Political junkies love parsing polling numbers–and now that early vote returns are streaming in–digging deeper into the numbers to discern any meaningful pattern. From yesterday’s updated voter returns, a look at partisan voter turnout:
The GOP lead among “active” voters sits at 2.5 percent, and among registered voters is at 3.6 percent.
Democrats: 239950 (35.6%) vs. 10/25/10 159882 (36.0%)
Republicans: 280283 (41.5%) vs. 10/25/10 184982 (41.7%)
UAF: 150532 (22.3%) vs. 10/25/10 95926 (21.6%)
Total: 674864 (up from 443611)
All voter registration/status as of 10/01/10:
Dem “active”–-29.99% (239950/799981)
Dem registered–-22.36% (239950/1073165)
Repub “active”-–32.49% (280283/862575)
Repub registered–-25.97% (280283/1079411)
UAF “active”–-19.86% (150532/757935)
UAF registered–-13.62% (150532/1105522)
Using the county-by-county returns, here is a look at absolute vote leads in partisan terms–red indicates a Republican lead, while blue represents a Democratic lead:
Here is the same map with a “heat” intensity applied. Solid red or blue indicates a partisan advantage greater than 25 percent, middle hues indicate a lead of 10 to 25 percent, and the lightest pink or blue indicates a vote lead of less than 10 percent:
All calculations from the October 27 release from the Colorado Secretary of State: