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HUH? [Jonah Goldberg ] I love internecine ideological squabbles, as any longtime reader knows. I love arguing about what is or is not the correct position for conservatives, libertarians, trekkies and trekkers and everything in between. But I usually expect a minimum level of argumentation. Why is this or that the conservative position? Why do you say Hayek or Burke or Strauss would like this or dislike that? Why do you claim there's a conservative position on X or Y at all? Etc, etc. Maybe that's why I find this sort of thing so lame. The "cunning realist" writes: Apparently, there is some sort of virus going around that affects ostensibly Conservative media outlets. Over at The Corner, it seems they've overstepped their literary charter a bit, forgotten their ideological roots, and perhaps taken leave of their senses in the process. From Jonah Goldberg: Me: Note there's no argumentation here whatsoever. He simply asserts that my statement is not merely "un-conservative" but the "absolute antithesis of Conservative ideology." Nonsense. I am not going to waste much time arguing with someone who doesn't even try to make an argument. But one would expect someone who calls himself a realist would at least understand the realism of my point. I am all in favor of the man getting a fair trial. Then I'm all in favor of him being executed once the reality of the situation is comfirmed by a court of law. Regardless, I am a commentator, an opiner, a journalist, a citizen. There's nothing in conservatism or in America's judicial system which says I cannot proclaim my opinion on anything I choose. Stalin was never convicted of a crime, nor Hitler. I do not call them "alleged" criminals either. And, O.J. Simpson was cleared by a jury and I think he's guilt of murder and I see nothing wrong, never mind unconservative, in saying so. Frankly, I don't know what this guy is talking about and since he makes no effort to explain himself, I see no need to explain myself further. Posted at 09:51 PM RE: FIRST POST [K. J. Lopez] Not Rich TOO!!! Posted at 06:08 PM IN RESPONSE [Ramesh Ponnuru] Andy, by the end there you seemed to have almost embraced a kind of cosmic pessimism that makes tactical questions moot. Nil desperandum. Republicans have managed to have a few political successes over the years even with their flaws, the Democrats' wiliness, and the media's bias. You are right to suggest that we don't have the kind of precise exit-poll data that would make it possible to speak a bit more confidently about the role of judicial-confirmation fights in recent Senate elections. That's why I tried to make sense of what evidence we have. I think it is reasonable to view the social issues and the judicial issues as politically intertwined. It is simply the case that the judicial-confirmation issue has what political punch it does, on both sides, because of the way it intersects with the social issues. And it is also the case that a good chunk of the time the social issues come up in the Senate, it's in the course of the judicial-confirmation wars. Pro-lifers and pro-choicers did use the judicial-confirmation issue to rev up their troops, and, as I said before, it appears that the pro-life/conservative side did so more successfully--and not just in South Dakota. Also, to repeat a comment I made in our last go-round: The fact that Senate Republicans have been far more likely to exploit this issue when trying to get votes suggests that the practical understanding politicians on the stuff they know best--what works for them politically--aligns with my view. (I know from my reporting that President Bush believes that the judicial issue was a major reason the Republicans took back the Senate.) Finally, a word on the AG/Supreme Court question. I argued that the reason Daschle refused to filibuster Ashcroft in 2001 was that he figured that it would be too politically costly; and the reason that calculation was correct was that the public thinks it important that the job be filled. I argued further that a Supreme Court vacancy would play out similarly--the public would want that position filled. But appellate courts just don't command the same attention, and can be filibustered at lower cost (but still a real cost). Andy says that the real difference here is involvement in national security: That's why the public wants the AG spot filled, and it means that the Supreme Court is more like the appellate courts than like the AG slot. All I can say was that nobody pressed the national-security argument hard back in early 2001. But we may find out who's right about this point fairly soon. Posted at 05:59 PM RE: RE:MCCARTHY'S POSTS ON THE POLITICS OF FILIBUSTERS [Andy McCarthy] My practice, on the rare occasions when I find myself in disagreement with Ramesh, is to go back to the drawing board and try to figure our where I went wrong. That is not working for me this time, though. My argument is that Ramesh and others who claim that judicial filibustering has meaningfully hurt the Democrats politically are engaged in wishful thinking (and no small amount of revisionist history). I have asked, for example: Other than the defeat of Daschle – which they hopefully but not convincingly attribute to the filibusters – what is the evidence that filibusters have actually cost the Democrats anything? This is a prelude to asking what is obviously the more significant question: Does whatever cost that can be quantified outweigh what Democrats gain by filibustering? Ramesh has come back with an unpersuasive argument that filibustering almost singularly took Sen. Daschle down, no indication of filibustering fall-out independent of Daschle, and no engagement on the question whether the filibusters are a big net gain for Democrats, as I believe they are. Ramesh begins by changing my argument in order to challenge it. I never contended, as he suggests, that filibustering did not hurt Daschle at all. What I explicitly said was (a) that the filibusters were part of a much broader case that Daschle was a stealth obstructionist, (b) that we can only say with confidence that it was this broader case (as opposed to the narrow issue of filibusters) that cost him his seat, and (c) that, as we cannot say confidently either that filibustering cost Daschle his seat or that South Dakota is a bell-weather of national trends, it is not justifiable to argue that filibustering has cost the Democrats nationally in any meaningful way. I have thus asked what other evidence, besides Daschle’s defeat, there might be to show, as Ramesh and others contend, that Democrats have “paid a price”? I also pointed out that Daschle very nearly won, and that, had he won, Ramesh and others would (quite properly) not have regarded that as a national approbation of the filibusters, so I don’t see how they can say Daschle’s defeat is a national condemnation of the filibusters. Ramesh responds that my counterfactual doesn’t work because, if Daschle had won, “we could confidently have said that filibustering judges didn't hurt him enough to cost him the election--but we would still have said that it hurt him.” But, as I said, I’m not contending that it didn’t hurt him at all; I’m contending that it wasn’t a big enough deal that you can identify it as the proximate cause of his defeat – much less extrapolate from it a credible claim that Democrats are paying a price across-the-board. If a few thousand votes going the other way would have caused Ramesh to say filibusters registered but weren’t that important, it is because, as an objective matter, filibusters registered but weren’t that important. Whether Daschle won or lost, the relative significance of the issue doesn’t change. Moreover, Ramesh’s reliance on national polls showing that voters would rather have Bush than Kerry picking judges proves exactly nothing regarding either Daschle’s loss or public attitudes (if any) about filibustering. Those polls are reflective of leading questions being put to voters, not what is important to voters if you ask them in an open-ended fashion. I am certain that if you asked voters whether they would rather have Bush or Kerry picking the Secretary of Defense, you would get a sizable majority saying Bush. If you then asked the very same people, “Give me the top ten reasons you are voting for Bush or Kerry” (without supplying them with possible answers), the fact that the