The good folks at Strategic Vision pass the following on to me:
When Republicans were polled on whom they would support in 2008 for the Republican Presidential nomination, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney led with 30%; followed by former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee with 28%; Arizona Senator John McCain 16%; former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson 13%; former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani 4%; Texas Congressman Ron Paul 4%; California Congressman Duncan Hunter 1%; and 4% undecided…
On the Democratic side, Illinois Senator Barack Obama led with 32%; followed by former North Carolina Senator John Edwards with 29%; New York Senator Hillary Clinton 27% Delaware Senator Joseph Biden received 5%; New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson 2%; Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd received 1%; Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich 1%; and 3% were undecided.
They polled 600 likely Republican caucus goers and 600 likely Democratic caucus goers on the 2008 Presidential Election on December 28-30. The poll has a margin of error of ±4.5 percentage points for each.
Because we’ve seen most poll recent results to be more or less in this neighborhood, I’d be surprised if the final caucus results were way out of whack with these numbers….