Georgia Senate Runoffs: Live Updates

President Trump is tweeting that “they are setting up a big ‘voter dump’ against the Republican candidates. Waiting to see how many votes they need?” as we wait for votes from DeKalb county.

For reference, both Ossoff and Warnock are currently running at margins of over 80 percent in Georgia's fourth-largest county.

MSNBC's Steve Kornacki says that a large batch of votes from Democrat-leaning Dekalb County is expected to drop within the hour, which could prove decisive for both races.

Henry Olsen of the Ethics & Public Policy Center and the Washington Post thinks that the Perdue-Ossoff race will come down to DeKalb County, which still has over 60 percent of votes left to report.

Election analysts are still bearish on GOP chances in Georgia, even as Republicans lead in both races with nearly 80 percent of the vote in.

Nate Cohn of the New York Times says that “the remaining ballots are overwhelmingly in the Atlanta area and there is so far no indiction that the Republicans are poised to outrun expectations in what remains.”

Dave Wasserman has called the Loeffler-Warnock race for the Democrats.

David Perdue has now taken the lead over Jon Ossoff by 16,000 votes, 50.3 to 49.7 percent.

With 63 percent of the vote now in, Republicans have narrowed the gap considerably, with both races now in a dead heat. David Perdue is neck and neck with Jon Ossoff, while Kelly Loeffler now narrowly trails Raphael Warnock by 0.6 points.

Cherokee County, a GOP stronghold, gave Republicans a big batch of votes, with 90 percent reported.

So far, Ossoff and Warnock continue to run at a pace needed to win both seats, and Dave Wasserman thinks the pattern emerging is that black Democrats have turned out in a big way.

But Sean Trende of RealClear Politics points out that “no county larger than 60k votes has reported fully yet.”

With 44 percent of the Georgia runoff numbers in, Democrats have extended their leads to approximately eight points. Raphael Warnock leads Kelly Loeffler, 54.6 to 45.4 percent , while Jon Ossoff is ahead of incumbent David Perdue, 54.2 to 45.8 percent.

“Republicans in Georgia are worried,” Erick Erickson reports.

So far, turnout numbers are suggesting Republicans are lagging behind their turnout in the November general.

As mentioned earlier, the SBA List’s 800,000 door knocks are one example of how national conservative groups have, like their Democrat counterparts, focused on get-out-the-vote efforts in Georgia. Stats shared with National Review show other conservative efforts:

Heritage Action For America has 360 paid canvassers on the ground, and has placed 900,000 calls, sent 500,000 texts, and knocked on 200,000 doors. Tea Party Patriots has made 1 million phone calls, while Students for Life made 490,000 calls today alone, sent 314,000 texts since Sunday, and has knocked on 70,000 doors.