Politics & Policy

Policy Earthquakes Are Shifting the Ground beneath Our Feet

House Select Committee on Intelligence members Rep. Adam Schiff (left) and Rep. Devin Nunes speak with reporters in March 2017. (Reuters photo: Aaron P. Bernstein)
The Left now venerates the FBI; the Right touts protectionism.

One of the more annoying things about politics is that you can swing from left to right, or vice versa, without ever changing positions.

For instance, in 2002, I came out in favor of same-sex domestic partnerships, or “civil unions.” This was widely seen as a compromise between advocates of gay marriage and opponents. It would offer all the rights and benefits of marriage while still reserving the institution of marriage itself for heterosexual couples.

It’s probably hard for young people to appreciate today, but back then, that was a very left-wing thing for someone to do. And for a conservative like yours truly, it was a kind of apostasy. Various social conservatives attacked me. But within a few years, the zeitgeist moved dramatically on the issue. Denying gays the last benefit of marriage — the word itself — was bigotry and “right-wing extremism.”

In other words, I didn’t move, the ground underneath me did.

This is an old story in politics. Ronald Reagan used to say he never left the Democratic party; the Democratic party left him.

Sometimes the parties don’t change sides. Rather, one party moves much further in one direction, moving the center of gravity between the two parties with it.

Reagan did this on economics. Prior to Reagan, both parties were essentially liberal on the role of government in the economy. Richard Nixon bragged that his administration was the first to spend as much on domestic programs as on defense. He created the EPA, imposed wage and price controls, and was a modest protectionist on trade. The Democrats were to his left, for the most part, though not far to his left.

But Reagan moved the GOP to the libertarian “right,” championing less regulation, lower taxes, and freer markets. His success caused the Democrats to eventually (and, alas, briefly) move in his direction under Bill Clinton.

If you’re invested in a particular position, it can be disorienting to live through one of these moments. Tectonic plates are always moving, and when they move suddenly, not only does the ground under your feet move, lots of things come crashing down.

You might have noticed we’re living in one of these moments.

For decades, conservatives extolled the FBI and intelligence agencies as some of the only branches of government worthy of veneration, while liberals saw them as the only parts of big government deserving of distrust and skepticism. But partisanship is a hell of a drug, and now the loudest conservatives are denouncing the incompetence, corruption, and abuses of the “Deep State,” while the loudest liberals are shocked — shocked! — that anyone would question the integrity of these patriotic guardians of our liberty and safety.

My National Review colleague Kevin Williamson recently wrote an interesting essay on how liberals might become the new champions of free trade thanks to Donald Trump’s steering of the GOP toward protectionism. Liberals — particularly when the label still had some of its original spirit to it — were once the champions of free trade. Republicans were less interested in the free market and more interested in helping big businesses that didn’t want competition from abroad. I remain skeptical about this shift — and so is Williamson — but one could imagine scenarios where it could happen.

Famous liberals such as Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Paul Krugman, and Bernie Sanders have said things in the recent past about illegal immigration that would mark them as ‘right-wing’ today.

Immigration — to my mind the single biggest driver of the populist tumult overtaking our politics — is marked by a slightly different dynamic. Just as the Reagan-era GOP moved the political center to the right, the Obama-era Democrats moved — lurched, really — to the left on immigration. Famous liberals such as Bill Clinton, Barack Obama, Paul Krugman, and Bernie Sanders have said things in the recent past about illegal immigration that would mark them as “right-wing” today.

This might not be obvious for two reasons.

First, because of the mainstream media’s alignment with the Democrats, it has a hard time noticing when Democrats are the “extremists” in any debate. Extremism is a Republican thing.

Second, Trump’s rhetoric on immigration has indeed been extreme. From his so-called Muslim ban, to describing some Mexican immigrants as “rapists,” to his alleged comment about “s**thole countries,” he says things (and may want things) that are objectively extreme. But Trump’s actual policy proposal isn’t nearly as extreme as what comes out of his mouth. In the State of the Union address, he offered a sweeping amnesty for millions of illegal immigrants in exchange for, among other things, a border wall that Democrats at least rhetorically supported a few years ago.

I have no idea how it will all shake out, because you can’t survey the damage from an earthquake until the shaking stops.

READ MORE:

Hapless in Democratland

Liberals Love Nationalist Ideas — Just Not the Label

Trump’s Unifying Nationalism

Jonah Goldberg — Jonah Goldberg holds the Asness Chair in Applied Liberty at the American Enterprise Institute and is a senior editor of National Review. His new book, The Suicide of The West, is on sale now.

Most Popular

Politics & Policy

The Origins of Progressive Agony

What has transformed the Democratic party into an anguished progressive movement that incorporates the tactics of the street, embraces maenadism, reverts to Sixties carnival barking, and is radicalized by a new young socialist movement? Even party chairman Tom Perez concedes that there are “no moderate ... Read More
Elections

How Will the Senate Races Break?

How will the Senate races break? We have less public polling to go on than in recent years, so answering that question is harder than ever. But the news is more optimistic for Republicans than it was a month ago.   Waves and Breakers Four years ago, I projected in mid September that if “historical ... Read More
PC Culture

Warren Is a Fraud

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.) has been telling a story for years. It’s a deeply romantic story about her parents and their young love, fraught with the familial bigotry of an earlier time. Here’s how she told it this week in a video she released in preparation for her 2020 run: My daddy always said he ... Read More
U.S.

Two Minnesota Republican Candidates Assaulted

Two Republican candidates for state office in Minnesota have been physically assaulted in recent days, leading prominent Republican lawmakers to caution their Democratic colleagues against employing inflammatory rhetoric. Republican state representative Sarah Anderson was punched in the arm last week after ... Read More
Law & the Courts

A Christian Man Receives Justice

A good man’s legal ordeal is at an end. Yesterday, my friends and former colleagues at the Alliance Defending Freedom announced that former Atlanta fire chief Kelvin Cochran had reached a $1.2 million settlement, ending a case he brought after the city fired him for writing -- and distributing to a select few ... Read More