re: Chernobyl on the Persian Gulf

Amir Taheri, perhaps, doesn’t give the topic as broad an examination as it deserves.  While Russian workmanship and Iranian maintenance may both be questionable, the real danger would occur from earthquakes.  Charles Melville, a Cambridge University historian and one of the editors of the Cambridge History of Iran, Volume VII, a long time ago and for a completely different purpose traced the history of earthquakes in Iran.  More recently, computer modeling has shown that, in event that an earthquake in Bushehr damaged the reactor, that we could expect the prevailing winds to fan out over Abu Dhabi and Qatar.  This is one of the reasons why there is such a discrepancy between the public and private rhetoric in the Persian Gulf emirates.  That environmental groups in the West haven’t made an issue of this perhaps reflects that hatred of the White House trumps adherence to their stated cause.

Michael Rubin — Michael Rubin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, senior lecturer at the Naval Postgraduate School’s Center for Civil-Military Relations, and a senior editor of the Middle East ...

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