Coronavirus: Peak of the Outbreak May Be Near

There’s some good news on the coronavirus front. We’re not out of the woods, but maybe we’re no longer headed deeper in.

The CDC’s director says we’re “nearing the peak.” Daily death counts, after climbing for some time, seem to have leveled off at around 2,000, though these data are often revised as more deaths are reported. The much-watched University of Washington model says we’re a few days past the peaks of deaths and hospital usage. Estimates of the virus’s “reproductive number” in the U.S. (from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine) are headed toward one, the magical threshold beneath which the problem starts to decline rather than spreading further.

About the Author

Robert VerBruggen

Robert VerBruggen is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute.

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There’s some good news on the coronavirus front. We’re not out of the woods, but maybe we’re no longer headed deeper in.

The CDC’s director says we’re “nearing the peak.” Daily death counts, after climbing for some time, seem to have leveled off at around 2,000, though these data are often revised as more deaths are reported. The much-watched University of Washington model says we’re a few days past the peaks of deaths and hospital usage. Estimates of the virus’s “reproductive number” in the U.S. (from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine) are headed toward one, the magical threshold beneath which the problem starts to decline rather than spreading further.