president chooses the defense secretary would be on almost no one’s list. It is also worth observing that, in relying on polling data, Ramesh must draw extravagant inferences from polls that do not ask directly about filibustering. Had the filibusters actually been an issue of the consequence, as Ramesh suggests, such polling data would of course be readily available. It’s not, because it wasn’t. As a result, he is left to insist, conclusorily and without the slightest back-up, that “we know that those social issues [which polls indicate did have a profound impact on the 2002 and 2004 elections] are deeply entangled with the judicial-confirmation issue.” What in the world is the evidence of that? As a matter of straightforward fact, the fact that, say, a state judge in Massachusetts orders the state to permit gay marriage has nothing whatsoever to do with Democrats filibustering a nominee to sit on a federal appeals court in Texas. It is fair enough to say that voters (especially in the red states), are angry over and motivated by the former; but that hardly means they relate it to the latter, much less that they relate it in a way that makes them similarly angry and motivated. I argued that the lack of political consequence of the judicial filibusters can be seen by the fact that Democrats did not filibuster the last two Attorneys General – because that position is identified with national security, something the public cares about, and Democrats thus understand the political fall-out would be profound. Ramesh doesn’t mention Gonzales at all but counters that at the time of Ashcroft’s nomination, AG was seen as important but not really national-security related. I guess I simply disagree – our main national security issue since the end of the cold war has been terrorism, and both officially (by means of executive orders) and unofficially (by means of countless high-profile press conferences), the AG was – up until the 9/11 attacks – the chief federal counter-terrorism official. But maybe that’s neither here nor there. For present purposes, the point is that when the cost would be high, the Democrats don’t filibuster. For judicial nominations, the cost has not been high; and even if it would now be somewhat higher than it was before, it does not come close to outweighing what they have to gain (in control of the courts and fundraising) by persevering in the filibuster strategy. Finally, it’s fair enough to argue, as Ramesh does, that Democratic senators, who of course want to keep their seats, are apt to be more responsive to political pressure to end filibusters than liberal activists and donors. But the important point is that there would have to be an awful lot of political pressure to push them in that direction given how obsessively the activists and donors on whom they depend care about blocking conservative judges. I don’t think there is anything near that kind of pressure right now, nor do I foresee it without some cataclysmic event – like if the GOP deployed the “nuclear” option – that forces this issue into the public consciousness. Even if that happens, though, we should not overestimate our ability to control the terms of the debate (if we had such an ability, the thing would not be called the “nuclear” option – we’ve already lost that language battle). The media will paint Democrats as heroes who are trying to stop Bush nominees from rolling back the “progress” of the last 40 years. Some nervous Republicans, with 2006 looming, will go wobbly and attack “extremists” who have taken over their party. This will embolden Democrats. I just don’t see the conditions for this purported groundswell of opposition to the filibusters – not before and not now. Posted at 04:40 PM LEBANON ROUND-UP [Jonah Goldberg] Publius has an excellent summary of recent developments. (Nod to Instapundit). Posted at 03:52 PM BEINART [Ramesh Ponnuru] I was surprised to see him making such lame arguments--although it's possible that the story didn't capture them well. Surely he realizes that differences in infant mortality rates among places reflects more than differences in state health-care spending. Beinart doesn't seem to be making any allowances for state income levels. And the data on increased abortion rates under Bush is very dodgy. Maybe we'll get better data that shows this claim to have been true, but there's no good reason to believe it today. Posted at 01:41 PM MORE FILIBUSTER STUFF [Ramesh Ponnuru] from outside the Corner. (Via therightcoast.) Posted at 11:48 AM BEINART V. COULTER ON VALUES [Jonah Goldberg] Fun read. I'm having the same debate, I think, with Peter in West Virginia in a couple weeks. Posted at 11:42 AM CANADA BASHING [Jonah Goldberg] As a close student -- and sometime practitioner -- of the genre, I must say Matt Labash has introduced a new standard of excellence. A very, very strong showing. Posted at 11:30 AM THE ATLANTA SHOOTINGS [Jonah Goldberg] Three quick points. Fair or not many readers have commented that the fact the deputy who was overpowered was a woman is relevant. I agree to a point, but I've seen plenty of scrawny dudes working in similar roles. Still, if there are physical requirements for the job, they should be enforced regardless of the "disparate impact" on women or anybody else. However, I find it astounding that it is against the law for a defendant to be brought into the courtroom in handcuffs on the grounds that it might influence the jury. Lastly, the death penalty. Again, this guy is guilty. There are many witnesses, including this poor woman who was shot in the fact, the pistol-whipped AJC reporter, the dozen or so people in the courtroom who were held at bay etc. Nichols apparently went considerably out of his way -- postponing his escape -- to shoot down a judge. Opponents of the death penalty who make their arguments on procedural grounds -- as opposed to strictly moral or ideological grounds -- need to explain why this man should not be executed. Fine, fine, there may be others on death row somewhere who shouldn't be. Or, there may not be. But none of that is relevant to whether this guy should get what he deserves. Posted at 07:25 AM FIRST POST [Rich Eat your heart out, Stuttaford.... Posted at 12:40 AM Friday, March 11, 2005 OH. NO. [K. J. Lopez] I see a G-File coming on Star Wars, don't I? Posted at 08:03 PM LUCAS & SPIELBERG [Jonah Goldberg] Rick - This conversation shall be continued. Oh, yes. It shall be. Posted at 08:02 PM PAUL CLEMENT [Barbara Comstock] A strong second to Shannen's kudos for Paul Clement. Paul will be a fabulous Solicitor General and is held in high esteem by the entire legal community. Posted at 07:57 PM IRAQ [Jim Robbins] Looks like the top leadership posts in the new Iraqi government will be divided between representatives of the Unified Iraq Coalition and Kurdish Alliance, with Ibrahim al-Ja'fari, leader of the Shia al-Dawa party, as Prime Minister and Kurdisj leader Jalal Talibani as President. The insurgents have been hoping to bring these tow groups into open civil war (witness yesterday's bombing of a Shia mosque in Kurdish Mosul) but the pro-democracy Iraqi's are more sensible than the terorrists or many western analysts have given them credit for. Posted at 07:39 PM GEORGE LUCAS [Rick Brookhiser] I offer my opinion re: George Lucas. He and Steven Spielberg are two of the most disastrous pop cultural figures of the last thirty years. They converted an entire medium to childishness--scary sharks, space men, Indiana Jones. Star Wars is bits of plastic put together with Scotch tape. There were clever moments here and there, and more often cheap thrills. But anything adult was banished. Spielberg so lowered the bar that when he turned around and did Schindler's List he was hailed as some sort of Dante. But who had turned Nazis into thick-accented goons pursuing the Ark of the Covenant? Posted at 06:44 PM PAUL CLEMENT [Shannen Coffin] The President has nominated Deputy Solicitor General Paul Clement to be the next Solicitor General. Paul is an excellent lawyer. This is an outstanding choice, and one that most people who had been following it on our side hoped would happen. Good luck in confirmation, Paul. Posted at 06:35 PM DOESN'T ELLEN TAUSCHER'S STAFF [K. J. Lopez] check Snoopes.com and things? Posted at 06:34 PM RE: TECH BLEG [John Derbyshire] Bless you all -- bless you, bless you. I now have FOUR lines of attack on Nellie's AIM problem: (1) Switch to Trillian. (2) Switch to GAIM. (3) Refresh & run NAV. (4) Check for missing autoexec.nt in the \windows\sytem32 folder -- some spyware thinks its adware and trashes it. I shall try them all when Nellie comes home from drama rehearsal. I like the kids to be around & watching when I fix things -- may as well drag out the illusion of parental omnicompetence for a couple more years. Posted at 06:14 PM HA [K. J. Lopez] The same day I recklessly whine about the GOP, I read that I am "the new face of the G.O.P." Posted at 05:02 PM TEXAS [K. J. Lopez] is debating embryonic-stem-cell research, too, right now. Posted at 04:56 PM RE: MCCARTHY'S POSTS ON THE POLITICS OF FILIBUSTERS [Ramesh Ponnuru] Andy McCarthy is asking me (among others) to justify the claim that Senate Democrats have paid a price for filibustering Bush's judicial nominees, and arguing that even if they did lose some Senate seats they would find that a price worth paying. The question is good and the argument interesting. First, on Daschle. Here's McCarthy: "Had Daschle won, which he came very close to doing, could it really credibly have been said that this signalled that the filibusters were a a winning Democratic strategy? We would have scoffed at such a contention, and I don't think the counterclaim is any more persuasive just because he lost." I think the counterfactual doesn't work. If Daschle had won, we could confidently have said that filibustering judges didn't hurt him enough to cost him the election--but we would still have said that it hurt him. Why? Because we know from national polls taken during the election that voters, by a ten-point margin, preferred Bush to appoint judges rather than Kerry. Because we can see that in red states, it's Republican Senate candidates rather than Democrats who have been raising the issue on the stump. Because we have plenty of reason to think that the social issues such as abortion have been helpful to Republicans in Senate elections in 2002 and 2004 in Missouri, North Carolina, Georgia, South Dakota, Minnesota, and Louisiana--I'm probably leaving a few states off the list--and we know that those social issues are deeply entangled with the judicial-confirmation issue. McCarthy is of course quite correct to point out that most people don't pay close attention to politics--and that's an understatement. But I'm not sure how far this gets you. People don't have to be consciously aware of the details of candidates' positions on issues for those positions to affect their votes. If Daschle had gone along with, say, the Estrada nomination, it would have made it much harder for the Republicans to portray him as an obstructionist opposed to conservative values. Given how close the vote was, I'm inclined to say that the obstruction made the difference in that race (which, of course, could also be said of other issues). I don't think it's true that Ashcroft was confirmed without a filibuster because his job is seen as a national-security job or that his confirmation therefore holds no lessons for a Supreme Court confirmation fight. The position simply wasn't seen as primarily or even largely national-security-related in January 2001; it was debated in terms of race and religion. I think what's crucial is that the public thinks that the AG position is important and has to be filled for the government to run. They think that also about the Supreme Court. They don't think that about appeals-courts nominees. Finally, on the question about Democrats' being willing to give up Senate seats in return for justices: that's a perfectly reasonable point when it comes to liberal activists or donors. But it's not obvious that the Democrats who hold those seats are always going to have those same priorities. Posted at 04:53 PM BUH-BYE FRIDAY (NEW TIMEWASTER) [Jonah Goldberg ] Introducing Goldminer. Posted at 04:14 PM CAMPAIGN FINANCE "REFORM" [Ramesh Ponnuru] and its special interests. Posted at 03:59 PM BABY CAL [Jonah Goldberg] It would be nice if everybody who played could put NRO in their name so that we could dominate the high score list. It would be nice if I wasn't such a dork too. Posted at 03:46 PM BANKRUPTCY & DRUGS [Jonah Goldberg] Interesting perspective, from a lawyer: Jonah: Strange coincidence: A little while ago I was discussing the proposed bankruptcy reforms with a partner of mine who does recovery work. We talked about how the credit card companies want to limit access to relief under a personal bankruptcy filing - for fairly obvious reasons. Not two minutes later, I see your post on the HBO drug addict documentary. Another two minutes, and I get a call from my mom about a relative with a drug habit. It seems this relative (22 years old, no income), following what she describes as a common practice of drug addicts, obtained credit cards from several department store chains. She then purchased gift cards up to the limit of each store credit card (several thousand dollars under each card). These gift cards were then exchanged for drugs at about 50 cents on the dollar. She now wants to use bankruptcy to clear the debts. So on the one hand, I'm completely sympathetic with the argument that this kind of irresponsible build up of debt is not the type of situation where the bankruptcy laws should be used for a "fresh start". On the other hand, how much sympathy can one feel for the credit card companies if this debt were wiped clean - what were they all thinking in giving several thousand dollars in unsecured credit to a young unemployed person? Easy access to bankruptcy may make borrowers less responsible, but this seems to be one case where the lenders were hardly more responsible in extending credit. But either way, it also shows another negative social harm caused by drug addiction. Anyway, I thought it was strange to have the two themes collide like that while both were fresh on my mind. Keep up the great work. Posted at 03:27 PM RE: THE ONLY STORY [K.J. Lopez] I think it was on Fox, when, a few hours ago, I heard someone worry that shooting a judge when you disagree with his ruling might become an epidemic. Terrible crime for those who have lost love ones. They better get the maniac. But let's not go nuts. Posted at 03:22 PM WE'LL ALWAYS REMEMBER WHERE WE WERE [Rod Dreher] The only news channel we can get on our office cable system is CNN, and I'm about to shoot out the TV on my desk in frustration. The only story -- THE ONLY STORY -- they have been covering all day long is this courthouse shooting in Atlanta. It's an important story, to be sure, but CNN has given it wall-to-wall coverage. One of their on-air personalities actually likened the event to 9/11! I'm not making this up! I'm guessing the attack happened only blocks away from CNN World Headquarters, which is the only explanation I can imagine for this runaway case of parochialism in news judgment. I half expect the normally excellent Miles O'Brien to pull a Cronkite-on-Nov.-22-1963 on us here. Posted at 03:20 PM HA [K. J. Lopez] An e-mail: Re your "Independent" post -- I think Cornerites can fairly say we are of the "Cosmo" generation of conservatives. And I don't mean "that" magazine, either. Posted at 03:16 PM NOT-SO-BREAKING NEWS [K. J. Lopez] From the Independent: The average 29-year-old now hankers for a return to the lifestyle of a 1950s housewife. The daughters of the "Cosmo" generation of feminists want nothing more than a happy marriage and domestic bliss in the countryside, according to a survey. Posted at 02:58 PM YUSHCHENKO TURNED TO U.S. DOCTORS [K. J. Lopez] WashPost: A team of U.S. doctors, headed by a University of Virginia professor, secretly flew to Vienna in mid-December to assist in the treatment of then-Ukrainian presidential candidate Viktor Yushchenko, according to U.S. officials, two of the doctors and the head of the Austrian clinic visited by Yushchenko.... Posted at 02:57 PM BRAVE, RESILIENT MARINES [K. J. Lopez] Are you sitting? This comes via NPR. Posted at 02:48 PM CHAIT: OPPOSE PERSONAL ACCOUNTS BECAUSE PEOPLE WOULD LIKE THEM! [Rich Lowry ] Just read Jonathan Chait's TNR piece in favor of Democratic obstruction on Social Security. It's well done, even if I disagree with it. But this is a revealing bit. Chait argues that Democrats have to stop accounts now because the public would like them and demand their expansion and liberalization: Conservatives believe, not without reason, that private accounts will offer an invidious