Politics & Policy

Kos/PPP Results: WI-8

The Daily Kos/PPP released a new poll of Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district that shows Republican candidates strongly positioned heading into Election Day.

House:

Republican Reid Ribble leads Rep. Steve Kagen (D) by three points — 40 to 37 percent — among likely voters, with 23 percent undecided. Ribble is winning independents 41 to 31 percent.

Favorable/Unfavorable:

Kagen — 28/30

Ribble — 27/27

A lot of “undecideds” and “not sures” in this race, as you can see. That can only end up helping Ribble, especially with Ron Johnson at the top of the ticket (see below).

Senate:

Ron Johnson leads Sen. Russ Feingold by seven points — 52 to 45 percent — among likely voters, with just three percent undecided. A closer look at the data reveals that Johnson is winning across the board. Among those who said they would vote for Johnson:

– 56 percent of independents

– 16 percent of Obama voters

– 13 percent of “liberals”

Johnson is winning every age demographic. Among voters 30 to 45, he’s up 16 points — 57 to 41 percent. And despite Feingold’s best efforts to rally his college-age base, Johnson leads by 6 among voters 18 to 29.

Favorable/Unfavorable:

Feingold — 47/48

Johnson — 50/41

Most striking is the how few voters report being “undecided” in this race. Most other polls reflect this as well. Voters have made up their minds, and that’s bad news for Feingold.

Andrew StilesAndrew Stiles is a political reporter for National Review Online. He previously worked at the Washington Free Beacon, and was an intern at The Hill newspaper. Stiles is a 2009 ...
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