Yesterday, Battle ‘10 reported that absentee ballot requests in the Keystone State were favoring Republicans by an eight point margin. Impressive in a state with more than one million more registered Democrats than Republicans.
Now, new reports are coming out confirming our reporting:
Pennsylvania voters have requested nearly 127,000 absentee ballots so far. Of that total, Republican voters made up 50 percent and Democrats made up 42 percent, according to figures collected Tuesday afternoon.
The state records show Republicans are returning their absentee ballots in greater numbers as well. The state has received about 40 percent of requested ballots, and Republican registrations outpace Democrats by 19 points, 56 percent to 37 percent, according to the state data. Absentee ballots made up 5 percent of total turnout in 2008.
There are few states that offer more competitive Congressional contests than Pennsylvania, a swing state where Democrats enjoy a 14-point voter registration advantage.
A 14 point Democrat voter registration advantage. Another reminder of how steep a hill Pat Toomey must climb. In this context, a statistical dead heat senate race is not surprising.