From my piece today:
Drew Ivers, Iowa chairman of the Paul campaign, is cautiously optimistic. “All things are possible,” he says of a first-place finish at Ames. But he is also realistic, pointing out that while Paul has had significant poll movement (an American Research Group July poll showed Paul at 14 percent, up from the 3 percent he had in April), Bachmann has had even more movement (in the same poll, Bachmann went from 9 percent in April to 21 percent in July).
“The goal that we have as a campaign is to do well. It doesn’t have to be first place,” Ivers says. For him, another crucial factor is how many votes separate the candidates: He is hoping there won’t be a “big gap” between Paul and candidates who place higher.
Campaign spokesman Gary Howard told me the campaign hopes to place in the top four. But Paul is getting traction, and it wouldn’t be shocking if he placed in the top three — or, yes, won. Read the full article here.