The Corner

Bloody Nora!

Elections for the EU’s Parliament are due next year, and a new poll has just put the euroskeptics of UKIP (on 23 percent) ahead of the Conservatives (22 percent), but behind Labour.

The (Labour-supporting) Daily Mirror summarizes UKIP leader Nigel Farage’s response to the news:

 ’Bloody Nora!’ Nigel Farage’s shock at UKIP’s Europe poll lead over Tories. UKIP leader turns the air blue, says David Cameron is a fool and claims he would ‘do a deal’ with Labour’s Ed Miliband.

Details (and plenty of color) here.

Now, this is just one poll, and Brits tend to use European elections as an opportunity to show what they think of the EU and, indeed, to let off steam generally. Nevertheless, it helps illustrates the extent of the problem that faces Prime Minister David Cameron as the 2015 general election looms ever closer. To have any chance of winning, he must remain relatively close to the center ground (broadly defined) that is, as it happens, where, these days, his own sympathies mainly appear to lie. But he has to do so in a way that does not alienate the natural Tories who are still the heart of his party, and who now have somewhere else to go.

Unfortunately, that has not been his approach.

“Cameron is a fool,” Farage tells the Sunday People. “When he abuses us he doesn’t just abuse UKIP but most of his own voters.”

Conservatives who “lend” their votes to UKIP in EU elections generally return them to the Tories in national polls. They understand Britain’s brutal electoral math. In a first-past-the-post system, a vote for UKIP splits the right-of-center electorate and lets Labour in through the middle. As it is, UKIP voters (around 3 percent of those voting) almost certainly cost the Conservatives an outright win in the 2010 (national) election.

Now they threaten to sink him altogether.

Same old, same old is not going to do the trick Mr. Cameron. 

Most Popular

Politics & Policy

Students’ Anti-Gun Views

Are children innocents or are they leaders? Are teenagers fully autonomous decision-makers, or are they lumps of mental clay, still being molded by unfolding brain development? The Left seems to have a particularly hard time deciding these days. Take, for example, the high-school students from Parkland, ... Read More
PC Culture

Kill Chic

We live in a society in which gratuitous violence is the trademark of video games, movies, and popular music. Kill this, shoot that in repugnant detail becomes a race to the visual and spoken bottom. We have gone from Sam Peckinpah’s realistic portrayal of violent death to a gory ritual of metal ripping ... Read More

Romney Is a Misfit for America

Mitt’s back. The former governor of Massachusetts and occasional native son of Michigan has a new persona: Mr. Utah. He’s going to bring Utah conservatism to the whole Republican party and to the country at large. Wholesome, efficient, industrious, faithful. “Utah has a lot to teach the politicians in ... Read More
Law & the Courts

What the Second Amendment Means Today

The horrifying school massacre in Parkland, Fla., has prompted another national debate about guns. Unfortunately, it seems that these conversations are never terribly constructive — they are too often dominated by screeching extremists on both sides of the aisle and armchair pundits who offer sweeping opinions ... Read More

Fire the FBI Chief

American government is supposed to look and sound like George Washington. What it actually looks and sounds like is Henry Hill from Goodfellas: bad suit, hand out, intoning the eternal mantra: “F*** you, pay me.” American government mostly works by interposition, standing between us, the free people at ... Read More
Film & TV

Black Panther’s Circle of Hype

The Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) first infantilizes its audience, then banalizes it, and, finally, controls it through marketing. This commercial strategy, geared toward adolescents of all ages, resembles the Democratic party’s political manipulation of black Americans, targeting that audience through its ... Read More