TIMES BOOK REVIEW. Jonah's comment still stands, methinks, however, though the review has seen its fair share of Carol Gilligan and Natalie Angier in my memory--both in books and reviewers. Posted at 03:43 PM BREAKING RE AIR FRANCE [KJL] The suspected terrorist was just some woman wearing a "heated coat" CNN is reporting. Posted at 03:07 PM BUSH IN 30 SECONDS [Jonah Goldberg] Digitized headaches. Posted at 03:02 PM BREAKING [Jonah Goldberg] No link yet: AUSTIN, Texas (AP) _ Three-judge federal panel upholds Posted at 02:54 PM RE: COTTS [Jonah Goldberg] I can't speak to the assigning of the reviewers, that's the NYRB's petard. But isn't it possible that the most important books are still predominantly written by male authors? Posted at 02:49 PM BRITNEY V THE NORKS [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader:
Posted at 02:41 PM ASSAD NYT INTERVIEW [Kathryn Jean Lopez] One message in English, a different one in Arabic. Posted at 02:41 PM FEMINISTS ACCUSE NEW YORK REVIEW OF BOOKS OF BIAS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] From Cynthia Cotts in the Village Voice: The New York Times Book Review overwhelmingly favors books and book reviews written by men, according to a new study from Brown University. Over the course of a year, the study reveals, 72 percent of all books reviewed in the NYTBR were written by men, and 66 percent of all reviews also carried a male byline. In other words, the most influential venue in the publishing world showcases male authors and reviewers by an average of two to one. Posted at 02:34 PM RE: GARRISON CAP [John Derbyshire] A reader: "I heard it referred to in the manner you describe by a friend of mine who was a Captain in the U.S Army at the time, during the 70's, and by another friend who was an Airman in the 80's. So I'm guessing it's in common use in all U.S. military branches, or at least used to be. "Perhaps the femininization of the U.S. military has led to the term's demise in recent years?" Can we have DACOWITS look into this, please? Posted at 02:27 PM BREAKING [Jonah Goldberg] Air France Plane with possible terrorist on board being escorted to Cincinnati airport. Posted at 02:22 PM DECLINE OF THE CHAMBER POT [John Derbyshire] A reader wants to know how the rise of central heating led to the decline of the chamber pot. Answer: Bathroom---icy-cold linoleum---bare feet. Posted at 02:17 PM RE: SMALL PARTS [John Derbyshire] A reader trumps the house: "Smallest, most significant talking part? In Silent Movie, aforementioned by Jonah, Marcel Marceau utters the only word in the movie: 'No!'" Posted at 02:02 PM MEDIA NOTES [Dave Kopel] My latest media column highlights the two best weblogs in Colorado, and discusses the junk science behind the fabricated hysteria over depleted uranium ordnance. Posted at 02:01 PM NON TALKIES [Jonah Goldberg] 2001 and Black Stallion nominations are rushing in. And my friend Eric Spratling from G-Philes suggests the "Hush" episode of "Buffy the Vampire Slayer" which was truly outstanding but, uh, not a movie. If we're gonna talk about silent-talky TV shows, the Twilight Zone episode "An Occurrence and Owl Creek Bridge" (adapted from the Bierce short story) wins hands-down. Posted at 02:01 PM WHAT THE IRANIANS REALLY THINK [Kathryn Jean Lopez] From NRO today: Though the European aid workers are treated with respect, they also receive a great deal of aloofness. The arrival of a U.S. colonel and his aides in Hercules C130 military transport planes, however, proved to be a raging success. Iranians had gathered in the Kerman airport to greet them with arms full of flowers, shouting, "AMRIKAAYEE...KHOSH AMADEE" (American, you're welcome). Iranians hugged them and hung on to them as if their "saviors" had come. Departing Americans were met with pleas from the crowd, begging them to stay. One of the American aid workers involved said that she was shocked and deeply moved to receive such a reception.Read it all here. Posted at 01:55 PM HERE'S ONE FOR ADLER [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Dear K-Lo, Posted at 01:53 PM GARRISON CAP [John Derbyshire] A couple of readers with experience in the US military have queried my assertion that the garrison cap is referred to by the same uncomplimentary epithet on both sides of the Atlantic. Well, I heard it so referred to, unprompted, some years ago by an ex-USMC friend (Vietnam era), and it stuck in my mind because (a) it is the same term that English squaddies use, and (b) one rarely hears that particular taboo word from Americans. (In H.M. armed forces it is about fourth in frequency, after "and," "the," and "pop.") Though now I come to think of it, the USMC does some joint training exercises with the Royal Marines, so perhaps there was some cultural transmission in play. Posted at 01:42 PM RE: OUR MENSCHY PREZ [Rod Dreher] A reader writes: The woman who was a chef at the governor's mansion while Bush was governor told me that every year he and Laura hosted a halloween party for inner city kids at the mansion. The press was not invited. I am an Austin resident and never heard about this except through this first-hand account. Posted at 01:38 PM SMALL PARTS [John Derbyshire] Jonah: Along the same lines, I wonder what is the smallest significant speaking part in any movie? (Not counting, I mean, the 14th bad guy in a Schwarzenegger flick who just has to say "Aaaargh!" or servants saying "You rang, Sir?") In Samuel Beckett's play HAPPY DAYS, if memory serves, the hero, Willie, utters only the single word "It". Winnie is musing about whether she should refer to her hair as "them" or "it," and pesters Willie for an opinion. I am pretty sure it's Willie's only line. Posted at 01:36 PM OKAY TWO MORE N-TS [Jonah Goldberg] Fantasia and Quest for Fire. Posted at 01:32 PM LENNY BRUCE WAS NOT THE FIRST [John Derbyshire] A reader has unearthed one of Lenny Bruce's spiritual ancestors: "Samuel Larned is best known for his membership in Amos Bronson Alcott’s Fruitlands community in 1843. Before coming to Fruitlands at age 20, Larned had worked at a counting-house in Providence, Rhode Island and was a member of the Brook Farm community. He rebelled against the status quo by traveling through New England and swearing at everyone he met. He believed that profane language, uttered in pure spirit, could be redeemed from vulgarity even while men, women, and children clearly remained unredeemed in his native state." Note the name of that community. Incidentally, and I somehow forgot to say it in my piece, I trawled through a good quantity of Lenny Bruce's material by way of background. None of it struck me as the least bit funny. Posted at 01:31 PM COLLECTIVE NOUNS [John Derbyshire] Reader Dale Switzer enlightens me: "The proper collective noun for Trial Lawyers is 'Suit.' I know this because I invented it myself." Among other suggestions, the printable ones at any rate, my favorite was: "a slick of trial lawyers." Posted at 01:29 PM NON-TALKY [Jonah Goldberg] A reader nominates "The Bear." Excellent point. But let me head off similar nominations by offering a few more that come to mind: the "Benji" movies, "Koyaanisqatsi," and Mel Brooks' "Silent Movie." Posted at 01:28 PM ABOUT "ABOUT 'ABOUT SCHMIDT'" [John Derbyshire] One more on this, from a reader: "Derb---I mostly agree with you. Especially useful is your remark about checking ideology at the door. I was struggling with the movie because in form it seemed to be setting up a typically sneering look at middle America. I started to become confused when the insurance guy was pitted against the mullet guy. Aha, I thought, its the Guy who Grows against the Irredeemable Knucklehead. But he didn't grow, he continued to struggle. I didn't start to like the movie until towards the end when I began to realize that all the characters were drawn with affection and sympathy. It wasn't Us against the Man. It was Us against Life and we win by making our way to the end. I liked it much more afterwards than during. It has stayed with me." Posted at 01:27 PM MENSCH-IN-CHIEF [Rod Dreher] Chuck Colson has an amazing story about the President and Mrs. Bush delivering presents to inner-city children just before Christmas. It was a lot more than a photo op. What a moving account. Posted at 01:19 PM DEAN VS. THE MEDIA [Ramesh Ponnuru] Stanley: There has indeed been a shift in the media's attitude toward Howard Dean. He was a refreshing left-wing alternative to the party establishment for much of last year, but now the media is sobering up and he is seen as a serious danger to it. (It's almost as though the media is concerned for the fortunes of the Democratic party.) Two points about this: 1) If the media were still acting as it did for most of 2003, depicting Dean as the next big thing and Dick Gephardt as a has-been, Gephardt could not look forward to much of a media bounce out of winning Iowa. The CW would be that of course he won in his own backyard. Now a win in Iowa might actually be seen as, well, a win. 2) A pro-Dean backlash is starting. See this Toles cartoon, for instance. A lot of people have ridiculed Dean for whining that the other candidates are beating him up. It is ridiculous on the merits. But it is also a smart move. Dean's campaign is one in which the candidate has deeply bonded with his supporters. They think that they are much smarter than the president, and Dean thinks that he is, too. It's the rest of the country that's gone nuts by supporting this callow, callous, right-wing ignoramus. When the other candidates and the media attack Dean, they increase his voters' sense of being beleaguered. Remember what Dan Quayle said about the disdain he attracted? "When they attack me, they're attacking you." ("You" being the God-fearing heartland.) Just so with Dean. When they attack him, he wants them to come across as attacking his supporters: their latte towns, their grad-school degrees, their worldview, their anger. For the other candidates, the gamble has to be either that Dean's support cannot get any more intense than it is already, or that any increased intensity is offset by increased support for them from different voters. Because they're probably not going to peel off many of his. Posted at 01:11 PM NON-TALKIES [ Jonah Goldberg ] Since we're talking about movies we've seen recently, I watched a little bit of Cast Away (or is that one word?) with Tom Hanks last night. I think it's an okay movie, but not nearly as good as the hype. But it occurred to me that Cast Away has got to have one of the longest stretches of film without dialogue in cinema history -- not counting silent movies and super clever art house stuff (sorry Mike Potemra: French films about lovers who meet, grope and commit suicide in a used bookstore don't count). Papilion has a long stretch without dialogue, but I don't think it matches Cast Away. The only film I think might beat it is Sorcerer with Roy Scheider. If I remember correctly, there's a little talking in the begining and then this vast swath of time with no talking as he drives a truck full of nitro through the rainforest. It's also a candidate for sweatiest movie ever, but let's not start that again. Posted at 01:09 PM HMMMM [Jonah Goldberg] Those are good points, damn it. I still hated it. Posted at 12:54 PM ABOUT "ABOUT SCHMIDT" [Ramesh Ponnuru] I'm with Derb, and against his correspondent and Jonah, on this one. (What's so terrible about being a grotesque, anyway?) What I most liked about the movie--and this may be, I suppose, a conservative point--is that Nicholson's quest is thwarted, his desire to express his deeply felt impulses is not fulfilled, and, in the best scene in the movie, the wedding toast, social convention wins. How often do you see those things in a Hollywood product? And Nicholson turned in a fine performance, without some of his annoying trademarks. Posted at 12:49 PM BUSH MAKES MIDEAST PEACE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Ok, not quite...yet. But an Israeli diplomatic delegation is headed to Libya. Posted at 12:41 PM RE: COHEN, NORQUIST & THE HOLOCAUST [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: You wrote: Posted at 12:35 PM HEAR YE HEAR YE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Today marks the first installment of a regular column for our Kate O'Beirne, a much-welcome presence always, and most especially during a prez election year. She's off to Iowa soon, as you know if you've read her "Take" today. Posted at 12:30 PM SOUL TRAIN LOTTO [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Do you think the Ohio Lottery hired the Soul Train graphics department to design their logo ? Posted at 12:25 PM GLITCH [Jonah Goldberg] If you're seeing multiple copies of the same post, it's not my fault. There's a glitch somewhere in the Corner's pneumatic tubes. Posted at 12:18 PM INTERESTING [Jonah Goldberg] Several readers have suggested to me that Howard Dean resembles Martin Sheen in "Dead Zone." I'm not so sure that's entirely fair, but I do think it's interesting so many people have indpendently come up with the idea. Posted at 12:12 PM "LEANING"? [Jonah Goldberg] The NYT says MoveOn.org is "left-leaning." At what point can something lean so far it simply falls over? Posted at 12:06 PM TEST YOUR COMMUNIST ATROCITY KNOWLEDGE [Jonah Goldberg] Not necessarily fun, but instructive. Posted at 12:00 PM CATCHY TUNE YOU CAN HATE TO [Jonah Goldberg] I don't know anything about this site, but this might be legit. Expect to see it at MoveOn.org soon. P.S. there's some profanity. Posted at 11:46 AM THE MEDIA ON DEAN [Stanley Kurtz] The mainstream press has decided Dean must go. The New York Times Magazine’s cover story last Sunday essentially said that Dean is death for the Democrats. Today the Times features an old Dean scandal on its front page. Newsweek’s Dean cover story is an attack piece if ever there was one. (Time’s Dean cover story may be an attack piece as well, but I haven’t had a chance to read it.) The Washington Post editorial page took after Dean a couple of weeks ago. The press’s decision to move against Dean is of enormous importance. A week or so ago, many powerful Democrats were swallowing their doubts about Dean, convinced he’d gotten too far to safely stop. The risk of alienating Dean supporters was too great for a full-fledged attempt by party big-wigs to bring him down. Now Dean’s own gaffe’s, along with the obvious prospect of a disastrous defeat, have tilted the balance. The real power within the Democratic party–the mainstream press–has decided on its own to take the risk of displacing Dean. If Dean is nominated now, the press’s current campaign will leave him more vulnerable than he already was. But if Dean is destroyed, his followers