The Corner

Republican Solidifies Lead in New York’s Ninth

Following an independent poll last week in which Bob Turner held a six-point lead, Public Policy Polling has released a poll tonight showing him winning by the same margin: 47 percent to 41 percent. Turner now looks, in PPP’s words, “poised to pull a huge upset” in the race to fill Anthony Weiner’s seat.

Furthermore, this poll confirms that a Turner victory should seriously worry Democrats nationally, as I suggested in an NRO piece last week.

The race has been portrayed as a referendum on Obama, particularly his Israel policy and the national debt. In a heavily Jewish district, Turner has placed much of his hope for a victory on convincing likely voters that he will be a better friend to Israel than his Orthodox Jewish opponent, David Weprin, because of Obama’s cool attitude towards Israel. He has apparently succeeded, leading Weprin by a huge margin, 56 points to 39, among Jewish voters – a worrisome omen for Obama in 2012.

Also of note is Turner’s success among independents in a heavily Democratic district. Unlike fellow giant-killer Scott Brown, he has captured anti-incumbent sentiment and anger about the economy without much in the way of explicit Tea Party backing. Another interesting and related datum from PPP: Mitt Romney out-polls Barack Obama in the district, while Rick Perry does not. 

Patrick Brennan — Patrick Brennan is a writer and policy analyst based in Washington, D.C. He was Director of Digital Content for Marco Rubio's presidential campaign, writing op-eds, policy content, and leading the ...

Most Popular


Courage: The Greatest of Virtues

EDITOR’S NOTE: The following is Jonah Goldberg’s weekly “news”letter, the G-File. Subscribe here to get the G-File delivered to your inbox on Fridays. Dear Reader (Or Listener), As the reporter assigned the job of writing the article about all of Sidney Blumenthal’s friends and supporters told his ... Read More

My American Dream

This morning, at 8 a.m., I did something I’ve wanted to do for as long as I can remember: I became an American. I first applied for a visa in early 2011, and since then I have slowly worked my way through the system — first as a visa-holder, then as a permanent resident (green card), and, finally, as a ... Read More

The Gun-Control Debate Could Break America

Last night, the nation witnessed what looked a lot like an extended version of the famous “two minutes hate” from George Orwell’s novel 1984. During a CNN town hall on gun control, a furious crowd of Americans jeered at two conservatives, Marco Rubio and Dana Loesch, who stood in defense of the Second ... Read More