A Squeaker in 2020? Not Likely

(Jonathan Ernst/Reuters)
If history is any guide, the election will not be close — whether the incumbent wins or loses.

NRPLUS MEMBER ARTICLE W ill Donald Trump’s reelection campaign be a nail-biter? No Republican president has ever been reelected with less than 50 percent of the vote. Historically, when a president runs for reelection, it usually isn’t close. Of the 31 times in U.S. history that a sitting president ran for reelection, 19 of those were blowouts: 15 easy wins, 4 lopsided losses. Among the other 12, nearly half offered very little real suspense at the end. Let’s rank the twelve closest presidential reelection races in American history to see how few of them were really that close.

  1. Woodrow Wilson (D), 1916: Won
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