comparison to traditional Social Security. Workers will note that the taxes they send off to the traditional program disappear, while the money in their own accounts grows before their eyes. The private accounts will, in most cases, also appear to provide a higher rate of return. As noted above, the comparison is deceptive--traditional Social Security will be bearing the weight of the legacy debt, disability benefits, and, for affluent workers, redistribution to those earning less. But the comparison will create a constituency clamoring for expansion. Conservatives once proclaimed this unabashedly. The 1983 Cato Journal paper, which advocated what it called a "Leninist Strategy" for undermining Social Security, argued, "This mechanism for demonstrating the individual gains and losses that occur under Social Security is a key step in weakening public support for our present system." This is a tidbit I'll have to put into my quiver for later use: “Even liberal Jonathan Chait says the public would LOVE personal Social Security accounts.” Posted at 02:37 PM WARD CHURCHILL [K. J. Lopez] is being accused of plagarism. (There's no excuse for bad writing and thinking when you steal it!) Posted at 02:23 PM YEAH, I'M THAT, TOO, I SUPPOSE [K. J. Lopez] An e-mail: Totally meaningless comment, but I read "you're at a cybermag" as "you're a cybernag". Sorry. Funny how the brain works. Posted at 02:21 PM FEEL LIKE YOU’RE MISSING OUT?? [K. J. Lopez ] Are you thinking right now, “Man, I would like to read National Review right now? Lose that left behind feeling! Subscribe to the paper version here. Don’t want more paper in the house? Subscribe to the digital version of NR. You get the same magazine, faster, online. You go here for the digital version. Treat yourself. Posted at 02:11 PM IT HAS ARRIVED!! [K. J. Lopez ] The new issue of NR is up, if you subscriber, log on:
Posted at 02:10 PM RE: FRANK RICH [Rich Lowry ] An e-mail: Now that Frank Rich is being shifted back to the opinion pages, maybe he'll finally start giving us some actual arts coverage. Posted at 02:05 PM TECH BLEG [John Derbyshire] My daughter likes AIM for instant messaging with her friends. She was IM-ing happily along there for several days on her new computer (Win XP). Then I scrubbed her system: NAV, SpyBot, AdAware. Now AIM doesn't work. We uninstalled & reinstalled -- nope. "AIM has encountered a problem and will close..." Anyone know a fix for this? AOL is no help -- Why should they be? This is the free download version. I must have scrubbed something that AOL wants. Posted at 01:57 PM RE: POINTS [Rod Dreher] Kathryn, thanks for posting the link earlier this week to Points, the new Sunday opinion section of the Dallas Morning News, which I'm editing. I had an opportunity to come up for air this morning, and I've been re-reading a week's worth of rockin' Corner posts. Being an editor instead of a full-time writer eats up an incredible amount of time, and I've been pretty slack on blogging and column-writing. I'm also making the final turn on "Crunchy Con," the book I have forthcoming from Crown next year, which is consuming all the time I have outside of the office. I've got two chapters left to write -- one on Religion, another on The Environment -- and a conclusion. Anyway, thanks to those who e-mailed me about Points. We have some cool stuff coming up, including a short interview I did with Mel Gibson for this weekend, in which he says some pretty provocative things about Hollywood and "The Passion," and in a couple of weeks, a really good piece by journalist Randall Sullivan, writing about how he was treated by the MSM, of which he (as a bestselling author and Rolling Stone contributing editor) has long been a part, after he came out as a Christian with the publication of last year's "The Miracle Detective." I've got Charlotte Allen, Bat Ye'or, Christine Rosen and others that NRO-niks love to read circling above DFW, waiting to land. I'll be running stuff from smart liberals too. Posted at 01:56 PM NEWS THAT'S FIT TO SPIN [Tim Graham] N.Y. Times reporter Stephen Labaton made it a habit of using terminology about helping out or excusing "corrupt companies" four times in one story on bankruptcy legislation, as TimesWatch notices here. Posted at 01:49 PM "WHO IS ARLEN SPECTER?" [K. J. Lopez] An e-mail: I write this with all respect, but I think you're being just a touch myopic in believing that the issue of judicial filibusters could ever have resonated with the general population. Most people-including intelligent, educated, folks who consider themselves to be politically aware-not only don't know who Arlen Specter is, they don't know what a filibuster is.ME: I'm totally with this fella, to an extent. Believe me, I don't hear or have conversations about filibusters much outside the office, so to speak (the office being a nebulous thing when it is 2005 and you're at a cybermag). But, as I argued in the summer a few times, the national campaign could have focused on personalities--Meet Bill Pryor....here's what the Senate Democrats did to him. I don't believe that wouldn't have rallied people in a non-complicated kinda way. And then when you can easily tie basic unfairness like that to the top issues of the day: the war, the family...you've got a strong message. It's water under the bridge, but since the conversation started, just elaborating... I still want to be completely wrong about Specter, for the record--I rather have good judges than be right. Posted at 01:46 PM PRIVILEGE [Rich Lowry ] WFB has a very favorable review in the new NR of Ross Douthat's Privilege, a memoir of his time at Harvard. I read the book in galleys a few month ago and it is a delight, beautifully written, wry, and profound. Pick it up. You won't regret it... Posted at 01:25 PM PASSION RECUT & REWOUND [K. J. Lopez] Mel Gibson's The Passion of the Christ is being re-released today in a slightly less graphic form for those who asked for a slightly less graphic version for mom or grandma, or whomever. We ran a bunch of pieces on the movie and the controversies surrounding it. Here are some of them, if you're interested (in no particular order): Ramesh Ponnuru Kathryn Lopez Thomas Hibbs Michael Novak Steve Beard Kevin Cherry Joel Rosenberg Rabbi Lapin Roy Schoeman Mike Potemra John O’Sullivan A. Larry Ross S. T. Karnick Ralph Winter & Mark Joseph Posted at 12:30 PM BELTWAY BUZZ... [Rich Lowry ] ...is all over the DeLay Korea-US Exchange Council pseudo scandal... Posted at 12:27 PM GOOD POINT RE: THAT NINA EASTON PIECE [K. J. Lopez] An e-mail: No one will give a hoot what Mitt Romney's father did in 1964 or in 1968, when the elder said he had been "brainwashed." Only political junkies care. Posted at 12:07 PM CHINESE SHADOWS [John Derbyshire] Good reminder here from the Daily Telegraph about the nature of the Chinese regime. On Monday I had lunch with Liu Chenghui, a Chinese novelist & newspaper editor. We traded opinions as to how far behind the U.S. China is, politically and socially. Me: 30 yrs. He: a hundred. Posted at 12:04 PM MICHAEL STEELE FOR SENATE [K. J. Lopez] From Drudge: FLASH: Sen. Paul Sarbanes (D), longest-serving Senator in Maryland history, is expected to announce this afternoon that he will not seek a sixth term in 2006, ROLL CALL reporting... Developing...Michael Steele should run. Posted at 11:37 AM A BAD MAN [Jonah Goldberg] Killed some good men. Posted at 11:37 AM BABYCAL [Jonah Goldberg ] For those still playing, I broke 6,000 yesterday, which is cool. Posted at 11:25 AM RE: SPECTER CONTROVERSY [K. J. Lopez] Oh, I totally agree with you, Andy, that most Americans still don't know who Arlen Specter is--I , of course, as you know, blame the GOP (I say in a slapdash way, noting the Bush/RNC reelect team did do a great ground-op job, etc.) for that, too. If judges had been the huge issue during the campaign it should have been, the Specter controversy would have resonated with more people (to some extent--I'm realistic here--really) post-Election Day. Posted at 11:05 AM RE: FAR BE IT FROM ME TO ARGUE [Andy McCarthy] Shannen, respectfully, I think you are proving my point about wishful thinking. First, I don't know how you can say I have blinked reality by purportedly missing the electoral importance of Daschle's obstructionism. I explicitly said that Daschle was beaten because he "was shown to be a vigorous partisan obstructionist." Where we part company on this is that you seem to see the filibusters as burned into the public mind as the symbol of that obstructionism, and I think that is a vast overstatement. As I said, the filibusters were part of a much broader case that Daschle was an obstructionist. I think it is a mistake to deduce from Daschle's defeat a conclusion that Americans are angry over the filibusters such that the Democrats realize they should avoid them. If that were true, it would mean that had Daschle won by a few votes rather than lost, you would be in a position of conceding that Americans approved of the filibusters. I don't think you'd make such a concession, and you'd be quite right to resist it. Moreover, outside of Daschle, what is it that causes you to say the Democrats have paid a price for filibustering? Or that they have much reason to worry about paying a price? I'm afraid I don't see anything but a big net gain for them. My sense is that these calculations about the political consequences misses the main point. The Democrats don't need to be a national party or a legislative majority. We keep acting like this is vital to them -- it's not. If they control the judiciary, and the judiciary imposes its will on the electorate, the Dems get to force their agenda on the country without needing to win seats in Congress. What would you rather have today: 60 seats in the senate or 6 seats on the Supreme Court? I'm betting the Dems would be satisfied for the foreseeable future to have only 44 senate seats if they could have 6 (or even 5 dependable) votes on the Supreme Court and parity or better on the appellate courts. Finally, I think you and Kathryn are over-estimating the degree of controversy attendant to Sen. Specter's assumption of the Judiciary Committee chair. Concededly, the Judiciary Committee is and was a very big deal at NRO, among conservatives, and among lawyers (like you and me) who care passionately about the composition of the courts because we see more up close the day-to-day consequences of judicial legislating. But if we extend out of that regrettably small fishbowl, it just wasn't that big a deal out in the country. Had it been, the GOP had several viable options for blocking Sen. Specter. They did not avail themselves of those options because, while there was some controversy, there was no political groundswell for doing so. Posted at 11:02 AM RE: DOPE SICK LOVE [Jonah Goldberg] This blogger says my post about Dope Sick Love is "rote nonsense" and he sent me the link with the subject header "you're dead wrong." He writes: As for Goldberg and his rote nonsense: I would remind him that even in the political/legal climate as it is now, with all attendant corrosion of American culture beyond the immediate circle of this sort of thing (let's see who can distinguish between the actual dopers and everybody else who has to live with the widespread destruction of liberty that the War on Drugs has wrought), people still choose this way of death, and there is nothing on earth that he or anyone else can do about it when they do. Me:I find this not only to be childish table pounding, but completely off-point. When did I say we could "save" everyone? When did I suggest such was my goal? In fact, which of my points is this guy actually refuting? Or even trying to refute? The fact that these people are drug addicts despite the War on Drugs is a point I would make for my case. That some water makes it over the dam is not an argument against having the dam. That some people choose this "way of death" despite all of the barriers we throw up, does not demonstrate that there would not be many, many more people like this if we took those barriers down. Easier access to cheaper drugs would not create fewer addicts -- at least not in the short run (I am open to the argument that in the long run society might find an equilibrium). There are some people who become slaves to drugs very quickly and the only reason many do not become so enslaved is that it is a relative hassle to get them and use them in the open. Take away the hassle factor -- i.e. lower the price -- and you will increase the consumption. And, as this documentary demonstrates, for some irreducible percentage of the population once they are addicted they cannot be un-addicted. I have had this argument too many times to count now. I don't dispute that some people are simply self-destructive (I've known more than my share). But drugs like crack and heroin -- but not pot, which I favor decriminalizing -- make some people self-destructive who otherwise might not be. The economic model so many legalizers emphasize assumes people are rational actors without accepting that drugs by definition transform you into an irrational actor -- some permanently, others just for an evening. I'm not being "liberal" in pointing out that there are costs and benefits for both policy options. Legalization will have horrible costs in my opinion. Mature advocates of legalization admit this. They simply think the current costs of the drug war are greater and the benefits of ending it would outweigh the downside. All I disagree with is their accounting. Posted at 11:01 AM HISTORY FOR DUMMIES [Tim Graham] Here's a good sign you've been teaching bored high school kids too long. My son's history homework assignment last night was to devise answers to a "Dictator Dating Game." (His dictator was Tojo.) An Internet version of this quiz suggests students provide a "very brief and funny summary of the leader" based on questions like these. 1. What is your ideal date? 2. Where would you go and why? 3. What are your pet peeves? 4. What kind of books do you like? 5. What are your hobbies? 6. What do you do in your spare time? 7. What are your favorite methods for controlling the masses? 8. What is your favorite cartoon character? 9. If you could be any animal, what would it be and why? Instead of merely getting the students to provide two or three paragraphs on Tojo's life, he had to instead try to make up sad jokes about his hobbies (POW torture, perhaps?) Imagine the same jocularity about Hitler and Stalin, which other students were assigned. I tried to do what the teacher should do: convey the utter inhumanity of totalitarianism. I read my son some Tojo-related pages from Paul Johnson's "Modern Times." Let today's pampered, Nintendo-besotted kids (like mine!) understand how lucky they are. Posted at 10:55 AM THE CHURCH REPORT [Rich Lowry ] Jed Babbin has a good gloss on it today in the New York Post , pointing out that it rebuts the notion that Gonzales and Rumsfeld in any sense approved or created the environment for the abuses: The Church report proves those assertions wrong. It says, "We found, without exception, that the DoD and senior military commanders responsible for the formulation of interrogation policy evidenced the intent to treat detainees humanely, which is fundamentally inconsistent with the notion that such officials or commanders ever accepted that detainee abuse would be permissible . . . [and] it is clear that none of the pictured abuses at Abu Ghraib bear any resemblance to approved policies at any level, in any theater." More: As the Church report shows, the terrorists are trained in our interrogation methods and how to resist them. When we use more aggressive techniques — as we did in the case of two "high-value" detainees at Guantanamo who resisted standard interrogation for months — the new techniques "successfully neutralized the two detainees' resistance training and yielded valuable intelligence." Posted at 10:50 AM I'M NO FAN... [Rich Lowry ] ...of Michael Scheuer. But I think his bottom line in this piece about how CIA operatives tend to get scapegoated when the political climate happens shifts against some particular hard-nosed tactic--in this case, renditions--rings true: All Americans owe a debt of gratitude to the men and women of the agency who executed these presidentially requested and approved operations, often at the risk of their lives. Unfortunately, rather than receiving thanks, the C.I.A. officers are again learning the usual lesson: to follow orders, make America safer and prepare to be abandoned and prosecuted when the policy makers refuse to defend their own decisions. Posted at 10:42 AM DEMS AGAINST OBSTRUCTION [Rich Lowry ] The fact that Bush's second-term agenda is so ambitious is obscuring the fact that he has scored major bi-partisan legislative victories with the class-action and bankruptcy bills. Here's the Times on the latest: As the bankruptcy bill emerged, Senator Edward M. Kennedy, Democrat of Massachusetts, sought to rally members of his party around a series of amendments that would offer special protection for those whose bankruptcy was attributed to health care costs or other unexpected expenses. But on that and nearly every other attempted change, solid Republican opposition, bolstered by a handful of Democrats, prevailed. Posted at 10:39 AM FRANK RICH... [Rich Lowry ] ...back to the Op-Ed page. Posted at 10:36 AM CONGRATULATIONS [Jonah Goldberg] To TechCentralStation. They celebrated their 5th anniversary last night here in DC. For five years our friend Nick Schulz has done a stupendous job in making an indispensable site only better and better -- despite the hardship of what I consider to be a truly lame name for a magazine. Perhaps at their tenth anniversary party they'll re-christen it GadgetPortAuthority or GizmoMainTerminal. I say it out of love. Posted at 10:32 AM "UNFILTERED" [Jonah Goldberg ] I'm doing Tucker Carlson's show again tonight. Topics will not include immanentizing the eschaton. They will include Dan Rather, the subject of I today's column. Posted at 10:24 AM ESCHATOLOGICAL DEATH MATCH [Jonah Goldberg] From a reader: Dear Jonah and Andrew, Thanks gentlemen for the Reason vs. Revelation death match. Kidding aside, it is a worthy conversation, although I think that there may be disconnect in it. Me: A very thoughtful email. My only objections, for now, are that A) Schmitt wasn't merely a one-time Nazi. In every meaningful sense once he became a Nazi he never stopped being one. He never expressed any remorse for the Holocaust even long, long after the details were known. The "crown jurist" of the Nazi Reich may have gotten into some intra-party squabbles and the like, but in his heart he remained a Nazi in the ways that count. And B) I'm not positive the reader is exactly right about Schmitt's definition of the political. My understanding is that Schmitt believed every thing was political even those things which we call apolitical -- since to declare something beyond politics is itself a political act. Interestingly, Mark Lilla argues that Schmitt was fundamentally a theological thinker (which may play into my argument with Andrew more than the reader allows). But this may all be a trivial point and I am no expert on Schmitt (though I've been reading more by and about him lately). Posted at 10:17 AM THERE THEY GO AGAIN [Mark Krikorian] The Journal runs another ad today for illegal immigration, this time in the form of a front-page story featuring farmers claiming that U.S. agriculture “could not exist without a foreign work force.” Illegal immigration is simply another form of corporate welfare for agribusiness, and like all those feeding at the trough of government goodies, these lobbyists are not above trotting out the same lies decade after decade. A case in point: "the use of Braceros [Mexican farmworkers] is absolutely essential to the survival of the tomato industry." This wasn’t from today’s Journal story; it’s from testimony before the California Senate in 1961. Congress ended the guestworker program that existed at the time anyway, and since illegal immigration didn’t pick up the slack right away, the tomato farmers accelerated the mechanization of the harvest, leading to a quadrupling of the production of tomatoes for processing between 1960 to 1990 and a fall in the real price of tomato products. Posted at 10:10 AM "DOPE SICK LOVE" [Jonah Goldberg] It's a must-see new documentary on HBO. It is a brutal-but-riveting depiction of the worst ravages of drug addiction. It is not suitable for little kids.I would encourage advocates of legalization to watch it, not so much to change their minds (though some might) but because it's an important reminder that at least at first, legalization would create more cases like the ones depicted in this film, not fewer. I am perfectly comfortable admitting that the drug war has huge downsides, many of which I would like to ameliorate. It would be nice if more proponents of legalization at least acknowledge that there would be massive downsides to ending it at well. I'm not trying to create a strawman, I know there are realists around here. But they don't read my email. Posted at 10:07 AM MASS MURDERS, SECULAR AND OTHERWISE [Jonah Goldberg] Andrew - I think you make a truly excellent and fair point about technology being a -- or perhaps the -- key restraint on some previous genocidal campaigns. Lord knows how much worse off, say, the Huguenots might have been if the Gatling gun had been around. But while I'm no student of pre-modern genocide, it seems to me that a lack of technology hasn't stopped some mass murderers from getting away with, uh, murder. Rwanda had no Auschwitz. And I guess we agree on much else as well. I think you're probably right to look at what unites genocidal movements rather than the ideas they profess to hold. I guess what interests me for the purposes of this discussion is that so many of the forces of "reason," truth, light and progress which were allegedly unleashed by the Enlightenment in general and the French Revolution in particular were in fact used as ruses for horrors as bad as any which came before -- and in some cases worse -- and were all the more horrific because they were commited by the most "enlightened" elements of society. This, in the modern era, is the crucial distinction I was trying to highlight. It is one thing to believe in an actual religion which puts God and the hereafter permanently in the hereafter. It is another to use the passions of religion in an attempt to bring heaven to Earth. I agree that fanatics of authentic religions have attempted to do just that with bloody results. But the deadliest cults in the modern era have tended to hide behind the language of reason, or The People, or "social justice" or "the Proletariat." And even some religious movements are really religious in name only. Much of al Qaeda's schtick is really just warmed-over anti-colonialism and nationalism with a thick Islamic varnish to make it more attractive to the rubes who blow themselves up in order to get their 72 first dates. Posted at 10:00 AM SAINT BRENDAN VS. SAINT PATRICK [K. J. Lopez] John Miller gives you something to argue about at the pub on Paddy's Day (Thursday). Posted at 09:51 AM RE: ROMNEY AND THE COW PALACE [K. J. Lopez] An NRO friend and Romney fan points out: "[T]he story doesn't say young Romney, himself, walked out--heck, what a tribute that he stayed to hear those famous lines, written by Harry Jaffa, intellectual founder of the Claremont Institute......and if he did walk out, well, we all did irresponsible things in our younger and more vulnerable years. " Posted at 09:30 AM "FOR THE FIRST FOUR MONTHS OF HER LIFE, SHE WAS SO SMALL SHE SLEPT IN A FRUIT BASKET.” [K. J. Lopez ] You read a story like this one, about a baby who was misdiagnosed and left to die, and you’re instinct is to think recklessness or terrible mistake--or that in some other way, we just don't know the actual story. But in a day when we are told (by supporters of infant euthanasia) there are “at least five newborn mercy killings occur for every one reported” in Holland…and who knows how many elsewhere, how safe is that instinct? Posted at 09:20 AM DUTCH TREAT [Andrew Stuttaford] After the apathetic ‘si’ that Spain gave to the proposed EU constitution, attention is now turning to the referendum in France, now pushed to an earlier date by a Jacques Chirac concerned that support for this revolting document among the French is fading away. But could the Netherlands be about to spring a surprise? The London Times has this to say: “The Government has announced that a referendum on the constitution will take place on June 1. It will be the first time that Dutch citizens are asked what they think of the EU. While international attention has been focused on the French referendum, just three days earlier on May 29, the Dutch are far more likely to slam on the brakes of the constitutional juggernaut. Polls in France still show a majority in favour of the constitution, but the Government in The Hague has been shocked to find that a majority of its citizens are opposed, and by no small margin. A recent poll was telling. It showed that 42 per cent of Dutch would choose to vote “no”, against 28 per cent who plan