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DERB FOR THE AGES [John Derbyshire] I have made the following online dictionary of quotations -- with a Corner posting! (I'm right there between Chauncey Depew and Rene Descartes.) Posted at 01:47 PM RE: ONOMASTICS WATCH [John Derbyshire] From a reader named Roger: "Mr. Derbyshire---Actually, Bates Gill has been around quite a while doing "(perky annoying secretary) Your name is Michael Bolton? "(grumbling reply) Yes "(perky annoying secretary) Any relation to the singer? "(grumbling reply) No, it's just a coincidence. "(cube mate) I don't know why you get so discouraged. There's nothing wrong "(M. Bolton) There WAS nothing wrong with my name. Until I was about 12 "(cube mate) Well, why don't you just go by Mike then? "(M. Bolton) Why should I change MY name? He's the one that sucks." Somehow, after Microsoft Windows has crashed for the umpteenth time at CSIS, Posted at 01:39 PM NOT SO BEAUTIFUL [Andrew Stuttaford] One of the most remarkable aspects of the current conflict with militant Islam is the way in which it has revealed the self-loathing that runs through so much of the western intelligentsia. Here’s Roberto Benigni, the actor/director of Life is Beautiful. Now he’s making a movie about the Iraq war. The BBC has more. “In a further interview on Italian Rai TV, Benigni criticised the West's role in the Iraq violence. "Westerners are running the show, all of those doing these things have studied in the West, it is not the Easterners. We know how many dreams the East gives, and how grateful we are to the East and love all its beautiful things." What a statement. Not only is it utterly inaccurate, it also simultaneously manages to denigrate the West and patronize the East. Its real objective? To show Benigni’s moral superiority over the rest of us. Posted at 12:40 PM CROOKS [Andrew Stuttaford] Marta Andreassen was the EU’s chief accountant. In 2002 she went public with a statement of the blindingly obvious : that the EU’s systems were open to corruption. She’s about to get her reward. Posted at 12:36 PM NO SPIN ZONE [Andrew Stuttaford] Britain’s Tories, still wrestling with the problem of how, um, to actually win something have just been pushed into fourth place in a by-election (a special election) for a seat in the British parliament behind the anti-EU, but more than a touch odd, UK Independence Party. Here is the response by the Conservative’s defense spokesman: “A f***ing awful result.” Refreshing. Posted at 11:47 AM GRAHAM GREENE - HIS CENTENARY TODAY [Andrew Stuttaford] Flawed, fascinating – and, for this, eternal gratitude: the man responsible for dreaming up the greatest film ever made. “Major Calloway (Trevor Howard): That sounds like a cheap novelette.” “Holly Martins (Joseph Cotten): Well, I write cheap novelettes.” Posted at 11:39 AM DIXIE CUPCAKES [Andrew Stuttaford] Here, on Reason’s website is this from Julian Sanchez: "I just saw the Dixie Chicks on Bill Maher claiming that "corporate bans" on their music (i.e. stations deciding not to run their music for a while) were "against the Constitution." Can they possibly have been involved in this whole bruhaha for this long and not found one person to explain how the First Amendment works?" Well, they might have found someone to explain. Whether they could have understood is an entirely different question. Posted at 11:31 AM ONOMASTICS WATCH [John Derbyshire] "According to Bates Gill of the Centre for Strategic and International Whoa! "Bates Gill"? Is that some kind of bizarro version of the great Or are the Pod People taking over? Shall I wake up tomorrow and find that Or do I just need another cup of coffee? Posted at 10:04 AM SCALIA CORRECTION [Stanley Kurtz] It seems I misunderstood the information I received earlier on Justice Scalia's speech. Of course, the remarks were taken out of context, exactly as I and Ed Whelan have said. But the text of the speech as a whole is not for public release. Apparently, Justice Scalia has made a copy of the speech available to the Supreme Court's public information office strictly for purposes of clarifying the misinterpretation of the lines in question. But the speech as a whole is not for public release in printed form. My apologies for the misunderstanding. Posted at 10:03 AM BUSH CAMPAIGN LAPTOPS STOLEN IN WASHINGTON STATE [KJL] Posted at 09:47 AM CRAPPY FURNITURE KILLS [KJL] Three die in a stampede at the opening of the first Saudi Ikea. Before Ikea execs complain--I have purchased said furniture in my time. It's a term of endearment. Posted at 09:44 AM "KERRY....IS A VIRTUAL WALKING UNITED NATIONS" [KJL] October Suprise: John Kerry is a descendent of the Prophet Mohammad. Posted at 09:41 AM THE WASHINGTON WHATEVERS [John J. Miller] Washington's new baseball team probably will have to wait a while before it gets a name, as Bud Selig says he wants the new owners (who haven't bought the team yet) to decide. The Washington Post is running a poll here. The clear frontrunner is the Senators, a traditional choice. The clear second-place option is the Grays, another traditional but less-known name. Then there's the rest of the pack, which includes the Washington Monuments, a name that tends to make the rounds when D.C. has a sports-name competition (as it did a few years ago when basketball's Bullets become the Wizards). The Washington Cicadas is sort of interesting, but I can hear the jokes now ("a winning season every 17 years"). And here's an interesting one: the Washington Filibusters. I like the congressional reference as well as the historical one. (Wouldn't it be neat if the Washington Filibusters played a series in a liberated Havana?) But there's a nickname problem: What are we supposed to call them? The Fillies? Or the Busters? Posted at 07:19 AM MOORE MONEY [John J. Miller] The cost of tuition at George Mason University (in-state, one semester, full schedule): $2,724. The cost of bringing Michael Moore to GMU as a speaker: $35,000. The cost of watching GMU cancel Moore's appearance after learning of his exorbitant fees: Priceless. Posted at 06:28 AM Friday, October 01, 2004 THE ACLU [Ramesh Ponnuru] Having spun much of the press on the claim that part of the Patriot Act was struck down in court the other day, the ACLU is now furious that Orin Kerr at volokh.com has managed mostly to un-spin it. Look carefully at the press release, and you'll see that the ACLU doesn't really even try to maintain that the court struck down any legal change that was made by the Patriot Act. Now this is, as Kerr noted in his first post on the media misrepresentation of the case, a side-issue: Whether the court made the right decision is more important than what relation that decision had to the Patriot Act. But the ACLU seems to think that it's politically important to make people think that Patriot has taken a hit, and it just hasn't. Posted at 04:24 PM DO REPUBLICANS [Ramesh Ponnuru] only care about people before they're born? Kevin Miller on an old saw from pro-life (and, for that matter, pro-choice) liberals. Posted at 04:13 PM BUSH IN ALLENTOWN [Ramesh Ponnuru] This morning--he sounds much better than he did last night. Excerpts: "My opponent last night said our troops deserve better. They certainly deserve better than they got from Senator Kerry when he voted to send them to war, and then voted against funding our troops in combat. . . . "You may remember his famous quote about the supplemental funding that I sent up to Congress. He said: I actually did vote for the $87 billion, right before I voted against it. . . . Last night, he said he made a mistake in how he talked about that vote. But the mistake wasn't what Senator Kerry said. The mistake was what Senator Kerry did. . . . "He said he was proud of his vote. And, finally, he said the whole thing was a complicated matter. Then he had a new wrinkle, a new explanation. During an interview this week, he described it as a protest vote. "When we put American troops in harm's way, they certainly deserve better than to have a candidate for President use them as a protest. "Last night, Senator Kerry only continued his pattern of confusing contradictions. After voting for the war, after saying my decision to remove Saddam Hussein from power was the right decision -- (applause) -- he now says it was all a mistake. "But asked a logical question, does that mean our troops are dying for a mistake? [AUDIENCE: No!] "That's what he said, no. You can't have it both ways. You can't say it's a mistake and not a mistake. You can't be for getting rid of Saddam Hussein when things look good, and against it when times are hard. You can't claim terrorists are pouring across the border into Iraq, yet at the same time try to claim that Iraq is somehow a diversion for war against terrorism. The President cannot keep changing his mind. The President must speak clearly. And the President must mean what he says. . . . "The cornerstone of Senator Kerry's plan for Iraq is that he would convene a summit. "I've been to a lot of summits. I've never seen a meeting that would depose a tyrant, or bring a terrorist to justice. . . . "One other point I want to make about the debate last night. Senator Kerry last night said that America has to pass some sort of global test before we can use American troops to defend ourselves. He wants our national security decisions subject to the approval of a foreign government. "Listen, I'll continue to work with our allies and the international community -- but I will never submit America's national security to an international test. The use of troops to defend America must never be subject to a veto by countries like France. The President's job is not to take an international poll -- the President's job is to defend America." Posted at 04:09 PM FREED ITALIAN HOSTAGE DEFENDS TERRORISTS [KJL] Posted at 03:59 PM RE: HOME COMPUTER NETWORK [John Derbyshire] Wow! What a readership! My "Home network" in-folder just went over 300, and they are still coming in. God bless you all, and I am going to spend my weekend perusing your advice. From the ones I've seen so far, there are opinions on both sides (i.e. wireless and cable), but there are also factors I hadn't thought of (e.g. comparative SPEED, TV access, etc.) & the topic needs some careful weighing. At any rate, thanks to you readers, I probably have the world's best database of experienced advice on this topic. Many thanks to all. Posted at 03:57 PM KERRY VS. KERRY [KJL] Posted at 03:44 PM NRO COLUMNIST CATHY SEIPP IS ON DENNIS MILLER TONIGHT, FYI [KJL] Frequent contributor Carrie Lukas was on last night, but I found out too late to mention, apologies--heard it was good though! Posted at 03:41 PM RE MT. ST. HELENS ERUPTING [Cliff May] This would not be happening had Bush and Cheney done better planning. But what an appropriate occasion for a – you guessed it – summit meeting. Posted at 03:40 PM BOOKCASE BLUES [Jack Fowler] NRites and NROians are, if nothing else, readers, every year consuming gobs of books and papers and anything else that holds or projects the written word. I know one fine Corner denizen with so many volumes that he rents warehouse space to keep his massive (and growing) collection. Alas, no conservative’s bookcase is truly complete unless its sagging shelves contain a personally autographed copy of Bill Buckley’s critically acclaimed literary autobiography, Miles Gone By. This book is a keepsake, all the more so with WFB’s trademark red signature adorning the title page. Get your copy here . Posted at 03:25 PM LT. SMASH VS. ARMCHAIR GENERAL KERRY [KJL] Posted at 03:18 PM MT. ST. HELENS IS EVIDENTLY ERUPTING [KJL] Posted at 03:13 PM MORE SCALIA [Stanley Kurtz] Kathryn, I’m now told that Justice Scalia has given a copy of the text of his speech to the Supreme Court’s public information office. So if people want to see the context for themselves, they can. More important, they will find a powerful and timely speech on the problem of our courts by Justice Scalia. Posted at 03:11 PM MEET THE PRESS [KJL] Kate will be on Sunday. Posted at 03:05 PM KERRYSPOT GOES BACK TO TORA BORA [KJL] Posted at 02:40 PM RE: SCALIA [Stanley Kurtz] Kathryn, re the Scalia remarks, I just received the following comment from Ed Whelan, President of the Ethics and Public Policy Center in Washington DC, where Scalia made the remarks I heard: Justice Scalia gave a speech here on Sept. 20. (That’s the one Stanley Kurtz attended.) In that speech, he made the point that even if one were to adopt arguendo the assumption that orgies are socially beneficial, that assumption wouldn’t entitle judges to strike down laws against orgies. As a former clerk of his, I am certain that he made this same arguendo point at Harvard. Evidently it was a tad too subtle for the Crimson reporter. Posted at 02:34 PM FACTCHECK [Mark R. Levin] I don't mean to be picky, but another of Kerry's factual errors includes his statement that the Korean War armistice occurred in 1952; it was signed on July 27, 1953. Posted at 02:28 PM INVADING TUNISIA [Cliff May] Germany did indeed declare war on the US after Pearl Harbor. But the US was already at war with Saddam in 2003. The Gulf War never ended – there was only a ceasefire. Saddam continued to claim that he had won the Gulf War, that the US had been defeated, as demonstrated, for instance, by the fact that he was still in power while George H.W. Bush had been removed from office. There are monuments in Iraq celebrating this great victory. Saddam never complied with the obligations he undertook in order to establish the ceasefire. That should have rendered the ceasefire null and void. That could have been the path on which Bush proceeded to renewed hostilities. Instead he went to the UN for its blessings and got resolution 1441, in which the entire Security Council agreed that Saddam had not accounted for the WMD he was known to have had. The resolution states that if Saddam did not fulfill his obligations immediately, serious consequences must follow. And that’s what happened. Posted at 01:54 PM TRUST BUT VERIFY [Jim Robbins] Note also this detail about Acheson's 1962 mission to de Gaulle -- after saying he did not need to see the evidence of Soviet offensive weapons in Cuba, the French President spent some time inspecting the photographs very carefully. A CIA report on the meeting can be found here. Posted at 01:46 PM SPAIN MOVES TOWARD GAY MARRIAGE [KJL] Posted at 01:35 PM "A SWAGGERING CANON OF IDEOLOGY" [Jonathan H. Adler] That's the Yale Free Press. I was editor of the YFP way back when -- shortly after it's revival in the late 1980s -- but it's grown up quite a bit since then. Posted at 01:34 PM GAULLISTS FOR BUSH [Jim Robbins] From the New York Times, October 28, 1962, during the Cuban Missile Crisis: "The American action coincides with the prevailing view in French government circles, beginning with President de Gaulle, that firmness and steady nerves constitute the best formula for dealing with Soviet threats. This has been the unswerving French line whenever a question has been raised of rushing to a summit meeting to negotiate." Looks like de Gaulle would not have thought much of Kerry's insistance that summitry is the highest art of diplomacy. Posted at 01:27 PM SEAL FIGHTS [Jonathan H. Adler] Don't worry Jonah. I'm sure that sort of thing is illegal in California. (But if you want to talk about misleading headlines for Corner posts . . .). Posted at 01:25 PM HOME COMPUTER NETWORK -- A BLEG [John Derbyshire] I am in the early planning stages of upgrading the Derb computers. Final result will be a home network (in my 3-storey house -- computers on all 3 floors). Naturally I've been thinking of a wireless home network. However, because of some remodeling I'm doing, it would be no big thing to "fish" cables through all the necessary wall cavities. Seems to me a cable network would be more robust and secure than a wireless one. But is that right? Is the difference worth bothering with? Shall I end up paying more for my machines with cable connectors, since manufacturers assume everyone wants wireless nowadays? If my desktops are all cable-connected, can I still network in a wireless laptop? Any brief, knowledgeable comments much appreciated. To olimu@optonline.net, please, with subject line WIRELESS OR CABLE. Thank you in advance. Posted at 01:15 PM RE: ALL HAIL CHARLES DE GAULLE [Jack Fowler] The supposed hunky-doriness of U.S.-French relations that Senator Kerry pined for in last night’s debate is trés bogus. This is from the September 18, 1995 issue of Time: Last May, finally, enter the tanned, energetic Jacques Chirac, eager to reassert raison d’etat and make a splash, unfortunately too literally. Chirac, though, was acting totally in national character. Daring to be different is nothing new for France, where galling allies is as enduring a national pastime as boules. Winston Churchill, who was host to Charles de Gaulle after the majority of his guest’s countrymen had capitulated to the Nazis, grumbled famously that of all the wartime crosses he bore, the heaviest was the Free French leader’s Cross of Lorraine. It didn’t help that De Gaulle constantly nattered on about how France was the “light of the world; its destiny is to illuminate the universe.” General Dwight Eisenhower managed to avoid gagging, but did complain that of all the Allies he was supremely commanding, “those damn French” were by far the most nettlesome.Makes your blood boil. By the way 1: If we should remember anything about France, the U.S., and John Kerry, it should be how he was there in the early 1970s playing diplomat-wanna-be with Viet Cong. By the way 2: I can’t wait to read John Miller’s book. Posted at 01:11 PM RE: BUSTED? [Ramesh Ponnuru] (I'm referring to Rich's 8:18 am post.) I don't see why Bush couldn't have said something along these lines: "Far from being a setback to our campaign to keep rogue states from going nuclear, developing low-yield nuclear weapons is an indispensable part of that campaign. We have to be able to hit weapons they've hidden underground. And we have to have an option between dropping a big bomb and doing nothing. John Kerry is letting his knee-jerk left-wing instincts get in the way of national security here." How hard was that? Posted at 12:55 PM YET MORE ON POLAND [Jim Robbins] I think it is a good time to remind people about the history of Polish assistance to new democracies, in particular the contribution made by Tadeusz Kosciuszko , George Washington's Chief Engineer, a hero of Saratoga, architect and first commander of West Point. There is a monument to him overlooking the Hudson and another in Lafayette Park. His remarkable contributions show that mere numbers aren't everything -- and I'll take the 4,000 Poles in Iraq over ten times the number of Kerry's alleged international supporters. Posted at 12:50 PM NEGATIVISM [Ramesh Ponnuru] I'm getting emails like the ones Derb describes, from people who think we were too tough on Bush last night. The snap polls suggested that most people thought Bush lost--although they didn't change their minds about the race. The Bush campaign seems to think he lost, too. (Ryan Lizza reports from Spin Alley last night: "Across the room, White House communications director Dan Bartlett, beads of sweat glistening on his forehead, resorts to a very odd line of spin. He lowers expectations for Bush after the debate is already over. 'President Bush spoke the only way he knows how,' he says. 'He's never been labeled the most eloquent and articulate speaker.'") Posted at 12:47 PM THE I-HOPE-LEDEEN-WASN'T-WATCHING MOMENT OF THE DEBATE [KJL] KErry on Iran: "I think the United States should have offered the opportunity to provide the nuclear fuel, test them, see whether or not they were actually looking for it for peaceful purposes. If they weren't willing to work a deal, then we could have put sanctions together" Posted at 12:46 PM LIBYA DEMANDS PERMANENT U.N. SEAT [KJL] Posted at 12:42 PM ANOTHER THING ON POLAND [Jim Robbins] A reader writes: "LOTS of Polish-American voters in Ohio, Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. I wonder how they like Kerry dissing Poland?" Great point. Poland may not be good enough for Kerry's "Grand Coalition" but I hope Polish Americans send Kerry a message. Posted at 12:38 PM SCALIA'S ORGIES [Stanley Kurtz] Kathryn, the Drudge link on the Scalia remarks isn’t working right now, but I was at a talk recently where Justice Scalia did make a comment of the kind being quoted. It’s ridiculous to think he meant it literally. As I recall, Scalia was simply giving a kind of reductio ad absurdum example of the sort of legal reasoning he disagrees with. No one in the room thought he was actually advocating orgies. Posted at 12:37 PM TAKE A LOOK, CLICK, SIGN UP [KJL] We have a bunch of new ads up around NRO. Check out the homepage: Club for Growth video. Committee on the Present Danger free journal and more. They're interesting, informative, and help NRO. Posted at 12:35 PM GIVE LOCKHART THE AXE, SHE SINGS [KJL ] Cher gives Bob Shrum campaign advice. Posted at 12:08 PM YET MORE RE: INVADING MEXICO [Peter Robinson] From yet another fine reader: [Kerry's] remark was even more moronic than you imply. What was the first country FDR invaded after Pearl Harbor? Tunisia! Posted at 12:07 PM RE: INVADING MEXICO [Peter Robinson] From a reader: You can take that one step further. If FDR had followed the Kerry plan, we wouldn’t be going after Japan so much as those pilots who were flying those planes over Pearl Harbor. I can almost hear Kerry circa 1944, “it’s been three years and those pilots are all still at large!” Posted at 12:06 PM SECONDHAND READ ON SCALIA [KJL] I'm getting a lot of e-mails from people worried about Scalia's orgy comment. My guess is it was sarcasm of some sort that went over everyone's head. As one person familiar with the justice and his personality noted this morning: "To paraphrase Justice Scalia in MCI v. AT&T, there is such a thing as sarcasm. " [Ref: "It might be good English to say that the French Revolution 'modified' the status of the French nobility -- but only because there is a figure of speech called understatement and a literary device known as sarcasm." MCI v AT&T, 512 US 218 (1994). ] Posted at 12:02 PM INVADING MEXICO [Andrew Stuttaford] Pedantic point, Peter, but I seem to recall that Germany declared war on the US - not the other way round. Posted at 11:58 AM MORE GLOBAL TEST [Rich Lowry] If you're into the global test exchange, here's your video. Posted at 11:52 AM ALL HAIL CHARLES DE GAULLE [John J. Miller] My new book -- Our Oldest Enemy: A History of America's Disastrous Relationship with France, co-authored by Mark Molesky -- official comes out on Tuesday. NRO is scheduled to run a few excerpts next week. Meanwhile, I've set up a website -- oldestenemy.com -- that features a news blog. Since the current topic on The Corner is last night's debate, I thought I'd share today's posting: John Kerry told a seriously misleading story about Franco-American relations in last night's presidential debate. "We can remember when President Kennedy in the Cuban missile crisis sent his secretary of state to Paris to meet with de Gaulle. And in the middle of the discussion, to tell them about the missiles in Cuba, he said, 'Here, let me show you the photos.' And DeGaulle waved them off and said, 'No, no, no, no. The word of the president of the United States is good enough for me.'" First of all, Kerry botched a detail. JFK didn't send his own secretary of state; he sent Dean Acheson, who was Truman's. (Kerry knows this, because he told this part of the tale correctly in his NYU speech.) But more important, Kerry tried to invoke a golden age of Franco-American friendship which in fact is a myth. It certainly didn't exist when de Gaulle was around. No American president cared for the French leader. FDR called him "unreliable, uncooperative, and disloyal." Truman branded him an "SOB." And in the 1960s, Acheson publicly said de Gaulle was not "a dependable or effective ally." It is accurate to say de Gaulle was marginally helpful during the Cuban Missile Crisis, but it's wrong to suggest that all was sweetness and light between the United States and Gaullist France during the Cold War--when de Gaulle was quitting NATO and condemning American involvement in Vietnam. If Kerry wants to improve relations with France, he has chosen a poor model. Posted at 11:50 AM ANOTHER TAKE [Ramesh Ponnuru] on the debates, this one from the futures markets. Posted at 11:43 AM GLOBAL TEST ALL OVER W'S ALLENTOWN RALLY RIGHT NOW [KJL] "The presidents job is not to take an international poll. The president's job is to defend America." Posted at 11:40 AM DESPERATELY SEEKING BOW WOW [Peter Robinson] Father of five seeks poodle puppy--and, since it turns out that puppies are for some unknown reason harder to find than they were when he was a kid himself, seeks puppy desperately. Must be poodle. (We have some allergy problems in the house, and poodles don't shed. And all the books say that poodles are smart, a critical point, since wife insists on a pet with the brains to get with the program.) Anyone who can recommend a breeder in the Bay Area will be thanked as a delivering angel. Posted at 11:39 AM KERRY'S SMIRK [Jim Robbins] One thing that greatly annoyed me during the debate was when Senator Kerry was dissing our Coalition partners in Iraq in his usual way. The President said, "You forgot Poland" and Kerry smirked. His contempt was clearly visible. Just more evidence he is not up to the job of diplomat in chief. Posted at 11:37 AM INVADING MEXICO [Peter Robinson] One good thing--maybe the only good thing--about engaging in shouting matches on the tube every so often is whenever I do so I learn something surprising. This morning? With an air of utter confidence and superiority, Phil Angelides repeated Kerry's line last night that if you believe we should have invaded Iraq after 9/11 you must also believe that FDR should have invaded Mexico after the attack on Pearl Harbor. I'd thought the line so fatuous when Kerry used it last night that I was sure I'd never hear it again. But the Kerry folks must think it's a winner. Astounding, no? I mean, the answer is obvious. If you believe we shouldn't have invaded Iraq, going to war only with fully signed-up members of al Qaeda, then you must also believe that FDR shouldn't have gone to war with Germany, limiting himself to Japan. Posted at 11:36 AM FOR SAMUEL BECKETT FANS [John Derbyshire] This is perfect. Posted at 11:35 AM RE: KOB [KJL] Here's where the Kerry blog picked that up last night, out of context, as noted here. Posted at 11:31 AM NO CONTEXT [Mark R. Levin] But the media and Democrats are NOT providing Kate's full statement, just her first sentence, which is all that's being circulated by the Kerryites. Posted at 11:28 AM SHWEEOOO [Jonah Goldberg] Jon Adler's post headlined "LA SEAL FIGHT JOINED" conjured a completely different mental image than what he intended. I was picturing two seals in a pit with crowds of wagering Los Angelinos cheering-on the poor creatures when suddenly....oh never mind. Posted at 11:26 AM AROUND TOWN: ON DEBATE AND MORE [KJL] David Yepsen: "Narrow Victory" for Kerry John Podhoretz: Booooooorrrring. Hugh Hewitt: "Disaster for Kerry" Fred Barnes: Won't Change Race Dynamics Lilleks: " Summits are convened not to solve a problem but solve the perception that there is a problem. " Cliff May: Were Other Iraq Options Better? Dave Shiflett: A Baptist-bashing Crawford, Texas, newspaper endorses Kerry. Posted at 11:24 AM KATE'S WORDS [Jonah Goldberg] Peter - Alas, the DNC was monitoring the Corner last night and shortly after the debate ended their talking points included comments from several of us. I am sure some folks will say -- a la Derb's correspondents who want us to deny Bush's poor speaking skills -- that this means we shouldn't speak our minds around here. But that's a non-starter. Posted at 11:22 AM KATE, YOUR WORDS GET AROUND [Peter Robinson] Just appeared on the Fox affiliate out here in San Francisco, discussing the debate with Phil Angelides, the state treasurer and a co-chairman of Kerry's campaign in California. Angelides's opening remark? "Kerry won the debate, but don't take my word for it. Kate O'Beirne, who writes for the very conservative National Review magazine, said she thought Bush was repetitive and tongue-tied." I was prepared to attack Angelides, of course, but attack the Blessed Kate? I found myself reduced to stammering an agreement that Bush had had better nights. Let the record show that Kate O'Beirne owes Peter Robinson a beer. Posted at 11:18 AM THE POST-DEBATE [Ramesh Ponnuru] After the first presidential debate in 2000, the Bush campaign managed to win the spin war by making an issue out of Gore's fibs/lies. This time around, the media is unlikely to be as receptive to the Bush campaign message--the journalistic consensus is that the media was too easy on Bush and hard on Gore. (I know, I know.) But the debate seems to me to have given the Bush campaign more to work with than the Kerry campaign got. Was there an equivalent of the "global test" moment for Bush, for example? I don't think so. Posted at 11:13 AM RE: MOORE'S MOOLAH [Jonah Goldberg] What really bothers me about Moore's speaking fee is that a couple schools have booked me as a conservative counterweight to Moore. Balance, diversity, etc etc. Now, I don't really care what the motives of these administrators if it gets me booked -- even if I find disgusting the notion that I'm anything like Michael Moore. However, $35 Grand! I get a lot less than that. Talk about buying ideological diversity on the cheap! Posted at 11:07 AM FRANKS V. KERRY [Jonathan H. Adler] Instapundit reports Gen. Tommy Franks disputed Kerry's claims on Tora Bora. Posted at 11:06 AM L.A. SEAL FIGHT JOINED [Jonathan H. Adler] The Claremont Institute's Center for Constitutional Jurisprudence is challenging the city of Los Angeles' decision to remove the cross from its public seal. The seal change was prompted by a suit from liberal activists claiming the cross constituted a violation of the Constitution's establishment clause. Claremont claims this is a misreading of the clause, and that altering the seal is a colossal waste of taxpayer funds. Posted at 11:05 AM ACLU MISLED THE PRESS [Jonathan H. Adler] Orin Kerr identifies the probable reason most of the press got the "Patriot Act" case