Texas’s Uncertain Political Future

Texas state flag in Austin. (RoschetzkyIstockPhoto/Getty Images)
As demographic changes slowly turn the state purple, both parties may have to adjust their strategies.

NRPLUS MEMBER ARTICLE T he most recent general-election poll of Texas, conducted by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling, shows Joe Biden and Donald Trump neck and neck: Both candidates come in at 48 percent. These figures aren’t outliers. They’re consistent with polls from the past two months reporting a narrowing race in the Lone Star State. Perhaps that’s a shock at first glance: After all, the state hasn’t voted blue in a presidential election since 1976. But pollsters and strategists have long predicted that Texas would start to turn purple, and such a scenario is on the minds of the Republican and Democratic

Carine Hajjar is an editorial intern at National Review and a student at Harvard University studying government, data science, and economics.


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