Politics & Policy

Magellan Shock Poll: Hickenlooper, Tancredo in Statistical Dead Heat 44-43

In a meet and greet in Arvada, Colorado last night, American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo alluded to an independent poll giving Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper a razor-thin lead, 44 to 43, in the gubernatorial race.

Today Magellan Strategies, a Colorado-based polling firm, released the results:

Magellan Data and Mapping Strategies today released the results of an automated survey of 1,067 likely voters in the state of Colorado looking at the race for Governor.  The findings show Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper and former Congressman Tom Tancredo in a statistical tie.  Among likely voters, Democrat John Hickenlooper has 44%, American Constitution Party candidate Tom Tancredo has 43%, and embattled Republican candidate Dan Maes has 9% support.  The generic “other candidate” has 2%, and only 2% responded as undecided. 

Since our Colorado Governor survey on August 25th, support for Dan Maes has plummeted from 27% to 9%, a total of 18 points.  It is clear the vast majority of former Dan Maes supporters are moving into the Tom Tancredo column.  Since our August survey, support for Tom Tancredo has increased from 17% to 43%, a total of 27 points.  John Hickenlooper has not been able to reach the crucial 50% threshold, and has in fact dropped 2 points since our August survey, from 46% to 44%.

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