The GOP Can Win

From my most recent NRO article, on the campaign ahead: “The Democrats emerged from their convention with a lead of several points in most opinion polls, but it looks like a close election. In most close elections, e.g., 1960, 1968, 1976, and 2000, the party leading at the outset does win, though in 1968 and 1976 it began with a very large lead. But it can also happen, as it did in 1980 (Reagan–Carter), that the trailing party wins the campaign and wins the argument. In 1980, the Republicans had to establish that Reagan was capable of being president and did so. Something of the same challenge faces the Republicans this year, with a much less formidable candidate than Reagan, but there is also the extreme vulnerability of the Obama record. ”

Whether you agree or disagree, your comments are, as always, most welcome.

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