It looks as though Trump is going to win the popular vote rather comfortably. He is currently up by about 5 million votes over Harris. That’s with about half of California’s votes yet to be counted, but Harris could only reasonably close that gap by about 2-3 million votes when California is fully counted, leaving Trump with a roughly 2-3 million vote win.
Fox has called the presidency for Trump. I imagine the other networks will have to follow at some point relatively soon.
Sean Trende notes, “Republicans might end up with their largest Senate majority since the 1920s while losing the House.” Not only that, they could lose the House while winning the popular vote for president as well. Of course, their majority was tiny to begin with, so it doesn’t take much to lose it, and if Democrats take the majority it will also be small. But still remarkable.
Fox called Pennsylvania for Trump. This should effectively do it.
The vast majority of counties that have reported votes so far are more Republican than they were in 2020.
Two of the only areas that are more Democratic than they were in 2020 are the counties surrounding Atlanta, and western North Carolina.
No clue how the last Selzer poll had Iowa going Harris. With 94 percent reporting, Trump leads 56-42, and he has exceeded his 2020 performance in nearly all of Iowa’s 99 counties. It was always an outlier poll, but wow.
With 83 percent reporting, Republican Eric Hovde leads incumbent Democratic Senator Tammy Baldwin by a little over 50,000 votes in Wisconsin. But there’s still a lot of vote yet to come in from Milwaukee County, which Baldwin will win comfortably. Trump leads Harris in Wisconsin by considerably more, about 110,000. That gap will be much harder to make up with Milwaukee County votes. Advantage Trump in Wisconsin for president, but it’s still anybody’s race for Senate.
Joe Biden, whenever he wakes up tomorrow: “You guys kicked me out — for this?!”
MSNBC calls Georgia for Trump. They have him at 246 electoral votes, just 24 away from what he needs to win the presidency.
The notion that Joe Biden gleefully stabbed Kamala Harris in the back as revenge for being pushed out as a nominee is a fun and entertaining one. But it’s not particularly likely, because as much as Harris lost tonight, Biden lost, too. First, there’s a strong case that if Biden had remained as the nominee, he would have lost by an even worse margin. Second, whatever else Democrats felt about Biden, they loved him for being “the man who beat Trump.” And now, approaching 82 years of age, Biden is the man who couldn’t beat Trump, and who picked a running mate who couldn’t beat Trump. If Trump is elected (as appears very likely at this hour), Trump and a GOP Senate will get to work dismantling the Biden legislative legacy. Biden was not the end of the Trump era. He appears to have been the intermission.