wrong: The ACLU press release claimed their lawsuit invalidated a major part of the Patriot Act, even though it didn't. Posted at 11:04 AM OATH BREAKERS UNITE! [Jonathan H. Adler] Eddie Lazarus famously broke his oath of confidentiality as a Supreme COurt clerk when he wrote the book Closed Chambers about his time at the Court. Now he's defending the group of Supreme Court clerks who (anonymously) broke their oaths to talk to Vanity Fair about Bush v. Gore. To future Court clerks who may be similarly inclined, Feddie offers some sound advice: "If your politics mean more to you than your honor, then don't accept a judicial clerkship." Posted at 11:03 AM PARENTAL JOYS [Jack Fowler] There’s something truly special about tucking in the young ones and reading them a short story, as they look on, smiling, eyes drooping, happily envisioning the little drama. A kiss on the forehead follows, and it’s off to sweet dreams. We have published a delightful book, The National Review Treasury of Classic Bedtime Stories, that is perfect for these special nighttime moments and that will bring much enjoyment to the little ones in your life. This 360-page book collects ten of Thornton Burgess’s wholesome tales (every one has a clear lesson) of the beloved critters and creatures (Peter Rabbit, Jimmy Skunk, Reddy Fox, and so many more) of the Green Meadows, the Green Forest, the Laughing Brook, and the Brier Patch. Each one of the 10 “adventures” – illustrated by the renowned Harrison Cady – comes in 24 or so chapters, and is ideal for bedtime reading (two or three chapters each night before lights out) by you to your children or grandchildren. The book is also perfect for first- through third-graders who are beginning readers. Burgess’s stories delighted millions of American children over half a century, and we have happily republished them so today’s children can enjoy and learn from them. Every child deserves a good book, especially one a parent or grandparent can trust, so we encourage you to give the special little ones in your life The National Review Treasury of Classic Bedtime Stories. It can be ordered here. And don’t forget that when you purchase any of our “Treasury” titles, you will receive a free copy of Queen Zixi of Ix, or The Story of the Magic Cloak, the story the great L. Frank Baum (author of the classic “Oz” books) said was his best work. Posted at 10:59 AM RFK JR. AT CASE [Jonathan H. Adler] Speaking of celebrities who make false and misleading claims when they speak at college campuses, my critique of RFK Jr.'s speech at Case Western Reserve University last night, and Leonardo DiCaprio's introduction, is here. Posted at 10:58 AM GOOD JOB GMU! [Jonathan H. Adler] George Mason University has rescinded an invitation to Michael Moore to speak on campus. Moore is still free to come to GMU to speak -- as he says he intends to do -- he just won't receive a $35,000 check from a public university for doing so. Moore's been speaking on many college campuses arounf the country trying to increase voter turnout for Kerry. Among other things, Moore has been telling college students that reelecting Bush means the draft will be reinstated. Posted at 10:55 AM RE: GWB ON STAGE [John Derbyshire] A reader who has been spending too much time listening to Dr. Arbuthnot: "Mr. Derbyshire---It's all very well to criticize the man's speaking skills, but public speaking isn't easy, you know. It's tough. It's hard work..." Posted at 10:53 AM FRUSTRATION [KJL] The video on the DNC website, showing Bush's frustration during the debate: Is so silly. It's cheap feed for Bush haters, but useless otherwise, I would think. It actually makes me feel Bush's pain/disgust. It makes me feel better about last night! Posted at 10:46 AM BYRON'S ON LAURA INGRAHAM (NOWISH) [KJL] Posted at 10:32 AM GWB ON STAGE [John Derbyshire] A reader in the Old Dominion state: "John---I can't agree more. I love Bush to death, but he does make me nervous when he speaks. I also grew up cursed to be a Red Sox fan, and honestly, when I watch Bush, it's like watching the Red Sox with a one run lead going into the late innings of a playoff game: You just know they are probably going to screw up so you don't even want to watch. Last night, I got that same feeling." Well said, Sir. But who are these "Red Sox"? Posted at 10:31 AM "INTELLIGENT, BUT DEEPLY FLAWED LEADER" [KJL] I like this take, coming from GOPer this ayem: Kerry needed to dominate this debate. He is an orator and, more importantly, styles himself as such. The fact that he, like Gore, was unable to humiliate our "simpleton president" means he lost. Posted at 10:27 AM SPEAKING GIG [Jonah Goldberg] I'm going to be giving a speech at Cornell this Monday evening. I will post details either later today or over the weekend. Be there or be rhomboid. And I'm sorry for not announcing this earlier, but there was some confusion which is neither interesting nor relevant. Posted at 10:22 AM SCIFI POINTS [KJL] Just want to note I opened the gate to George Lucas this morning. Posted at 10:17 AM LOCKHART [KJL] seems to be focused on Bush's "smirk "this morning. Hard-hitting morning-after work. Posted at 10:10 AM HAIL TO THE CHIEF [John Derbyshire] Gotta admit, I'm getting mighty irritated by readers who think it's outrageous, disloyal, unpatriotic, or something to criticize Pres. Bush and his speaking skills. Listen: GEORGE W. BUSH IS A SIMPLY TERRIBLE PUBLIC SPEAKER. There now. He's a good man and a good President. I shall be voting for him in November, and shall do all that I can, within the bounds of truth and integrity, to help him win. That includes (in my view) hammering away at him to improve on his weaknesses. Though I like GWB and shall be voting for him, I do not believe that the sun shines out from his shirt sleeves. I have never believed that about any national leader. If I were the kind of person who *did* believe that kind of thing, I should go to live in North Korea. Posted at 09:59 AM INTERESTING [KJL] More of what Bush camp is noting: How important is “winning” the first debate? Since 1984, when Gallup began asking the question, “Regardless of which candidate you happen to support, who do you think did the better job in the debate?”, only one candidate to win this measure in the first debate went on to be elected. In 1996, Bill Clinton “won” the first debate and went on to be elected President. Candidates Gore, Perot, Dukakis, and Mondale all “won” their first debates, but failed to win election. Sept. 30, 2004: Kerry 53/ Bush 37 (-16) Oct. 3, 2000: Gore 48/Bush 41 (-7) Oct. 6, 1996 Clinton 51/Dole 32 (-19) Oct. 11, 1992 Perot: 47/Clinton 30/ Bush 16 (-17, -31) Sept. 28, 1998 Dukakis 38/ Bush 29 (-9) Sept. 28-30, 1984 Mondale 54/Reagan 35 (-19) That 84 example is a tad relief. Posted at 09:55 AM THIS IS ANNOYING, BUT, AGAIN, NOT DEVASTATING, I THINK [KJL] How has your opinion of John Kerry/George W. Bush been affected by the debate? Is your opinion of Kerry -- more favorable, less favorable, or has it not changed much? [Names rotated.] More Favorable: Kerry 46%/Bush 21 Less Favorable: Kerry 13/Bush 17 Not Changed Much: Kerry 41/ Bush 62 Here's the Gallup link. Posted at 09:45 AM BUSH: NOT A GREAT SPEAKER, BUT A LEADER [KJL] Looking at Gallup’s post debate polling: ***Demonstrated he is tough enough for the job Bush 54/ Kerry 37 ***Likable Bush 48/Kerry 41 ***Believable Bush 48 / Kerry 45 ***Agreed with you more on the issues you care about Bush 49/ Kerry 46 ***Had a good understanding of the issues 41/41 ***Expressed himself more clearly Bush 32/Kerry 60 On Iraq: Before Debate: 54 said the president would do a better job handling Iraq than Kerry (40) After: 54/43 More, lifted from Bush-campaign readings: John Kerry failed to improve his ratings on “handling the responsibilities of Commander-in-Chief”. Prior to the start of the debate, 55% of voters said they trusted the President with the responsibilities of commander in chief while 42% trusted Kerry. After the debate, 54% trust Bush and 44% trust Kerry (Gallup). Posted at 09:42 AM SOME POLLING POINTS (COMING FROM W CAMP) [KJL] According to the ABC News overnight survey, President Bush’s 4-point lead remains. Before the debate, President Bush led John Kerry 50% to 46%, and after the debate, he led 51% to 47%. Posted at 09:32 AM MORE BIG PICTURE [KJL] A former admin type this morning: " If the campaign does its job right, then we'll be ok since Kerry was all over the board in his message last night. 'Plan,' 'summit,' were the 'lockbox' of this year's debate." Posted at 09:27 AM INTERVIEW -- THE CLICHE EXPERT [John Derbyshire] [Our special correspondent John Derbyshire interviewed the third party candidate Aloysius Arbuthnot the other day. Dr. Arbuthnot is the candidate for the Cliche Party. We shall be publishing the transcript of this interview in instalments.] D--Mr. Arbuthnot, I understand you are running as a third-party candidate in November. A--That's correct, Mr. Derbyshire. I feel the American people should have a choice. D--Perhaps you could explain some of your positions to us. Iraq, for instance. What will you do? A--I have a plan. We need strong alliances. That's what I learned in Vietnam. D--I see. But aren't things going rather badly there right now? A--It's tough. It's hard work. I understand how hard it is. D--Uh-huh. Do you think the major candidates are addressing this properly? A--No. They are not being candid with the American people. D--So let me get this clear. Do you think the war was a mistake in the first place? A--The world is safer without Saddam Hussein. D--Undoubtedly. But what do we do now? A--We don't have enough troops there. But I have a plan to bring them home. D--If the world is safer without Saddam Hussein, wouldn't it be even safer without Kim Jong Il? A--We need a new dialogue with North Korea. Bilateral. Multilateral. Quadrilateral. Heptagonal. Duodecagonal. D--But what's the point of dialogue if they won't honor agreements? A--It's tough. It's hard work.... [To be continued] Posted at 09:25 AM KERRY'S WEAKNESS [John J. Miller] Kerry's arguments on Iraq last night seemed to boil down to one simple point: "I'm not him!" (i.e., he's not Bush). I'm still confused about what Kerry thinks about Iraq, and that's just on the basis of what we heard last night. At one point, he talked to the parents of soldiers and told them he wants to bring their kids back home. At another point, he suggested that we need to stay in past the six-month drawdown he's previously proposed. So, which is it senator? More troops or less? Stay in for the long haul or withdraw? ("I'm not him! I'm not him!") Bush, by contrast, described how the commander in chief faces no more difficult decision than committing troops to combat. His words about the North Carolina widow and her son were both touching and compelling. If I had a kid in Iraq, I'd want Bush in charge. (David Frum makes a similar point here.) Posted at 09:19 AM FACT CHECKING [Jonah Goldberg] Obviously, it's self-serving, but the Bush campaign's fact checking of the debate is useful. Posted at 08:54 AM MORE IRANIAN UNREST [KJL] Posted at 08:53 AM “SUMMIT” [Rich Lowry] Jonah, I agree completely. I guess he needs the summit in order to pass the “global test,” after which Iraq will, of course, be nicely pacified... Posted at 08:52 AM MARRIAGE IN THE HOUSE [Stanley Kurtz] As Ramesh mentioned, yesterday the House voted on an amendment defining marriage as the union of a man and a woman. The vote was 227 in favor, 186 opposed, with 20 not voting. Thirty-six Democrats voted in favor of the amendment and twenty-seven Republicans voted against. Although this fell short of the two-thirds majority needed to pass an amendment, it improved significantly on the vote in the Senate. This vote is part of a long-term effort to pass a Marriage Protection Amendment. Although the moment of truth has not yet arrived, we shall surely get there. For more on how and why a marriage amendment can pass, go here. The debate over the Marriage Protection Amendment was different in the House than it was in the Senate. During the Senate debate, Democrats simply claimed that the Defense of Marriage Act would hold. Almost no Senate Democrats actually argued in favor of same-sex marriage. In the House, though, Democrats from safely liberal districts felt free to advocate for gay marriage. This produced an interesting contradiction. On the one hand, most of the Democratic speakers treated same-sex marriage as a matter of fundamental rights. On the other hand, many of these same Democrats insisted that the issue ought to be left up to the states. But of course, if the analogy between same-sex marriage and civil rights is valid, then the matter cannot be left to the states. On the contrary, if it is truly discriminatory to define marriage as the union of a man and a woman, then gay marriage would have to be imposed on the country as a whole by the courts. So the Democrats make a game of throwing the federalist argument at Republicans. But the truth is, the Democrats are using a civil rights argument virtually guaranteed to bring about what they claim can never happen–court imposed national gay marriage. Posted at 08:50 AM OH YEAH, FORGOT TO MENTION: CLINCHED! [Rich Lowry] Posted at 08:48 AM FROM A BUSH CAMPAIGN AIDE... [Rich Lowry] ...I talked to last night, for what it's worth (quoting roughly): “Anyone who thought we were going to put Kerry away and end the election last night didn't watch the Kerry-Weld debates. That wasn't going to happen. He wasn't going to fall all over himself. Anyone who thought he was going to hasn't followed his career. And if you understand the dynamic of this race, you know nobody is going to put this race away. It was already tightening and is going to continue to tighten. The trend line is toward an even race....” Posted at 08:43 AM SUMMITRY [Jonah Goldberg] Rich - I agree. But I've been thinking about it and I think there's another candidate. One of the amazing things was how when Kerry had to really reach down to his gut to draw out a real example of the sort of superior leadership he would show as President he invariably declared he'd have a summit. Oh how our troops must be hoping against hope that we get a change in Washington and get that summit! I'm sure today in mess halls and fox holes from Basra to Baghdad the men are a-chatter about how the guy who voted against sending them body armor is -- if elected, fingers crossed -- going to hold a summit. From last night: ....I know I can do a better job in Iraq. I have a plan to have a summit with all of the allies.... ....I'm going to hold that summit.... ....But this president hasn't even held the kind of statesman-like summits that pull people together and get them to invest in those states. In fact, he's done the opposite. He pushed them away. ....
Posted at 08:42 AM NOTABLE QUOTABLE [John J. Miller] A few commentators have said that the debate included no memorable lines--no "There you go again" or "You're no Jack Kennedy" moments. Perhaps none of last night's rhetoric will make the history books, but something tells me the statement we're most likely to remember is Kerry saying that the United States needs a foreign policy "that passes the global test." Who gets to grade this test? Jacques Chirac? Kofi Annan? Kerry really blundered here, both because it's a truly dreadful phrase and because it accurately represents an aspect of his thinking that most Americans won't agree with. Posted at 08:38 AM BAD GUYS MAKE NOISE [KJL] From FNC TV: Supposed Zawahiri tape is playing on al Jazeera calling for attacks on U.S. and British interests. We had a 90 minute debate. Now back to reality. As one practical America just said to me "We're at war, bush is our leader." And, oh, by the way: we and Iraq killed 100ish bad guys in Iraq last night. Posted at 08:35 AM “GLOBAL TEST” [Rich Lowry] That Kerry phrase obviously offers the best opportunity for the Bush folks to make some post-debate hay, as the Cheney statement posted below by Kathryn suggests. That phrase is a pretty good (and kind of ridiculous-sounding) distillation of Kerry's hyper-multlilateralism, so the Bush folks should make the most of it. Posted at 08:31 AM FOP, DANDY [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Jonah, The terms fop and dandy come to mind as we hear more about Kerry's obsession with his appearance. He flies his hairdresser across the country, he uses spray on tan for that outdoors look, it appears that he has botox treatments and has had his choppers whitened. Finally, while in Florida he seizes the opportunity to pop in to the beauty parlor for a manicure while the Presidents visits the hurricane victims. I believe this is an indicator of the differences between the real deal and a self absorbed narcissist. Posted at 08:29 AM VIETNAM [Rich Lowry] I lost count, but I think Kerry mentioned his Vietnam service in some form about six times last night. And this is the new less Vietnam-obsessed Kerry! Posted at 08:28 AM ABOUT THE "ANNOYANCE" [KJL] I still think it was more, as Kate put it, disgust. Here's a guy who is literally leading the free world--and expanding it. And he's put up next to a guy who has never been known to do his job as senator, and he's telling Bush how to be president. Readers I'm reading are ticked The Corner has been so down on Bush in the last 12 hours or so, but that's because they get all that. Fencesitters who don't realize Kerry's record in the Senate (or lack thereof) don't get that context yet, and that's why the debate was a bummer for Bush. I think people get the flip-flop thing as much as they will. Focus on the last 30 years--why doesn't Kerry want to talk about it, etc? A few strong messages under that theme would be helpful for Bush this month, imho. Posted at 08:27 AM MY TAKE [John J. Miller] I thought Bush did just fine last night. It's possible to imagine a better performance with more emotional appeals about standing in the wreckage of 9-11, more eloquent rebuttals to a few of Kerry's points, and more direct attacks on Kerry's record of unreconstructed liberalism. But Bush clearly came to the forum intending to say a few simple things, and he said them well enough. His presentation contained the homespun simplicity that pundits always put down and the public always seems to appreciate. It's a cliche to say Bush has a history of being underestimated, but I think it's happening again--people are underestimating what he accomplished last night. He came in like a coach with a game plan, executed it, and left with a close victory because he scored enough points and didn't commit any turnovers. The media wants an entertaining horse race, and we may get one yet. But if we do, it won't be because Bush let us down in the first debate. Posted at 08:27 AM WILL BEING ANNOYED HURT? [Rich Lowry] E-mail: “I was disappointed with the president tonight, but, like you, I know from past experience that no matter how badly I think the president flubbed, the public perception is one of sincerity and strength. One Democratic spin that I don't think will work is the `Al Gore’ attack. The annoying aspect of Gore's sighs and expressions of exasperation was that they seemed so incongruous with his tree-like personality...almost as if he had spent time in front of the mirror practicing his "irritated loook" thinking that it might make him appear to be the alpha male he so wanted to be. But Bush last night, on the other hand, seemed genuinly annoyed, as if he didn't give a hoot whether there were cameras on him or not he was downright perturbed. In that sense his irritation, I think, will be percieved as Millerish (as in Zell) rather than Gorish (as in Al).” ME: Could be. I wish Bush had hid his annoyance better, though. I think both these guys have a certain level of contempt for one another. The trick is to hide it. Bush could have done a better job of it last night… Posted at 08:21 AM BUSTED? [Rich Lowry] E-mail: “Rich, One remark Kerry made jumped right out of the TV. In no uncertain terms he committed to end development of another weapons system (nuclear bunker buster bombs). Since Kerry has a reputation for opposing just ablout every major weapons system I'm amazed that the Republican spinners haven't jumped on that. i.e. Even at a time of war, nuclear proliferation and terrorism, the only `nuance’ free statement Kerry made was to oppose weapons.” ME: Good point, but I’m assuming it just would have been too complicated and risky for Bush to call Kerry on this—would have had to make the case for these new nukes and risked making a stupendous nuclear-related gaffe. Posted at 08:18 AM THE BAGHDAD CANDY MASSACRE [John Derbyshire] It was the *Americans* who massacred all those kids in Iraq yesterday. So say the Iraqis: "Terrified parents rushed to the scene. Some witnesses said U.S. troops and Iraqi national guardsmen, panicked by the succession of blasts, fired on the crowd, killing at least two people. "Ten American soldiers were also woulded in the blasts, two of them seriously. But that was not enough to convince furious fathers and uncles that the Americans themseves had not staged the massacre. "'It was the Americans who did it, because the blast happened after they left,' said Yassin. 'None of them were killed.' "The uncle of another wounded boy said the Americans 'want to exterminate the Iraqi people. They think Iraq will be against them forever, and children are the future of Iraq.'" ----New York Post (print edition) These people are, of course, being stupidly naive. While it was undoubtedly Americans who set off the bombs, the inspiration and planning of the atrocity were the work of Jews. Isn't it obvious?.... Posted at 08:09 AM OVER ON THE HOMEPAGE [KJL] A bunch of analysis went up last night, more up now--Robbins, Gvosdev on debate. Gurdon, Hanson, Sikorski, and more on more. And even more a-coming. Posted at 08:02 AM RANDOM AFTER-THE-FACT SUGGESTION [Rich Lowry] To inoculate himself against the too-rosy charge while still emphasizing his steadfastness, maybe Bush should have said right up front in his opening, “We had awful news out of Iraq today. 35 children were killed in bombings. That is truly horrific. Some say I ignore the bad news out of Iraq. Believe me, I don't. It's just when I hear about these sort of killings by terrorists desparate to derail us in Iraq, it steels my resolve even more to see this thing through...” Posted at 07:59 AM KERRY'S BIG WINS, AND BUSH'S [Jonah Goldberg] The more I think about it. Kerry's biggest wins were all secondary or passive. He didn't lose. He didn't cost himself the election. He scored better points on style. But the next day it's hard to remember much of the style. I think his biggest victory was giving his troops hope. Remember that "enthusiasm gap"? Kerry's supporters were increasingly resigned to the fact that there was no real reason to like their guy -- only to hate his opponent. This through the dogs a bone -- and the media too, which desperately wanted something new and nice to say about Kerry. But as for Bush, he was right on more of the substance and that comes through in your memory. If you asked me their differences today based on the debate, I'd say "Bush wants to be offense; Kerry wants summits." Kery's answers had no logical consistency, and while logical consistency is overrated in these debates, Kerry needed to show more conviction than he did to change the race. And, I think the sound bites this week will probably reinforce that. Posted at 07:58 AM "HEARTLAND KUDOS" [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Hey Jonah: Posted at 07:10 AM IF YOU HAVEN'T BEEN AROUND SINCE BEFORE THE DEBATE [KJL] Start scrolling up roundabout here. Posted at 07:09 AM EXCUSES [KJL] On Drudge: "Bush inner circle suggests Bush visit with Hurricane victims earlier in day was emotionally draining, contributed to "tired" appearance in debate... " Strikes me as that excuse especially would tick off Bush. Posted at 06:01 AM SCALIA'S BRILLIANT STRATEGY [KJL] taking attention off debate reax with orgy commentary. Posted at 02:08 AM SECOND TIME'S A CHARM? [KJL] A reader from New Jersey: Ms. Lopez, I'm a very nervous Bush supporter who thought that Kerry had won the election right after the debate ended. But, I'm watching again on CNN and I feel much better about the President's performance. President Bush definately won the first half hour of the debate. I missed that part live. Had I seen it, I would've come to a different conclusion on the President's performance. The first part of the debate is the part most people will have seen. The press is gushing about Senatoy Kerry's performance, but I think the polls will stay the same because of the first half hour. Posted at 01:35 AM MORE REAX [KJL] Over on the homepage, we've got Gary Andres, David Frum, Ed Kilgore, Bob Moran, Jay Nordlinger, Jack Pitney, and Peter Robinson up now. Check back later Friday morning for more on the debates and much more. Posted at 01:31 AM MY QUICK TAKE [Rich Lowry] I guess I side with those who are disappointed in Bush's performance, but only with hesitation because it is so difficult to judge Bush in debates. When you think of the arguments he could ideally make, he almost always is lacking. He tends to be repetitive and tongue-tied. But, then again, he usually manages to get his point across to voters just fine, and to defy his pundit-doubters. Two things that I think most people will take away from this debate that will help Bush: 1) when push comes to shove Bush will defend the country and its interests, no matter what international opinion says; 2) Bush wants to be on the offense on the war on terror. These are points that Bush emphasized again and again. Maybe not always artfully, but that doesn't matter so much as the fact that majority sentiment in the country is on his side on both. Posted at 01:28 AM TONIGHT'S KERRY E-MAIL [KJL] Dear Kathryn, Posted at 12:20 AM KAUS SAYS KERRY WON, BLAMES PODIUM [KJL] (Ok, there's more to it...!) Posted at 12:13 AM GENERAL CONSENSUS HERE AND THERE [KJL] From Drudge: LOCKHART: DEBATE CONSENSUS A 'DRAW' Posted at 12:10 AM FIRST POST POSTS [KJL] Note to self: Get someone to install some kind of cyber-zapping system to put that to an end. Posted at 12:07 AM ANOTHER PBS SHOCKER [Tim Graham] Charlie Rose ends his hour tonight with two Frenchies (Christine Ockrent, Bernard Kouchner) who think Kerry won big. He's more sophisticated, he's more sincere, while Bush personifies everything hated about America. Posted at 12:03 AM HA! [Jonah Goldberg] In a crowded field: First post of the day! Posted at 12:00 AM Thursday, September 30, 2004 END OF THE DAY ANALYSIS [Jonah Goldberg] I'm more with Mark the more I think about it. Kerry "won" according to scorekeepers who don't matter that much. Kerry needed to change the dynamics of the debate and he almost certainly didn't. Though the way he probably helped himself the most is by giving his troops hope. If Kerry had been perceived as the loser coming out of this, the recriminations and desertions would have begun. Posted at 11:58 PM NOV. 2 [Stanley Kurtz] I agree with the general consensus. Both candidates did well, and as a performance, the debate was essentially a draw. At one level, that helps Kerry by heartening his supporters and halting what could have been a potentially disastrous slide. Yet in the end, this debate will give the election to the president. That’s because the public understands that with the stakes so high, it’s substance that matters, not style. Tonight, Americans understand even more clearly what they’ve understood all along. These two men have a different approach to foreign policy. Kerry is more multilateral, more disposed to rely on negotiations, and more comfortable with the European perspective on the world. The president is willing to work with other nations, but more disposed to use force if necessary, and more suspicious of the European world-view. The fact of the matter is, the public is closer to the president’s perspective on these issues. Kerry’s base is split on issues of war and foreign policy, and that gives the president the advantage. So the debate matters simply because it confirms what everyone already knows about the differences between the two candidates. I’m not even sure that, had the president committed a major rhetorical gaffe, things would have been any different. In this election in particular, the public is genuinely listening for substance, and will go with its real beliefs. They will not be distracted by sideshows. The Swiftboat stuff might seem to contradict this, but it doesn’t. The Swiftboat controversy looks like an issue of style, character, and personality. But it’s really clue to what sort of substantive foreign policy views are rooted in John Kerry’s soul. In short, this election will turn on substance, not style, and this debate has confirmed and emphasized the clear policy choice. Since the public’s foreign policy instincts are closer to those of the president, he will win. Posted at 11:50 PM ON THEIR KNEES [Tim Graham] An old friend nailed it for me: Plain and simple. The conservative eggheads are overanalyzing and the liberals are praying. Posted at 11:48 PM DEBATE TRANSCRIPT [Jonah Goldberg] Here it is. Posted at 11:38 PM CW [Mark R. Levin] Before the debate, the common wisdom was that the debates were Kerry's last chance to win the election. In 2 days, nothing about what he said during this debate will be remembered because nothing was memorable. Posted at 11:35 PM CHENEY ROLLS WITH THE GLOBAL TEST [KJL] REMARKS BY THE VICE PRESIDENT FOLLOWING A PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE WATCHING PARTY Posted at 11:34 PM STILL WAITING FOR C-SPAN [Jonah Goldberg] Though I guess they're going to run it on C-Span 2 since C-Span 1 is carrying the debate. Should be on soon. UPDATE I'm now on hold with C-Span. Should be on in five minutes. Posted at 11:32 PM THE PEOPLE SPEAK! [Michael Graham] I'm taking calls right now, live on WMAL in DC, and the consensus is that Kerry was good, but Bush was better. The recurring question is "Why didn't Bush take it to Kerry on..." North Korea, the bunker-buster, the $87 billion. I think it's strategy (be the nice guy), but many of my callers think it's a mistake. Posted at 11:28 PM THE DEBATE [John Hood] I'd recommend not falling into the trap of scoring this debate as if it were the culmination of a forensics tournament. For the viewers who tuned in for the first 45 minutes or so, I think Bush was a more effective communicator. He sounded authoritative, his message was clear, and his message makes some level of sense even if you aren't predisposed to agree with him or with a Republican president per se. Kerry did not come across well during the period. Later, Bush seemed to get a little tired and annoyed, and Kerry picked up a little steam. But Kerry's problem is that his message is inherently complicated and would be difficult to communicate effectively for anyone. The war was a mistake, but I'll fit to win it anyway, but it is a distraction, and I'll send more equipment, but we're spending too much on it, and I'll inspire other countries to join us, but the countries who are there aren't doing much worth commending, etc., etc. Bush doggedly responds: you won't win if you waver. We will prevail. I'm realistic -- it's a tough, hard slog. But I'm optimistic -- we will win and freedom in the Middle East will be transformational. You don't have to be a slick rhetorician to win this kind of exchange. Remember, also, the repetition is a good thing, not a bad thing. Let's face it: we are wonky weirdos. Most viewers probably came in and out of the room, they visited the little voters' room, they went to make a sandwich. You have to talk to the whole audience, including those who missed your key point the first couple of times you made it. Kerry had a little more riding on tonight than Bush did, and it just didn't happen for him. The debate as a whole was informed, substantive, and revealing -- but it did not change the dynamics of the race. Posted at 11:19 PM ALLIES [Andrew Stuttaford] Which allies does Kerry want to bring into Iraq? France? Germany? It would be interesting to know how he would propose to do this - and the price he would have to pay. Posted at 11:13 PM MY FOCUS GROUP [Cliff May] Someone I consider a good focus group -- because she's not very partisan and certainly is no political junkie -- thought Bush looked a little tired. But she also thought he was the more persuasive. Why? Because he looked and sounded like a president. And Kerry looked and sounded like someone who wants Bush's job. In her view, Bush didn't knock Kerry out. If anything, he gave the impression that he didn't want to be bothering with this guy, that he had more important fish to fry. But that didn't change her mind. She was leanign toward Bush before. She'll probably vote for Bush now. Posted at 11:12 PM HARD RIGHT? [Tim Graham] On MSNBC, Tom Brokaw just said that by insisting on more taxes for homeland security programs, John Kerry turned to the "hard right." Posted at 11:11 PM KERRYSPOT [KJL] says no bounce for anyone. Posted at 11:05 PM SOUNDS ABOUT RIGHT [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: The MSM will be gushing tommorrow about how great Kerry did, like the NYU speech, predicting a comeback and touting him as a closer. By next Friday the polls will be identical to today, and then the MSM will start wondering out loud why Kerry is not getting traction from such a great performance. Posted at 11:04 PM HEWITT'S SCORECARD [KJL] Hugh gives Bush a "big win." Posted at 11:01 PM ABC INSTANT VIEWER POLL [John Hillen] Kerry 45 Bush 36 Draw 17 But, it made no difference with the same voters who had a 4 pt. spread before debate. 51-47 to Bush after debate. Posted at 10:56 PM "LIED" [KJL] RNC blasts out, in response to Kerry saying he has not used the l-word re Bush and Iraq and WMDs: IN DECEMBER 2003, KERRY TOLD NEW HAMPSHIRE EDITORIAL BOARD BUSH "LIED" ABOUT REASON FOR GOING TO WAR IN IRAQ. "Kerry also told a New Hampshire newspaper editorial board Friday that Bush had 'lied' about his reasons for going to war in Iraq, a word Kerry has been reluctant to use publicly for months. Yesterday he said he did not plan to use the word again." (Patrick Healy, "Kerry Camp Lowers N.H. Expectations Behind In Polls, Senator Now Seeks Spot In 'Top Two,'" The Boston Globe, 12/8/03) Posted at 10:53 PM WOOPS [Jonah Goldberg] Kate caught the Treblinka thing. Posted at 10:52 PM C-SPAN [Jonah Goldberg] Reminder: I'm doing a call-in around 11:20 tonight. Posted at 10:49 PM CHRIS MATTHEWS [Andrew Stuttaford] Said there were no low blows. Guess he missed the Halliburton smear. Posted at 10:47 PM TRIVIAL TRIVIA [KJL] Kerry got a manicure today. Safe to bet Bush didn't--ever. Posted at 10:47 PM POLAND IS FREE MOMENT FOR KERRY? [Jonah Goldberg] I missed it, but three readers have all emailed me to say that Kerry said "Treblinka" Square when he surely meant Lubyanka. Not exactly an election mover, but interesting. Posted at 10:46 PM RESPONSE TO K-LO [Ramesh Ponnuru] I was just talking about the closer. For the debate overall, I'd say it's a tie. (Btw, as I type Kondracke is making my point re Bush's failure to pound home the $87 billion. Kristol expressed surprise that he hadn't talked about 9/11 more.) I suspect Kerry supporters are happier than Bush ones about how the debate went. I have no idea how swing voters will react. But let's remember that the stakes were higher for Kerry. He had to win this debate decisively, I think, and he didn't. Posted at 10:45 PM IN SUM [Kate O'Beirne] I thought the President was repetitive and reactive. Maybe the latter couldn't be helped with both Kerry and Lehrer going after his decisions, but he never tried to take command of the back and forth. He could have contrasted need for strong defense with Kerry's Senate record. Kerry was smoother and proactive, though ultimately unconvincing. "Mixed messages" is wimpy. The President was apparently only prepared to go after Kerry for flip-flops - not for being wrong about every national security issue for the past 30 years. Kerry needed more than a draw. Posted at 10:44 PM FINAL THOUGHTS [Cliff May] Bush made few mistakes but he missed a few lines of attack, to be sure. And it was easier for Kerry since he could blame and attack Bush for everything that anyone is concerned about -- the continuing violence in Iraq, North Korea's bomb building, UBL not being caught. Jonah's right that foreign policy was not as strong a suit as it might have been expected to be -- for the reason stated above. Kerry did well -- but upon reflection, who will think it credible that Kerry could have bilateral talks with North Korea without China minding, that Kerry could get Chirac to send the Foreign Legion to Iraq to fight "the wrong war in the wrong place at the wrong time," etc. etc.? Hard to believe anyone would say, "Yeah, I'll bet he can do that. He's quite a fella!" One problem for Kerry that I haven't heard mentioned (and which perhaps should be): The most complex organization he's ever run is his campaign. And that's hardly been a model Peter Drucker would write home about. Kate is right: Why were all the questions about Bush's record? Why didn't Lehrer at least ask Kerry if he stil thinks he was correct to vote against the 1990 Gulf War? Posted at 10:42 PM TONIGHT'S WINNER [Andrew Stuttaford] John, that's dead on. Over at MSNBC Joe Scarborough is saying Kerry wins on points. I think that's right. Kerry's vulnerability? The 'plan', the fuzzy diplomacy. It doesn't add up. Posted at 10:40 PM BUSH WINS BY NOT LOSING [Michael Graham] This debate was meaningless. Both candidates were competent, but didn't change any minds. Bush is still up by 8%. He wins. Posted at 10:40 PM ABC [John Hillen] Surprise! ABC’s giving the prize to Kerry…pretty strongly. Posted at 10:39 PM RAMESH [KJL] what put W over? Posted at 10:39 PM GIGILO WATCH [John Derbyshire] A reader: "I see Kerry has his sights set on Laura, but Bush had nought good to say about Terry Heinz. Surely there must be something good to say about her. Something..." Posted at 10:37 PM THE INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL COURT [Ramesh Ponnuru] Bush was right to draw a contrast on that, although the Kerry campaign can come back and say that Kerry wants safeguards to protect American troops. Posted at 10:37 PM THE RESULT [John Hillen] A draw. Kerry is the more fluid debater– that’s pretty clear. But on substance all he offered was an appeal to ambiguous multilateralism – even at the end when he said Iraq was a threat, but we went about it the wrong way because we didn’t build a larger international coalition. On style, I think he might have picked up some undecideds because I thought he looked and sounded plausibly Presidential. Bush was fine – and downright solid at point. Nothing spectacular but nothing spectacularly wrong. He’s clearly got the better policies but he missed the continual opportunity to use Kerry’s Senate record on intelligence (nothing said about Kerry’s record here! Ack!!) and defense to characterize his opponent. Perhaps he’s leaving that to surrogates. Posted at 10:36 PM THE GLOBAL TEST LINE [Jonah Goldberg] Will be the conservative's favorite soundbite. Posted at 10:36 PM JEFF GREENFIELD WAS READING A CONSERVATIVE GROUP BLOG DURING THE DEBATE [KJL] The first responders! Posted at 10:35 PM "TONIGHT HE SEEMED TO FIND HIS VOICE" [Ramesh Ponnuru] Russert on Kerry. Posted at 10:33 PM AND THE WINNER IS [Rick Brookhiser] ...by a hair, Kerry. Five weeks, white knuckles. Or should I break down and buy a satellite dish for Ulster County? Posted at 10:33 PM DRAFT [John Hillen] Bush shouldn’t have taken the bait by guaranteeing and all-volunteer force in his closing comments. Like responding to an urban myth. Posted at 10:32 PM IT'S AMAZING [Jonah Goldberg] How the Vietnam thing just doesn't work for Kerry anymore, at least as far as I can tell. The second he mentions how he served, you can almost hear eyes roll and memories go back to the Swift Boat stuff. Posted at 10:31 PM DEBATE BOTTOM LINES [John Derbyshire] John Kerry plus: He does not come across as arrogant and obnoxious as we believe him to be. John Kerry minus: His positions don't hold together in any coherent way. George W. Bush plus: He has an air of authority, experience, and purpose I don't recall from 2000. George W. Bush minus: The President is a dismally poor public speaker. Posted at 10:30 PM GOOD CLOSING [Ramesh Ponnuru] Both men, I think, did fine at the end, but Bush was better. Posted at 10:30 PM TROOPS HOME IN FOUR MONTHS! [Kate O'Beirne] John Kerry will defend America from her enemies just as he did as a young man. Posted at 10:29 PM INTERESTING [Ramesh Ponnuru] that Bush felt it necessary to respond to the draft charge. Posted at 10:28 PM I HAVE A PLAN [Rick Brookhiser] ...to dye my whiskers green. Posted at 10:28 PM JOHN'S SQUARES [Kate O'Beirne] Treblinka Square?!! Isn't that in Poland?? Let's see if Kerry gets away with something Bush would be endlessly mocked about. Mr. Smartypants isn't so smart after all. Posted at 10:27 PM KERRY'S WITNESS TO RUSSIAN TRANSFORMATION MOMENT [John Hillen] Is this like his Cambodian moment? Posted at 10:26 PM LEHRER [KJL] tries to start a fight with the "truth"? Was that in the rule book? Posted at 10:25 PM FAIR'S FAIR [Andrew Stuttaford] Kerry is right that nuclear proliferation is the most serious threat to the US (and he’s right, incidentally, about the bunker busters). He’s also right that the administration has not done enough about this threat. I’m at a loss to understand, however, what he would propose to do with North Korea other than insult the Chinese, and I’m at a loss to know what he would do about Iran where a multinational attempt at containment is failing… Posted at 10:25 PM HOW MANY DEAR LEADERS ARE THERE? [John Derbyshire] In the space of about 15 seconds, the President said: "Kim Zhing Oil" ... "Kim Jong Il" ... "Kim Shung Eel." Posted at 10:24 PM I'VE GOT A GOOD RELATION WITH VLADAMIR [Rick Brookhiser] Sounds like a line from a Mel Brooks movie. Posted at 10:23 PM OUTSOURCING [Cliff May] Good point, Jonah. Maybe we could have outsourced Tora Bora to the French. At least they’ve had experience in Bora Bora. (Maybe that’s where UBL is!) Posted at 10:22 PM SO WHICH GRIN [Ramesh Ponnuru] will people like less? Posted at 10:21 PM THE MORAL OF THE STORY [Jonah Goldberg] The Bush campaign miscalculated on having the first night be foreign policy night. That doesn't mean everything's gone great for Kerry, but it wasn't the overwhelming advantage for Bush that the strategists -- and I -- thought it would be. Posted at 10:21 PM YANKEES CLINCH FIRST [Jack Fowler] Bernie Williams hits walk-off 2-run homer in 9th. Bronx Bombers beat Twins 6-4, clinch first in AL East. Hey, what's all this talk about some debate? Posted at 10:21 PM COME ON JIM [Kate O'Beirne] Not a single question about Kerry's 20 years in the Senate - HIS record on foreign policy, in other words. Kerry wants to forget about them (except for all the neat foreign leaders he got to meet), but on what grounds is Lehrer ignoring them? Posted at 10:19 PM ALL VOLUNTEER FORCE [John Hillen] Ramesh, The volunteering has always and only referred to the signing up part of the military. Exiting – even in an all-volunteer force – has always been at the pleasure of the services and dependent upon their needs. We had plenty of “stop-losses” prior to the WOT – including in the Gulf War and other crises for certain specialties. There has never been a voluntary aspect to exiting. Posted at 10:17 PM I HOPE [Ramesh Ponnuru] Bush makes the case for the bunker-buster. Posted at 10:17 PM HE'S A GREAT DAD [Rick Brookhiser] I'm casting a write-in vote for Fisher Ames. Posted at 10:17 PM DID I REALLY HEAR THIS? [John Derbyshire] Lehrer: Senator, do you favor bilateral talks with North Korea, or multilateral? Kerry: Both. ... Posted at 10:16 PM "I'VE NEVER WILTED IN MY LIFE" [KJL] Weird. Learning not to leash girls was odd too. Posted at 10:15 PM BLIND CERTAINTY [Ramesh Ponnuru] An effective line from Kerry--that's a real vulnerability of the president, as evidenced by his own attempt to address it in his convention speech. Posted at 10:15 PM DARFUR SHOULD BE A SURE LOSER FOR KERRY [Michael Graham] It is the perfect rebuttal to Kerry's "international test" approach to foreign policy. The international community is failing the test in Darfur right now. If the U.N. can't solve this problem, how can Kerry trust them to take care of anything as serious as Iraq or North Korea. Posted at 10:15 PM KERRY'S TROOP PLAN [John Hillen] Why do we need two more Army divisions (that’s about 50,000 more troops when you throw in support folks – or REMF’s in the vernacular) and 20,000 or so more special operators if we’ll be out of Iraq in 6 months in a Kerry administration? Posted at 10:14 PM "PASSING THE GLOBAL TEST" [Andrew Stuttaford] Not a smart phrase. Posted at 10:13 PM RE NORTH KOREA [Cliff May] John, you’re right of course. But defending Clinton on North Korea is defending the indefensible. I don’t know whether undecided voters recognize that. I don’t know whether the judges will deduct points for such a slip. Posted at 10:13 PM A MULTICULTURAL DREAM [Cliff May] Wouldn’t it be great if Kerry suddenly broke into French? “Mon amie, M. Bush, il est idiot! Et quell est la realite? To which Bush would respond: “El Senor no sabe nada! El es un asno! Posted at 10:13 PM CHARACTER ANSWER [KJL] Bush came across really well, didn't he on the daughter stuff, especially. Posted at 10:12 PM UM...WHICH IS IT? [Jonah Goldberg] As several readers have noted, Kerry's peeved because we "outsourced" the job in Afghanistan, using Afghan troops instead of American troops who are the best trained, best equipped troops in the world. But he's also vexed by the fact that we're not outsourcing in Iraq. Posted at 10:11 PM BIZARRO WORLD [John Hillen] Bush has more facts (uranium not plutonium) and is more multi-lateral on N. Korea than Kerry? Michael, pass that whiskey. Posted at 10:11 PM KYOTO [Andrew Stuttaford] Just a reminder, Kerry (to his credit) voted against the Kyoto treaty. Posted at 10:10 PM LIBERAL FEMINISTS FOR KERRY (DUH) [KJL] Security moms don't exist! Ellie Smeal just e-mailed her troops: Although the media is talking about “security moms,” don’t be fooled. “Security moms,” like its predecessor “soccer moms,” is just spin that deemphasizes the gender gap. Everywhere the term appears in the media, there is only anecdotal evidence, not data, backing it up. Posted at 10:09 PM BACK-DOOR DRAFT [Ramesh Ponnuru] Kerry's actually got a good point on this one--we now have an all-volunteer force, with an asterisk. Posted at 10:09 PM RE: NORTH KOREA [John Hillen] Cliff, he’s actually defending the Clinton N. Korea deal. Posted at 10:06 PM TAG-TEAMED [Michael Graham] Reader Greg write: "The debate is centered all around Bush's policies. None of the questions have been or I presume will be directed towards Kerry's policies because, not being the president, he has not enacted any. So, in essence, Bush is being 'attacked' by both the questioner and Kerry." Maybe, but I think Bush is doing a solid job of turning Kerry's words against him. If a viewer is sticking for the whole 90 minutes (most aren't), the accumulative effect Bush's debate strategy is strong. Posted at 10:06 PM RE: DEGAULLE [John Hillen] Jonah, you’re right of course. Degaulle never gave up anything – he earned our debt with a freebie. Posted at 10:04 PM KERRY'S PULLING AHEAD AGAIN [Jonah Goldberg] I hate to say it. Posted at 10:04 PM LOVE THE TEXAN "MULLAHS" [KJL] Posted at 10:04 PM NOW, NOW [John Derbyshire] A reader who has TOTALLY the wrong attitude: "If Kerry's offering to invade Mexico I may reconsider my vote." Posted at 10:03 PM MY DRINKING GAME [Michael Graham] I have a fifth of Bushmill's Irish Whiskey that I will down the moment Bush looks at Kerry and says "Nice tan." Posted at 10:02 PM TEST? [Kate O'Beirne] There's a global test we have to pass before the United States can defend itself preemptively? Happily, the President quickly dismissed idea - of course, he hasn't ever liked tests. Posted at 10:01 PM MISSED OPPORTUNITIES [John Hillen] Bush should refer more often to Kerry’s beatnik tenure in the Senate in the 80’s and early 90’s. Posted at 10:01 PM DE GAULLE STORY [Jonah Goldberg] Um... is it so inconceivable that De Gaulle already new about the missiles and therefore it was pretty easy for him to be gracious. Posted at 10:00 PM NORTH KOREA [Cliff May] Kerry could have a brilliant Sister Soulja moment if he’d say that Clinton made a mistake paying billions in tribute to North Korea in exchange for an empty promise not to build nukes, a promise that wasn’t verified and soon was broken. But he would never dare insult Clinton that way. Posted at 10:00 PM DOES IT REALLY MAKE SENSE [Ramesh Ponnuru] for Kerry to be invoking the French? Posted at 09:59 PM DAMN YOU DERB [Jonah Goldberg] Now all I can do is concentrate on Kerry's hands. Posted at 09:59 PM THERE GOES WOMEN'S VOTE. [Kate O'Beirne] You're right, Cliff: Kerry got the Pottery Barn rule wrong. Posted at 09:58 PM BUSH THROWN OFF. [Kate O'Beirne] I think frustration/disgust with some of the "absurd" things Kerry has said have caused the President to abandon practiced responses and so some of his answers have been choppy. My personal favorite so far - What's Kerry going to ask allies? "join us in this big diversion?" Posted at 09:58 PM KERRY'S SMIRKS [Jonah Goldberg] Aren't helping. Posted at 09:57 PM DRINKING GAME [KJL] should involve Kerry use of "outsourcing," Vietnam mentions, and summits and Bush mentioning flip flops. Posted at 09:57 PM WHY... [Jonah Goldberg] Does Kerry keep saying we didn't secure Saddam's nuclear facilities if he thinks he didn't have any? Posted at 09:56 PM POTTERY BARN RULE [Cliff May] The “Pottery Barn Rule” is not “if you break it, you fix it.” It’s “if you break it, you own it.” That may mean you live with a broken tea pot – maybe even one you never can fix. We can’t guarantee that we will see Iraq transformed into Switzerland. We can guarantee – I hope – that we’ll kill every Jihadi and Ba’athist terrorist in Iraq, and that we’ll give the millions decent Iraqis a fighting chance to build themselves a decent society, an unbroken society. They’ve never had an unbroken society in their lives. Posted at 09:56 PM WINDMILL KERRY [John Derbyshire] Am I the only one getting seriously irritated by Kerry's robotic hand and arm movements? He looks as though he's signing. Posted at 09:55 PM MIXED MESSAGES [Ramesh Ponnuru] Listen to POTUS too long, and you might get the impression that sending the right message is all it takes to win the war. Posted at 09:54 PM GOOD MOMENTS [Jonah Goldberg] Rick - I think Bush has had several good points. But he has been on the defensive. I guess that's the nature of the beast for incumbents. Posted at 09:54 PM THE MAGICAL MYSTERY SUMMIT [John Hillen] My wife Maria (a Heritage vet) says Kerry’s yen for this summit is like the father with Windex in “My Big Fat Greek Wedding.” Is it any wonder I married her? Posted at 09:54 PM KEEPER [Andrew Stuttaford] Not a "grand alliance". Charming. One to remember in Britain. Posted at 09:54 PM DID KERRY JUST SAY... [Jonah Goldberg] I didn't want to draw down the troops in six months...but I can get the troops out in six months? Posted at 09:53 PM BUSH'S FIRST GOOD MOMENT [Rick Brookhiser] Meeting the war widow. Posted at 09:52 PM MISSED MOMENT TO BE REAGANESQUE [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Dubyah missed a great chance to nail Kerry. When Kerry was talking about us sending 500 gazillion dollars for cops and firehouses in Iraq instead of spending the money at home, Bush's response should have been to ask "Since when does America count the cost of bringing freedom to oppressed peoples?". I would have loved to see Kerry go to school on that. Posted at 09:52 PM "WRONG WAR, WRONG PLACE, WRONG TIME" [Ramesh Ponnuru] I know repetition has its value in politics, but the president has made his point on this one and needs to move on. He could stand to repeat the $87 billion some more though; that's not exhausted yet. Posted at 09:51 PM SO WE BROKE IRAQ? [KJL] Ask the free Iraqis about that. The SpiritofAmerica guys have stories to tell. Read IraqtheModel. Listen to Allawi--or, sorry, forgot, he's a puppet. They don't know "the dynamics on the ground." Posted at 09:51 PM WEBSITES [Jonah Goldberg] My general rule is: the moment a candidate mentions his website he diminishes his stature by 3.7% to 12.6% Posted at 09:49 PM I DON'T THINK [Ramesh Ponnuru] people who have real concerns and doubts about the situation in Iraq--and the president's ability to deal with it--are going to find Kerry's four-point plan reassuring. Speaking as one of said people. Posted at 09:48 PM IS IT ME? [Jonah Goldberg] Or is this the best presidential debate in decades? Posted at 09:45 PM THE SAME INTELLIGENCE LINE [John Hillen] Very effective. Posted at 09:45 PM I THINK BUSH HAS [Ramesh Ponnuru] been doing better than that, Michael, but his best comes in fits and starts. Ten minutes or so ago he was better than Kerry's been at any point tonight. Posted at 09:44 PM DO WE ALL AGREE THAT KERRY IS A BETTER DEBATER? [Michael Graham] Kerry has more examples, is using more facts and is being forceful. Bush is being Bush, which means he's doing OK and holding his own. The net result is Bush wins by not losing. That's the story so far. Posted at 09:43 PM HOW ABOUT LIKE FDR INVADING NORTH AFRICA? [Cliff May] Or invading Italy and France? Level with the American people, Mr. Roosevelt.What did Hitler and Mussolini have to do with Pearl Harbor? Posted at 09:41 PM RE: INVADING MEXICO [John Hillen] Yes, What a stretcher of an analogy. Perhaps Bush should offer the daily threat to regional security, global oil supplies, US and British pilots, and the Iraqi people themselves that Iraq posed from 1991 – 2003. Posted at 09:38 PM EYE CONTACT [KJL] Kerry aides must be swearing--Kerry doesn't seem to know where the cameras are. Posted at 09:34 PM THIS IS BUSH'S FIRST WINNING ROUND [Jonah Goldberg] The argument about the UN and allies, that is. Posted at 09:34 PM KERRY [Ramesh Ponnuru] So the war was a mistake, but the people dying in it aren't dying for a mistake? Maybe I heard that one right. Kerry says that his $87 billion vote was a rhetorical mistake, not a mistaken action--but it's the action that has been the focus of the criticism, including tonight. And again with the summits! Posted at 09:34 PM LIKE FDR INVADING MEXICO? [KJL] Please tell me people don't believe that. Posted at 09:32 PM I LOVE... [Jonah Goldberg] That when Kerry gets riled and he tries to summon up the one example of the leadership he'll offer: "I'm going to hold that summit!" Yes! Vote Kerry! Get a Summit! Posted at 09:31 PM OUCH [KJL] Kerry just gave the SwiftVets money for their next commercial. Posted at 09:31 PM LEHRER REFERRAL TO KERRY'S ANTI-VIETNAM WAR TESTIMONY [John Hillen] Nice Posted at 09:30 PM 25 MINUTES IN [RICK BROOKHISER] Caveat: I'm listening on radio, so I'm missing all-important body language. But Kerry seems marginally better than Bush. The President sounds determined, but dull-witted. Kerry sounds urgent, but empty. Posted at 09:30 PM IN CASE ANYONE DIDN'T KNOW BEFOREHAND [Ramesh Ponnuru] these guys really hate each other. Posted at 09:30 PM ON SUBSTANCE... [Jonah Goldberg] I think Kerry's definitely the better debater so far. Bush is doing very well, but he so clearly gets ruffled by Kerry. I fear that makes him look less presidential and Kerry more presidential. Kerry's also being very clever in how he tweaks Bush to tick him off. Posted at 09:29 PM REALLY? [Andrew Stuttaford] The subway in New York was shut down during the RNC? Did I hear that Kerry claim right? I don't think so...one station, I think. Posted at 09:29 PM BEST DEFENSE IS GOOD OFFENSE [John Hillen] This Kerry charge of short-changing Homeland Defense back here at the expense of Iraq needs to be rebutted not with the money claims, but with the fundamental strategic argument that it is better to get terrorists at the source. The President got to this half way through his rebuttal and nailed it thankfully. Posted at 09:27 PM RP [KJL] O.K, there's something to your worry...I still think people will see it as justifiable. But Jim KerrySpot might be right on his prediction. Kerry's no disaster. Posted at 09:27 PM BUSH IS DOING FINE SO FAR [Ramesh Ponnuru] but he should really have used Kerry's body-armor crack as an opportunity to talk about Kerry's vote against the $87 billion. Posted at 09:26 PM BUSH DOESN'T TAKE THE BAIT [Michael Graham] He ignored Lehrer's question about Kerry making America less safe, and instead he answered a question about himself, America and the terrorists.Very smart. Posted at 09:22 PM I DON'T KNOW, KATE [Ramesh Ponnuru] I think he's on the verge of sighing. Angrily. Posted at 09:22 PM BUSH .... [Jonah Goldberg] Really needs to whack Kerry on the whole "we need allies" thing. It's such a grossly disingenuous argument and Kerry's vulnerable on it. Posted at 09:22 PM KERRY DOESN'T THINK BUSH SEES WHAT IS HAPPENING?! [KJL] Yeah, he only deals with reality every day, because of decisions he made. So patronizing. Posted at 09:19 PM FUNNY... [Jonah Goldberg] How John Kerry has only met parents of kids who need body armor in swing states. Do parents of kids who need body armor live in California or Texas? Posted at 09:19 PM I DO ENJOY [KJL] that the channels are all snubbing the "rules" and showing the other guy when one candidate is answering. And that's not just because Kerry scribbling everytime Bush talks makes him look like an overeager high-school debater. Posted at 09:19 PM THIS IS... [Jonah Goldberg] The most articulate and confident I've seen Bush speak extemporaneously. Period. Posted at 09:18 PM FOUND AT LAST [John Hillen] Kerry apparently knows where OBL is – said definitively twice he’s in A’stan. About time somebody found him. Posted at 09:16 PM VIETNAM [John Hillen] Nice restraint. Took Kerry til 9:12 to remind us he’s been in combat. Posted at 09:15 PM BUSH CAMPAIGN RESPONSE [Ramesh Ponnuru] to Tora Bora charge, and to everything else, is available here--they're updating the page as the debate goes on. Posted at 09:15 PM NOT ANNOYED RAMESH [Kate O'Beirne] disgusted. Posted at 09:15 PM INTERNATIONAL SUMMIT [John Hillen] It’s time to call Kerry on the crux of his plan to fit Iraq – this shibboleth of hosting an international summit. What’s that supposed to do? He clearly means that Iraq would be better off if France, Germany, Russia, and some Arab nations are involved – although I don’t know what they’d bring to the table. More important, they won’t come without wanting something. The question to Kerry is “what are you offering to these ‘new’ allies to get them involved in Iraq?” The big three would want their commercial contracts back and all the neighboring countries would want a destabilizing influence in the country. Yeah…that’ll work. Posted at 09:14 PM TORA BORA [Ramesh Ponnuru] It's a strong attack, and Kerry is smart to make it early. Posted at 09:13 PM OK [KJL] there's OBL. Might have worked too. Posted at 09:13 PM I THINK IT'S DUMB... [Jonah Goldberg] For Kerry to keep mentioning former Generals who support him. It's an arms race he can't win. Posted at 09:11 PM ANNOYED? [KJL] More "hot." He's ticked there is an enemy out there who wants us all dead. And he has made the tough decisions, dammit. And people know that. So it's a justified, man! Posted at 09:11 PM BUSH SAID VOCIFEROUSLY [Jonah Goldberg] I've never heard him say that word. Posted at 09:10 PM WOULD PRESIDENT KERRY INCREASE THE RISK OF AN ATTACK? [Ramesh Ponnuru] Bush must have figured answering yes would be too hot, and sidestepped the question. Perhaps that's wise, but neither candidate should be running if he doesn't believe that the other guy would increase our long-term risks. Posted at 09:10 PM FIRST REAX [Jonah Goldberg] It's going to be a lonnnnnnng 90 minutes. Posted at 09:08 PM THE 9/11 QUESTION [KJL] Kerry didn't bring up OBL did he? Posted at 09:07 PM "A SUMMIT WITH ALL OF THE ALLIES" [KJL] I thought we ticked off everyone? We have allies? Posted at 09:06 PM MAN [Ramesh Ponnuru] does Bush look annoyed. Posted at 09:06 PM KERRY'S FLORIDA/LEHRER THANK YOUS [KJL] Liberal in the room I'm in says "ZZZ. Okay, Bush wins." Posted at 09:05 PM THE AUDIENCE WILL BE ABSOLUTELY SILENT [KJL] These rules are so silly. Posted at 09:04 PM POOR MIKE MCCURRY [Kate O'Beirne] You never want to be working on the kind of campaign that forces you to insist "this is not a popularity contest." If John Kerry doesn't open with an "I'm reporting for duty" salute, he must have learned a lesson from the Swifties. Posted at 09:01 PM RE: PREDICTION [KJL] Unfortunately, someone tested that one, so don't think it will happen...except, remember the K Street incident? Posted at 08:59 PM WACKY PREDICTION [Jonah Goldberg] Bush says some version of "Is that your final answer?" after Kerry explains his position on Iraq. Since the rules say he can't address Kerry, he might say to the moderator "You should have asked him if that was his final answer." Or something like that. Posted at 08:51 PM RE: NATIONAL INSECURITY [Rod Dreher] Neil Munro of National Journal sends along a story he just wrote for the magazine (alas, the piece is not available online) which is largely about the ACLU's lack of interest in pursuing some civil liberties cases when they conflict with the organization's devotion to diversity. Here's the part from the National Journal story that echoes what Cmdr. Flynn said earlier today: ACLU officials also argue that extending police powers, even during a war on terrorism, is a grave threat. "I reject the idea that we need to make concessions," (ACLU director Tony) Romero said. "It's a Faustian bargain." Still, recognizing that a public backlash against the ACLU's efforts to protect civil liberties could follow any terrorist strike on U.S. soil, the ACLU is upping its national education campaign, he said. US Supreme Court Justice Robert Jackson's 1949 observation -- "The Constitution is not a suicide pact" -- comes to mind. Flynn is right: if another 9/11 or worse happens, people who parrot the dangerous nonsense coming from the ACLU will be widely ignored. And that's too bad, because if they would just admit now that the situation we're in justifies some limitations on civil liberties, they'd buy themselves a lot of credibility in the event of a panic-inducing catastrophe. Posted at 08:46 PM MURMUR...MURMUR....MURMUR [Jonah Goldberg] I don't have much to add to the pre-debate chatter but I wanted to contribute something. Murmur. Grumble. Murmur. Shuffle, murmur. Posted at 08:31 PM MORE QUERIES FOR THE ESTIMABLE MR. MILLER [Peter Robinson] From a reader: " If Mrs. Miller is a Michigoose, are her sisters Michigeese? (Goose , geese) Or, are they Michigoose (Moose, moose) ? Michigooses? (caboose, cabooses) or what? " Posted at 08:26 PM OH GOODNESS [KJL] American schools crisis plan found on a disk in Iraq. Posted at 08:24 PM KERRYSPOT THINKS KERRY WILL DO WELL TONIGHT [KJL] Jeepers. Maybe he's drinking the MSM Kool-aid. (The race will be even tomorrow morning, in the spin, whatever happens.) Do keep checking in the KerrySpot tonight. Posted at 08:13 PM DID SOMEONE SAY BIAS? [KJL] From one who watches these things: Today's Washington Post -- in an article about misleading campaign claims, of all things -- said "'One of Bush's most effective lines on the stump is that he is running 'against a fellow who's promised over 2.2 trillion new dollars of federal spending so far.'The Kerry campaign disputes that estimate -- and Bush's spending proposals top $3 trillion, according to administration figures.'" Posted at 07:57 PM MODERATOR BIAS? [Tim Graham] Get your preview of Jim Lehrer's probable liberal moderator bias here. There is nothing wrong with George W. Bush facing liberal questions. He gets them at every press conference. (McClellan gets them at every briefing.) But it would be shocking if John Kerry had to answer a question from the right. On some topics (immigration, or spending bill vetophobia), President Bush might struggle with a shocking question from the right. Posted at 07:55 PM RE: WHAT DO YOU CALL YOURSELF? [Rick Brookhiser] When Daniel Patrick Moynihan was my senator, I would get his constituents' newsletter. For years, he tried to speak of New Yorkers as "York staters." NO doubt it has a pedigree--Moynihan was not the sort of man to make things up whimsically-- but it seemed incredibly lame. Posted at 07:54 PM THERE ARE *SO* DESPERATE DANS AMONG US [John Derbyshire] Jonah's Military Guy offers a list. There are, just for starters: 3rd (US) Infantry Divsion 1st (US) Marine Expeditionary Force. 