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he
motion-picture industry is almost 100 years old. And in all that
time, in almost a century, there has never been a film season as
unrelievedly, unimaginably, irredeemably awful as Hollywood's Summer
2001.
And Hollywood
is crowing, because this most awful of summers has been the most
profitable quarter in history. Or so they tell us. Actually, profit
margins in the film business aren't all that great. What's more,
ticket prices are increasing far more quickly than inflation, which
means that fewer and fewer people are going to the movies.
This is a far
more significant fact than this summer's box-office numbers. Hollywood
is slowly but surely killing off its own audience. The average moviegoer
takes in a film at the multiplex only three times per year
and an outright majority of Americans never even enters a movie
theater.
Contrast this
fact with 1946, when an estimated 90 million people went to the
movies every week. In 2001, the number is closer to 20 million.
Granted, there was no television in 1946, so the only competition
in the field of entertainment was radio. But there were also 100
million fewer people living in the United States in 1946. No matter
how you figure it, Hollywood is presiding over its own decline.
As a result,
a movie can make $200 million at the box office and yet make hardly
a dent in the national consciousness. That's an amazing change when
you consider that Casablanca made about $8 million at the
box office in 1942 which is the equivalent of only $70 million
today and yet it turned Bogart and Bergman into legends almost
immediately. Everybody in America was saying, "Play it again,
Sam," and those words don't even appear in Casablanca.
Now consider:
Have you participated in, or even overheard, a conversation about
Rush Hour 2, the season's most successful film? The movie's
star is a man named Chris Tucker. He also starred in the original
Rush Hour. Tucker was paid $20 million to appear in Rush
Hour 2. Ever heard of him?
That's the
most startling thing about the degeneration of Hollywood: Even its
stars aren't as bright as they used to be. Ah, I can hear some ideologically
unfriendly visitors to NRO shout out: You people haven't heard of
Chris Tucker because he's black! Well, consider this: When Eddie
Murphy made his second film, Beverly Hills Cop, back in 1985,
he became the biggest star in the world. Immediately.
Mark Wahlberg
stars in Planet of the Apes, the season's second most successful
film. Wahlberg is a terrific actor. He was brilliant in Boogie
Nights a few years ago. A few years before that, he appeared
semi-nude in Calvin Klein ads. If he walked down the street, would
you recognize him? What about the four boys who star in American
Pie 2? Jason Biggs? Seann William Scott? Chris Klein? I can't
even remember the name of the fourth guy, and I'm paid to do this.
Who are Hollywood's
major stars? Julia Roberts who made her first megahit 10
years ago. Tom Cruise who hit it big 18 years ago. Harrison
Ford? Twenty-five years ago. Tom Hanks? Seventeen years ago. Mel
Gibson? Fourteen years ago. Even Jim Carrey, the newest member of
Hollywood's royal family, was minted in 1994. The only performer
in recent years who might make it into this pantheon is Russell
Crowe, but his staying power is yet to be demonstrated.
The lack of
starpower and cultural reach cannot be blamed on the growth of cable
TV or the Internet or what have you. It's all happening because
movies stink worse than they ever have. I'll explain why next week.
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