to vote “yes”. The Netherlands is the only founding member of the EU in which opinion polls suggest that the constitution will be rejected.” What makes the Dutch poll so remarkable is that, with the exception of the maverick Geert Wilders, an MP forced by death threats from Islamic groups to spend his nights in a prison, almost the entire Dutch political establishment is busy supporting that national suicide note that Brussels likes to call a constitution. Posted at 09:15 AM GODS AND MONSTERS [Andrew Stuttaford] I’m swimming in very deep waters here, Jonah, but I’m not sure that it’s possible to draw that bright line between the murderous ‘secular’ philosophies of the twentieth century and what went before. Looking, for example, at the fury and bloodshed of some of Europe’s nastier religious wars, isn't it possible to think that the reason that the protagonists did not indulge in twentieth century style slaughter was that they did not have the technology? Better I think, to look beneath the very different beliefs professed by the mass murderers, and see what unites them. Some will be cynics merely using an ideology for their purposes, while others, more dangerous, are the true believers – in the ‘People’ perhaps, or a god – who feel that so long as they are acting in the interests (as they interpret it) of their faith any atrocity can be justified, however appalling. Yes, belief in a god can often act as a welcome restraint on the worst of human nature because of the threat (or the promise) it brings with it - that every individual will one day have to account for his actions to a higher authority - but it’s no guarantee. Posted at 09:15 AM FAR BE IT FROM ME TO ARGUE WITH ONE OF AMERICA'S BEST PROSECUTORS [Shannen W. Coffin ] Andy, a couple of points. You and I generally agree that this has not been a high profile national issue -- or at least not high enough -- but Daschle's obstructionism played a key role in the Thune race, especially with the bloggers that Thune now credits for helping him win. In a race that close and the target of that much national attention, it blinks reality to suggest that obstructionism was not a factor in that race. And given that Daschle lost by only a few hundred votes, there is no question that it can be interpreted as such. My claim was simply that the Democrats lost their Senate leader on this issue. That is a price suffered by the entirety of the Democratic party, even if other individual races were not as clearly affected. Second, I think the filibuster issue played a major part in the groundswell of opposition to Specter's chairmanship. "Had the national election actually raised the profile of the filibusters issue in any meaningful way, Sen. Specter's assumption of the Judiciary Committee chair would have been much more controversial than it actually was." If by that you mean, opposing forces would have won the battle, then perhaps you have a point. But there's little doubt that his Chairmanship brought with it major controversy. Posted at 09:05 AM FILIBUSTERS, DASHCLE, SPECTER & THINGS [K. J. Lopez ] Hey, Andy, I agree re: your Daschle point (judges played a role, but there was more there there), and I’m not sure Shannen or Ramesh would disagree too much (if at all), and I complained during the summer that the GOP wasn’t doing what they should have been doing with the judge issue—the war and the courts were the two issues, it seemed to me. But, one quibble: The Specter nomination was controversial, and a heck of a lot of people got the problem. I blame the club in the Senate and weak-kneed Republicans for the fact he’s chairman—they could have fixed that (relatively) easily right after the election, but they didn’t…and here we are, back with the prospect of filibusters, with a Judiciary chairman whose got staff that’s not even on our team, and the likes of Bill Pryor wondering if he’s going to be in Alabama or Atlanta next year, because the fate of the president’s nominees rests with the likes of Pat Leahy and Charlie Schumer, not those who actually won the election. Posted at 09:05 AM MORE ABOUT HEZBOLLAH [K. J. Lopez] here--my interview with Barbara Newman, co-author of a new, alarming book on the dangers of Hezbollah. And read Ledeen. And read Hanson. Posted at 08:33 AM NOT THE STORY A ROMNEY '08 CAMPAIGN WILL WANT TO BRING UP WHEN SPEAKING AT THE REAGAN RANCH [K. J. Lopez] WASHINGTON -- At the 1964 Republican Convention, 16-year-old Mitt Romney was sitting in the balcony of San Francisco's Cow Palace when, as he recalls it now, he saw his father stand up and walk out to protest nominee Barry Goldwater's explosive statement that ''extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice."(Later in the Globe article, Mike Murphy points out, "He's much more conservative than his dad.") Posted at 08:27 AM CREDIT WHERE DUE [Jonah Goldberg] The new Star Wars trailer is, well, really, really good. Download here. Posted at 08:22 AM GLOBE & ROMNEY ’08 WATCH [K. J. Lopez] The Boston Globe today is all about 2006, a little about 2008. The main hook is a poll finds Massachusetts doesn’t want Romney to run for president, but they didn’t want Kerry too, either, as it turns out. Posted at 08:17 AM HEZBOLLAH'S PREDICAMENT [Jonah Goldberg ] I just got around to reading this post at the Belmont Club. Very interesting. Posted at 08:16 AM FINAL STAR WARS TOO SCARY... [Jonah Goldberg] for little kids, according to George Lucas. Of course, he also says he's "very please with the whole" series. So take his judgement as you will. Posted at 08:04 AM CHARLES KRAUTHAMMER TODAY [K. J. Lopez] articulates, essentially, the Mitt Romney position on stem cells and cloning, and emphasizes that a prohibitive move needs to be made now: It is time to act on precisely that intuition and pass a law that draws that line: no creation for the purpose of destruction. We need to do it consensually. And we need to do it now. Tomorrow is too late. By tomorrow we will have an embryo manufacturing industry, and we will already be numb to it. Posted at 07:59 AM CRUNCH TIME FOR BUSH & "ASSADDAM" [Jonah Goldberg] According to Claudia Rosett: BEIRUT - With the reinstatement yesterday of the same pro-Syrian prime minister who resigned 11 days ago, Omar Karami, Lebanon's democratic spring is turning into a high-stakes showdown not only for the Lebanese, but for President Bush's policy of busting up the autocratic rackets of the Middle East. Posted at 07:58 AM GOT CARRIED AWAY THERE [K. J. Lopez ] Did I mention that the FBI director said of our dear Andy McCarthy (and Cliff May owns him too, he’s a fellow at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies) “He's one of the best prosecutors you can find in the United States. He is one of the best prosecutors you'll ever find in handling a terrorist case.” Posted at 07:58 AM OH COME ON, WEAR YOUR READERSHIP WITH PRIDE: SAY IT WITH ME: NATIONAL REVIEW ONLINE [K. J. Lopez ] HEARING OF THE SCIENCE, JUSTICE, STATE, COMMERCE SUBCOMMITTEE OF THE HOUSE APPROPRIATIONS COMMITTEE Posted at 07:56 AM RE: RE: FILIBUSTER DEBATE [Andy McCarthy] With due respect to Shannen and Ramesh, I don't believe there is convincing evidence for one of the key propositions they seem to agree about: viz., that the Democrats have already paid a political price for their prior filibustering. This claim is most often made in connection with the defeat of Sen. Daschle. But the suggestion that his very narrow defeat in a state that is not a bell-weather was somehow akin to a national disapproval of the filibusters is wishful thinking at best. Daschle was beaten because of an overall sense that he was a phony on many issues -- a senator who pretended to be a moderate bridge-builder when speaking with the home folks but who was shown to be a vigorous partisan obstructionist in Washington. The filibusters were part of that, but they weren't close to being all of it. Had Daschle won, which he came very close to doing, could it really credibly have been said that this signalled that the filibusters were a a winning Democratic strategy? We would have scoffed at such a contention, and I don't think the counterclaim is any more persuasive just because he lost. My general impression before and after the election, fwiw, was that the administration had done a poor job making the judicial nominations a consequential political issue. I agree that the filibusters are a matter that could and should resonate with the