Today’s Rasmussen Poll doesn’t look good for Joe DioGuardi in New York. It shows Kirsten Gillibrand leading him 54 to 33. DioGuardi once had, it seemed, a real shot — Gillibrand’s low poll numbers and his initial surge in momentum after the Republican primary seemed to put him within reach of becoming the first ever to unseat an incumbent Democratic Senator in New York. So what explains his poor luck since? Some are fretting that Paladino’s gaffes are dragging the rest of the New York ticket down.