A new Public Policy Polling poll gives Sen. Barbara Boxer a 9-point lead over Republican Carly Fiorina — but uses a sample demographic very different from the 2006 midterm election voters demographic in California.
Looking at CNN’s exit polling data for the 2006 midterms in the state, 41 percent of voters were Democrat, 35 percent were Republican, and 25 percent were independent. Fifty-one percent were women, and 49 percent were men.
The PPP sample has upped the Democrats by six percentage points to 47 percent of likely voters, decreased Republicans by one point to 34 percent, and decreased the number of independent voters by six percentage points, to 19 percent. The number of women increased to 53 percent (from 51 percent) and the number of men decreased to 47 percent (from 49 percent).
Boxer has been doing significantly better among women and Democrats than Fiorina has, so changing these numbers could easily impact the poll results.