may be alienated enough to sit out the election–or move to a third party. The one thing the Democrats have going for them is that it’s still early. A Dean melt-down now would leave time for the public to get exited about an alternative–especially a newcomer like Clark. Having said that, things are looking pretty grim for the Democrats, whether Dean wins or flames out. The other day Ramesh linked to a fellow who thinks the NRO crowd is too pessimistic. I can certainly be pessimistic. Yet I can’t seem to shake the giddy feeling that no matter what the Democrats do, they are doomed. Maybe it’s morning in America after all. But wait! The Washington Post says Dean is smoothing out his rough edges and trying to turn himself into a consensus candidate. Bill Bradley is set to endorse Dean. Dean was calm under attack at the last debate, emerging unscathed from the test. So is Dean flaming out or consolidating his victory? He’s doing both. It’s almost as though Dean has reached two equal and opposite tipping points at the same moment. He is simultaneously consolidating his victory, and setting off a major press backlash designed to bring him down. Again, however it turns out, the Democrats are in trouble. Posted at 11:42 AM WHOA PHILLY BOY [Kathryn Jean Lopez] E-mails rolling in: "You mean Tug McGraw, who starred on the Mets' 1969 World Series team? Tug McGraw, who notched the first Mets victory over Sandy Koufax? Tug McGraw, who coined the Mets' motto 'You gotta believe'?" Of course, the sports ditz in The Corner thought, "He's [country singer] Tim McGraw's father." [He is, btw.] Posted at 11:12 AM TUG MCGRAW, RIP [Jonathan H. Adler] Famed Phillie pitcher dead at 59. Posted at 10:46 AM ON THAT NOTE [Jonah Goldberg] Most depressing bad sexploitation flick of the 1980s: "The Last American Virgin" -- by a mile. If you've seen it, you know what I'm talking about. If you haven't, good for you. Posted at 10:40 AM WHAT HE SAID, SORT OF [ Jonah Goldberg ] Derb - I loathed "About Schmidt." I agree with your reader that it was another attempt to say that bourgeois America is soul-less and dead-hearted. That said, while I thought the message of "American Beauty" was shockingly unoriginal and deeply pernicious in its story line, I thought it was brilliantly executed and pretty entertaining (as I wrote a while ago). As for "About Schmidt," I thought it was just depressing. And seeing what's-her-name naked was more than I could take. Posted at 10:28 AM TIERNEY ON IRAQ [Stanley Kurtz] Easy to miss over the holidays was a very interesting New York Times Magazine piece by John Tierney on the challenge of bringing capitalism and democracy to Iraq: “Rebuilding Iraq Is...Nothing a Few Middle-Class Guys Couldn’t Solve” (December 21, 2003). I’m comfortable with Tierney’s take–which is that real change in Iraq is possible, but only if it moves slowly. What makes this article powerful is the tale of Iraqi entrepreneur Nader Hindo and his family. The story at the end–which seems to come straight out of Owell’s 1984–gives a chilling sense of how Saddam’s system really worked. For a vivid account that links big picture questions in Iraq with real life stories, this article is well worth a read. Posted at 10:18 AM TOOMEY ENDORSERS [Meghan Keane] Judge Bork, Steve Forbes and Ed Meese are endorsing Pat Toomey this week. They, unlike President Bush, Howard Baker, Bob Dole, Trent Lott, and Bill Frist, seem to understand the importance of keeping Specter away from the Judicial Committee chairmanship. Apparently GOP Senate leaders didn’t learn their lesson from endorsing that other “independent” Republican incumbent in Vermont over his conservative challenger in 2000. Lot of good that did them. Posted at 10:12 AM ABOUT ABOUT SCHMIDT--A READER BEGS TO DIFFER [John Derbyshire] A reader: "ABOUT SCHMIDT was one of those awful sneering looks at Midwestern American values. Similar in philosophy to AMERICAN BEAUTY, another odious film, it portrays people like the Jack Nicholson character as empty buffoons who don’t get it, who haven't the capacity to get it. Schmidt spent his life doing what most of us do, he worked, married, raised a family, did service to his employer and community, and then found it all coming to a satisfying close toward the end of his life. Except this movie would have you believe that it was all for nothing, that his life was always empty and meaningless and this clod couldn’t even discern its emptiness until the end when he was done with most of it and outside the envelope looking in. "A lot of conservatives will watch a movie like this and are pleasantly struck with the characters, who seem to resemble themselves, or people they know, and it never occurs to them that the writer and director are bubbling over with loathing for the Neanderthals they portray on the screen. You are dead on right about Hollywood being extraordinarily good at what they do; ABOUT SCHMIDT is just another in a long line of anti-normal, anti-middle class value films. I watched it and was insulted." I [this is Derb here] think this reader is totally wrong, at least about this particular movie. He provides, in fact, a good example of not knowing when to check your ideology at the door as you go in. The Nicholson character is the outsider here. If there is any social commentary going on--and I don't think there is, much--it is to contrast the Soviet-style job-for-life dullness of Schmidt, toiling away thanklessly in a vast organization, with the more free-spirited frontier-American attitudes of his daughter and son-in-law. (Who, be it noted, live 500 miles to his WEST.) The "Neanderthals" in ABOUT SCHMIDT--Nicholson's daughter, her husband, her in-laws--are grotesques, but only in the mild way that Charles Dickens's characters are. That is, they are drawn with much affection; and to the degree that the movie is an argument between Schmidt and them, the movie leaves no doubt--in my mind, at any rate--that they get the better of the argument. I laughed at these people, but I did not find myself disliking them, and don't believe I was meant to. I do agree that AMERICAN BEAUTY was a horrible anti-normality film--the psycho ex-Marine, the so-o-o-o well-adjusted homosexual couple, and so on. ABOUT SCHMIDT was, however, nothing like that. It was a movie about a guy having a late-life crisis. If the Rosie Derbyshire interpretation of the ending (she claims he was smiling through his tears) is correct, Schmidt found his peace at last through (a) all those interactions with ordinary people, and (b) a small act of private charity. What, exactly, is anti-bourgeois about that? If the daughter and her husband had been stoned hippies, or the same sex, or something else "transgressive," then I'd concede the reader's point. As it is, I won't. Great movie. I did not actually say that it was a conservative movie, and I don't actually think its "social" aspect will bear that much weight, but I think a case might be made. Posted at 10:10 AM EPISCOPAL CRISIS [John Derbyshire] Loath as I am to say anything nice about the New York Times, I thought this piece in the Sunday magazine very good, as an inside look at the crisis currently gripping the Episcopal Church USA Warning: It's rather long, but bears reading all the way through. Further warning: This is still the New York Times, and you have to discount the occasional New Class sneer