Right now, the AP has called 217 House races for Republicans — one short of a majority.
Republicans are almost certain to get a majority, but it’s unclear exactly how many seats they’ll have. Here’s a look at most of the uncalled races:
California 3: Republican Kevin Kiley leads his Democratic opponent by 5.6 points with a little over half of the vote counted. This is a district where Trump beat Biden by 1.8 points in 2020, and Kiley has outperformed the Tump margin in three counties that aren’t very populous but have counted almost all ballots. “Both parties are confident Kiley will prevail,” the Cook Political Report’s David Wasserman reported on November 11.
California 27: Republican Mike Garcia leads his Democratic opponent by nine points with two-thirds of the vote counted. The Democratic candidate has not officially conceded, but she seems to see the writing on the wall:
In the hope that the next Dem who steps up to the plate will be successful.
In many ways, we are victims of our 2018 success in this district. The GOP has now modeled their approach from billboards to field on what Dems did to flip the seat from Steve Knight. 3/
— Christy Smith (@ChristySmithCA) November 13, 2022
This is a district where Biden bested Trump by 12.4 points in 2020.
Biden carried Garcia's district by 12.4 points in 2020.
When people say "candidates matter," that includes good candidates. pic.twitter.com/hGdStc0oTT
— John McCormack (@McCormackJohn) November 13, 2022
Colorado 3: Republican Lauren Boebert leads her Democratic opponent by 0.34 points or 1,122 raw votes. Colorado Newsline reports that the current margin is
several hundred votes above the threshold — 810 votes at current totals — that would trigger an automatic, state-funded recount.
Vote tallies will change through the end of Wednesday as ballots continue to arrive from military and overseas voters and ballots are “cured.” When tabulators reject a ballot, often due to a discrepancy between the voter’s signature on the ballot and the one that election officials have on file to compare it to, the voter has an opportunity to resolve, or cure, the problem and have their vote count. . . .
Ballot curing must be completed by 11:59 p.m. Wednesday, and updated results are expected to be available Thursday.
Trump carried Boebert’s district by 8.3 points in 2020, and her underperformance is one of the more surprising results in the House.
California 22: Republican David Valadao leads his Democratic opponent by 5.4 points with a little more than half the votes counted, but it could take weeks to get final results. Biden carried this district by 13 points in 2020.
Kern County Clerk Mary Bedard says it may take "weeks" for them to count their ~70,000 outstanding ballots because they only have one sorting machine.https://t.co/qagTRRe1JD https://t.co/wJ2DBjBfoM
— James Lambert (@hellofasandwich) November 15, 2022
California 13: Democrat Adam Gray leads Republican John Duarte by 0.74 points with 78 percent of votes counted.
California 47: Democrat Katie Porter leads Republican Scott Baugh by 1.2 points with 80 percent of votes counted.
So Republicans appear likely to hold at least 220 seats. “Right now, Republicans would be on track to win 221 seats if the latest trends continued, though several of these races remain so close that they could easily go the other way,” Nate Cohn reports at the New York Times. After the 2020 election, Democrats held a 222-seat majority — the narrowest majority since the 2000 election when Republicans controlled 221 seats.