American people, but I don't see evidence that the issue has been exploited. I don't know what Democrats other than Daschle we are talking about when we say they have "paid a price." Had the national election actually raised the profile of the filibusters issue in any meaningful way, Sen. Specter's assumption of the Judiciary Committee chair would have been much more controversial than it actually was. (That's not a comment on Sen. Specter's stand on filibusters; just an observation that more people would have cared about who was put in charge of the Judiciary Cmte.) The argument after the election was about whether voters had primarily been swayed by national security concerns or social issues like gay marriage. The judiciary, which should be an issue of similarly weighty dimension, simply was not one. This is why the Democrats feel safe continuing to block nominees. Look at the contrast: They did not filibuster AG Ashcroft or AG Gonzales, even though they objected to both, because national security has been successfully made into a consequential national issue, and thus they did not believe they could afford politically to be responsible for leaving those posts vacant. There is no such urgency about the judiciary. Filibustering is a safe strategy. The upsides to the Democrats of filibustering are abundantly clear: (a) their core constituency groups, including Hollywood, the trial lawyers and the pro-abortion lobby, fork up lots of money; (b) since they have not been successful convincing voters to support their policies in the normal democratic process, the power to hold sway over the composition of the federal courts means they get important parts of their agenda imposed by judicial fiat; and (c) if they can hold out long enough, the inevitable backlog (due to what is a months-long vetting process for each of hundreds of nominees) will inevitably result in more open seats to be filled by a Democrat if one wins the White House back in 2008. To the contrary, the downsides are not clear at all -- neither that the Dems have suffered in the past, nor that they will suffer meaningfully going forward. They know the mainstream media will be with them, and there is every chance -- with 2006 elections looming and with several "moderate" Republican senators already wobbly on the wisdom of dispensing with the filibuster rule -- that the Dems will conclude, perhaps rightly, that the GOP will not have the unity needed to exploit the filibusters for political gain. I wish I could be more optimistic, but the only realistic way this becomes a high-profile political issue is if the senate Republicans pull the trigger on the "nuclear"/"constitutional" option. Posted at 07:55 AM SINGER V. POSNER [Jonah Goldberg] Old dialogue from Slate between Peter Singer and Richard Posner. My favorite passage from Posner: Now you may reply that these are just facts about human nature; that they have no normative significance. But they do. Suppose a dog menaced a human infant and the only way to prevent the dog from biting the infant was to inflict severe pain on the dog—more pain, in fact, than the bite would inflict on the infant. You would have to say, let the dog bite (for "if an animal feels pain, the pain matters as much as it does when a human feels pain," provided the pain is as great). But any normal person (and not merely the infant's parents!), including a philosopher when he is not self-consciously engaged in philosophizing, would say that it would be monstrous to spare the dog, even though to do so would minimize the sum of pain in the world. I do not feel obliged to defend this reaction; it is a moral intuition deeper than any reason that could be given for it and impervious to any reason that you or anyone could give against it. Membership in the human species is not a "morally irrelevant fact," as the race and sex of human beings has come to seem. If the moral irrelevance of humanity is what philosophy teaches, and so we have to choose between philosophy and the intuition that says that membership in the human species is morally relevant, then it is philosophy that will have to go. Posted at 07:54 AM “PEACEFUL DEMONSTRATION IN SYRIA IS MET WITH BEATINGS” [K.J. Lopez ] According to the Reform Party of Syria: Washington DC, March 10, 2005/RPS/ -- The Arab Human Rights Committee in Syria, led by Dr. Ammar Qurabi, called for Syrians to peacefully march to the Ministry of Justice today to object the lack of freedom and expression and to free prisoners of conscience in Syria. Posted at 06:11 AM ASSAD TIGHTENS HIS GRIP [K.J. Lopez] on Lebanon. Posted at 06:02 AM MILLION-DOLLAR CATCH? [K. J. Lopez] The fella offering $1 million to Michael Schiavo was a backer of the Prop 71 embryonic-stem-cell/cloning inititiative that passed in California this November. (Hat tip.) Posted at 05:38 AM Thursday, March 10, 2005 MICHAEL SCHIAVO IS OFFERED $1 MILLION [K. J. Lopez] to not starve his wife to death. Downside: More TV time for Gloria Allred. Upside (besides the whole life thing): Allred puts her fellow feminists to shame for not speaking up for Terri Schiavo. Bottom line: Publicity stunt, I assume. Posted at 06:35 PM RE: HEZBOLLAH, LEBANON, SYRIA [Cliff May] “One revolution is like one cocktail,” Will Rogers observed. “It just gets you organized for the next.” My Scripps Howard column is here. Posted at 06:19 PM ANOTHER PROFESSIONAL OPINION [K. J. Lopez] An e-mail: As a pediatrician and medical geneticist I've had to deal with the issue of newborns with fatal malformation or syndromes on a few occasions, and this whole euthanasia thing in the Netherlands really makes my skin crawl. About 1 in every 7 or 8,000 newborns has trisomy 13 or 18, for example (think Down syndrome, only a lot worse). These conditions are almost always lethal in the first few months of life and are characterized by a variety of birth defects, everything from cleft lip and palate to complex congenital heart disease, to structural brain malformations and severe retardation. Very few live more than a few years. These are terrible conditions, but they're not painful, except, of course to the family. Counseling in these situations usually involves spelling out the facts (obviously in much more detail) and, in my experience, most families accept the situation, understand their baby is going to have a short life, and enjoy the time with their baby as much as possible. I've never heard anyone suggest euthanasia. However, medical intervention is often tailored to the situation, for example, in an otherwise healthy newborn with complex congenital heart disease, corrective surgery would be arranged. However, if the infant has trisomy 13, it's difficult to justify the expense, resources and pain required to fix the heart, if the ultimate outcome won't be altered. So if no amount of medical intervention is going to lengthen their life, why put them thru it? It's always seemed to me that the humane thing to do in these hopeless cases is to just let nature take its course, and I don't mean exposure on a hillside, but rather provide food, comfort, love and attention, and understand that medical technology can only do so much. I don't see how any active measures to "speed things along" could ever be justified on the basis of sparing the infant unnecessary suffering, because I really don't think they are suffering. While I'm sure there is a financial incentive driving this, as every day in the NICU costs thousands of dollars, I think it's clear that one reason infants are being euthanized in the Netherlands to spare their parents (and the "caregivers") needless suffering. Once we start justifying infanticide to make ourselves feel better, what's next? Posted at 05:27 PM MORE AGREEMENT [Ramesh Ponnuru] You're quite right, Shannen, to say that losing a Supreme Court seat to pick up a few Senate seats would be a very bad deal. I'm certainly not proposing that. Posted at 04:57 PM CORRECTIONS & CLARIFICATIONS ON CONTRADICTIONS [Jonah Goldberg] My post about contradictions has elicited some interesting email. Perhaps I'll columnize on it later. But there was one thing I wrote in haste that an old friend of mine who's a real-live working historian called me on. He's right. The New Deal didn't break the consensus about a pluralistic society. It was simply the apotheosis of a trend which started with the Progressives. The salient bit from his email:
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