breaking through the facade of impartial reporting. For example: "On all sides these devout Christians felt assaulted by the lurid offerings of consumerist America -- half-dressed teen idols, gore-filled video games, Internet porn a click away -- and, seeking a lifeline, they had grasped hold of the Bible. Gay rights seemed especially threatening, for they saw it as challenging the sacrament of marriage, the foundation of their moral universe. At the same time, the intensity of their feelings about Gene Robinson indicated that something more profound was at work, that the issue of homosexuality touched them in a very visceral and vulnerable spot." Translation: "These rubes can't cope with modernity and so take refuge in crackpot fundamentalism. They have mental problems, or weaknesses, that cause them to panic when faced with the reality of homosexuality." Or how about this egregious bit of nonsense: "In sermons, forums and Bible-study groups, parishioners have been discussing, arguing and educating themselves about the rightful place of gays and lesbians in a church that for two millennia has shunned them." In the first place, the Episcopal Church only existed for 467 years, not "two millennia." In the second place, it has never "shunned" homosexuals. It has only told them that their acts are sinful and they ought to (a) stop doing them, and (b) repent them. It's really pretty straightforward, and if you don't like it, you don't have to be an Episcopalian. Posted at 10:03 AM UNDERSTANDING NASA TV [Stanley Kurtz] After posting yesterday about the oddities of NASA TV, I heard from Robert Jacobs, director of NASA’s News and Multimedia services. The reason NASA TV comes off as unprofessional is that it isn’t an ordinary television channel at all. NASA TV is really a “feed service,” funneling raw material for news reports and documentaries to television stations, schools, museums, etc. All the networks maintain feed channels to deliver information to their affiliates, we just never see them. NASA’s feed channel is carried free of charge by cable and satellite systems as a public service. The reason we see experts answering interviewers, but can’t hear the questions, is that audible questions would create feedback for the stations conducting the interview. At some point in the future, NASA TV is going to go to multiple digital feeds, after which we won’t even be able to receive the single analog channel we see now. Alright, I’ve explained why NASA TV is so odd. But given the fact that there’s an active cable channel already up, why not improve it by producing programming for “end users?” The answer, of course, is money. NASA once had major production capabilities. It still produces the occasional award winning documentary, but most of NASA’s production capabilities have been ended by budget cuts. Cuts in the early nineties also did in NASA’s radio production. Were the cuts a mistake? Not really. For one thing, they saved taxpayer dollars. And NASA’s new strategy makes sense. NASA provides the raw material, while the Discovery channels of the world produce the documentaries. Keep in mind that the NASA channel is carried free of charge by satellite and cable companies, and reaches a relatively small number of homes. Turn it into a full blown channel, and the carriers may start charging. That would mean a lot of money to reach a relatively small audience. After the transition to multiple digital feeds, NASA hopes to partner with a broadcaster who would assume some of the more costly responsibilities of a real channel (Close Captioning, etc.) while drawing on NASA’s expertise to produce compelling television. I’m no expert, but this sounds to me like a case where partnership with private industry in lieu of taxpayer dollars works well. In the meantime, if it’s available in your area, NASA TV, notwithstanding the oddities, is well worth a look. Posted at 09:43 AM BY THE WAY [ Jonah Goldberg ] G-File is up. Posted at 09:40 AM RICHARD COHEN AND GROVER NORQUIST [Jonah Goldberg ] Right on the cutting edge of the cultural zeitgeist, Richard Cohen writes about a comment made by Grover Norquist in October of 2003. This follows on the heels of his last column in which he confessed that he was "the last person in the world to discover" the word "metrosexual," months after the pseudo issue came up and died out. As for his comments about Norquist, I pretty much agree (except where he says that it's "pretty hard to overstate Norquist's importance in contemporary Washington." I think it's pretty easy to overstate it and people do everyday). Anyway, Cohen skewers Grover for comparing the estate tax to the Holocaust. Here are the relevant passages: This remark, so bizarre and tasteless that I felt it deserved checking, sent me to the transcript of the show, where, sure enough, it was confirmed. In it Norquist referred to the supposedly specious argument that the estate tax was worth keeping because it really affected only "2 percent of Americans." He went on: "I mean, that's the morality of the Holocaust. 'Well, it's only a small percentage,' you know. I mean, it's not you. It's somebody else." Now, I understand what Norquist is saying here and there's considerable validity to his logic. But the analogy is ultimately absurd and offensive and Cohen is right to point it out. The Holocaust was not about over-taxing a small group of very wealthy people. But isn't it kind of amazing that Cohen chooses this topic to get uppity about? The same week, nay the same year, that the leftist zanies energizing much of the Democratic nomination process -- and, of course, the leftist buzz on the web -- have been comparing Bush to Hitler, Cohen decides to zing Norquist on a three month old comment on a topic no longer in the news. At least Norquist was clear that he was using logic to make a generic and defensible point. After all, if it's okay to stick it to "small" minorities of people, why have civil rights laws? But those comparing Bush to Hitler and the Republican Party to Nazis aren't saying that conservatives are akin to Nazis in some abstract sense, they are saying conservatives are Nazis. It seems to me this diminishes the Holocaust a hell of a lot more than some abstract syllogism. Of course, in Cohen's defense, he may not have heard about any of this yet. Give him a couple months. Posted at 09:37 AM RE: THE BALLAD OF BILBO BAGGINS [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: About a third thru that video, there's a girl dancing around in orange and it looks like she has a button that says "Elect Leonard Nimoy to the U.N." Did you see that? Is that really what it says? (A quick Google search shows me that some others thought so too.) What could that mean? Kinda makes you wonder what OTHER kind of subliminal messages are in that video. Stop watching it now for your own safety! Posted at 09:19 AM FOUR MOORE YEARS [Tim Graham] The Washington Times reports that Steve Moore's Club for Growth is unleashing an ad attacking Howard Dean in Iowa as a "Vermont freak show." GOP strategists are assembled to wonder why, when they want Dean to be the nominee. But it's also potentially desirable to make Dean's path difficult, make him tire his Internet donors. It's always a good idea to highlight Dean's ultraliberal views. A small ad buy in no way threatens the millions of dollars of in-kind contributions