Re: Why Isn’t Romney Up Ten Points?

The first column of numbers below contains the percentage of votes received by Obama in 2008 from the respective groups. The second column contains Obama’s current support from registered voters according to Gallup’s most recent three-week rolling average (August 27–September 16).  Keep in mind that registered voter polls often over-predict Democrat support.

    Men        49  –  44

Women     53  –  52

18-29        66  –  59

East          59  –  57

Midwest   54  –  49

South       45  –  42

West        57  –  48

White        43  –  40

Black        95  –  89

Hispanic  67  –  66

   Dem.     89  –  92

 Rep.        9  –  5

    Ind.       52  –  43

Republicans presently have a three-point edge in voter enthusiasm. In addition, Rasmussen’s most recent party-identification poll gives Republicans a 4.3 percentage point advantage. At the same point in the 2008 election cycle Democrats enjoyed a 5.7 percentage point advantage

Obama beat McCain by 7.2 points.

Make of the above what you will.

Peter Kirsanow — Peter N. Kirsanow is an attorney and a member of the United States Commission on Civil Rights.

Most Popular

U.S.

Fire the FBI Chief

American government is supposed to look and sound like George Washington. What it actually looks and sounds like is Henry Hill from Goodfellas: bad suit, hand out, intoning the eternal mantra: “F*** you, pay me.” American government mostly works by interposition, standing between us, the free people at ... Read More
Film & TV

Black Panther’s Circle of Hype

The Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU) first infantilizes its audience, then banalizes it, and, finally, controls it through marketing. This commercial strategy, geared toward adolescents of all ages, resembles the Democratic party’s political manipulation of black Americans, targeting that audience through its ... Read More