

A lesson for 2026: Protectionism delivers economic harm without the promised gains.
O n April 2, 2025, President Trump announced a sweeping package of new tariffs. He called it “liberation day.” But less than a year later, Americans are confronted with a disquieting fact: The overwhelming burden from the roughly $200 billion in new tariffs has fallen on American businesses, workers, and families. Trump’s tariffs have resulted in higher prices, fewer choices, and a jobs slump.
Trade isn’t simply about moving finished products across borders. Roughly half of all goods imported into the U.S. are industrial supplies and capital goods, and these are the items that feed American industry. Take, for instance, Canadian aluminum, which is used by American workers in American factories to create everything from American-made beer cans to airplanes. Or take Japanese machinery, which is used by American workers in American factories to produce American-made computer chips.
The tariffs imposed in 2025 didn’t just interrupt these vital supply chains. Many of the tariffs, such as those on metals and auto parts, specifically targeted critical elements of our own industry. Since liberation day, thousands of autoworkers have lost their jobs and car sales have declined by 13 percent.
The economy added 491,000 jobs in the first four months of 2025. Just 93,000 jobs have been added since then. In total, the United States added a mere 584,000 jobs in 2025, the worst annual performance absent a recession in more than 20 years. Only the Covid-19 shutdown in 2020 and the Great Recession of 2008–2009 produced slower job growth. The monthly data is even more concerning: Since liberation day, the economy has seen average growth of fewer than 12,000 new jobs per month.
Protectionists promised that tariffs would usher in a new golden age in manufacturing. In reality, manufacturing jobs have declined every month since April, and job openings in the sector have hit a post-Covid low. By the end of 2025, barely one-third of manufacturing subsectors were still adding jobs.
In fact, we’ve lost 72,000 manufacturing jobs and 18,000 mining and logging jobs since liberation day. Average hourly wages for manufacturing workers fell in April and have remained sluggish since.
These tragedies shouldn’t surprise anyone familiar with how tariffs work. Raising the cost of imported steel, aluminum, semiconductors, and other components squeezes domestic manufacturers who depend on those materials. In turn, it becomes costlier to create American-made products, which reduces productivity, slows wage growth, and undermines economic expansion.
Trump’s tariffs pit American businesses against each other, burden American families, and make our economy less competitive globally. They allow the government to choose winners and losers by prioritizing the workers, and often shareholders, of particular industries within the U.S.
Tariffs also invite retaliation from trading partners by closing off export markets for American goods. Canada’s informal boycott of American liquor, which has caused Jim Beam to shut down plants in Kentucky, is just one example. Foreign direct investment (FDI) into the United States has plunged by 9 percent since last year, despite the president’s claims of booming inflows. Trump claimed that America would see $18 trillion in FDI. Instead, the nation is on track for FDI of less than $270 billion.
Businesses also front-ran the tariffs. Importers rushed to bring goods into the United States before the levies took effect, which temporarily flooded the market with inventory purchased at pre-tariff prices. The transportation and warehousing sectors added 29,000 jobs in April as companies stockpiled foreign goods ahead of the deadline. But those inventories are running out, and American businesses will soon need to start buying inputs under the full weight of the tariffs. This will increase their production costs and further stall the jobs market. One of the few industries that’s booming is K Street. As every industry now seeks its own carve-out, there has been an 834 percent increase in tariff lobbyist revenue.
Tariffs have caused our economic growth to stagnate, and they have made it harder to slap a “made in America” sticker on products. The lesson for 2026 and beyond should be clear: Protectionism and tariffs deliver economic harm without the promised gains. Free markets must remain the foundation of American prosperity.
Marc Short is the chairman of the board of Advancing American Freedom. Richard Stern is the vice president of the Plymouth Institute for Free Enterprise at Advancing American Freedom.