of the media chanting "centrist, centrist, he's really a centrist." Posted at 08:12 AM BRITNEY'S WEDDING [John Derbyshire] Reading about the Britney Spears wedding fiasco in America's Newspaper of Record this morning (I mean, of course, the New York Post), it occurred to me that the root cause of this sad affair may be nothing deeper than gross stupidity. Reading of what happened, and the recorded comments of Britney and her husband-for-a-day, Jason Allen Alexander, it is hard to avoid the impression that they do not possess more than half a brain between the two of them. Jason: "We had just got through watching 'The Texas Chain Saw Massacre'. We were just chilling in the room about 3:30 am, and we had so much fun just looking out at the city and the lights." So... they went and got married. For 55 hours. Why mince words here? What we are dealing with is a couple of morons. These are not even air-heads--I doubt the density of matter inside their skulls rises to the level of the interstellar vacuum. If Hollywood's planning another remake of DUMB AND DUMBER (which would take a lot of nerve, considering the pig's ear they produced with the last remake), I have a couple of suggestions for the casting director. Posted at 08:10 AM IT'S A LIVING [John Derbyshire] Zhang Yimou's movie was HUOZHE, not SHENGZHE--I was thinking of something else. Posted at 08:09 AM SEND YOUR DOLLARS NOW [Jonah Goldberg] Don't miss out on the opportunity to send me cash. Checks ok too. Posted at 07:16 AM MUST SEE [Jonah Goldberg] Posted at 07:09 AM ANOTHER BUSH "FAILURE" [Jonah Goldberg ] In a "bold concession," the Norks offer to refrain from making nukes. Posted at 06:59 AM JUST FTR [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Tom Walsh won on Jeopardy! Monday night. Posted at 01:26 AM Monday, January 05, 2004 MORE MOVIE CRITICISM FROM DERB [John Derbyshire] Our weekend video rental was ABOUT SCHMIDT. Rosie & I are both big Jack Nicholson fans. We loved this movie, though we both agreed the ending didn't quite come off. (Had Schmidt found peace and understanding? Or just reached the end of his tether?) And I thought the imagined children's voices in the tire store were a bit poshlust. Still, 100 times better than the average movie. Watching ABOUT SCHMIDT stirred the following thought. For all the moaning we conservatives do about Hollywood and its lefty/trashy/dimwitted values, American moviemakers are extraordinarily good at what they do. Of course, they put out a lot of garbage; but once in a while everything works, and the result is simply superb. ABOUT SCHMIDT is actually about nothing much--guy retires, wife dies, daughter marries a loser with an obnoxious family. It's just a slice of ordinary dull life, illustrating the truth that "most men lead lives of quiet desperation." Yet it manages to be gripping. The acting, the staging, the shooting--it's all terrific. Nobody makes movies like we do. (Though a decent runner-up in the "slice of life" category is Zhang Yimou's brilliant SHENG ZHE -- called "Life," "To Live," "Lifetimes," or "Living" in English, depending which version you get.) Posted at 05:23 PM RE LONELY ARE THE BRAVE [John Derbyshire] Steve Bodio adds: "And it [i.e. the Kirk Douglas movie LONELY ARE THE BRAVE] was based on a novel by Ed Abbey, who is often claimed by the radical enviros. Though to be fair 'Cactus Ed' was more complex than that. He defended guns, was an adamant foe of illegal immigration (which lost him friends on the left) and was good friends with at least one notorious Palaeo-Con friend of mine, a guy who makes you and I look -- well, not liberal, but moderate. An interesting character, and a hell of a movie!" Posted at 05:19 PM NEXT O.J. WILL STOP LOOKING FOR THE REAL KILLER? [Kathryn Jean Lopez] NEVER make a joke about sex and sports. Men are mad at me for assuming all men like baseball. Women are mad at me for assuming women don’t. What was I thinking? Safer to have fun with Macs and PCs. One reader who got beyond complaining about my witchiness writes: The issue is not whether or not Pete Rose gambled on baseball. The issue is that with him now finally admitting it after 14 years of vehemently denying it the door is now wide open for his reinstatement into baseball. Rose has been the main concern for Bud Selig during his tenure as Baseball Commissioner and the belief has long been that Rose was an admission (and perhaps an apology) away from a return to baseball. The most constant and complicated of debates in sports about athletic accomplishments versus ethics and class is seemingly a step away from being decided. Rose's admission is almost guaranteed to get him back into baseball, into a managerial role and into the Hall of Fame... and it is sure to crush the idea of athletes maintaining an air of respectability and rules... even the ones that they draw up for themselves.And with that, I retire from baseball posts, by the way. Posted at 05:16 PM WOULDA, COULDA, SHOULDA? [Clifford D. May] Deep down in a Washington Post story today is the news that a top secret report prepared for the Pentagon contends that despite reliable intelligence on "those responsible for the 1993 attack on the World Trade Center, the 1998 bombings of the US embassies in East Africa and the 2000 attack on the USS Cole in Yemen," no serious attempt was made to kill or capture the perpetrators. "It was very, very frustrating," Gen. Peter Schoomaker, the Army's chief of staff, reportedly told the report's principle author, Richard H. Shultz Jr., of the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy at Tufts University. "We were never instructed to mount a serious operation against bin Laden, never." Posted at 03:57 PM BUSH = HITLER: THE STUPIDITY VORTEX HUMS AWAY [ Jonah Goldberg ] From Democrats.com: GOP Demands Censorship of Moveon Ad Comparing Bush with Hitler Once again, the comparison of Bush with Hitler strikes terror in the hearts of Republicans - because they know how close it cuts to the truth. A proposed TV ad submitted by a Moveon member had RNC chair Ed Gillespie spitting bullets. According to Drudge, Moveon removed the ad from its contest - one more victory for GOP censorship, bringing us ever closer to a Nazi dictatorship. Posted at 03:55 PM STAR-SPANGLED HOWARD [Tim Graham] My colleague Rich Noyes wins today's Mr. Subliminal Award for noticing that both the Time and Newsweek covers wrap Howard Dean in the flag. (Drudge has them side by side). At least Newsweek selected a photo, while Time painted a flag into its cover. If liberal reporters think it's cheesy to put flag graphics on Fox or MSNBC, will they now denounce the news magazines? The news magazines, of course, caught the Dean wave of hype last summer based in part in his win of the "Internet primary" of MoveOn.Org, the Web site that hated America avenging its losses in Afghanistan and now attracts all the Bush-Hitler comparisons. Careful, magazine editors! Maybe all the flag-waving will lose some of those votes... Posted at 03:53 PM DICTATORS [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Dear Mr. Goldberg, Posted at 03:44 PM DEAN'S EBONICS EPIPHANY [Jim Boulet] Howard Dean offered his views on HREF="http://www.cal.org/ebonics/eboped.html">Ebonics during an HREF="http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0102-05.htm">interview with Boston Globe columnist Derrick