7th Fleet USAF Air Combat Command US Coast Guard The Blues and Royals Princess Patricia's Canadian Light Infantry The Royal Australian Regiment New Zealand Defence Force Posted at 07:50 PM RE: HUNCH [KJL] Jay's hunch is giving me chills. And the press would still write stories about Bush being a creepy Christian. Posted at 07:47 PM PERSONAL SPACE [KJL] Why would the debate negotiators decide on such a silly rule? Like, you want to other guy to be dumb like Gore was, and make himself look like a creep. Unless, of course, the Kerry camp was worried Kerry would do it and this is the only way they could stop him (think the stupid last-minute light debate). Posted at 07:29 PM MICHIGANDERS [John J. Miller] My goodness, all this fussiness over gender-neutral language! Michiganders may be male or female, just as men and women may serve as chairmen. Of course, there's one definition of "gander" I don't want people to think about when they hear the term "Michigander." It's here, item #3. Posted at 07:27 PM RE: WHAT DO YOU CALL YOURSELF? [John Derbyshire] I'm having trouble believing this one: "John---A person from Durango, Colorado, is said to be a 'Durangatang.'" Posted at 07:26 PM "WELL-HONED AND FORCEFUL"! LET THE DEBATE COMMENCE! [KJL] From Mike Allen's pool report on the president's debate walk-through this afternoon: "The event was labeled 'Closed Press' but the Good Lord gave your pooler occasional X-ray vision and it can be reported that the President, wearing a blazer and blue shirt but no tie, stood in a relaxed manner behind the podium as various aides buzzed in clumps nearby, with Eric Draper recording the scene down front. The President at one point gestured animatedly, as if delivering a series of well-honed and forceful lines." Posted at 07:25 PM UH-OH [KJL] U.S. troops go in to clean out Samarra. Wag the Dog! Posted at 07:17 PM NO-GO AREAS [John Derbyshire] A reader: "Having lived a couple of years in central France, I can confirm to you: It is common knowledge and universally understood that there are no-go areas in the big cities where the police don't enter but for exceptional reasons, and then in platoons. The projects are called HLM there, and your article describes the situation accurately. "I would be interested to know if there are stats on such areas in the USA. It may be urban legend, it may be fact, but it is often said here that the projects in Chicago, for example, aren't entered by cops but for excpetional reasons, and then in platoons." Posted at 07:12 PM A HUNCH [Jay Nordlinger] I think John Kerry just might cross himself before the debate. It would be as phony as his convention-speech salute. But he just might do it. Or, he may give Bush a cross (as in the pugilistic kind). Who knows? Posted at 07:10 PM RE: WHAT DO YOU CALL YOURSELF? [John Derbyshire] "Derb---If I'm from Baltimore, am I a Baltimoron?" If the cap fits, Sir.... Posted at 07:06 PM DEBATE ON DEBATE [Peter Robinson] Tonight I'll be engaging in a debate on the debate, if that's the way to put it, by blogging, as the debate itself takes place, for the Christian Science Monitor. My opposite number? Radio personality Arnie Arenson (mad politics, irresistible personality). Live and lively--that'll be Arnie and me. If you'd care to join us, click here. Posted at 06:54 PM RE: YOOPERS [Peter Robinson] Query to Mr. John Miller: If you're a Michigander, is Mrs. Miller a Michigoose? Posted at 06:53 PM W'S MISTAKES [< a href="mailto:stuttafordnro@aol.com">Andrew Stuttaford] According to Rick Brookhiser. Posted at 06:52 PM KERRY-EDWARDS PLATFORM FOR SALE [Jonathan H. Adler] Well, kinda. Posted at 06:47 PM MORE ON THE FMA VOTE [Ramesh Ponnuru] Among the Democrats, Chris John and Brad Carson, running for Senate in Louisiana and Oklahoma, voted for the FMA. Most of the Democrats facing serious re-election challenges voted for it, too--with the exceptions of Martin Frost, Baron Hill, and Dennis Moore. Whatever you think of their votes, it is nice to see people voting their convictions. Posted at 06:23 PM (PRESUMABLY) FAKE DNC EMAIL [Jonah Goldberg] I got an email which looks real (DNC graphics etc) but obviously a joke. I'm sure some of you will get it. It's kinda funny: Dear [Supporter] , Posted at 06:21 PM JUDGING THE DEBATES [Ramesh Ponnuru] I thought Bush lost the first presidential debate in 2000--partly because I was thinking narrowly about the arguments presented, partly because I was filtering out all the things I found incredibly annoying about Gore but assumed I found annoying because I was partisan. I won't make those mistakes again--just new ones. Posted at 06:18 PM I JUST HAVE TO SAY IT [Jonah Goldberg] I keep hearing how terrible it was for Bush 41 to look at his watch during that townhall debate in 1992. I always thought this was the dumbest, most manufactured, bogus non-"gaffe" in modern memory. Even the totally fake supermarket scanner story looks like a huge issue by comparison. The guy was on national television, he was president of the United States, he looked at his watch to see how much time he had left in the debate. What in the world is wrong with that? If looking at your watch during a debate means your disengaged from the common man's problems I guess running your fingers through your hair means you're opposed to tax cuts, and tying your shoe means you think the Rosenberg's were innocent. Posted at 06:17 PM FMA [Ramesh Ponnuru] The House voted: 227 yeas, 186 nays--well short of the two-thirds needed. Thirty-six Democrats voted for the amendment, 27 Republicans against. Posted at 06:06 PM MINNESOTA [Ramesh Ponnuru] On the phone with the state Republican chairman, Ron Eibensteiner--he says that they just did an internal poll by Fabrizio McLaughlin puts Bush, Kerry, and Nader at 48-44-1. Posted at 05:33 PM YOOPER BUSH [John J. Miller] By the way, when President Bush visited the Upper Peninsula in July, he became only the second president to do so. This first was Howard Taft. So maybe Bush is an honorary Yooper. Posted at 04:12 PM OOPS! [John J. Miller] Derb: People in Michigan's Upper Peninsula are "Yoopers," not "Oopers." The name comes from the abbreviation U.P. -- i.e., the "you-pee." And as a native of the state--and the proud descendant of both Yoopers and Trolls--I consider myself a Michigander. Or better yet, a Wolverine. Posted at 04:09 PM RE: WHAT DO YOU CALL YOURSELF? [Jack Fowler] On point Number 7, about Connecticut: someone who lives there (moi) is best called a “Nutmegger.” It is the Nutmeg State, after all. Of course, if you commute four hours daily to your job in New York City, you are a “Metro North Hostage.” Also possibly an “Idiot,” but I’ll save that for myself. If you lived there and voted for Lowell Weicker, you’re a “Really Big Idiot.” And if you are a more recent former governor, you’re a “Suspect in a Corruption Scandal.” Posted at 03:50 PM "LEAHY LAW STRUCK DOWN" [Ramesh Ponnuru] would have been a better headline, it turns out. The provisions that were just struck down, which supposedly came from the Patriot Act, actually traces back to an amendment that liberal Democratic senator Patrick Leahy made in 1986. The national security letter, he said at the time, was a "clear procedure for access to telephone toll records in counterintelligence investigations" (Congressional Record, Oct. 1, 1986, p. 27633). None of which changes my view that the court got the law wrong, for the reasons Orin Kerr goes through at volokh.com. Posted at 03:46 PM RE: WHAT DO YOU CALL YOURSELF? [John Derbyshire] MASSES of e-mail on this one. People love this word stuff. I can blog all day about politics, and the world slumbers; give people words to play with, and they come alive. Interesting. Well: I haven't actually been all that successful at getting weird names for the natives of U.S. towns and states. For some reason, the weird stuff is elsewhere -- esp. Canada. However, just on the U.S.A.: (1) "New Jerseyan" or "New Jerseyite"? Natives of the Garden State seem to prefer the former, though style books tend to give the latter. (Though not NR's; I have a "-an" citation from NRODT.) (2) Michigan is in a state of incipient civil war over "Mighiganian" vs. "Michigander." [Note from Derb: Shouldn't "Michigander" be for males only, with "Michigeese" for gals? Just asking.] Furthermore, natives of the Michigan upper peninsula are "oopers," and refer to the downstaters as "trolls." (3) Folk from Canton, China may indeed be "Cantonese," but if you come from Canton, Ohio, you are a "Cantonian." Go figure. (No reports in yet from Canton, NY.) (4) Natives of Seattle are of course "Seattlites," but my informant couldn't remember whether they hang down from the ceiling or stick up from the floor. (Just so long as they stay in orbit, say I.) (5) People from Florida are "Floridians," but people from Nevada are "Nevadans." Why? asks a reader. What happened to the "i"? Beats me. If anyone has seen it lying around, please inform us at NRO. (6) Lots of slightly un-PC suggestions about "Mainiacs," "Vermongoloids," etc., which I shall pass over without comment. (7) Neither of my two correspondents from Connecticut have any idea what to call themselves. Can anyone help? (Note: "Connecticutie" is of VERY LIMITED APPLICABILITY.) (8) A person from Phoenix, Ariz., is a "Phoenician." Just don't go off founding any cities in N. Africa and challenging the might of Rome, guys. (9) Shed a tear for the Clintonians (of Clinton, IN) and the Kirkatoids (of Kirksville, MO). (10) If you come from Key West, you're a "Conch." Posted at 03:38 PM JUSTICE IN THE BALANCE [KJL] Catholic lawyers on a Kerry presidency and the Court Posted at 03:22 PM JOSH BENSON [Ramesh Ponnuru] makes a good case that Kerry should break the rules tonight. Posted at 02:32 PM KERRY'S KUMBAYA CAMPAIGN [Jim Boulet] Arianna Huffington argues that President Bush is unfairly using religion against John Kerry: "To hear them tell it, a vote for Kerry is a vote against God and Country. Talk about hitting way, way below the belt." Arianna, meet Rev. David Keyes, "an interim minister for Unitarian Universalist and United Church of Christ." This is not a parody: Keyes is the Kerry-Edwards election campaign's new (and first) religious outreach coordinator for Missouri, and on Monday afternoon he sat at a table at the campaign's St. Louis storefront headquarters in a Shrewsbury strip mall with six religious leaders, lay and ordained.Blogger Harry Forbes suspicion that "You don't suppose the [Democratic National Committee] would refuse to dirty its hands with a database of Unitarian or UCC activists do you?," has now been confirmed. (Tip of the hat to Andrew Sullivan for the Forbes link.) Posted at 02:31 PM DEBATE REAX [Rich Lowry] FYI, I will be doing something on Fox News Radio before, during, and after the debate. Not sure how that's going to work exactly. Then, will be on the Alan Colmes radio show sometime between 11 and 12 pm. I'm scheduled to be on “On the Record” with Greta sometime between 12-1 a.m., and also on Fox & Friends tomorrow morning at around 7:15 am. All subject to change, cancellation, etc. Posted at 02:26 PM PATRIOT ACT [Andy McCarthy] Quick take on the "Patriot Act decision:" The district judge ruled that a small, not terribly important section of the Patriot Act is unenforceable. It allows the FBI to get very dry, non-private transactional information about telephone and email communications without a search warrant or subpoena. The FBI can compel it by a National Security Letter (NSL) to the communications provider company. Such letters may also direct the service provider not to disclose that the FBI has sought the records (since that would likely tip off the people being investigated). This is not private information because it is in the hands of a third party. The judge does not like the fact that the FBI can demand such information merely by a representation (from a high ranking agency official) that it is relevant to a terrorism or espionage investigation -- he would prefer that the FBI be required to make a showing and have judicial review first. But for years, the FBI has been able to get the same kinds of information by subpoena or pen registers in the course of investigating far less serious matters than national security. For a subpoena, no representation is required and for a pen register (a device that tells you who telephoned whom, when, and for how long), all the government needed to represent was that the information sought was relevant to a criminal investigation. The judge thinks the 4th Amendment is violated because the communications company might feel compelled to comply without knowing whether the FBI was really conducting a national security investigation. The company might very well feel that way, but THAT it is not a violation of the 4th Amendment -- an NSL, like a subpoena DOES compel information, but the information we're talking about here is not private information of the kind the 4th Amendment proscription against unreasonable searches guards. The judge also objects to the fact that the letter does not tell the company that it might wish to consider going to court to try to get the letter voided. But subpoenas and most court orders don't do that either. In general, people are expected to know and vindicate their own rights. Miranda is the major exception -- and what Judge Marrero seems to be urging here is a sort of Miranda for NSLs. The First Amendment problem is more colorable. The judge objects to the fact that the statute indicates the communications company must stay silent in perpetuity, and doesn't even tell the recipient he/she can discuss compliance with a lawyer. But I don't think this was a reason to void it. He could have found that the statute should be construed to permit the recipient to seek permission to disclose from a court at some reasonable point when disclosure would no longer compromise the investigation or national security. I say this is not an important provision because there are virtually no circumstances in which, if the FBI needs this kind of information, it cannot get the information by simply issuing a grand jury subpoena. The FBI thinks it should be able to compel the information on its own (i.e., without judicial process or even consultation with Justice Department attorneys) because it is permitted to do so in some less important contexts (like health care fraud investigations). They have a point, but it is not one worth going to war over -- especially if the price tag is a bunch of misleading press that suggests the Patriot Act is the installation of the Third Reich. Posted at 02:17 PM THE DEBATE [KJL] More interesting than the time it starts: last minute light negotiations. Will Kerry physically remove them himself? Probably not. But Kerry Spot is watching. Posted at 02:15 PM TERRORISTS PRAISE THE FRENCH [KJL] Terrorists (a.k.a. Islamic militants) holding two French hostages laud France for its position on the Iraq war. Posted at 02:11 PM 9PM [KJL] EDT is when the debate starts. Is 90 minutes. 5 people have asked me in the last hour, so I thought I'd post. Posted at 02:09 PM THE ENTHUSIASM GAP [Jonah Goldberg] The surest explanation for the draft myth, the Cameron Diaz rhetoric and the rest can be found in this factoid: "Forget the gender gap. The chasm that yawns the widest this election year is the Enthusiasm Gap. When your base doesn't like the candidate, scare the dickens out of them about the opponent. Posted at 02:06 PM ANOTHER NONPARTISAN FOR KERRY [Tim Graham] NBC's/MSNBC's favorite "Republican" 9-11 widow, Kristen Breitweiser, is now featured in a two-minute Kerry-endorsing ad on the DNC web site. Posted at 02:04 PM IRAQ: THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN JIHAD AND SAVAGERY? [Andrew Stuttaford] None. Posted at 02:02 PM THE BAGHDAD ATTACK [Andrew Stuttaford] Something else worth noticing about that hideous attack in Baghdad today was that it was an attack on crowds celebrating the opening of a new sewage plant. Clearly, acknowledgement of any progress since the fall of Saddam, however benign, however uncontroversial, in the lives of ordinary Iraqis is unacceptable to those now waging war on children, Coalition forces and the new regime in Iraq. Posted at 02:00 PM NATIONAL INSECURITY [Rod Dreher] We just had former US Coast Guard Commander Stephen Flynn stop by the editorial board here at the Dallas Morning News. Fascinating guy. He says that neither Bush nor Kerry is doing remotely enough to take care of the domestic security situation, nor is Congress. He said most American elites are content to sit back and to hope it doesn't happen again, because taking the kinds of measures that would both reduce the chances of it happening again and make America more resilient in the event that it does, strike them as too difficult or costly. And that is a terrible miscalculation, he warned, one that stands to do serious damage to American government and civil society in the event of another 9/11, or worse. I asked Cmdr. Flynn, who's now with the Council on Foreign Relations, how one makes the case for serious domestic security reform in the face of quite a few people who say, as soon as this or that measure is proposed, that it's an intolerable restriction of civil liberties, and if we do X., the terrorists will have won. He responded that he was talking to the head of the ACLU, and asked him if he thought something like 9/11 was going to happen again. Yes, the man said. Then, said Flynn, he asked the ACLU chief what the civil liberties record of this country has been in the past when we've been frightened by trauma. Not good, he quoted the ACLU head as saying. "I told him that given our history, if he waits until the next 9/11 happens, he's not going to have a voice at the table to talk about civil liberties," Flynn told us. "Shooting down any discussion of pragmatic steps we should be taking to protect ourselves, and the civil liberties tradeoffs that would involve, by saying 'the terrorists will have won' is just putting your head in the sand. The reality is there are people in our midst who want to kill us, and kill us in largenumbers. We have to face that now, because if we wait till the next time, we're not going to handle it well. We have a narrow window of opportunity, and it's closing." Posted at 02:00 PM THE FACE OF EVIL II [KJL] Was today's bombing aimed toward Americans tuned into Miami tonight? Roger Simon thinks likely. And his response, which I think is the American response to anything terrorists might try: "this only stiffens my resolve!" Posted at 01:41 PM WORDS OF WISDOM [Ramesh Ponnuru] from Cameron Diaz. Posted at 01:28 PM TERRORISM IN OCTOBER [KJL] Jim Robbins is terribly sobering today. Posted at 01:05 PM THE FACE OF OUR ENEMY [KJL] 35 kids dead in Baghdad. Posted at 01:03 PM RE: EDWARDS [Jonah Goldberg] Rich -- Good point. And I should add that I don't think my Clintonite conspiracy theory is the most likely explanation. I think a more likely one is a combination of two things. 1) Edwards is determined to remain "sunny" even though being a sunny loser is a lot worse for his career than a gloomy winner and 2) I suspect that Kerry is determined to be "tough". I think -- again because he's got horrendous political instincts -- he's internalized the Dukakis lesson of always responding. I also think he thinks he's so much more of a man than Bush that he must go on the offensive personally and he hates the image of letting Edwards do his fighting for him. Perhaps that's because Edwards is a far, far better politician than Kerry. But whatever the reason, if Kerry loses, I look forward to the post-mortems and finger pointing. It should be fascinating. Posted at 12:53 PM EDWARDS, ETC. [Rich Lowry] Jonah, One thing I've been thinking about Edwards is how he shows there is a reason for the traditional rules of politics. You have the VP be the attack dog so you don't drive up your own unfavorables by being the attack dog yourself. That's exactly what has happened to Kerry because he has a (mostly) “positive” VP candidate. Another traditional rule worth honoring: have your spouse tightly scripted so she doesn't do anything to embarrass you. Posted at 12:47 PM FLIP-FLOPPING [Jonah Goldberg] Interesting point from a reader: Sir: Posted at 12:45 PM CHE SCHIFO [Andrew Stuttaford] Any truth, John, in reports that you are now being burned in effigy by the quite rightly outraged citizens of "inconsequential" Bergamo? Posted at 12:36 PM PRO-LIFE CONGRESS [KJL] The National Right to Life Committe gives the 108th high marks. Posted at 12:35 PM SPEAKING OF EJ [Jonah Goldberg] A friend of mine reminds me of this from EJ's July 7 column: Putting a Southerner on the ticket was essential. Since 1960 five of the eight Democratic tickets that included a Southerner have been elected. The tickets without a Southerner went 0 for 3. Edwards allows Democrats to contest North Carolina, Florida, Louisiana, Virginia and Arkansas. Democratic optimists -- yes, it's a stretch -- think Edwards's native South Carolina might also be in reach. It's early yet. But it seems to me this analysis isn't holding up too well. To be fair, I blame Dionne less than I do the Kerry campaign which has used Edwards like he's political saffron -- just a pinch will do. It almost makes you wonder if the Clintonites on the Kerry campaign care more about keeping Edwards from being the natural 2008 front-runner than they do about getting Kerry into the White House. But that's way too conspiratorial. Right? Posted at 12:31 PM THE DRAFT [Rich Lowry] This is a good New York Post editorial on the absurd and shameful lie that Bush is planning to implement a draft. Posted at 12:30 PM DIONNE V NOVAK [Jonah Goldberg] Remember last week when I complained that EJ Dionne's gripes about Bush's "distortions" and the failure of the press to cover them were unpersuasive? Maybe it's a sign of my partisanship, but I think Bob Novak's similar complaints about Kerry are far, far more serious. Posted at 12:26 PM LAME-O-RAMA CONT'D [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader:
