Republican senate candidate Joe Miller is now the frontrunner in the Alaska senate race, according to a new poll released by Public Policy Polling today.
The poll shows Miller backed by 37 percent of likely voters, while write-in candidate Sen. Lisa Murkowski and Democrat Scott McAdams are both backed by 30 percent.
Independent and third-party voters are about evenly split between the three candidates, with 34 percent supporting Murkowski, 32 percent McAdams, and 31 percent Miller. Both McAdams and Miller are retaining about two-thirds of their party’s voters, while Murkowksi is drawing 28 percent of Democrats and 27 percent of Republicans.
McAdams has the highest favorability ratings at 50 percent, easily beating Murkowski’s 37 percent and Miller’s 36 percent. And while only 30 percent of voters have an unfavorable view of McAdams, 59 percent and 53 percent respectively of voters view Miller and Murkowski unfavorably.
Those favorability numbers also reveal an interesting phenomen: Murkowski may be stealing more votes from McAdams than Miller.
“The high number of voters who like McAdams, dislike Miller, and are voting for Murkowski place the race in a whole different light than has been thought of the last few months,” said PPP’s Tom Jensen in a statement. “Murkowski’s campaign, rather than propping herself up at the expense of Miller, may actually end up propping Miller up at the expense of McAdams.”
The poll was conducted between October 30 – 31 and surveyed 1,539 likely voters. The margin of error was plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.