Jackson: Dean said his own education about unconscious racism began at Yale, where he graduated in 1971. He was trying to get a child from the inner city of New Haven that he was tutoring to talk "proper" English. One of his African-American roommates told him, "Why don't you leave him alone?"To speak proper English is to have a leg up on success in America. Howard Dean knows this. That's why he gives his angry campaign speeches in proper English, not Ebonics. Black children deserve better than Dean's condescension. Posted at 03:31 PM KIDS [ Jonah Goldberg ] Pic says it all. Posted at 03:30 PM THE ROSENBERGS [Stanley Kurtz] You’re right about the Rosenbergs, Jonah. Here’s more. Posted at 03:29 PM RE: PETE ROSE [Tim Graham] It could be that because sports-crazed males hashed out this whole point to death about ten years ago. When someone refuses to admit the obvious for a decade or two, is it Earth-shattering when he or she finally states the obvvious? It would be if O.J. Simpson said yeah, I killed two people. But compulsive gambling isn't quite on par with that. Posted at 03:25 PM GOOD MORNING! [Kathryn Jean Lopez] This Corner is crawling with men, and yet I have to be the one who mentions Pete Rose's admission he--SHOCK--gambled on baseball? Perhaps you've all abandoned me to go fishing. In 2002, by the way, our Jim Robbins made the case for letting him in the Hall of Fame. Posted at 02:12 PM BUSH = HITLER CONT'D [ Jonah Goldberg ] Sigh. Posted at 01:55 PM YOU REALLY CAN'T PARODY PETA [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Cannibal gets a vegetarian cookbook for Christmas. Wesley Smith piece here. Posted at 01:03 PM THE REAL OUTRAGE [Jonah Goldberg] Stan -Let's not forget something. The contention that the hearings were timed to coincide with the 50th anniversary of the Rosenberg's execution is outrageously stupid. But the contention that the government framed the "innocent" Rosenbergs is just plain old outrageous. I'm sure you don't disagree, but it kind of needs to be said. Posted at 01:02 PM ANOTHER SIGNAL [Stanley Kurtz] I’ve already described a bogus theory about a secret “McCarthyist” signal. Now here’s real example. Rashid Khalidi, newly appointed to Columbia University’s Edward Said chair of Middle East Studies, delivered a secret McCarthyist signal to viewers of Al Jazeera. While speaking (in English) against H.R. 3077, Khalidi switched into Arabic and showed what he really thinks of intellectual diversity. Martin Kramer explains. Posted at 12:54 PM PARANOIA ON THE LEFT [Stanley Kurtz] If you want to see just how extreme the “anti-imperialist” academic left can get, have a look at this scholar’s attack on H.R. 3077-–the bill that will reform federal subsidies to Middle East (and other area) studies. (In the selections on top, click on the link to the piece by David Brodsky.) I have repeatedly emphasized that H.R. 3077 will silence no viewpoint. This bill is about including many perspectives, not silencing opposition to American foreign policy. The bill itself explicitly prohibits federal control of the college curriculum. But professor Brodsky thinks he’s got proof of the bill’s McCarthyist intentions. Brodsky points out that the hearings on H.R. 3077 were held on the fiftieth anniversary of the execution of Julius and Ethel Rosenberg, “scapegoated as ‘traitors,’ framed by the government, and murdered in the McCarthyist terror.” So according to Brodsky, the true, McCarthyist, intentions of the bill were secretly signaled to conservatives by the timing of the hearing. But how many conservatives would know that June 19, 2003 was the fiftieth anniversary of the Rosenbergs’ execution? Brodsky explains: “Right-wing historical memory would have been reminded of this date by Ann Coulter’s recent best-selling pamphlet, Treason, which celebrates the McCarthy period.” Now I testified at that hearing, and have been a key public advocate of this bill. But this coded message is news to me. I haven’t read Treason, and none of the House staffers clued me in on the meaning of the hearing date. So I’m grateful to professor Brodsky for revealing the secret code. Posted at 12:53 PM UN WAR? [Jonah Goldberg] From a friend: Jonah: Funny I was in Bosnia during the Kosovo war, and the Serb's (including government guys) I met were all of the opinion it was the US bombing them. Posted at 12:46 PM A UN WAR? [ Jonah Goldberg] The normally astute Jim VandeHei blunders in this story about Wesley Clark: "Clark, a decorated Vietnam veteran who commanded the U.N. war in Kosovo, said: 'I'm saying that I'm not going to be the vice president, I'm not going to accept that nomination. I can't make it any more clear than that.'" The Kosovo war wasn't a "U.N. war" (and Milosevic wasn't an imminent threat either), but Dean (and Clark and Kerry and almost everyone else in the Democratic Party) had no problem with it. Posted at 12:33 PM WOOPS [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: That's a misuse of salient (``I don't know how salient that is for electoral politics'') unless you're personifying electoral politics; "salient for'' needs a perceiver for whom it stands out. Posted at 12:28 PM DEAN AND MCGOVERN [Ramesh Ponnuru] A must-read from Lawrence Kaplan. Posted at 12:20 PM NASA TV [Stanley Kurtz] I’ve never paid attention to the NASA channel, but since the Mars landing, I’ve surfed there from time to time. On the one hand, the “programming,” if you can call it that, is almost ludicrously unprofessional. For starters, there’s a lot of dead air. I’ve also seen an “interview” featuring totally inaudible questions, with answers from an expert who doesn’t know when he’s on camera. The taped segments are completely lacking in commentary. Nonetheless, the channel is enthralling. There is spectacular footage of the rover’s take-off, shot from the rocket itself. The constantly replayed footage of the exaltation in the control room during the landing is wonderful to look at. And the very detailed animation of the craft’s take-off, landing, and operation (although it could sure use some commentary) is worth significantly more than a thousand words. (It’s very striking to see the similarity between the Martian terrain in this animation and the terrain where the spacecraft has actually landed.) The news conferences can be very interesting as well. I just wonder why this channel’s offerings are so poorly produced. I suppose there’s a reluctance to pour taxpayer money into the venture. But it does seem as though just a little bit of inexpensive effort could make things a whole lot better. They can land a craft on Mars, so why they can’t run a TV channel? In any case, at a time like this, the NASA channel is well worth a look. Posted at 12:15 PM HOMELAND SECURITY [Stanley Kurtz] It’s become increasingly obvious that our new airline security measures are alienating our allies. British pilots would rather not fly with air marshals, and the French think we’re being overly cautious about suspicious passengers. Homeland security is an important concern, of course, but we mustn’t achieve that security at the expense of our alliances. In the end, the more successful strategy is to work with our allies, not at cross purposes. Instead, we’ve unilaterally declared that planes without marshals are forbidden to land at our airports, and insisted on passenger checks that our allies may deem