Posted at 12:20 PM CHARACTER ISSUE [KJL] Also last night, I hit the launch of a new journal, from the Templeton Foundation. It’s called In Character and is edited by an NR alum, Naomi Schaefer Riley. The first issue is about thrift and has the likes of Jean Bethke Elshtain, Kay Hymowitz, and Arthur Herman writing for it. It is smart and beautifully illustrated. Website is just a holder for the moment with a press release, but if you can get yourself a copy, it’s worthwhile. (Of course, only after you subscribe to NRODT.) Posted at 12:18 PM WHERE’S THE GOOD NEWS ON IRAQ? II [KJL] I’ll tell you where: it’s with the folks at Spirit of America. Jim Hake and Kerry Dupont from Spirit of America dropped by for a visit while in town last night. They really are an amazing group. Jim, a businessman, just wanted to do something to contribute to the cause of freedom post-9/11. He was inspired by Special Forces stories and found himself some Marines, found out what was needed on the ground in Iraq (and Afghanistan), and started making it happen--smartly bypassing red tape and the like to do it. They’re helping build an independent media in Iraq—complete with talk-radio hosts—delivering sewing machines, school kits, and whatever else they can, that is needed. They are filled with stories of success from Iraq. Challenges, of course. But there are freedom-lovers in Iraq and those Iraqis will fight the insurgents and get the truth out (Iraq the Model!), despite the obvious obstacles. Read so much more about them on their site. And God bless them. Really cool Americans working with amazing Iraqis. John Kerry ought to hear them. Posted at 12:06 PM WHERE'S THE GOOD NEWS FROM IRAQ? [KJL] Posted at 11:48 AM VDH [KJL] on what to ask Kerry. And here's Bill Kristol's suggestions. Posted at 11:44 AM DID MARGARET CARLSON JUST ENDORSE BUSH 41 RETROACTIVELY? [KJL] In the LATimes:"Remember Bush 41, taunted for rightly resisting calls to charge into Baghdad and ridiculed as a lap dog, a wimp and every woman's first husband. To me the first Bush was every woman's second husband, the one you chose after you had all the false bravado you could stand from Bush 43." Posted at 11:40 AM OKAY [Ramesh Ponnuru] Now I see Adler was ahead of me, as he usually is. Posted at 11:31 AM MORE FROM IRAN [KJL] Posted at 11:28 AM THE UNSCATHED PATRIOT ACT [Ramesh Ponnuru] You may have heard that a federal judge had ruled part of the Patriot Act unconstitutional. You heard wrong. Posted at 11:21 AM LIVE BLOGGING RFK JR. [Jonathan H. Adler] Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is scheduled to speak tonight at 7pm at Case Western Reserve University. Efforts to turn the event into a debate were unsuccessful, so I will be live blogging his remarks over at The Commons Blog. Posted at 11:20 AM WHAT DO YOU CALL YOURSELF? [John Derbyshire] I struck out with this one on the THE NEW CRITERION blog so let's try NRO readers. The question is: What do you call the natives of the city or state named XXX? XXX-ians? XXX-enes? XXX-onians? Or something truly irregular and eccentric? Anyway, here's the blog as first posted. ------------------- Here's a thing. I was just browsing in William Ashbrook's fine book Donizetti and his Operas. On p.7 I read: "[Francesco] Salari (1751-1823), a Bergamasc by birth, had studied at Naples with Piccinni..." That word "Bergamasc" stopped my eye. It plainly means "a native of Bergamo" (Donizetti's own home town). How striking that the English language should have an irregular formation like tha, to identify the natives of an inconsequential Italian town! There are a number of these irregulars in Britain: "Liverpudlian" for a native of Liverpool, "Mancunian" for someone from nearby Manchester, "Salopian" for the people of Shropshire, and so on. In the U.S.A., though, the only one I know of is "Cantabrigian," which I have heard used for a native of Cambridge, Mass. -- obviously borrowed from the corresponding British usage. (In re which, let's not forget "Oxonian"!) Even setting aside these irregular forms, the business of making English substantives and adjectives to identify people from this or that place is very convoluted. Why is a native of Paris a Parisian, while a native of Berlin is a Berliner? (As also, notoriously, is a sticky cream-filled bun.) Why is a native of Beijing a Beijinger, while a native of Shanghai is a Shanghainese? Because the first ends in a consonant but the second doesn't? Then why is a native of Canton a Cantonese, not a Cantoner? There are deep mysteries to be plumbed here. Is there any other language in the world as rich, varied, and mysterious as English? Posted at 11:20 AM BAD GRADE FOR GRIFFITH [Jonathan H. Adler] Thomas Griffith, who President Bush nominated to a seat on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, barely eked out a "qualified" rating from the Americna Bar Association. Of the fifteen evaluators, at least six rated him "not qualified." One of the key issues is that Griffith allowed his law license to lapse while he continued to practice law in D.C. and Utah. Griffith is currently general counsel for Brigham Young University and is close to Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Orrin Hatch, who plans to hold a hearing soon on Griffith's nomination. Posted at 11:16 AM THE OTHER CBS GAFFE [Jonah Goldberg] INDC Journal interviews some CBS guys. Posted at 11:13 AM RE: THE LAMENESS SEEPS IN. [Jonah Goldberg] A reader makes a point I forgot to make: I completely agree on the lameness of Bill Burton's retort to Lynne Cheney, and I think I know what the problem is. Although Mrs. Cheney's jab wasn't hilarious, she get's bonus points for being spontaneous and somewhat impolitic. Burton's comments are clearly scripted -- on message, if you will. They sound like the work of a committee, and the image of Kerry advisors huddled together to come up with something as lame as they did is deeply disturbing. Posted at 11:11 AM SPEAKING OF "I KNOW YOU ARE BUT WHAT AM I?" [Jonah Goldberg] Have you seen Kerry's latest theme? It's that Bush is the "real flip-flopper" because he kept changing his rationale for the war. They did a segment on it last night on Fox. I don't have a link, but it does seem the meme is widespread. The criticism is legitimate enough in a presidential debate, but the "real flip-flopper" angle is so revealing of how the Kerry campaign is still being held-hostage to the Bush campaign (as I argued in yesterday's syndicated column). It's just so lame. Can't these guys come up with their own campaign themes? I mean do they really want at this late stage to argue about who is the "real" flip-flopper? A question which almost concedes that Kerry is a flip-flopper but whines about Bush being one too? Is that really the terrain Kerry and Co. want to run on going into the home stretch? Besides, running ads and such saying Bush is the real flip-flopper because of Iraq is simply preaching to the same choir Moveon.org & Co. have been preaching to for a year. The people who buy the Iraq argument are already anti-Bush. It's a dead horse. And it's lame. Posted at 11:08 AM FYI [KJL] Marriage Protection Amendment will be voted on on the House floor today. Posted at 11:06 AM THAT BURTON TAN THING [KJL] sounds like something one of Jon Stewart's correspondents would make a Kerry spokesman say. Posted at 11:01 AM DEBATE NIGHT [Jonah Goldberg] I'll be hanging around here tonight for debate night of course. I'll also be doing some kind of 10 minute late-night phoner on C-Span around 11:20 PM with David Corn. Or at least that's what I'm scheduled to do. Posted at 10:55 AM WE ARE ENDOWED BY OUR GOVERNMENT WITH CERTAIN INALIENABLE RIGHTS... [KJL] Andy McCarthy is reading through the 120-page so-called Patriot Act ruling that came down yesterday. He highlights this classic passage--for Black Robes' Greatest Hits: "Personal freedoms, on the other hand, are far more unique. As individualized by constitutional ideals to embody our sense of human dignity, decency, and fair play, they attach to each individual by promise of the very government which creates those basic rights and is charged to protect them, and upon whose faithful adherence to their underlying principles and aims their enduring enjoyment depends." [Itals mine.] Posted at 10:49 AM 2ND AMENDMENT WATCH [KJL] The House voted to repeal the DC gun ban with 250 votes last night. Posted at 10:48 AM THE LAMENESS SEEPS IN [Jonah Goldberg] The story about Lynne Cheney mocking Kerry's tan is hilarious, but not because Mrs. Cheney was that funny. Here's the full AP story (Via Drudge): DULUTH, Minn. - Something about Sen. John Kerry (news - web sites)'s darker appearance has caught Lynne Cheney's eye. ME: I don't know, maybe I'm reading too much into this but does Bill Burton sound like an loser here? He may not be, I have no idea. But this sort of "oh yeah, well what about your mother's combat boots and that stupid hat you're wearing, and, and, and, and...." tone comes across as pathetically desperate. You can almost see him hanging up with the AP reporter and, with huge pride, turning to some guy with a pocket protector for a high-five -- and missing. Posted at 10:42 AM TWO JOHNS (BUT NOT KERRY AND EDWARDS) [John J. Miller] On Monday, I'll be in Raleigh, N.C., talking about the election at a lunch sponsored by the John Locke Foundation. John Fund of the Wall Street Journal will be there as well. More info here. Posted at 10:39 AM PATRIOT ACT NOT STRUCK DOWN [Jonathan H. Adler] Orin Kerr sets the record straight on the mainstream media's egregious misreporting of yesterday's federal district court opinion striking down portions of the 1986 Electronic Communications Privacy Act. Posted at 10:15 AM RUSSIA TO SIGN UP FOR STUPIDITY PACT [Andrew Stuttaford] Putin to push for the ratification of the Kyoto Treaty. No word yet, on whether Russia is about to endorse astrology, alchemy, creation 'science' and homeopathy. Russian scientists are, apparently, unimpressed. The head of the Russian Academy of Science's institute on climate change is repeating the academy's position that "the protocol is not effective and gives us no advantages." Putin's motive? To curry favour with the EU. Pathetic. Posted at 09:57 AM HAIKU TAKE TWO [Jack Fowler] WFB’s new book is Miles Gone By. Get copy, signed by Bill, now. Here. Now, as to my first haiku effort from Tuesday, and my Bill Bucknering the syllable-ization, what can I say but this: Screwed up in Corner. Tried haiku. Got lowku. Shame! Now go buy Bill’s book . Next week we’ll try book marketing with limericks, although I might get into some trouble rhyming Queen Zixi of Ix (more about that delightful book here). Posted at 09:35 AM DESPERATE DAN [John Derbyshire] Andrew: Sad news about Desperate Dan, one of the favorites of my childhood. I wonder if he's still allowed to shave with a lawnmower? And when he rund right through a brick wall, does he still leave a Dan-shaped hole in the wall, complete with hat? I can't help thinking we could use a few more Desperate Dans in western society. I guess that type doesn't make very good lawyers, accountants, futures traders, or community relations liaison officers. Posted at 09:10 AM RE: KERRY ON GMA [Tim Graham] If I were a Kerry adviser, I'd be depressed this morning. Diane Sawyer set up Kerry with a nice photo of his proud papa looking on at young Kerry, and Kerry mumbled an inarticulate answer. If you can't ace that, what can you ace? For everyone who watched Kerry muddle everything yesterday, the funniest answer today was Kerry insisting he's been "very clear" on Iraq. But what struck me today is how desperately the press avoids Tuh-ray-za and what a never-ending gaffe machine she is. Sawyer noted she suggested Bush would spring an Osama October Surprise, and Kerry was allowed to just plead that she was a "truth teller." Dan Quayle must seethe when he sees what that woman gets away with saying on the stump... Posted at 08:52 AM RE: SCARING PEOPLE [Jonah Goldberg] And the constant rumors, winks, nods and declarations that there's a secret plan to reinstate the draft isn't scaring people? Posted at 08:49 AM KERRY ON BUSH SCARING PEOPLE [Andy McCarthy] I agree with him -- Bush is always talking about terror. BUT, if Bush REALLY wanted to scare people, he'd be talking about MILITANT ISLAM (e.g., "Therefore, when ye meet the Unbelievers in fight, smite at their necks" (Sura 47:4)). Do we suppose there's any chance that Kerry would ever, ever talk about THAT . . . even once? If he did, him being such a sophisticate and all, he might have to acknowledge that it has a universalist, hegemonic vision, and that if you do things like not crush them when they hit you for eight years (ohhh, like say from 1993 to 2001), it confirms in their minds that Allah's master plan is right on schedule. Pulling out of Iraq, of course, would have the same effect -- Bin Laden is still getting recruiting mileage by talking about how we cut and run in Lebanon and Somalia. An Iraq pull-out would be the propaganda coup of all time. I can forgive Bush for talking the wrong talk, because he's walking the right walk. Is the ANY chance that Kerry would do either? Nope. Yet Kerry keeps talking about Iraq. Has he noticed that there's lots of, um, terror, not to mention neck-smiting, over there? What's his point? Posted at 08:21 AM COLOR ME SHOCKED [Jonah Goldberg] Last night's "Law and Order" was actually a pretty well-written and relatively fair allegory about the preemption doctrine. A prison guard kills a released maniac he knows will murder and rape his wife and kids eventually. He choose not to merely go to the authorities to violate his parole but take care of the job himself because he can't take the risk. Obviously the producers leaned a bit heavily against preemption -- which under American criminal justice is merely vigilantism -- but it was done with nuance and smarts. I do wonder if the writers appreciate that on the international stage international law is not the same thing as domestic law. But, since I've grown to despise much of the writing on Law and Order in recent years, I tip my hat to them. Posted at 08:04 AM DESPERATE RHYMES [Andrew Stuttaford] One of those posting a comment over at Harry's Place links to a website linked to the always entertaining William Topaz McGonagall, a 19th Century poet who always wrote, um, with enthusiasm. Here are the concluding lines of The Battle of El-Teb "Oh, God of Heaven! it was a terrible sight/To see, and hear the Arabs shouting with all their might/A fearful oath when they got an inch of cold steel,/Which forced them backwards again and made them reel. "By two o'clock they were fairly beat,/And Osman Digna, the false prophet, was forced to retreat/After three hours of an incessant fight;/But Heaven, 'tis said, defends the right. "And I think he ought to be ashamed of himself;/For I consider he has acted the part of a silly elf,/By thinking to conquer the armies of the Lord/With his foolish and benighted rebel horde. Now that's what I call a clash of civilizations. Posted at 07:29 AM “DAMNABLE LIES” [KJL ] That’s how he describes the Swift Vets. What are they lying about? That he testified to Congress and maligned our troops? How did they lie when they ran the videotape, essentially. Posted at 07:18 AM “ALL HAT AND NO CATTLE” [KJL ] That has got to stop Posted at 07:16 AM KERRY ON GMA TODAY [KJL ] George Bush is scaring the American people. He’s always talking about terror. (I won’t swear by the wording, ran across the room to type this.) WE’RE IN A WAR ON TERROR, DUDE! Posted at 07:13 AM DESPERATE TIMES [Andrew Stuttaford] Desperate Dan is a British comic book icon. Or was. The Scotsman has more: "FOR decades, he gave not a jot for political correctness or cholesterol levels by encouraging his horse with jaggy spurs, six-gun at the ready and consuming live cow pies. Alas, the good times are over for Desperate Dan. The children’s favourite is the latest recipient of a makeover for more politically correct times. Dan is retaining his starring role in the Dandy, as he has since 1937, but the "new" DD is part of the legendary comic’s first revamp in nearly 70 years by its publishers, DC Thomson. Dundee’s most famous cowboy will even be required to lose weight to reinforce the fashionable healthy-eating message. Gone too is the pistol, which was said to promote gun culture. It used to be seen poking out of the top of Dan’s holster but has now disappeared - although the holster remains. Also axed are the spurs and Dan’s dramatic method of preparing his dinner by tearing cows apart, both of which are regarded as too overtly cruel to animals. The comic has been "reinvented", in order to capture a more politically-correct generation."
Sigh. Posted at 07:04 AM MICHAEL MOORE'S NONSENSE IN IRAN [KJL] Posted at 06:11 AM NAME GAME [John J. Miller] What should Washington's new baseball team call itself? I'm a traditionalist, so Senators has some appeal. And I do like those red hats, with the distinctive "W." (Maybe folks at Bush campaign headquarters should start wearing them.) Then again, the Senators were big-time losers: "First in war, first in peace, last in the American League." So there's a case to be made for something new. Or something old: In today's Wash Post, Michael Wilbon suggests the Washington Grays. Not a bad idea. Posted at 05:26 AM Wednesday, September 29, 2004 IRAN [Michael Ledeen] I just got a long fax, in Farsi, from friends following the events in Iran. The bottom line is that, once again, the extreme instability of the country has been demonstrated. It seems that more than two thousand people have been arrested. Several members of the Revolutionary Guards have been killed. Depending on your point of view the catalyst for these clashes was either appeals from outside Iran, or the continued collapse of the mullahs (banks closed, salaries unpaid, teachers locked out of schools, etc.) or the incredible tempo of executions, notably of young people, on charges that seem preposterous. It is clear that opponents of the regime are increasingly armed, there are gunfights in the streets of several cities, and the clashes are going on all over the country. It is not just Tehran, or Tehran and Isfahan. I'm leaving soon for a college weekend with #2 son, and probably won't get the full translation until we return on Sunday. By then there may be more, and I'll get back on it, natch. Posted at 11:03 PM REALITY [Michael Ledeen] This is from IRAQ THE MODEL, which everyone should read regularly. He got this from the father of a US Marine serving in Iraq, and it's a letter from Najaf. Notice something that I had not been told (I guess the star journalists over there figured it was so obvious there was no need to report it ) namely that this is the first time IN A YEAR that people could actually pray in the mosques of the holiest city in Shi'ite Islam. And WE'RE the infidels? Anyway, here's the letter: Dear Dad: 1. Not much to report on here in Najaf. Its been quite but we have heard about things being hot in other parts of Iraq so we are still being vigilant. Just recently the Mosques here in Najaf have re-opened and people are returning to them for prayer for the first time in almost a year. When the militia came into the city they took over the Mosques and used them as hideouts, even though it's against their own religious beliefs to use a holy site in such a way, but they did so because they knew that we wouldn't bomb there. The people kept asking us to just go in and get them, but we didn't want to destroy their Mosque, and some of my friends died as a result of sniper fire from inside, but we know it was the right thing to do. Posted at 10:29 PM APPRECIATING THE MOON [John Derbyshire] The Derbs (including Boris) just came back from our annual moonlight walk. This is a Chinese thing: on the fifteenth of the eighth lunar month you celbrate the Mid-Autumn Festival. This involves eating some special foods (notably moon-cake) and going out to "appreciate the moon" (_shang yue_) and recite appropriate poems. The proper day was really yesterday, but the sky was cloudy last night, so we put it off till tonight. The moon was exceptionally fine, full and bright in a clear sky. There are no street lights out here in the sticks, so we strolled through the argentine moonlight, followed by our moon shadows. Lovely. Posted at 10:27 PM FOR THE WHO-NEEDS-MEN? FILES [KJL] Male-order sperm. Man-shaped pillow. If only reason came in a bottle. Posted at 06:07 PM TIME TO GET A NEW CELL [KJL] Text message just now: "Hey! This is john Kerry! vote 4 me!!!!" Brilliant strategy, or really lame friends. Posted at 06:04 PM BASEBALL CARD MEMORIES [Rich Lowry] An e-mailer confirms my baseball card recollection. E-mail: "1974 Topps did have a few Padre cards that said Senators. The Dave Winfied card was a rookie card that year and worth quit a nice penny. However, the few Winfield Senator cards were worth a mint." Posted at 05:13 PM SOME ACTIVITY IN IRAN? [KJL] Posted at 04:22 PM HAPPY HOUR [John J. Miller] If your kids are really, really insistent on having lunch money for tomorrow, this may be why. Posted at 03:45 PM CONSTITUTION STUFF [Jonah Goldberg] Okay, please don't send me anymore emails making this point (I don't mean to be rude, it's just that constutional questions elicit scads of redundant emails): Article IV, Section 4 of the Constitution requires that "[t]he United States shall guarantee to every state in this union a republican form of government. . . ." http://www.law.cornell.edu/constitution/constitution.articleiv.html This point comes up a bunch too: The SCOTUS cases dealing with voting rights are "fundamental rights--equal protection" cases, not substantive due process. Basically, this means that if a state chooses to allow citizens the privilege of voting, it must offer that privilege on an equal basis--can't discriminate against suspect classes without compelling government interest and narrowly tailored means, etc. A state could, ostensibly, deny the voting privilege to all citizens equally. Which would be stupid. Posted at 03:44 PM ONE LAST RED-STATE SUBSIDIES POINT [Ramesh Ponnuru] An email: "who is more affluent, the retiree who stays in New Jersey, or the retiree who moves to Florida? Correct: It is the MORE AFFLUENT retirees who relocate to the Sunbelt. Now, because Social Security income is calculated on a formula based on total Social Security tax payments (and thus reflects lifetime earnings), this means that the retiree who moves to Phoenix, Ariz., Gulf Shores, Ala., or Galveston, Texas, likely has a much LARGER monthly SS check than does the shlub who's stuck in Milwaukee or Peoria. And because Social Security checks are to a great degree tax exempt, this aspect of the higher income of affluent Sun Belt retirees does not result in a higher level of federal tax payments from Red states." Posted at 03:31 PM I THINK [Ramesh Ponnuru] it would be perfectly constitutional for a state legislature to decide it's going to award the state's electoral votes by itself, rather than consulting the voters of the state. Not wise, or conducive to the political health of the people who proposed it, but constitutional. Posted at 03:28 PM HEIGHT DOESN'T MATTER [John J. Miller] If I were building the perfect candidate, I'd make him tall. But: McGovern was taller than Nixon in 1972, Ford was taller than Carter in 1976, and Gore was taller than Bush in 2000. Posted at 03:16 PM IS THERE A RIGHT TO VOTE? [Jonah Goldberg] Folks - I'm getting a lot of email about whether or not there's a constitutional right to vote. For example, "Your reader is wrong; the right to vote is NOT in the constitution. Only protection against having states limit your right to vote based on certain criteria. But the actual right to vote is established by the states themselves, since the states are the ones electing the president." I understand the point. But the Supreme Court, I think does recognize a constitutional right to vote. So while it may not be in the Constitution it does exist. But, my larger point is, I really, really don't want to have a debate dripping with Marbury V. Madison etc on the question. Still, I figured I had to at least get the idea out there. If Ramesh wants to settle the issue fine. But otherwise let's just let this tangent sit where it is until another day. Posted at 03:01 PM TOO FUNNY [KJL] Ken Starr is getting a paycheck from the NYTimes. Posted at 02:33 PM VOTING -- ONE MORE THING [Jonah Goldberg] My correspondent dismisses the notion of screening voters by simply saying it's in the Constitution that stupid people can vote. I don't dispute that, I simply don't accept that as the end of the argument. The Constitution certainly recognizes the right of the States and the Federal Government to set standards of one kind or another for voters. Through the amendment process and case law those standards have been made more and more universal. I see nothing wrong in principle with constructing some kind of criteria which filters out some voters. All of the valid objections to this suggestion are practical ones, which is not to say they aren't persuasive. How do you set up such a system? It would have to be race neutral, for example, not only in intent but in effect or it would never win legal or public approval. But in the abstract I have no problem whatsoever with a standard that made it more difficult for people to vote if the result of that difficulty was a more informed and serious electorate. But I'm a broken record on this. Posted at 02:19 PM TWO DEBATES DOWN... [KJL] A reader: " In mentioning his height, Kerry has identified the second advantage he has over Bush. (The first being his great hair.) Hair & height might be enough to fill two debates, but what will he focus on in the third? Maybe Corner readers can give Kerry a few ideas." Posted at 02:12 PM WHAT'S MY BEEF WITH DUMB PEOPLE [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader who often sends in constructive criticism:
The point of this column was pretty obvious, too, I thought. It was also bipartisan. I don't have any problem with liberal politicians saying the American people are wrong for believing the estate tax should be repealed or anything else conservatives believe in. My beef is with elected leaders and activists who think that simply because the American people at any given moment "think" something sounds good it must therefore be good. Democracy must be about argument, persuasion and education. There's simply no way to do that if the starting position of "the people" -- as gleaned by telemarketers -- is beyond criticism for the very people explicitly charged with conducting those arguments. Posted at 01:54 PM THEY MUST BE PANICKING AT BUSH HQ [ Jonah Goldberg] Jesse Jackson has signed up as an advisor to Kerry. And not a moment too soon. After all, the one thing the Kerry campaign has really lacked all this time is enough egomaniacal consultants. Posted at 01:40 PM BASEBALL IN WASHINGTON [Rich Lowry] Congrats to long-suffering Washingtonians. Growing up there, I would get caught up in the occasional baseball-is-about-to-arrive frenzies. I remember one year (if I'm not mistaken) the baseball cards for the Padres said Washington on them because their move was considered such a certainty during the off-season. Now I have to say, however, that nothing strikes me as quite so dreary as the prospect of watching a National League game played at RFK stadium. Anyway, here's hoping the nation's capital has better luck with this franchise than the first two. Posted at 01:37 PM UPSIDE DOWN: NOT FOR CHILDREN [KJL] A reader just e-mailed: "A K-Lo post about how 'size matters,' complete with a reference to a horse? After that, I half expected to surf over to Wonkette and find her fretting over human cloning experiments." Posted at 01:26 PM "WE NEED A TALLER HORSE" [KJL] Kerry will not flip-flop on size: it matters, he says. Posted at 01:07 PM HAIKU [John Derbyshire] May I please recycle my favorite haiku? I think it was one of the late Willard Espy's. I ku; you ku; he, She, or it ku; we ku; you Ku; they ku. Thanku. Posted at 12:49 PM IS HE DEFENDING PEDOPHILES OR MARGARET CHO FANS? [Jonah Goldberg] This guy no like me: Good Day to you sir, Yes, I heartily believe you are the typical, talking-out-the-side-of-your-neck neo-con that has brought this country to the sorry state that we are now in. I took greatest exception at your assertion, 'blacks should be worried that so many blacks are felons.' Spoken like someone with no appreciation for historical context of the history of blacks in America. Later, when you lump fans of Margaret Cho in with pedophiles I began to wonder what the criteria was for the position you hold at the National Review. It can't be too high, I reckoned because you don't seem to play, intellectually, with a full deck. You can only get better, Posted at 12:31 PM MISSILE DEFENSE ILLUSTRATED [John J. Miller] This graphic provides a good visual for how missile defense might work in the near future, with technologies that are in development right now. Posted at 12:28 PM STATE OF M.D. [John J. Miller] Bradley Graham's extensive story on missile defense in today's Washington Post is for the most part a balanced assessment of a limited deployment whose deadline is tomorrow. (BTW, what are the odds that Bush will announce during the debate that our new missile-defense system is turned on?) In the New Yorker, however, anti-M.D. doyenne Frances FitzGerald has authored a screed against the program (in the "Talk of the Town" section, even though it reads more like an earnest NYT editorial than a witty piece of color). Like most on the Left, she has abandoned what used to be one of the main arms-control arguments against missile defense: the notion that it would send Russia and other countries into hissy fits and launch a new arms race. As it happens, Russia has been reducing its number of missiles in the post-AMB Treaty era. FitzGerald's final line really gnaws at me, though. She says missile defense counters "a threat that doesn’t now exist." Okay, the Iranians can't target New York at this very moment. But what are we supposed to do, wait until they can and then tackle formidable technical challenge of missile defense? What's worse is that FitzGerald's set is busy crowing about intelligence failures in Iraq. With the notable exception of Hussein's WMD program, U.S. intelligence failures have generally made the error of underestimating the threat: When India went nuclear, the CIA was as surprised as anybody. And North Korea's launch of a missile over Japan in 1998 also took plenty of people by surprise, too. If there were ever a case for preemption--defensive preemption, no less--this is it. Posted at 12:19 PM “WE ARE OPPOSED TO ANY GOVERNMENT ACTION THAT DISTRIBUTES PUBLIC MONEY BASED ON RACE” [Roger Clegg] So says Marisa Ming, executive director of the local Asian Pacific American Chamber of Commerce, regarding an economic development plan that would exclusively benefit black business owners in Detroit. The plan had been endorsed by the city council earlier this week, prompting protests by various nonblack ethnic groups. It blamed Mexicans, Asians, and Arabs for taking jobs from blacks, refers to Dearborn as “Arabtown,” advocates the creation of a black business district to be known as “African Town,” and would set up a loan fund available only for blacks. “It’s the fact that racial and ethnic categories would be used, and that’s illegal,” said one of the councilmembers who voted against the report. Perhaps this plan was particularly blatant in its favoritism, but Detroit is hardly alone in playing this sort of racial politics, which will inevitably become uglier and more divisive as America becomes increasingly multiracial and multiethnic. Posted at 11:40 AM NO, YOU'RE WRONG [Jonah Goldberg] Sorry for the depressing G-File. In an odd twist the syndicated column,which is posted here, is quite cheery. Posted at 11:24 AM HOW WOULD HE DO THAT EXACTLY? [Rich Lowry] Here is Al Gore on an opening for Kerry: “Mr. Kerry has an opportunity to demonstrate the connection between job losses and Mr. Bush's colossal tax break for the wealthy.” What connection, given that jobs were being lost before Bush took office, let alone before his tax cuts took effect? Posted at 11:20 AM BUSH DEBATING SKILLS—ON THE OTHER HAND… [Rich Lowry] E-mail: “Rich, Until recently, I felt what you described: a pit of anxiety in my guts concerning the upcoming debate. But every appearance of the President’s that I’ve seen in the last six months has shown him to be confident and relaxed, and to have a command of the issues that I would not have thought possible four years ago. Add to that his natural likeability and honesty, and Kerry is going to have a hard time gaining ground in these debates. I know Kerry is, supposedly, a formidable debater, but he can only score so many points when he’s on the wrong side of almost every issue. Rather than trimming President Bush’s lead, I think he’s going to tank, and I suspect that as of Thursday evening this campaign will be over.” Posted at 11:03 AM MY APOLOGIES TO MOMMA [Rich Lowry] An e-mailer points out that I messed up that old saying in my “security mom” (I know, I know, another highly annoying election catch-phrase) column today. E-mail:“Mr. Lowry, The actual old saying is: `When momma ain't happy, ain't nobody happy.’" Posted at 11:01 AM CRIMINEY [Jonah Goldberg] An Algerian with an axe tries to take over a plane and the story reads like the guy was demanding an extra olive in his martini. Posted at 10:58 AM THE OMBUDSMAN WIELDS HIS OMBUDSSTICK [John Derbyshire] An alert reader: "Jack Fowler's pitch for Mr. Buckley's book was not a haiku. Haikus have syllables numbering 5 on the first line, 7 on the second, and 5 on the third. His order was reversed, so it's not a haiku. Just wanted to alert the ombudsman, or somebody." Quite right, Sir. Jack, you just lost X-Box privileges for a week. Try to be more careful in future. Posted at 10:49 AM DEPT. OF CORRECTIONS [Jay Nordlinger] In my column this morning, I quoted Bob Woodward as calling the Pentagon’s Doug Feith “the stupidest guy on the face of the earth.” I had read something incorrect. Actually, Gen. Tommy Franks is quoted describing Feith that way – only more vulgarly – in Woodward’s recent book. As a highbrow publication might say, “Mr. Nordlinger regrets the error.” Posted at 10:39 AM KIDS TODAY [Jonah Goldberg] A nice note from a reader: Jonah, we don’t always see eye to eye on things. I am a liberal (still don’t see that as a bad thing, and I don’t think conservatives are bad either) but I think this time you have nailed the Jello to the wall. I have been a college professor for over 10 years, teaching Political Science and Sociology. The greatest frustration in my life has been the incredible numbers of my students who basically don’t know anything. It becomes even worse when a student wants to know what the answers to the test are, but doesn’t really give a hoot about why they need to know this stuff. (The Constitution is details, boring and unimportant to most of them). I finally refused to teach International Relations at the last college I taught at, because not only did the students not know the issues, they couldn’t find these places on a map. Posted at 10:35 AM NICE TRY! [KJL] THis morning on GMA, Kerry blamed his I-voted-for-beofre-I-voted-against soundbite on fatigue: "It was a very inarticulate way of saying something and I had one of those moments late in the evening when I was tired in the primaries and didn't say something clearly. But it reflects the truth of the position, which is, I thought, to have the wealthiest people in America share the burden of paying for that war. It was a protest. Sometimes you have to stand up and be counted." Turns out he said it at a noon event. Posted at 10:34 AM FLUIDITY [Jonah Goldberg] A reader makes a good point about that Times story I posted (7:54AM):
Posted at 10:29 AM RE: BUSH HAS WON EVERY DEBATE [Jonah Goldberg] Rich - I agree that Bush's debating skills are being wildly over-spun. But there's something else that bothers me. Maybe it's because I've been listening to so much NPR lately, but I thought the liberal anti-Bush, pro-Kerry spin went something like this. Bush is a moron. He talks stupid. He's uncurious, unintellectual, unknowledgable. Outfits like Slate have devoted a lot of time and energy cataloging "Bushisms" on the outright assertion that Bush's poor speaking skills reflect something of profound and enduring importance. These assertions and assumptions have soaked into the grain of elite liberal writing and thinking on both sides of the Atlantic. One cannot read Maureen Dowd or listen to Michael Moore, nevermind the lefty blogs, without hearing snotty allusions to them. Meanwhile, with less passion perhaps, we've been told for more than a year that John Kerry is everything Bush is not: subtle, intellectual, nuanced, knowledgeable, curious, cultured etc etc. And yet, these same people keep saying that Bush is the better debater. Okay, now, here are the problems. First of all, these people could simply be lying in order to help their candidate. That would make them liars. That's simple enough. Or, second, they might not be lying. But if they're not. What the hell does it say about the importance of all these faults Bush has and all these attributes Kerry has, if the alleged dolt is the odds-on favorite to beat the cultured polymath? You get me? If Bush is the better debater -- despite Kerry's training as a star debater in the Ivy Legue -- then why have you wasted so much of our time with all this yammering about the significance of Bushisms? Posted at 10:23 AM BIG ORANGE JOHN [John Derbyshire] In re John Kerry's weird orange tan: Am I being paranoid, or could the fell hand of Home Depot be behind this? Posted at 10:11 AM YOU COME HERE FOR PENETRATING ANALYSIS [KJL] An observer imed me this morning: "If you put together the pictures of John Kerry at NASA earlier this year with yesterday's Code Orange tan pictures, you get a pretty clear picture that Kerry wants to be an oompa loompa." Sure enough:
Posted at 10:06 AM “BUSH HAS WON EVERY DEBATE” [Rich Lowry] I don't know how anyone can repeat this Democratic talking point with a straight face. Bush was absolutely pathetic in those early Republican primary debates four years ago. It was McCain who regularly won them, which is one of the things that led to his early surge among some conservative opinionmakers. Some people qualify the Bush-always-wins line by saying he's never lost a head-to-head debate. That's a more defensible proposition, but he got a big assist from Al Gore's huffiness and general bizarreness in the 2000 debates. Most of the Bush sympathizers I know will watch all these Bush-Kerry debates with a pit of anxiety in their guts, and they probably should, even if he has come a long way since 1999. Posted at 10:03 AM SEE THERESE [John J. Miller] Yesterday, my son came home from his school with a flyer encouraging people to see a new movie on St. Therese--and also to do what they can to bring the film to theaters in their area. (My son attends a Catholic school--can you tell?) I have a very hard time saying "no" to nuns, so here's what everyone should do: Visit the movie website here, and then click "See Therese" in the upper right-hand corner and fill out the form that pops up. And it probably wouldn't hurt to say a Hail Mary. Posted at 09:12 AM AIR DEFENSE [John J. Miller] I feel so much safer, here in the DC area, knowing that we have a security blimp watching over us. Posted at 09:03 AM CATHOLICS GOING BUSH, SAYS BARNA POLL [KJL] Posted at 08:58 AM GORE AND THE TOWN DRUNK [KJL] John J., that was a great catch--and so early in the morning! (Scrll down.) Says a lot you already knew about the NYTimes editors that they let that be printed. Posted at 08:40 AM CELSIUS 41.11 [Michael Graham] David Bossie and Citizens United unveiled their Fahrenheit 9/11 rebuttal documentary in Georgetown last night and the good news is that, unlike Michael Moore's film, Celsius 41.11 is an actual documentary. Alas, that's also the bad news. 41.11 isn't nearly as emotionally powerful as Moore's film, in part because it is far more logical. Celsius 41.11 clearly wins the argument, but Michael Moore wins the audience. Not that Celsius 41.11 didn't have some very entertaining moments, many of them at the expense of John Kerry. It turns out Sen. Kerry actually is very, very funny. Just not on purpose. But the show-stopping, LOL moment had to be watching Dan Rather from election night 2000 saying (I'm paraphrasing): "Those other networks might be calling some of the states, but don't listen to them. We'd rather get it later than get it wrong. When you hear US call a state, you'll KNOW it's been won! You can trust CBS." Watching Rather's self-righteous pomposity is a gut-buster today, made even more funnier when the film points out that, about two minutes later, he called Florida...for GORE! Kudos to Bossie, Lionel Chetwynd and everyone involved for getting a film produced and in the theaters in eight weeks. That's an amazing feat. Given the tight schedule, I was surprised at the overall quality of the production values. It's like a very well-made edition of Frontline, written and produced by conservatives. It makes its case that the Michael Moore wing of the Democratic Party doesn't have the facts and is behaving like out-of-control children. Unfortunately, I just don't think there are a lot of people left willing to be persuaded. Some conservatives will watch and say "See, I told you so!" Liberals will watch and dismiss the arguments as partisan. Undecideds...well, they won't watch it. And if they did, they could likely imagine the counterarguments for themselves. I was struck by one other thing while watching the movie, and that is how irrelevant Fahrenheit 9/11 seems to be already. The idea that Moore's move was going to significantly effect the election already seems quaint, even naive. It was a cheerleading video for the Left's true believers and nothing more. Celsius 41.11 does a solid job of logically confronting the (for lack of a better word) arguments Moore makes against Bush. But Michael Moore isn't logical, and neither are his fans. They're angry, and they're gonna stay angry. David Bossie is just reminding us how foolish and ill-informed their tantrums are. Posted at 08:20 AM AGAINST CHE [John J. Miller] A great article on left-wing icon Che Guevara, by Paul Berman in Slate. It begins: "The cult of Ernesto Che Guevara is an episode in the moral callousness of our time. Che was a totalitarian. He achieved nothing but disaster..." Posted at 08:14 AM GORE ADVISES KERRY... [Jonah Goldberg] On how to debate Bush. Quickly scanning the piece, I see nothing about how Kerry should walk up to Bush and get all up in his grill like they're going to fight. Which reminds me. Here's a flashback to the piece I wrote fantasizing about a Bush-Gore donnybrook. Posted at 08:11 AM NUCLEAR ARRESTS [Andrew Stuttaford] "Authorities in Kyrgyzstan say they have arrested two men who were trying to sell a large quantity of plutonium on the black market. " Just another reminder that the administration needs to concentrate on the effort to retrieve or otherwise police the supply of nuclear materials in the former Soviet Union. Posted at 08:09 AM SIGH [Jonah Goldberg] One more for the how liberals see themselves file. What I love about these explanations (We good. They bad. They simple. We complex.) is that they are so dualistic and simplistic in their us-versus-them-ness at the same time they righteously denounce that kind of thinking. From the novelist Roland Merullo in today's Boston Globe:
At their essence, conservatives are on guard, bristling, armed with a righteous anger, prone to mockery of their enemies, sure of themselves, unwilling to criticize America, especially by comparing it to anyplace else. The attacks of Sept. 11 only confirmed their world view: We are constantly at risk. If I were John Belushi, I'd smash this guy's guitar against the wall.
Posted at 08:04 AM MOVEON.ORG IS SAD [Jonah Goldberg] The polls are being mean by showing their work is ineffective. Posted at 07:57 AM IF PEOPLE IN MANHATTAN... [Jonah Goldberg] seem unusually grumpy today, it might be because of this lede from The Times: ASHINGTON, Sept. 28 -Days before the presidential debates begin, President Bush appears to be gaining in several swing states he lost in 2000. Posted at 07:54 AM RE: BABS AND LARRY LINDSEY [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader:
Posted at 07:47 AM TAN, RESTED...WELL, HE'S CERTAINLY TAN [Michael Graham] When beauticians are making fun of you, you know you’re presidential bid is in trouble. So when the New York Sun started asking about John Kerry’s sudden sun tan, they got this: "John Kerry's tan is temporary - just like people say his opinions are," said Cynthia House, CEO of Enhance Me, a brand of spray-on tanning products. "I don't know what they tanned him with, but it's an artificial tan. They went a little overboard.” This is John Kerry’s problem in a nutshell: He IS the guy who flip-flops. In the ongoing American political theater, that is his character, it’s who he is. So when he shows up with a faintly orange tint, the immediate, non-partisan, pre-spin reaction from normal people is “John Kerry—even his tan is fake!” Kerry doesn’t just need to win Thursday’s debate, he needs to re-cast himself. I don’t see how he does that. Posted at 07:42 AM BLOOMBERG'S FOLLY [Andrew Stuttaford] Nurse Bloomberg: "As I watched international basketball, I thought of aging high-school gyms in Manhattan and Queens that would be upgraded into Olympic practice facilities. As I toured the cycling center, I thought of the Bronx, where we would build a cycling and athletic center on the Harlem River, strengthening our efforts to revitalize the neighborhood around Yankee Stadium." As I read that, I thought of taxes soaring. Posted at 07:39 AM ATTN NEIMAN MARCUS PR SHOP: NRO IS AVAILABLE TO TO RECEIVE SAMPLES [KJL] Rich or Derb seem perfect candidates to try out the "Underwater Aviator." Jonah and Fair Jessica can profile the his and her bowling alley when the house repairs are finished.... Posted at 07:21 AM KERRY WITH YOUR COFFEE [KJL] Did John Kerry agree to do an interview with Diane Sawyer only if she would guarantee some silly questions (part of an interview was aired this morning on GMA, the remainder tomorrow morning)? I tuned in late, actually. But how about asking some of Peter Kirsanow's suggested questions (see here and here). Kerry does these things so infrequently, it's malpractice to not take full advantage. But that said, I missed the second part of O'Reilly's Bush interview last night, but based on the first part: Bush vs. Kerry is black and white. Kerry is snippy and angry (which attracts, what? the anybody but Bush vote he already has?) and Bush is confident, with a record. If that comes across in the debates, it will be hard for Kerry to recover. Posted at 07:16 AM HAS ANDREW SEEN HIS MAN MIKE YET TODAY? [KJL] Posted at 07:14 AM AL GORE GIVES KERRY DEBATE ADVICE [KJL] For starters, how about: Don't get in Bush's face like I did.... Gore writes, "his performance in office amounts to a catastrophic failure. " Now, really. In anyone's reality, can that possibly be true? Does anyone but the far left actually believe that? Posted at 07:10 AM RE: BABS [Tim Graham] Jonah, there is no more conventional wisdom on the left right now than the notion that the media were a patsy for the neocon warmongers before the war. In fact, the media often channeled the usual liberal media bias during what they called "the rush to war." (See more about ABC's role as the leader in arrogant bias here.) But Babs demonstrates the broad difference between conservative media criticism and liberal media criticism. Both assume the media are liberal. Conservatives want more deference to the method of objectivity. Liberals want more aggressive liberal media muscle-flexing. Conservatives wanted a fair debate about the war. Liberals considered the media a failure if they did not defiantly lay themselves in front of every tank to prevent a war from ever happening. Posted at 06:39 AM GORED [John J. Miller] Al Gore has an astonishing op-ed in the New York Times today. The headline is promising: "How To Debate George Bush." (My advice: Don't sigh.) The article, however, is less about debate tactics than it is a general assault on the Bush record. Yet a few points are worth pondering. "This year, as usual, the dominance of attack advertisements on television has made it hard to get a clear picture of where the candidates stand," writes Gore. Oh, really? It seems to me that Kerry has done a fine job all by himself of confusing the public about where he stands on important issues. Also, this is loser talk: Defeated candidates love to think the public was deceived. It comforts them. My jaw dropped when I read this: "The debate tomorrow should not seek to discover which candidate would be more fun to have a beer with. As Jon Stewart of the 'The Daily Show' nicely put in 2000, 'I want my president to be the designated driver.'" (Gore's next two sentences: "The debates aren't a time for rhetorical tricks. It's a time for an honest contest of ideas.") What an extraordinary smear. Gore very nearly became president because of a last-minute drunk-driving story about Bush--and the Gore campaign consistently said that it had nothing, absolutely nothing, to do with the well-timed disclosure of Bush's ancient offense. If I were writing a NYT op-ed on "How Al Gore Should Opine About Bush," I would urge him to lay off the town-drunk innuendos. Gore is capable of stooping very low, but even this is beneath him. Or at least it should be. Posted at 05:48 AM HOT GAZA DVD: AN AMERICAN BEHEADED [KJL] Posted at 05:47 AM RE: BEST BLOGS [KJL] Bask in the brilliance of the washpost readers nominating The Corner for 9 out of 10 categories for a few minutes, G-man. Posted at 05:42 AM EARTH VS. BUSH [John J. Miller] People all over the world hate President Bush! That's the point of this story in today's Washington Post, which cites opinion polls from Canada and Russia as well as anecdotes from Egypt and Indonesia to demonstrate that billions of foreigners are rooting for John Kerry. (The list of anti-Bush countries also includes China, France, Germany, Japan, Malaysia, and Spain.) The author of the piece, Keith Richburg (a good reporter), allows that Bush appears to be popular in India and Singapore, and he points to a poll showing that a plurality of Israelis support Bush's re-election. Then there's this: "One other place where Bush appears somewhat popular is Sudan, particularly in the Darfur region. Some Sudanese say they wish his interventionist policies would extend to their country. 'We could use a regime change,' said Halima Huessin, a Sudanese aid worker in Darfur, as she looked out over a gaggle of children covered in flies and men sleeping in thatched huts." Posted at 05:23 AM I JUST RECEIVED [KJL] my first debate drinking game for Thursday. I expect such things will make the last stretch much easier... Posted at 01:15 AM OH... [Jonah Goldberg] First and second posts, btw. Posted at 12:09 AM BABS [Jonah Goldberg] She is not a very bright woman. Oh, I don't say this because what she wrote is so blazingly stoopid so as to be beyond the pale. Though it is very dumb, but conventionally so. I say it because she's a multi-millionaire and she has the resources available to sound pretty smart by having ghost writers, assistants or, for that matter, a Guatamalan guest worker from her garden do her writing for her. And yet she comes up with this nonsense nonetheless: If you cross this administration you get your head handed to you. If you open your mouth and tell the truth like former White House Economic Advisor Lawrence Lindsay did when he told the Administration that the Iraqi war was going to cost between $100-$200 billion dollars, you get fired. If you disagree with the President, like Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill did one too many times regarding the President's policy on tax cuts, you get canned. If you claim that the Administration is misrepresenting the facts and misleading the public, like Former Ambassador Joseph Wilson did, your wife's career gets ruined when she gets outed as a CIA operative in the national media. If you tell the administration that several thousand more servicemen and women are needed in Iraq, like General Shinseki did, you get publicly scolded as being incorrect. And, if you choose to air a story about George Bush's military service, or lack thereof, like CBS did last week, you and your award winning news anchor, get investigated by the FCC. Okay just to be clear: the people she mentions before Dan Rather, Joe Wilson and Gen Shinseki were political appointees of the White House. So when she writes "If you cross this administration you get your head handed to you" her examples are from a very select group of people. Al Franken, Michael Moore and countless others have gotten very rich by saying the very same things that Lawrence Lindsay and Paul O'Neill did. So her opening statement would be a bit more accurate if it was "If you are serving at the pleasure of the president and you cross them you will have your head handed to you." Of course, her examples don't back that up either because Lindsay and O'Neill were canned for lots of other reasons besides their candor. As for Joe Wilson, well, a smarter liberal would be close to mortified to trot him out considering the laughingstock the 9/11 Commission report made of him. And as for General Shinseki, an honorable man to be sure, is it really such a horrible offense to "scold" a general for being "incorrect"? Does Babs now subscribe to the school which says the civilian leadership of this country cannot declare a general incorrect without being authoritarian in some way? And as for Dan Rather, his questionable "choice" was not to investigate Bush's record so much as his decision to drag CBS through the gutter by rushing to air documents his own experts warned him were probably fake. Numerous news organizations have raised the same exact issues as the CBS story over the last four years. None of them have been investigated by the FCC because they didn't use forged documents which have apparent -- though not proven -- ties to the Democratic presidential nominee's campaign. The reason the press isn't discussing these issues as much as Babs would like is precisely the reason she's making a fool of herself: they've discussed them endlessly already -- and never paid a price for it. Meanwhile, Dan's Nixonian self-immolation is news. And, again: most people who "cross" this administration go about their lives doing just fine. I would be much more persuaded if Babs had cited a cab driver or one of her aroma therapists who paid a price -- any price -- for crossing the admistration, or is she simply made an intelligent argument. But that would take more resources than even she has at her disposal. Posted at 12:07 AM Tuesday, September 28, 2004 TECHNO-NOSTALGIA [Jonah Goldberg] An astounding number of people feel very strongly about the Great Mistake of turning our backs on the pneumatic tubes. It's nice to know I am not alone. PS "Tube" is an inherently funny word. Used as an adjective it makes almost any noun sound funny. Posted at 11:23 PM REMINDER [Jonah Goldberg] There's still time to vote for the best blog (though some of the best candidates are missing in my book). Posted at 08:14 PM MORE JURISDICTION STRIPPING [Ramesh Ponnuru] The House Judiciary Committee issued a much longer analysis. Posted at 07:16 PM "MARINES ARE EXTREMISTS" [KJL] Hugh Hewitt has a brilliant Kerry campaign slogan: Sara Lister for SecDef! Posted at 06:21 PM MORE HAIKU [Rick Brookhiser] Buckley wrote it, Wrote his name. "Miles Gone By." A crow flies. Posted at 06:04 PM NADER ON THE BALLOT IN NMEXICO [KJL] Posted at 06:02 PM I MISSED THIS [Ramesh Ponnuru] when I read Helen Dewar's WaPo story on the Daschle-Thune race, but Southern Appeal caught it: "But Democrats vividly remember the political fallout from the 2002 debate over legislation creating the Department of Homeland Security, when Democrats held up final action in an attempt to force stronger employee protections. During that year's campaign, Republicans defeated Sen. Max Cleland (Ga.), who lost three limbs during the Vietnam War, with the help of ads questioning Cleland's patriotism because of his vote with fellow Democrats to hold up passage of the homeland security bill" (emphasis added). If Dewar is unable to see that this claim is untrue, couldn't she at least see that one of the two parties controverts it? Posted at 06:00 PM REMARKABLE [Ramesh Ponnuru] One usually doesn't find this sort of thing in the MSM: "The Democrats are likely to lose the Catholic vote in November—and John Kerry could well lose the election as a result. It’s about abortion, stupid. And 'choice,' make no mistake, is killing the Democratic Party." I think the columnist, Melinda Henneberger, misses a few things: It's not just Catholics who have ditched or are ditching the party over abortion; casting issues such as the environment in moral terms, while perhaps a good idea for other reasons, is not likely to cause many pro-life voters to switch sides (and shouldn't); the Vatican's statement on how Catholic voters should weigh abortion is tougher than she allows. But still--remarkable. Posted at 05:52 PM ARMS AND THE MAN [Rick Brookhiser] Jonah, I have been reading a new volume of TR's letters and speeches (Library of America, Louis Auchincloss, ed.,) and I found one letter in which he is grateful to be included in some veterans' celebration since he only fought in a little war for four months... As we push back beyond the 20th century, the nature of campaigning changes more and more, making the question harder to answer. Old Hickory was certainly most known as an Indian fighter and the hero of New Orleans. William Henry Harrison was Tippicanoe. But in the 1820s, 30s, and 40s, candidates had little to do in their own campaigns, the work being done by gnomes and surrogates. Gen. Winfield Scott, Whig candidate in 1852, was a proud, florid, indsicreet man (nickname: Fuss and Feathers) who toured military bases during his campaign, which was thought to be unseemly, and surely was meant to burnish his (well-merited) military reputation. It didn't help--he was crushed. So it would seem that John Kerry is a leader in military campaign bluster, as well as nuance. Posted at 05:36 PM AND THEN THERE WERE TEN [Jack Fowler] As of today there are a whopping 206 cabins sold for the National Review 2004 Post-Election Caribbean Cruise, and this time (honest injun!) only 10 remain – but one of them is yours, unless you continue to lollygag. So make that reservation for a fantastic week of conservative revelry now: go to www.nationalreviewcruise-carib.com. Posted at 05:32 PM HONEST ABE [John J. Miller] Jonah: Abraham Lincoln once wrote that his election as militia captain in the Black Hawk War "gave me more pleasure than any I have had since." But mostly he made fun of his military service, which comprised of three enlistments lasting 30 days each. "I had a good many bloody struggles with the mosquitoes, and although I never fainted from loss of blood, I can truly say I was often very hungry," he once quipped. Posted at 05:09 PM JURISDICTION STRIPPING [Ramesh Ponnuru] I'm looking forward to reading the Senate Republican Policy Committee's analysis of the idea. But then, I'm a little weird. Posted at 04:56 PM INTEL ON THE INSURGENCY [Cosmo] Posted at 04:45 PM QUESTION FOR BROOKHISER [Jonah Goldberg] Rick - I saw this item in the Kerry Spot (which was borrowed from the Hotline): James Rappaport, who challenged Kerry in MA SEN: "He didn't attack me for my positions as anti-tax and pro-growth and pro-growth. He attacked me primarily personally." More Rappaport: "At one point he called me a chicken hawk because I was strong on defense but hadn't served in Vietnam. He forgot that I was sixteen when the war ended." ("Nightline," ABC, 9/27). Me: So here's the question. I know that candidates didn't personally brag about their war records in the past because A) it was -- and is -- unseemly and B) until recently almost everyone served, so it was largely taken as a given that you did your duty. But whenever anyone makes these points, they do it in the context of saying that Kerry brags about his record more than any presidential candidate of recent years. That begs the question, Was there ever a presidential candidate who personally -- not through surrogates -- boasted about his war record more than John Kerry? The only possible contender in the 20th century I can think of would be TR, but from the biographies I read I don't recall that really being the case. Yeah, he loved war but I don't remember him belittling others who couldn't stand up to his personal record. As for the 19th century, I just don't know enough. Andrew Jackson? Posted at 04:43 PM TIME OUT, TIME OUT [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Jonah, A recent article in Time Out NY concerning political websites and media outlets fails to include the National Review. This is unfortunate b/c they go to great pains to mention nearly every other liberal site (the Nation, Slate etc.). Maybe a letter to the editor on the part of NR would be a good idea. "The Corner", in particular, deserves a good plug. I would do it myself, but as a musician, I learned long ago never to reveal your political leanings to NYC's weeklies if you want your band listed and/or reviewed. Posted at 03:39 PM THAT BLUBBERING SOUND YOU HEAR.... [Jonah Goldberg] Is Sid Blumenthal weeping now that Tony Blair has swept all that Third Way rubbish into the dustbin of history. I know this is a bigger deal than what it says about Blumenthal, but that doesn't make that angle any less fun. From Blair's speech to the Labor Party conference: When I hear people say: "I want the old Tony Blair back, the one who cares", I tell you something. Posted at 02:46 PM HEY LOWRY [Cosmo] Psychic dogs predict Bush victory. Cats, meanwhile, remain silent biding their time to support whoever comes out on top. You know the old joke, How do you tell who the winner of an election is? He's the one a cat is rubbing up against. Posted at 02:40 PM EMAILERS [Ramesh Ponnuru] keep making interesting points: "Another factor in the blue-red 'subsidy' -- the pro-GOP Sunbelt attracts a lot of RETIREES, who get Social Security & Medicare. Nobody in Florida or Arizona ever retired to Massachusetts or Michigan." Didn't one of my other emailers say that the blue states were older? That wouldn't contradict this point, of course. Posted at 02:17 PM IMPERFECT IRAQI ELECTIONS [Rich Lowry] The Washington Post has sensible things to say about them, including this: “Iraq may not become a 'showcase' of democracy anytime soon. But even flawed elections stand a chance of producing a government with more legitimacy and public support than most others in the Arab Middle East.” Also, David Brooks today makes a nice El Salvador analogy, another country that moved toward a democratic system even as it was wracked by violence. The standard here shouldn't be perfection or anything close to it, but something better than what existed before. Posted at 02:12 PM JONAH'S MILITARY GUY SPEAKS ONCE MORE [Ramesh Ponnuru] "Change Montana, to Minnesota. I really do know where Fort Snelling is. My fingers don't, however. "I also send along another comment regarding mil spending. "I think if you take a look at where procurement dollars go, excepting Texas and Florida, those dollars go to Blue and Light Blue states. "But the big 'suck' in the military budget is the personnel accounts (hence the resistance to expanding the force) and most of the people are in the Red and "I might be wrong on that, but the last time I had occasion to look at procurement spending patterns, the Blue states had the lion's share of that pie. "Thanks for the chance to correct the error before my friends start to spank me about it. I run with a tough crowd in that regard. Something about that soldier Posted at 01:57 PM HAIKU [Jack Fowler] Personally autographed Miles Gone By--Buckley’s Acclaimed memoir. Order here . Posted at 01:54 PM HERE WE GO AGAIN [Andrew Stuttaford] From an editorial in the Guardian calling for a ban on smoking in public places in the UK. It's the usual nonsense, of course, a blend of bullying, bluster and baloney, but this sentence rather catches the eye: "No one is asking the health secretary to ban smoking in the home, even though surveys suggest that 3,600 non-smokers are killed every year by inhaling the smoke of someone else at home." Not yet, they are not. Posted at 01:44 PM JUST LIKE THE BEER AD [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Jonah, Posted at 01:41 PM BET YOUR BOOTS? [KJL] He'd do better watching a few repeats of Seinfeld. Posted at 01:39 PM GILLES KEPEL [Rich Lowry] I don't know much about him, but he is clearly something of a genius. I read his last book, Jihad, which is probably the best thing I've read about the current state of Islam. David Ignatius has a good column keying off