The 2020 Election Conundrum

President Trump speaks during a campaign rally in Grand Rapids, Mich., March 28, 2019. (Joshua Roberts/Reuters)
Trump is unpopular, but the incumbent party is favored when the economy is strong.

NRPLUS MEMBER ARTICLE W ith the Mueller Report submitted to the Department of Justice, the cloud hanging over the Donald Trump administration has begun to lift. Whether or not there is any political fallout for the president remains to be seen, but at the very least the special prosecutor’s investigation is not going to result in Trump’s impeachment and removal from office. The decision on whether he stays or goes will be up to voters in November 2020.

It is far too early to know how the next presidential election will play out, but we can at least make some introductory points to give us

Jay Cost is a visiting fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and the Center for Faith and Freedom at Grove City College.