unnecessary. I’m not saying that the safety of our citizens or our landmarks shouldn’t be protected. If we’d been given permission by an international aviation body to ratchet up our security precautions, I wouldn’t hesitate to go along. But as it stands, we’ve been taking a short-sighted, go it alone approach to the problem of homeland security. I hope the administration takes advantage of the opportunity presented by these latest incidents to move to a more multilateral approach. Posted at 12:13 PM "S FACTOR" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Bush is popular because people are stupid. Posted at 12:05 PM BLOG QUESTIONAIRE [Jonah Goldberg] For folks in the media only. Posted at 10:58 AM BUSH = HITLER [Jonah Goldberg] Moveon.org is rehashing the Bush=Hitler thing again (scroll down). I don't really have too much to add to my Bush=Hitler column from a while back (which, I'm proud to say, comes up #2 when you google "Bush Hitler"). But, for the rest of time I will never take any Moveon type seriously when he complains of irrational Clinton hatred. Posted at 10:43 AM ANOTHER [Jonah Goldberg ] And here's another. JihadWatch.org. This officially concludes the new blog announcement session for today. Posted at 10:19 AM RE: BRADLEY ENDORSEMENT OF DEAN [Jonah Goldberg] Considering what Gore said about Bradley, maybe Gore will withdraw his endorsement. Posted at 10:14 AM THE AMERICAN THINKER [ Jonah Goldberg ] A new blog. Posted at 10:10 AM AMERICANS ARE HAPPY [ Jonah Goldberg ] I don't know how salient this is for electoral politics, but Americans are very happy. Posted at 10:08 AM KERRY [Jonah Goldberg] When Kerry says this is the "most important election in a generation," don't you get the sense that he thinks so because this is the election he's in? Posted at 10:05 AM POPPING OFF ABOUT SODA [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Andrew, you livid about banning soda in school? Posted at 09:58 AM TIME PHOTOESSAY [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Many Corner-reader fishermen are especially irate about this caption. Posted at 09:56 AM OUR FAV DEM STRIKES AGAIN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] No, not Howard Dean. Zell Miller. Posted at 09:52 AM FOGGY LOGIC [Kathryn Jean Lopez] WHY does the State Dept still insist on acting as if the Iranian mullahs are civilized, reasonable people acting in the best interest of the people of Iran? Posted at 09:39 AM DANGEROUS TO BE RIGHT IN HIGH SCHOOL [Kathryn Jean Lopez] School officials tell a student writer to stay home for his own good after writing about the need government enforcement of immigration laws. Posted at 09:36 AM HELP--NO TAX CUT? [Rich Lowry] Looking for a quick jump-start on a column critiquing this claim by Howard Dean, that there was no middle-class tax cut. Thoughts, facts, etc., etc. would be appreciated. Here is how he put it last night: "Well, we've got to look at the big picture. If you make over $1 million, you've got a $112,000 tax cut. Sixty percent of us got a $304 tax cut. And the question I have for Americans is, did your college tuition go up more than $304 because the president cut Pell Grants in order to finance his tax cuts for his millionaire friends? How about your property taxes, did they go up more than $304 because the president wouldn't fund special ed, wouldn't fund No Child Left Behind, wouldn't fund COPS and -- how about your health care payments? Did they go up more than $304 because the president cut thousands of people all over America off health care because he wouldn't fund the states' share that they needed to continue to insure people, and that was shifted to insurance and the health care premiums? Middle-class people did not see a tax cut. There was no middle-class tax cut. There was a Bush tax increase with tuitions, with property taxes, with health care premiums, and most middle-class people in this country are worse off because of President Bush's so-called tax cut than they are better off." Posted at 09:26 AM BILL BRADLEY HEARTS DEAN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Well, enough, evidently to endorse him. Posted at 09:09 AM PROFS HEART DEAN [Kathryn Jean Lopez] And they're giving him their money too. Posted at 09:08 AM "THE NEXT GREAT GENERATION" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The Deeds blog, always worth reading: They’re coming home soon. The ground troops who won the war and are building the new paradigm for peace are coming home.Keep reading. Posted at 09:04 AM JOE & ROE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Bill McGurn’s got an excellent piece on Roe and Joe Lieberman and Dems in general in the Journal today. Subscription required for online access. the Lieberman kerfuffle over Roe illustrates the curious position that ruling now occupies in the American body politic. It was radical enough when handed down in 1973. But today it has become less a matter of law than a sacred talisman, the one absolute in a Democratic Party that has never explained why if it's OK to reverse a previous Supreme Court ruling on, say, sodomy, this one decision must remain untouchable. Posted at 08:55 AM DEMS GET D&D ASSIGNMENTS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] This scares me. Posted at 08:45 AM WHO WOULD HAVE GUESSED? [Kathryn Jean Lopez ] Al Franken is a USO guy. Posted at 08:42 AM DON'T WORRY, BE "HAPPY" [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Running a military academy (here, the Air Force Academy) at a time of war, 2004: In the fallout from the scandal, the academy has tried to make the place more humane for freshmen. They are no longer screamed at by their superiors, and the grueling physical training was eased in hopes of giving new cadets a chance to better absorb information on military law, sexual assault, gender sensitivity and other issues. Posted at 08:39 AM DERB IS AVAILABLE [John Derbyshire] ...as a consultant to any presidential candidate wishing to brush up his math. Hourly rates on request. Posted at 08:08 AM SHIELDS AND SPEARS [Tim Graham] Tom Ridge appeared on all three morning shows this morning, since we're still in Orange Alert. But the nets were more excited about the wedding (and coming annulment) of Britney Spears. ABC dwelled on it lovingly. Leftists can't plausibly claim that corporate ownership equals right-wing bias, but they can plausibly claim that corporate ownership can equal a bias toward celebrity "news." Do you think Britney was too uh, drunk to say "um" on the altar? Or did she just say "Hit me baby, one more time?" Posted at 07:58 AM DISFLUENCIES [John Derbyshire] Kathryn: Drinking alcohol may indeed reduce "ums" and "uhs," but I find it adds considerably to such disfluencies as: "Where'd hell'd I put my shacket, I mean chacket, I mean jacket?" and "I mosht shertainly woss NOT makin a pass at you. I just felt myself falling and grabbed at the nearesht protrubra... pertrubbah... protuberation... shticking-out thing." Posted at 07:56 AM INTERVIEW WITH CHARLES MURRAY [John Derbyshire] Excellent interview with Charles Murray on Toogood Reports. Best Murrayism: "When you spend your life as I do, getting up every morning and spending your work time exactly as you wish, it takes a little imagination to feel sorry for yourself." Posted at 07:55 AM BUSH-HATING REACHES A NEW LOW [Kathryn Jean Lopez] Posted at 06:19 