Kepel's latest book. Bottom line: the jihadists are losing. Posted at 01:38 PM THAT AP ARTICLE [Jonah Goldberg] A reader comments: Hey Jonah.... Posted at 01:37 PM YEAH AND NIXON SAID "SOCK IT TO ME" [Jonah Goldberg] AP says Kerry's learning to use the hip phrases of the younger generation like -- I kid you not -- "blah, blah, blah." Also, the author says the US Senate is the "country's oldest deliberative body." That simply can't be true. I googled "oldest deliberative body" and the first thing that came up was a press release saying the oldest deliberative body in the Western Hemisphere is Charo. I'm kidding, it says it is the Virginia General Assembly, which would make sense. Posted at 01:31 PM AT LAST [Andrew Stuttaford] Some groups traditionally supportive of leftist London mayor Livingstone are at last joining in attempts to call Red Ken (endorsed for re-election, we should remember, by the Economist) on his flirtation with unsavory cleric Yusuf al-Qaradawi. "We feel that we deserve a serious conversation with you about this matter, and a serious response to our concerns before you welcome a man who endorses and provides theological justification for suicide bombings of innocent civilians, the execution of homosexuals under Islamic rule and domestic violence against women under certain circumstances." A "serious conversation" seems long overdue. Posted at 01:28 PM MILITARY BASES IN THE SOUTH [Ramesh Ponnuru] Jonah's military guy weighs in: "The reasons are pretty simple, really. Prior to WWI, we didn't need large installations. You could train the infantry, cavalry, and artillery on the parade grounds. "The expansion of the battlefield caused by machineguns, small bore smokeless powder rifles and indirect fire artillery changed tactics to more dispersed formations covering far greater distances, and the maneuver and control of forces shifted dramatically. "Most of the big posts in the South we established in WWI, with some in WWII, or which were reopened in WWII. "The South was chosen for many reasons, most of them economic. It was less densely settled, it was therefore cheaper to acquire the land, and you had "The southern installations were also generally closer to the ports that were going to be used to ship the troops overseas, and were adequately served with rail service to get the heavy gear the units would need to train to those locations. "And when you wanted to conduct large-scale maneuvers, like the Louisiana Manuevers (which took place in several states) the overall dislocation and "Those same reasons still militate for keeping the bases we have there. You could make arguments about closing Fort Riley and Fort Carson, because they are in the interior, etc, but the reality is we don't dare give up large maneuver spaces anymore - because absent a war the scale of WWII, we're never going to be able to get parcels of land that size again. "What was sufficient dirt to train an infantry division in WWII is barely large enough for a modern mech battalion." Posted at 01:25 PM MORE TUBES [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Jonah, Posted at 01:19 PM KERRY SPOT HAS NEW PEW #S... [KJL] Posted at 01:12 PM PNEUMATIC TUBES [Jonah Goldberg] An old article on a potential comeback. Posted at 01:12 PM FISCAL WAR BETWEEN THE STATES, CTD. [Ramesh Ponnuru] Another email: "There is a lot that can be said on the subject of 'red states feeding at the federal trough,' but I'll stick to just two points: "1) Take a state like Mississippi: very poor and very red. Its vote split in the 2000 presidential election was 57% for Bush and 41% for Gore. Out of all the federal money that Mississippi rakes in, how much of it do you suppose goes in the form of entitlements, community grants, etc. to the 41% of the population that voted for Gore? I would hazard to guess that it is quite a chunk. In other words, I would wager that a disproportionate amount of the money that goes to 'red' states goes to the 'blue' citizens within those states. "2) I'm really curious which federal expendatures the Tax Foundation counted in their calculations. Is military pay counted? If so, how do you possibly quantify and account for the disproportionate representation of red staters in the military, serving their nation and, in some cases, fighting and dying for it?" I think military pay was counted. Posted at 12:58 PM WASHINGTON POST: BEST BLOGS [KJL] Vote for NRO here--I generously am willing to concede "best campaign dirt" to Jim Geraghty--it's Corner vs. Kerry Spot in that category (seriously: vote for Kerry Spot there). Posted at 12:13 PM TOO MUCH MONEY [Ramesh Ponnuru] is going to poor folks in Mississippi, according to liberals: Steve Sturm comments. Actually, I think the liberal complaint is that poor folks in Mississippi too often vote for the wrong party. Posted at 12:12 PM YOU CAN JUST FEEL... [Rich Lowry] ...the MSM talking itself into being much tougher on Bush's performance in this debate than on Kerry's--as pay-back for what it supposedly did to Gore in 2000. Krugman's column today is typical. Posted at 11:40 AM "MORE CAUTIOUS" RATHER [Tim Graham] Looking back at a Harvard/Kennedy School event in Boston around the Democratic convention, it's funny that Peter Jennings and Tom Brokaw complained about conservative anger and pressure about liberal bias, and Dan Rather replied, "I think this may be a place-to-place situation. At CBS, I have not felt this one iota." Rather did note the audience had strong opinions, and noted: "It has made us at least a little bit more cautious. You never can afford to be wrong with the facts, but you'd better have the story in good context and good perspective." Posted at 11:34 AM FOR THE RECORD [Jonah Goldberg] I think we took a wrong turn when we decided as a society not to use pneumatic tubes for everything. I have no argument to back this up. I just think pneumatic tuibes are really cool. Posted at 11:31 AM COKIE'S QUAGMIRE [Tim Graham] MRC's man in Milwaukee notes with amusement that on Monday's Morning Edition, NPR analyst Cokie Roberts related in passing about four minutes into her five-minute interview that "The president had said to Fox News that he would go again to the aircraft carrier with 'Mission Impossible' written on it..." Posted at 11:25 AM FOX [Rich Lowry] FYI: I will be on “Dayside” around 1:20 pm. Posted at 11:23 AM ELDERS OF BRISTOL [Rick Brookhiser] [The paleocon shifts the guttering candle in his storm cellar and thinks] Hmmm--Elders of Bristol, Jonah Goldberg...was Burke a neocon? Posted at 11:21 AM DECLINE AND FALL [John Derbyshire] "A Web site devoted to the discussion of men's clothing and lifestyle"? Eiuw. Just how low are we going to stoop to bring in readers, Kathryn? Posted at 11:19 AM LONG ISLAND MEETS TEXAS [John Derbyshire] Sorry, a little late chiming in on Bill O'Reilly's interview with GWB. From my notes: Best O'Reilly-ism of the interview: On the MISSION ACCOMPLISHED trip --- "The press spinned it." Least encouraging Bush remark: "The solution [to illegal immigration from Mexico] is for Mexico to grow a middle class." (O'Reilly: "We'll be in the grave...") Most encouraging Bush remark: Asked if the US will permit Iran to have nukes, the President apostrophized the Iranians thus --- "You won't have a nuclear weapon. Period." Posted at 11:14 AM RED STATES, BLUE STATES, SPENDING, CTD. [Ramesh Ponnuru] An email: "The answer to the question in the Corner is cultural. The places most accepting of military bases are culturally conservative. NYC always had protestors and mouthy local politicians causing trouble for the SI naval base. That doesn't happen at Quantico (or most of red upstate NY either). Moreover, military bases require a lot of land. The urban centers that make up the strength of the blue states don't have it to spare and its all expensive. Finally, blues states are older on average than red states. Old people are wealthier than younger ones. That's another reason for the disparity. "Did you know that the 16th amendment (income taxes) was designed to be a millionaires' tax and at the time more than 90% of all millionaires lived in NY. It was explicitly thought that the wealth of NY would be tapped for the rest of the country. And that is exactly what is occurring." Posted at 11:13 AM HRC IN 2008 [John J. Miller] Ramesh: I've always thought that Hillary Clinton was devilishly clever to take a spot on the Senate Armed Services Committee. She grabbed it last year, even though it required giving up a spot on the powerful Budget Committee--a clear sign that she was thinking about national politics rather than a career in the Senate. When it comes time, she may surprise people with her knowledge about military issues. That certainly won't make her an acceptable candidate, but conservatives are advised not to underestimate her on military matters. It's even possible that on foreign policy, she could slip to the right of a figure like Nebraska senator Chuck Hagel, who obviously wants the GOP nomination four years from now. Posted at 10:42 AM BLUE STATES SUBSIDIZE RED ONES [Ramesh Ponnuru] This has been true for a long time--Daniel Patrick Moynihan made something of a hobby of pointing this out--but the Tax Foundation has a new study confirming it. (Hat tip: Andrew Sullivan.) I assume that this pattern is largely a result of farm programs, military spending, and higher average incomes in the blue states. (Am I missing anything else?) My question is: Why does military spending tend to help the red states so much? Is it simply that conservative states have tended to have older congressmen who chair important committees and direct funds to their districts? That's the explanation one hears most often. Or is it (also) that a significant military presence reddens an area? Posted at 10:38 AM IDLE SPECULATION [Ramesh Ponnuru] In theory, I'm against thinking through the 2008 election before the 2004 one is over. But yesterday some colleagues and I were thinking out loud about what the Democratic party's response to a Kerry loss would be. I assume that having spent a year talking about how vulnerable Bush is, many, perhaps most, Democrats will say that a wartime incumbent with a recovering economy couldn't be beaten. I assume, as well, that there will be at least 2 years of magazine articles and panel discussions trying to figure out verbal formulas to bridge the foreign-policy chasm within the Democratic party. The question was raised: Will Hillary run as a straightforward hawk in 2008? In the last 34 years, the Democrats have only run as hawks when there were no obvious national security threats to the country--when the nation was at peace, in the three presidential races from 1992 to 2000. When the stakes are raised, the modern Democratic party has too large a dovish constituency to ignore. So I figure that how the Democrats position themselves in 2008 will depend on what the national-security situation is, and that the direction of that dependence will be the reverse of what it should be. Posted at 10:31 AM VIEWERS TO DAN: DROP DEAD [ Jonah Goldberg ] It turns out that news consumers are dropping Dan Rather like a bag of dirt, at least for now. If this continues it's hard to see how Rather can stay on for the duration. However, if CBS dumps him because of bad ratings, they shouldn't be able to get away with the spin that they dropped him because of their high standards. I suppose they have one last chance to do that when the internal investigation's findings come out. But if they don't can him then but do let him go only when it's clear his ratings won't improve, then they won't be acting out of integrity and they shouldn't claim other wise. Also, if that's how it plays out, the rest of the media -- particularly the Krugman-Brock crowd -- shouldn't be allowed to say that Rather was a martyr to good journalism who was sacrificed to the right wing hordes. Of course, they'll say exactly that. But what're ya gonna do? Posted at 10:19 AM "DOLLY" SCIENTISTS MOVE ON TO HUMANS [KJL] Posted at 09:47 AM N.K. SAYS IT HAS NUKES [KJL] Posted at 09:45 AM "SPLENDIDLY DRESSED" [KJL] Larry Kudlow. Posted at 09:41 AM D'OH [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Your high Google ranking is presumably because, to everyone else, that document is known as the "speech to the *electors* of Bristol." If you search on Burke "elders of Bristol" (in quotes), your G-File is one of only two results at all. And double-d'oh, from another reader: Dear Jonah: Do you mean Burke's speech to the ELECTORS of Bristol? Or is there a speech to the elders of Bristol? Show you how little editing there was in the early days of NRO. Posted at 09:36 AM CAT STEVENS AND HAMAS [KJL] The National Post connects them. Posted at 09:18 AM BESLAN MURDERERS CALLED SAUDI ARABIA [KJL] Posted at 09:13 AM DON'T KNOW MUCH 'BOUT HISTORY [Peter Robinson] The nation has experienced four wartime presidential elections in which a candidate who was, broadly speaking, anti-war challenged a candidate who was, by contrast, pro-war. In brief: During the War of 1812, Governor De Witt Clinton of New York attempted to unseat President James Madison, who was running for a second term. Whereas Clinton and his supporters derided the conflict as “Mr. Madison’s war,” Madison insisted instead that the war had proven “just and necessary.” Madison won. In 1864, General George McClellan attempted to deny President Abraham Lincoln a second term, accepting the nomination of a Democratic Party that denounced the Civil War as “four years of failure.” Although McClellan argued for a continuation of the war, he attempted to have the issue both ways, making it clear that he remained open to some form of negotiated peace. Lincoln insisted instead on outright victory. Lincoln won. In 1968, Hubert Humphrey proved increasingly critical of the war in Vietnam as election day approached. By contrast, Richard Nixon remained committed to the defense of South Vietnam. Nixon won. In 1972, George McGovern proved unambiguously dovish, calling for an withdrawal from Vietnam, while Richard Nixon remained, once again, committed to American war aims. Nixon won. My point? That in attempting to portray Iraq as a second Vietnam, John Kerry is not only making obvious mistakes on the substance—the military situation in Iraq is entirely different from that of Vietnam, and even now we have suffered only as many casualties during the entire conflict in Iraq as we suffered in Vietnam every two months. Kerry is also demonstrating an astonishing ignorance of the character of the nation. When the country is at war, Americans reject vacillation, voting for strength. Posted at 08:58 AM OUR LADY IN PAKISTAN [John J. Miller] Jonah: At least we know she was a "young women in her thirties," as opposed to an "old woman in her thirties." Posted at 08:53 AM SONG FOR RICH [John Derbyshire] All together now. Posted at 08:47 AM BRUCE FOR THE BALKANS [John Derbyshire] A statue of Bruce Lee is to be built. In Bosnia. Posted at 08:21 AM THAT HELPS [Jonah Goldberg] I was just listening to an NPR broadcast (again, in the car) about the hostilities in Kashmir. It was a perfectly fine report but, as my wife will tell you, I have a bad habit of nickel-and-diming the writing in news broadcasts particularly about completely useless or wrong bits of information the reporter throws in. For example, in the NPR piece this morning the reporter briefly profiled a Pakistani widow she described as "a young woman in her thirties with dark hair." Um, forgive me, but who among the residents of the Kashmir region doesn't have dark hair? Isn't this one of the least telling details possible? Oh and please spare me the anecdotes about the rare blond in Pakistan. The point is that as far as details go this is akin to saying a "young woman in her thirties with thumbs." Posted at 08:06 AM HIDING [Tim Graham] What's with the Washington Post hiding its poll numbers until paragraph 13 this morning??? I thought the results must be much more depressing for Democrats than they are. It should be depressing that Kerry is losing among women by three points, and the gender gap among men is huge. We're still waiting for that tidal wave of stories on Kerry's trouble with male voters... PS: A newspaper who does not want to be known as a liberal newspaper does not make front-page news out of Families USA clumping numbers together to make the case for Hillary-care for the umpteenth time, not to mention the liberals at the Kaiser Family Foundation. At least Ceci Connolly calls Families USA "liberal" early on, but a better description might be "a lobby favoring the end of private health insurance." Posted at 07:44 AM I SHALL CALL HIM: KERLAME! [Jonah Goldberg] I thought the "W is for Wrong" thing was lame. But this from yesterday was lameness wrapped in dorkiness swaddled in wimpiness. Yesterday, after whining that Bush's negative ads were getting so mean that the American people were getting scared from all the nastiness he declared: "I'm calling them 'misleadisments,'. It's all scare tactics because (Bush) has no record to run on." At least when Bush butchers a word he does it by accident. Kerry probably sat down and hammered this out with aides. I wonder why they didn't go with distortials or miscommercials. I also wonder why I could only find this tidbit in foreign newspapers. Posted at 07:16 AM CAT STEVENS [KJL] has a piece in the LATimes today. Posted at 06:57 AM WHERE IRAN IS [KJL] I believe the proper response is: "Faster, please." Posted at 06:43 AM HEY, COOL [Jonah Goldberg ] When I google "Burke, Letter to Elders of Bristol" the first thing that comes up is the third G-File I ever wrote. Posted at 06:26 AM COMING SOON: MISSILE DEFENSE [John J. Miller] The Missile Defense Agency loaded its fifth interceptor into an underground silo at Alaska's Fort Greely this weekend. Earlier this year, the Pentagon said America's new ABM system would become operational by Sept. 30, which is Thursday. Part of me wonders if the system didn't become operational a few weeks ago, and the formal announcement is all that remains. Whatever the case, think about it: More than 21 years ago, Ronald Reagan called for the Strategic Defense Initiative; within two days, assuming the deadline holds, we'll have a limited missile defense capable of protecting Americans from the likes of North Korea. Posted at 06:25 AM SEVEN-YEAR-OLD GETS TO BE A SOLDIER [KJL] Posted at 06:17 AM JUST WRONG [KJL] People were pointing this out a week or so ago, but don't think we ever did. I'm not sure I can even picture a baby wearing this: or having a sane conversation witht he parent who would have a baby wear one. Posted at 06:07 AM CARTER CONTINUED [John J. Miller] Yesterday I commented on Jimmy Carter's complaints about Florida voting, and in particular his claim that elections in the state are run by partisan Republicans. An editorial in today's WSJ makes this important point: "In 24 of the 25 Florida counties with the highest ballot spoilage rate, the county supervisor was a Democrat. In the 25th county, the supervisor was an Independent." Carter forgot to mention that in his Washington Post tirade. Posted at 05:58 AM RATHERGATE WAS AN "HONEST MISTAKE" [KJL] So say people USA Today polled.. Posted at 05:56 AM Monday, September 27, 2004 "THANK YOU" [KJL] From Ali on IraqtheModel: Allawi’s speech was articulate, impressive and honest and most Iraqis I talked to lately share the same opinion with me, but much more impressive was the reaction of all members of the congress who were there. That was the American people there, the whole American nation not just republicans, standing and cheering not Allawi but what he stood for; IRAQ. They were showing support and friendship to Iraq not Allawi and that was a rare moment in history where the two nations Iraq and America stood as equal friends, no actually it was more like family as one American friend described. Insulting Allawi and Bush and the whole speech, speaking so harshly of that unique moment is an insult not to Bush or Allawi but to both the Iraqi and American nations, and yes that goes for everyone did that. Posted at 11:23 PM "BUSH APPARENTLY LEADS KERRY..." [KJL] CNN headline questions its own poll. Posted at 09:14 PM "THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION HAS SO BADLY BOTCHED EVERY ASPECT OF THE RECONSTRUCTION OF IRAQ" [KJL] Ted Kennedy was at it again today. Posted at 09:02 PM AND [KJL] a number of readers say the likes of this: "I agree with you when it comes to content, but when it comes to presentation and style, the president looked very good tonight; much more relaxed, clear, and confident in his wordcraft in an interview than I've seen him since 9/11. He looks ready for the debates. " I'm totally comforting myself with the thought that he wasn't giving O'Reilly his best. And, is psychologically ready for the big night (#1), Thursday. Posted at 08:57 PM THIS IS TRUE [KJL] A reader: "[Bush] just comes off so much more down-to-earth sitting across from the ever self-important O'Reilly. " Posted at 08:49 PM "AMERICANS SHOULD BE PROUD" [KJL] Iraqis have their say. Listen in here. (Perhaps John Kerry will hold a press conference telling them to get real...) Posted at 08:32 PM ISRAEL MAKES US SAFER [KJL] The Sun on a death in Damascus. Posted at 08:31 PM W & WMDS [KJL] I was a little disappointed with the W. Bill O'Reilly interview tonight--part one of a three parter ran tonight. On WMDs, President Bush didn't make the case that Saddam did have weapons of mass destruction--he used them on his people. We know that. We've seen the mass graves, etc. He was a weapon of mass destruction. W. looked more on the defensive than he should've--or than he needed to be. I might be being too critical because I'm so convinced he has a compelling case--that Iraq was part of an axis of evil so rotten to the core that it would destroy its own people and a deadly terror network that wants America destroyed--but this election is still terribly close... Posted at 08:24 PM NYC NPR [Jonah Goldberg] Over the last week I've had the opportunity to sample quite a bit of New York City NPR. Oh my stars and garters, it is so much more left wing than DC's. Sure, All Things Considered and Morning Edition are the same here. But the shows that make up much of the remaining programming are amazingly leftwing -- though often while remaining banal. I listened to an interview with the authors of the "Future Dictionary of America" and it sounded like an un-lively conversation at a leftwing bookstore. Later, I caught some Alaska-based artist-musician-writer guy prattle on about something or other. Every day I tuned in (while driving of course) I'd be astounded by the unquestioning reflexive leftiness that passes for cosmopolitan conversation. Posted at 04:56 PM “THE TRIBES OF FALLUJAH” [Rich Lowry] One thing I was struck by listening to Allawi last week was how often he referred to “tribes,” the tribes of Fallujah, the tribes of Najaf, etc, etc. It made me realize how little any of us “generalists” sitting here in the US really understand of what's going on in Iraq. What do we know about how a tribal society operates? That doesn't mean things are necessarily going better than we think, or worse, or that we shouldn't comment on what we read. But we should have a little humility. I suspect Allawi has a pretty sophisticated, or at least very Iraqi, approach to re-establishing security in the restive cities. The American approach, based on our traditional mode of warfare, would be to engage the enemy quickly and destroy him. The Allawi approach is dependent on equal parts negotiation, military pressure, and bribery (i.e., reconstruction aid). All of these tactics are then mixed up, as we saw in Najaf, in a dizzying back-and-forth that is very frustrating to watch. But I'm told that Allawi considers Najaf a success, that he will try to duplicate its model elsewhere, and something could happen in Fallajuh faster than we expect. For what it's worth... Posted at 04:45 PM CLARIFICATION [Michael Ledeen] This is in response to an email from someone who thinks I bolloxed the language in today's article. I said: " Do not think for a moment that the beheadings are a unique form of viciousness aimed only against Americans or American allies. Beheading has been a common form of execution of Islamic (and Christian, and Bahai, and Zoroastrian) enemies, and I have no doubt the jihadists have beheaded more of "their own" than of ours..." my correspondent says that one could read that as saying that Christians, Baha'is and Zoroastrians also behead their enemies. My intention--and forgive me if it isn't clear--was to say that the jihadists behead muslims, christians, baha'is and zoroastrians as well as infidel coalition forces and workers. Sorry for the confusion. Posted at 04:14 PM IRAQI CASE AGAINST CHALABI DROPPED [KJL] Posted at 03:57 PM “MY KNEES TO THE BREEZE” [Rich Lowry] The dive on Saturday was great, if nervewracking. I would have been perfectly happy to do a “tandem” jump--safely tethered to someone who knows what he's doing--and get out of there in half-an-hour or so, but my friend insisted that we do the real thing, which ended up being much, much better. The free fall, which lasts roughly 45 seconds and takes you from 13,000 to 6,000 feet, is extraordinary, like nothing you've ever experienced. It's a little like being under water and poking your head outside a car window all at once. An instructor told me the worst part would be standing in the door of the plane prior to exit, and then the free fall would be paceful. I was skeptical, but he was right. And since you are also intensely focused on the things you have to do during the fall there isn't much time to be panicked. Once the parachute is out you are just standing in the heavens basically, at least that's what it feels like because you are going so much slower. I'm a little afraid of heights, so the day gave me a lot of opportunities to understand and experience fear. The worst, absolutely worst, thing was after we finished our training we had to wait more than an hour for the plane to re-fuel. Talk about icing the kicker! As long as you are doing something there are limits to how scared you can be, but when you are doing nothing, it just eats you up. Anyway, I did it, I jumped, I landed safely, and it's something I will remember fondly the rest of my life. Posted at 03:31 PM KERRY'S SIDEKICK [Jonah Goldberg] So many emails like this one: Jonah, Posted at 03:12 PM UPDATE: THE YELLOW THING [Jonah Goldberg] On Kerry's wrist, several readers tell me, may be a Lance Armstrong Foundation bracelet. As for the Where's my chablis? expression on Kerry's face that's authentic. Posted at 03:07 PM DID YOU EVER SEE A BOOK FLY? [Jack Fowler] You will if you come to NR’s offices, where autographed copies of Bill Buckley’s Miles Gone By – his heralded literary autobiography – are flying out the door as the orders for this special keepsake pour in. Get your copy (before they’ve all flown the coop!) here. Posted at 03:02 PM RE: SIGNS [KJL] Stanley--a thought on Bush fans not putting out signs. I frankly have never known conservative friends/family who have ever wanted to put out signs. Part of it is definitely that they just don't want to draw attention to their house. But then, I figured it just wasn't part of the conservative temperment. The instinct is, I do my own thing, take care of my family, don't throw my politics in your face. I don't know if this really is what is largely at work, but I think I've long assumed it was. Posted at 02:52 PM THE RIEMANN HYPOTHESIS [John Debyshire] I am still getting e-mails from readers asking me about Louis de Branges' "proof" of the Riemann Hypothesis, and possible implications for e-commerce. Well, let me say this about that. Posted at 01:56 PM RUMOR DENIED BY PAKISTANIS [KJL] Posted at 12:51 PM SHIFTING AD [KJL] I think the new Bush ad (you can view it on the W. campaign's website) on Kerry's shifting Iraq positions is excellent. Kerry, in his own words, saying completely opposite things, on multiple occasions. Nothing sarcastic, just the facts, ma'am. I think, if you were an ad watcher who had the slightest reservations about the windsurfing ads (which, right or wrong, I wasn't a huge fan of on first viewing--I thought just-the-facts would do quick well), this probably puts any reservations to rest. Because you see this one and think, "Gosh, yes, he is that bad." Posted at 12:47 PM A GUANTANAMO PAROLEE... [Kate O'Beirne] ...was killed in Afghanistan over the weekend. Note this morning's New York Times story about the late Maulavi Ghaffar. The senior Taliban leader was released a year ago after spending eight months in US custody in Guantanamo. Upon his release, he took up where he left off, became a regional commander for the Taliban and carried out attacks against American forces and Afghan soldiers. I wonder if he respected their due process rights before launching his attacks. Posted at 12:32 PM RUMOR AT THE MOMENT [KJL] On Haaretz website: "18:04Initial report: Pakistani security forces capture Osama bin Laden`s deputy Ayman al-Zawahiri (Israel Radio)" We've heard similar rumors before, so I'm not banking on, yet... Posted at 12:28 PM WHAT'S WRONG WITH THIS PICTURE [ Jonah Goldberg] The point of this picture is that John Kerry is a "let's grab a brewski and watch the Packers game" kind of guy. Well, first of all -- as we can see from this montage of similar pics -- Kerry only sips his beer, while Dan DiMaggio the guy he's sitting next to drains his drink (perhaps because he wants to get away as quick as possible). Behind Kerry there are a bunch of suits standing and watching Kerry, seemingly confident this won't take so long as to make sitting down necessary. If you look very, very closely you can read on one aide's lips, "Todd, excellent job finding an authentic working class bar." The other aide can be seen saying, "Thanks Worthington. I googled it. And don't worry, I also put that little yellow thing on his wrist and wrote 'Lambeau field' over and over on it so he won't forget." Posted at 12:13 PM SO MUCH FOR [Ramesh Ponnuru] restrictions on experiments on human beings: This guy's theory makes them unconstitutional. Posted at 12:01 PM TRADESPORTS, CTD. [Ramesh Ponnuru] An email from a Republican: "If you use the tradesports odds and apply them in terms of expected value - so, for example, a 45% chance of retaining a seat we currently hold is valued at negative 0.55, not negative 