AM UM...ER [Kathryn Jean Lopez] That's it. My new year's resolution is to drink more. See why. Anyone care to subsidize The Corner bar? Posted at 06:15 AM WHAT WE HAVE TO LOOK FORWARD TO [Dave Kopel] Wait till Dean is campaigning for the Arab vote in Michigan. He'll say his favorite book of the Old Testament is Sura 17, the "Night Journey" to Jerusalem. However, Dean will favor a modern version in which Mohammed traveled from Mecca to Jersusalem by bicycle. Posted at 05:56 AM JUST A GUESS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] But Britney was sober when she got married ina Las Vegas chapel? Sure. And there was no football on this past week either. Posted at 05:29 AM TIGERS 21 - SOONERS 14 [Rod Dreher] WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO-HOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! Posted at 12:15 AM Sunday, January 04, 2004 CENTRISTS FOR SOYLENT GREEN? [Tim Graham] K-Lo, Gov. McGreevey may have signed the most liberal cloning bill in the country, but just a few days ago, the New York Times was telling readers he was a centrist: "McGreevey Endorses Dean, Giving Him Centrist Boost." Posted at 11:49 PM TIME AT THE RANCH [Kathryn Jean Lopez] In a Time photoessay on the president in Crawford, it's not until you're six photos in that you realize maybe he didn't actually take a holiday from being president (the only one in ten that suggests such a thing). Posted at 11:46 PM DEAN'S BIBLICAL GAFFE [John Derbyshire] Rick: Tom Sawyer would have been sympathetic. Here he is in Chapter 4, the scene where the county judge drops in on Mr. Walters's Sunday school class. Tom has just won a Bible-study prize by fraudulent means, and been presented to the judge, who says: "And now you wouldn't mind telling me and this lady some of the things you've learned--no, I know you wouldn't--for we are proud of little boys that learn. Now, no doubt you know the names of all the twelve disciples. Won't you tell us the names of the first two that were appointed?" Tom was tugging at a button-hole and looking sheepish. He blushed, now, and his eyes fell. Mr. Walters' heart sank within him. He said to himself, it is not possible that the boy can answer the simplest question--why DID the Judge ask him? Yet he felt obliged to speak up and say: "Answer the gentleman, Thomas--don't be afraid." Tom still hung fire. "Now I know you'll tell me," said the lady. "The names of the first two disciples were--" "DAVID AND GOLIATH!" Let us draw the curtain of charity over the rest of the scene. Posted at 11:13 PM DEAN AND JOB [Rick Brookhiser] Perhaps Dr. Dean was making a very subtle theological point, implying that Job's questions and the rather oblique, however grand answer given to them by God, leave unfinished business that is only resolved in the New Testament. But somehow I don't think so... Posted at 03:42 PM RE: CHURCHILL AND TAXES [John Derbyshire] "I would cheerfully die for my country, but I'll do anything I can to get out of paying taxes. Nobody is patriotic about taxes."---G. Orwell (from memory). Posted at 02:50 PM "ALLEGEDLY" OUTRAGE [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The word "allegedly" is forever abused, but this Columbus Dispatch piece has a classic: [Bush] insisted Iraq comply with years of United Nations’ resolutions. When the Iraqi ruler allegedly refused, Bush led an effort that destroyed Saddam Hussein’s regime. Since then, he has pushed Congress for billions of dollars to build stable democracies in Afghanistan and Iraq.... Posted at 02:49 PM FOOLISH ON THE FAR LEFT [Tim Graham] From the home brewery in Milwaukee, we learn that the local "alternative" paper, the Shepherd Express, lines up with Stuttaford's strange species: they celebrate Fidel Castro as a "Big Time Winner" of 2003, since he was, get this -- "Elected to a sixth term since 1976 at the age of 76." PS: Former Doobie Brothers lead singer Michael McDonald performed at a Kucinich benefit in Austin, Texas. Perhaps his biggest hit for the Doobies was, well, "What A Fool Believes." Posted at 02:44 PM RE: 2008 [Tim Graham] Ramesh, if 2003 taught us anything, it's that predicting presidential nominees four or five years in advance is a fool's game. Or at least in predicting Democrat nominees. On the Republican side, it's a little more predictable, which as a fan of underdogs (the Milwaukee Brewers, for example), I tend to resent. Four years ago, I really felt the Bush family had done enough for the GOP and the Clintons, thank you. But if they do this again with Jeb, Chuck Hagel ought to be a welcome sight for the Bushies. John McCain's maddening and completely media-inflated campaign is what drove me to the polls for Dubya. Hagel could also have that unifying stop-the-media's-favorite-Republican effect. Posted at 02:38 PM RE: EAGLETON [Tim Graham] Andrew, I always get nostalgic for my college years in below-zero Bemidji when I hear knuckleheads try to reconcile Marxism and Christianity. I once had a colleague in the university public-relations department that insisted on their compatibility, based mainly on their sympathy for the poor. You could either start laughing at the theoretical problems -- how a man who thought religion was the opiate of the people matched up with Jesus, how the Bible teaches the poor will always be with you even allowing for a dictatorship of the proletariat. Or the humbling realities on the ground -- even in the mid-80s, you couldn't make much of a case that communism was a great deal for the poor. Guess what? You still get hunger and slums, and the secret police as a bonus. Posted at 02:37 PM JOB DESCRIPTION [Andrew Stuttaford] A detailed knowledge of the Bible is hardly a requirement for presidential candidates (and nor should it be), and, under pressure, it’s always easy to make a silly mistake, but can you imagine what the media would have said if Dan Quayle had made this gaffe: ”Asked his favorite New Testament book, Dr. Dean named Job...An hour after his comments, Dr. Dean returned to the clutch of reporters, saying he realized he had misspoken because Job is not in the New Testament…” Posted at 02:08 PM QUOTE OF THE DAY [Andrew Stuttaford] There’s a good story in today’s Sunday Telegraph about Churchill’s extensive battles with the British tax authorities. Will this damage the great man’s reputation? Historian Andrew Roberts doesn’t think so: "I do not think these disclosures will make people think any less of Churchill. I think if people had to choose between the Inland Revenue and the man who saved Western civilisation they would opt for the latter." Posted at 02:07 PM FIGHTING THE BRAVE NEW WORLD [Kathryn Jean Lopez] The most useful website for information on the bill is the New Jersey Right to Life Committee's website; Marie Tasy there has been doing yeomen's work their against tremendous odds. To give you a quick feel for the look and feel of it all: I'm told thegovernor will have Christopher Reeve by his side as he signs the bill today. Posted at 01:53 PM HAPPY EPIPHANY [Kathryn Jean Lopez] New Jersey's Catholic governor James McGreevey (who can be reached here) is celebrating the feast of the Epiphany today by signing into law the most liberal cloning law in the country (details here--NRO's been closely following the issue throughout its more than year-long gestation). 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