1 - we should pick up 1 or 2 seats." Posted at 11:59 AM LEFTY BLOGGING, ONE MORE THING [Jonah Goldberg] I do wish some commentators better understood that lefty blogging has soared in the last three years for the same reason subscriptions to Mother Jones and the Nation have gone up: George W. Bush is president. In the 1990s the American Spectator, National Review, Rush Limbaugh etc reeped huge benefits from the fact that Bill Clinton was A) in office and B) behaved like Bill Clinton. Sure there are individual talents and unique merits to various writers and institutions, but there's a larger tide out there too. The lefty blogs are benefitting from an activated base as much as they are because of the transcendent genius and irrefutable talent of this or that blogger. Posted at 11:51 AM SENATE PROSPECTS [Ramesh Ponnuru] John Miller is sticking by his call for a two-seat Republican pick-up. Fred Barnes thinks the Republicans' chances "look increasingly good." But things are looking bleaker for the Republicans over at tradesports. The site has Republicans Murkowski, Martinez, Keyes, Burr, and Coburn all losing--although it also has Isakson, DeMint, Thune, and Vitter winning. That yields a pick-up of one seat. Posted at 11:40 AM BURBARIANS [John J. Miller] The suburbs are bad for your health. So says a new study highlighted in today's Washington Post. Count me extremely skeptical. We "burbarians" choose suburban living, mainly for quality-of-life reasons, and our decisions are both informed and self-interested in ways that even the brainiest researchers can't identify in their piles of statistics. But watch no-growth leftists latch on to this study and tell us once more that they know best. Posted at 11:00 AM THE NYT MAG ON BLOGGING [Jonah Goldberg] To be honest I haven't finished the Klam piece yet. But I doubt I'll have much to add to David Frum's dissection today. However, I will note one tidbit of self-promotional info. Klam says that Mickey Kaus was the first political blogger and that he started writing the Kaus Files at Slate. Well, if memory serves, Kaus Files started as a stand-alone and only joined the Slate stable later. Also, the Goldberg File -- whether it was a blog or not we'll leave to the historians -- was what gave Mickey the idea to start KF in the first place. At least that's what he told me. Posted at 10:10 AM BUSH THE OPTIMISTIC LIAR [Jonah Goldberg] I understand why some people think Bush is being too rosy in his pronouncements about Iraq, although I think the statements from the Kerry campaign ridiculing Allawi go way too far. But one point I almost never hear Bush’s critics in the press acknowledge even rhetorically is that Bush might have a motive other than politics for being upbeat about Iraq. If Alan Greenspan were overheard saying the economy is tanking, even as a joke, it would have huge consequences. Well, if Bush gives a grim, downbeat or pessimistic accounting of the situation in Iraq it would be instantaneously read as a signal of defeatism, imminent withdrawal or a pulling back of commitment. The fact that the press, at home and abroad, would take any inch offered by Bush and stretch into a mile is cannot be disputed. I am not saying that Bush should lie to the American people about the situation there and I’m not saying that critics don’t raise a fair objection when they want to hear more straight talk. But can’t they at least concede the point that if Bush gave the American people the sort of accounting the sourpusses want to hear -- even if it were true -- it would almost surely become a self-fulfilling prophecy? Posted at 09:04 AM BUT READ THIS [John J. Miller] I forgot to mention: The continuing outrages of Jimmy Carter are well chronicled in The Real Jimmy Carter, by NROnik Steve Hayward. Posted at 09:00 AM JIMMY GO HOME [John J. Miller] Jimmy Carter seems to think the presidential election in Florida needs international monitoring, sort of like his Carter Center just (allegedly) provided in Venezuela. Expect more of this chatter in the weeks ahead, as Democrats lay the groundwork for post-election complaints in Florida and elsewhere. Oh, and when Carter bleats about the importance of "nonpartisan" officials taking charge of Florida's voting, he should set a personal example and keep his mouth shut. Posted at 08:54 AM SIGNS [Stanley Kurtz] The other day, at the Man Without Qualities blog, Robert Musil said that many, even most, Bush-Cheney supporters are afraid to put up bumper stickers or lawn signs for fear of having their cars or houses defaced. The problem is not symmetrical, he says. Stickers and signs for Kerry are widespread, even in Republican neighborhoods. And many liberals feel free to put up signs calling for violence or even death for Republican officials. I’m interested in whether Corner readers think all this is true. (Thanks to Glenn Reynolds for the link.) Posted at 08:50 AM TV NEWS LOVES KERRY [Tim Graham] It's buried in the middle of Howard Kurtz's Washington Post article today, but it's true. In a study by the nonpartisan Center for Media and Public Affairs, "the group says [John Kerry] has gotten the best network news coverage of any presidential nominee since it began tracking in 1988." That's right, CMPA says Kerry has received a more favorable press than Bill Clinton in 1992, which was a very syrupy year. And the study includes the Swift Vet month of August! Kurtz's main thesis today is the new liberal media chin-puller: what sad state of affairs is it when everyone retreats to the news that fits their own viewpoint? Left out of that analysis: oh, suddenly we're admitting that liberals have news outlets that fit their own viewpoint? Or, wow, you're sad now, because conservatives actually have a news outlet or two that isn't bashing their skulls in? (Kurtz also recycles Time's awful cover story blurring Rathergate into one big gooey void of relativism.) While it is sadly true that many partisans play pretty safely in their own informational playgrounds, what really upsets the liberal media establishment in this complaint is that the liberal media no longer uniformly sets the agenda, calls the tune, creates all the perceptions for swing voters. That would be a nice piece for Kurtz: who are the swing voters watching? Posted at 08:40 AM BOYCOTT THIS! [Mark Krikorian ] Hispanic advocacy groups have threatened to boycott California as revenge for Gov. Schwarzenegger's veto of the bill which would have permitted illegal aliens to get driver's licenses. "Our community is going to be forced to kick it up a notch," according to the head of something called Hermandad Mexicana (the Mexican Brotherhood). Congress needs to put an end to this once and for all by requiring states to limit driver's licenses to citizens and legal residents -- something it did in 1996, before the measure was repealed two years later with Bob Barr's leadership. And the White House included such a provision in its 2002 border security proposal, but it was cut out by Dick Armey. Posted at 08:36 AM DRIVING WHILE ILLEGAL [Mark Krikorian ] The Oakland, Calif., police have stopped drunk-driving roadblocks because -- I am not making this up -- Hispanic activists complained that too many unlicensed illegal aliens were being caught and having their cars towed. This kind of thing is going to keep happening, and the illegal immigration will continue to grow, until whoever is president sets a different tone, one of unapologetic enforcement of the law. Unfortunately, there isn't going to be such a president until at least 2009. Posted at 08:33 AM AMERICA STOPS AT THE RIO GRANDE [Mark Krikorian ] Texas state representative Miguel Wise accepted an award from the government of Mexico, for his leading role in trying to get driver's licenses for illegal aliens. He accepted the award in Austin on Mexican independence day! State legislators, you will not be surprised to learn, take an oath to "preserve, protect and defend the Constitution and laws of United States." Why has this man not been impeached? Why has the Mexican consul in Austin not been expelled? Posted at 08:32 AM SYRIA AND IRAN SITTING IN A TREE [Jonah Goldberg] Posted at 07:55 AM LEANING LEFT [John J. Miller] Tim Graham just emailed me empirical proof that presidential debates conducted in the style of "town-hall meetings" are very good at one thing: generating questions full of liberal bias. See here. Posted at 05:24 AM RIGHT BLOGGERS SHOULD BE GRATEFUL... [KJL] ...they were largely left alone in that blog piece, says David Frum. Posted at 04:56 AM Sunday, September 26, 2004 E-VOTING [Andrew Stuttaford] From a piece in today’s New York Times: “Voting has always required a leap of faith - one that, after the 2000 election debacle, and in a culture grown hip to the fallibility of technology, is proving harder to make.” And paperless e-voting will only make that worse. Posted at 11:00 PM PROMISES, PROMISES [Andrew Stuttaford] “TOKYO, Sept. 25 - With North Korea's nuclear threat flaring up this week, Senator John Kerry vowed in Philadelphia on Friday to get the talks about the country's weapons program "back on track" if elected president.” Any more detail, Senator? Posted at 10:55 PM WHEN WORLDS COLLIDE [Andrew Stuttaford] PG Wodehouse on George Orwell: ‘one of those warped birds who have never recovered from an unhappy childhood and a miserable school life’. Posted at 10:52 PM BAD COMPANY [Andrew Stuttaford] Here, slightly belatedly, is an interview with Christopher Hitchens. Well worth reading in full, but this stands out: "The United States was attacked by theocratic fascists who represents all the most reactionary elements on earth. They stand for liquidating everything the left has fought for: women's rights, democracy? And how did much of the left respond? By affecting a kind of neutrality between America and the theocratic fascists." He cites the cover of one of Tariq Ali's books as the perfect example. It shows Bush and Bin Laden morphed into one on its cover. "It's explicitly saying they are equally bad. However bad the American Empire has been, it is not as bad as this. It is not the Taliban, and anybody - any movement - that cannot see the difference has lost all moral bearings….The world these [al-Quadea and Taliban] fascists want to create is one of constant submission and servility. The individual only has value to them if they enter into a life of constant reaffirmation and prayer. It is pure totalitarianism, and one of the ugliest totalitarianisms we've seen. It's the irrational combined with the idea of a completely closed society. To stand equidistant between that and a war to remove it is?" He shakes his head.” Meanwhile in the London Spectator Frank Johnson, no supporter of the war of the Iraq, looks at the question as to why so many on the British left are prepared to make some sort of common cause with hardline Islam. The whole article is well worth noting, this in particular: “We must always remember the Western radical intellectual’s wish to identify with the world’s rising and most frightening power. Coleridge spoke of Napoleon’s British admirers possessing a ‘prostration of the soul’. But British Napoleonists differed from British Stalinists, and were similar to today’s Muslamists in one respect. They did not want the foreign power to rule Britain. Byron said that Napoleon was his hero ‘on the Continent; I don’t want him here’. Those feminist columnists and academics — proclaiming Islam’s great past — do not want to have to go veiled in their native Camden Town or Islington. Their game is to use Islam to demoralise Western bourgeois life.” Interesting. Posted at 10:50 PM DEBATES THEN AND NOW [Peter Robinson ] From an old pal: I just caught the last 30 minutes of the 1984 foreign policy debate between Pres. Reagan and Walter Mondale (10/21/84) on C-SPAN . The substance was just as I remembered it but the tone: what a difference from today! It was all so . . . adult. Mondale came across as a solid citizen who disagreed with the president on the issues of the day in an agreeable fashion. The reporters were respectful to all parties; the crowd behaved. It is evident to me that the legacy of Clinton's "war room" approach to presidential campaigning -- intensely negative and relentlessly personal -- remains with us today.Good point--and Kerry’s catty remarks about Bush over the last week confirm it. Question to ponder between now and Thursday: Will Kerry dare to disappoint his base by comporting himself graciously? Posted at 08:26 PM THE OFFENSIVE MR. KERRY [Peter Robinson] From a new friend (he and his wife attended the NR bash in San Francisco last Monday), a very nice point: Related to our North Korean problem, I noted the following in the Sunday [San Francisco] Chronicle, embedded in its largely SDI-friendly article called "Missile Defense Back on Radar:" Posted at 08:13 PM YES...YES...I KNOW [Jonah Goldberg] Today's Reliable Source appearance was spotty. I got tongue-tied terribly trying to say the word "authentication." What's nice though was the first wave of emails from the pro-Dan Rather contingent were very understanding. The first was titled "You stupid fat F***" and the second explained that I proved "once again" that I'm moron etc etc. Posted at 05:52 PM THE 9/11 FUND WAS A MISTAKE [KJL] That's Jeff Jacoby's column today Posted at 03:21 PM NICE TAKE ON THE ELECTION CAMPAIGN [John Derbyshire] My daughter discovered this site, and we all stood round the computer giggling while she played it for us. Warning: takes a while to load, and comes with some ads. Posted at 03:05 PM DOUBLE STANDARDS [Andrew Stuttaford] The Germans, it seems, can dish it out, but not take it. “HEIDELBERG, Germany — The German military has pulled out of the U.S. Army’s annual Land Combat Expo, protesting an opinion piece written by a controversial retired U.S. officer slated to be a guest speaker at next week’s event.” The ‘controversial retired US officer’? None other than Ralph Peters. I’m not always a fan of his viewpoints, and the Germans are quite entitled to do this (this isn’t ‘censorship’ ) but it does seem like an overreaction. The ‘censorship’ claim aside, it’s difficult not to agree with the gist of Peters’ response: Called for comment at home in northern Virginia, Peters said, “It’s perfectly all right for the Germans to call President Bush a Nazi, it’s perfectly all right for the Germans to criticize everything about America, to lionize Michael Moore and treat our soldiers as second-class human beings … but they want to try and censor the American media.” Peters said the German decision was disappointing but not surprising. “I think the fact that they’re pulling out is the best imaginable indicator of how weak our alliance is, how meaningless Germany’s contribution is,” said Peters. “If they pull out because they can’t stand one 800-word opinion piece in an American newspaper, how could we possibly expect them to stand by us in a violent crisis?” Reading this, it's difficult not to think that at least a partial explanation of the current transatlantic tensions is that, in some ways for the first time, Americans are arguing back against constant European criticism. Thanks in part to the Internet, more and more Europeans are becoming uncomfortably aware of that fact - and it's not something they like. Posted at 03:04 PM BROOKS ON SUDAN [KJL] Read it if you didn't. A taste, from the top: Confronted with the murder of 50,000 in Sudan, we eschewed all that nasty old unilateralism, all that hegemonic, imperialist, go-it-alone, neocon, empire, coalition-of-the-coerced stuff. Our response to this crisis would be so exquisitely multilateral, meticulously consultative, collegially cooperative and ally-friendly that it would make John Kerry swoon and a million editorialists nod in sage approval. Posted at 03:01 PM VISIONS OF THE DARK SIDE [Andrew Stuttaford] This is truly remarkable, and it demonstrates once again that the British census authorities were correct to ‘recognize’ the Jedi as, um, a legitimate religion. Hat tip Matt Yglesias. If the National Cathedral can link to Darth Vader, the Corner can link to Matt. Posted at 02:58 PM MORE NUKES [Andrew Stuttaford] From the Daily Telegraph: “Syria's President Bashir al-Asad is in secret negotiations with Iran to secure a safe haven for a group of Iraqi nuclear scientists who were sent to Damascus before last year's war to overthrow Saddam Hussein.” If (the usual caveat) this story proves to be accurate, it raises some interesting questions, both with regards to what Iraq was up to then, and what Iran is up to now. Posted at 02:54 PM KLINGONS FOR KERRY [Andrew Stuttaford] Well, that’s two strikes, Kathryn. On the other hand, Bush, apparently, has these. Posted at 02:53 PM IS IT ME [KJL] or was the NYTimes Mag piece on blogs much like the Vanity Fair piece a few months back, which basically wrote off the right-wing sites? I can't make that a declarative sentence because, frankly, I gave up reading the NYTM piece--especially after I fast forwarded to the important summation: smart people like Jaime Rubin read the blogs. I.e. you're not legit until the left-wing establishment credentials you. Posted at 02:48 PM EU CONSTITUTION WATCH [Andrew Stuttaford] The draft EU ‘constitution’ is going to be subjected to a test by referendum in a number of EU states. That’s good. But if the people vote no, will it make any difference? Writing in the Sunday Telegraph euro-MP Daniel Hannan isn’t so sure: “No one wants to jinx things by using the phrase "no vote". Instead, Eurocrats talk about "irregularities" or "delays in ratification". But the message is clear: we intend to push ahead regardless. A report before the European Parliament's Home Affairs Committee is typical - not only in its content but also, I'm afraid, in its prose style: "Even if the constitution has not yet been ratified, or even signed, it must certainly inspire, to a large extent, the future multiannual guidelines." Hannan then goes on to make this, crucial, point: “We often talk about the EU's democratic deficit as if it were a design flaw, an oversight by the founding fathers. In reality, it was their chief purpose. Monnet and Schuman knew that their project would never survive if it were regularly subjected to national electorates. That is why they vested supreme power in a civil service, insulated from public opinion. Their calculation was that, if people were simply presented with a fait accompli, they would go along with it. Their strategy has been stunningly successful. Again and again, Brussels has extended its authority into a new area and then, years later, regularised the situation in a treaty. The Single European Act put a belated stamp on the EU's intrusion into environmental policy. Maastricht formally recognised the common foreign policy, which had been launched unofficially in the mid-1980s. Amsterdam and Nice retrospectively authorised a great deal of harmonisation in the fields of criminal justice and immigration. By the time we see what is being done, it is too late. “ For anyone interested in the evolution of a profoundly corrupt and deeply undemocratic superstate Hannan’s piece is an essential read. Via the indefatigable bloggers at EU Referendum. Posted at 02:05 PM WHAT WARRIOR MYTH? [KJL] Douglas Brinkley tries another take on his NYT quote. Read on the Kerry Spot. Posted at 09:52 AM LETTING AN ANCHOR SINK [Jonah Goldberg] Nice piece on the Rather mess and why conservatives are enjoying it in the St. Petersberg Times. Alas -- for all parties concerned -- they say I'm with The New Republic Online. Posted at 09:45 AM TOTALITARIAN TALISMAN [Andrew Stuttaford] The late but not, unfortunately, unlamented, Che Guevara is, alas, likely to see his iconic status boosted still further by the film version of his Motorcycle Diaries. Not having seen the movie, which, it should be remembered, concerns Guevara’s life before he found a career in mass murder, I have no views on it one way or the other, other than to worry that it may exalt the memory of this repulsive individual still further. Writing in Slate, Paul Berman reminds us of the true nature of the man that young Che was to become: “The cult of Ernesto Che Guevara is an episode in the moral callousness of our time. Che was a totalitarian. He achieved nothing but disaster. Many of the early leaders of the Cuban Revolution favored a democratic or democratic-socialist direction for the new Cuba. But Che was a mainstay of the hardline pro-Soviet faction, and his faction won. Che presided over the Cuban Revolution's first firing squads. He founded Cuba's "labor camp" system—the system that was eventually employed to incarcerate gays, dissidents, and AIDS victims. To get himself killed, and to get a lot of other people killed, was central to Che's imagination. In the famous essay in which he issued his ringing call for "two, three, many Vietnams," he also spoke about martyrdom and managed to compose a number of chilling phrases: "Hatred as an element of struggle; unbending hatred for the enemy, which pushes a human being beyond his natural limitations, making him into an effective, violent, selective, and cold-blooded killing machine. This is what our soldiers must become …"— and so on. He was killed in Bolivia in 1967, leading a guerrilla movement that had failed to enlist a single Bolivian peasant. And yet he succeeded in inspiring tens of thousands of middle class Latin-Americans to exit the universities and organize guerrilla insurgencies of their own. And these insurgencies likewise accomplished nothing, except to bring about the death of hundreds of thousands, and to set back the cause of Latin-American democracy—a tragedy on the hugest scale.” Berman concludes his piece by quoting from the jailed Cuban poet Raul Rivero. Here are the last lines: “Eight policemen/in my house/with a search order,/a clean operation,/ a full victory/for the vanguard of the proletariat/who confiscated my Consul typewriter,/one hundred forty-two blank pages/and a sad and personal heap of papers/—the most perishable of the perishable from this summer.” Someone should make a movie about him. Posted at 09:33 AM NUKES [Andrew Stuttaford] Sorry to return to this depressing topic, but the two greatest threats to the US are almost certainly nuclear proliferation and the large amounts of nuclear material still held under worryingly insecure conditions in worryingly insecure countries. Seen in this light, the apparent failure of the administration to make enough use of the Lugar program on ex-Soviet missiles (which I posted about earlier on the Corner) is disturbing, and so too may this be. To be fair, it may well be that the notion that the US is not talking directly to Dr. Khan is no more than disinformation. Lets hope so. Posted at 09:26 AM BREAKING NEWS [Kathryn Jean Lopez] AP: "'Women are different than men, not only psychologically (but) physiologically, and I think we need to understand those differences,' says Dr. Catherine DeAngelis, editor of the Journal of the American Medical Association." Posted at 09:21 AM BLAME THE BLOGGERS! [Michael Graham] That's the astonishingly disingenuous argument put forward by David Broder in the Washington Post this morning. He blames the collapse of media ethics on the evils of competition: "When the Internet opened the door to scores of 'journalists' who had no allegiance at all to the skeptical and self-disciplined ethic of professional news gathering, the bars were already down in many old-line media organizations. That is how it happened that old pros such as Dan Rather and former New York Times editor Howell Raines got caught up in this fevered atmosphere and let their standards slip." Note that, in Broder's world, Dan Rather and Howell Raines are journalists without the "ironic" quotation marks. They're the real deal, even though they've shoveled nonsense to their readers and viewers. The bloggers who called them on it are "journalists," and their very existence forced Rather, Raines, etc. to run demonstrably false news stories. Somehow connecting the rise of Fox News and NRO to the fall of Rather is beyond irrational. It's bizarre. It's the sort of illogical, self-serving argument once only found in free weekly papers run by ex-hippies. For a far more logical look at the fall of the MSM, stick with Victor Davis Hanson. Posted at 09:18 AM MILITARY WEB [Michael Novak] Six or seven readers have requested suggestions for military blogs and blogs by Iraqis. My colleague and part-time assistant Christopher Levenick, the W.H.Brady Fellow in the Humanities here at AEI, keeps up with the following sites for me, and describes them as follows: These guys will give you a much better picture of events on the ground than what you get from the correspondents. They don't go out only when there are visuals of explosions, but day after day. Posted at 09:14 AM HOW DO YOU SPELL DISASTER WAITING TO HAPPEN? [KJL] How Cat Stevens got on the plan: a spelling error. Posted at 09:11 AM THIS SPORTING LIFE [Andrew Stuttaford] As someone who is, with a few limited exceptions, notably the appalling prospect of the Olympics arriving in New York City, almost entirely indifferent to sport, the question as to which candidate likes which way of wasting time on mountain bike, gridiron or so on leaves me cold. This piece of, um, analysis from today’s Financial Times is too good, however, not to pass on: “[Kerry’s] worst athletic indulgence may be kite surfing, an extreme form of windsurfing and parasailing invented by the French, whose basic equipment can exceed $1,500.” Invented by the French? Ah ha. The FT goes on to note this: “Mr. Kerry tried to cover this over when asked about his expensive recreational habits. “The guys who do it are all local guys – plumbers, construction workers,” he said, convincing no-one.” Patronizing? Lui? Posted at 09:07 AM ME ON CNN FYI [Jonah Goldberg] The weather has once again interfered with punditry. I'm still doing Reliable Sources today, but it won't be aired live at 11:00. It will run at 5:00 PM this evening my time. Posted at 09:06 AM UNSUNG HEROES [Andrew Stuttaford] Justin Marozzi is a Brit working on the reconstruction effort in Iraq. In the middle of a piece on his life there in the London Spectator of September 18th, 2004 (owing to a technical Catch 22 too tedious to recount I can’t link) he had this to say about the US military’s civil affairs teams. “They are a terrific bunch of men and women. Reservists drawn from all the professions…they apply themselves with extraordinary courage, professionalism, dedication and courtesy. And they do so to great effect, only their achievements rarely make it into the international press. Schools have been refurbished, football pitches, orphanages and children’s playgrounds constructed, sewage works repaired, district and neighbourhood advisory councils…initiated and funded.” As it happens, a friend of mine has just shipped out to a town near Baghdad to do just this sort of work. Amongst other things, a recent e-mail from him had this to say: “The base is fairly large. Took a few mortar rounds today. The reverb and concussions are one heck of a combination: they are unnerving and attractive at the same time.” That’s another reminder that the stiff upper lip is not confined only to Britons. Posted at 09:05 AM NEOCON ROSTER [John Derbyshire] As every reader of paleo-con websites knows, the only people who wanted to go to war against Saddam Hussein were a tiny clique of "neocons," who were able to twist the President, the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense, and the U.S. Congress around their little fingers by means of dark arts and carefully-concocted false intelligence. If the quotes collected here are authentic, the "neocon" cabal included Bill Clinton, Madeline Albright, Sandy Berger, Tom Daschle, Nancy Pelosi, Joe Lieberman, John McCain, Al Gore, Ted Kennedy, Robert Byrd, John Kerry, Hillary Clinton,.... Boy, this was some cabal! Posted at 09:03 AM NORMAN CANTOR, RIP [John J. Miller] I just came across the news that medieval historian Norman F. Cantor died last week. (There's a short and entertaining article about his feisty letters to the editor in today's Boston Globe.) I have no idea whether he was a conservative (but look at those letters!), though I do know he was a fine historian--an excellent writer with a penchant for concision and color. The last book of his I read was Antiquity. Here's a memorable line from it: "Plato was part of a fast crowd of rich young men who gathered around Socrates, a hippie stonecutter who expounded on philosophy in the Athenian agora, or marketplace, perhaps to avoid going home to face his shrewish wife." No matter what the topic--ancient irrigation, barbarian invasions, or Greek philosophy--Cantor sucks you in and fascinates. He is probably best known for The Civilization of the Middle Ages; if you're going to read one book on medieval Europe, that's it. I've also enjoyed Inventing the Middle Ages, which is about medieval historiography. Fans of LOTR will want to check out what he says about Tolkien, and fans of Narnia will profit from what he says about C.S. Lewis. Norman Cantor may be gone, but his words and ideas continue to live with us. Posted at 06:49 AM IT AIN'T EASY [John J. Miller] I once gave very serious consideration to graduate school and life as an English professor--and I might have gone that route but for the warnings of the one conservative professor in the University of Michigan's English department (and a good job offer in DC). This week, the Chronicle of Higher Education printed an article on the challenges of being a conservative professor. And here's the transcript of an online discussion based on it. The topic is naturally an abiding interest of mine--and I continue to learn nothing that makes me regret earning that Ph.D. Posted at 06:10 AM KAPLAN ON IRAQ [John J. Miller] A fascinating article by the inimitable Robert Kaplan, on how the war in Iraq is like fighting the Apaches, may be read here. And it features this really good point: "The American military now has the most thankless task of any military in the history of warfare: to provide the security armature for an emerging global civilization that, the more it matures--with its own mass media and governing structures--the less credit and sympathy it will grant to the very troops who have risked and, indeed, given their lives for it." Posted at 05:40 AM |
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